UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman

AJ picks Dricus du Plessis by KO, believing his awkward power and size advantage will overwhelm an aging Usman. He notes Usman's wrestling may control early, but DDP's never-say-die attitude and looping shots will find a home later. He is not confident in the odds but sees DDP as the pick.

AJ backs Du Plessis, citing his power, forward pressure, and offensive wrestling. He notes Usman's inactivity and age (39) and believes Du Plessis can hurt him late. AJ acknowledges Du Plessis's defensive wrestling flaws but thinks his toughness and motivation (Africa rivalry) will carry him.

AJ picks Dricus du Plessis, citing his punching power, takedown defense, and cardio. He believes du Plessis will stop Usman's takedowns and land big overhands, potentially knocking out the aging Usman. AJ notes du Plessis's chaotic style and ability to change the fight in an instant, while Usman's best days are behind him.

AJ picks Dricus du Plessis to knock out Kamaru Usman. He believes du Plessis's awkward striking, power, and improved takedown defense will be key against the 39-year-old Usman, who has been inactive and has bad knees. He expects du Plessis to land a big overhand or body kick and finish in the middle rounds, possibly after surviving some early grappling.

Angelo picks DDP because he believes DDP's brute force, size, and relentless pace will overwhelm Usman. He notes that DDP can shoot his own takedowns and won't wait, and if he fights like he did against Strickland, he wins clearly. He acknowledges Usman's path via wrestling but thinks DDP is too big and strong.

Angelo picks DDP but is hesitant to bet. He notes DDP's brute strength and cardio, but acknowledges Usman's wrestling could cause problems, as seen in DDP's fight against Khamzat Chimaev where he was taken down 12 times. He thinks DDP's strength advantage will overcome any skill gap, but he's not confident enough to bet the moneyline, instead considering a round line over.

Big Brady picks Dricus du Plessis, noting that many are on Usman but the line is moving toward Dricus. He argues that Usman's win over Joaquin Buckley was not dominant and that Usman is nearly 40 with bad knees. He believes Dricus will stuff takedowns and get back up easily since Usman lacks submission threat, unlike Khamzat Chimaev. He is considering Dricus moneyline if the odds improve, or inside the distance/KO props.

Big Brady picks Dricus du Plessis, noting Usman's age (39) and knee issues. He believes du Plessis will do better work on the feet and that Usman won't be able to hold him down. He predicts a decision win, citing Usman's durability.

Cody acknowledges Kamaru Usman's stylistic advantages like a good jab and wrestling, but leans heavily on Dricus du Plessis due to age (Usman is 39), size, and Dricus's proven takedown ability against top competition. He notes Dricus is younger, has held the belt, and matches physicality, making him the play despite Usman's tempting plus money.

Connor picks Usman despite acknowledging the size disadvantage, because he trusts Usman's wrestling and game planning more than du Plessis's ability to improve. He notes that du Plessis's mindset of fighting out of bad positions rather than preventing them is a fundamental flaw that may not be fixable. He also points out that Usman's jab and relentless takedown ability could wear down du Plessis even if Usman gets tired. However, he admits that if du Plessis were welterweight size, he would pick Usman in a heartbeat.

Daniel Levi picks Dricus du Plessis to win, citing age advantage (du Plessis entering prime vs Usman near 40) and du Plessis's year off to recover and improve his get-up game. He believes du Plessis's awkward, violent striking will eventually overwhelm Usman, predicting a late second or third round finish. He notes Usman's stiffness on the feet and declining durability, while acknowledging du Plessis's wrestling vulnerabilities but expecting him to survive takedowns.

Usman is a massive underdog at +190, and the host believes these odds are insane. Du Plessis's takedown defense and ground game were exposed badly against Khamzat Chimaev, where he looked like a white belt. Usman is one of the best MMA grapplers ever and has elite cardio. The host sees no reason why Usman can't replicate Chimaev's performance, giving Usman at least a 40% chance of winning, which provides a 7% margin over the bookie.

Lucrative James picks Dricus du Plessis to win by knockout, citing du Plessis's power, athleticism, and durability advantages as the fight goes later. He notes that Kamaru Usman is aging and has shown a deteriorating chin, while du Plessis has more tools on the feet and better cardio for a five-round fight. However, he believes the odds are too wide and considers betting on Usman or the fight not going to decision.

The host notes Usman's durability and believes his transition to 185 lbs will be successful due to his frame. He expects Usman to get to his wrestling game, wear down du Plessis, and win a decision.

Usman's wrestling and durability should be the difference; he can grind out du Plessis by landing takedowns and controlling the fight. du Plessis has shown vulnerability to strong grapplers like Khamzat Chimaev, and Usman is a similar style fighter with proven cardio. At plus money, Usman is a strong value pick to win a decision.

Paul agrees with Cody, citing volume and Dricus's ability to control on the mat, unlike Usman who hasn't shown that type of control. He mentions Dricus could get a good jump early, so live betting is not a cop-out. He prefers Dricus moneyline but isn't overly excited about it.

The MMA Guru picks Dricus du Plessis over Kamaru Usman, citing du Plessis' youth, power, and five-round experience. He believes Usman cannot keep du Plessis down like Khamzat did and that du Plessis will wear on Usman with body and low kicks. He predicts a TKO in round three.

Zane picks du Plessis primarily due to size advantage, noting du Plessis is much bigger than Joaquin Buckley and that Usman's wrestling success against Buckley may not translate to holding down a larger opponent. He also questions Usman's durability at age 39 and the sustainability of his wrestling-heavy approach. However, he acknowledges Usman's wrestling credentials and the possibility that du Plessis hasn't improved his defensive wrestling since the Chimaev fight.

AJ picks Leroy Duncan by KO, citing his speed, creativity, and physical prime at 30 vs Cannonier at 42. He believes Duncan can fend off Cannonier's wrestling and land big shots, as Cannonier has been clipped recently. He likes the KO prop at +165 and considers Duncan a smarter pick.

AJ picks CLD, citing his youth, speed, and distance striking advantage over an aging Cannonier. He expects a highlight-reel KO but acknowledges Cannonier's durability and wrestling threat. AJ notes CLD's spinning attacks could be risky but believes his precision will prevail.

