UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi

AJ is torn but leans toward Horiguchi, citing his lightning speed and crafty ground game. He worries about Kape's damage and the optics battle, but feels karmic justice favors Horiguchi. He may flip to Kape after the faceoff.

AJ picks Kyoji Horiguchi in a close fight, citing his technical striking, footwork, and slight grappling edge. He notes Horiguchi beat Kape before and has a wealth of experience. He expects a split decision, possibly with Horiguchi using grappling to steal rounds. He acknowledges Kape's power but leans toward Horiguchi's craftiness.

AJ picks Horiguchi as a slight underdog, citing his speed, precision, and slight grappling edge from their first fight. He thinks Horiguchi won't let Kape bully him and may secure a late submission or close decision. He acknowledges it's a 50/50 fight.

Angelo picks Kyoji Horiguchi, emphasizing his incredible mobility and experience. He notes that both fighters are mobile strikers but Horiguchi is never still, covers distance well, and mixes in trips. He dismisses the first fight 9.5 years ago due to Kape slipping on the canvas. He believes Horiguchi's recent performances, including a dominant win over Amir Albazi, show he can win and score well at $7,600 as an underdog in a five-round fight.

Angelo picks Horiguchi to win the rematch, ignoring their first fight entirely. He emphasizes Horiguchi's superior mobility and footwork, stating that while Kape has more power, he won't be able to land cleanly. He compares it to his pick of Prochazka over Pereira, where speed and movement overcame power. He placed the bet at +160 and is confident in the pick.

Angelo picks Kyoji Horiguchi as an underdog, noting that despite losing the first fight, the rematch is a fresh matchup. He believes Horiguchi is more mobile and a better wrestler if needed, and that Manel Kape's power won't matter if he can't land. He bet half a unit at +160.

Cody picks Manel Kape, citing his improved cardio, volume, and power compared to their 2017 fight. He notes Kape averages 5 significant strikes per minute and has shown better scrambles and pacing. However, he expects a tight fight and acknowledges Horiguchi's crafty veteran skills.

Connor agrees Kape is the pick, citing Kape's improved composure and the fact that Horiguchi's style of darting in and out is increasingly difficult at elite level. He notes Horiguchi's vulnerability to being timed and taken down, and that Kape's footwork can slowly work him into a corner. However, Connor acknowledges Horiguchi could draw out Kape's old mistakes.

Lucrative James picks Manel Kape to win, citing that Kape is in his prime at 32 while Horiguchi is past his prime at 35. He believes Kape's durability, improved balance, and striking power will be decisive, and that Horiguchi's chin has degraded. He also notes Horiguchi's recent hand injury and predicts a third-round knockout, aligning with Kape's own callout.

Horiguchi is still well-equipped to repeat his first fight performance. He will be faster, thwart Kape's power, mix in grappling, and eventually find a submission.

Horiguchi is in top form, with crisp striking and elite grappling. He already beat Kape in 2017 and can counter Kape's power effectively. He should avoid Kape's big shots and find a submission, making the plus money attractive.

Paul picks Manel Kape, emphasizing his pace, speed, and 5-inch reach advantage. He believes Horiguchi's takedowns won't be enough due to damage-focused judging and Kape's improved takedown defense. He also mentions a potential knockout prop but is not fully confident in it.

The MMA Guru picks Kyoji Horiguchi to win, citing his legendary footwork, durability, and well-rounded game. He believes Horiguchi can counter Kape's blitzes and mix in takedowns as the fight goes on. He notes Kape's decision record is poor and Horiguchi has only been knocked out twice. He likes the plus money on Horiguchi.

Zane believes Kape has evolved significantly since their first fight, with higher output, better pressure, and calmer decision-making. He notes Kape's blazing hand speed and footwork will allow him to corner Horiguchi, who struggles in the pocket. Zane sees Horiguchi's path as thin, relying on top control that Kape is less likely to give up now.

AJ picks Navajo Stirling to win, citing his technical striking and defensive soundness. He expects Stirling to pick Cuțelaba apart and win over 1.5 rounds, possibly by decision. He views Stirling as a good prospect at 205.

AJ sees Navajo Stirling as a bad matchup for Ion Cutelaba due to his technical striking, calm demeanor, and improved takedown defense. He believes Stirling will counter-strike effectively, fend off Cutelaba's power and takedowns, and win decisively. AJ notes that Cutelaba's chaotic style won't bully Stirling, and that Stirling's careful development by the UFC has prepared him well.

AJ picks Navajo Stirling, praising his technical striking, takedown defense, and well-rounded game. He notes Cuțelaba is clumsy and inaccurate, while Stirling is accurate and crafty. He expects Stirling to win by decision, possibly with a late finish, and calls him the matador to Cuțelaba's bull.

AJ likes Stirling's sharp standup, movement, and takedown defense, expecting him to outpoint Cuțelaba with counters and precision. He thinks Stirling's patient striking and defensive grappling will hold up, leading to a decision win.

