Karo Parisyan vs Nick Diaz

Nick Diaz

7-7

UFC 49: Unfinished Business · Aug 21, 2004 · Welterweight · Completed

Prev Fight UFC 49: Unfinished Business Next Fight

Age 43

Height 5' 10"

Reach 72.0"

Weight 170 lbs.

Stance Orthodox

UFC SD

Age 42

Height 6' 1"

Reach 76.0"

Weight 170 lbs.

Stance Southpaw

UFC SD

Career Averages - Karo Parisyan

2.49 SLpM

41.0% Str. Acc.

2.19 SApM

58.0% Str. Def.

5.27 TD Avg

59.0% TD Acc.

59.0% TD Def.

1.0 Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Nick Diaz

5.71 SLpM

42.0% Str. Acc.

3.84 SApM

59.0% Str. Def.

1.28 TD Avg

32.0% TD Acc.

60.0% TD Def.

1.0 Sub. Avg

Karo Parisyan - Fight History

LOSS vs Dennis Hallman

TKO (punches) R1 1:47 · UFC 123: Rampage vs. Machida · Nov 20, 2010

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Dennis Hallman	0	2 of 6	33%	5 of 9	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:58
Karo Parisyan	1	10 of 14	71%	18 of 22	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:05

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
1	Dennis Hallman	0	2 of 6	33%	5 of 9	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:58
1	Karo Parisyan	1	10 of 14	71%	18 of 22	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:05

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Dennis Hallman	2 of 6	33%	2 of 6	0 of 0	0 of 0	2 of 6	0 of 0	0 of 0
Karo Parisyan	10 of 14	71%	6 of 10	4 of 4	0 of 0	2 of 4	6 of 7	2 of 3

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Dennis Hallman	2 of 6	33%	2 of 6	0 of 0	0 of 0	2 of 6	0 of 0	0 of 0
1	Karo Parisyan	10 of 14	71%	6 of 10	4 of 4	0 of 0	2 of 4	6 of 7	2 of 3

LOSS vs Dong Hyun Kim

No Contest (overturned) R3 5:00 · UFC 94: St-Pierre vs. Penn 2 · Jan 31, 2009

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Karo Parisyan	0	24 of 47	51%	46 of 70	2 of 12	16%	1	0	5:14
Dong Hyun Kim	0	19 of 35	54%	47 of 64	2 of 6	33%	2	0	6:45

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Ctrl
1	Karo Parisyan	3 of 5	60%	9 of 12	0 of 1	0%	0	1:19
1	Dong Hyun Kim	10 of 14	71%	31 of 36	1 of 2	50%	2	3:15
2	Karo Parisyan	10 of 26	38%	15 of 31	1 of 5	20%	1	1:24
2	Dong Hyun Kim	4 of 16	25%	4 of 16	0 of 1	0%	0	1:45
3	Karo Parisyan	11 of 16	68%	22 of 27	1 of 6	16%	0	2:31
3	Dong Hyun Kim	5 of 5	100%	12 of 12	1 of 3	33%	0	1:45

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Karo Parisyan	24 of 47	51%	13 of 34	1 of 1	10 of 12	7 of 25	15 of 20	2 of 2
Dong Hyun Kim	19 of 35	54%	5 of 20	3 of 3	11 of 12	1 of 16	16 of 17	2 of 2

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Karo Parisyan	3 of 5	60%	3 of 5	0 of 0	0 of 0	2 of 4	0 of 0	1 of 1
1	Dong Hyun Kim	10 of 14	71%	2 of 5	0 of 0	8 of 9	0 of 3	8 of 9	2 of 2
2	Karo Parisyan	10 of 26	38%	5 of 21	0 of 0	5 of 5	3 of 17	7 of 9	0 of 0
2	Dong Hyun Kim	4 of 16	25%	2 of 14	1 of 1	1 of 1	1 of 13	3 of 3	0 of 0
3	Karo Parisyan	11 of 16	68%	5 of 8	1 of 1	5 of 7	2 of 4	8 of 11	1 of 1
3	Dong Hyun Kim	5 of 5	100%	1 of 1	2 of 2	2 of 2	0 of 0	5 of 5	0 of 0

LOSS vs Thiago Alves

TKO (punches) R2 0:34 · UFC Fight Night: Florian vs. Lauzon · Apr 02, 2008

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Thiago Alves	1	17 of 48	35%	17 of 48	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:02
Karo Parisyan	0	10 of 45	22%	21 of 56	1 of 4	25%	0	0	1:55

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Thiago Alves	0	11 of 37	29%	11 of 37	0 of 0	---	0:00
1	Karo Parisyan	0	10 of 40	25%	21 of 51	1 of 4	25%	1:55
2	Thiago Alves	1	6 of 11	54%	6 of 11	0 of 0	---	0:02
2	Karo Parisyan	0	0 of 5	0%	0 of 5	0 of 0	---	0:00

