Allen Frye
Career Averages
Loss Methods (1)
Fight History
Expert Picks (11)
AJ picks RJ Harris (Allen Frye) as his underdog lock. He believes Harris has knockout power with a left hook, athleticism, and size advantage. He questions Alvin Hines' chin off PEDs and thinks Harris can land a KO. He notes the line is +120 to +125 and also mentions Harris by KO at +350.
AJ picks RJ Harris as an underdog, citing Alvin Hines' steroid suspension and questioning his durability off steroids. He highlights Harris' size advantage (6'6, 80-inch reach), powerful left hook, and aggressive style. AJ believes Harris can land a knockout on Hines, who is hittable and may have benefited from steroids for durability.
AJ picks RJ Harris for the upset, citing his size (6'6", 80-inch reach) and left hook power. He notes that Alvin Hines tested positive for steroids and questions his durability off the sauce. AJ believes Harris is faster and hits harder, and that Hines' boxing defense is laughable. He expects a knockout in the first or second round.
Angelo picks Alvin Hines but is hesitant due to Hines returning from a one-year steroid suspension and the opponent RJ Harris being a big, undefeated newcomer. He notes Hines is tough and will grind, but the fight has many random factors. He wishes Hines was cheaper for DraftKings and decides to leave this fight out of his lineup.
Big Brady picks Alvin Hines, though he calls the fight 'bad' and advises not to bet on it. He notes Hines has better cardio and some pop, while RJ Harris (opponent) is slow, hittable, and has questionable cardio and striking defense. He predicts Hines wins by knockout.
Cody picks Hines, citing his wrestling background, durability, and ability to outlast opponents. He notes that Hines has a cast iron chin and has gone the distance with tough guys. He expects Hines to wear down Harris, who is making his UFC debut on short notice and may not have the cardio for three rounds.
Alvin Hines is a strong bet in this matchup because he is better than RJ Harris everywhere: better striker, better grappler, and superior cardio. Hines showed incredible durability in his debut against Janata Denise, taking heavy damage and still maintaining a high pace. Harris is coming in on short notice for his UFC debut, which increases the risk of an adrenaline dump and poor cardio. The only concern is the size difference, but Hines's advantages outweigh that risk.
James picks Alvin Hines to win via KO, but with low confidence due to lack of tape on opponent RJ Harris. He notes that Hines showed durability in his last fight despite being battered, but also tested positive for drugs. He admits he hasn't studied Harris and may change his pick after further tape study.
Hines is the more durable and active fighter who will dictate the pace with forward pressure and big shots. The host believes Hines will outdamage and outpoint Harris, but doesn't see either guy finishing. He leans slightly to Hines due to durability and activity.
Paul picks Harris as a dog, noting that Hines is coming off a steroid suspension and may not have the same cardio. He also mentions that Harris is young and has power, and that Hines has been hit before. However, he is not confident and calls it a 'dog or pass' situation.
The MMA Guru picks Alvin Hines, citing his experience and conditioning advantage over RJ Harris. He notes Hines has been around MMA longer and looked decent in his last fight. He predicts a late second or third round TKO for Hines.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allen Frye | 0 | 33 of 86 | 38% | 73 of 132 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 7:55 |
| Guilherme Pat | 0 | 64 of 100 | 64% | 76 of 114 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:44 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Allen Frye | 0 | 19 of 49 | 38% | 32 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:18 |
| Guilherme Pat | 0 | 24 of 35 | 68% | 25 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 | |
| 2 | Allen Frye | 0 | 10 of 25 | 40% | 19 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:15 |
| Guilherme Pat | 0 | 13 of 30 | 43% | 17 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:23 | |
| 3 | Allen Frye | 0 | 4 of 12 | 33% | 22 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 3:22 |
| Guilherme Pat | 0 | 27 of 35 | 77% | 34 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allen Frye | 33 of 86 | 38% | 17 of 65 | 12 of 12 | 4 of 9 | 19 of 69 | 14 of 17 | 0 of 0 |
| Guilherme Pat | 64 of 100 | 64% | 53 of 88 | 8 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 54 of 90 | 10 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Allen Frye | 19 of 49 | 38% | 10 of 37 | 7 of 7 | 2 of 5 | 12 of 40 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Guilherme Pat | 24 of 35 | 68% | 19 of 29 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 23 of 34 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Allen Frye | 10 of 25 | 40% | 6 of 19 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 2 | 5 of 19 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Guilherme Pat | 13 of 30 | 43% | 10 of 27 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Allen Frye | 4 of 12 | 33% | 1 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Guilherme Pat | 27 of 35 | 77% | 24 of 32 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 27 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (5)
Cody leans Pat, citing his experience and durability. He thinks Frye's level of competition is too low and that Pat's reach and ground game will be enough. He is not confident but picks Pat.
Connor also picks Pat, but is hesitant. He notes that Pat has a higher ceiling and looks like a natural athlete, but Fry has a more credible win over Justin Frazier. He points out that Pat's takedown defense was exposed but he scrambles well. He calls it a fight that should be happening but isn't necessary to see.
Lucrative James picks Guilherme Pat, citing his superior athleticism, footwork, and striking. However, he notes Pat's lack of killer instinct and questions his mental toughness. He acknowledges the fight is hard to call due to low-level competition and limited tape. He projects Pat as a -170 favorite.
Paul also leans Pat, citing the Brazilian vs can crusher narrative. He thinks Pat's experience in longer fights gives him an edge if it goes past the first round. He is not confident but picks Pat.
Zane picks Pat hesitantly, citing his superior athleticism and scrambling ability. He notes that Pat has a natural athlete's posture and can scramble like a welterweight, while Fry looks like a brawler with limited athletic background. However, he acknowledges that Pat's chin is untested and he leaves himself open defensively.
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