Angelo picks Steven Nguyen confidently, calling Mohammad Yahya a fighter who doesn't belong in the UFC. He notes Nguyen's well-rounded skills, heavy hands, slick submissions, and composed striking. He expects a decision but hopes for an over 1.5 rounds line to bet the over, as Yahya is tough enough to take a beating for a while.
Mohammad Yahya
"The UAE Warrior"Career Averages
Loss Methods (3)
Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohammad Yahya | 0 | 57 of 151 | 37% | 60 of 154 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Steven Nguyen | 6 | 92 of 174 | 52% | 108 of 194 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:43 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mohammad Yahya | 0 | 33 of 86 | 38% | 33 of 86 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Steven Nguyen | 5 | 59 of 112 | 52% | 65 of 120 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:53 | |
| 2 | Mohammad Yahya | 0 | 24 of 65 | 36% | 27 of 68 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Steven Nguyen | 1 | 33 of 62 | 53% | 43 of 74 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:50 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohammad Yahya | 57 of 151 | 37% | 41 of 126 | 14 of 21 | 2 of 4 | 57 of 151 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Nguyen | 92 of 174 | 52% | 76 of 156 | 4 of 4 | 12 of 14 | 50 of 111 | 7 of 7 | 35 of 56 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mohammad Yahya | 33 of 86 | 38% | 22 of 69 | 9 of 13 | 2 of 4 | 33 of 86 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Nguyen | 59 of 112 | 52% | 47 of 98 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 12 | 35 of 70 | 4 of 4 | 20 of 38 | |
| 2 | Mohammad Yahya | 24 of 65 | 36% | 19 of 57 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 24 of 65 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Nguyen | 33 of 62 | 53% | 29 of 58 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 15 of 41 | 3 of 3 | 15 of 18 |
Expert Picks (6 experts, 6 updates)
Big Brady picks Steven Nguyen by default, calling Muhammad Yahya one of the worst fighters in the UFC. He notes Nguyen is not great but has solid volume, wrestling, and cardio, while Yahya has no power, volume, or grappling. He expects Nguyen to finish Yahya in the later rounds, predicting a third-round knockout.
Connor also picks Nguyen, echoing Zane's assessment. He describes Yahya as a performer who is not at home in exchanges and falls apart when hit, while Nguyen is a meat-and-potatoes fighter with basic skills. Connor sees this as a clear win for Nguyen, as Yahya lacks the instincts to compete at this level.
Both fighters have left a lot to be desired in recent fights, but Nguyen is expected to stop the takedowns of Yahya and pick him apart on the feet, winning on the scorecards.
The MMA Guru picks Steven Nguyen over Mohammad Yahya, calling Yahya 'dog [__]' and suggesting he was only signed because he's from Abu Dhabi. He notes Nguyen's well-roundedness and lack of clear weaknesses, while Yahya has been beaten badly in his UFC fights. He predicts a 30-27 decision win for Nguyen, outclassing Yahya in every round.
