Fight card

UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. dos Anjos

November 14, 2020 UFC Apex Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S.
Rafael dos Anjos

Rafael dos Anjos W

32-17
Decision (split) (47–48, 50–45, 50–45) R5 5:00
Fight 1 VS Lightweight Completed

Rafael dos Anjos

No odds available.

Paul Felder

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Rafael dos Anjos

Age41
Height5' 8"
Reach70.0"
Weight170 lbs.
StanceSouthpaw

Paul Felder

Age42
Height5' 11"
Reach70.0"
Weight155 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Rafael dos Anjos

3.48SLpM
47.0%Str. Acc.
3.23SApM
60.0%Str. Def.
1.95TD Avg
35.0%TD Acc.
54.0%TD Def.
0.6Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Paul Felder

3.7SLpM
44.0%Str. Acc.
3.44SApM
48.0%Str. Def.
0.29TD Avg
28.0%TD Acc.
64.0%TD Def.
0.2Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (4)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 12, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Rafael dos Anjos

Big Brady picks RDA because he had a full camp training for Islam Makhachev, which should help his wrestling and grappling against Felder, who took the fight on five days' notice. He notes RDA is the more technical striker with higher output, and Felder is dangerous but RDA has a solid chin. He expects RDA to mix in takedowns and grind out a decision, possibly a late finish.

RDA decision prop mentioned as a potential look; RDA as a parlay piece considered
"i'm gonna take rda to get it done um you know grind out paul felder to a decision i wouldn't be surprised if there's a late finish"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Rafael dos Anjos

Daniel picks dos Anjos because he believes Felder's timing will be off due to lack of sparring and wrestling preparation on short notice. He notes dos Anjos has been training for a five-round fight against Islam Makhachev and is motivated dropping back to 155. He also points out that Felder historically struggles with volume and that dos Anjos can mix in takedowns, referencing Edson Barboza taking Felder down. He acknowledges Felder's durability and power but thinks dos Anjos will outwork him.

"i'm gonna roll with rafael dos anos as well"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Rafael dos Anjos

The host favors Rafael dos Anjos due to his experience in five-round fights, having gone to the fourth round or later in seven of his last nine five-round bouts. He believes dos Anjos's aggressive striking, leg kicks, and superior jiu-jitsu will overwhelm Paul Felder, who is taking the fight on six days' notice and has only one five-round fight experience. The host notes Felder's durability but expects dos Anjos to win via decision, possibly mixing in takedowns and ground control.

Host mentions dos Anjos via submission as a possibility but leans toward decision; also notes odds around -150 and says he might take a play on dos Anjos if the line sticks.
"i love dosanus here i think he gets ... i'm going to go with the safe side and i'll say dosan used to win this fight via decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Rafael dos Anjos

The MMA Guru picks Rafael dos Anjos, citing Felder's short notice and difficult weight cut as major disadvantages. He believes dos Anjos will invest in body and leg kicks early, then finish Felder by exhaustion in the later rounds. He notes that dos Anjos has been training for this fight and is not a big lightweight, while Felder's reach advantage is neutralized by dos Anjos' similar reach. He also mentions that dos Anjos will be more confident on the feet without facing a wrestler.

Finish by exhaustion TKO in round 4 or 5; mentions dos Anjos has similar reach to Felder; notes Felder's terrible weight cuts even on full camp
"I'm gonna go with Rafael dos Anjos chewing up his legs, chewing up his body for three rounds, eventually getting himself a finish in the fourth or fifth or running away with an easy decision."
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Khaos Williams

Khaos Williams W

15-5
KO (punch) R1 0:30
Fight 2 VS Catchweight (172.5 lb) Completed

Khaos Williams

No odds available.

