Nick Aguirre

Angelo picks Payton Talbott, noting he is a flashy striker with power and movement. He acknowledges Talbott can be out-grappled but expects him to starch his opponent. He comments that the odds at 4-to-1 or 5-to-1 seem wide but the UFC is building him up.

Big Brady thinks Talbott is a big favorite for a reason, with incredible striking and improved takedown defense. He notes Aguirre's striking is non-existent and that Dan Arretta out struck him 27-13. He predicts Talbott will drown Aguirre with volume and finish him in the second round, unless Aguirre gets a first-round submission. He says the price is wide but warranted.

Cody does not make a clear pick for this fight. He notes that Talbott is a huge favorite at -700 but is making his UFC debut, which makes him hesitant. He considers a sprinkle on Aguirre by submission as a dog play but does not commit to a pick.

Aguirre is a slick submission specialist with crafty BJJ. Talbott is a striker who has struggled with grappling control in the past. Aguirre can get the fight to the ground via clinch or pulling guard and find a submission. The line is too wide; a small poke on Aguirre by submission at +1000 is a steal.

Paul also does not make a clear pick. He discusses the line being too high for an unproven debutant and mentions that Aguirre has a chance via submission. He leans towards not betting the favorite but does not pick a side.

Angelo picks Argueta, believing his wrestling will be too much for the short-notice debutant. He notes Aguirre's opponents had poor records and he hasn't faced a wrestler like Argueta. He thinks Argueta's takedowns and pressure will lead to a finish. He has a small bet on the under 2.5 rounds.

Big Brady picks Isaac Dulgarian (incorrectly named as 'Isaac dogarion' in transcript) as an upset, liking his wrestling, submission game, and vicious ground and pound. He notes that Dulgarian has faced weak competition and hasn't seen the second round, but believes his skills will translate. He points out that Argueta has been taken down easily by wrestlers like Damon Jackson and Diego Silva, and that Dulgarian should be able to control him on the mat. He predicts a first-round finish for Dulgarian.

Cody leans towards Aguirre as a live underdog, citing Argueta's poor get-up game and Aguirre's BJJ. He thinks the line is off and Aguirre could win if he gets takedowns. However, he admits uncertainty and is not betting heavily.

Connor picks Argueta as well, citing the short notice replacement and Argueta's experience. He notes that Argueta is a good pocket puncher but has a monofocus, and that the fight could be ugly if Aguirre can't get takedowns. Connor seems less confident than Zane, but still leans Argueta.

Jacob agrees Argueta should win, calling it a good matchup. He notes Aguirre is a slightly better striker but Argueta's wrestling is superior. He thinks Argueta's game plan remains the same and he should control the fight. He likes the under 2.5 value.

Paul picks Argueta but is not confident due to the steep price. He notes Argueta's strength and wrestling, but acknowledges Aguirre is unproven. He is not betting this fight.