Mateus Mendonça
Career Averages
Loss Methods (3)
Fight History
Feb 24, 2024
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesus Aguilar | 0 | 19 of 36 | 52% | 38 of 62 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 | 1 | 4:51 |
| Mateus Mendonça | 0 | 18 of 40 | 45% | 43 of 90 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 8:44 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jesus Aguilar | 0 | 7 of 11 | 63% | 14 of 22 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 2:51 |
| Mateus Mendonça | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 7 of 12 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 1:48 | |
| 2 | Jesus Aguilar | 0 | 6 of 14 | 42% | 17 of 27 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:38 |
| Mateus Mendonça | 0 | 13 of 27 | 48% | 16 of 34 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:56 | |
| 3 | Jesus Aguilar | 0 | 6 of 11 | 54% | 7 of 13 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:22 |
| Mateus Mendonça | 0 | 4 of 9 | 44% | 20 of 44 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 4:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesus Aguilar | 19 of 36 | 52% | 10 of 24 | 4 of 4 | 5 of 8 | 11 of 21 | 4 of 5 | 4 of 10 |
| Mateus Mendonça | 18 of 40 | 45% | 15 of 35 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 7 of 21 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 17 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jesus Aguilar | 7 of 11 | 63% | 2 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 4 |
| Mateus Mendonça | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jesus Aguilar | 6 of 14 | 42% | 4 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 6 |
| Mateus Mendonça | 13 of 27 | 48% | 12 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 15 | |
| 3 | Jesus Aguilar | 6 of 11 | 54% | 4 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Mateus Mendonça | 4 of 9 | 44% | 3 of 6 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Mendonca (-162), Aguilar (+136)
Round 1
The prelims roll on with the flyweights again, with Tachi Palace Fights vet Aguilar (9-2, 1-1 UFC) aiming to make it two in a row at the expense of the skidding Mendonca (10-2, 0-2 UFC). The Chute Boxe Diego Lima product made it to the UFC courtesy of 10 straight wins, only to run into brick walls of Javid Basharat and Nathan Maness to hand him a pair of losses. The two men with finish rates of 70% or above come together and touch gloves as referee Fernando Salas watches on, and they introduce themselves to one another with kicks. Aguilar kicks low, Mendonca kicks the body and presses all the way forward to scoop Aguilar off his feet. Aguilar fights back to his feet, and he resists a throw and pushes his foe against the fence to knee the thigh a few times. The pace slows to a crawl as Mendonca eventually tries to toss Aguilar to the mat, but he cannot keep him there for more than a second. Aguilar keeps grinding, and Mendonca sells out for a body lock takedown and an outside trip that succeeds in putting Aguilar down. Mendonca shifts quickly to side control, where he resides on top until Aguilar reverses him successful and starts bashing on top. Mendonca briefly threatens with a high guard, and Aguilar shakes out of it and scores some ground strikes while stacking Mendonca up. Mendonca hunts for a triangle choke, and Aguilar slams his way out of it at the bell.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Aguilar
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Aguilar
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Aguilar
Round 2
The second round opens tentatively, with both men pawing at one another from a safe range. Mendonca suddenly crashes the pocket and pursues a takedown, where he leverages Aguilar down to the mat. After some control time, Mendonca loses top position and Aguilar slings him down. The two scramble wildly, and Mendonca manages to take the back and start hunting for the neck. Aguilar turns to put his back against the fence, and Mendonca clings to him and bowls Aguilar over to move to half guard. The Brazilian practically jumps into full mount, and he unleashes a fury of right hands as Salas watches closely. Aguilar turns to his side and nearly gets pounded out, but he ends up surviving the assault and defend himself intelligently enough all while the crowd implores him to keep fighting. Aguilar jumps back to his feet with sheer force of will, and Mendonca tries to snatch up a guillotine choke. Aguilar pulls out of it, and he starts slugging. Aguilar hurts Mendonca in an exchange, and he shoots for a takedown instead of taking advantage of the damage. Aguilar relocates himself into full mount, and he starts slashing down with elbows. Aguilar postures up and smacks Mendonca around with strikes, and lowers himself down so as to not create openings to escape. Aguilar looks for more offense, and Mendonca use the moment to fight his way back to his feet. Mendonca shoots in from too far away, and Aguilar shoves him over and starts landing punches all while Mendonca elevates him. The frantic round ends with Aguilar in the air getting flipped over by his opponent.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Aguilar
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Aguilar
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Aguilar
Round 3
