Kevin Natividad
"Quicksand"Career Averages
Loss Methods (3)
Fight History
Nov 19, 2022
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Turcios | 0 | 68 of 115 | 59% | 170 of 224 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 1 | 3 | 6:17 |
| Kevin Natividad | 1 | 41 of 81 | 50% | 61 of 109 | 7 of 13 | 53% | 0 | 0 | 5:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ricky Turcios | 0 | 17 of 27 | 62% | 49 of 62 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 2 | 2:30 |
| Kevin Natividad | 0 | 9 of 19 | 47% | 11 of 22 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:30 | |
| 2 | Ricky Turcios | 0 | 22 of 39 | 56% | 52 of 70 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 1:26 |
| Kevin Natividad | 0 | 17 of 29 | 58% | 32 of 49 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 2:20 | |
| 3 | Ricky Turcios | 0 | 29 of 49 | 59% | 69 of 92 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 2:21 |
| Kevin Natividad | 1 | 15 of 33 | 45% | 18 of 38 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 1:10 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Turcios | 68 of 115 | 59% | 65 of 112 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 28 of 63 | 5 of 11 | 35 of 41 |
| Kevin Natividad | 41 of 81 | 50% | 33 of 70 | 5 of 7 | 3 of 4 | 23 of 55 | 5 of 9 | 13 of 17 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ricky Turcios | 17 of 27 | 62% | 16 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 10 | 1 of 4 | 12 of 13 |
| Kevin Natividad | 9 of 19 | 47% | 4 of 14 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 13 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 | |
| 2 | Ricky Turcios | 22 of 39 | 56% | 20 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 25 | 3 of 6 | 8 of 8 |
| Kevin Natividad | 17 of 29 | 58% | 14 of 25 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 16 | 3 of 5 | 6 of 8 | |
| 3 | Ricky Turcios | 29 of 49 | 59% | 29 of 49 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 28 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 20 |
| Kevin Natividad | 15 of 33 | 45% | 15 of 31 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 10 of 26 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 6 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danaa Batgerel | 1 | 7 of 15 | 46% | 8 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Kevin Natividad | 0 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danaa Batgerel | 1 | 7 of 15 | 46% | 8 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Kevin Natividad | 0 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danaa Batgerel | 7 of 15 | 46% | 7 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 |
| Kevin Natividad | 3 of 8 | 37% | 1 of 5 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danaa Batgerel | 7 of 15 | 46% | 7 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 |
| Kevin Natividad | 3 of 8 | 37% | 1 of 5 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (6)
Big Brady picks Batgerel to win by second-round knockout. He criticizes Natividad's striking defense, calling it awful, and notes that Batgerel is a powerful striker who can crack. He expects Batgerel to land a knockout, as Natividad has been knocked out in both his losses.
Cody also leans toward Batgerel but is not confident, noting his raw style and power. He thinks Natividad could have a wrestling advantage but expects Batgerel to win the striking exchanges. He passes on the -180 price.
Daniel leans with Danaa Batgerel due to his volume and recent knockout, but he agrees the line is too high and calls it a dog or pass situation. He notes that Kevin Natividad is a straightforward boxer with power and could catch Batgerel. He would not recommend laying -200 on Batgerel.
I really like Batgerel in this spot. He's a talented Muay Thai striker with power, and Natividad has shown durability issues, getting knocked out by Miles Johns. Batgerel should be able to stuff takedowns and wear on Natividad, eventually getting a TKO. I like Batgerel by KO at +245, and the fight doesn't go the distance at -115 is also a solid play.
Paul leans toward Batgerel, citing his aggression and power. He notes Natividad's poor UFC debut on short notice but expects him to look better. He thinks Batgerel's pressure and willingness to exchange will be key, but the -180 price is a pass. He sees Batgerel winning by KO or decision.
The MMA Guru picks Danaa Batgerel by first-round KO. He notes that Batgerel looks levels above his competition, while Natividad has scraped by cans and is coming off a KO loss. He believes Batgerel will finish him early.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Johns | 1 | 48 of 105 | 45% | 56 of 114 | 0 of 7 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:03 |
| Kevin Natividad | 0 | 33 of 137 | 24% | 38 of 142 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miles Johns | 0 | 20 of 39 | 51% | 23 of 42 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:51 |
| Kevin Natividad | 0 | 11 of 48 | 22% | 13 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Miles Johns | 0 | 14 of 36 | 38% | 19 of 42 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:36 |
| Kevin Natividad | 0 | 12 of 52 | 23% | 15 of 55 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Miles Johns | 1 | 14 of 30 | 46% | 14 of 30 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:36 |
| Kevin Natividad | 0 | 10 of 37 | 27% | 10 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Johns | 48 of 105 | 45% | 39 of 92 | 3 of 7 | 6 of 6 | 46 of 100 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Kevin Natividad | 33 of 137 | 24% | 23 of 119 | 8 of 15 | 2 of 3 | 31 of 132 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miles Johns | 20 of 39 | 51% | 17 of 33 | 0 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 19 of 36 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Kevin Natividad | 11 of 48 | 22% | 8 of 42 | 1 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 47 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Miles Johns | 14 of 36 | 38% | 12 of 34 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 35 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Kevin Natividad | 12 of 52 | 23% | 8 of 46 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 10 of 48 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Miles Johns | 14 of 30 | 46% | 10 of 25 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Kevin Natividad | 10 of 37 | 27% | 7 of 31 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 37 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (3)
Big Brady believes the line is off and that Natividad is the better striker with higher output. He notes Johns has poor takedown defense and cardio issues, while Natividad has solid defensive wrestling and get-up game. He predicts a close decision win for Natividad.
Miles Johns is coming off his first pro loss but has a good camp at 47 MMA. He should use his grappling and cage control to nullify Natividad's striking, but there are concerns about Johns' cardio if he expends energy clinching. The line is a bit wide at -185, so not confident enough to bet.
The MMA Guru believes Miles Johns is a much better fighter than Kevin Natividad, citing Natividad's weak competition and close fights against cans. He expects Johns to dominate and submit Natividad in the second round via guillotine choke.
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