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Thiago Alves	17 of 48	35%	12 of 43	2 of 2	3 of 3	12 of 43	2 of 2	3 of 3
Karo Parisyan	10 of 45	22%	7 of 42	2 of 2	1 of 1	7 of 37	1 of 4	2 of 4

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Thiago Alves	11 of 37	29%	7 of 33	2 of 2	2 of 2	10 of 36	1 of 1	0 of 0
1	Karo Parisyan	10 of 40	25%	7 of 37	2 of 2	1 of 1	7 of 32	1 of 4	2 of 4
2	Thiago Alves	6 of 11	54%	5 of 10	0 of 0	1 of 1	2 of 7	1 of 1	3 of 3
2	Karo Parisyan	0 of 5	0%	0 of 5	0 of 0	0 of 0	0 of 5	0 of 0	0 of 0

WIN vs Ryo Chonan

Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 78: Validation · Nov 17, 2007

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Karo Parisyan	0	49 of 110	44%	117 of 186	7 of 9	77%	0	0	7:24
Ryo Chonan	0	35 of 87	40%	57 of 110	0 of 0	---	0	1	1:50

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Rev.	Ctrl
1	Karo Parisyan	13 of 35	37%	48 of 75	3 of 3	100%	0	3:31
1	Ryo Chonan	7 of 19	36%	23 of 36	0 of 0	---	0	0:24
2	Karo Parisyan	21 of 35	60%	44 of 60	3 of 3	100%	0	2:28
2	Ryo Chonan	13 of 30	43%	16 of 33	0 of 0	---	0	0:47
3	Karo Parisyan	15 of 40	37%	25 of 51	1 of 3	33%	0	1:25
3	Ryo Chonan	15 of 38	39%	18 of 41	0 of 0	---	1	0:39

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Karo Parisyan	49 of 110	44%	45 of 105	1 of 1	3 of 4	19 of 54	5 of 9	25 of 47
Ryo Chonan	35 of 87	40%	15 of 61	13 of 16	7 of 10	18 of 61	17 of 24	0 of 2

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Karo Parisyan	13 of 35	37%	12 of 34	0 of 0	1 of 1	5 of 11	1 of 3	7 of 21
1	Ryo Chonan	7 of 19	36%	1 of 11	3 of 4	3 of 4	5 of 15	2 of 4	0 of 0
2	Karo Parisyan	21 of 35	60%	20 of 34	0 of 0	1 of 1	5 of 13	2 of 3	14 of 19
2	Ryo Chonan	13 of 30	43%	5 of 20	5 of 6	3 of 4	5 of 19	8 of 11	0 of 0
3	Karo Parisyan	15 of 40	37%	13 of 37	1 of 1	1 of 2	9 of 30	2 of 3	4 of 7
3	Ryo Chonan	15 of 38	39%	9 of 30	5 of 6	1 of 2	8 of 27	7 of 9	0 of 2

WIN vs Joshua Burkman

Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 71: Liddell vs. Jackson · May 26, 2007

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Karo Parisyan	0	54 of 126	42%	58 of 130	2 of 7	28%	0	0	1:28
Joshua Burkman	0	16 of 91	17%	20 of 96	2 of 12	16%	0	0	2:36

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Karo Parisyan	20 of 43	46%	21 of 44	1 of 4	25%	0:46
1	Joshua Burkman	5 of 25	20%	6 of 26	1 of 7	14%	1:03
2	Karo Parisyan	24 of 59	40%	26 of 61	0 of 0	---	0:07
2	Joshua Burkman	8 of 39	20%	8 of 39	0 of 1	0%	0:00
3	Karo Parisyan	10 of 24	41%	11 of 25	1 of 3	33%	0:35
3	Joshua Burkman	3 of 27	11%	6 of 31	1 of 4	25%	1:33

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Karo Parisyan	54 of 126	42%	38 of 109	7 of 8	9 of 9	36 of 91	16 of 32	2 of 3
Joshua Burkman	16 of 91	17%	10 of 84	2 of 3	4 of 4	13 of 72	2 of 17	1 of 2

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Karo Parisyan	20 of 43	46%	13 of 36	3 of 3	4 of 4	11 of 25	7 of 15	2 of 3
1	Joshua Burkman	5 of 25	20%	2 of 21	0 of 1	3 of 3	3 of 17	1 of 6	1 of 2
2	Karo Parisyan	24 of 59	40%	16 of 50	3 of 4	5 of 5	20 of 49	4 of 10	0 of 0
2	Joshua Burkman	8 of 39	20%	5 of 36	2 of 2	1 of 1	7 of 33	1 of 6	0 of 0
3	Karo Parisyan	10 of 24	41%	9 of 23	1 of 1	0 of 0	5 of 17	5 of 7	0 of 0
3	Joshua Burkman	3 of 27	11%	3 of 27	0 of 0	0 of 0	3 of 22	0 of 5	0 of 0