Abdul Razak Alhassan

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Khaos Williams

Age32
Height6' 0"
Reach77.0"
Weight170 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Abdul Razak Alhassan

Age40
Height5' 10"
Reach73.0"
Weight185 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Khaos Williams

4.94SLpM
39.0%Str. Acc.
5.39SApM
40.0%Str. Def.
0.0TD Avg
0.0%TD Acc.
51.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Abdul Razak Alhassan

3.64SLpM
49.0%Str. Acc.
4.01SApM
54.0%Str. Def.
0.84TD Avg
33.0%TD Acc.
51.0%TD Def.
0.2Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (3)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 12, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Abdul Razak Alhassan

Big Brady is high on Alhassan, noting all his wins are by knockout in the first round, and he throws decent volume for a power puncher. He criticizes Khaos Williams for leaving openings and lacking technique. He plans to bet on Alhassan if he looks good at weigh-ins, possibly in a parlay, and calls it one of his most confident picks.

under 1.5 rounds mentioned as a good look; Alhassan by knockout; potential parlay piece
"all hassan for me i want to say is either my first or second most confident pick on the slate"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Abdul Razak Alhassan

Daniel picks Razak Alhassan, believing he will capitalize on Khaos Williams' tendency to leave his chin up in the air during his blitzing style. He notes that Razak has been dedicated to training and is in better shape than his last fight. He thinks Razak's cleaner, more effective punches will lead to a first-round knockout, possibly a face plant. He acknowledges both are powerful but sees Razak as the more technical striker.

first round knockout
"i think it's going to be a devastating first round knockout i think he actually probably face plants uh williams"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Abdul Razak Alhassan

The MMA Guru picks Abdul Razak Alhassan, believing he will be in much better shape than his last fight against Mounir Lazzez. He notes that Alhassan has been training hard and looks in great condition on Instagram, while Khaos Williams has been inactive since his KO of Alex Morono and may have lost momentum. He expects Williams to come out swinging and Alhassan to crack him back, finishing by KO in the first two rounds.

First round KO; mentions Alhassan's improved conditioning; notes Williams' inactivity and decision wins over lesser competition
"I think we're going to see a great version of Abdul Razak Alhassan, he will get the job done against Chaos Williams in my opinion by first round KO."
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

AS

Ashley Yoder W

Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 29–27, 29–27) R3 5:00
Fight 3 VS Women's Strawweight Completed

Ashley Yoder

No odds available.

Miranda Granger

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Ashley Yoder

Age38
Height5' 7"
Reach69.0"
Weight115 lbs.
StanceSouthpaw

Miranda Granger

Age34
Height5' 7"
Reach68.0"
Weight115 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Ashley Yoder

3.42SLpM
39.0%Str. Acc.
4.13SApM
47.0%Str. Def.
1.09TD Avg
27.0%TD Acc.
66.0%TD Def.
0.6Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Miranda Granger

2.79SLpM
47.0%Str. Acc.
2.57SApM
57.0%Str. Def.
0.0TD Avg
0.0%TD Acc.
33.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (3)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 12, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Miranda Granger

Big Brady bet on Granger at -107 and likes her striking advantage, noting she has a full camp for the first time in the UFC. He criticizes Yoder's low output and poor takedown effectiveness. He worries about Yoder taking Granger down but thinks Granger is active off her back and should win a decision.

bet at -107; decision win expected; at -150 would pass
"i do have a bet on miranda granger but the problem is i better at minus 107."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Ashley Yoder

Daniel picks Yoder, citing her significant experience advantage against higher-level competition like Angela Hill, Mackenzie Dern, and Olivia Souza. He notes that Granger has not shown enough in her UFC fights, struggling against Hannah Goldie and being blown out by Amanda Lemos. He believes Yoder has a grappling edge and can win a close decision, especially if the fight goes to the third round where Granger's cardio is questionable.

"i see you're coming out here winning this fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Nov 10, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Ashley Yoder

The MMA Guru picks Ashley Yoder, but with low enthusiasm, calling women's MMA annoying. He thinks Yoder's reach and kicks will allow her to out-strike Granger on the feet for three rounds, possibly earning a split decision. He notes that Granger hasn't beaten anyone good and lost to Amanda Lemos by submission, while Yoder fought close with Livia Renata Souza.

Split decision; mentions Yoder's kicks and reach advantage
"I'm gonna go with Ashley Yoda barely out striking her on the feet for three rounds, it'll probably be a split [expletive] decision for no [expletive] reason."
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Sean Strickland

Sean Strickland W

31-7
TKO (punches) R2 1:32
Fight 4 VS Catchweight (195 lb) Completed

Sean Strickland

No odds available.