Angelo picks Navajo Stirling but is hesitant, calling himself a 'hater' of Stirling. He acknowledges Stirling's technical footwork and range management but doubts his danger and finishing ability. He expects Stirling to win by keeping it technical with long strikes, but doesn't think he'll score well in DFS. He also notes Cutelaba's brawling style and finish upside, suggesting Cutelaba is a better underdog than given credit for.

Angelo believes Stirling will win by decision, noting that Stirling is not the killer advertised and has more decisions than finishes in the UFC. He thinks Cuțelaba has developed durability and the fight will go the distance. He also bets over 1.5 rounds as part of a parlay.

Angelo picks Navajo Stirling but is hesitant, acknowledging that Ion Cuțelaba is a dangerous underdog with power and grappling. He relies on Stirling's footwork and range management to potshot. He is shocked that 84% of Tapology picks Stirling, thinking it should be closer to 50/50.

Cody picks Navajo Sterling but is hesitant due to the high price. He acknowledges Cuțelaba's submission threat and inconsistency, but believes Sterling's tactical striking, range management, and cardio will prevail if he survives the first round. He suggests live betting on Sterling if he gets through round one.

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Cuțelaba has only beaten the worst level of fighters and falls apart against any elevation above terrible. He points out that Stirling has shown resilience and the ability to fight back, while Cuțelaba finds ways to self-destruct.

Lucrative James picks Navajo Stirling to win, acknowledging that Cuțelaba's unorthodox judo-based takedowns could pose problems but ultimately believes Stirling's superior striking, cardio, and ability to defend will prevail. He expects Stirling to win via decision, as Cuțelaba tends to gas out and Stirling hasn't shown finishing ability in the UFC.

Sterling is too disciplined and composed to get caught by Cutelaba's power. He will touch Cutelaba up, stay safe in grappling, and win on the scorecards.

Stirling is technically superior, especially in striking, and has good takedown defense. He should pick apart Cuțelaba, who may become reckless. A decision win is likely, but a late finish is possible.

Paul took a small shot on Cuțelaba by submission at 12-to-1, noting Cuțelaba's early submission wins and the uncertainty around Sterling's grappling. He struggles to back Sterling at -330 and sees value in the prop.

The MMA Guru picks Navajo Stirling to win via decision. He believes Stirling is a technical long boxer who will use his jab and reach to chip away at Cuțelaba. He notes Cuțelaba comes on hard early but fades, while Stirling's length and conditioning will allow him to take over in later rounds.

Zane picks Stirling because Cuțelaba self-destructs against any fighter who doesn't crumble easily. He notes Stirling fights back well even in bad positions and has never been easy to put away. Zane acknowledges Stirling is raw but believes Cuțelaba's inconsistency will be his downfall.

AJ picks Christian Rodriguez to win by decision, expecting a three-round war. He believes Rodriguez is well-versed and can handle Amil's relentless style, though he shows limited enthusiasm for betting on this fight.

AJ picks Christian Rodriguez, citing his craftiness, technical striking, and grappling advantage. He notes Amil is a bullying pressure fighter but Rodriguez has faced better competition and should outpoint him. He expects a 29-28 decision, possibly with Rodriguez rocking Amil at some point.

AJ favors Rodriguez for his technical sharpness, grappling, and youth, expecting him to outwork Amil's pressure style. He thinks Rodriguez can deal with Amil's blitzing and win a close decision, possibly by out-striking and using his craftiness.

Angelo picks Christian Rodriguez, noting his status as a prospect killer with wins over Raul Rosas Jr., Cameron Saaiman, and Jack Della Maddalena. He believes Rodriguez is scrappier and a better striker than Hyder Amil, and doesn't think Amil's wrestling is good enough to control the fight. He acknowledges Rodriguez's losses to older, established fighters but sees Amil as a similar young prospect.

Angelo picks Christian Rodriguez despite not being a fan, citing his better overall skills, pressure, and takedowns. He notes Hyder Amil has grappling holes and Rodriguez has a good chin. He expects Rodriguez to be the better fighter almost everywhere.

Cody picks C-Rod but is hesitant, noting his inconsistency and tendency to struggle against veterans. He acknowledges C-Rod's wrestling and youth but worries about his gas tank and strength at 145. He thinks Hyder Amil's durability, power, and cardio could make it close.

Connor also picks Rodriguez, noting that Amil is a physical specimen but fights like a young fighter and is old enough to know better. He believes Rodriguez's technical wrestling and top control will be key, as Amil is likely to charge into the pocket and give up takedowns. Connor acknowledges Rodriguez's mental hang-ups but thinks this matchup favors him.