AJ picks Christian Leroy Duncan by knockout, citing his sharp kicks, elbows, and finishing ability against an aging Jared Cannonier who looked slow against MVP. He notes Duncan is on the rise while Cannonier is past his prime, and expects a dominant, violent performance from Duncan.

AJ picks Christian Leroy Duncan to knock out the 42-year-old Jared Cannonier. He believes Duncan's speed, range kickboxing, and explosiveness will be too much for the aging Cannonier, who has looked slow recently. He expects Duncan to land clean shots and finish the fight, possibly with elbows or straight punches.

Angelo picks CLD because he believes Cannonier's chin is gone at 42 and CLD's movement, speed, and creativity will be too much. He notes that Cannonier's recent wins were against faded competition and that CLD has evolved his takedown defense. He is very confident CLD wins but unsure if by finish or decision.

Angelo is very confident in CLD, citing Cannonier's age (42), slowing down, and diminished chin. He believes CLD's speed, youth, and athleticism will overwhelm Cannonier, and he thinks the fight won't be close. He recommends betting now before the odds move.

Big Brady picks Christian Leroy Duncan, believing he is catching Jared Cannonier at the right time due to Cannonier's age (42) and accumulated damage. He notes Cannonier has been hurt in his last five fights and questions his chin. He expects Duncan to win by knockout, as Duncan is a finisher who doesn't let opponents off the hook. He dismisses Cannonier's wrestling as a non-factor.

Big Brady confidently picks Christian Leroy Duncan, citing Cannonier's age (42), accumulated damage, and declining chin. He notes Duncan's durability and finishing ability, predicting a second-round knockout via strikes.

Cody highlights CLD's upward trend, dynamic striking, improving counter grappling, speed, and footwork. He contrasts with Jared Cannonier, now a 42-year-old gatekeeper with knee problems, slowing down, and having given up five knockdowns in his last five fights. He believes CLD's youth and athleticism prevail, likely by KO or decision.

Connor picks Duncan because he believes Cannonier's age and defensive decline make him vulnerable to a young, powerful striker. He notes that Cannonier is now a defensive sieve, squaring up and leading with his chin, and that Duncan has the length, power, and timing to find the perfect shot over multiple rounds. He compares the matchup to Terrence McKinney vs. Bobby Green, where youth and athleticism overwhelmed a crafty veteran. He acknowledges Duncan wastes time and makes poor decisions but thinks he will get enough opportunities to land significant strikes.

Daniel Levi picks Christian Leroy Duncan to knock out Jared Cannonier, citing Duncan's youth, size, athleticism, and improved experience. He respects Cannonier's power but believes at 42, Cannonier's durability has declined, while Duncan has proven durable. He expects Duncan's technical striking and confidence to overcome Cannonier's pressure.

Duncan is a big favorite, but the host sees no value in betting him. Cannonier is a tough veteran with power and cardio, but at 42 years old, he is on the decline. The fight is likely to be a stand-up battle where Duncan's youth and technique should edge him the win. The host passes on betting either fighter, though notes Cannonier is the better value if forced to pick.

Lucrative James picks Christian Leroy Duncan to win by knockout, citing Duncan's athleticism, unorthodox strikes, and Cannonier's age and chin issues. He notes that Cannonier has been hurt in recent fights and Duncan's power and speed should be too much. However, he thinks the odds are too wide and considers betting on Cannonier or the fight not going to decision.

The host sees this as a passing of the torch, with CLD being too fast, strong, and powerful for Cannonier. He expects Duncan to stop early grappling attempts and find a flashy second round KO.

Duncan is younger, faster, and more explosive, with a well-rounded game that has evolved past head-hunting. Cannonier is on the decline, with deteriorating durability and takedown success. Duncan should be able to avoid early takedowns and land a clean shot to finish Cannonier by knockout, continuing the passing of the torch.

Paul thinks the line feels wide and calls Cannonier a 'value boy pick' at plus 295. He acknowledges CLD is good at range but notes Cannonier got a vet lesson from Gregory Rodriguez. However, he admits he'll probably be too cowardly to click it because he likes other underdogs on ACA card.

The MMA Guru picks Christian Leroy Duncan over Jared Cannonier, despite thinking the odds (-370) are too high. He cites Duncan's youth, reach, and dynamic striking, predicting a KO via spinning attack or head kick. He notes Cannonier's age and recent knockdowns as concerns.

Zane picks Cannonier because he believes Duncan lacks the process and consistent work rate to beat a veteran like Cannonier. He compares Duncan unfavorably to Gregory Rodrigues, who beat Duncan by maintaining consistent pressure, and notes that Cannonier beat Rodrigues by matching his pace and finishing him. Zane argues that Duncan wastes too much time and relies on timing a perfect shot, while Cannonier is durable, has good pace, and can make adjustments. He acknowledges Cannonier is older and more hittable but thinks Duncan's style is exactly the kind Cannonier can handle.

AJ picks Chase Hooper by submission, flipping from an initial lean on Ramirez. He notes Hooper's jiu-jitsu is elite but his chin is weak. He believes Ramirez may be taking the fight for a check and that Hooper will strangle him. He also likes the under 2.5 rounds and suggests a hedge on Ramirez by KO.

AJ picks Hooper by submission as a prop bet, citing Hooper's legit grappling and Ramirez's tendency to have his back taken. However, he worries about Hooper's chin and suggests hedging with Ramirez by first-round KO. He calls it a 50-50 fight.

AJ picks Chase Hooper despite recent KO losses, citing his sensational jiu-jitsu and ability to outgrapple Ramirez. He notes Ramirez lacks punching power and Hooper's submission threat is high, but acknowledges the risk of Hooper getting knocked out again. AJ is hesitant but believes Hooper's grappling will prevail.

AJ picks Mitch Ramirez as an underdog, citing Chase Hooper's poor striking and durability. He believes Ramirez's power punching and takedown defense can neutralize Hooper's jiu-jitsu. He notes Hooper's recent knockout losses and thinks Ramirez can land a clean shot and finish the fight. He is not confident but trusts the stylistic matchup.

