Luis Pajuelo

Angelo picks Luis Pajuelo as a low confidence underdog, drawing parallels to Padilla's loss to Kyle Nelson where forward pressure caused problems. He believes Pajuelo's constant forward pressure and aggression will overwhelm Padilla, who lacks wrestling to take the fight down. He expects a close decision but will not bet due to Pajuelo being an untested UFC debut.

Big Brady picks Fernando Padilla, citing his reach and height advantage, better cardio, and grappling. He notes Luis Pajuelo is hittable and has zero striking defense, but is durable. He expects Padilla to land many strikes and eventually break Pajuelo, finishing him by third-round knockout.

Cody picks Pajuelo, citing his physical strength, cardio from training at altitude, and high volume. He notes that Padilla struggles against strong, forward-pressure fighters like Kyle Nelson. Cody expects Pajuelo to outwork and outmuscle Padilla, possibly winning by decision.

Daniel Vreeland picks Fernando Padilla by decision, citing his seven-inch reach advantage and experience. He notes Pajuelo has holes in his game, especially off his back, and tends to brawl recklessly. He believes Padilla will stay on the outside and pick Pajuelo apart, possibly winning a decision.

Pajuelo is a pressure fighter with great durability and a relentless pace. He will move forward and drown Padilla, who tends to slow down in deep waters. Padilla is slick from range but struggles when pressured. Pajuelo should get a TKO, though he must be careful of submissions in the clinch. Pajuelo is a solid underdog play.

Paul agrees with Cody, adding that Pajuelo's volume and power will be too much for Padilla. He likes the plus money on Pajuelo and even suggests a prop bet on Pajuelo by decision at +475.