WIN vs Drew Fickett

Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Sanchez vs. Riggs · Dec 13, 2006

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Karo Parisyan	0	56 of 147	38%	101 of 196	3 of 4	75%	0	0	4:45
Drew Fickett	0	47 of 128	36%	63 of 145	1 of 7	14%	0	0	1:12

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Karo Parisyan	19 of 50	38%	21 of 52	1 of 2	50%	0:27
1	Drew Fickett	23 of 56	41%	27 of 60	0 of 2	0%	0:00
2	Karo Parisyan	14 of 26	53%	55 of 70	1 of 1	100%	3:34
2	Drew Fickett	12 of 24	50%	22 of 35	1 of 1	100%	1:01
3	Karo Parisyan	23 of 71	32%	25 of 74	1 of 1	100%	0:44
3	Drew Fickett	12 of 48	25%	14 of 50	0 of 4	0%	0:11

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Karo Parisyan	56 of 147	38%	55 of 146	1 of 1	0 of 0	33 of 96	10 of 27	13 of 24
Drew Fickett	47 of 128	36%	21 of 92	11 of 13	15 of 23	27 of 91	9 of 17	11 of 20

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Karo Parisyan	19 of 50	38%	18 of 49	1 of 1	0 of 0	14 of 37	4 of 10	1 of 3
1	Drew Fickett	23 of 56	41%	6 of 33	6 of 7	11 of 16	17 of 47	6 of 9	0 of 0
2	Karo Parisyan	14 of 26	53%	14 of 26	0 of 0	0 of 0	1 of 3	1 of 4	12 of 19
2	Drew Fickett	12 of 24	50%	11 of 23	0 of 0	1 of 1	1 of 3	0 of 1	11 of 20
3	Karo Parisyan	23 of 71	32%	23 of 71	0 of 0	0 of 0	18 of 56	5 of 13	0 of 2
3	Drew Fickett	12 of 48	25%	4 of 36	5 of 6	3 of 6	9 of 41	3 of 7	0 of 0

LOSS vs Diego Sanchez

Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night 6 · Aug 17, 2006

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Diego Sanchez	0	66 of 108	61%	118 of 171	3 of 3	100%	1	1	4:53
Karo Parisyan	0	36 of 92	39%	78 of 139	9 of 10	90%	0	0	4:31

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
1	Diego Sanchez	10 of 23	43%	25 of 42	1 of 1	100%	0	0	1:23
1	Karo Parisyan	17 of 48	35%	29 of 60	3 of 4	75%	0	0	1:48
2	Diego Sanchez	24 of 36	66%	30 of 44	1 of 1	100%	0	0	1:21
2	Karo Parisyan	9 of 21	42%	26 of 41	4 of 4	100%	0	0	1:32
3	Diego Sanchez	32 of 49	65%	63 of 85	1 of 1	100%	1	1	2:09
3	Karo Parisyan	10 of 23	43%	23 of 38	2 of 2	100%	0	0	1:11

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Diego Sanchez	66 of 108	61%	36 of 77	30 of 31	0 of 0	19 of 48	15 of 19	32 of 41
Karo Parisyan	36 of 92	39%	36 of 92	0 of 0	0 of 0	21 of 56	6 of 12	9 of 24

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Diego Sanchez	10 of 23	43%	7 of 20	3 of 3	0 of 0	6 of 18	3 of 4	1 of 1
1	Karo Parisyan	17 of 48	35%	17 of 48	0 of 0	0 of 0	6 of 23	3 of 6	8 of 19
2	Diego Sanchez	24 of 36	66%	11 of 22	13 of 14	0 of 0	7 of 15	2 of 3	15 of 18
2	Karo Parisyan	9 of 21	42%	9 of 21	0 of 0	0 of 0	8 of 18	0 of 0	1 of 3
3	Diego Sanchez	32 of 49	65%	18 of 35	14 of 14	0 of 0	6 of 15	10 of 12	16 of 22
3	Karo Parisyan	10 of 23	43%	10 of 23	0 of 0	0 of 0	7 of 15	3 of 6	0 of 2

WIN vs Nick Thompson

TKO (punches) R1 4:44 · UFC 59: Reality Check · Apr 15, 2006

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Karo Parisyan	0	18 of 30	60%	23 of 41	2 of 3	66%	0	0	4:04
Nick Thompson	0	2 of 7	28%	4 of 9	1 of 1	100%	0	0	0:10