Angelo picks Chase Hooper, dismissing the narrative that Hooper will get knocked out again. He argues that Hooper's two KO losses came against elite competition that would also KO Ramirez. He expects Hooper to shoot immediately and dominate on the ground, scoring well in DFS.

Angelo picks Chase Hooper but is hesitant to bet because Hooper is coming off two knockout losses. He notes that the UFC gave Hooper a favorable matchup against a less powerful opponent, and he expects Hooper's BJJ to be a factor. However, he advises waiting to see Hooper get a win before betting on him.

Big Brady hesitantly picks Chase Hooper, emphasizing that if Hooper grapples, he wins easily via submission. However, he worries Hooper will test his striking and get knocked out. He notes Mitch Ramirez has poor takedown defense but can fight off chokes. He predicts a first-round submission.

Cody sees this as a perfect matchup for Hooper to get back on track. He notes Hooper's excellent wrestling and top game, citing takedowns over Jim Miller and Clay Guida. He acknowledges Hooper's durability issues but believes he'll take Ramirez down early and dominate on the ground, likely by submission or decision.

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Ramirez is very defensive, easily backed up against the cage, and not a natural fighter. He thinks Hooper should easily get into advantageous positions and win. He also comments that if Hooper loses this fight, the UFC should cut him.

Daniel Levi picks Chase Hooper despite two recent KO losses, because Hooper has shown more in the UFC than Mitch Ramirez, who has been knocked out repeatedly. He notes Hooper's grappling advantage and Ramirez's poor defensive record, but is hesitant due to Hooper's chin issues and the steep price. He calls it a 'dog or pass' betting situation.

Hooper is a heavy favorite at -360, but the host finds no value in betting him at those odds. Ramirez has looked low-level on the ground, so Hooper is likely to win via submission, but the odds are too steep. The host passes on this fight entirely.

Lucrative James picks Chase Hooper to win by submission, citing Hooper's superior jiu-jitsu and Ramirez's lack of athleticism. He notes that Hooper struggles against explosive fighters but Ramirez is not that, and Hooper should get the fight to the ground eventually. However, he warns against betting Hooper at -300 due to his poor wrestling and durability issues.

The host believes Hooper should find the back and submit Ramirez but is hard to trust at chalk given his recent performances. He mentions Ramirez round one KO at +900 as a hedge opportunity.

Hooper has a clear advantage on the ground with his BJJ wizardry, but his recent knockout losses raise concerns about his chin. Ramirez has power and could catch Hooper early, but he is not UFC-level and has poor durability. Hooper should eventually find a submission, likely a rear-naked choke, but it's hard to trust him as a favorite.

Paul agrees Hooper is the pick, emphasizing that the UFC is giving him a softball win. He notes Hooper's wrestling is good and his ground game is too much for Ramirez, who has been taken down and outgrappled by lesser wrestlers. He warns about Hooper's chin but thinks he'll get the fight to the ground and win.

The MMA Guru picks Chase Hooper but expresses worry, noting Hooper's vulnerability to being knocked out. He believes Hooper's grappling will be key and predicts a submission win, possibly an arm triangle or rear naked choke in the late first round. He mentions Ramirez's guillotine attempts may fail.

Zane picks Hooper because Ramirez is easily backed up, defensive, and not a natural fighter. He notes that Ramirez is robotic and mechanical, lacking natural punching power, and that Hooper's chaotic clinch and leg lock game should overwhelm him. He believes the UFC intentionally gave Hooper a winnable fight after his loss to Lance Gibson Jr.

AJ picks Fatima Kline by decision, calling her a lock. He notes Kline is good everywhere and Ricci is a huge underdog (+375). He believes Kline will win on the scorecards in a lopsided performance, though a finish is possible. He considers it a poor betting fight for props.

AJ picks Kline but criticizes the -450 odds as a 'scam,' believing fair odds are around -200. He expects Kline to win via kickboxing and range advantage, but thinks Ricci will make it competitive with her clinch game. AJ predicts a decision win for Kline.

AJ picks Fatima Kline, citing her versatility, kickboxing, and size advantage (5 inches taller, 6-inch reach). He notes Kline's high-level grappling and striking, expecting her to outkick Ricci, fend off clinch work, and win by unanimous decision. He sees this as Kline's breakout fight.

AJ picks Fatima Kline, praising her striking and grappling. He believes her range kickboxing and size advantage (5'6", 67" reach) will be too much for Tabatha Ricci, who relies on clinch and grappling. He expects Kline to win a decision, possibly with some trips or elbows, and sees her as a future title threat.

Angelo picks Fatima Kline, criticizing Tabatha Ricci for abandoning her grappling to become a boxer under her boyfriend's influence. He believes Fatima's length, power, and jiu-jitsu will dominate, though he's unsure if she'll get a finish or win a decision.

Angelo is very confident in Fatima Kline, criticizing Tabatha Ricci for abandoning her wrestling to become a boxer after getting a boyfriend. He believes Fatima is better in all areas: striking, wrestling, and grappling, and that Ricci has no chance of taking her down. He thinks Fatima is safe to include in parlays.

Big Brady picks Fatima Kline over Tabatha Ricci, citing Kline's high ceiling, improved striking, and well-rounded game. He believes Kline's striking volume and speed will be too much for Ricci, and expects Kline to win by decision, possibly in round three. He is very confident, stating he'd be surprised if she lost.

Big Brady confidently picks Fatima Kline, calling her the future of the division. He praises her striking and grappling, noting she is good everywhere. He expects Kline to keep it standing and out-strike Ricci, winning by decision.

Cody notes Kline's size, reach, and volume advantages over the shorter Ricci. He mentions Kline's only loss is at 125 and she's big and strong for 115. He thinks Kline's pressure, cage control, and striking will outwork Ricci, but the minus 500 price scares him off from betting the moneyline directly.

Connor picks Kline, agreeing that she is a step up for Ricci. He notes that Kline showed excellent timing on reactive takedowns against Angela Hill, and Ricci will give those opportunities. He also points out that Kline is much bigger (5'6" vs 5'1") and has a significant reach advantage. He thinks Ricci is a solid athlete but that Kline's size and grappling will be decisive.

