UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · May 30, 2026 · Welterweight · Scheduled
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Age 31
Height 6' 2"
Reach 73"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 24
Height 6' 3"
Reach 79"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Ding Meng
3.4 SLpM
50.0% Str. Acc.
3.87 SApM
48.0% Str. Def.
1.0 TD Avg
50.0% TD Acc.
0.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Jose Henrique
3.45 SLpM
43.0% Str. Acc.
5.79 SApM
38.0% Str. Def.
0.0 TD Avg
0.0% TD Acc.
0.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Ding Meng
Moneyline
Matchbook -110
KO/TKO
Cloudbet 2.89
Submission
Cloudbet 22.31
Decision
FanDuel +450
Jose Henrique
Moneyline
Unibet Eu +128
KO/TKO
Cloudbet 5.50
Submission
Cloudbet 11.22
Decision
Cloudbet 4.02
Ding Meng - Fight History
SCHED vs Jose Henrique
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Meng Ding vs. Jose Henrique Souza
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Ding (-125); Souza (+110)

Round 1
They may both have lost on
Dana White's Contender Series
, but welterweight hopefuls Ding (35-9) and Souza (8-1) get the call here anyway. The difference in experience is one of the widest in modern UFC history; we’ll see if it shows in the cage. Vitor “Shaolin” Ribeiro will be in charge of rules enforcement once the action starts, and at a word from Ribeiro, they go to work in the center of the cage. Both fighters are orthodox, and Souza’s advantage in height appears to be closer to six inches than the one inch advertised by the tale of the tape. His reach is also much greater, especially with his legs, but it makes little difference in the early going, as Ding bounces around on the outside, then enters range with single leg kicks or jabs. Souza sticks Ding with a one-two that snaps his head back and reddens his face. Ding shakes it off but appears wary to enter the pocket again, reacting to Souza’s every feint. Ding hacks at the lead leg with an outside kick, then another. Halfway through the round, it’s Souza’s long jab and right cross against Ding’s persistent calf kicks, and Ding starts to pull ahead. Ding backs Souza to the fence and explodes into range with a trio of punches to the head and chest. Souza circles away from the fence and pops Ding with a nice jab, but his punching volume has waned badly. The horn sounds.
10-9 Ding.

Round 2
Souza immediately reaches out with the jab, and appears to be waiting on Ding’s calf kicks, looking to counter. Ding marches him down, and Souza meets him with a nice kick to the body. Ding is struggling to get inside Souza’s huge range early, but he lands his first calf kick of the round about 40 seconds in and it’s a good one. Souza catches Ming entering the pocket and meets him with a flush knee to the jaw that has the Chinese fighter backing away. Souza stays disciplined but pursues, looking to capitalize. Ding recovers quickly, but Souza steps into the pocket and meets him with a boot right up the middle that lands mostly on the cup. “Shaolin” pauses the action, but Ding takes only a few seconds to recover. When they resume, Souza has gone southpaw, perhaps in deference to the damage his left leg has already taken, and his right jab is immediately in Ding’s face. Ding catches a kick, rushes forward and corrals Souza against the fence with a flurry of punches that mostly glance off the arms. With under a minute to go, they have returned to the center of the cage and Ding is very much the aggressor, charging into range with punches. The horn sounds.
10-9 Ding.

Round 3
Between rounds, Souza refutes his cornermen’s claim that he’s winning the fight, and we’d have to agree. In any case, he is southpaw once again and comes forward with that long right jab. Ding is patient, flicking out low kicks and trying to answer Souza’s jab with his own. Ding’s mix of vertical and lateral movement in the pocket are making it difficult for Souza to land anything clean. Ding is trying his own jab much more than he was when Souza was in orthodox stance, but it’s still coming up badly short. Ding steps into range with three punches, but Souza parries them and answers with a left cross. Ding lands his first really solid kick to the lead right leg of southpaw Souza and the leg nearly buckles, not good news for a man already down to Plan B on the feet. Ding is pursuing, but failing to cut off the cage, his footwork not nearly as slick off the front foot. However, he manages to corral his man against the fence and clocks him with a nice overhand right before Souza slides out the side. Souza plants his feet near the middle of the cage and lands a good left hand, but then starts doing some strange showboating or taunting with nearly 30 seconds left, pointing variously at the Octagon floor, the crowd and his opponent. It doesn’t accomplish anything, but it also doesn’t quite cost him the round, on our scorecard at least. The horn sounds on the first mediocre fight of the night.
10-9 Souza (29-28 Ding).