Lucrative James picks Christian Rodriguez, citing his wrestling, grappling, and cardio advantages over Hyder Amil. He notes that Amil tends to gas and has poor wrestling, while Rodriguez is better in those areas. James expects a tough fight but believes Rodriguez's advantages will lead to a decision win.

Dias' grinding grappling style, high pace, and pressure will remind Rodriguez that he should be a 135er. Dias will put together a lot of control and damage against the fence, winning on the scorecards.

Amil's constant pressure, cardio, and scrambling will cause Rodriguez problems. Rodriguez struggles at 145 and may fade as the fight goes on. Amil should win a decision, especially if his health issues are resolved.

Paul picks C-Rod confidently, citing his wrestling advantage and Amil's poor takedown defense. He notes Amil has been taken down multiple times in recent fights and looks helpless on his back. He believes C-Rod will implement a wrestling-heavy game plan.

The MMA Guru picks Christian Rodriguez to win via decision. He believes Rodriguez is younger, more skilled, and has better anti-grappling. He notes Rodriguez should mix in takedowns to slow down Amil, who has bad takedown defense. He expects Rodriguez to weather an early storm and win on points.

Zane picks Rodriguez because Amil's aggressive, face-forward brawling style plays into Rodriguez's strengths. He notes Rodriguez is excellent at solving wrestling-based games and has a deep technical game, especially on the ground. However, Zane cautions that Rodriguez lacks power and can be a head case, but Amil's single-minded aggression should allow Rodriguez to find takedowns and control.

AJ picks Murtazali Magomedov to win by finish, calling it his lock of the card. He praises Magomedov's striking and grappling, and criticizes Baghdasaryan's lackluster grappling. He expects Magomedov to dominate and finish inside the distance, possibly by submission or KO.

AJ is extremely high on Magomedov, calling him a blue-chip prospect with death-touch power in both hands and a crafty ground game. He believes Magomedov will finish Baghdasaryan, either by knockout or submission, due to his all-finishes record and the favorable matchup at the UFC Apex. AJ compares this debut to Shavkat Rakhmonov's debut and is confident Magomedov will make a splash.

AJ picks Murtazali Magomedov, calling him a blue-chip prospect with high-level striking and dangerous submissions. He notes Baghdasaryan is one-dimensional and inactive, while Magomedov can finish anywhere. He expects a finish, likely by submission, and likes the inside distance prop.

AJ is high on Magomedov as a blue-chip prospect with nasty standup, knockout power, and submissions. He thinks Magomedov will finish Baghdasaryan, possibly by submission or KO, and notes Magomedov has never gone to decision. He likes inside distance at -110.

Angelo picks Murtazali Magomedov, highlighting his wrestling and submission skills. He notes Magomedov has all finish wins and is a finisher anywhere, while Baghdasaryan has grappling holes. He expects Magomedov to get takedowns early and finish Baghdasaryan.

Angelo is confident in Magomedov despite his UFC debut, citing a huge skill gap on the ground. He expects Magomedov to get a takedown and submit Baghdasaryan, comparing it to Yaroslav Amosov's win over Joel Alvarez. He thinks the fight may go a little long but is fine with the favorite.

Angelo is very confident in Murtazali Magomedov despite his UFC debut, citing his wrestling and grappling superiority over Melsik Baghdasaryan, who is only a striker. He predicts a first or second round finish. He admits it's risky but can't convince himself otherwise.

Cody picks Magomedov but is torn, citing his power and fast hands but questionable durability and cardio. He notes Baghdasaryan's technical striking but injury history and inactivity. He suggests a live play or pass due to the uncertainty.

Connor also picks Magomedov, citing Baghdasaryan's inability to handle adversity and his tendency to get overwhelmed in protracted battles. He notes Magomedov's confidence and pressure will be too much for Baghdasaryan, who has shown he doesn't like being bullied. Connor mentions Baghdasaryan's athleticism but doubts his composure.

Lucrative James picks Murtazali Magomedov, noting that Baghdasaryan may not be fully focused on the sport and that Magomedov is an undefeated, aggressive fighter with finishing ability. He expects Magomedov to get on top and dominate, predicting a submission win. However, he mentions wanting to do more tape study.

Magomedov will remain competitive in striking and then find moments to grapple, leading to a submission victory for the UFC newcomer.

Magomedov is superior all around, with better activity, youth, and a well-rounded game. He can avoid Baghdasaryan's early kickboxing danger and find a submission as the fight progresses. His gas tank and grappling are key advantages.

Paul picks Magomedov but is not confident, citing Baghdasaryan's potential as a dog if not damaged goods. He notes Magomedov's power and wrestling but questions his cardio and level of competition. He sees Baghdasaryan as a broken fighter due to injuries.

The MMA Guru picks Melsik Baghdasaryan to win via decision as a significant underdog. He believes Baghdasaryan is the better striker and if Magomedov doesn't find a finish, Baghdasaryan can win on points. He notes Magomedov is hittable and has shown vulnerability, while Baghdasaryan has durability and experience.