Daniel Levi picks Fatima Kline to dominate Tabatha Ricci, citing Kline's physicality, relentlessness, and grappling skills. He believes Ricci has plateaued as a gatekeeper and was exposed in her last fight, while Kline is a special prospect with hunger and potential. He expects Kline to win decisively, possibly bloodying Ricci.

Kline is a big favorite, but the host feels the odds are too wide. Ricci has elite cardio and could wear Kline down with grappling pressure, but she is coming on short notice and is outgunned on the feet. Kline has a training partner with a similar style to Ricci, which helps her preparation. The host passes on betting either fighter, noting that if forced to pick, Ricci is the value side for a small sprinkle.

Lucrative James picks Fatima Kline to win by decision, citing Kline's superior striking, fight IQ, and cardio. He notes that Ricci has experience but is outgunned on the feet and may not be able to consistently take Kline down. He expects Kline to control the fight and win a decision, though a headkick finish is possible.

The host likes Kline, believing she is far superior in all aspects of MMA. Despite Ricci being more technical, Kline's athleticism, strength, and power will be too much, leading to a decision win.

Kline has superior physicality, power, and grappling, and should be able to out-grind Ricci from top position. Ricci is a BJJ black belt but has struggled against stronger opponents and lacks power in her striking. Kline's chain wrestling and control should lead to a decision win, and she is a solid parlay piece even at heavy chalk.

Paul believes Kline wins more often than not due to her size, strength, and physicality. He notes Ricci's struggles against larger opponents and thinks Kline's grappling negates Ricci's BJJ. He is wary of the minus 500 line but thinks Kline's path to victory is clear.

The MMA Guru picks Fatima Kline (Clan) over Tabatha Ricci, noting Kline's size, reach, and kickboxing advantage. He doubts Ricci can dominate on the ground and expects Kline to do more damage over three rounds. He mentions Kline's wins over Melissa Dixon and Angela Hill.

Zane picks Kline because she is bigger, longer, and more natural in her movements. He notes that Kline has excellent timing on reactive takedowns, which Ricci will give up when pressuring. He compares Ricci to Tecia Torres, saying she throws a lot but is too small to control fights. He also notes that Kline is a high-output striker who fills space well, and that her only weakness has been putting her game together, which she is improving.

AJ picks Tommy McMillen, citing his size advantage (6'0" vs 5'7"), reach, and wrestling base. He believes McMillen's submission defense is good (survived a guillotine on Contender Series) and that Montes' boxing is untested. He thinks McMillen will brawl and pull out a win, possibly by KO.

AJ picks McMillen as his 'most confident value,' citing his wrestling, athleticism, and boxing advantage over Montes. He believes McMillen's pressure and power will break Montes, who has weak boxing. AJ expects a finish via KO or submission.

AJ picks Tommy McMillen, citing his wild brawling style and boxing advantage. He notes McMillen is undefeated and a state champion wrestler, while Montes has a submission threat but questionable boxing. AJ expects a dog fight where McMillen's chaos and pressure could overwhelm Montes.

AJ picks Tommy McMillen to win, citing his freakish ability to escape submissions (as seen against David McGowan) and his wrestling base. He believes McMillen can turn the fight into a brawl and hurt Montes with wild shots. He expects a finish, possibly by KO, and notes McMillen's durability and pressure.

Angelo picks Tommy McMillen, comparing Alberto Montes to a past hype train (Joel Alvarez) that he faded correctly. He notes Tommy's toughness and volume, and that the betting line has shifted toward Tommy. He calls it a razor-thin fight and expects a finish either way.

Angelo picks Tommy McMillen, reasoning that Tommy just needs to avoid the clinch and stay long to win, as Alberto Montes' takedowns are not very good. He trusts Tommy's training and believes he can win by striking. He also mentions a clothing sponsor connection but says the pick is based on skills.

Big Brady picks Alberto Montes by submission, citing his front choke expertise. He believes Montes will find a grappling exchange and lock in a choke. He notes McMillan's poor striking defense and tendency to get into bad positions. He predicts a second-round submission.

Cody likes McMillen's pressure and volume, comparing him to Nate Landwehr. He notes McMillen's wrestling background and durability, and believes his forward pressure will break Montes, who has been rocked before. He sees value at minus 150 compared to other heavy favorites on the card.

Connor picks Montes, noting that McMillan is a 'complete trash fire' with no technique, just aggression and size. He compares McMillan to Roger Bowling, saying he tucks his head and trades. He believes Montes's counter-striking and front headlock series will be effective, and that McMillan's lack of defense will cost him. However, he acknowledges that McMillan's size and aggression could make it a messy fight.

Daniel Levi picks Alberto Montes to upset Tommy McMillen, believing Montes is more technical in all aspects of MMA. He notes McMillen leaves many openings and while McMillen has heart and pace, Montes has cleaner hands and dangerous front chokes. He expects Montes to capitalize on McMillen's defensive lapses.

McMillen was bet on Monday at odds of 1.85 (-118), which the host considers great value. He believes McMillen is slightly better everywhere: tough, durable, high pace, difficult to take down, and a relentless volume striker. Montes is solid but may not match McMillen's aggression and output. The host advises against betting McMillen at current odds of 1.61 (-165) as the value is gone. He also bets over 1.5 rounds at 1.83 for 1 unit.

Lucrative James picks Tommy McMillen to win by knockout, citing McMillen's pressure and cardio advantage as the fight goes later. He notes that Montes looks good early but tends to slow down, and McMillen's submission defense should neutralize Montes's d'arce choke threat. He considers betting McMillen as an underdog but acknowledges the fight is volatile.

The host is not high on either fighter but believes McMillan's grappling can avoid Montes' chokes and that McMillan will dictate the pace on the feet and win by knockout.

McMillen's grappling background should help him neutralize Montes' front choke series, and he can create chaos in the striking realm to find a finish. Montes is a submission-or-bust fighter who may struggle if he can't get a quick tap. McMillen's pressure and durability should lead to a knockout win.

Paul picks McMillen, citing his pressure game and ability to drown opponents before gassing himself. He acknowledges McMillen's mistakes but thinks his pace and wrestling will be too much for Montes, who relies on front headlock submissions. He believes McMillen can avoid bad positions and win.

