Mateus Mendonça

0-3
Record
Age / DOB 27
(Jan 17, 1999)
Height 5' 6"
Weight 125 lbs.
Reach 71"
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages
1.66 Sig. Strikes / Min
40.0% Sig. Strike Acc.
4.14 Absorbed / Min
30.0% Strike Defense
2.54 TD Avg / 15 min
27.0% TD Accuracy
55.0% TD Defense
0.4 Sub. / Fight
Loss Methods (3)
KO/TKO 1
Submission 0
Decision 2

Fight History

Result / Opponent
Event & Date
Method/Round
Links
Comments
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jesus Aguilar 0 19 of 36 52% 38 of 62 1 of 4 25% 1 1 4:51
Mateus Mendonça 0 18 of 40 45% 43 of 90 4 of 8 50% 1 0 8:44
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jesus Aguilar 0 7 of 11 63% 14 of 22 0 of 1 0% 0 1 2:51
Mateus Mendonça 0 1 of 4 25% 7 of 12 2 of 5 40% 0 0 1:48
2 Jesus Aguilar 0 6 of 14 42% 17 of 27 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:38
Mateus Mendonça 0 13 of 27 48% 16 of 34 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:56
3 Jesus Aguilar 0 6 of 11 54% 7 of 13 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:22
Mateus Mendonça 0 4 of 9 44% 20 of 44 1 of 1 100% 1 0 4:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jesus Aguilar 19 of 36 52% 10 of 24 4 of 4 5 of 8 11 of 21 4 of 5 4 of 10
Mateus Mendonça 18 of 40 45% 15 of 35 3 of 4 0 of 1 7 of 21 2 of 2 9 of 17
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jesus Aguilar 7 of 11 63% 2 of 5 2 of 2 3 of 4 2 of 3 3 of 4 2 of 4
Mateus Mendonça 1 of 4 25% 0 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jesus Aguilar 6 of 14 42% 4 of 11 1 of 1 1 of 2 3 of 7 1 of 1 2 of 6
Mateus Mendonça 13 of 27 48% 12 of 26 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 10 2 of 2 7 of 15
3 Jesus Aguilar 6 of 11 54% 4 of 8 1 of 1 1 of 2 6 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mateus Mendonça 4 of 9 44% 3 of 6 1 of 2 0 of 1 2 of 7 0 of 0 2 of 2
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jesus Santos Aguilar vs. Mateus Mendonca
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Mendonca (-162), Aguilar (+136)

Round 1
The prelims roll on with the flyweights again, with Tachi Palace Fights vet Aguilar (9-2, 1-1 UFC) aiming to make it two in a row at the expense of the skidding Mendonca (10-2, 0-2 UFC). The Chute Boxe Diego Lima product made it to the UFC courtesy of 10 straight wins, only to run into brick walls of Javid Basharat and Nathan Maness to hand him a pair of losses. The two men with finish rates of 70% or above come together and touch gloves as referee Fernando Salas watches on, and they introduce themselves to one another with kicks. Aguilar kicks low, Mendonca kicks the body and presses all the way forward to scoop Aguilar off his feet. Aguilar fights back to his feet, and he resists a throw and pushes his foe against the fence to knee the thigh a few times. The pace slows to a crawl as Mendonca eventually tries to toss Aguilar to the mat, but he cannot keep him there for more than a second. Aguilar keeps grinding, and Mendonca sells out for a body lock takedown and an outside trip that succeeds in putting Aguilar down. Mendonca shifts quickly to side control, where he resides on top until Aguilar reverses him successful and starts bashing on top. Mendonca briefly threatens with a high guard, and Aguilar shakes out of it and scores some ground strikes while stacking Mendonca up. Mendonca hunts for a triangle choke, and Aguilar slams his way out of it at the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Aguilar
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Aguilar
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Aguilar