Zane picks Magomedov because Baghdasaryan is a hothead who loses his nerve under pressure and makes bad decisions. He notes Baghdasaryan has tools but rarely fights and crumbles when bullied. Magomedov is confident, young, and applies punishing pressure. Zane acknowledges Baghdasaryan could land early but trusts Magomedov to weather the storm.

AJ picks Andre Fili as an underdog, doubting Oliveira's move to 145 after a broken arm and loss. He believes Fili can outbox him, being taller and longer, and that Oliveira's size bullying won't work at featherweight. He calls the -285 line on Oliveira crazy.

AJ sees Andre Fili as a live underdog at +200, believing Fili can catch Oliveira with straight punches. He notes Oliveira's awkwardness and potential quit after a broken arm, and thinks Fili's recent performance against Delgado shows he's sharp. AJ doubts Oliveira's move up to 145 and thinks Fili deserves respect.

AJ picks Andre Fili as an underdog, arguing that Oliveira's bullying style won't work at 145 where he loses size advantage. He notes Fili is a technical striker with good footwork and has looked sharp against tough opponents. He expects Fili to outpoint Oliveira, possibly by split decision, and calls Fili his underdog lock.

AJ picks Fili as an underdog, citing Oliveira's poor defense, recent broken arm, and move up in weight. He thinks Fili's veteran savvy, reach, and clean punching will be key, and expects a competitive decision win or possibly a knockout.

Angelo picks Vinicius Oliveira (Lock Dog) over Andre Fili, citing Oliveira's relentless pace and work rate. He notes Oliveira is always moving forward, throwing strikes, and mixing in takedowns, which leads to high DFS scores. He worries about Fili's low fight IQ and tendency to abandon game plans, but acknowledges Fili's wrestling experience. He believes Oliveira's busy style will overwhelm Fili.

Angelo picks Oliveira but is hesitant, worried that Fili might finally live up to his potential. He thinks Oliveira will outwork Fili with pressure, takedowns, and volume, and expects the fight to go the distance. He has a small bet on Oliveira and notes that Oliveira's last loss was to a top contender.

Angelo picks Vinicius Oliveira, citing his pressure and pace as key in a three-round fight. He has concerns about Oliveira's takedown defense against Andre Fili's wrestling, but still believes Oliveira's chaos and aggression will be too much. He notes he was more confident when Oliveira was fighting Giga Chikadze.

Cody picks Andre Fili as a dog, citing his reach advantage, veteran savvy, and improved wrestling. He believes Fili can implement a game plan of jabbing, matadoring, and scoring takedowns, exploiting Oliveira's wild, loopy punches and poor takedown defense. He notes Oliveira's first fight at featherweight and potential cardio issues.

Connor picks Fili, noting that Oliveira's style of marching forward with his face exposed is a liability against a technical veteran like Fili. He points out Fili has a fantastic shot and underrated head kick, and can replicate what Mario Bautista did to Oliveira. Connor acknowledges Fili's inconsistency but believes he can suck Oliveira into mistakes.

Lucrative James picks Vinicius Oliveira to win, highlighting Oliveira's unpredictable striking, explosive power, and speed advantage moving up to featherweight. He notes that Andre Fili, while tricky and durable, gets dropped often and has a questionable chin. James predicts Oliveira will land a knockout, as Fili's reaction time may not handle Oliveira's unorthodox angles.

Oliveira will create chaos and find a finish over Fili within two rounds, as Fili doesn't react well to aggressive fighters like Oliveira.

Oliveira is a violent, aggressive striker who can finish. Fili struggles against aggressive fighters and is not a finishing threat. Oliveira should dictate the pace and land big shots, likely winning by knockout.

Paul leans toward Oliveira, thinking he might clip Fili with a knockout, but is not confident. He notes Oliveira's power and size but acknowledges his recent submission loss and Fili's wrestling improvements. He seems to prefer Fili as a value play but doesn't fully commit.

The MMA Guru picks Andre Fili to win, possibly by decision or knockout. He believes Fili is better everywhere technically, with superior stand-up, wrestling, and conditioning. He notes Oliveira relies on early KO and will fade, while Fili has experience at higher weight and a good chin. He thinks Fili can counter Oliveira's wild offense and mix in takedowns.

Zane picks Oliveira because he is much more used to facing adversity and can walk through Fili's shots. He notes Fili has a tendency to leave himself open when countering and can be caught. Zane acknowledges Fili has a clean path to win but doubts he'll stick to it. He also mentions Oliveira's power and durability as key factors.

AJ picks André Lima as the blue chip prospect, citing his elite Muay Thai and well-rounded skills. He expects Lima to outlast Borjas, who is a boxing-heavy striker, and potentially finish him late via submission after Borjas gasses. He favors Lima to win over 1.5 rounds.