The MMA Guru picks Tommy McMillan over Alberto Montes, citing McMillan's pressure, size advantage (6'0" vs 5'7"), and superior wrestling. He believes McMillan will wear on Montes and finish him with knees against the cage in round two. He notes McMillan's grit and ability to escape bad positions.

Zane picks Montes but is uncertain. He notes that Montes has good counter shots and a front headlock series that should handle McMillan's pressure. However, he acknowledges that McMillan is huge and aggressive, and that Montes can be too slick and reactive. He worries that McMillan's size and relentless pressure could overwhelm Montes, who is an undersized featherweight.

AJ picks Jose Delgado, believing he can win by knockout or decision. He notes Delgado's range advantage and power, while Bashi may be overrated as a grappler. He thinks the fight ends inside the distance and likes Delgado's versatility. He also mentions the KO prop at +275.

AJ mentions Delgado by knockout as a Degen prop, noting his height and reach advantage. He acknowledges Bashi could win by submission but sees Delgado's kickboxing as a live threat for a KO.

AJ picks Jose Delgado by KO, citing Delgado's striking power, range, and size advantage (5'11" vs 5'6"). He notes Delgado's sensational KOs and believes he can keep range and hurt Bashi, despite Bashi's strong grappling. AJ acknowledges Bashi's path via submission but favors Delgado's striking.

AJ picks Jose Delgado by knockout, believing his striking, size, and reach advantage will be too much for Austin Bashi. He notes Delgado's past performances (except the Andre Fili fight) and thinks Bashi's grappling threat is neutralized by Delgado's takedown defense. He is surprised by the betting lines and considers Delgado mispriced.

Angelo picks Austin Bashi to win a close decision, believing his wrestling will be rewarded by Oklahoma judges. However, he is fading Bashi in DFS because his scoring potential is low unless he gets a submission, which he doesn't expect against Delgado.

Angelo leans toward Austin Bashi, citing the location in Oklahoma where wrestling might be valued more by judges. He expects Bashi to get multiple takedowns while Delgado wins the striking, making it a close decision. He thinks the commission's preference for wrestling could swing the fight to Bashi.

Big Brady leans toward Jose Delgado, citing his significant size, reach, and striking advantages. He believes Delgado can stuff takedowns or get back up, and on the feet it's one-way traffic. He acknowledges Austin Bashi's path via grappling but expects Delgado to win by decision.

Cody picks Delgado but prefers a live bet after the first round. He thinks Bashi will get early takedowns but Delgado will get up and land bigger shots as the fight goes on. He notes Delgado's striking advantage and Bashi's potential cardio issues, making Delgado a good live underdog.

Daniel Levi leans toward Austin Bashi as a plus-money underdog, citing Bashi's elite grappling and Delgado's takedown defense issues. He notes Delgado has been taken down eight times in three UFC fights and Bashi should be able to take him down and control him. However, he acknowledges Delgado's improved get-up game and the fight could be decided in scrambles, making it a close matchup.

Lucrative James picks Austin Bashi to win by decision, citing Bashi's superior grappling and cardio. He notes that Delgado is a dangerous striker but Bashi should be able to take him down and grind out a decision over three rounds. He trusts Bashi's grappling game more over 15 minutes.

The host leans with Delgado's damage-heavy style despite giving up takedowns, as Delgado works back to his feet quickly and has a striking advantage. He predicts a decision victory.

Delgado has good enough grappling defense to get back to his feet quickly if taken down, and he holds a significant striking advantage with height and reach. Bashi relies on wrestling but has struggled to control higher-level opponents. Delgado should out-strike Bashi over three rounds and win a decision.

Paul picks Bashi, citing his wrestling advantage and ability to get takedowns. He thinks Bashi's takedowns and control time will win rounds, though he acknowledges Delgado's get-up game. He is not heavily confident and says it's a pick'em for a reason.

The MMA Guru picks Jose Miguel Delgado over Austin Bashi, citing Delgado's size, power, and dangerous striking. He worries Bashi may struggle on the feet if he can't secure takedowns. He predicts Delgado wins by decision or late finish.

AJ picks Ko by decision, noting Ko's superior boxing and wrestling compared to Lebosnoyani's kickboxing. He trusts Ko's UFC experience and dominant win over Phil Rowe, while Lebosnoyani struggled in a split decision. He likes the decision prop at +125 and also considers the over 2.5 rounds.

AJ gives a slight lean to Ko Seok-hyun, noting his rangy karate style and takedown ability. He sees the fight as close, with Ko possibly winning boxing exchanges and controlling from top, while Lebosnoyani has dangerous jiu-jitsu. AJ expects a competitive decision favoring Ko.

AJ picks Ko Seok-hyun, citing his versatile MMA game, takedown threat, and positional dominance. He believes Ko's boxing and awkward karate-style striking can match Lebosnoyani's kicks, and that Ko's wrestling will be the difference. He expects a decision win, as Ko is a 'decision merchant' who controls position.

Angelo picks Ko Seok-hyun (Co) because he believes Co's wrestling-heavy approach will score well in DFS, as he has scored over 100 points in both UFC fights. He notes that Jean-Paul's takedowns are not very good, giving Co an advantage.

Angelo picks Ko Seok-hyun (referred to as 'Co'), believing he is the more complete fighter with better takedowns and striking. He expects Ko to wrestle and avoid getting caught by Lebosnoyani's wild power. He doesn't love the minus 200 odds but thinks Ko gets it done.

Big Brady picks Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani for the upset, citing his superior jiu-jitsu, ability to get back up from takedowns, and striking power. He believes Ko Seok-hyun's wrestling will play into Lebosnoyani's game, and Ko's chin is questionable. He predicts a second-round knockout.

Cody picks Ko, citing his suffocating wrestling and takedown game. He notes Ko's durability concerns but believes his game plan of smothering opponents with takedowns will work against Lebosnoyani, who accepts being on his back. He thinks Ko's wrestling and control will win the fight.

Daniel Levi picks Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani as a plus-200 underdog, believing the odds are off. He thinks Lebosnoyani's jiu-jitsu phenom background and confidence on the mat will trouble Ko, who has been knocked out before. He expects Lebosnoyani to compete well and potentially finish Ko, despite Ko's recent impressive wins.