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
1	Karo Parisyan	0	18 of 30	60%	23 of 41	2 of 3	66%	0	0	4:04
1	Nick Thompson	0	2 of 7	28%	4 of 9	1 of 1	100%	0	0	0:10

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Karo Parisyan	18 of 30	60%	16 of 28	2 of 2	0 of 0	1 of 2	0 of 0	17 of 28
Nick Thompson	2 of 7	28%	1 of 6	0 of 0	1 of 1	1 of 2	1 of 3	0 of 2

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Karo Parisyan	18 of 30	60%	16 of 28	2 of 2	0 of 0	1 of 2	0 of 0	17 of 28
1	Nick Thompson	2 of 7	28%	1 of 6	0 of 0	1 of 1	1 of 2	1 of 3	0 of 2

View all 13 fights

Nick Diaz - Fight History

LOSS vs Robbie Lawler

TKO (retirement) R3 0:44 · UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · Sep 25, 2021

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Robbie Lawler	0	150 of 339	44%	150 of 339	0 of 1	0%	0	0	0:00
Nick Diaz	0	131 of 221	59%	131 of 221	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:14

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Robbie Lawler	71 of 176	40%	71 of 176	0 of 1	0%	0:00
1	Nick Diaz	57 of 107	53%	57 of 107	0 of 0	---	0:00
2	Robbie Lawler	73 of 145	50%	73 of 145	0 of 0	---	0:00
2	Nick Diaz	64 of 98	65%	64 of 98	0 of 0	---	0:04
3	Robbie Lawler	6 of 18	33%	6 of 18	0 of 0	---	0:00
3	Nick Diaz	10 of 16	62%	10 of 16	0 of 0	---	0:10

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Robbie Lawler	150 of 339	44%	114 of 294	36 of 45	0 of 0	144 of 331	6 of 8	0 of 0
Nick Diaz	131 of 221	59%	88 of 176	33 of 35	10 of 10	99 of 182	31 of 38	1 of 1

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Robbie Lawler	71 of 176	40%	54 of 155	17 of 21	0 of 0	70 of 174	1 of 2	0 of 0
1	Nick Diaz	57 of 107	53%	35 of 84	15 of 16	7 of 7	43 of 90	14 of 17	0 of 0
2	Robbie Lawler	73 of 145	50%	58 of 126	15 of 19	0 of 0	68 of 139	5 of 6	0 of 0
2	Nick Diaz	64 of 98	65%	47 of 80	15 of 16	2 of 2	47 of 77	17 of 21	0 of 0
3	Robbie Lawler	6 of 18	33%	2 of 13	4 of 5	0 of 0	6 of 18	0 of 0	0 of 0
3	Nick Diaz	10 of 16	62%	6 of 12	3 of 3	1 of 1	9 of 15	0 of 0	1 of 1

Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Sep 21, 2021 (4 days before fight)

Nick Diaz

Angelo picks Diaz, defying logic. He argues that Lawler has taken years of damage in wars, while Diaz has had five years off to heal. Angelo believes Diaz's high volume and chin will be key, and he expects Diaz to overwhelm Lawler with strikes.

Angelo played more more on Monkey Knife Fight, expecting a high-volume fight. He also mentions DraftKings pricing: Diaz at $7,000 is better value.

"I'm picking Nick Diaz and it defies all logic"

We Want Picks

Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Sep 21, 2021 (4 days before fight)

Robbie Lawler

Big Brady picks Robbie Lawler to win, but with very low confidence. He notes that Lawler has been more active, while Diaz hasn't fought in 6.5 years and hasn't won in 9.5 years. He admits there are too many unknowns to bet this fight and is picking Lawler simply because he's the more active fighter.

"i'll go robbie lawler but zero confidence"

DFS by the Numbers

Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 23, 2021 (2 days before fight)

Robbie Lawler

Cody picks Lawler, citing Diaz's long layoff, lack of recent wins, party lifestyle, and questionable training. He notes Lawler has been consistently training and competing against top competition. He also mentions Diaz's poor timing in recent sparring footage and the weight advantage Diaz may have, but still favors Lawler's activity and wrestling.

fight goes to decision (-125)

"i got to go with robbie but i'm so i'm so happy to see that diaz is back"

Bookie Beatdown

Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Sep 24, 2021 (1 day before fight)

Nick Diaz

Daniel Levi leans toward Nick Diaz, citing Robbie Lawler's decline since the Carlos Condit fight. He notes Lawler has lost to Ben Askren and Colby Covington, and his spirit seems diminished. Levi believes if Diaz doesn't fall over early, his volume and cardio in a five-round fight will be too much for Lawler. However, he acknowledges the uncertainty around Diaz's long layoff and conditioning, making this a low-confidence pick.