Brendan Allen

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Sean Strickland

Age35
Height6' 1"
Reach76.0"
Weight185 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Brendan Allen

Age30
Height6' 2"
Reach75.0"
Weight185 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Sean Strickland

6.04SLpM
42.0%Str. Acc.
4.57SApM
60.0%Str. Def.
0.71TD Avg
64.0%TD Acc.
76.0%TD Def.
0.2Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Brendan Allen

3.59SLpM
53.0%Str. Acc.
3.62SApM
47.0%Str. Def.
1.56TD Avg
42.0%TD Acc.
56.0%TD Def.
1.1Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (3)
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Nov 12, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Brendan Allen

Big Brady leans toward Allen due to his grappling advantage and improvements, though he is concerned about Allen's gas tank. He notes the catchweight at 195 may favor Allen as the bigger fighter, and he wants to see weigh-ins before betting. He expects Allen to win a close decision by taking the first two rounds.

waiting for weigh-ins to decide on a bet; decision win expected
"i'm going to slightly ever so lean on the brennan allen side just him being the the more dangerous fighter"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Nov 13, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Sean Strickland

Daniel slightly leans with Strickland, viewing him as the more well-rounded fighter with a great jab and improved willingness to sit down on his punches. He thinks if Strickland can maintain distance and keep Allen off him, he can outpoint him to a decision. He acknowledges Allen's forward pressure and jiu-jitsu threat but believes Strickland's striking advantage and ability to avoid bad positions will be key.

"i'm going to slightly lean with sean strickland here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Brendan Allen

The MMA Guru picks Brendan Allen, emphasizing that the catchweight bout favors Allen as he doesn't have to cut weight again. He believes Allen will out-grapple Strickland on the ground and finish with a rear-naked choke in the second round. He notes that Strickland's wins over Jack Marshman are not impressive and that Strickland lacks the power to keep Allen off him.

Rear-naked choke finish in round 2; mentions catchweight favors Allen; notes Strickland's lack of power
"I'll go with Brendan Allen controlling Sean Strickland on the ground and earning himself a rear naked choke finish as Strickland tries to get back to his feet."
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Cory McKenna

Cory McKenna W

8-4
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00
Fight 5 VS Women's Strawweight Completed

Cory McKenna

No odds available.

Kay Hansen

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Cory McKenna

Age26
Height5' 3"
Reach58.0"
Weight115 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Kay Hansen

Age26
Height5' 2"
Reach63.0"
Weight115 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Cory McKenna

2.94SLpM
38.0%Str. Acc.
3.68SApM
46.0%Str. Def.
2.0TD Avg
47.0%TD Acc.
75.0%TD Def.
0.4Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Kay Hansen

3.01SLpM
50.0%Str. Acc.
3.19SApM
51.0%Str. Def.
1.83TD Avg
22.0%TD Acc.
37.0%TD Def.
0.8Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (3)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 12, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Kay Hansen

Big Brady picks Hansen because she is the better grappler and dangerous off her back, while McKenna gets taken down often. He expects the fight to hit the mat and Hansen to get a submission. He acknowledges the line is wide but favors Hansen's path to victory.

Hansen by submission
"i'm going to take hansen to win here i'm going to take her to win by submission"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Kay Hansen

Daniel picks Kay Hansen, citing her size and strength advantage, as well as a five-inch reach advantage. He notes that Hansen's grappling is strong and she may get an extra takedown or submission attempt to sway judges. He acknowledges McKenna's solid skills and bright future but thinks Hansen's physicality and experience against tougher competition give her the edge.

"i'll go with kay hanson here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Kay Hansen

The MMA Guru picks Kay Hansen by submission, specifically an armbar off her back. He notes that Cory McKenna got caught in submission positions on the Contender Series and that Hansen is more experienced with better competition. He believes McKenna will go for takedowns and leave herself open to submissions.