Round 2
The second round opens tentatively, with both men pawing at one another from a safe range. Mendonca suddenly crashes the pocket and pursues a takedown, where he leverages Aguilar down to the mat. After some control time, Mendonca loses top position and Aguilar slings him down. The two scramble wildly, and Mendonca manages to take the back and start hunting for the neck. Aguilar turns to put his back against the fence, and Mendonca clings to him and bowls Aguilar over to move to half guard. The Brazilian practically jumps into full mount, and he unleashes a fury of right hands as Salas watches closely. Aguilar turns to his side and nearly gets pounded out, but he ends up surviving the assault and defend himself intelligently enough all while the crowd implores him to keep fighting. Aguilar jumps back to his feet with sheer force of will, and Mendonca tries to snatch up a guillotine choke. Aguilar pulls out of it, and he starts slugging. Aguilar hurts Mendonca in an exchange, and he shoots for a takedown instead of taking advantage of the damage. Aguilar relocates himself into full mount, and he starts slashing down with elbows. Aguilar postures up and smacks Mendonca around with strikes, and lowers himself down so as to not create openings to escape. Aguilar looks for more offense, and Mendonca use the moment to fight his way back to his feet. Mendonca shoots in from too far away, and Aguilar shoves him over and starts landing punches all while Mendonca elevates him. The frantic round ends with Aguilar in the air getting flipped over by his opponent.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Aguilar
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Aguilar
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Aguilar

Round 3
Aguilar swings for the bleachers to start off the round, and as Mendonca counters with a kick, Aguilar sprints towards him and knocks him over. On the way down, the Mexican snatches up a guillotine choke, and he tries to lock it down with full mount. By the skin of his teeth, Mendonca survives the submission and pushes Aguilar over, and he slides on top to move to half guard. Mendonca smothers from top control, opening up every so often to land a short right hand. Aguilar looks to hip escape or at least scoot himself to the fence, and Mendonca stifles him until Salas stands them up. Aguilar thanks the referee by going right to offense, swinging hard and stinging Mendonca. Mendonca throws back, and Aguilar answers with a level change. Mendonca uses the body lock to turn Aguilar around and chuck him to the mat like a basket of dirty laundry. A wild scramble ensues, and both men briefly take top position, until Mendonca winds up getting back control. Aguilar has one arm held tightly by his opponent, allowing Mendonca to drill him with punches from the free hand on the other side. Mendonca wraps up the body triangle and aims for the neck with a choke, and Aguilar hand-fights to stop the choke attempt. Mendonca allows Aguilar to turn so he can shift to full mount, but before he can rain down shots, Aguilar turns over. Mendonca locks down an unorthodox triangle choke as Aguilar does this, but time expires before anything comes of it. Based on previous tallies so far tonight, scorecards could be all over the map here.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Mendonca (29-28 Aguilar)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Mendonca (29-28 Aguilar)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Mendonca (29-28 Aguilar)

The Official Result
Jesus Aguilar def. Mateus Mendonca via Split Decision (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
Expert Picks (5)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 18, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Mateus Mendonça

Angelo picks Mendonça, agreeing with the sportsbooks. He notes the wide variance between public and bookmaker opinion and sides with the books. He believes Mendonça is the more dangerous fighter on the feet and on the ground.

"I actually am going to agree with the sports books here I think mandanka is the more dangerous fighter"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Feb 19, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Jesus Aguilar

Big Brady picks Jesus Aguilar to win by third-round submission, but with low confidence as he has been flipping on this fight. He notes Aguilar has a 62-inch reach which is a concern, but he is a great grappler with decent wrestling. He criticizes Mendonça's poor fight IQ and submission-over-position style, and mentions that Mendonça is a Shooto Box guy arriving late to Mexico City, while Aguilar has been there for six weeks. He expects the fight to hit the mat where Aguilar can win grappling exchanges.

Aguilar wins by submission in round 3
"I'm going to take agular here with not a ton of confidence like I said I've been flipping back and forth on this fight but give me agular to win this fight by third round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Feb 21, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jesus Aguilar

Cody picks Aguilar, calling Mendonça a 'goof' and questioning why he's a favorite. He notes Aguilar has cardio for days, a decent submission game, and has finished fights late. He thinks if Mendonça doesn't catch him early, Aguilar will tire him out and put a beating on him. He sees it as a good live betting opportunity.

"agalar for me what about you"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Feb 22, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jesus Aguilar

The host is leaning towards Aguilar, believing his power punching style will keep Mendonça on the back foot. He thinks Aguilar is durable enough to handle Mendonça's technical striking and will push the pace to exploit Mendonça's cardio issues. He expects Aguilar to either grind with wrestling or find a finish in the second or third round.

