UFC 191: Johnson vs. Dodson 2 · Sep 05, 2015 · Lightweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 191: Johnson vs. Dodson 2 Next Fight
Age 41
Height 5' 8"
Reach 69.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 42
Height 5' 11"
Reach 70.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Ross Pearson
3.68 SLpM
40.0% Str. Acc.
4.09 SApM
62.0% Str. Def.
0.74 TD Avg
35.0% TD Acc.
75.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Paul Felder
3.7 SLpM
44.0% Str. Acc.
3.44 SApM
48.0% Str. Def.
0.29 TD Avg
28.0% TD Acc.
64.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Ross Pearson - Fight History
LOSS vs Desmond Green
TKO (punches) R1 2:52 · UFC on ESPN: Barboza vs. Gaethje · Mar 30, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Desmond Green 0 12 of 24 50% 12 of 24 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Ross Pearson 1 25 of 32 78% 25 of 32 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Desmond Green 0 12 of 24 50% 12 of 24 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Ross Pearson 1 25 of 32 78% 25 of 32 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Desmond Green 12 of 24 50% 1 of 6 4 of 11 7 of 7 12 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ross Pearson 25 of 32 78% 17 of 23 6 of 6 2 of 3 10 of 16 1 of 1 14 of 15
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Desmond Green 12 of 24 50% 1 of 6 4 of 11 7 of 7 12 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ross Pearson 25 of 32 78% 17 of 23 6 of 6 2 of 3 10 of 16 1 of 1 14 of 15
LOSS vs John Makdessi
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 29–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on Fox: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · Jul 28, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
John Makdessi 0 131 of 261 50% 134 of 265 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ross Pearson 0 79 of 224 35% 81 of 226 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:18
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 John Makdessi 0 30 of 64 46% 30 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ross Pearson 0 27 of 65 41% 27 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 John Makdessi 0 41 of 83 49% 41 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ross Pearson 0 30 of 89 33% 30 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 John Makdessi 0 60 of 114 52% 63 of 118 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ross Pearson 0 22 of 70 31% 24 of 72 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:18
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
John Makdessi 131 of 261 50% 99 of 211 13 of 25 19 of 25 120 of 244 11 of 17 0 of 0
Ross Pearson 79 of 224 35% 51 of 182 9 of 15 19 of 27 79 of 223 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 John Makdessi 30 of 64 46% 17 of 44 1 of 4 12 of 16 30 of 64 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ross Pearson 27 of 65 41% 14 of 48 1 of 4 12 of 13 27 of 65 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 John Makdessi 41 of 83 49% 27 of 65 10 of 14 4 of 4 39 of 79 2 of 4 0 of 0
Ross Pearson 30 of 89 33% 21 of 74 6 of 6 3 of 9 30 of 89 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 John Makdessi 60 of 114 52% 55 of 102 2 of 7 3 of 5 51 of 101 9 of 13 0 of 0
Ross Pearson 22 of 70 31% 16 of 60 2 of 5 4 of 5 22 of 69 0 of 1 0 of 0
WIN vs Mizuto Hirota
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · Feb 11, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ross Pearson 0 58 of 176 32% 59 of 177 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mizuto Hirota 0 77 of 213 36% 77 of 213 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ross Pearson 0 16 of 52 30% 17 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mizuto Hirota 0 17 of 47 36% 17 of 47 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Ross Pearson 0 19 of 54 35% 19 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mizuto Hirota 0 34 of 91 37% 34 of 91 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
3 Ross Pearson 0 23 of 70 32% 23 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mizuto Hirota 0 26 of 75 34% 26 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ross Pearson 58 of 176 32% 31 of 134 16 of 30 11 of 12 57 of 174 1 of 2 0 of 0