Armbar in round 2; mentions Hansen's submission win over Yilan Frag
"I'm gonna go with Kay Hansen armbar off of her back exactly how she did the last one."
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Kanako Murata

Kanako Murata W

12-3
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00
Fight 6 VS Women's Strawweight Completed

Kanako Murata

No odds available.

Randa Markos

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Kanako Murata

Age32
Height5' 1"
Reach62.0"
Weight115 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Randa Markos

Age40
Height5' 4"
Reach63.0"
Weight115 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Kanako Murata

2.15SLpM
56.0%Str. Acc.
2.4SApM
53.0%Str. Def.
3.38TD Avg
56.0%TD Acc.
100.0%TD Def.
0.8Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Randa Markos

2.97SLpM
43.0%Str. Acc.
3.1SApM
58.0%Str. Def.
1.12TD Avg
28.0%TD Acc.
52.0%TD Def.
0.2Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (3)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 12, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Kanako Murata

Big Brady picks Murata due to her wrestling pedigree and top control, though he is wary of Markos' submission threat from guard. He notes Markos' poor fight IQ and takedown defense. He expects Murata to win a decision but is not betting due to the sketchy vibe.

decision prop mentioned as a possible look; not betting
"i like morata here i like her by decision but i'm not going to touch it from a betting perspective"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Nov 13, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Kanako Murata

Daniel slightly leans with Murata, noting her disciplined game plan, strength, forward pressure, and ability to mix in takedowns. He thinks she can edge a decision if she stays disciplined. He acknowledges Markos has shown mental lapses and inconsistency, but warns that Murata is not a lock and the fight could be close. He advises not going crazy at the betting window.

"i'll slightly lean with her for that reason"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Randa Markos

The MMA Guru picks Randa Markos, despite her 10-10 record, because she has fought much better competition than Kanako Murata. He notes that Murata went to a split decision against a girl with an 8-5 record and hasn't beaten anyone notable. He believes Markos will piece up Murata on the feet for three rounds and win a unanimous decision.

Unanimous decision; mentions Markos' wins over Angela Hill and Carla Esparza
"I'm going to be going with Randa Markos getting the job done, I think she'll piece up Kanako Murata on the feet for three rounds earning herself a unanimous decision victory."
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Tony Gravely

Tony Gravely W

23-9
Decision (split) (30–27, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00
Fight 7 VS Bantamweight Completed

Tony Gravely

No odds available.

Geraldo de Freitas

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Tony Gravely

Age34
Height5' 5"
Reach69.0"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Geraldo de Freitas

Age34
Height5' 7"
Reach72.0"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Tony Gravely

3.82SLpM
48.0%Str. Acc.
4.47SApM
44.0%Str. Def.
5.4TD Avg
41.0%TD Acc.
52.0%TD Def.
0.3Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Geraldo de Freitas

3.67SLpM
52.0%Str. Acc.
2.62SApM
50.0%Str. Def.
3.0TD Avg
45.0%TD Acc.
59.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (3)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 12, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Tony Gravely

Big Brady picks Gravely after initially leaning toward de Freitas. He notes Gravely's wrestling and takedowns will be key, and de Freitas' takedown defense is unimpressive. He worries about Gravely's submission vulnerability but thinks he can avoid submissions and win a decision.

submission prop for de Freitas mentioned as a possible look for those on his side
"i gotta take gravely here i'm gonna take him to win by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Tony Gravely

Daniel picks Gravely, believing he is the stronger and more talented fighter with a Division I wrestling background. He notes that Gravely has a tendency to gas and give up his back, but thinks his training at ATT with good partners will help. He sees de Freitas as more basic and lacking adjustments, so Gravely should edge out a decision if he doesn't get submitted.

"i am gonna pick him for the uh the win as well"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Tony Gravely

The MMA Guru picks Tony Gravely by submission, specifically a guillotine choke in the first or second round. He praises Gravely's grappling and scrambles, noting his experience in five-round fights. He acknowledges Geraldo de Freitas' cardio but believes Gravely will out-scramble him and latch up a submission.