The Official Result
Jose Henrique Souza def. Meng Ding via Split Decision (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked May 18, 2026 (12 days before fight)
Jose Henrique

AJ picks Henrique, citing his youth (24), length, and violent striking style. He thinks Henrique's Thai clinch, elbows, and knees will be too much for the older Ding Meng, who he suspects is older than listed. AJ expects a KO win for Henrique, noting Ding's aggressive style plays into Henrique's brawling strengths.

Jose Henrique wins by KO/TKO
"I'm going with Jose Henrique. He got knocked out by Yusaku Kinoshita almost four years ago now. I know that's a red flag, and people might auto pick against him because of it. But, Mang Ding got dominated by Ramy …"
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Lean picked May 26, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Jose Henrique

AJ likes Jose Henrique's tricky style, noting he is a Nova Uniao prospect with heavy hands and good elbows. He thinks Henrique's close-range weapons (elbows, knees) will be effective against Meng Ding, who smothers his shots and ends up in the clinch. AJ also questions Meng Ding's age, suspecting he is older than listed. He predicts Henrique finds a finish in a fun fight.

"I like Jose Henrique in this one. ... I'm going to say Henrique finds a finish in a fun fight."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Lean picked May 27, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Jose Henrique

AJ picks Jose Henrique as a slight underdog, citing his Muay Thai edge and close-range violence with knees and elbows. He notes that Ding Meng smothers his shots and has a bad habit of clinching, which plays into Henrique's strengths. AJ predicts a late stoppage, possibly in round three, but acknowledges it's a close fight.

Henrique and Ding to go over 1.5 rounds -170 mentioned as a prop; moneyline at +105
"I think that Henrique is live for like a third round finish of Mang Ding."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 29, 2026 (fight day)
Ding Meng

Angelo picks Ding Meng, calling him a 'complete savage' with 28 knockout wins. He believes Jose Henrique is too hittable and that Ding's power and aggression will lead to a finish or high score. He is surprised by the pricing and thinks Ding is a discount.

finish possible; will be in lineup; solid discount
"Mang Ding is the pick. He will be in my lineup and I think we're getting just a solid discount in this matchup."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 24, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Ding Meng

Angelo is confident that Ding Meng will win, citing his experience, power, and aggressive style. He notes that Henrique relies on wearing opponents down, but Ding is too dangerous and too good a grappler to be caught in that game. He has already placed a half-unit bet on Ding at -115 and expects the line to continue moving.

bet 0.5 units on Ding at -115
"Mang is the pick. And I threw a half a unit on him at minus 115."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 27, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ding Meng

Angelo picks Ding Meng because he has a ton of experience, is a menace, and is too dangerous. He notes that Ding has 28 knockout wins and is a much larger favorite than the odds suggest. He bet on Ding at minus 115.

"I like Mang here. I did bet on him. I bet on him at minus 115. I am surprised that this is even How the hell is he just a slight favorite?"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 26, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ding Meng

Big Brady picks Ding Meng by second-round knockout, expecting a sloppy brawl. He describes Ding as a marauder who comes forward, eats punches, and breaks opponents, with 28 career KOs. He criticizes Henrique's defense, chin, and backing-up style, predicting Henrique gets knocked out brutally.

second round knockout
"I'm going Ding Ming to win this fight by second round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 27, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Jose Henrique

Cody picks Henrique, citing his youth (24), height (6'3), reach (79 in), and potential. He notes that Ding is a 45-fight veteran who hasn't improved and is only on the card because it's in China. Henrique was supposed to fight a better opponent (Charles Radtke) and has had a full camp. Cody believes Henrique's length and work rate will be too much for Ding.

