Regina Tarin

1-0
Record
Age / DOB 21
(Oct 19, 2004)
Height 5' 7"
Weight 135 lbs.
Reach 66"
Stance Southpaw
Career Averages
7.6 Sig. Strikes / Min
47.0% Sig. Strike Acc.
7.0 Absorbed / Min
57.0% Strike Defense
1.0 TD Avg / 15 min
33.0% TD Accuracy
50.0% TD Defense
0.0 Sub. / Fight
Win Methods (1)
KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 1

Fight History

Result / Opponent
Event & Date
Method/Round
Links
Comments
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Regina Tarin 0 114 of 239 47% 125 of 250 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:02
Ernesta Kareckaitė 0 105 of 249 42% 127 of 279 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:17
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Regina Tarin 0 37 of 79 46% 39 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ernesta Kareckaitė 0 33 of 82 40% 39 of 90 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:21
2 Regina Tarin 0 31 of 68 45% 35 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Ernesta Kareckaitė 0 32 of 70 45% 36 of 75 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:43
3 Regina Tarin 0 46 of 92 50% 51 of 97 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:48
Ernesta Kareckaitė 0 40 of 97 41% 52 of 114 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Regina Tarin 114 of 239 47% 76 of 185 34 of 48 4 of 6 91 of 209 23 of 30 0 of 0
Ernesta Kareckaitė 105 of 249 42% 79 of 212 20 of 30 6 of 7 88 of 225 17 of 24 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Regina Tarin 37 of 79 46% 26 of 63 9 of 12 2 of 4 35 of 75 2 of 4 0 of 0
Ernesta Kareckaitė 33 of 82 40% 26 of 70 5 of 9 2 of 3 29 of 78 4 of 4 0 of 0
2 Regina Tarin 31 of 68 45% 20 of 52 10 of 15 1 of 1 26 of 63 5 of 5 0 of 0
Ernesta Kareckaitė 32 of 70 45% 22 of 58 9 of 11 1 of 1 30 of 67 2 of 3 0 of 0
3 Regina Tarin 46 of 92 50% 30 of 70 15 of 21 1 of 1 30 of 71 16 of 21 0 of 0
Ernesta Kareckaitė 40 of 97 41% 31 of 84 6 of 10 3 of 3 29 of 80 11 of 17 0 of 0
Expert Picks (11)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 22, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Ernesta Kareckaitė

Angelo picks Ernesta Kareckaitė (referred to as 'Carrot Cake') because she is a solid striker with good footwork, fast hands, and head movement. He notes that she uses her length well and can fight on the ground if needed. He believes her technical striking and volume will outpoint the power of Sophia Montenegro (Regina Tarin), who is hittable and lacks defensive acumen.

Mentions a plus three and a half bet on Sophia Montenegro might not be the worst thing.
"So Ernesta Carake likely just pumps a jab, stays busy, moves around at range, and she wins a pretty straightforward fight. So I'm going to go with Carrot Cake here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 22, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Ernesta Kareckaitė

Big Brady picks Ernesta Kareckaitė, citing her high volume striking (almost 8 significant strikes per minute) and solid takedown defense (82%). He notes that opponent Sophia Montenegro is very hitable and has poor defense, while Kareckaitė lacks power but should win by decision. He jokes about her nickname 'Heavy-handed' being inaccurate.

decision
"So, I think it's going to be Keriscate by decision. ... I'm going to take Keris Scott to win this fight and win it by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Feb 25, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ernesta Kareckaitė

Cody also leans Kareckaitė, citing her striking output and Tarin's short notice. He notes Tarin is a local Muay Thai fighter but lacks MMA experience. He is not heavily invested.

"I think she is a 25. It's just well I'm not really in that type of shape right now. Could we just do a catch weight of 130?"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Ernesta Kareckaitė

Connor picks Kareckaitė, agreeing with Zane that she is the better fighter. He notes that Tarin is on short notice and less athletic, making Kareckaitė the clear choice.

Same odds commentary as Zane.
"I gotta pick, uh, yeah, I gotta pick, uh, okay. Yeah."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert picked Feb 20, 2024 (739 days before fight)
No clear pick

Daniel does not discuss this fight in the transcript.

DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert picked Feb 28, 2026 (fight day)
No clear pick

The host is tempted to bet on Kareckaitė but is concerned about home advantage for Tarin in Mexico City. He notes that Kareckaitė is 20-30% better technically, but Tarin is aggressive and could make rounds close, potentially swaying judges. He hasn't made up his mind and will decide later.

"I'm very tempted to bet Carrick. Very very tempted to bet Carrick. ... But home advantage could be huge for Taran in this fight. And that's the only thing that makes me nervous about here."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 22, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Ernesta Kareckaitė

James views Kareckaitė as the better striker with superior cardio and volume, though she often goes to split decisions. He expects her to pull away after round one, possibly winning by TKO in round three or decision.

"I got Kakart to win this fight. TKO round three decision split decision..."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Feb 24, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Ernesta Kareckaitė

The host leans with Kareckaitė, citing her reach advantage and distance striking. He acknowledges Montenegro's power and takedown threat but believes Kareckaitė's defensive grappling has improved. He expects a close decision and likes the decision prop at around +100. He warns that Montenegro could grind out a win if she gets takedowns.

Decision prop at +100
"I'm still going to lean with Keriscate as my prediction. I like her decision prop roughly around that plus 100 line."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Feb 25, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ernesta Kareckaitė

Paul leans towards Kareckaitė due to her experience, striking volume, and preparation for the card. He notes Tarin is a late replacement and less experienced, but the line is tight and he may not bet it.

"I feel like Kar Kate is a slightly better striker, more refined, six years older, more mature, more experienced."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2026 (fight day)
Ernesta Kareckaitė

The MMA Guru picks Ernesta Kareckaitė over Regina Tarin, citing Tarin's lack of quality wins and her hype based on looks rather than skill. He notes that Kareckaitė has a win over Kali Robbins and showed high-level skills in a Contender Series fight, while Tarin is taking the fight on short notice and is only 21 years old. He acknowledges Tarin could pull off a submission but favors the more experienced fighter.

"I'm going to go with Anissa Karriuk getting this one done."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Ernesta Kareckaitė

Zane picks Kareckaitė because she is a more reliable volume striker with a better range game and clinch work. Tarin is similar to Montenegro but with less coordination and athleticism, and is on short notice. Kareckaitė should win by outworking Tarin.

Tarin opened at +130, now +185; Kareckaitė opened at -150, now -220.
"I'll pick her as a more reliable volume striker with a better range game."