"i do kind of see nick diaz getting to him down the stretch this is a five round fight"

Half the Battle

Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked Sep 21, 2021 (4 days before fight)

Robbie Lawler

Jacob picks Lawler, citing his recent activity and that he hasn't been finished in his losses. He thinks Lawler will look sharper and that Diaz may struggle early after the layoff. Jacob doesn't love the pick but leans Lawler.

Jacob placed a bet on the fight going the distance at +105. He also agrees with more more on Monkey Knife Fight due to five rounds.

"my pick's actually going to be Robbie"

We Want Picks

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Sep 25, 2021 (fight day)

Nick Diaz

The host leans towards Nick Diaz by fourth-round TKO. He believes Diaz's durability and pace will be key in a five-round fight. He expects Diaz to weather Lawler's early storm and then put it on him later. He notes that both fighters have question marks and advises against betting this fight, but likes the over 2.5 rounds. He thinks Diaz's legendary chin will hold up.

Over 2.5 rounds at -200

"i'm gonna go nick diaz probably round four tko"

MMA Lock of the Night

Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 23, 2021 (2 days before fight)

Robbie Lawler

Paul picks Lawler, acknowledging the uncertainty around Diaz's form and motivation. He notes Diaz hasn't won in 10 years and looked poor against Anderson Silva. He expects Lawler to be in shape and possibly use wrestling. He is interested in the weigh-ins for clues.

"i think robbie lawler that's where the money seems to be moving in right now robbie lawler would be my pick"

Bookie Beatdown

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 19, 2021 (6 days before fight)

Robbie Lawler

The MMA Guru picks Robbie Lawler over Nick Diaz, despite acknowledging the possibility of a Diaz win. He cites Diaz's six-year layoff and questionable lifestyle, while Lawler has been active and trains daily. He expects Lawler to come out explosive and finish Diaz by first-round TKO, possibly with calf kicks. He notes that Lawler sees this as a retirement opportunity and will be motivated. He also mentions that Diaz's boxing-heavy style leaves him vulnerable to leg kicks.

first round tko, calf kicks

"i'm gonna go with robbie lawler here ... i think lawler's going to come out real explosive and i think he's going to get a first round ko over nick diaz"

THE MMA GURU

LOSS vs Anderson Silva

No Contest (overturned) R5 5:00 · UFC 183: Silva vs. Diaz · Jan 31, 2015

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Anderson Silva	0	108 of 217	49%	108 of 217	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:03
Nick Diaz	0	77 of 223	34%	80 of 226	0 of 1	0%	0	0	0:02

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Anderson Silva	21 of 40	52%	21 of 40	0 of 0	---	0:03
1	Nick Diaz	19 of 60	31%	19 of 60	0 of 0	---	0:00
2	Anderson Silva	21 of 39	53%	21 of 39	0 of 0	---	0:00
2	Nick Diaz	15 of 37	40%	15 of 37	0 of 1	0%	0:00
3	Anderson Silva	25 of 53	47%	25 of 53	0 of 0	---	0:00
3	Nick Diaz	18 of 44	40%	18 of 44	0 of 0	---	0:00
4	Anderson Silva	15 of 28	53%	15 of 28	0 of 0	---	0:00
4	Nick Diaz	14 of 41	34%	14 of 41	0 of 0	---	0:00
5	Anderson Silva	26 of 57	45%	26 of 57	0 of 0	---	0:00
5	Nick Diaz	11 of 41	26%	14 of 44	0 of 0	---	0:02

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Anderson Silva	108 of 217	49%	57 of 155	14 of 19	37 of 43	103 of 209	5 of 8	0 of 0
Nick Diaz	77 of 223	34%	39 of 140	11 of 31	27 of 52	72 of 207	5 of 16	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Anderson Silva	21 of 40	52%	13 of 29	4 of 5	4 of 6	17 of 34	4 of 6	0 of 0
1	Nick Diaz	19 of 60	31%	11 of 43	3 of 7	5 of 10	18 of 54	1 of 6	0 of 0
2	Anderson Silva	21 of 39	53%	11 of 29	2 of 2	8 of 8	21 of 39	0 of 0	0 of 0
2	Nick Diaz	15 of 37	40%	7 of 25	2 of 4	6 of 8	14 of 34	1 of 3	0 of 0
3	Anderson Silva	25 of 53	47%	11 of 34	4 of 7	10 of 12	25 of 53	0 of 0	0 of 0
3	Nick Diaz	18 of 44	40%	9 of 24	3 of 7	6 of 13	16 of 42	2 of 2	0 of 0
4	Anderson Silva	15 of 28	53%	4 of 15	4 of 5	7 of 8	15 of 28	0 of 0	0 of 0
4	Nick Diaz	14 of 41	34%	5 of 22	3 of 7	6 of 12	13 of 37	1 of 4	0 of 0
5	Anderson Silva	26 of 57	45%	18 of 48	0 of 0	8 of 9	25 of 55	1 of 2	0 of 0
5	Nick Diaz	11 of 41	26%	7 of 26	0 of 6	4 of 9	11 of 40	0 of 1	0 of 0