Zane picks Nguyen easily, describing Yahya as a performer who looks unnatural and stiff, with no real instinct for fighting. He notes that Nguyen is a boring but functional fighter, while Yahya falls apart when hit. Zane sees this as a clear mismatch where Nguyen's basic competence will overwhelm Yahya's lack of fight IQ.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kauê Fernandes | 0 | 4 of 18 | 22% | 4 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 1 | 37 of 63 | 58% | 37 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kauê Fernandes | 0 | 4 of 18 | 22% | 4 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 1 | 37 of 63 | 58% | 37 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kauê Fernandes | 4 of 18 | 22% | 2 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 37 of 63 | 58% | 21 of 44 | 6 of 9 | 10 of 10 | 29 of 49 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 14 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kauê Fernandes | 4 of 18 | 22% | 2 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 37 of 63 | 58% | 21 of 44 | 6 of 9 | 10 of 10 | 29 of 49 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 14 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Fernandes (-380), Yahya (+300)
Round 1
The only one of 26 competitors directly from this host nation, Yahya (12-4, 0-1 UFC) reps the UAE tonight as a regular of the Etihad Arena. He welcomes Nova Uniao prospect Fernandes (8-2, 0-1 UFC) overseas, in a lightweight affair where one of these two will finally get their name on the board in the UFC—barring something unusual. Before they engage, referee Marc Goddard clocks them in, and the fighters with opposing 75% finish rates touch ‘em up. It becomes a low battle of leg kicks after they touch gloves, with Fernandes’ heavier. One kick from the Brazilian is countered with a right hand over the top that marks up Fernandes’ nose, and he is not overly concerned and keeps tossing heavy kicks. Yahya fires them back, clipping the Brazilian with a short combo, but Fernandes fires right back at him. Fernandes hammers the front leg with a kick, compromising it just two minutes in. Yahya switches stances, and when he moves back, Fernandes kicks him again. The calf is welted and swelling badly for the UAE native, and Fernandes is loose and goofing around, sticking his tongue out with a wide stance and his hands down. Fernandes rings off a one-two and a front kick before Yahya can get to him, and he nails the front leg with another kick to force “The UAE Warrior” to change stances. Fernandes pushes away when Yahya closes in on him for a body lock takedown effort, and he darts in with a high kick that goes wide. Fernandes clobbers the front leg once more, and Yahya can barely put weight on it. Fernandes sneaks up a question mark kick that buzzes the hair, and he jabs the body with front kicks. Fernandes intercepts his man with a right hook, and he pins a few punches on the chin as Yahya tries to go for broke. Yahya tanks the power punches but is completely outgunned, and even walking is tough for him. Fernandes has a hard kick countered, and he reels and fires another one off that makes Yahya limp badly.
Yahya rushes in, and Fernandes knocks him off his feet with a setup left hook and a blistering right hand. The Brazilian pounces, knowing that Yahya is in a bad way, and he unleashes a blazing fury of punches and hammerfists. Goddard implores Yahya to fight back, but Fernandes is battering him with unanswered, undefended blows.
It does not take long for Goddard to see enough, and he waves the fight off in our first stoppage of the night. Yahya needs to be helped back to his feet, and Fernandes is on the map after a one-sided shellacking.
The Official Result
Kaue Fernandes def. Mohammad Yahya R1 4:45 via TKO (Punches)
Expert Picks (7 experts, 7 updates)
Angelo is very confident in Fernandes, calling Yahya terrible and noting he falls over for no reason. He thinks Fernandes is better everywhere and should win a straightforward decision due to Yahya's toughness. He made the pick without much tape study.
Big Brady is confident in Fernandes, calling Yahya's performance against Trevor Peak one of the worst he's ever seen. He thinks Yahya is not UFC level, while Fernandes has solid striking, power, and a sneaky submission game. He predicts Fernandes wins by first-round knockout, noting the line is steep but the pick is clear.
Cody picks Kauê Fernandes, noting that Yahya was outwrestled by Trevor Peek and has poor takedown defense. He thinks Fernandes can keep the fight standing and use his superior striking. However, Cody worries about Fernandes's cardio and notes that if he doesn't finish early, Yahya could take over. He also mentions that Yahya is the hometown fighter and could get a favorable decision.
Daniel leans towards Fernandes, viewing him as a better version of Yahya with more physicality and experience. However, he is not confident enough to lay -400 on an unproven fighter, so he calls it a pass but gives a lean.
Yahya can grind out Fernandes, who has been grinded out in past fights and spends too much time on his back. At +340, Yahya is worth a sprinkle to win on the scorecards.
Paul picks Kauê Fernandes, noting that Yahya was dominated by Trevor Peek and has poor wrestling. He thinks Fernandes can implement a similar game plan and possibly find a submission. Paul acknowledges Fernandes's cardio issues but believes he can win early. He also mentions that the line is wide but Fernandes is the better striker.