Henrique moneyline; Henrique by decision or late finish
"I think Enrique wins this fight and it's a good enough uh money line that I I would play it."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 28, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Jose Henrique

Connor picks Jose Henrique Sousa because he is bigger than Ding, likes the clinch just as much, and is the more violent athlete. Ding is slow and will put himself in Henrique's comfort range. Connor acknowledges the fight could be awful if both square off, but Henrique is the pick.

"Jose Henrique Sousa is the pick."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked May 27, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Jose Henrique

Jacob picks Jose Henrique as a slight dog because he likes his length, jab, and knees in the clinch. He notes that Jose doesn't have typical tall guy defense and can sit in the pocket. He thinks the odds are close for a reason and that Jose can keep Ding at bay.

"I'm taking a little bit of a a dog here. I think that these odds are close for a reason. And I think there's some people with some money on Jose that know that this guy's kind of got a …"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked May 23, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Ding Meng

Lucrative James picks Ding Meng on experience, noting his 44 pro fights and ability to weather storms. He thinks Jose Henrique is young and gets hit too much, and despite his power, he can be dragged into wars and has poor defense. He predicts a decision win for Meng, but calls the fight volatile and says he may not bet it unless the under 2.5 rounds line is good.

Under 2.5 rounds (if good price)
"I'm going to say Mending wings the fight. I'm going to say Mending has too much experience."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 25, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Ding Meng

The host picks Ding Meng, believing his durability and aggressive striking will overwhelm Henrique. He notes Henrique is too hittable and lacks the speed to avoid Ding's power. He expects Ding to crash the pocket and land big shots, leading to a knockout win. He considers minus 125 a steal.

I personally think minus 125 is a bit of a steal of a line on Mang, so I don't mind, you know, taking a decent bit of him here.
"I'm going to go Mang. I think he repeatedly uh drops hurts on Hiki and I think he eventually gets himself a knockout win here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 27, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Ding Meng

The host picks Ding Meng over Jose Henrique, expecting Meng to put together an aggressive striking game and land big shots, ultimately winning by knockout.

by knockout
"I think it's going to be Mang who's going to put together a better aggressive striking game moving forward, landing big shots. And I think he finds that big shot to tumble the towering Brazilian here as Mangding wins this …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 27, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Jose Henrique

Paul picks Henrique but admits he hates both fighters. He notes Ding's chin issues and Henrique's training with Andre Pederneiras. However, he is not confident and calls it a leap of faith. He thinks both are terrible but sides with Henrique based on potential growth.

"I'm going to pick the kid um Jose Souza. And that's just kind of like an assessment based off potential growth."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 20, 2026 (9 days before fight)
Ding Meng

The Guru picks Meng Ding over Jose Sousa, favoring Ding's experience and power. He believes Ding's aggressive pocket boxing and knockout power will overwhelm the younger, lanky Sousa, who lacks notable wins. He expects Ding to close the distance and land a knockout shot.

"I'm picking Meng Ding to win this fight."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 20, 2026 (9 days before fight)
Ding Meng

The MMA Guru picks Ding Meng to win by knockout. He is very excited about Ding Meng's signing and believes his aggressive pressure and dirty boxing will overwhelm Jose Henrique, who has poor tall man's defense. He notes Ding Meng's 44 professional fights and his ability to throw down in the pocket.

"Ding's finding that chin, man. He's finding a knockout."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked May 26, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Ding Meng

The Guru sides with Ming's experience and power, expecting a finish from either side. He notes Henrique has a good jab and knees but weaker open-mat takedown defense. Ming has a good kick arsenal and dirty boxing. He admits low confidence and expects someone gets knocked out or submitted.

finish likely
"I'm gonna side with the experience of Ming. But golly, this is not a very confident read."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 28, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Jose Henrique

Zane picks Jose Henrique Sousa because he is taller, more dynamic, faster, and has a powerful clinch game. Ding Meng is a slow wall-and-stall artist who will put himself in the range where Henrique is comfortable. Zane notes both fighters are not ready for this level, but Henrique is the more plausible fighter.