LOSS vs Georges St-Pierre

Decision (unanimous) (50–45, 50–45, 50–45) R5 5:00 · UFC 158: St-Pierre vs. Diaz · Mar 16, 2013

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Georges St-Pierre	0	105 of 167	62%	210 of 285	9 of 16	56%	0	0	13:44
Nick Diaz	0	41 of 136	30%	80 of 176	0 of 0	---	1	0	0:36

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Ctrl
1	Georges St-Pierre	12 of 21	57%	54 of 68	3 of 3	100%	0	4:50
1	Nick Diaz	1 of 4	25%	6 of 9	0 of 0	---	0	0:00
2	Georges St-Pierre	18 of 29	62%	41 of 58	1 of 1	100%	0	3:17
2	Nick Diaz	3 of 20	15%	18 of 35	0 of 0	---	0	0:00
3	Georges St-Pierre	28 of 54	51%	40 of 67	2 of 5	40%	0	1:29
3	Nick Diaz	15 of 42	35%	17 of 44	0 of 0	---	0	0:00
4	Georges St-Pierre	24 of 31	77%	38 of 46	2 of 5	40%	0	2:12
4	Nick Diaz	11 of 38	28%	17 of 44	0 of 0	---	1	0:00
5	Georges St-Pierre	23 of 32	71%	37 of 46	1 of 2	50%	0	1:56
5	Nick Diaz	11 of 32	34%	22 of 44	0 of 0	---	0	0:36

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Georges St-Pierre	105 of 167	62%	69 of 123	22 of 27	14 of 17	62 of 106	11 of 12	32 of 49
Nick Diaz	41 of 136	30%	19 of 99	19 of 29	3 of 8	24 of 113	17 of 23	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Georges St-Pierre	12 of 21	57%	9 of 18	1 of 1	2 of 2	2 of 3	2 of 2	8 of 16
1	Nick Diaz	1 of 4	25%	1 of 4	0 of 0	0 of 0	1 of 4	0 of 0	0 of 0
2	Georges St-Pierre	18 of 29	62%	11 of 18	4 of 5	3 of 6	8 of 17	1 of 1	9 of 11
2	Nick Diaz	3 of 20	15%	2 of 15	1 of 3	0 of 2	3 of 20	0 of 0	0 of 0
3	Georges St-Pierre	28 of 54	51%	21 of 44	3 of 6	4 of 4	23 of 46	0 of 0	5 of 8
3	Nick Diaz	15 of 42	35%	12 of 38	1 of 2	2 of 2	15 of 42	0 of 0	0 of 0
4	Georges St-Pierre	24 of 31	77%	17 of 24	4 of 4	3 of 3	20 of 27	1 of 1	3 of 3
4	Nick Diaz	11 of 38	28%	2 of 24	9 of 13	0 of 1	2 of 27	9 of 11	0 of 0
5	Georges St-Pierre	23 of 32	71%	11 of 19	10 of 11	2 of 2	9 of 13	7 of 8	7 of 11
5	Nick Diaz	11 of 32	34%	2 of 18	8 of 11	1 of 3	3 of 20	8 of 12	0 of 0

LOSS vs Carlos Condit

Decision (unanimous) (48–47, 49–46, 49–46) R5 5:00 · UFC 143: Diaz vs. Condit · Feb 04, 2012

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Carlos Condit	0	105 of 246	42%	117 of 258	1 of 3	33%	0	0	1:45
Nick Diaz	0	151 of 320	47%	159 of 329	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:04

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Carlos Condit	23 of 55	41%	28 of 60	0 of 0	---	0:04
1	Nick Diaz	29 of 63	46%	30 of 64	0 of 0	---	0:00
2	Carlos Condit	32 of 64	50%	35 of 67	0 of 0	---	0:04
2	Nick Diaz	29 of 78	37%	29 of 78	0 of 0	---	0:00
3	Carlos Condit	22 of 54	40%	24 of 56	0 of 0	---	0:02
3	Nick Diaz	32 of 72	44%	33 of 74	0 of 0	---	0:00
4	Carlos Condit	11 of 28	39%	11 of 28	0 of 2	0%	0:11
4	Nick Diaz	36 of 63	57%	37 of 64	0 of 0	---	0:00
5	Carlos Condit	17 of 45	37%	19 of 47	1 of 1	100%	1:24
5	Nick Diaz	25 of 44	56%	30 of 49	0 of 0	---	0:04