Mizuto Hirota 77 of 213 36% 49 of 176 3 of 10 25 of 27 73 of 208 4 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ross Pearson 16 of 52 30% 6 of 38 4 of 8 6 of 6 15 of 51 1 of 1 0 of 0
Mizuto Hirota 17 of 47 36% 9 of 36 0 of 3 8 of 8 17 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Ross Pearson 19 of 54 35% 13 of 45 5 of 7 1 of 2 19 of 53 0 of 1 0 of 0
Mizuto Hirota 34 of 91 37% 22 of 75 2 of 5 10 of 11 30 of 86 4 of 5 0 of 0
3 Ross Pearson 23 of 70 32% 12 of 51 7 of 15 4 of 4 23 of 70 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mizuto Hirota 26 of 75 34% 18 of 65 1 of 2 7 of 8 26 of 75 0 of 0 0 of 0
LOSS vs Dan Hooker
KO (knee) R2 3:02 · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · Jun 11, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dan Hooker 1 69 of 141 48% 74 of 146 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:01
Ross Pearson 0 38 of 88 43% 38 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dan Hooker 0 32 of 65 49% 37 of 70 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Ross Pearson 0 20 of 47 42% 20 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
2 Dan Hooker 1 37 of 76 48% 37 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Ross Pearson 0 18 of 41 43% 18 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dan Hooker 69 of 141 48% 40 of 108 6 of 8 23 of 25 68 of 140 0 of 0 1 of 1
Ross Pearson 38 of 88 43% 15 of 59 13 of 18 10 of 11 36 of 86 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dan Hooker 32 of 65 49% 13 of 45 4 of 4 15 of 16 32 of 65 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ross Pearson 20 of 47 42% 8 of 29 6 of 11 6 of 7 18 of 45 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Dan Hooker 37 of 76 48% 27 of 63 2 of 4 8 of 9 36 of 75 0 of 0 1 of 1
Ross Pearson 18 of 41 43% 7 of 30 7 of 7 4 of 4 18 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
LOSS vs Stevie Ray
Decision (split) (27–30, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · Nov 19, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Stevie Ray 0 38 of 92 41% 48 of 104 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Ross Pearson 0 49 of 117 41% 50 of 119 1 of 3 33% 0 0 3:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Stevie Ray 0 11 of 19 57% 17 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Ross Pearson 0 13 of 30 43% 13 of 30 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:21
2 Stevie Ray 0 12 of 31 38% 15 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ross Pearson 0 20 of 38 52% 21 of 40 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:50
3 Stevie Ray 0 15 of 42 35% 16 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ross Pearson 0 16 of 49 32% 16 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Stevie Ray 38 of 92 41% 5 of 40 26 of 45 7 of 7 36 of 89 2 of 3 0 of 0
Ross Pearson 49 of 117 41% 13 of 71 14 of 21 22 of 25 46 of 108 3 of 9 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Stevie Ray 11 of 19 57% 0 of 7 8 of 9 3 of 3 10 of 18 1 of 1 0 of 0
Ross Pearson 13 of 30 43% 4 of 15 5 of 10 4 of 5 12 of 27 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Stevie Ray 12 of 31 38% 3 of 12 8 of 18 1 of 1 12 of 30 0 of 1 0 of 0
Ross Pearson 20 of 38 52% 5 of 22 7 of 7 8 of 9 18 of 32 2 of 6 0 of 0
3 Stevie Ray 15 of 42 35% 2 of 21 10 of 18 3 of 3 14 of 41 1 of 1 0 of 0
Ross Pearson 16 of 49 32% 4 of 34 2 of 4 10 of 11 16 of 49 0 of 0 0 of 0
LOSS vs Jorge Masvidal
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · Jul 30, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jorge Masvidal 0 52 of 138 37% 53 of 139 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:29
Ross Pearson 1 113 of 256 44% 130 of 277 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:36
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jorge Masvidal 0 12 of 43 27% 13 of 44 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:23
Ross Pearson 0 32 of 77 41% 33 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
2 Jorge Masvidal 0 18 of 39 46% 18 of 39 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:06
