Juan Espino

"El Guapo"
2-1
Record
Age / DOB 45
(Oct 09, 1980)
Height 6' 3"
Weight 255 lbs.
Reach 80.0"
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages
2.38 Sig. Strikes / Min
70.0% Sig. Strike Acc.
1.95 Absorbed / Min
40.0% Strike Defense
8.93 TD Avg / 15 min
78.0% TD Accuracy
50.0% TD Defense
2.4 Sub. / Fight
Win Methods (2)
KO/TKO 0
Submission 2
Decision 0
Loss Methods (1)
KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 1

Fight History

Result / Opponent
Event & Date
Method/Round
Links
Comments
Technical Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 1:05
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alexandr Romanov 0 32 of 53 60% 53 of 77 2 of 4 50% 0 0 5:41
Juan Espino 0 12 of 22 54% 44 of 56 4 of 5 80% 0 0 2:55
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alexandr Romanov 0 5 of 9 55% 14 of 18 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:18
Juan Espino 0 4 of 6 66% 20 of 22 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:28
2 Alexandr Romanov 0 27 of 44 61% 38 of 58 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:20
Juan Espino 0 6 of 13 46% 21 of 30 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:45
3 Alexandr Romanov 0 0 of 0 --- 1 of 1 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
Juan Espino 0 2 of 3 66% 3 of 4 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:42
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alexandr Romanov 32 of 53 60% 23 of 44 4 of 4 5 of 5 8 of 20 6 of 6 18 of 27
Juan Espino 12 of 22 54% 8 of 17 2 of 2 2 of 3 7 of 17 4 of 4 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alexandr Romanov 5 of 9 55% 0 of 4 1 of 1 4 of 4 1 of 5 4 of 4 0 of 0
Juan Espino 4 of 6 66% 2 of 3 1 of 1 1 of 2 2 of 4 1 of 1 1 of 1
2 Alexandr Romanov 27 of 44 61% 23 of 40 3 of 3 1 of 1 7 of 15 2 of 2 18 of 27
Juan Espino 6 of 13 46% 5 of 12 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 11 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Alexandr Romanov 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0
Juan Espino 2 of 3 66% 1 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0
Expert Picks (6)
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Apr 15, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Juan Espino

Big Brady picks Juan Espino to win by submission, but with very low confidence. He sees the fight as a 50/50 matchup and sides with the dog due to hype driving Romanov's line. He notes that both fighters are grapplers and that Romanov is unlikely to submit Espino, a legit black belt. He questions Romanov's cardio and believes Espino may have the edge if the fight goes past the first round. He is passing on betting due to the uncertainty but picks Espino to weather the storm and possibly get a late submission.

Considered over but passed
"i'm gonna take espino to win by submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 14, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Alexandr Romanov

Cody is a Romanov fan and thinks he has better cardio, boxing, and youth (10 years younger). He notes Romanov's cardio looks good in deeper fights, while Espino has only fought 3 minutes in the last 3 years. He believes Romanov can stuff takedowns and win by pressure. He acknowledges Espino's BJJ but thinks Romanov's wrestling and gas tank will be the difference.

"i'm a romanov guy so i'm going to bank on romanov again"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 16, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Alexandr Romanov

Daniel Levi picks Alexandr Romanov, stating that he is a future top-15 heavyweight and is being undervalued. He criticizes Juan Espino's competition on The Ultimate Fighter, calling it weak. Levi believes Romanov is more well-rounded and will win the wrestling and clinch battles, possibly finishing Espino. He also notes that Espino is 40 years old and Romanov has a higher ceiling.

finish
"i'm going with ramana to to finish juan espino"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 16, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Alexandr Romanov

Manpreet favors Romanov, citing his youth, cardio, and wrestling pressure. He notes that Espino is 40 years old and has fought weak competition, while Romanov has shown he can grind opponents down over three rounds. He believes Romanov's explosiveness and strength will overwhelm Espino, likely leading to a TKO in the second round.

