Juancamilo Ronderos

Angelo likes Clayton Carpenter's extensive international experience from a young age, his slick grappling, and aggressive submission hunting. He notes that Ronderos has a layoff and shoulder injury, and while Ronderos is a fast-paced striker with solid takedown defense, Carpenter's wrestling and technical striking should be superior. Angelo is surprised the line tightened but remains confident in Carpenter.

Big Brady thinks Carpenter is the better wrestler and grappler, and will get the fight to the mat where he is dangerous. He notes Ronderos has poor takedown defense and has been submitted before. He predicts a second-round submission for Carpenter, but warns against the -275 price.

Cody picks Carpenter but says the line is too big. He notes Ronderos has been off for two years and could have improved, training at a good gym in Las Vegas. He says Carpenter is a fine prospect with wrestling and cardio, but he hasn't been tested and has only faced lower-level competition. He warns that Ronderos is big for flyweight and might miss weight. He says there are enough question marks to cause uncertainty at -300.

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Carpenter has more physicality and is willing to fight hard in scrambles. He points out that Ronderos' wrestling was easily shut down by David Dvorak, and that his win over Eric Shelton was more due to Shelton's passivity. Connor sees Carpenter as the better athlete and believes he can put together strikes and find openings, while Ronderos lacks dexterity. However, he acknowledges the possibility of Ronderos holding Carpenter down.

Jacob agrees Carpenter should be the better fighter but is cautious due to Carpenter's limited pro experience (6-0) and Ronderos' layoff. He notes Ronderos' fight IQ may have improved from coaching, but technique issues remain. Jacob thinks Carpenter has the wrestling and grappling edge and is the more technical striker, but he's not fully confident at -275 and might look for a Monday night play if odds drop.

Carpenter is the better striker and grappler, with superior discipline and scrambling ability. Ronderos is aggressive but reckless, and Carpenter's takedown defense and top control should neutralize him. Expect Carpenter to win a decision after controlling the grappling exchanges.

Paul picks Carpenter but is not confident. He notes Ronderos had a tough UFC debut on short notice against David Dvorak and got choked out. He says he doesn't know what Ronderos is good at. He says Carpenter looked half-decent on Contender Series but he doesn't know what to make of this fight. He says he's picking Carpenter but is more interested in hearing Cody's take.

The MMA Guru picks Clayton Carpenter, citing his superior skill, dangerousness, and technical ability compared to Juancamilo Ronderos. He notes that Ronderos lost badly to David Dvorak and only fought to a split decision with an aging Eric Shelton. He believes Carpenter's stand-up will be the key factor and that Ronderos is not good enough to be in the UFC.

Big Brady picks Dvořák, citing his superior striking output and defense. He notes Dvořák's high finish rate (79%) compared to Paiva's 35%, and expects Dvořák to outland him over three rounds. He sees the fight staying standing and predicts a decision win, though he'd have interest if the line drops further.

Cody Saftic picks Juancamilo Ronderos as a dog, noting that Dvořák's competition level is questionable and that Ronderos has more experience against better opposition. He believes Ronderos's pressure and awkward striking will test Dvořák, and that the fight is closer to 50-50. He likes the plus money value.

Daniel Levi picks Juancamilo Ronderos (referred to as 'Holiyon Paiva' in transcript, likely a mispronunciation of Juancamilo Ronderos), citing his durability, brawling style, and training at Alpha Male. He acknowledges Dvořák's technical skills and positional advantages but is concerned about Dvořák's chin, noting he got wobbled in previous fights. He thinks Ronderos can edge it out but calls it a dog or pass situation.

Matt picks Juancamilo Ronderos (referred to as Holly and Paiva) as a strong dog pick. He believes Paiva's outside striking and movement will trouble Dvořák, who has fought more willing opponents. He notes Paiva should have won the Kai Kara-France fight and was competitive against Zhalgas Zhumagulov. He thinks Paiva's reach and technical striking will earn him a decision, and calls this one of his stronger dog leans.

Paul Shaughnessy does not make a clear pick for this fight. He discusses the matchup but does not state a preference, instead deferring to Saftic's analysis. He seems uncertain and does not offer a pick.