Aguilar swings for the bleachers to start off the round, and as Mendonca counters with a kick, Aguilar sprints towards him and knocks him over. On the way down, the Mexican snatches up a guillotine choke, and he tries to lock it down with full mount. By the skin of his teeth, Mendonca survives the submission and pushes Aguilar over, and he slides on top to move to half guard. Mendonca smothers from top control, opening up every so often to land a short right hand. Aguilar looks to hip escape or at least scoot himself to the fence, and Mendonca stifles him until Salas stands them up. Aguilar thanks the referee by going right to offense, swinging hard and stinging Mendonca. Mendonca throws back, and Aguilar answers with a level change. Mendonca uses the body lock to turn Aguilar around and chuck him to the mat like a basket of dirty laundry. A wild scramble ensues, and both men briefly take top position, until Mendonca winds up getting back control. Aguilar has one arm held tightly by his opponent, allowing Mendonca to drill him with punches from the free hand on the other side. Mendonca wraps up the body triangle and aims for the neck with a choke, and Aguilar hand-fights to stop the choke attempt. Mendonca allows Aguilar to turn so he can shift to full mount, but before he can rain down shots, Aguilar turns over. Mendonca locks down an unorthodox triangle choke as Aguilar does this, but time expires before anything comes of it. Based on previous tallies so far tonight, scorecards could be all over the map here.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Mendonca (29-28 Aguilar)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Mendonca (29-28 Aguilar)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Mendonca (29-28 Aguilar)
The Official Result
Jesus Aguilar def. Mateus Mendonca via Split Decision (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
Expert Picks (5)
Angelo picks Mendonça, agreeing with the sportsbooks. He notes the wide variance between public and bookmaker opinion and sides with the books. He believes Mendonça is the more dangerous fighter on the feet and on the ground.
Big Brady picks Jesus Aguilar to win by third-round submission, but with low confidence as he has been flipping on this fight. He notes Aguilar has a 62-inch reach which is a concern, but he is a great grappler with decent wrestling. He criticizes Mendonça's poor fight IQ and submission-over-position style, and mentions that Mendonça is a Shooto Box guy arriving late to Mexico City, while Aguilar has been there for six weeks. He expects the fight to hit the mat where Aguilar can win grappling exchanges.
Cody picks Aguilar, calling Mendonça a 'goof' and questioning why he's a favorite. He notes Aguilar has cardio for days, a decent submission game, and has finished fights late. He thinks if Mendonça doesn't catch him early, Aguilar will tire him out and put a beating on him. He sees it as a good live betting opportunity.
The host is leaning towards Aguilar, believing his power punching style will keep Mendonça on the back foot. He thinks Aguilar is durable enough to handle Mendonça's technical striking and will push the pace to exploit Mendonça's cardio issues. He expects Aguilar to either grind with wrestling or find a finish in the second or third round.
Paul agrees with Cody, picking Aguilar. He notes Mendonça looked lost in his last fight against Nate Maness, with a terrible game plan. Aguilar has cardio and submissions, and Mendonça's weight cut to 125 may be an issue. He thinks Aguilar can survive the initial onslaught and take over.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Maness | 0 | 29 of 35 | 82% | 103 of 114 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:31 |
| Mateus Mendonça | 0 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 9 of 16 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:14 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nate Maness | 0 | 29 of 35 | 82% | 103 of 114 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:31 |
| Mateus Mendonça | 0 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 9 of 16 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:14 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Maness | 29 of 35 | 82% | 26 of 31 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 3 | 26 of 30 |
| Mateus Mendonça | 3 of 7 | 42% | 0 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nate Maness | 29 of 35 | 82% | 26 of 31 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 3 | 26 of 30 |
| Mateus Mendonça | 3 of 7 | 42% | 0 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (8)
Angelo picks Mateus Mendonça because he is a dangerous Shooter Box fighter with solid striking and BJJ, and he is always aggressive. He notes that Mendonça is hittable but durable, and that Maness could win with a wrestle-heavy game plan. However, he leans toward Mendonça's danger factor. He is not betting the favorite price but is waiting for prop bets like a +3.5 spread on Maness.
Big Brady picks Mateus Mendonça but is hesitant, as he has consistently lost money betting against Nate Maness in the past. He criticizes Maness's volume and grappling holes, and notes that Maness's weight cut to flyweight is concerning. He believes Mendonça will win by decision but thinks the fight will be closer than the current line suggests. He also wants to see the weigh-ins before finalizing his confidence.
Cody picks Mendonça but is hesitant, noting that Maness has shown grappling deficiencies and Mendonça is a bigger, stronger fighter with power. He acknowledges that Mendonça is coming off a loss and the line may be an overcorrection, but believes his wrestling and size should prevail.