Ross Pearson 1 45 of 82 54% 61 of 102 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:29
3 Jorge Masvidal 0 22 of 56 39% 22 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ross Pearson 0 36 of 97 37% 36 of 97 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jorge Masvidal 52 of 138 37% 14 of 79 19 of 35 19 of 24 51 of 136 1 of 2 0 of 0
Ross Pearson 113 of 256 44% 84 of 219 18 of 23 11 of 14 92 of 221 8 of 10 13 of 25
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jorge Masvidal 12 of 43 27% 0 of 23 6 of 12 6 of 8 12 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ross Pearson 32 of 77 41% 18 of 59 8 of 10 6 of 8 26 of 68 5 of 5 1 of 4
2 Jorge Masvidal 18 of 39 46% 6 of 22 6 of 9 6 of 8 17 of 37 1 of 2 0 of 0
Ross Pearson 45 of 82 54% 35 of 70 7 of 8 3 of 4 30 of 56 3 of 5 12 of 21
3 Jorge Masvidal 22 of 56 39% 8 of 34 7 of 14 7 of 8 22 of 56 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ross Pearson 36 of 97 37% 31 of 90 3 of 5 2 of 2 36 of 97 0 of 0 0 of 0
LOSS vs Will Brooks
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Claudia Finale · Jul 08, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Will Brooks 0 54 of 115 46% 76 of 140 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:07
Ross Pearson 0 80 of 150 53% 116 of 190 1 of 6 16% 0 0 4:34
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Will Brooks 0 10 of 24 41% 15 of 29 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:21
Ross Pearson 0 19 of 41 46% 24 of 48 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:35
2 Will Brooks 0 9 of 29 31% 16 of 38 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:50
Ross Pearson 0 33 of 50 66% 53 of 72 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:07
3 Will Brooks 0 35 of 62 56% 45 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:56
Ross Pearson 0 28 of 59 47% 39 of 70 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:52
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Will Brooks 54 of 115 46% 15 of 65 29 of 39 10 of 11 31 of 87 23 of 27 0 of 1
Ross Pearson 80 of 150 53% 36 of 99 32 of 38 12 of 13 43 of 106 32 of 38 5 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Will Brooks 10 of 24 41% 1 of 12 4 of 7 5 of 5 8 of 22 2 of 2 0 of 0
Ross Pearson 19 of 41 46% 4 of 25 9 of 10 6 of 6 12 of 32 7 of 9 0 of 0
2 Will Brooks 9 of 29 31% 2 of 18 5 of 8 2 of 3 6 of 25 3 of 3 0 of 1
Ross Pearson 33 of 50 66% 17 of 31 12 of 14 4 of 5 17 of 32 11 of 12 5 of 6
3 Will Brooks 35 of 62 56% 12 of 35 20 of 24 3 of 3 17 of 40 18 of 22 0 of 0
Ross Pearson 28 of 59 47% 15 of 43 11 of 14 2 of 2 14 of 42 14 of 17 0 of 0
WIN vs Chad Laprise
Decision (split) (28–30, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Mir · Mar 20, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ross Pearson 0 52 of 155 33% 52 of 156 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Chad Laprise 0 78 of 214 36% 78 of 214 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ross Pearson 0 13 of 45 28% 13 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chad Laprise 0 18 of 55 32% 18 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Ross Pearson 0 21 of 58 36% 21 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chad Laprise 0 29 of 81 35% 29 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Ross Pearson 0 18 of 52 34% 18 of 53 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Chad Laprise 0 31 of 78 39% 31 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ross Pearson 52 of 155 33% 21 of 108 10 of 22 21 of 25 52 of 155 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chad Laprise 78 of 214 36% 63 of 194 9 of 14 6 of 6 78 of 212 0 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ross Pearson 13 of 45 28% 3 of 34 3 of 4 7 of 7 13 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chad Laprise 18 of 55 32% 14 of 51 2 of 2 2 of 2 18 of 55 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Ross Pearson 21 of 58 36% 10 of 39 2 of 8 9 of 11 21 of 58 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chad Laprise 29 of 81 35% 21 of 71 5 of 7 3 of 3 29 of 81 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Ross Pearson 18 of 52 34% 8 of 35 5 of 10 5 of 7 18 of 52 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chad Laprise 31 of 78 39% 28 of 72 2 of 5 1 of 1 31 of 76 0 of 2 0 of 0