AJ thinks Lima is too crafty and well-versed for Borjas, with a grappling threat and good Muay Thai. He expects Lima to mix grappling with strikes and take over as Borjas slows down. However, AJ notes the -650 line is ugly and prefers Lima to win over 1.5 rounds rather than the moneyline.

AJ picks André Lima, praising his technical Muay Thai, body work, and solid grappling. He acknowledges Borjas is a tough underdog with a big left hook but thinks Lima's craftiness and cardio edge will prevail. He expects a later finish or decision, possibly with Lima winning over 1.5 rounds.

AJ picks Lima as the more crafty striker with high-level Muay Thai, body attacks, and a well-rounded game. He thinks Borjas is a step slower and will be outworked, though he notes Borjas is tough and could land a big left hook. AJ predicts a decision or late stoppage for Lima.

Angelo picks André Lima, noting his clean kickboxing and speed. He acknowledges Kevin Borjas is dangerous and has one-punch power, but thinks Borjas fades. He expects Lima to win a one-sided striking match but isn't sure Lima will cover his DFS salary due to high price and lack of finishing ability.

Angelo picks Lima as the biggest favorite on the card, believing he is the better striker and will take over as Borjas fades. He acknowledges Borjas is not a bad fighter but expects Lima to win clearly. He includes Lima in a parlay with Oliveira.

Angelo picks André Lima despite being surprised by the huge favorite line. He acknowledges Kevin Borjas is better than people think but still believes Lima's striking and takedown defense will prevail. He calls Lima the pick.

Cody picks Lima, citing his improved grappling, cardio, and technical kickboxing. He sees Borjas as one-dimensional, slow, and lacking a plan B. He expects Lima to either catch him or take him into deep waters and submit him.

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Borjas is a fun fighter but lacks the athleticism to compete at flyweight. He points out that Lima has the power and durability to dissuade Borjas, and that Borjas's reliance on countering will be problematic when Lima pressures forward. Connor also mentions Lima's ability to switch to takedowns.

Lucrative James picks André Lima, stating that Lima is a level above Kevin Borjas in MMA. He highlights Lima's leg kicks, defensive striking, and grappling upside, while Borjas is primarily a boxer with susceptibility to leg kicks. James predicts a decision win, as Lima doesn't take unnecessary risks and Borjas is tough.

Lima is the better striker and grappler, and will put together a good body of work leading to a finish in the second or third round.

Lima is better everywhere, with improved grappling and cardio. He will dictate the pace, chew up Borjas' lead leg, and eventually get a finish via TKO or submission. The under 2.5 rounds at plus money is a good prop.

Paul picks Lima but is not confident at the price, calling the line too wide. He acknowledges Borjas's durability and early danger but thinks Lima is sharper and more skilled. He won't bet it himself.

The MMA Guru picks Andre Lima to win via clear decision. He believes Lima is too well-rounded and will mitigate Borjas' boxing, then take over with kicks and takedowns as Borjas slows down. He notes Borjas missed weight and is compromised. He expects Lima to get control time and snowball to a dominant decision.

Zane picks Lima, citing his breakout performance against Barreto where he showed assertiveness and body work. He notes Borjas has a style built on aggression but lacks adaptability and a second gear. Zane believes Lima's low kicks will be devastating against Borjas's tendency to jab and circle left, and that Lima's durability and power will overwhelm Borjas.

AJ picks Beatriz Mesquita to win by finish, likely submission. He views her as a monstrous grappler with heavy hands, while Mullins is a lesser jiu-jitsu fighter. He expects Mesquita to dominate and finish inside the distance, possibly in round one or two.

AJ believes Mesquita is levels above Mullins in jiu-jitsu and also has a striking advantage. He thinks Mesquita will get the fight to the ground and win by submission, calling her a lock despite the steep line.

AJ picks Beatriz Mesquita confidently, citing her superior jiu-jitsu (considered the female GOAT of BJJ) and improved striking. He notes Mullins is outmatched physically and on the ground, expecting a submission win. He calls Mesquita a lock on the card.

AJ is confident Mesquita will dominate Mullins everywhere, citing her championship BJJ and recent knockout power. He expects a submission win, possibly by ground and pound or rear-naked choke, as Mullins is a step below.

Angelo picks Bea Malecki (Beatriz Mesquita) confidently, calling her one of the best female BJJ practitioners. He notes she has power in her hands and incredible submissions, as seen in her last fight. He thinks she should dominate and finish Melissa Mullins, who he considers not good but tough. He has a tiny concern about Malecki's gas tank if the fight goes long.

Angelo is very confident in Mesquita, calling Mullins' grappling credentials a lie. He expects Mesquita to submit Mullins, noting a massive skill gap. He also bets under 1.5 rounds, though he acknowledges a slight concern about Mesquita fading if she doesn't finish early.