Daniel Levi picks Mateus Mendonça, arguing that Nate Maness has no business at 125 pounds and will be drained by the weight cut. He believes Mendonça is a legitimate prospect who belongs in the weight class, with better explosiveness and power. He expects Mendonça to make a statement, though he wishes the price were better.
Lucrative James predicts Mendonça wins by first-round knockout, but he is not confident due to many variables. He notes Maness has been finished in both flyweight fights and Mendonça has cardio concerns at 125. He placed a small bet on Maness decision at +550 as a fun play, but his official pick is Mendonça round 1 KO.
Maness is the better fighter over 15 minutes with superior boxing and power. He should be able to stuff early takedowns and avoid Mendonça's early power. As the fight goes on, Maness will take over and likely find a late finish. The plus money on Maness is a steal given his skills and Mendonça's questionable durability. I predict a third-round TKO.
Paul leans toward Mendonça, noting his size and power advantage. He mentions that Maness has been taken down and controlled in recent fights. However, he is not fully confident and suggests live betting Maness if he survives the first round.
The MMA Guru picks Mateus Mendonça over Nate Maness. He notes Maness had a poor showing at flyweight and was finished, and that Maness nearly got finished by Tony Gravely before coming back. He is impressed by Mendonça's performance against Javid Basharat, a top prospect. He believes Mendonça has a finishing advantage and criticizes Maness for conceding bottom position and making rookie mistakes like jumping into a guillotine.
Jan 14, 2023
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javid Basharat | 0 | 95 of 130 | 73% | 125 of 164 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 5:19 |
| Mateus Mendonça | 0 | 29 of 88 | 32% | 70 of 133 | 2 of 11 | 18% | 0 | 0 | 2:19 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Javid Basharat | 0 | 32 of 51 | 62% | 35 of 54 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
| Mateus Mendonça | 0 | 12 of 43 | 27% | 14 of 45 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 1:09 | |
| 2 | Javid Basharat | 0 | 35 of 45 | 77% | 53 of 64 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:28 |
| Mateus Mendonça | 0 | 7 of 24 | 29% | 20 of 39 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:44 | |
| 3 | Javid Basharat | 0 | 28 of 34 | 82% | 37 of 46 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:30 |
| Mateus Mendonça | 0 | 10 of 21 | 47% | 36 of 49 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javid Basharat | 95 of 130 | 73% | 62 of 93 | 25 of 28 | 8 of 9 | 60 of 90 | 10 of 14 | 25 of 26 |
| Mateus Mendonça | 29 of 88 | 32% | 21 of 72 | 3 of 6 | 5 of 10 | 25 of 83 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Javid Basharat | 32 of 51 | 62% | 18 of 36 | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 27 of 43 | 3 of 6 | 2 of 2 |
| Mateus Mendonça | 12 of 43 | 27% | 8 of 35 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 6 | 11 of 42 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Javid Basharat | 35 of 45 | 77% | 27 of 35 | 7 of 8 | 1 of 2 | 14 of 23 | 5 of 6 | 16 of 16 |
| Mateus Mendonça | 7 of 24 | 29% | 5 of 20 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | |
| 3 | Javid Basharat | 28 of 34 | 82% | 17 of 22 | 9 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 19 of 24 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 8 |
| Mateus Mendonça | 10 of 21 | 47% | 8 of 17 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 9 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Expert Picks (5)
Angelo is very confident in Basharat, having placed a 3-unit bet at -309. He praises Basharat's well-rounded game, striking defense, and grappling. He believes Mendonça's competition is weak and his style is not suited for MMA. He expects Basharat to win comfortably.
Big Brady picks Javid Basharat confidently, praising his well-rounded skills and impressive win over Tony Gravely. He notes that Basharat outwrestled Gravely, a top wrestler, and has good striking, power, and cardio. He thinks Mendonça is talented but too inexperienced for this step up, and that Basharat will pull away as the fight goes on. He predicts a decision win for Basharat, though Mendonça may have early moments.
Cody picks Basharat but is less confident, noting Mendonça's potential and youth. He sees Basharat winning by decision and likes the 'Basharat by decision' prop at +150. He acknowledges Mendonça could be live if he lands a front kick.
Jacob picks Mendonça despite acknowledging Basharat is the better fighter. He believes Mendonça's aggression and power could overwhelm Basharat early. He notes Basharat's low guard and vulnerability to pressure. He is not betting the moneyline but may look at inside the distance props.
Paul is confident in Basharat, citing his wrestling, cardio, and experience against tougher opponents (Trevin Jones, Tony Gravely). He sees Mendonça as unproven and limited, and expects Basharat to win wherever the fight goes. He considers Basharat by decision at +150.
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