Paul Felder - Fight History
Decision (split) (47–48, 50–45, 50–45) R5 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. dos Anjos · Nov 14, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rafael dos Anjos 0 98 of 190 51% 134 of 226 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:40
Paul Felder 0 92 of 162 56% 155 of 231 6 of 22 27% 0 0 14:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rafael dos Anjos 0 17 of 45 37% 17 of 45 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:13
Paul Felder 0 22 of 34 64% 27 of 41 1 of 4 25% 0 0 2:06
2 Rafael dos Anjos 0 29 of 46 63% 35 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Paul Felder 0 27 of 47 57% 31 of 51 1 of 4 25% 0 0 2:43
3 Rafael dos Anjos 0 12 of 21 57% 21 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:38
Paul Felder 0 13 of 18 72% 28 of 35 2 of 4 50% 0 0 3:17
4 Rafael dos Anjos 0 26 of 55 47% 39 of 68 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:49
Paul Felder 0 19 of 41 46% 34 of 57 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:54
5 Rafael dos Anjos 0 14 of 23 60% 22 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Paul Felder 0 11 of 22 50% 35 of 47 2 of 7 28% 0 0 4:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rafael dos Anjos 98 of 190 51% 64 of 147 20 of 29 14 of 14 76 of 161 21 of 28 1 of 1
Paul Felder 92 of 162 56% 53 of 113 35 of 45 4 of 4 61 of 125 26 of 29 5 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rafael dos Anjos 17 of 45 37% 8 of 33 5 of 8 4 of 4 16 of 43 1 of 2 0 of 0
Paul Felder 22 of 34 64% 13 of 24 9 of 10 0 of 0 17 of 28 5 of 6 0 of 0
2 Rafael dos Anjos 29 of 46 63% 23 of 38 3 of 5 3 of 3 22 of 38 7 of 8 0 of 0
Paul Felder 27 of 47 57% 19 of 36 7 of 10 1 of 1 21 of 40 6 of 7 0 of 0
3 Rafael dos Anjos 12 of 21 57% 5 of 11 3 of 6 4 of 4 8 of 13 4 of 8 0 of 0
Paul Felder 13 of 18 72% 7 of 10 5 of 7 1 of 1 8 of 13 5 of 5 0 of 0
4 Rafael dos Anjos 26 of 55 47% 20 of 48 5 of 6 1 of 1 20 of 48 6 of 7 0 of 0
Paul Felder 19 of 41 46% 7 of 26 11 of 14 1 of 1 10 of 30 8 of 9 1 of 2
5 Rafael dos Anjos 14 of 23 60% 8 of 17 4 of 4 2 of 2 10 of 19 3 of 3 1 of 1
Paul Felder 11 of 22 50% 7 of 17 3 of 4 1 of 1 5 of 14 2 of 2 4 of 6
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 12, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Rafael dos Anjos

Big Brady picks RDA because he had a full camp training for Islam Makhachev, which should help his wrestling and grappling against Felder, who took the fight on five days' notice. He notes RDA is the more technical striker with higher output, and Felder is dangerous but RDA has a solid chin. He expects RDA to mix in takedowns and grind out a decision, possibly a late finish.

RDA decision prop mentioned as a potential look; RDA as a parlay piece considered
"i'm gonna take rda to get it done um you know grind out paul felder to a decision i wouldn't be surprised if there's a late finish"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Rafael dos Anjos

Daniel picks dos Anjos because he believes Felder's timing will be off due to lack of sparring and wrestling preparation on short notice. He notes dos Anjos has been training for a five-round fight against Islam Makhachev and is motivated dropping back to 155. He also points out that Felder historically struggles with volume and that dos Anjos can mix in takedowns, referencing Edson Barboza taking Felder down. He acknowledges Felder's durability and power but thinks dos Anjos will outwork him.

"i'm gonna roll with rafael dos anos as well"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Rafael dos Anjos

The host favors Rafael dos Anjos due to his experience in five-round fights, having gone to the fourth round or later in seven of his last nine five-round bouts. He believes dos Anjos's aggressive striking, leg kicks, and superior jiu-jitsu will overwhelm Paul Felder, who is taking the fight on six days' notice and has only one five-round fight experience. The host notes Felder's durability but expects dos Anjos to win via decision, possibly mixing in takedowns and ground control.