Lucrative James picks Ko Seok-hyun to win by decision, citing Ko's methodical style, in-and-out karate movement, and superior wrestling. He notes that Ko is good everywhere and should be able to implement takedowns and control the fight. He acknowledges Lebosnoyani's toughness and tricky jiu-jitsu but expects Ko to win a decision.

The host expects Ko to utilize power striking and mix in grappling to wear down Lebosnoyani, leading to a second or third round knockout.

Ko has shown improved grappling and ground-and-pound, as seen in his wins over Oban Elliott and Phil Rowe, and has the durability and power to wear down Lebosnoyani. Lebosnoyani is a BJJ black belt but has defensive flaws and may slow down, allowing Ko to land a knockout. Ko's striking and top pressure should be too much.

Paul picks Ko, noting his clean, reliable style and elite takedowns. He mentions Ko's knockout loss but thinks his positional control and wrestling will dominate. He believes Lebosnoyani's submission threats off his back won't work against Ko's top control.

The MMA Guru picks Ko Seok-hyun (Seo Hee Ham KO) over Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani, citing his superior grappling and dominance over common opponent Philip Bro. He also mentions Ko's training with top fighters and his star power in South Korea. He predicts a grappling-heavy win.

AJ picks Felipe Franco as a live dog, citing Franco's strong grappling and Muay Thai against Levi Rodriguez, who may be diminished off steroids. He worries about Levi's power but believes Franco can outwork him on the ground. He wants to see weigh-ins before betting, as Levi's physique post-suspension is uncertain.

AJ picks Franco as a live underdog but expresses uncertainty, needing to see weigh-ins. He notes Franco's wrestling advantage but worries about Rodrigues' power and Muay Thai. AJ mentions Rodrigues' past steroid use and questions his post-suspension form.

AJ picks Felipe Franco, citing Franco's competitive debut against Mario Pinto and his grappling advantage. He questions Levi Rodriguez's performance off steroids and notes Franco's better jiu-jitsu and wrestling, expecting him to grind out a decision or submission.

AJ picks Felipe Franco as an underdog, citing Levi Rodriguez's steroid suspension and questionable cardio off steroids. He believes Franco's grappling is superior and that he can control position, potentially winning by submission or decision. He notes Franco's improvement and youth (25) as factors, and expects the fight to go over 1.5 rounds.

Angelo picks the underdog Felipe Franco, citing his durability, power, and wrestling advantage. He thinks Franco can win by wrestling and score well in DFS. He acknowledges Levi's power and takedown defense but expects a sloppy fight where Franco's grappling could be the difference.

Angelo picks Felipe Franco as a dog, citing that Levi Rodrigues Jr. failed a drug test and may not perform without steroids. He notes both fighters are similar but Franco is more well-rounded and will look to wrestle. He advises not to bet on this fight due to unpredictability.

Big Brady hesitantly picks Levi Rodrigues Jr., citing his better striking, power, and cardio compared to Felipe Franco. He notes Franco's poor performance against a common opponent and his lack of grappling. He predicts a first-round knockout, but admits the fight is low level.

Cody picks Rodriguez but prefers a live bet. He thinks Franco will take him down early, testing his takedown defense and cardio. He believes Rodriguez's power could be a factor later if Franco tires. He is not fully sold due to Rodriguez's PED suspension and UFC debut.

Daniel Levi picks Levi Rodrigues Jr. to knock out Felipe Franco, citing Rodrigues' one-hitter-quitter power and speed on the feet. He has questions about Rodrigues' ground game but expects Franco to try to grapple, while Rodrigues has a big edge striking. He notes Franco is dropping to light heavyweight, which is his natural weight class, but still favors Rodrigues' power.

Franco is an underdog at +130, and the host is surprised by these odds. Franco looked decent in his UFC debut against Mario Pinto, showing technical striking, good cardio, and the ability to get back to his feet after being taken down. Rodrigues is a complete unknown with only five pro fights against low-level opponents. The host bets Franco at underdog odds, also taking Franco +3.5 at 2.10 for 2 units.

Lucrative James picks Levi Rodrigues Jr. to win by knockout, but admits he needs more tape study. He notes that Felipe Franco is athletic but has poor skills and was submitted by a low-level opponent. He thinks Rodrigues is the better striker and should have the power advantage, but the fight is volatile and low level.

The host believes the underdog Franco will mix his improved striking with his BJJ and judo background to get the fight to the ground and find a submission.

Franco has untapped potential and has shown improvement in fight IQ since his loss to Freddy Vidal, using his judo and BJJ to control opponents. Rodriguez is undefeated but has faced lower-level competition and has questions about his grappling defense. Franco should be able to mix in takedowns and find a submission, making him a live underdog.

Paul picks Franco as a dog, citing his grappling advantage and cardio improvement. He notes Franco's takedowns against Vidal and durability against Pinto. He thinks Franco can take Rodriguez down and win, but acknowledges volatility and calls it a 'dog or pass'.

The MMA Guru picks Felipe Franco as an upset over Levi Rodrigues Jr. He notes Franco's competitive performance against Mario Pinto at heavyweight and questions Rodrigues' PED history. He predicts Franco finishes in the second or third round.

AJ leans toward Damien Anderson due to his world-ranked jiu-jitsu credentials and high-level grappling experience, including a submission win over Gabriel Vanderlay. He notes that Anderson is in elite shape and has sharp boxing, while Elliott's ground game may be neutralized. However, he is not confident and wants to see weigh-ins before finalizing, as Elliott has a size advantage and is a southpaw.

AJ does not discuss this fight in the transcript.

Angelo picks Ezra Elliott, disagreeing with the narrative that Damien Anderson's BJJ will neutralize Elliott's wrestling. He believes Elliott has better pacing and wrestling, and his jiu-jitsu is good enough to avoid submissions. He sees Elliott as a good DFS value.

Cody picks Elliott, citing his wrestling background, size advantage (fighting at featherweight vs Anderson moving up from bantamweight), and solid grappling. He thinks Elliott's wrestling will keep the fight standing or on top, and his striking is better. He notes Anderson's grappling credentials but believes size and wrestling give Elliott the edge.