Guillotine choke in round 1 or 2; mentions Gravely's experience in five-round fights
"I'm going to go with Tony Gravely here, I think he'll get the submission win against Geraldo de Freitas Junior."
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Alex Morono

Alex Morono W

24-13
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00
Fight 8 VS Welterweight Completed

Alex Morono

No odds available.

Rhys McKee

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Alex Morono

Age35
Height5' 11"
Reach72.0"
Weight170 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Rhys McKee

Age30
Height6' 2"
Reach78.0"
Weight170 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Alex Morono

4.9SLpM
39.0%Str. Acc.
4.88SApM
55.0%Str. Def.
0.32TD Avg
24.0%TD Acc.
47.0%TD Def.
0.3Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Rhys McKee

4.71SLpM
40.0%Str. Acc.
7.15SApM
47.0%Str. Def.
0.0TD Avg
0.0%TD Acc.
47.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (3)
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Nov 12, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Alex Morono

Big Brady picks Morono due to experience and being the better fighter, but he questions Morono's fight IQ and reluctance to use his BJJ. He is concerned about McKee's six-inch reach advantage and finishing ability. He expects a close decision and is not betting, but might look at the 'fight doesn't go to decision' prop.

fight doesn't go to decision prop mentioned as a possible look
"the pick's gonna be morono i'm going to pick him to win by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Alex Morono

Daniel picks Morono, citing his experience and power advantage. He notes that McKee is hittable and has poor takedown defense, and that Morono is further along in his career. He thinks Morono will back McKee up, land overhands, and possibly finish late. He warns that Morono is a bit chinny but believes he is the better grappler and overall fighter.

"i'm going to roll with alex morano as well"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Alex Morono

The MMA Guru picks Alex Morono, calling it a no-brainer. He criticizes Rhys McKee's level of competition and close fights with lesser opponents, while noting Morono's wins over Max Griffin, Zak Ottow, and Khaos Williams. He expects Morono to pick McKee apart on the feet for three rounds and win a unanimous decision.

Unanimous decision; mentions Morono's win over Max Griffin and Khaos Williams
"I'm going with Alex Morono, it's a no-brainer in my opinion."
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Don'Tale Mayes

Don'Tale Mayes W

11-9
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00
Fight 9 VS Heavyweight Completed

Don'Tale Mayes

No odds available.

Roque Martinez

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Don'Tale Mayes

Age34
Height6' 6"
Reach81.0"
Weight260 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Roque Martinez

Age40
Height5' 10"
Reach72.0"
Weight250 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Don'Tale Mayes

3.22SLpM
43.0%Str. Acc.
3.61SApM
46.0%Str. Def.
0.59TD Avg
38.0%TD Acc.
46.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Roque Martinez

3.28SLpM
53.0%Str. Acc.
4.9SApM
56.0%Str. Def.
0.38TD Avg
50.0%TD Acc.
53.0%TD Def.
0.4Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (3)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 12, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Don'Tale Mayes

Big Brady picks Mayes due to significant height and reach advantages, and higher output. He expects a boring, low-output heavyweight fight and does not see a finish. He thinks the line is too wide and is not betting, but suggests the over 1.5 rounds has value.

over 1.5 rounds mentioned as having decent value
"i'm gonna take maze here um i'm not definitely not gonna bet the minus 230."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Don'Tale Mayes

Daniel picks Mayes by default, noting that Martinez is out of shape and should not be fighting. He acknowledges Mayes has had embarrassing losses but thinks his size and athleticism will prevail against an overweight opponent. He says if Martinez were in shape, he would pick him, but as it stands, Mayes should win.

"i'll go with dantel maze"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Don'Tale Mayes

The MMA Guru picks Don'Tale Mayes by TKO in the first or second round. He notes that Mayes' losses are to quality opponents like Ciryl Gane and Rodrigo Nascimento, while Roque Martinez is a 'fat guy' from the regional scene who took a beating from Alexander Romanov. He believes Mayes' amateur credentials and better competition will lead to a finish.

TKO in round 1 or 2; mentions Mayes' amateur career and Martinez's poor competition
"I'm going to be going with Don'Tale Mayes here, I'll go with Don'Tale Mayes winning this fight by TKO in the first or second round."
Fight Notes

No comments yet.