Host mentions dos Anjos via submission as a possibility but leans toward decision; also notes odds around -150 and says he might take a play on dos Anjos if the line sticks.
"i love dosanus here i think he gets ... i'm going to go with the safe side and i'll say dosan used to win this fight via decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Rafael dos Anjos

The MMA Guru picks Rafael dos Anjos, citing Felder's short notice and difficult weight cut as major disadvantages. He believes dos Anjos will invest in body and leg kicks early, then finish Felder by exhaustion in the later rounds. He notes that dos Anjos has been training for this fight and is not a big lightweight, while Felder's reach advantage is neutralized by dos Anjos' similar reach. He also mentions that dos Anjos will be more confident on the feet without facing a wrestler.

Finish by exhaustion TKO in round 4 or 5; mentions dos Anjos has similar reach to Felder; notes Felder's terrible weight cuts even on full camp
"I'm gonna go with Rafael dos Anjos chewing up his legs, chewing up his body for three rounds, eventually getting himself a finish in the fourth or fifth or running away with an easy decision."
LOSS vs Dan Hooker
Decision (split) (47–48, 48–47, 48–47) R5 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · Feb 23, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dan Hooker 0 110 of 230 47% 119 of 243 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
Paul Felder 0 122 of 221 55% 133 of 234 1 of 5 20% 0 0 5:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dan Hooker 0 16 of 42 38% 17 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Paul Felder 0 24 of 46 52% 25 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
2 Dan Hooker 0 26 of 48 54% 27 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Paul Felder 0 26 of 43 60% 27 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:58
3 Dan Hooker 0 28 of 57 49% 28 of 57 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Paul Felder 0 39 of 63 61% 39 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
4 Dan Hooker 0 25 of 47 53% 27 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Paul Felder 0 15 of 36 41% 18 of 39 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:50
5 Dan Hooker 0 15 of 36 41% 20 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Paul Felder 0 18 of 33 54% 24 of 41 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:32
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dan Hooker 110 of 230 47% 64 of 170 19 of 26 27 of 34 105 of 218 5 of 12 0 of 0
Paul Felder 122 of 221 55% 72 of 161 10 of 13 40 of 47 120 of 217 2 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dan Hooker 16 of 42 38% 5 of 25 6 of 9 5 of 8 15 of 41 1 of 1 0 of 0
Paul Felder 24 of 46 52% 7 of 25 2 of 2 15 of 19 24 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Dan Hooker 26 of 48 54% 10 of 29 6 of 8 10 of 11 25 of 45 1 of 3 0 of 0
Paul Felder 26 of 43 60% 15 of 30 3 of 4 8 of 9 26 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Dan Hooker 28 of 57 49% 14 of 39 7 of 8 7 of 10 27 of 51 1 of 6 0 of 0
Paul Felder 39 of 63 61% 29 of 50 3 of 5 7 of 8 38 of 61 1 of 2 0 of 0
4 Dan Hooker 25 of 47 53% 22 of 44 0 of 0 3 of 3 23 of 45 2 of 2 0 of 0
Paul Felder 15 of 36 41% 8 of 29 2 of 2 5 of 5 15 of 35 0 of 1 0 of 0
5 Dan Hooker 15 of 36 41% 13 of 33 0 of 1 2 of 2 15 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
Paul Felder 18 of 33 54% 13 of 27 0 of 0 5 of 6 17 of 32 1 of 1 0 of 0
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 21, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Paul Felder

Daniel Levi picks Paul Felder to win, citing Felder's durability (never knocked out), better technique throughout the fight, and ability to handle five rounds. He believes Felder's calf kicks and pressure will be key, and that Hooker's confidence from recent wins is overblown. Levi expects Felder to get a late knockout or win a decision, possibly 48-47.

