Murtazali Magomedov

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Fight History

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Expert Picks (15)
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Murtazali Magomedov

AJ picks Murtazali Magomedov, calling him a blue-chip prospect with high-level striking and dangerous submissions. He notes Baghdasaryan is one-dimensional and inactive, while Magomedov can finish anywhere. He expects a finish, likely by submission, and likes the inside distance prop.

Magomedov inside distance -110, Magomedov by submission +270, Magomedov by KO +270
"I feel like Mago Medov is uh a goddamn animal. ... He seems to have very high level striking. Has some dangerous submissions too. ... I'm going Mago Medov and I think he looks good doing it."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Lock picked Jun 19, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Murtazali Magomedov

AJ picks Murtazali Magomedov to win by finish, calling it his lock of the card. He praises Magomedov's striking and grappling, and criticizes Baghdasaryan's lackluster grappling. He expects Magomedov to dominate and finish inside the distance, possibly by submission or KO.

Magomedov finish +100; Magomedov by submission +220; Magomedov by KO +250; Magomedov inside distance
"Mago Medov finish plus 100. That's my lock of the card."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Murtazali Magomedov

AJ is high on Magomedov as a blue-chip prospect with nasty standup, knockout power, and submissions. He thinks Magomedov will finish Baghdasaryan, possibly by submission or KO, and notes Magomedov has never gone to decision. He likes inside distance at -110.

Magomedov inside distance -110, Magomedov KO +270, Magomedov submission +270, under 2.5 rounds -130
"I think Magomedov is going to whoop on Melik Bagdesarian and put a showcase fight together."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Lock picked Jun 17, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Murtazali Magomedov

AJ is extremely high on Magomedov, calling him a blue-chip prospect with death-touch power in both hands and a crafty ground game. He believes Magomedov will finish Baghdasaryan, either by knockout or submission, due to his all-finishes record and the favorable matchup at the UFC Apex. AJ compares this debut to Shavkat Rakhmonov's debut and is confident Magomedov will make a splash.

Magomedov to win by finish at +100 (lock of the week)
"Magomedov finish is an absolute money touch at a prop of plus 100 for this week's lock."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 14, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Murtazali Magomedov

Angelo is very confident in Murtazali Magomedov despite his UFC debut, citing his wrestling and grappling superiority over Melsik Baghdasaryan, who is only a striker. He predicts a first or second round finish. He admits it's risky but can't convince himself otherwise.

First or second round finish.
"Magamemed is the pick, but I expect a full fraud check temper tantrum if this doesn't play out that way."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 17, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Murtazali Magomedov

Angelo is confident in Magomedov despite his UFC debut, citing a huge skill gap on the ground. He expects Magomedov to get a takedown and submit Baghdasaryan, comparing it to Yaroslav Amosov's win over Joel Alvarez. He thinks the fight may go a little long but is fine with the favorite.

Considers Magomedov by submission at +250
"Mertazali Magamedov ... He's a considerable favorite minus 305. He is a UFC debut, but there's a very big skill gap in this fight."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Murtazali Magomedov

Angelo picks Murtazali Magomedov, highlighting his wrestling and submission skills. He notes Magomedov has all finish wins and is a finisher anywhere, while Baghdasaryan has grappling holes. He expects Magomedov to get takedowns early and finish Baghdasaryan.

"Magomed I was going to be the pick. I think he gets the takedowns. I think he gets them relatively early, and I think he can finish Melsik Baghdasaryan."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 17, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Murtazali Magomedov

Cody picks Magomedov but is torn, citing his power and fast hands but questionable durability and cardio. He notes Baghdasaryan's technical striking but injury history and inactivity. He suggests a live play or pass due to the uncertainty.

Live betting after first round
"I'll take what the obvious choice Magdov. I don't get a good gut feeling about it."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Murtazali Magomedov

Connor also picks Magomedov, citing Baghdasaryan's inability to handle adversity and his tendency to get overwhelmed in protracted battles. He notes Magomedov's confidence and pressure will be too much for Baghdasaryan, who has shown he doesn't like being bullied. Connor mentions Baghdasaryan's athleticism but doubts his composure.

Same odds as Zane.
"I just don't trust Bogdasarian in any kind of like protracted battle."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Murtazali Magomedov

Lucrative James picks Murtazali Magomedov, noting that Baghdasaryan may not be fully focused on the sport and that Magomedov is an undefeated, aggressive fighter with finishing ability. He expects Magomedov to get on top and dominate, predicting a submission win. However, he mentions wanting to do more tape study.

submission
"I will pick Magamemedov to win this fight via submission."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Murtazali Magomedov

Magomedov is superior all around, with better activity, youth, and a well-rounded game. He can avoid Baghdasaryan's early kickboxing danger and find a submission as the fight progresses. His gas tank and grappling are key advantages.

Magomedov by submission
"I'm going to go uh Mertzali Magomedov by submission."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 17, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Murtazali Magomedov

Magomedov will remain competitive in striking and then find moments to grapple, leading to a submission victory for the UFC newcomer.

by submission
"I think Magomedov will be able to remain competitive in the striking realm, and then eventually find moments to get this into the grappling, and I think that will lead to a submission victory for the UFC newcomer."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 17, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Murtazali Magomedov

Paul picks Magomedov but is not confident, citing Baghdasaryan's potential as a dog if not damaged goods. He notes Magomedov's power and wrestling but questions his cardio and level of competition. He sees Baghdasaryan as a broken fighter due to injuries.

"I'm picking Merkazali. But like I think he's pretty flawed. I just worry that we have a broken fighter here in Mel Sikparion."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2026 (fight day)
Melsik Baghdasaryan

The MMA Guru picks Melsik Baghdasaryan to win via decision as a significant underdog. He believes Baghdasaryan is the better striker and if Magomedov doesn't find a finish, Baghdasaryan can win on points. He notes Magomedov is hittable and has shown vulnerability, while Baghdasaryan has durability and experience.

significant underdog
"I'm going to go with Melsik by decision in this pick. I think he's a sneaky underdog."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Murtazali Magomedov

Zane picks Magomedov because Baghdasaryan is a hothead who loses his nerve under pressure and makes bad decisions. He notes Baghdasaryan has tools but rarely fights and crumbles when bullied. Magomedov is confident, young, and applies punishing pressure. Zane acknowledges Baghdasaryan could land early but trusts Magomedov to weather the storm.

Magomedov opened at -500, now -300. Zane thinks the line could get closer.
"I got to take Magomedov, but it is a real interesting chancy fight for a prospect."