Aaron Pico

1-1
Record
Age / DOB 29
(Sep 23, 1996)
Height 5' 8"
Weight 145 lbs.
Reach 70"
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages
3.88 Sig. Strikes / Min
44.0% Sig. Strike Acc.
2.39 Absorbed / Min
50.0% Strike Defense
8.96 TD Avg / 15 min
66.0% TD Accuracy
0.0% TD Defense
0.0 Sub. / Fight
Win Methods (1)
KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 1
Loss Methods (1)
KO/TKO 1
Submission 0
Decision 0

Fight History

Result / Opponent
Event & Date
Method/Round
Links
Comments
UFC 327
Apr 11, 2026
Decision R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Patrício Pitbull 0 49 of 88 55% 49 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Aaron Pico 0 100 of 181 55% 104 of 185 6 of 13 46% 0 0 3:25
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Patrício Pitbull 0 17 of 28 60% 17 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Aaron Pico 0 22 of 56 39% 25 of 59 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:47
2 Patrício Pitbull 0 19 of 33 57% 19 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Aaron Pico 0 49 of 77 63% 49 of 77 2 of 4 50% 0 0 0:41
3 Patrício Pitbull 0 13 of 27 48% 13 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Aaron Pico 0 29 of 48 60% 30 of 49 3 of 5 60% 0 0 1:57
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Patrício Pitbull 49 of 88 55% 28 of 60 14 of 19 7 of 9 37 of 76 12 of 12 0 of 0
Aaron Pico 100 of 181 55% 79 of 156 11 of 15 10 of 10 90 of 166 6 of 9 4 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Patrício Pitbull 17 of 28 60% 12 of 20 3 of 5 2 of 3 15 of 26 2 of 2 0 of 0
Aaron Pico 22 of 56 39% 17 of 48 1 of 4 4 of 4 21 of 51 1 of 4 0 of 1
2 Patrício Pitbull 19 of 33 57% 11 of 25 4 of 4 4 of 4 16 of 30 3 of 3 0 of 0
Aaron Pico 49 of 77 63% 40 of 67 5 of 6 4 of 4 43 of 70 2 of 2 4 of 5
3 Patrício Pitbull 13 of 27 48% 5 of 15 7 of 10 1 of 2 6 of 20 7 of 7 0 of 0
Aaron Pico 29 of 48 60% 22 of 41 5 of 5 2 of 2 26 of 45 3 of 3 0 of 0
Expert Picks (11)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 5, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Aaron Pico

Angelo confidently picks Aaron Pico, calling him bigger, faster, stronger, and better everywhere. He acknowledges Pitbull's legendary career but notes his age (39) and believes Pico should dominate. He suggests Pico should be a much heavier favorite, calling minus 300 good value.

"Aaron Pico is the pick. Minus 300, I would hop on that now. He should genuinely be minus five, six, seven, minus 800."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 5, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Aaron Pico

Big Brady is impressed with Pico's elite wrestling, power, and body work, but notes his durability issues (all losses inside the distance). He thinks Pitbull is dangerous but aging (38) and has shown vulnerability. He predicts Pico will get takedowns and ground-and-pound for a second-round TKO, though he dislikes the -300 price.

second round TKO
"I like Pico here to get it done... I'm going to go Pico to bounce back here and get a second round TKO."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert picked Apr 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
No clear pick

Cody passes on this fight, unable to trust Pico's chin at such a high price. He acknowledges the logic but cannot bring himself to bet on Pico.

"I don't think I could click it. I don't think I could click it because I would just hate myself too much if he gets stiffed on like an overhand right in round one."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Patrício Pitbull

Connor picks Patrício based on his one-shot power and Pico's defensive vulnerability. He notes that Pico gets blindsided when hit and has no defensive awareness, while Patrício still has a quick, powerful shot. However, he acknowledges Patrício's decline in choosiness and hesitancy, which could give Pico early leash.

Odds too wide; Patrício opened +180 now +270, Pico opened -210 now -330
"I'm going to pick Patricio, but I, yeah, I cannot help, but acknowledge that the man does not have long left in the sport and Aaron Pico is super dangerous."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Aaron Pico

Daniel Vreeland picks Aaron Pico, citing Pico's youth, size, and physicality. He believes Pico will crowd Pitbull and use his grappling to neutralize Pitbull's distance management. He acknowledges Pitbull's power and counter-striking but thinks age and weight cuts have slowed him down.

"I think Pico wins this and I think putting money on Pitbull is a perfectly fine situation at plus 265 given the situation, but I still think he loses."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant picked Apr 6, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Aaron Pico

Daniel acknowledges Pico's chin issues but thinks his skill advantage is significant. He picks Pico but warns that Pitbull is a live dog if Pico is gunshy.

"I think as a pure pick, I'm going to go Pico. But from a betting perspective, this is a dog or pass situation."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Apr 6, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Aaron Pico

James picks Aaron Pico, expecting him to be more reserved after his knockout loss and use his superior boxing and wrestling to dominate Pitbull. He predicts a KO victory.

"I'm definitely picking Aaron here. I'm actually picking him via KO."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Apr 7, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Aaron Pico

Pico should use his wrestling to neutralize Pitbull's power. Pitbull is dangerous but low output and older. Pico's wrestling is elite and he can grind out a decision. However, the line is too steep at -315; value is not there. Pico needs to be calm and avoid brawling. A wrestle-heavy approach should secure the win.