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Carlos Condit	105 of 246	42%	57 of 177	42 of 59	6 of 10	103 of 242	1 of 3	1 of 1
Nick Diaz	151 of 320	47%	52 of 192	31 of 41	68 of 87	150 of 318	1 of 2	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Carlos Condit	23 of 55	41%	14 of 43	8 of 10	1 of 2	22 of 54	1 of 1	0 of 0
1	Nick Diaz	29 of 63	46%	7 of 35	6 of 8	16 of 20	29 of 63	0 of 0	0 of 0
2	Carlos Condit	32 of 64	50%	19 of 47	12 of 16	1 of 1	32 of 63	0 of 1	0 of 0
2	Nick Diaz	29 of 78	37%	9 of 52	9 of 10	11 of 16	29 of 77	0 of 1	0 of 0
3	Carlos Condit	22 of 54	40%	13 of 43	8 of 10	1 of 1	21 of 53	0 of 0	1 of 1
3	Nick Diaz	32 of 72	44%	10 of 44	7 of 11	15 of 17	31 of 71	1 of 1	0 of 0
4	Carlos Condit	11 of 28	39%	2 of 17	8 of 9	1 of 2	11 of 28	0 of 0	0 of 0
4	Nick Diaz	36 of 63	57%	13 of 32	6 of 8	17 of 23	36 of 63	0 of 0	0 of 0
5	Carlos Condit	17 of 45	37%	9 of 27	6 of 14	2 of 4	17 of 44	0 of 1	0 of 0
5	Nick Diaz	25 of 44	56%	13 of 29	3 of 4	9 of 11	25 of 44	0 of 0	0 of 0

WIN vs B.J. Penn

Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 137: Penn vs. Diaz · Oct 29, 2011

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Nick Diaz	0	88 of 164	53%	107 of 184	1 of 4	25%	0	0	1:25
B.J. Penn	0	178 of 350	50%	257 of 436	0 of 0	---	0	0	3:23

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Ctrl
1	Nick Diaz	33 of 48	68%	49 of 64	1 of 1	100%	1:24
1	B.J. Penn	20 of 48	41%	39 of 70	0 of 0	---	1:06
2	Nick Diaz	19 of 42	45%	20 of 43	0 of 1	0%	0:00
2	B.J. Penn	83 of 144	57%	127 of 190	0 of 0	---	1:45
3	Nick Diaz	36 of 74	48%	38 of 77	0 of 2	0%	0:01
3	B.J. Penn	75 of 158	47%	91 of 176	0 of 0	---	0:32

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Nick Diaz	88 of 164	53%	76 of 149	12 of 15	0 of 0	71 of 140	15 of 20	2 of 4
B.J. Penn	178 of 350	50%	136 of 296	39 of 51	3 of 3	150 of 309	28 of 41	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Nick Diaz	33 of 48	68%	23 of 37	10 of 11	0 of 0	20 of 32	11 of 12	2 of 4
1	B.J. Penn	20 of 48	41%	15 of 38	4 of 9	1 of 1	14 of 37	6 of 11	0 of 0
2	Nick Diaz	19 of 42	45%	19 of 42	0 of 0	0 of 0	18 of 40	1 of 2	0 of 0
2	B.J. Penn	83 of 144	57%	61 of 119	21 of 24	1 of 1	69 of 124	14 of 20	0 of 0
3	Nick Diaz	36 of 74	48%	34 of 70	2 of 4	0 of 0	33 of 68	3 of 6	0 of 0
3	B.J. Penn	75 of 158	47%	60 of 139	14 of 18	1 of 1	67 of 148	8 of 10	0 of 0

WIN vs Gleison Tibau

TKO (punches) R2 2:27 · UFC 65: Bad Intentions · Nov 18, 2006

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Nick Diaz	0	24 of 51	47%	117 of 158	0 of 1	0%	1	1	3:17
Gleison Tibau	0	0 of 9	0%	7 of 16	0 of 3	0%	1	0	3:42

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
1	Nick Diaz	11 of 24	45%	68 of 86	0 of 1	0%	1	1	1:57
1	Gleison Tibau	0 of 9	0%	7 of 16	0 of 0	---	1	0	2:58
2	Nick Diaz	13 of 27	48%	49 of 72	0 of 0	---	0	0	1:20
2	Gleison Tibau	0 of 0	---	0 of 0	0 of 3	0%	0	0	0:44

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Nick Diaz	24 of 51	47%	24 of 51	0 of 0	0 of 0	1 of 2	0 of 0	23 of 49
Gleison Tibau	0 of 9	0%	0 of 9	0 of 0	0 of 0	0 of 1	0 of 0	0 of 8