Angelo confidently picks Beatriz Mesquita, calling Melissa Mullins 'kind of stinks' and noting her terrible defense. He expects Mesquita to win by finish, as she is a world-class grappler with power. He says the odds are very appropriate.

Cody picks Mesquita, citing her world-class grappling and improved overall game. He notes Mullins's poor takedown defense and tendency to quit when pressured. He expects Mesquita to take her down and finish within two rounds, possibly by ground and pound.

Lucrative James picks Beatriz Mesquita, citing her elite jiu-jitsu and improving takedowns. He notes that Melissa Mullins has poor fight IQ and that Mesquita is superior in the grappling realm. He predicts a submission win, though he acknowledges Mullins' toughness and jiu-jitsu knowledge could extend the fight.

Malecki is far superior to Mullins in what Mullins is good at. She will get the fight to the ground and eventually find a submission.

Mesquita is a BJJ specialist who can strike until she initiates grappling. Mullins has poor game planning and is nothing special on the feet. Mesquita will eventually find a submission, so the submission prop is a good play.

Paul picks Mesquita confidently, citing her proven grappling credentials and Mullins's lack of wrestling. He notes Mesquita's ability to take down and control opponents, and expects a submission or ground and pound finish.

The MMA Guru picks Beatriz Mesquita to win, likely by decision or finish. He believes Mesquita is a much higher-level grappler than Mullins and should be able to get takedowns and control the fight. He notes Mesquita showed power in her last fight and expects her to implement her game, though he is unsure of the exact method.

AJ leans toward Mitch Raposo as an underdog, citing his youth, heart, and tough competition. He questions Nascimento's weight cut and believes Raposo can outwork him. He notes Raposo's previous fights against strong opponents and sees value in the dog line.

AJ likes Raposo as an underdog, citing his scrambling ability, pressure fighting, and cardio. He notes Nascimento's weight cut issues and thinks if Raposo can defend takedowns, he can win a close decision. AJ sees this as a competitive fight and believes Raposo can surprise.

AJ picks Mitch Raposo as an underdog, citing concerns about Nascimento's weight cuts and inactivity at flyweight. He notes Raposo has gritty pressure, decent boxing, and solid ground game, while Nascimento's takedown offense is not great. He expects Raposo to win a split decision, possibly by outworking Nascimento on the feet.

AJ is leaning towards Raposo as a live underdog, noting his solid pressure, boxing, and cardio. He worries about Nascimento's jiu-jitsu but thinks Raposo can win boxing exchanges and defend takedowns. He predicts a close decision upset.

Angelo picks Mitch Raposo as an underdog, noting his aggressive striking and flow state. He acknowledges Allan Nascimento is a phenomenal grappler but has poor striking and doesn't like pressure. He thinks Raposo can defend takedowns and win with his hands, similar to his win over Azat Maksum. He likes Raposo at $7,400.

Angelo believes Raposo can win outright, citing his pressure and ability to get back up from takedowns. He thinks Nascimento will struggle with forward pressure, as seen in his last fight. He expects a decision and bets the spread (+3.5 points) as a hedge.

Angelo picks Mitch Raposo as a dog, citing his superior striking and scrambling ability. He notes that Allan Nascimento's takedowns are not good enough to neutralize Mitch's striking. He mentions the smaller Apex cage might benefit Allan in theory, but doesn't think it matters.

Cody picks Raposo as a dog, citing his wrestling background, youth, and ability to keep fights close. He notes Nascimento's low volume and poor takedown defense, and believes Raposo can edge rounds with takedowns and timely strikes. He sees value at plus money.

Lucrative James picks Mitch Raposo, but hesitantly. He believes Raposo can win if he stuffs takedowns and out-strikes Nascimento, who has poor cardio and takedown entries. However, he notes that Nascimento is an elite grappler and could submit Raposo if the fight hits the ground. James says he would have bet Raposo at +270 but at +170 there's less value, so he passes on betting but makes a pick.

Raposo will use his grappling defensively, stick and move, implement calf kicks, and land more damage over 15 minutes to win on the scorecards.

Raposo can replicate Cody Duran's game plan of sticking and moving, using footwork and calf kicks to nullify Nascimento's grappling. He is faster and should win a damage-based decision, making the +170 line a solid value.

Paul picks Raposo, citing his improvements and Nascimento's submission threat but low output. He thinks Raposo can avoid mistakes and outwork Nascimento on the feet. He notes Raposo's tendency to not throw enough but sees value at plus 165.

The MMA Guru picks Mitch Raposo to win via decision. He believes Raposo is underrated and skill-for-skill better, with good movement and takedown timing. He notes Nascimento is dangerous on the ground but if he can't get a finish, Raposo should win a competitive decision. He likes the dog moneyline.

AJ picks Michael Aswell Jr. confidently, expecting a stoppage due to his volume striking and pressure. He notes Bolaños is moving up to 145 and is finishable, with poor grappling. Aswell's power and aggression should overwhelm Bolaños, leading to a TKO. He calls Aswell a lock on the card.