Odds mentioned: Ding Meng -120, Henrique +100
"Jose Henrique Sousa is the pick. Neither man should be near this level, but Henrique is the more plausible fighter."
Jose Henrique - Fight History
SCHED vs Ding Meng
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Meng Ding vs. Jose Henrique Souza
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Ding (-125); Souza (+110)

Round 1
They may both have lost on
Dana White's Contender Series
, but welterweight hopefuls Ding (35-9) and Souza (8-1) get the call here anyway. The difference in experience is one of the widest in modern UFC history; we’ll see if it shows in the cage. Vitor “Shaolin” Ribeiro will be in charge of rules enforcement once the action starts, and at a word from Ribeiro, they go to work in the center of the cage. Both fighters are orthodox, and Souza’s advantage in height appears to be closer to six inches than the one inch advertised by the tale of the tape. His reach is also much greater, especially with his legs, but it makes little difference in the early going, as Ding bounces around on the outside, then enters range with single leg kicks or jabs. Souza sticks Ding with a one-two that snaps his head back and reddens his face. Ding shakes it off but appears wary to enter the pocket again, reacting to Souza’s every feint. Ding hacks at the lead leg with an outside kick, then another. Halfway through the round, it’s Souza’s long jab and right cross against Ding’s persistent calf kicks, and Ding starts to pull ahead. Ding backs Souza to the fence and explodes into range with a trio of punches to the head and chest. Souza circles away from the fence and pops Ding with a nice jab, but his punching volume has waned badly. The horn sounds.
10-9 Ding.

Round 2
Souza immediately reaches out with the jab, and appears to be waiting on Ding’s calf kicks, looking to counter. Ding marches him down, and Souza meets him with a nice kick to the body. Ding is struggling to get inside Souza’s huge range early, but he lands his first calf kick of the round about 40 seconds in and it’s a good one. Souza catches Ming entering the pocket and meets him with a flush knee to the jaw that has the Chinese fighter backing away. Souza stays disciplined but pursues, looking to capitalize. Ding recovers quickly, but Souza steps into the pocket and meets him with a boot right up the middle that lands mostly on the cup. “Shaolin” pauses the action, but Ding takes only a few seconds to recover. When they resume, Souza has gone southpaw, perhaps in deference to the damage his left leg has already taken, and his right jab is immediately in Ding’s face. Ding catches a kick, rushes forward and corrals Souza against the fence with a flurry of punches that mostly glance off the arms. With under a minute to go, they have returned to the center of the cage and Ding is very much the aggressor, charging into range with punches. The horn sounds.
10-9 Ding.

Round 3
Between rounds, Souza refutes his cornermen’s claim that he’s winning the fight, and we’d have to agree. In any case, he is southpaw once again and comes forward with that long right jab. Ding is patient, flicking out low kicks and trying to answer Souza’s jab with his own. Ding’s mix of vertical and lateral movement in the pocket are making it difficult for Souza to land anything clean. Ding is trying his own jab much more than he was when Souza was in orthodox stance, but it’s still coming up badly short. Ding steps into range with three punches, but Souza parries them and answers with a left cross. Ding lands his first really solid kick to the lead right leg of southpaw Souza and the leg nearly buckles, not good news for a man already down to Plan B on the feet. Ding is pursuing, but failing to cut off the cage, his footwork not nearly as slick off the front foot. However, he manages to corral his man against the fence and clocks him with a nice overhand right before Souza slides out the side. Souza plants his feet near the middle of the cage and lands a good left hand, but then starts doing some strange showboating or taunting with nearly 30 seconds left, pointing variously at the Octagon floor, the crowd and his opponent. It doesn’t accomplish anything, but it also doesn’t quite cost him the round, on our scorecard at least. The horn sounds on the first mediocre fight of the night.
10-9 Souza (29-28 Ding).