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Nick Diaz	11 of 24	45%	11 of 24	0 of 0	0 of 0	0 of 0	0 of 0	11 of 24
1	Gleison Tibau	0 of 9	0%	0 of 9	0 of 0	0 of 0	0 of 1	0 of 0	0 of 8
2	Nick Diaz	13 of 27	48%	13 of 27	0 of 0	0 of 0	1 of 2	0 of 0	12 of 25
2	Gleison Tibau	0 of 0	---	0 of 0	0 of 0	0 of 0	0 of 0	0 of 0	0 of 0

WIN vs Josh Neer

Submission (kimura) R3 1:42 · UFC 62: Liddell vs. Sobral · Aug 26, 2006

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Nick Diaz	0	75 of 199	37%	186 of 328	3 of 5	60%	1	0	2:01
Josh Neer	0	25 of 62	40%	33 of 71	0 of 2	0%	0	0	1:12

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Ctrl
1	Nick Diaz	35 of 88	39%	84 of 142	0 of 0	---	0	0:13
1	Josh Neer	12 of 28	42%	15 of 31	0 of 1	0%	0	0:55
2	Nick Diaz	39 of 105	37%	100 of 177	2 of 3	66%	0	0:53
2	Josh Neer	10 of 28	35%	12 of 31	0 of 0	---	0	0:13
3	Nick Diaz	1 of 6	16%	2 of 9	1 of 2	50%	1	0:55
3	Josh Neer	3 of 6	50%	6 of 9	0 of 1	0%	0	0:04

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Nick Diaz	75 of 199	37%	49 of 164	23 of 31	3 of 4	35 of 133	39 of 61	1 of 5
Josh Neer	25 of 62	40%	15 of 52	6 of 6	4 of 4	12 of 36	13 of 26	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Nick Diaz	35 of 88	39%	20 of 69	13 of 17	2 of 2	14 of 59	21 of 29	0 of 0
1	Josh Neer	12 of 28	42%	5 of 21	4 of 4	3 of 3	5 of 16	7 of 12	0 of 0
2	Nick Diaz	39 of 105	37%	29 of 92	9 of 12	1 of 1	21 of 72	17 of 30	1 of 3
2	Josh Neer	10 of 28	35%	8 of 26	1 of 1	1 of 1	5 of 15	5 of 13	0 of 0
3	Nick Diaz	1 of 6	16%	0 of 3	1 of 2	0 of 1	0 of 2	1 of 2	0 of 2
3	Josh Neer	3 of 6	50%	2 of 5	1 of 1	0 of 0	2 of 5	1 of 1	0 of 0

LOSS vs Sean Sherk

Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 59: Reality Check · Apr 15, 2006

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Sean Sherk	0	39 of 155	25%	80 of 198	2 of 19	10%	0	1	3:46
Nick Diaz	0	57 of 136	41%	131 of 210	1 of 1	100%	3	1	1:26

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
1	Sean Sherk	11 of 54	20%	14 of 57	0 of 10	0%	0	0	2:03
1	Nick Diaz	15 of 34	44%	21 of 40	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:17
2	Sean Sherk	9 of 46	19%	31 of 68	1 of 5	20%	0	1	1:06
2	Nick Diaz	21 of 53	39%	61 of 93	1 of 1	100%	1	1	0:44
3	Sean Sherk	19 of 55	34%	35 of 73	1 of 4	25%	0	0	0:37
3	Nick Diaz	21 of 49	42%	49 of 77	0 of 0	---	2	0	0:25

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Sean Sherk	39 of 155	25%	30 of 146	5 of 5	4 of 4	17 of 90	22 of 65	0 of 0
Nick Diaz	57 of 136	41%	47 of 125	9 of 10	1 of 1	45 of 116	11 of 18	1 of 2

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Sean Sherk	11 of 54	20%	10 of 53	1 of 1	0 of 0	5 of 32	6 of 22	0 of 0
1	Nick Diaz	15 of 34	44%	13 of 32	2 of 2	0 of 0	13 of 29	2 of 5	0 of 0
2	Sean Sherk	9 of 46	19%	7 of 44	2 of 2	0 of 0	3 of 25	6 of 21	0 of 0
2	Nick Diaz	21 of 53	39%	18 of 49	3 of 4	0 of 0	17 of 46	3 of 5	1 of 2
3	Sean Sherk	19 of 55	34%	13 of 49	2 of 2	4 of 4	9 of 33	10 of 22	0 of 0
3	Nick Diaz	21 of 49	42%	16 of 44	4 of 4	1 of 1	15 of 41	6 of 8	0 of 0

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