The MMA Guru picks Kauê Fernandes over Mohammad Yahya, despite Yahya being the local Abu Dhabi fighter. He thinks Fernandes is more technical and composed, and can take advantage of Yahya's sloppy style. He notes Yahya got bruised up by Trevor Peek and that Fernandes is sharper. He mentions the split decision loss to Mark O. Madsen as a good sign.
Oct 21, 2023
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 43 of 92 | 46% | 47 of 96 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:24 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 0 | 61 of 97 | 62% | 83 of 123 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 0 | 0 | 5:10 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trevor Peek | 0 | 8 of 13 | 61% | 12 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 0 | 16 of 25 | 64% | 25 of 34 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:13 | |
| 2 | Trevor Peek | 0 | 21 of 46 | 45% | 21 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 0 | 23 of 39 | 58% | 23 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 | |
| 3 | Trevor Peek | 0 | 14 of 33 | 42% | 14 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 0 | 22 of 33 | 66% | 35 of 50 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 2:44 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Peek | 43 of 92 | 46% | 28 of 70 | 14 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 41 of 90 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 61 of 97 | 62% | 32 of 61 | 16 of 23 | 13 of 13 | 50 of 83 | 6 of 9 | 5 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trevor Peek | 8 of 13 | 61% | 5 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 16 of 25 | 64% | 6 of 13 | 4 of 6 | 6 of 6 | 13 of 20 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 2 | |
| 2 | Trevor Peek | 21 of 46 | 45% | 16 of 35 | 5 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 20 of 45 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 23 of 39 | 58% | 12 of 26 | 6 of 8 | 5 of 5 | 21 of 36 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Trevor Peek | 14 of 33 | 42% | 7 of 25 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 32 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 22 of 33 | 66% | 14 of 22 | 6 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 16 of 27 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 |
Expert Picks (7 experts, 7 updates)
Angelo picks Trevor Peek after initially wanting to bet on Yahya. He notes Yahya gets hit too often and doesn't wrestle well, while Peek has a granite chin and relentless pressure. He thinks Peek's toughness and forward pressure will be enough to win, even though Peek is not very skilled.
Big Brady picks Trevor Peek to win by first round knockout. He describes Peek as a wild, durable brawler with incredible toughness and cardio, while Yahya is just okay and has been finished in all three of his losses. Brady expects Peek to set a pace Yahya cannot handle and win a chaotic brawl. He also likes the prop of Peek over 77.5 fantasy score on PrizePicks.
Cody picks Peek, emphasizing his toughness and power. He notes that Yahya is a one-dimensional striker with no grappling, and that Peek's pressure will eventually land. Cody expects a KO, possibly in the second round after Yahya tires.
Daniel picks Trevor Peek to win, describing him as an elite brawler with durability and power. He notes that Mohammad Yahya has been dropped by lower-level competition and thinks Peek's firepower will be too much. He acknowledges that Peek can fade and is not technically sound, but believes Peek's durability and brawling style will prevail. He also mentions the possibility of hometown judging but thinks a finish would negate that.
Yahya is hittable and leaves his chin on the center line, which plays into Peek's power. Peek is durable and has better grappling defense than expected. Expects Peek to land big shots and find a knockout within the first two rounds. However, he feels queasy playing Peek at short odds due to his skill shortage.
Paul picks Peek, noting that Yahya is a local fighter with limited skills and poor grappling. He believes Peek's pressure, durability, and power will overwhelm Yahya, who has a weak chin and no plan B. Paul expects a KO finish, likely in the first two rounds.
The MMA Guru picks Trevor Peek by first-round KO. He was initially leaning towards Yahya but was unimpressed by Yahya's regional fight where he was dropped and outgrappled. He trusts Peek's chin and believes the fight will be a sloppy brawl that favors Peek. He notes Peek has good takedown defense and Yahya's grappling isn't good enough to win.
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