AJ is very confident Aswell will knock out Bolaños, citing Aswell's pressure, pace, and output with hands. He thinks Bolaños is overrated and will be overwhelmed by Aswell's grit and toughness. AJ predicts a KO, possibly in the second round.

Angelo picks Michael Aswell Jr., noting his busy offensive striking and durability. He thinks Aswell will win straightforwardly but isn't sure he'll score high because Gaston Bolanos is tough and a striker. He doesn't see Aswell as five levels above Bolanos despite the betting odds.

Angelo picks Michael Aswell Jr. but says there's a 0% chance he bets on him as a 4-to-1 favorite. He thinks Aswell's only path is takedowns, and he might strike too long and lose exchanges. He calls the line crazy and a hard pass.

Lucrative James picks Michael Aswell Jr., stating that Gastón Bolaños is not a great MMA fighter and that Aswell is better in boxing, grappling, wrestling, chin, and cardio. He predicts a knockout, as Bolaños has a poor chin and gets hurt on the feet.

Aswell's basic striking should nullify Bolaños' flashy style. Aswell will likely land more volume and damage, winning by decision. However, the -400 line is steep, so the decision prop is more attractive.

AJ picks Chokheli to win, calling Shahbazyan 'chinny' and fragile. He expects Chokheli to walk him down and land heavy hooks, likely winning by knockout in the first or second round. He criticizes the -375 line as too wide but still favors Chokheli.

AJ picks Levan Chokheli (Choke Kelly) to win by knockout, citing his power in both hands, aggressive style, and superior striking compared to Shahbazyan. He notes Shahbazyan has a questionable chin and is a lesser version of his brother, while Chokheli has fought tougher competition in Bellator. He expects Chokheli to land heavy shots and finish the fight.

AJ favors Chokheli due to his dangerous hands, pressure, and knockout ability, while noting Shahbazyan is chinny with four KO losses. He expects Chokheli to clobber Shahbazyan on the inside and get a knockout, possibly in the first or second round.

Angelo picks Levan Chokheli, describing him as well-rounded with powerful striking and well-timed takedowns. He notes Chokheli is aggressive and dangerous everywhere but fades due to high effort. He contrasts with Leon Shahbazyan, who is a BJJ nerd with poor wrestling and a dumb striking stance. He expects Chokheli to move forward and finish.

Angelo confidently picks Levan Chokheli, stating he should 'smoke' Leon Shahbazyan. He criticizes Leon's weird stance and hittability, and notes Levan is a much better striker with well-timed takedowns. He predicts a first or second round knockout.

Cody picks Chokheli, citing his power, wrestling, and experience. He notes Shahbazyan's poor striking, questionable durability, and history of getting knocked out. He expects Chokheli to finish him, possibly in the second round after outlasting him in the first.

Lucrative James picks Levan Chokheli, stating he is better everywhere: striking, wrestling, cardio, and durability. He notes that Shahbazyan relies on guillotines and has quit under pressure, as seen in the Ryan Loder fight. James predicts a knockout for Chokheli.

Chokheli is a former Bellator fighter who will bomb on Shabazyan, avoid his danger, and eventually find a knockout.

Chokheli is a much harder puncher with better experience and deserves to be in the UFC, unlike Shahbazyan. He should avoid Shahbazyan's submission game and land big shots, likely winning by knockout within a round and a half.

Paul picks Chokheli, citing his power and Shahbazyan's rudimentary striking. He notes Shahbazyan's submission skills but doubts he can get a hold of Chokheli. He expects a knockout and took the under 1.5 rounds.

The MMA Guru picks Levan Chokheli to win via round 2 KO/TKO. He believes Chokheli is more athletic and skillful overall, with sharp striking and nasty knees. He notes Chokheli can wrestle and dictate where the fight takes place, and expects him to take the opportunity seriously. He thinks Chokheli will eventually get the finish on Shahbazyan, who has shown vulnerability and cardio issues.

AJ picks Luana Santos as a plus-100 underdog, expecting her to win via takedowns and top control. He believes Santos can win the grappling battle and grind out a decision, though he shows little enthusiasm for the fight.

AJ thinks Santos will out-grapple Kowalkiewicz, using her judo and jiu-jitsu to control the fight on the ground. He notes Kowalkiewicz's boxing is not consequential and her grappling defense has been exposed. AJ expects Santos to be positionally dominant and win a decision.

AJ picks Luana Santos as a slight underdog, believing her grappling and youth (26) will be decisive. He notes Karol Rosa is inconsistent and lacks power, while Santos has good jiu-jitsu and should get takedowns. He expects a decision win for Santos, possibly by submission, but sees positional dominance as key.

AJ picks Santos as the better grappler who can get Rosa down and control position. He notes Rosa has plateaued and Santos is a rising prospect with a growing skill set. He expects Santos to win by decision, possibly with submission attempts.