The Official Result
Jose Henrique Souza def. Meng Ding via Split Decision (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked May 18, 2026 (12 days before fight)
Jose Henrique

AJ picks Henrique, citing his youth (24), length, and violent striking style. He thinks Henrique's Thai clinch, elbows, and knees will be too much for the older Ding Meng, who he suspects is older than listed. AJ expects a KO win for Henrique, noting Ding's aggressive style plays into Henrique's brawling strengths.

Jose Henrique wins by KO/TKO
"I'm going with Jose Henrique. He got knocked out by Yusaku Kinoshita almost four years ago now. I know that's a red flag, and people might auto pick against him because of it. But, Mang Ding got dominated by Ramy …"
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Lean picked May 26, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Jose Henrique

AJ likes Jose Henrique's tricky style, noting he is a Nova Uniao prospect with heavy hands and good elbows. He thinks Henrique's close-range weapons (elbows, knees) will be effective against Meng Ding, who smothers his shots and ends up in the clinch. AJ also questions Meng Ding's age, suspecting he is older than listed. He predicts Henrique finds a finish in a fun fight.

"I like Jose Henrique in this one. ... I'm going to say Henrique finds a finish in a fun fight."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Lean picked May 27, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Jose Henrique

AJ picks Jose Henrique as a slight underdog, citing his Muay Thai edge and close-range violence with knees and elbows. He notes that Ding Meng smothers his shots and has a bad habit of clinching, which plays into Henrique's strengths. AJ predicts a late stoppage, possibly in round three, but acknowledges it's a close fight.

Henrique and Ding to go over 1.5 rounds -170 mentioned as a prop; moneyline at +105
"I think that Henrique is live for like a third round finish of Mang Ding."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 29, 2026 (fight day)
Ding Meng

Angelo picks Ding Meng, calling him a 'complete savage' with 28 knockout wins. He believes Jose Henrique is too hittable and that Ding's power and aggression will lead to a finish or high score. He is surprised by the pricing and thinks Ding is a discount.

finish possible; will be in lineup; solid discount
"Mang Ding is the pick. He will be in my lineup and I think we're getting just a solid discount in this matchup."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 24, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Ding Meng

Angelo is confident that Ding Meng will win, citing his experience, power, and aggressive style. He notes that Henrique relies on wearing opponents down, but Ding is too dangerous and too good a grappler to be caught in that game. He has already placed a half-unit bet on Ding at -115 and expects the line to continue moving.

bet 0.5 units on Ding at -115
"Mang is the pick. And I threw a half a unit on him at minus 115."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 27, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ding Meng

Angelo picks Ding Meng because he has a ton of experience, is a menace, and is too dangerous. He notes that Ding has 28 knockout wins and is a much larger favorite than the odds suggest. He bet on Ding at minus 115.

"I like Mang here. I did bet on him. I bet on him at minus 115. I am surprised that this is even How the hell is he just a slight favorite?"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 26, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ding Meng

Big Brady picks Ding Meng by second-round knockout, expecting a sloppy brawl. He describes Ding as a marauder who comes forward, eats punches, and breaks opponents, with 28 career KOs. He criticizes Henrique's defense, chin, and backing-up style, predicting Henrique gets knocked out brutally.

second round knockout
"I'm going Ding Ming to win this fight by second round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 27, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Jose Henrique

Cody picks Henrique, citing his youth (24), height (6'3), reach (79 in), and potential. He notes that Ding is a 45-fight veteran who hasn't improved and is only on the card because it's in China. Henrique was supposed to fight a better opponent (Charles Radtke) and has had a full camp. Cody believes Henrique's length and work rate will be too much for Ding.

Henrique moneyline; Henrique by decision or late finish
"I think Enrique wins this fight and it's a good enough uh money line that I I would play it."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 28, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Jose Henrique

Connor picks Jose Henrique Sousa because he is bigger than Ding, likes the clinch just as much, and is the more violent athlete. Ding is slow and will put himself in Henrique's comfort range. Connor acknowledges the fight could be awful if both square off, but Henrique is the pick.

