Kaynan Kruschewsky

Angelo picks Kurt Holobaugh with very low confidence, citing his durability and composure. He notes that Kruschewsky is the better striker and more dangerous, but Holobaugh's wrestling could be key if he uses it. He explicitly says he will not bet on this fight unless a ridiculous prop appears.

Cody picks Kruschewsky, citing his youth (26 vs 38), better cardio, and ability to grapple. He criticizes Holobaugh for training at his own gym with no elite partners and expects him to fade. He notes both are BJJ black belts but thinks Kruschewsky's wrestling and durability give him the edge, though he admits it's a close fight.

Daniel Vreeland picks Kaynan Kruschewsky, citing his youth, length, and higher pace. He notes Holobaugh's declining takedown defense and lack of urgency to get back up, as seen in recent fights. Vreeland believes Kruschewsky is catching Holobaugh at the right time and will win by decision or possibly a finish.

Holobaugh is a +115 underdog. He is aggressive, powerful, and has solid durability. Kruschewsky is coming off a bad knockout loss and his chin is a question mark. Holobaugh can force a pocket exchange and land a big shot to finish. The fight is volatile, but Holobaugh's pressure and power give him the edge.

Paul agrees with Cody, siding with Kruschewsky on volume and power. He thinks the fight will come down to striking and that Kruschewsky has the edge there. He doesn't elaborate much but concurs with the pick.

Angelo picks Kruschewsky (referred to as 'reix' or 'rabix') despite Brener's upset win over Guram. He thinks the striking gap is wide and Brener's knockout was a lucky punch in a fight he was losing. He notes Kruschewsky has sneaky power, solid BJJ, but takedown defense is a concern. He placed a half-unit bet on Kruschewsky at +113, now +130.

Daniel Levi picks Elves Brener, noting his well-rounded skills, toughness, and ability to overcome adversity. He acknowledges that Brener's kill-or-be-killed style leaves openings and he gets hurt in fights, but he has never been finished. Levi is wary of Kruschewsky's short-notice debut and his own impressive record, but believes Brener's preparation and hometown advantage give him the edge. He expects an exciting fight and picks Brener, but cautions that an upset wouldn't surprise him.

James passes on this fight because he hasn't taped Kruschewsky yet, as the fight was made only 24-48 hours ago. He mentions he had a bet on Rivaldo Vieira against Brener at +145, but that fight was called off. He does not provide a pick or analysis for this matchup.

Brener has a BJJ black belt but doesn't often grapple; however, his path to victory is through grappling. Kruschewsky has sketchy takedown defense and Brener can control him on the ground. Brener is competitive enough in striking and has durability. If he implements grappling, he could get a submission finish, but there's low confidence because he doesn't usually grapple.