Anderson is a slight favorite at -133, and while Ezra Elliott is a complete unknown with only seven pro fights against low-level opponents, Anderson has better quality footage and looks very well-trained everywhere. He is a technical striker with a base in Brazilian jiu-jitsu and appears dangerous on the ground. However, due to the lack of information on Elliott, this is a lean with no strong confidence.

Paul defers to Cody on this fight, stating he is not familiar with the fighters and hasn't had time to look into them. He does not make a pick.

The MMA Guru picks Ezra Elliott over Damien Anderson, citing Elliott's size, physicality, and superior grappling. He believes Elliott will be the more aggressive fighter, dictating the pace on the feet and avoiding Anderson's leg lock threats. He predicts a first or second round TKO finish for Elliott.

AJ picks Alden Coria by KO, noting Coria's striking advantage and Nicoll's 0-3 UFC record. He believes Coria will land head strikes or body shots to set up a knockout, and likes the KO prop at +135. He considers Nicoll average and expects Coria to look for a highlight reel finish.

AJ is extremely confident in Coria, calling him an 'S-tier side' against an 0-3 UFC fighter. He believes Coria wins everywhere: striking, wrestling, and possibly by submission. AJ notes Nicoll's spinning attacks leave him open and expects a lopsided decision or knockout.

AJ picks Alden Coria to win by KO, noting Coria is a well-rounded athlete with knockout power facing Stewart Nicoll, who is 0-3 in the UFC and primarily a grappler. He sees this as a confidence-building fight for Coria, who should deliver a highlight-reel knockout.

AJ is extremely confident in Alden Coria, a massive favorite, due to his superior kickboxing, athleticism, and technical striking. He expects Coria to dominate and potentially knock out Stewart Nicoll, who is sloppy and prone to spinning attacks. He notes Coria's wrestling and well-roundedness, and predicts a second or third round knockout or a lopsided decision.

Angelo is extremely confident Alden Coria will win, calling him a very good prospect with clean technique everywhere. However, he is fading Coria in DFS due to his high salary and inconsistent scoring, even in wins.

Angelo is extremely confident in Alden Coria, calling him the biggest favorite on the card and saying he should be minus 4000. He believes Coria is better in all areas: wrestling, striking, and grappling, and that Stewart Nicoll will lose his fourth UFC fight in a row. He recommends betting on Coria.

Big Brady is extremely confident in Alden Coria, calling him a 'complete spot and a layout' against Stewart Nicoll. He notes Nicoll's non-existent wrestling and inability to get the fight to the ground, while Coria should dominate and finish. He advises against betting the moneyline at -1000 and suggests knockout props or round props instead.

Big Brady confidently picks Alden Coria, calling it a squash match. He notes Coria's good volume, pressure, and grappling, while Stewart Nicoll has poor wrestling and can't get the fight to the ground. He predicts Coria will piece him up and finish by second-round knockout.

Cody is very confident in Coria, citing his volume, takedown defense, and striking precision. He notes Nicoll's poor takedown accuracy (11%) and inability to hold opponents down. He thinks Coria will piece Nicoll up and likely get a TKO, though he mentions the minus 1000 price is steep.

Daniel Levi picks Alden Coria to dominate Stewart Nicoll, stating Nicoll does not belong in the UFC while Coria is a future ranked fighter. He praises Coria's boxing, takedown defense, and complete skill set, and expects him to box up Nicoll and win dominantly.

Coria is a massive favorite, but his takedown defense and ground game are unknown because his past opponents didn't fully commit to takedowns. Nicoll could have an edge on the ground, but there's no footage to confirm. The host finds no betting value and passes on this fight.

Lucrative James picks Alden Coria to win by knockout, citing Coria's superior striking and overall skills. He notes that Nicoll is not UFC level and Coria is a prospect who should easily finish him. He expects Coria to execute and get a finish, possibly by knockout.

The host expects Coria to continue his UFC success by out-striking and stopping the takedowns of the BJJ black belt. He predicts a knockout in round two or three.

Coria is a sharp, fast striker with improved defensive grappling, while Nicoll has struggled in the UFC with a 0-3 record and poor takedown success. Coria should be able to keep the fight standing and land damaging strikes, eventually finishing Nicoll by TKO in the latter half of round two or round three. The over 1.5 rounds is also a viable play given Nicoll's durability.

Paul agrees Coria is the clear pick, noting Nicoll's 0-3 UFC record and 11% takedown accuracy. He thinks Coria's striking and scrambling will overwhelm Nicoll, who has been beaten up in recent fights. He calls the line wide but sees no value in betting against Coria.

The MMA Guru picks Alden Coria, noting he is a -1100 favorite for a reason. He compares Coria's win over Alessandro Costa to Nicoll's loss to Costa, highlighting Coria's size and power advantage. He predicts a first or second round TKO.

AJ picks RJ Harris as his underdog lock, citing Harris's 6'6" frame, 80-inch reach, and wicked left hook against an average opponent coming off a steroid suspension. He believes Hines' durability was steroid-assisted and that Harris's power will be too much. He also likes the KO prop at +350.

AJ picks RJ Harris as his underdog lock, citing Harris's size (6'6", 80-inch reach), knockout power, and athleticism. He believes Alvin Hines is overrated, especially coming off a steroid suspension, and expects Harris's left hook to land. AJ notes Hines gets hit often and may have reduced durability off PEDs.

AJ picks RJ Harris for the upset, citing his size (6'6", 80-inch reach), left hook power, and Hines' poor defense and steroid suspension. He notes Hines got hit a lot in his debut and questions his ability off steroids, while Harris is a fast, explosive athlete with knockout power.

AJ picks RJ Harris as an underdog, citing Alvin Hines' steroid suspension and questionable durability. He believes Harris's size (6'6", 80" reach) and powerful left hook can catch Hines, who is hittable and may have lost durability off steroids. He expects a knockout, possibly via left hook or standing guillotine.

Angelo picks Alvin Hines but is hesitant due to Hines' year-long steroid suspension and the unknown quality of RJ Harris. He thinks Hines' toughness and grinding style should win, but he's not confident enough to use him in DFS.