"Jose Henrique Sousa is the pick."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked May 27, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Jose Henrique

Jacob picks Jose Henrique as a slight dog because he likes his length, jab, and knees in the clinch. He notes that Jose doesn't have typical tall guy defense and can sit in the pocket. He thinks the odds are close for a reason and that Jose can keep Ding at bay.

"I'm taking a little bit of a a dog here. I think that these odds are close for a reason. And I think there's some people with some money on Jose that know that this guy's kind of got a …"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked May 23, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Ding Meng

Lucrative James picks Ding Meng on experience, noting his 44 pro fights and ability to weather storms. He thinks Jose Henrique is young and gets hit too much, and despite his power, he can be dragged into wars and has poor defense. He predicts a decision win for Meng, but calls the fight volatile and says he may not bet it unless the under 2.5 rounds line is good.

Under 2.5 rounds (if good price)
"I'm going to say Mending wings the fight. I'm going to say Mending has too much experience."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 25, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Ding Meng

The host picks Ding Meng, believing his durability and aggressive striking will overwhelm Henrique. He notes Henrique is too hittable and lacks the speed to avoid Ding's power. He expects Ding to crash the pocket and land big shots, leading to a knockout win. He considers minus 125 a steal.

I personally think minus 125 is a bit of a steal of a line on Mang, so I don't mind, you know, taking a decent bit of him here.
"I'm going to go Mang. I think he repeatedly uh drops hurts on Hiki and I think he eventually gets himself a knockout win here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 27, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Ding Meng

The host picks Ding Meng over Jose Henrique, expecting Meng to put together an aggressive striking game and land big shots, ultimately winning by knockout.

by knockout
"I think it's going to be Mang who's going to put together a better aggressive striking game moving forward, landing big shots. And I think he finds that big shot to tumble the towering Brazilian here as Mangding wins this …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 27, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Jose Henrique

Paul picks Henrique but admits he hates both fighters. He notes Ding's chin issues and Henrique's training with Andre Pederneiras. However, he is not confident and calls it a leap of faith. He thinks both are terrible but sides with Henrique based on potential growth.

"I'm going to pick the kid um Jose Souza. And that's just kind of like an assessment based off potential growth."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 20, 2026 (9 days before fight)
Ding Meng

The Guru picks Meng Ding over Jose Sousa, favoring Ding's experience and power. He believes Ding's aggressive pocket boxing and knockout power will overwhelm the younger, lanky Sousa, who lacks notable wins. He expects Ding to close the distance and land a knockout shot.

"I'm picking Meng Ding to win this fight."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 20, 2026 (9 days before fight)
Ding Meng

The MMA Guru picks Ding Meng to win by knockout. He is very excited about Ding Meng's signing and believes his aggressive pressure and dirty boxing will overwhelm Jose Henrique, who has poor tall man's defense. He notes Ding Meng's 44 professional fights and his ability to throw down in the pocket.

"Ding's finding that chin, man. He's finding a knockout."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked May 26, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Ding Meng

The Guru sides with Ming's experience and power, expecting a finish from either side. He notes Henrique has a good jab and knees but weaker open-mat takedown defense. Ming has a good kick arsenal and dirty boxing. He admits low confidence and expects someone gets knocked out or submitted.

finish likely
"I'm gonna side with the experience of Ming. But golly, this is not a very confident read."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 28, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Jose Henrique

Zane picks Jose Henrique Sousa because he is taller, more dynamic, faster, and has a powerful clinch game. Ding Meng is a slow wall-and-stall artist who will put himself in the range where Henrique is comfortable. Zane notes both fighters are not ready for this level, but Henrique is the more plausible fighter.

Odds mentioned: Ding Meng -120, Henrique +100
"Jose Henrique Sousa is the pick. Neither man should be near this level, but Henrique is the more plausible fighter."
Expert Picks (18)
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Lean picked May 27, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Jose Henrique

AJ picks Jose Henrique as a slight underdog, citing his Muay Thai edge and close-range violence with knees and elbows. He notes that Ding Meng smothers his shots and has a bad habit of clinching, which plays into Henrique's strengths. AJ predicts a late stoppage, possibly in round three, but acknowledges it's a close fight.