"I just feel like Paul Felder is the better fighter, the tougher fighter, the fighter that's more durable for this war."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2020 (9 days before fight)
Dan Hooker

The host picks Dan Hooker, believing he will win the first three rounds and possibly the fourth, though he worries about the new judging emphasis on later rounds. He cites Hooker's reach advantage, technical striking, and improvement, while noting Felder lacks power despite his size and has a one-dimensional game plan. He expects Hooker to use leg kicks, jabs, and body work to secure a unanimous decision.

unanimous decision
"I'm going with down hooker more versatile pool fellas got one game plan and if it doesn't work he's kind of [__] weighed forward and fro shots Dan hookers too technical for that"
WIN vs Edson Barboza
Decision (split) (27–30, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · Sep 07, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Paul Felder 0 60 of 114 52% 77 of 133 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:50
Edson Barboza 0 56 of 154 36% 75 of 174 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Paul Felder 0 24 of 54 44% 24 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Edson Barboza 0 13 of 51 25% 16 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:45
2 Paul Felder 0 21 of 34 61% 37 of 52 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:29
Edson Barboza 0 20 of 46 43% 31 of 57 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:45
3 Paul Felder 0 15 of 26 57% 16 of 27 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:21
Edson Barboza 0 23 of 57 40% 28 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:33
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Paul Felder 60 of 114 52% 27 of 74 19 of 24 14 of 16 55 of 109 0 of 0 5 of 5
Edson Barboza 56 of 154 36% 41 of 137 9 of 10 6 of 7 51 of 147 1 of 1 4 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Paul Felder 24 of 54 44% 10 of 35 7 of 11 7 of 8 24 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
Edson Barboza 13 of 51 25% 9 of 46 2 of 3 2 of 2 12 of 50 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Paul Felder 21 of 34 61% 10 of 21 6 of 7 5 of 6 16 of 29 0 of 0 5 of 5
Edson Barboza 20 of 46 43% 13 of 39 4 of 4 3 of 3 16 of 40 0 of 0 4 of 6
3 Paul Felder 15 of 26 57% 7 of 18 6 of 6 2 of 2 15 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Edson Barboza 23 of 57 40% 19 of 52 3 of 3 1 of 2 23 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0
WIN vs James Vick
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · Feb 17, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Paul Felder 0 61 of 121 50% 69 of 129 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:14
James Vick 0 55 of 119 46% 70 of 134 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Paul Felder 0 22 of 49 44% 23 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
James Vick 0 20 of 47 42% 21 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:31
2 Paul Felder 0 19 of 31 61% 20 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:39
James Vick 0 12 of 32 37% 23 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
3 Paul Felder 0 20 of 41 48% 26 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:32
James Vick 0 23 of 40 57% 26 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:39
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Paul Felder 61 of 121 50% 24 of 75 16 of 21 21 of 25 57 of 112 4 of 9 0 of 0
James Vick 55 of 119 46% 31 of 79 4 of 8 20 of 32 48 of 109 7 of 10 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Paul Felder 22 of 49 44% 9 of 34 5 of 6 8 of 9 22 of 47 0 of 2 0 of 0
James Vick 20 of 47 42% 12 of 36 0 of 0 8 of 11 18 of 45 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Paul Felder 19 of 31 61% 7 of 15 6 of 9 6 of 7 15 of 24 4 of 7 0 of 0
James Vick 12 of 32 37% 7 of 20 2 of 5 3 of 7 10 of 30 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Paul Felder 20 of 41 48% 8 of 26 5 of 6 7 of 9 20 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
James Vick 23 of 40 57% 12 of 23 2 of 3 9 of 14 20 of 34 3 of 6 0 of 0
LOSS vs Mike Perry
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · Jul 07, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mike Perry 0 56 of 120 46% 64 of 128 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:45