Angelo picks Alvin Hines, noting his toughness, cardio, and wrestling ability. He expects Hines to take the fight to the ground and control RJ Harris, who is big but not skilled. He mentions that if Hines is a dog or near even money, he would bet on him.

Big Brady hesitantly picks Alvin Hines, noting his UFC experience and better cardio. He thinks Hines has some pop and will knock out RJ Harris, who is hittable and has questionable cardio. He advises not betting on this fight.

Cody picks Hines, citing his wrestling base, durability, and ability to outlast opponents. He notes Hines' impressive performance against Jonathan Denise and his cast-iron chin. He thinks Hines will wear down Harris, who is making his UFC debut on short notice, and get a late TKO or decision.

Hines is a slight favorite at -132, and the host believes he is better than Harris everywhere: better striker, better grappler, and superior cardio. Harris is coming in on short notice for his UFC debut, which increases the chance of an adrenaline dump and gassing out. Hines showed durability and cardio in his last fight against Janata Denise, taking heavy damage but never slowing down. The only concern is Harris's size advantage, but overall Hines is given a 60% chance of winning.

Lucrative James picks Alvin Hines to win by KO, but admits he has not studied RJ Harris and this is a placeholder pick. He notes Hines is at least somewhat proven at UFC level, but he is not confident and will do more tape study before making a betting decision.

The host thinks Hines is more durable and capable of pushing a pace and remaining active. He expects Hines to grind out a decision by landing more damage.

Hines is the more durable and active fighter who will dictate the pace by moving forward and throwing big shots. Harris is a short-notice replacement with a submission-heavy style, but Hines should be able to avoid being outwrestled and outpoint Harris to a decision win. Neither fighter is likely to crack the rankings, but Hines has the edge in durability and activity.

Paul picks Harris, comparing him to Ben Rothwell and noting his size and submission ability. He acknowledges Hines' wrestling but thinks Harris can catch him early. He calls it a 'dog or pass' and goes with the underdog.

The MMA Guru picks Alvin Hines over RJ Harris, citing Hines' experience and conditioning advantage. He notes Hines has been around MMA longer and had a decent performance against Jenel Lausa Dennis. He predicts a late second or third round TKO for Hines.

AJ is confident Barbosa wins by submission, citing her high-caliber grappling and Melisano's poor ground game shown on The Ultimate Fighter. He notes Barbosa is a massive favorite (-550) and believes she will dominate with takedowns and positional control. He also likes the under 1.5 rounds prop at +130 but is more confident in the submission.

AJ picks Barbosa, calling it a 'nightmare debut' for Melisano. He highlights Barbosa's physicality, grappling, and experience, while questioning Melisano's grappling after her TUF loss. AJ expects Barbosa to win by submission.

AJ picks Dione Barbosa to outgrapple Anna Melisano, citing Barbosa's grappling specialist background and physical strength. He notes Melisano is a strawweight moving up, with good striking but poor takedown defense, and expects Barbosa to dominate on the mat and likely win by submission.

AJ picks Dione Barbosa due to her superior grappling and physicality at flyweight. He notes that Anna Melisano is moving up from strawweight and was outgrappled on TUF. He expects Barbosa to control position and potentially win by submission or dominant decision, though he acknowledges Melisano's striking ability and a possible upset if she survives early grappling.

Angelo picks Dione Barbosa, citing her high-level judo, aggressive grappling, and finishing ability. He notes that Anna Melisano is stepping up on short notice and has huge holes in grappling, expecting Barbosa to submit her early.

Angelo is very confident in Dione Barbosa, citing her superior grappling and the fact that Anna Melisano is stepping up on short notice. He believes all roads lead to Barbosa getting takedowns and that the minus 350 odds are great value.

Big Brady picks Dione Barbosa confidently, noting the line opened at -280 and has moved to -600, which he still considers value. He criticizes Melisano's poor performance on The Ultimate Fighter, calling her 'a punching bag' with non-existent ground game. He expects Barbosa to win by submission, likely in the first round, and likes the under 2.5 rounds.

Big Brady picks Dione Barbosa to win by first-round submission. He notes Barbosa has UFC experience, a legit BJJ black belt, and physical strength, while Melisano looked awful on The Ultimate Fighter with poor striking and ground game. He expects Barbosa to take Melisano down and finish quickly.

Cody picks Barbosa, citing her BJJ black belt, physical strength, and takedown ability. He notes Melisano's poor grappling from The Ultimate Fighter, where she gave up her back and got choked out. He thinks Barbosa will take her down and submit her, but the minus 650 price is hard to bet.

Daniel Levi picks Dione Barbosa to finish Anna Melisano, citing Barbosa's experience and well-roundedness. He believes Melisano does not belong at the UFC level based on her TUF performance, while Barbosa is on the cusp of the top 15. He cautions about Barbosa's past bonehead mistakes but expects a dominant win.

Barbosa is a heavy favorite at -612, but Melisano is a short-notice debutant with unknown takedown defense and ground game. If Melisano can keep the fight standing, she could be competitive, but her striking defense is poor. Without knowing her ground skills, it's impossible to predict the fight with confidence.

Lucrative James picks Dione Barbosa to win by submission, citing Barbosa's superior ground game and Melisano's short notice and poor grappling defense. He notes that Melisano is hittable on the feet and gave up her back easily in her TUF fight. He expects Barbosa to take her down and submit her.

The host believes the odds are a bit too wide but still expects Barbosa's grappling to be too much for the UFC newcomer. He predicts Barbosa will grind out a decision victory.

Barbosa has a significant grappling advantage as a BJJ black belt and should be able to drag the fight to the ground and control Melisano. Melisano is a striker who struggles with takedown defense and may fade late, but Barbosa has shown gas tank issues and Melisano could be competitive if she keeps it standing. Ultimately, Barbosa grinds out a decision win.

Paul picks Barbosa, noting her strong grappling and physicality. He thinks Melisano's striking is decent but her ground game is a liability, and Barbosa will exploit that. He is wary of the price but believes Barbosa wins.

The MMA Guru picks Dione Barbosa, noting she is a massive favorite (-600) and more tested than the green Anna Melisano. He criticizes the UFC for signing women's fighters too early and expects Barbosa to win by submission.