Henrique and Ding to go over 1.5 rounds -170 mentioned as a prop; moneyline at +105
"I think that Henrique is live for like a third round finish of Mang Ding."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Lean picked May 26, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Jose Henrique

AJ likes Jose Henrique's tricky style, noting he is a Nova Uniao prospect with heavy hands and good elbows. He thinks Henrique's close-range weapons (elbows, knees) will be effective against Meng Ding, who smothers his shots and ends up in the clinch. AJ also questions Meng Ding's age, suspecting he is older than listed. He predicts Henrique finds a finish in a fun fight.

"I like Jose Henrique in this one. ... I'm going to say Henrique finds a finish in a fun fight."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked May 18, 2026 (12 days before fight)
Jose Henrique

AJ picks Henrique, citing his youth (24), length, and violent striking style. He thinks Henrique's Thai clinch, elbows, and knees will be too much for the older Ding Meng, who he suspects is older than listed. AJ expects a KO win for Henrique, noting Ding's aggressive style plays into Henrique's brawling strengths.

Jose Henrique wins by KO/TKO
"I'm going with Jose Henrique. He got knocked out by Yusaku Kinoshita almost four years ago now. I know that's a red flag, and people might auto pick against him because of it. But, Mang Ding got dominated by Ramy Hamedi in kickboxing a year and nine months ago."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 29, 2026 (fight day)
Ding Meng

Angelo picks Ding Meng, calling him a 'complete savage' with 28 knockout wins. He believes Jose Henrique is too hittable and that Ding's power and aggression will lead to a finish or high score. He is surprised by the pricing and thinks Ding is a discount.

finish possible; will be in lineup; solid discount
"Mang Ding is the pick. He will be in my lineup and I think we're getting just a solid discount in this matchup."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 27, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ding Meng

Angelo picks Ding Meng because he has a ton of experience, is a menace, and is too dangerous. He notes that Ding has 28 knockout wins and is a much larger favorite than the odds suggest. He bet on Ding at minus 115.

"I like Mang here. I did bet on him. I bet on him at minus 115. I am surprised that this is even How the hell is he just a slight favorite?"
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 24, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Ding Meng

Angelo is confident that Ding Meng will win, citing his experience, power, and aggressive style. He notes that Henrique relies on wearing opponents down, but Ding is too dangerous and too good a grappler to be caught in that game. He has already placed a half-unit bet on Ding at -115 and expects the line to continue moving.

bet 0.5 units on Ding at -115
"Mang is the pick. And I threw a half a unit on him at minus 115."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 26, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ding Meng

Big Brady picks Ding Meng by second-round knockout, expecting a sloppy brawl. He describes Ding as a marauder who comes forward, eats punches, and breaks opponents, with 28 career KOs. He criticizes Henrique's defense, chin, and backing-up style, predicting Henrique gets knocked out brutally.

second round knockout
"I'm going Ding Ming to win this fight by second round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 27, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Jose Henrique

Cody picks Henrique, citing his youth (24), height (6'3), reach (79 in), and potential. He notes that Ding is a 45-fight veteran who hasn't improved and is only on the card because it's in China. Henrique was supposed to fight a better opponent (Charles Radtke) and has had a full camp. Cody believes Henrique's length and work rate will be too much for Ding.

Henrique moneyline; Henrique by decision or late finish
"I think Enrique wins this fight and it's a good enough uh money line that I I would play it."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 28, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Jose Henrique

Connor picks Jose Henrique Sousa because he is bigger than Ding, likes the clinch just as much, and is the more violent athlete. Ding is slow and will put himself in Henrique's comfort range. Connor acknowledges the fight could be awful if both square off, but Henrique is the pick.

