Regina Tarin
Career Averages
Win Methods (1)
Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regina Tarin | 0 | 114 of 239 | 47% | 125 of 250 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:02 |
| Ernesta Kareckaitė | 0 | 105 of 249 | 42% | 127 of 279 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:17 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Regina Tarin | 0 | 37 of 79 | 46% | 39 of 81 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ernesta Kareckaitė | 0 | 33 of 82 | 40% | 39 of 90 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:21 | |
| 2 | Regina Tarin | 0 | 31 of 68 | 45% | 35 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Ernesta Kareckaitė | 0 | 32 of 70 | 45% | 36 of 75 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:43 | |
| 3 | Regina Tarin | 0 | 46 of 92 | 50% | 51 of 97 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:48 |
| Ernesta Kareckaitė | 0 | 40 of 97 | 41% | 52 of 114 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regina Tarin | 114 of 239 | 47% | 76 of 185 | 34 of 48 | 4 of 6 | 91 of 209 | 23 of 30 | 0 of 0 |
| Ernesta Kareckaitė | 105 of 249 | 42% | 79 of 212 | 20 of 30 | 6 of 7 | 88 of 225 | 17 of 24 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Regina Tarin | 37 of 79 | 46% | 26 of 63 | 9 of 12 | 2 of 4 | 35 of 75 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Ernesta Kareckaitė | 33 of 82 | 40% | 26 of 70 | 5 of 9 | 2 of 3 | 29 of 78 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Regina Tarin | 31 of 68 | 45% | 20 of 52 | 10 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 26 of 63 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Ernesta Kareckaitė | 32 of 70 | 45% | 22 of 58 | 9 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 30 of 67 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Regina Tarin | 46 of 92 | 50% | 30 of 70 | 15 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 30 of 71 | 16 of 21 | 0 of 0 |
| Ernesta Kareckaitė | 40 of 97 | 41% | 31 of 84 | 6 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 29 of 80 | 11 of 17 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (11)
Angelo picks Ernesta Kareckaitė (referred to as 'Carrot Cake') because she is a solid striker with good footwork, fast hands, and head movement. He notes that she uses her length well and can fight on the ground if needed. He believes her technical striking and volume will outpoint the power of Sophia Montenegro (Regina Tarin), who is hittable and lacks defensive acumen.
Big Brady picks Ernesta Kareckaitė, citing her high volume striking (almost 8 significant strikes per minute) and solid takedown defense (82%). He notes that opponent Sophia Montenegro is very hitable and has poor defense, while Kareckaitė lacks power but should win by decision. He jokes about her nickname 'Heavy-handed' being inaccurate.
Cody also leans Kareckaitė, citing her striking output and Tarin's short notice. He notes Tarin is a local Muay Thai fighter but lacks MMA experience. He is not heavily invested.
Connor picks Kareckaitė, agreeing with Zane that she is the better fighter. He notes that Tarin is on short notice and less athletic, making Kareckaitė the clear choice.
Daniel does not discuss this fight in the transcript.
The host is tempted to bet on Kareckaitė but is concerned about home advantage for Tarin in Mexico City. He notes that Kareckaitė is 20-30% better technically, but Tarin is aggressive and could make rounds close, potentially swaying judges. He hasn't made up his mind and will decide later.
James views Kareckaitė as the better striker with superior cardio and volume, though she often goes to split decisions. He expects her to pull away after round one, possibly winning by TKO in round three or decision.
The host leans with Kareckaitė, citing her reach advantage and distance striking. He acknowledges Montenegro's power and takedown threat but believes Kareckaitė's defensive grappling has improved. He expects a close decision and likes the decision prop at around +100. He warns that Montenegro could grind out a win if she gets takedowns.
Paul leans towards Kareckaitė due to her experience, striking volume, and preparation for the card. He notes Tarin is a late replacement and less experienced, but the line is tight and he may not bet it.
The MMA Guru picks Ernesta Kareckaitė over Regina Tarin, citing Tarin's lack of quality wins and her hype based on looks rather than skill. He notes that Kareckaitė has a win over Kali Robbins and showed high-level skills in a Contender Series fight, while Tarin is taking the fight on short notice and is only 21 years old. He acknowledges Tarin could pull off a submission but favors the more experienced fighter.
Zane picks Kareckaitė because she is a more reliable volume striker with a better range game and clinch work. Tarin is similar to Montenegro but with less coordination and athleticism, and is on short notice. Kareckaitė should win by outworking Tarin.
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