Paul Felder 0 62 of 110 56% 66 of 114 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mike Perry 0 22 of 41 53% 27 of 46 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:45
Paul Felder 0 23 of 44 52% 24 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:21
2 Mike Perry 0 12 of 34 35% 12 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Paul Felder 0 17 of 22 77% 18 of 23 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:41
3 Mike Perry 0 22 of 45 48% 25 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Paul Felder 0 22 of 44 50% 24 of 46 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:58
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mike Perry 56 of 120 46% 27 of 79 16 of 24 13 of 17 48 of 110 7 of 9 1 of 1
Paul Felder 62 of 110 56% 34 of 78 15 of 18 13 of 14 42 of 86 17 of 21 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mike Perry 22 of 41 53% 11 of 27 5 of 7 6 of 7 19 of 37 3 of 4 0 of 0
Paul Felder 23 of 44 52% 11 of 30 6 of 8 6 of 6 15 of 32 8 of 12 0 of 0
2 Mike Perry 12 of 34 35% 6 of 20 2 of 7 4 of 7 11 of 32 1 of 2 0 of 0
Paul Felder 17 of 22 77% 10 of 15 6 of 6 1 of 1 9 of 14 5 of 5 3 of 3
3 Mike Perry 22 of 45 48% 10 of 32 9 of 10 3 of 3 18 of 41 3 of 3 1 of 1
Paul Felder 22 of 44 50% 13 of 33 3 of 4 6 of 7 18 of 40 4 of 4 0 of 0
TKO (elbows) R2 4:06 · UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 · Dec 02, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Paul Felder 0 6 of 13 46% 12 of 20 2 of 3 66% 2 1 2:51
Charles Oliveira 0 31 of 46 67% 37 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 4:52
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Paul Felder 0 5 of 9 55% 5 of 10 2 of 3 66% 2 0 2:17
Charles Oliveira 0 14 of 22 63% 16 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:54
2 Paul Felder 0 1 of 4 25% 7 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:34
Charles Oliveira 0 17 of 24 70% 21 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:58
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Paul Felder 6 of 13 46% 3 of 8 0 of 1 3 of 4 3 of 5 1 of 2 2 of 6
Charles Oliveira 31 of 46 67% 26 of 40 4 of 5 1 of 1 1 of 4 4 of 4 26 of 38
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Paul Felder 5 of 9 55% 2 of 6 0 of 0 3 of 3 3 of 3 0 of 1 2 of 5
Charles Oliveira 14 of 22 63% 12 of 19 2 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 13 of 18
2 Paul Felder 1 of 4 25% 1 of 2 0 of 1 0 of 1 0 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 1
Charles Oliveira 17 of 24 70% 14 of 21 2 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 4 13 of 20
WIN vs Stevie Ray
KO (elbows) R1 3:57 · UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · Jul 16, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Paul Felder 0 5 of 9 55% 11 of 15 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:45
Stevie Ray 1 23 of 35 65% 28 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Paul Felder 0 5 of 9 55% 11 of 15 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:45
Stevie Ray 1 23 of 35 65% 28 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Paul Felder 5 of 9 55% 2 of 6 2 of 2 1 of 1 2 of 4 3 of 5 0 of 0
Stevie Ray 23 of 35 65% 14 of 24 7 of 9 2 of 2 4 of 7 7 of 10 12 of 18
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Paul Felder 5 of 9 55% 2 of 6 2 of 2 1 of 1 2 of 4 3 of 5 0 of 0
Stevie Ray 23 of 35 65% 14 of 24 7 of 9 2 of 2 4 of 7 7 of 10 12 of 18
WIN vs Alex Ricci
TKO (elbow and punches) R1 4:44 · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · Feb 19, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Paul Felder 1 23 of 71 32% 23 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Alex Ricci 0 21 of 59 35% 21 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Paul Felder 1 23 of 71 32% 23 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Alex Ricci 0 21 of 59 35% 21 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Paul Felder 23 of 71 32% 14 of 57 4 of 7 5 of 7 23 of 66 0 of 1 0 of 4
Alex Ricci 21 of 59 35% 12 of 41 3 of 10 6 of 8 21 of 59 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Paul Felder 23 of 71 32% 14 of 57 4 of 7 5 of 7 23 of 66 0 of 1 0 of 4
Alex Ricci 21 of 59 35% 12 of 41 3 of 10 6 of 8 21 of 59 0 of 0 0 of 0