Romanov by TKO +250; Romanov in round 2 +525; over 1.5 rounds -125
"i got to go with romanov and i'm going to be going with the tko probably round two"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 14, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Juan Espino

Paul thinks Espino is a legitimate BJJ black belt with good wrestling and a complete game. He notes that Romanov has a hole in his leg kick defense but Espino doesn't throw leg kicks. He is leaning towards Espino but not confident, calling it a dog or pass fight. He mentions that Espino's age (40) and lack of recent octagon time are concerns.

"i think it's espino or pass"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Apr 11, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Alexandr Romanov

The MMA Guru picks Alexandr Romanov to win by second-round TKO via ground and pound, but calls it risky. He notes Romanov is younger, undefeated, and has more localized weight for grappling. He expects Romanov to stuff takedowns and use kicks to the body and legs, then take over in the second round after Espino has an adrenaline dump. He does not see Romanov submitting Espino.

second round TKO via ground and pound
"i'm going to go with alexander romanov here but it's risky"
Submission (scarf hold choke) R1 3:48
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Juan Espino 0 10 of 17 58% 21 of 29 5 of 7 71% 1 0 2:36
Jeff Hughes 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Juan Espino 0 10 of 17 58% 21 of 29 5 of 7 71% 1 0 2:36
Jeff Hughes 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Juan Espino 10 of 17 58% 9 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 2 2 of 7 0 of 0 8 of 10
Jeff Hughes 0 of 1 0% 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Juan Espino 10 of 17 58% 9 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 2 2 of 7 0 of 0 8 of 10
Jeff Hughes 0 of 1 0% 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (4)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 23, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Juan Espino

Big Brady is confident in Espino, citing his strong wrestling and submission game. He thinks Espino will get the fight to the mat and finish quickly, as Hughes is low-volume and lacks power. He notes the submission prop is already priced in at +150 but considers Espino a fine parlay piece.

Espino by first-round submission (+150); parlay piece
"i'm gonna go with uh juan spino to get a first round submission here"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Sep 25, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Juan Espino

Daniel Levi slightly leans Juan Espino because his biggest skill (grappling) is better than any of Hughes' skills, but he is worried about Espino's cardio if the fight goes past the first round and the layoff. He notes Hughes has good wrestling and durability but struggles to pull the trigger. He would not lay the chalk in this spot.

dog or pass
"i'm gonna slightly lean with espino just because i think that you know his biggest skill is better than any of hugh's skills but i would not be laying chalk in a spot like this"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Sep 26, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Juan Espino

The host picks Juan Espino but is hesitant due to the two-year layoff and unknowns about Jeff Hughes' submission defense. He expects Espino to win by second-round submission, but prefers the over 1.5 rounds because Hughes is durable and tough. He notes that Espino's -300 price is too high for a fighter with ring rust.

over 1.5 rounds (-150), Espino inside distance (-115), Espino by decision (+280)
"I like the over one and a half here i am going to go with espino... second round submission i think he wears on hughes and then eventually gets to finish late in the second round."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 20, 2020 (7 days before fight)
Juan Espino

The MMA Guru picks Juan Espino, noting he won The Ultimate Fighter and beat Maurice Green. He thinks Espino will ragdoll Jeff Hughes due to being naturally bigger and more athletic, and predicts a submission win by arm triangle choke in the first round. He mentions Espino has been inactive due to injuries but is now returning.

Win by submission (arm triangle choke) in round 1
"i'm definitely going to be going with juan espino taking down jeff hughes by just being naturally bigger and more athletic man getting a job done by arm triangle choke in the first round by submission"
Submission (straight armlock) R1 3:36
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Juan Espino 0 22 of 23 95% 44 of 52 2 of 2 100% 2 0 3:20
Justin Frazier 0 4 of 6 66% 17 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Juan Espino 0 22 of 23 95% 44 of 52 2 of 2 100% 2 0 3:20
Justin Frazier 0 4 of 6 66% 17 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Juan Espino 22 of 23 95% 19 of 20 3 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 5 17 of 18
Justin Frazier 4 of 6 66% 0 of 2 4 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 1 4 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Juan Espino 22 of 23 95% 19 of 20 3 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 5 17 of 18
Justin Frazier 4 of 6 66% 0 of 2 4 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 1 4 of 5 0 of 0