Finish in second or third round
"I'm leaning the agular side here as I believe his power punching style could keep mandona on his back foot and I think agar is durable enough to to deal with the technical striking advantage that mosa has"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Feb 21, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jesus Aguilar

Paul agrees with Cody, picking Aguilar. He notes Mendonça looked lost in his last fight against Nate Maness, with a terrible game plan. Aguilar has cardio and submissions, and Mendonça's weight cut to 125 may be an issue. He thinks Aguilar can survive the initial onslaught and take over.

"I'll take the short price here and make him Underdog number three for the card"
TKO (punches) R1 4:40
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Nate Maness 0 29 of 35 82% 103 of 114 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:31
Mateus Mendonça 0 3 of 7 42% 9 of 16 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Nate Maness 0 29 of 35 82% 103 of 114 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:31
Mateus Mendonça 0 3 of 7 42% 9 of 16 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:14
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Nate Maness 29 of 35 82% 26 of 31 2 of 3 1 of 1 1 of 2 2 of 3 26 of 30
Mateus Mendonça 3 of 7 42% 0 of 3 2 of 3 1 of 1 1 of 5 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Nate Maness 29 of 35 82% 26 of 31 2 of 3 1 of 1 1 of 2 2 of 3 26 of 30
Mateus Mendonça 3 of 7 42% 0 of 3 2 of 3 1 of 1 1 of 5 2 of 2 0 of 0
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Sep 29, 2023 (8 days before fight)
Mateus Mendonça

Angelo picks Mateus Mendonça because he is a dangerous Shooter Box fighter with solid striking and BJJ, and he is always aggressive. He notes that Mendonça is hittable but durable, and that Maness could win with a wrestle-heavy game plan. However, he leans toward Mendonça's danger factor. He is not betting the favorite price but is waiting for prop bets like a +3.5 spread on Maness.

Waiting for +3.5 spread prop on Nate Maness
"I'm going to pick mandanka there because he is so dangerous"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Oct 3, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Mateus Mendonça

Big Brady picks Mateus Mendonça but is hesitant, as he has consistently lost money betting against Nate Maness in the past. He criticizes Maness's volume and grappling holes, and notes that Maness's weight cut to flyweight is concerning. He believes Mendonça will win by decision but thinks the fight will be closer than the current line suggests. He also wants to see the weigh-ins before finalizing his confidence.

"I'll take mandon to win this fight by decision but I think it's going to be a lot closer than this line does indicate"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Oct 4, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mateus Mendonça

Cody picks Mendonça but is hesitant, noting that Maness has shown grappling deficiencies and Mendonça is a bigger, stronger fighter with power. He acknowledges that Mendonça is coming off a loss and the line may be an overcorrection, but believes his wrestling and size should prevail.

"I understand why he's the favorite I will be picking him but um I'm a little bit nervous about it as well"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mateus Mendonça

Daniel Levi picks Mateus Mendonça, arguing that Nate Maness has no business at 125 pounds and will be drained by the weight cut. He believes Mendonça is a legitimate prospect who belongs in the weight class, with better explosiveness and power. He expects Mendonça to make a statement, though he wishes the price were better.

wishes for better price (e.g., -185)
"I think Matteo's McDonald's is going to make a statement here and show that he is an emerging Prospect in the flyweight division"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Oct 7, 2023 (fight day)
Mateus Mendonça

Lucrative James predicts Mendonça wins by first-round knockout, but he is not confident due to many variables. He notes Maness has been finished in both flyweight fights and Mendonça has cardio concerns at 125. He placed a small bet on Maness decision at +550 as a fun play, but his official pick is Mendonça round 1 KO.

Maness decision +550 (small bet)
"I'm going to predict mandona round 1 KO but I actually like Maness if you're GNA have a bet overall"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 6, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Nate Maness

Maness is the better fighter over 15 minutes with superior boxing and power. He should be able to stuff early takedowns and avoid Mendonça's early power. As the fight goes on, Maness will take over and likely find a late finish. The plus money on Maness is a steal given his skills and Mendonça's questionable durability. I predict a third-round TKO.

third round TKO
"I'm going to go with Nate Maness here and I think he actually finds a finish I'm going to call it a third round TKO"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 4, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mateus Mendonça

Paul leans toward Mendonça, noting his size and power advantage. He mentions that Maness has been taken down and controlled in recent fights. However, he is not fully confident and suggests live betting Maness if he survives the first round.

