Patchy Mix
Career Averages
Loss Methods (2)
Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patchy Mix | 0 | 37 of 58 | 63% | 75 of 101 | 5 of 7 | 71% | 0 | 0 | 7:41 |
| Jakub Wiklacz | 0 | 46 of 83 | 55% | 107 of 147 | 0 of 0 | --- | 3 | 1 | 2:04 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Patchy Mix | 0 | 5 of 8 | 62% | 11 of 14 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:48 |
| Jakub Wiklacz | 0 | 13 of 24 | 54% | 28 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 2:01 | |
| 2 | Patchy Mix | 0 | 25 of 41 | 60% | 35 of 51 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:17 |
| Jakub Wiklacz | 0 | 31 of 56 | 55% | 48 of 74 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:03 | |
| 3 | Patchy Mix | 0 | 7 of 9 | 77% | 29 of 36 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:36 |
| Jakub Wiklacz | 0 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 31 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patchy Mix | 37 of 58 | 63% | 23 of 40 | 6 of 9 | 8 of 9 | 25 of 42 | 5 of 6 | 7 of 10 |
| Jakub Wiklacz | 46 of 83 | 55% | 21 of 43 | 22 of 35 | 3 of 5 | 38 of 74 | 4 of 4 | 4 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Patchy Mix | 5 of 8 | 62% | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jakub Wiklacz | 13 of 24 | 54% | 7 of 12 | 5 of 10 | 1 of 2 | 9 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 | |
| 2 | Patchy Mix | 25 of 41 | 60% | 14 of 28 | 6 of 8 | 5 of 5 | 19 of 33 | 5 of 6 | 1 of 2 |
| Jakub Wiklacz | 31 of 56 | 55% | 13 of 29 | 16 of 24 | 2 of 3 | 27 of 52 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Patchy Mix | 7 of 9 | 77% | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 8 |
| Jakub Wiklacz | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (6)
Angelo is disappointed in Patchy Mix's UFC debut but acknowledges his pre-UFC grappling skills. He thinks Patchy is the better grappler in a grappler vs grappler matchup, and has higher level experience. However, he is not willing to bet on him at nearly 3-to-1 odds due to the terrible performance. He picks Patchy but says picks and bets are not the same.
Big Brady sees this as a good buy-low spot on Patchy Mix after his disappointing UFC debut. He believes Mix is a much higher-level grappler than Wikłacz and is better everywhere. He notes that Wikłacz shoots sloppy takedowns, which could lead to a submission for Mix. He predicts Mix wins by submission, likely a front choke or guillotine.
Connor agrees with Zane, picking Mix because Wiklacz is a much softer matchup than Mario Bautista, who exposed Mix's struggles against fighters his own size. Connor notes that Wiklacz is not a superb athlete and is two inches shorter, making him more forgiving, but he still expects a challenge due to Wiklacz's tenacity.
Mix is seen as a better version of Wikłacz, having faced much tougher competition. The host expects Mix to outscramble, outgrapple, and outwrestle Wikłacz en route to a decision victory.
The MMA Guru picks Patchy Mix, believing he is better than his last performance suggests. He notes Mix's solid resume and expects him to finish Jakub Wikłacz, who is an unproven prospect. He predicts a first-round submission, likely a guillotine.
Zane picks Patchy Mix, noting that Wiklacz is a tenacious pressure fighter but lacks the elite athleticism and size that troubled Mix against Mario Bautista. He believes Mix should handle this matchup, but cautions that Mix still needs to prove he can beat fighters his own size, as his career has been built on smaller opponents.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Bautista | 0 | 173 of 302 | 57% | 173 of 302 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Patchy Mix | 0 | 122 of 304 | 40% | 122 of 304 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mario Bautista | 0 | 43 of 91 | 47% | 43 of 91 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Patchy Mix | 0 | 36 of 74 | 48% | 36 of 74 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Mario Bautista | 0 | 65 of 103 | 63% | 65 of 103 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Patchy Mix | 0 | 59 of 111 | 53% | 59 of 111 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Mario Bautista | 0 | 65 of 108 | 60% | 65 of 108 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Patchy Mix | 0 | 27 of 119 | 22% | 27 of 119 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Bautista | 173 of 302 | 57% | 96 of 216 | 58 of 66 | 19 of 20 | 172 of 301 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Patchy Mix | 122 of 304 | 40% | 92 of 265 | 14 of 22 | 16 of 17 | 118 of 299 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mario Bautista | 43 of 91 | 47% | 18 of 60 | 18 of 24 | 7 of 7 | 43 of 91 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Patchy Mix | 36 of 74 | 48% | 22 of 58 | 5 of 7 | 9 of 9 | 35 of 73 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Mario Bautista | 65 of 103 | 63% | 42 of 78 | 20 of 21 | 3 of 4 | 64 of 102 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Patchy Mix | 59 of 111 | 53% | 49 of 96 | 5 of 9 | 5 of 6 | 56 of 108 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Mario Bautista | 65 of 108 | 60% | 36 of 78 | 20 of 21 | 9 of 9 | 65 of 108 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Patchy Mix | 27 of 119 | 22% | 21 of 111 | 4 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 27 of 118 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Mix (-180), Bautista (+150)
Round 1
Keith Peterson will officiate "Patchy" Mix's UFC debut. They touch gloves. Bautista wastes no time and starts punching to the body and throwing leg kicks. Bautista is throwing out jabs and straight rights at Mix. Nice right hand to the body by Bautista. Mix eats a 1-2 and hasn't been able to get anything off. Mix is starting to throw his jab, but is eating leg kicks from Bautista. Mix is backed up by a right hand from Bautista. Mix is starting to throw his own kicks and slowly getting more comfortable inside the Octagon. Nice right straight for Bautista that stings Mix. Bautista is repeatedly throwing 1-2 combinations and having success. Two minutes left. Mix throwing some half-hearted leg kicks that aren't landing. Bautista is having success going to the body. Nice body kick by Bautista. Mix is standing still and getting hit without showing much defense or doing anything offensively. Very poor first impression on the big stage. The round ends with Bautista stinging Mix with a combination.
Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Bautista
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Bautista
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Bautista
Round 2
Mix comes out throwing calf kicks. Nice body kick scores for Bautista. Bautista jabbing to both the body and head. Mix lands a solid right hand, but Bautista connects with a looping left in response. Bautista is much busier and has a far greater output so far. Mix is reacting better than in the first round, connecting with some right hooks and catching Bautista as he comes in. Mix's corner is calling for takedown attempts, but he hasn't tried to grapple at all. Bautista landing some nice jabs. Nice head kick lands by Mix. Bautista is now backing up, allowing Mix to throw a 1-2. This is a much better round for Mix. Bautista and Mix are going tit for tat, both hitting each other with stiff jabs. A big left hand lands for Bautista. Mix tries a jumping knee that is way off the mark. Bautista is bloodied below his right eye from the jabs of Mix. Bautista is coming on late and is pouring on punches, allowing him to cement this round in his favor.
Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Bautista
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Bautista
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Bautista
Round 3
The final round opens with Mix being more aggressive as he knows he needs a finish. Mix goes for a desperate takedown and eats punches from Bautista as a result. Bautista is repeatedly finding a home for his right hand. Mix is now cut above his right eye. Bautista is in full control, jabbing away and outclassing Mix. Bautista eats a 1-2 but answers back with a low kick of his own. Mix lands a slapping body kick. Mix is chasing after Bautista but is unable to land much. Bautista's footwork is making a huge difference as Mix can't keep up with his movement. Mix lands a nice left straight but eats a jab. Bautista throws out a head kick that misses its mark. Nice 1-2 from Bautista. More leg kicks from Bautista. Mix lands a nice left hand and a knee with 30 seconds left to go, but it winds up being far too little. Bautista throws a jumping knee as the round ends. A deflating debut for Mix.
Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Bautista (30-27 Bautista)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Bautista (30-27 Bautista)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Bautista (30-27 Bautista)
The Official Result
Mario Bautista def. Patrick Mix via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 30-27, 30-27); R3, 5:00.
Expert Picks (6)
Angelo picks Patchy Mix despite Mario Bautista's seven-fight win streak. He notes Patchy is a dangerous grappler with 13 submission wins, but is one-dimensional. He thinks if Mario defends takedowns, he can win striking exchanges. However, he is influenced by Josh Thompson's confidence in Patchy and believes Mario's win over Aldo was a bad decision, so MMA karma may favor Patchy.
Big Brady picks Patchy Mix, citing his elite grappling and guillotine. He believes Mix will get Bautista down and stay there, eventually finding a submission. He questions Bautista's resume, noting close fights against Blackshear and Aldo, and thinks there is a levels difference in grappling. He predicts Mix by second-round submission.
Connor picks Patchy Mix, believing his elite grappling and ability to take Bautista down early and control him will be decisive. He acknowledges Bautista's scrambling is excellent but thinks Mix's positional grappling and backpacking style can neutralize Bautista's pressure. Connor admits it's a tough fight and Bautista could win if Mix fades.
Bautista is expected to shut down Mix's grappling game and then outstrike him on the feet, showcasing that he is the better striker. He will put together more damage and win on the scorecards.
The MMA Guru picks Patchy Mix to finish Mario Bautista, citing Mix's impressive resume including wins over Horiguchi, Magomedov, and Pettis. He believes Mix is in his prime and has too much finishing potential. He predicts Mix will drop Bautista and submit him with a guillotine or anaconda choke in the first or second round. He criticizes Bautista's performance against Aldo.
Zane picks Mario Bautista, citing his relentless pressure, excellent scrambling, and ability to win fights even after being taken down. He notes that Bautista's takedown defense is not great but he is a brilliant scrambler who wears opponents down. Zane thinks Mix's low output striking and reliance on takedowns may not be enough to keep Bautista off him for three rounds.
Such an odd fight. Patchy cardio is sus. Flat on the feet walking into punches ect. Jakub held guard. Nice butterfly reverse. Jakub went for 6+ gul subs and has nice kicks. Does a double kick often. Good legs for triangle off his back ect.