Angelo picks Luana Santos, citing her high-level judo and ability to keep opponents down once she gets takedowns. He notes Karol Rosa is a busy striker but not dangerous, and the fight will likely go to decision. He thinks Santos can win 29-28 but acknowledges Rosa's pressure might sway judges. He avoids Santos in DFS due to low scoring upside.

Angelo picks Santos as a solid underdog, expecting a boring decision win via takedowns and control. He notes that Rosa is stuck when taken down and Santos has phenomenal top control. However, he warns that new judges favoring aggression could hurt Santos' chances.

Angelo picks the underdog Luana Santos, reasoning that as a grappler she can control the fight with takedowns and control time. He notes Karol Rosa has no power and won't inflict damage, so the fight likely goes to a decision where control time matters. He also mentions the over 2.5 rounds as a safe bet.

Cody picks Santos, citing her judo background and takedown ability. He notes Rosa's poor takedown defense and inability to get up once taken down. He believes Santos can control the fight on the ground and edge a decision.

Lucrative James leans toward Luana Santos as a plus-145 underdog. He notes that Santos has better skills and trajectory, and that Rosa tends to lose when taken down. Santos' judo and top control could be key. He predicts a decision win for Santos.

Santos will use her judo and grinding positions to keep Kowalkiewicz in bad spots for at least two rounds, winning by decision.

Santos has good judo and grappling, and Rosa often allows opponents to dictate pace. Santos should get takedowns and control time, winning a decision. The line movement towards Santos supports this pick.

Paul picks Rosa due to her volume and historical output, but acknowledges every Rosa fight goes to a split decision. He notes Santos's low volume and questions her ability to implement wrestling. He parlayed the over 2.5 rounds.

The MMA Guru picks Karol Rosa to win via decision. He believes Rosa is more experienced, physically stronger, and more well-rounded. He notes Rosa has a substantial edge on the feet with leg kicks and combinations, while Santos needs takedowns to win. He cautions that if Rosa gets taken down, she could lose the round, but expects her experience to carry her through.

AJ picks Shane Collins to win, likely by decision. He views Collins as a blue chip prospect with crafty, smooth striking, while noting Tanzilovi is a kicker moving up from 135. He expects Collins to outbox him and survive Tanzilovi's durability, predicting a decision win at +185.

AJ gives Collins an honorable mention, noting his craftiness and potential to outbox Tanzilov if he can defend takedowns. He sees Collins as a prospect to watch but acknowledges the line has moved unfavorably.

AJ picks Shane Collins, citing his superior boxing and natural size advantage as a 145er over Tanzilovi who moves up from bantamweight. He notes Collins is a clean striker with good hands and expects a decision win, possibly with an over 1.5 rounds parlay. He acknowledges Tanzilovi's toughness but sees Collins as the better prospect.

AJ likes Shane Collins as a prospect with smooth, calculated pressure-based kickboxing and precise accuracy. He notes Collins is the better boxer and should win the battle of real estate, while Tanzilovi is moving up in weight and may be overly creative with kicks. AJ predicts a decision win for Collins.

Angelo picks Shane Collins, emphasizing his forward pressure and aggressive grappling. He notes Collins is a young prospect with slick grappling and ground-and-pound. He acknowledges Otari Tanzilovi is a talented kickboxer with good wrestling but backs up too much. He thinks Collins wins by sheer pressure, though he's not sure Collins will cover his $8,500 DFS salary.

Angelo picks Shane Collins but is hesitant because Otari is actually the better fighter technically. He notes that Otari's tendency to back up and not engage could lead judges to favor Collins' forward pressure. He admits Collins is untested and it's hard to be confident.

Cody picks Collins, citing his volume, power, and versatility. He notes Tanzilovi's tendency to gas after the first round and his stiff, robotic striking. He expects Collins to take over in rounds 2 and 3, possibly with a late finish.

Collins is the far superior fighter with good wrestling and striking. He will put pace and pressure on Tanzilov, avoid his power, and grind out a decision win.

Collins is much better than Tanzilovi, with good durability, game planning, and ability to mix striking and grappling. He can dictate the pace and pressure Tanzilovi, who struggles when forced backwards and has cardio issues. Collins should win by decision, and the -160 line is fair.

Paul picks Collins, citing his pressure, jab, and wrestling. He notes Tanzilovi's cardio issues and lack of technique. He believes Collins's superior striking and durability will secure a decision or late finish.

The MMA Guru expects Shane Collins to win via decision. He highlights Collins' methodical pressure, good footwork, and ability to cut off the cage, which will neutralize Tanzilovi's kicks and takedowns. He notes Collins gets better as fights go on and has a gas tank, while Tanzilovi is a fast starter who fades. He believes Collins' boxing and cardio will be enough to secure a decision victory.