Pico wins by decision
"I'm looking for a wrestle heavy approach from Pico. ... I think Pico wins. I think he wins by decision."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Aaron Pico

Paul picks Pico despite the high price, believing Pico's wrestling and athleticism will be key. He thinks Pico will use takedowns to neutralize Pitbull's power and grind out a decision.

"I'm taking Pico. I got Pico. It's the minus 300 Paul. Like, how much faith do you have in a guy that's constantly been a letdown?"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Patrício Pitbull

The MMA Guru picks Patrício Pitbull over Aaron Pico, despite Pico being a -300 favorite. He questions Pico's chin and notes he has been KO'd multiple times. He believes Pitbull is crafty and experienced, and can catch Pico late in the second or third round by TKO. He thinks the odds should be evens.

Odds comment: Pico at -300 is crazy, should be evens.
"I'm thinking Pitbull because I just seriously can't trust Aaron Pico to get hit flash on the chin."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Apr 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Aaron Pico

Zane picks Pico despite his defensive flaws, citing Patrício's recent fragility and choosiness. He notes that Pico is an elite athlete who can roll downhill and that Patrício has been looking more fragile, getting iced early by Chihiro Suzuki. However, he admits Pico's defensive issues are stark and he doesn't feel good about the pick.

Odds too wide; Pico opened -210 now -330
"I'm going to take Pico here. I hate to do it, but I think you, you love to do it."
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Lerone Murphy 1 8 of 16 50% 8 of 16 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Aaron Pico 0 13 of 29 44% 13 of 30 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Lerone Murphy 1 8 of 16 50% 8 of 16 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Aaron Pico 0 13 of 29 44% 13 of 30 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Lerone Murphy 8 of 16 50% 4 of 9 4 of 6 0 of 1 6 of 14 1 of 1 1 of 1
Aaron Pico 13 of 29 44% 7 of 23 5 of 5 1 of 1 7 of 21 3 of 5 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Lerone Murphy 8 of 16 50% 4 of 9 4 of 6 0 of 1 6 of 14 1 of 1 1 of 1
Aaron Pico 13 of 29 44% 7 of 23 5 of 5 1 of 1 7 of 21 3 of 5 3 of 3
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 10, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Aaron Pico

Angelo highlights Pico's wrestling and boxing credentials, believing his wrestling will be too much for Murphy. He acknowledges Murphy's technical striking but thinks Pico is more well-rounded and determined now. He compares Pico's potential impact to Kayla Harrison's debut.

"I do think Pico's wrestling is just going to be too much here. Pico also has very good striking."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 12, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Lerone Murphy

Big Brady picks Lerone Murphy to win by decision. He is impressed by Aaron Pico's power and wrestling but questions his competition level. He notes Murphy is undefeated in the UFC with wins over Josh Emmett, Dan Ige, and Edson Barboza. He worries about Murphy's takedown defense but thinks his get-up game is good. He sees this as a 'prove it' spot for Pico and favors Murphy's experience.

"I'm actually going to take Murphy here. ... I'm going to take him to win this fight by decision."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Aug 14, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Lerone Murphy

Connor picks Murphy, emphasizing that Murphy is a massive step up in competition for Pico, who has never faced an athlete of Murphy's size, speed, and durability. He notes that Murphy is battle-tested against UFC featherweights and has never lost to a higher level of competition, while Pico's wins are against older or less skilled opponents. Connor believes Murphy's durability and problem-solving skills will allow him to weather Pico's early wrestling and take over as the fight progresses, potentially finishing him.

Pico opened at -150, currently -160; Murphy opened at +130, currently +140
"Murphy is battle tested against UFC featherweights... Pico is going to get his ass down quick, probably, but it is yet to be an actual fight losing weakness."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 15, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Aaron Pico

The host believes Pico will remind everyone he is a high-level prospect and deserving of a top-10 ranking. He thinks Murphy taking the fight on short notice is a disadvantage, and expects Pico to control the fight both on the feet and on the ground, grinding out a decision win.

"I believe Pico will remind people that he is still a very highlevel prospect and more than deserving to be in the top 10 of the division"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 13, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Lerone Murphy

The Guru picks Lerone Murphy over Aaron Pico, citing Murphy's superior technical skills, footwork, and fight IQ. He believes Pico's power and wrestling are threats, but Murphy's counter-grappling and ability to avoid big shots will be key. The Guru notes that Pico has been knocked out before and that Murphy is undefeated in the UFC with experience against dangerous opponents. He also mentions that the betting odds favoring Pico are off, making Murphy a value pick.

Underdog money on Murphy is crazy; could see a finish for Murphy (TKO or decision)
"I'm taking Lone Murphy. I think Lone Murphy beats Aaron Pico. Stylewise, I completely understand why Aaron Pico is problematic to Luron Murphy. He is a tricky style for Lurone Murphy."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Aug 14, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Lerone Murphy

Zane picks Murphy, arguing that Pico has never faced an athlete of Murphy's caliber and that Murphy's durability and resourcefulness will be key. He notes that Murphy has poor takedown defense but has never lost a fight due to it, as he figures out opponents as the fight goes on. Zane believes Pico's wrestling is violence-focused and that Murphy will get chances to get back up and land a fight-ending shot, as Pico has been finished before.

Pico opened at -150, currently -160; Murphy opened at +130, currently +140
"Murphy is just a physical presence like Pico has literally never faced... I kind of think Murphy will finish him."