Aaron Pico
Career Averages
Win Methods (1)
Loss Methods (1)
Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrício Pitbull | 0 | 49 of 88 | 55% | 49 of 88 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Aaron Pico | 0 | 100 of 181 | 55% | 104 of 185 | 6 of 13 | 46% | 0 | 0 | 3:25 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Patrício Pitbull | 0 | 17 of 28 | 60% | 17 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Aaron Pico | 0 | 22 of 56 | 39% | 25 of 59 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 | |
| 2 | Patrício Pitbull | 0 | 19 of 33 | 57% | 19 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Aaron Pico | 0 | 49 of 77 | 63% | 49 of 77 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:41 | |
| 3 | Patrício Pitbull | 0 | 13 of 27 | 48% | 13 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Aaron Pico | 0 | 29 of 48 | 60% | 30 of 49 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 1:57 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrício Pitbull | 49 of 88 | 55% | 28 of 60 | 14 of 19 | 7 of 9 | 37 of 76 | 12 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
| Aaron Pico | 100 of 181 | 55% | 79 of 156 | 11 of 15 | 10 of 10 | 90 of 166 | 6 of 9 | 4 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Patrício Pitbull | 17 of 28 | 60% | 12 of 20 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 3 | 15 of 26 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Aaron Pico | 22 of 56 | 39% | 17 of 48 | 1 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 21 of 51 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | Patrício Pitbull | 19 of 33 | 57% | 11 of 25 | 4 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 16 of 30 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Aaron Pico | 49 of 77 | 63% | 40 of 67 | 5 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 43 of 70 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 5 | |
| 3 | Patrício Pitbull | 13 of 27 | 48% | 5 of 15 | 7 of 10 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 20 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Aaron Pico | 29 of 48 | 60% | 22 of 41 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 26 of 45 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (11)
Angelo confidently picks Aaron Pico, calling him bigger, faster, stronger, and better everywhere. He acknowledges Pitbull's legendary career but notes his age (39) and believes Pico should dominate. He suggests Pico should be a much heavier favorite, calling minus 300 good value.
Big Brady is impressed with Pico's elite wrestling, power, and body work, but notes his durability issues (all losses inside the distance). He thinks Pitbull is dangerous but aging (38) and has shown vulnerability. He predicts Pico will get takedowns and ground-and-pound for a second-round TKO, though he dislikes the -300 price.
Cody passes on this fight, unable to trust Pico's chin at such a high price. He acknowledges the logic but cannot bring himself to bet on Pico.
Connor picks Patrício based on his one-shot power and Pico's defensive vulnerability. He notes that Pico gets blindsided when hit and has no defensive awareness, while Patrício still has a quick, powerful shot. However, he acknowledges Patrício's decline in choosiness and hesitancy, which could give Pico early leash.
Daniel Vreeland picks Aaron Pico, citing Pico's youth, size, and physicality. He believes Pico will crowd Pitbull and use his grappling to neutralize Pitbull's distance management. He acknowledges Pitbull's power and counter-striking but thinks age and weight cuts have slowed him down.
Daniel acknowledges Pico's chin issues but thinks his skill advantage is significant. He picks Pico but warns that Pitbull is a live dog if Pico is gunshy.
James picks Aaron Pico, expecting him to be more reserved after his knockout loss and use his superior boxing and wrestling to dominate Pitbull. He predicts a KO victory.
Pico should use his wrestling to neutralize Pitbull's power. Pitbull is dangerous but low output and older. Pico's wrestling is elite and he can grind out a decision. However, the line is too steep at -315; value is not there. Pico needs to be calm and avoid brawling. A wrestle-heavy approach should secure the win.
Paul picks Pico despite the high price, believing Pico's wrestling and athleticism will be key. He thinks Pico will use takedowns to neutralize Pitbull's power and grind out a decision.
The MMA Guru picks Patrício Pitbull over Aaron Pico, despite Pico being a -300 favorite. He questions Pico's chin and notes he has been KO'd multiple times. He believes Pitbull is crafty and experienced, and can catch Pico late in the second or third round by TKO. He thinks the odds should be evens.
Zane picks Pico despite his defensive flaws, citing Patrício's recent fragility and choosiness. He notes that Pico is an elite athlete who can roll downhill and that Patrício has been looking more fragile, getting iced early by Chihiro Suzuki. However, he admits Pico's defensive issues are stark and he doesn't feel good about the pick.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lerone Murphy | 1 | 8 of 16 | 50% | 8 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Aaron Pico | 0 | 13 of 29 | 44% | 13 of 30 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lerone Murphy | 1 | 8 of 16 | 50% | 8 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Aaron Pico | 0 | 13 of 29 | 44% | 13 of 30 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lerone Murphy | 8 of 16 | 50% | 4 of 9 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 6 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Aaron Pico | 13 of 29 | 44% | 7 of 23 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 21 | 3 of 5 | 3 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lerone Murphy | 8 of 16 | 50% | 4 of 9 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 6 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Aaron Pico | 13 of 29 | 44% | 7 of 23 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 21 | 3 of 5 | 3 of 3 |
Expert Picks (6)
Angelo highlights Pico's wrestling and boxing credentials, believing his wrestling will be too much for Murphy. He acknowledges Murphy's technical striking but thinks Pico is more well-rounded and determined now. He compares Pico's potential impact to Kayla Harrison's debut.
Big Brady picks Lerone Murphy to win by decision. He is impressed by Aaron Pico's power and wrestling but questions his competition level. He notes Murphy is undefeated in the UFC with wins over Josh Emmett, Dan Ige, and Edson Barboza. He worries about Murphy's takedown defense but thinks his get-up game is good. He sees this as a 'prove it' spot for Pico and favors Murphy's experience.
Connor picks Murphy, emphasizing that Murphy is a massive step up in competition for Pico, who has never faced an athlete of Murphy's size, speed, and durability. He notes that Murphy is battle-tested against UFC featherweights and has never lost to a higher level of competition, while Pico's wins are against older or less skilled opponents. Connor believes Murphy's durability and problem-solving skills will allow him to weather Pico's early wrestling and take over as the fight progresses, potentially finishing him.
The host believes Pico will remind everyone he is a high-level prospect and deserving of a top-10 ranking. He thinks Murphy taking the fight on short notice is a disadvantage, and expects Pico to control the fight both on the feet and on the ground, grinding out a decision win.
The Guru picks Lerone Murphy over Aaron Pico, citing Murphy's superior technical skills, footwork, and fight IQ. He believes Pico's power and wrestling are threats, but Murphy's counter-grappling and ability to avoid big shots will be key. The Guru notes that Pico has been knocked out before and that Murphy is undefeated in the UFC with experience against dangerous opponents. He also mentions that the betting odds favoring Pico are off, making Murphy a value pick.
Zane picks Murphy, arguing that Pico has never faced an athlete of Murphy's caliber and that Murphy's durability and resourcefulness will be key. He notes that Murphy has poor takedown defense but has never lost a fight due to it, as he figures out opponents as the fight goes on. Zane believes Pico's wrestling is violence-focused and that Murphy will get chances to get back up and land a fight-ending shot, as Pico has been finished before.
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