"I'm kind of having a better look at this one from a live betting spot"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Mateus Mendonça

The MMA Guru picks Mateus Mendonça over Nate Maness. He notes Maness had a poor showing at flyweight and was finished, and that Maness nearly got finished by Tony Gravely before coming back. He is impressed by Mendonça's performance against Javid Basharat, a top prospect. He believes Mendonça has a finishing advantage and criticizes Maness for conceding bottom position and making rookie mistakes like jumping into a guillotine.

"I'm going to go with mendonsa I think he has the finishing potential advantage"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Javid Basharat 0 95 of 130 73% 125 of 164 3 of 5 60% 0 0 5:19
Mateus Mendonça 0 29 of 88 32% 70 of 133 2 of 11 18% 0 0 2:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Javid Basharat 0 32 of 51 62% 35 of 54 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:21
Mateus Mendonça 0 12 of 43 27% 14 of 45 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:09
2 Javid Basharat 0 35 of 45 77% 53 of 64 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:28
Mateus Mendonça 0 7 of 24 29% 20 of 39 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:44
3 Javid Basharat 0 28 of 34 82% 37 of 46 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:30
Mateus Mendonça 0 10 of 21 47% 36 of 49 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:26
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Javid Basharat 95 of 130 73% 62 of 93 25 of 28 8 of 9 60 of 90 10 of 14 25 of 26
Mateus Mendonça 29 of 88 32% 21 of 72 3 of 6 5 of 10 25 of 83 2 of 2 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Javid Basharat 32 of 51 62% 18 of 36 9 of 10 5 of 5 27 of 43 3 of 6 2 of 2
Mateus Mendonça 12 of 43 27% 8 of 35 1 of 2 3 of 6 11 of 42 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Javid Basharat 35 of 45 77% 27 of 35 7 of 8 1 of 2 14 of 23 5 of 6 16 of 16
Mateus Mendonça 7 of 24 29% 5 of 20 0 of 1 2 of 3 5 of 21 1 of 1 1 of 2
3 Javid Basharat 28 of 34 82% 17 of 22 9 of 10 2 of 2 19 of 24 2 of 2 7 of 8
Mateus Mendonça 10 of 21 47% 8 of 17 2 of 3 0 of 1 9 of 20 0 of 0 1 of 1
Expert Picks (5)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Javid Basharat

Angelo is very confident in Basharat, having placed a 3-unit bet at -309. He praises Basharat's well-rounded game, striking defense, and grappling. He believes Mendonça's competition is weak and his style is not suited for MMA. He expects Basharat to win comfortably.

3 units moneyline at -309
"I love javeed here I've had a three unit money line bet on the board for him for a while"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 9, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Javid Basharat

Big Brady picks Javid Basharat confidently, praising his well-rounded skills and impressive win over Tony Gravely. He notes that Basharat outwrestled Gravely, a top wrestler, and has good striking, power, and cardio. He thinks Mendonça is talented but too inexperienced for this step up, and that Basharat will pull away as the fight goes on. He predicts a decision win for Basharat, though Mendonça may have early moments.

Basharat by decision
"give me Javi Bashar out to win I'll take Javi basharat to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jan 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Javid Basharat

Cody picks Basharat but is less confident, noting Mendonça's potential and youth. He sees Basharat winning by decision and likes the 'Basharat by decision' prop at +150. He acknowledges Mendonça could be live if he lands a front kick.

Basharat by decision at +150 considered
"I'll pick them for the purposes of this show... maybe I'll get to Bachelorette by decision which I see out there for like plus 150 right now don't mind that"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked Jan 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mateus Mendonça

Jacob picks Mendonça despite acknowledging Basharat is the better fighter. He believes Mendonça's aggression and power could overwhelm Basharat early. He notes Basharat's low guard and vulnerability to pressure. He is not betting the moneyline but may look at inside the distance props.

May bet inside the distance
"I'm gonna pick him ... something inside the distance we'll see what the odds are"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Javid Basharat

Paul is confident in Basharat, citing his wrestling, cardio, and experience against tougher opponents (Trevin Jones, Tony Gravely). He sees Mendonça as unproven and limited, and expects Basharat to win wherever the fight goes. He considers Basharat by decision at +150.

Basharat by decision at +150 considered
"I think Javi bashara is probably play of the week right minus 350"