"Jose Henrique Sousa is the pick."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked May 27, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Jose Henrique

Jacob picks Jose Henrique as a slight dog because he likes his length, jab, and knees in the clinch. He notes that Jose doesn't have typical tall guy defense and can sit in the pocket. He thinks the odds are close for a reason and that Jose can keep Ding at bay.

"I'm taking a little bit of a a dog here. I think that these odds are close for a reason. And I think there's some people with some money on Jose that know that this guy's kind of got a he fights long."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked May 23, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Ding Meng

Lucrative James picks Ding Meng on experience, noting his 44 pro fights and ability to weather storms. He thinks Jose Henrique is young and gets hit too much, and despite his power, he can be dragged into wars and has poor defense. He predicts a decision win for Meng, but calls the fight volatile and says he may not bet it unless the under 2.5 rounds line is good.

Under 2.5 rounds (if good price)
"I'm going to say Mending wings the fight. I'm going to say Mending has too much experience."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 27, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Ding Meng

The host picks Ding Meng over Jose Henrique, expecting Meng to put together an aggressive striking game and land big shots, ultimately winning by knockout.

by knockout
"I think it's going to be Mang who's going to put together a better aggressive striking game moving forward, landing big shots. And I think he finds that big shot to tumble the towering Brazilian here as Mangding wins this fight by knockout."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 25, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Ding Meng

The host picks Ding Meng, believing his durability and aggressive striking will overwhelm Henrique. He notes Henrique is too hittable and lacks the speed to avoid Ding's power. He expects Ding to crash the pocket and land big shots, leading to a knockout win. He considers minus 125 a steal.

I personally think minus 125 is a bit of a steal of a line on Mang, so I don't mind, you know, taking a decent bit of him here.
"I'm going to go Mang. I think he repeatedly uh drops hurts on Hiki and I think he eventually gets himself a knockout win here."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 27, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Jose Henrique

Paul picks Henrique but admits he hates both fighters. He notes Ding's chin issues and Henrique's training with Andre Pederneiras. However, he is not confident and calls it a leap of faith. He thinks both are terrible but sides with Henrique based on potential growth.

"I'm going to pick the kid um Jose Souza. And that's just kind of like an assessment based off potential growth."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked May 26, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Ding Meng

The Guru sides with Ming's experience and power, expecting a finish from either side. He notes Henrique has a good jab and knees but weaker open-mat takedown defense. Ming has a good kick arsenal and dirty boxing. He admits low confidence and expects someone gets knocked out or submitted.

finish likely
"I'm gonna side with the experience of Ming. But golly, this is not a very confident read."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 20, 2026 (9 days before fight)
Ding Meng

The Guru picks Meng Ding over Jose Sousa, favoring Ding's experience and power. He believes Ding's aggressive pocket boxing and knockout power will overwhelm the younger, lanky Sousa, who lacks notable wins. He expects Ding to close the distance and land a knockout shot.

"I'm picking Meng Ding to win this fight."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 20, 2026 (9 days before fight)
Ding Meng

The MMA Guru picks Ding Meng to win by knockout. He is very excited about Ding Meng's signing and believes his aggressive pressure and dirty boxing will overwhelm Jose Henrique, who has poor tall man's defense. He notes Ding Meng's 44 professional fights and his ability to throw down in the pocket.

"Ding's finding that chin, man. He's finding a knockout."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 28, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Jose Henrique

Zane picks Jose Henrique Sousa because he is taller, more dynamic, faster, and has a powerful clinch game. Ding Meng is a slow wall-and-stall artist who will put himself in the range where Henrique is comfortable. Zane notes both fighters are not ready for this level, but Henrique is the more plausible fighter.

Odds mentioned: Ding Meng -120, Henrique +100
"Jose Henrique Sousa is the pick. Neither man should be near this level, but Henrique is the more plausible fighter."
Comments (1)
BR
brian 5 days, 15 hours ago

Bit lazy, Jose, low cardio,maybe someone leg kicks him out of the ufc.. he kept suggesting to bang and then ran away. Taunted a bit near the end