Bolaji Oki

"The Zulu Warrior"
2-3
Record
Age / DOB 30
(Nov 15, 1995)
Height 5' 10"
Weight 155 lbs.
Reach 73.0"
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages
6.42 Sig. Strikes / Min
45.0% Sig. Strike Acc.
5.12 Absorbed / Min
61.0% Strike Defense
1.02 TD Avg / 15 min
57.0% TD Accuracy
75.0% TD Defense
0.0 Sub. / Fight
Win Methods (2)
KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 2
Loss Methods (3)
KO/TKO 2
Submission 1
Decision 0

Fight History

Result / Opponent
Event & Date
Method/Round
Links
Comments
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bolaji Oki 0 84 of 170 49% 108 of 196 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:23
Manoel Sousa 2 71 of 179 39% 86 of 196 0 of 3 0% 1 0 1:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bolaji Oki 0 20 of 26 76% 42 of 50 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:51
Manoel Sousa 1 10 of 21 47% 23 of 35 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:59
2 Bolaji Oki 0 32 of 72 44% 34 of 74 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:28
Manoel Sousa 0 13 of 66 19% 15 of 68 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Bolaji Oki 0 32 of 72 44% 32 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Manoel Sousa 1 48 of 92 52% 48 of 93 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bolaji Oki 84 of 170 49% 42 of 111 28 of 44 14 of 15 62 of 143 17 of 19 5 of 8
Manoel Sousa 71 of 179 39% 48 of 150 16 of 21 7 of 8 62 of 161 8 of 14 1 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bolaji Oki 20 of 26 76% 8 of 14 9 of 9 3 of 3 3 of 7 12 of 12 5 of 7
Manoel Sousa 10 of 21 47% 8 of 18 2 of 2 0 of 1 4 of 12 5 of 5 1 of 4
2 Bolaji Oki 32 of 72 44% 16 of 49 11 of 18 5 of 5 28 of 65 4 of 6 0 of 1
Manoel Sousa 13 of 66 19% 7 of 56 4 of 8 2 of 2 12 of 61 1 of 5 0 of 0
3 Bolaji Oki 32 of 72 44% 18 of 48 8 of 17 6 of 7 31 of 71 1 of 1 0 of 0
Manoel Sousa 48 of 92 52% 33 of 76 10 of 11 5 of 5 46 of 88 2 of 4 0 of 0
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 8, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Manoel Sousa

Angelo picks Manoel Sousa, praising his incredible aggression, power, and pace. He notes that Bolaji Oki is a dangerous striker but fades significantly, and Sousa can go a full 15 minutes. He also mentions Sousa's win over Mauricio Ruffy and believes the UFC will invest in him.

"Manuel Souza is gonna be the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 9, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Manoel Sousa

Big Brady picks Manoel Sousa to win by third-round knockout. He likes Sousa's pressure style, power, and gas tank, and questions Oki's chin and durability. He notes Oki has been hurt and slowed down in fights, and believes Sousa will break him as the fight goes on. He acknowledges Oki has a path via wrestling but doubts he can maintain it for 15 minutes.

"give me Emanuel Souza to win this fight. I'll take him to win this fight by third round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Manoel Sousa

Cody picks Sousa, citing his technical striking and power. He notes Oki's poor cardio and decision-making. He thinks Sousa will catch Oki as he tires.

"It's Sza for me."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Bolaji Oki

Connor also picks Oki, emphasizing that Sousa has learned all the wrong things and lacks defensive acumen. He notes that Oki is fearless and a fantastic athlete, while Sousa is designed to snipe opponents who are afraid of him. Connor believes Oki's functional rawness will prevail over Sousa's flawed style.

Oki opened at +170, currently +230; Sousa opened at -200, dropped to -400, currently -270
"Sosa's raw in a way where it's like, Oh, you have learned all the wrong things. Yeah. So I'll take Oki as well."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Mar 8, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Manoel Sousa

James picks Manoel Sousa to win by knockout, citing his power, pace, and pressure. He notes Oki's questionable chin and tendency to gas out after a fast start. He acknowledges Oki's grappling upside but believes Sousa's relentless style will overwhelm him.

"I'm going to pick Mammo Soua to win via knockout here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Mar 10, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Manoel Sousa

The host picks Sousa to win by knockout but is hesitant about the high price. He believes Sousa's Muay Thai and power will eventually land on Oki, but acknowledges Oki's own power and the possibility of an upset. He would prefer the line closer to -185 and suggests waiting for better odds. He notes that Sousa's grappling improvement and learning from the Perez fight will help him keep the fight standing.

Sousa by KO
"I think Sosa ends up landing the big enough shot to put Oki away here. I'm not so confident to the point that I would have played him at minus 300... I think -255 a little bit wide."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Manoel Sousa

Paul picks Sousa, noting his power and technical striking. He thinks Oki's cardio and ring IQ are issues. He expects Sousa to win by knockout.

"I think Sza has the way better uh the way better ground game and uh maybe he's coming into his own."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2026 (fight day)
Manoel Sousa

The Guru picks Manoel Sousa, citing his crafty veteran experience from Bellator and his ability to work into fights. He notes that Oki is explosive but fades after the first round, and that Sousa has the durability and finishing ability to take over in later rounds. He predicts a TKO in round 2 or 3.

Prediction: round 2 or 3 TKO
"I'm going to go with Manel Sousa... round two or three TKO finish."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Bolaji Oki

Zane picks Bolaji Oki, noting that Sousa is a raw fighter with poor defense and a tendency to lunge in without setup. He believes Oki's athleticism and fearlessness will overwhelm Sousa, who struggles against aggressive opponents. Zane compares the fight to Oki's bout with Timmy Kwamba, where Oki's functional rawness outperformed Kwamba's flawed style.

Oki opened at +170, currently +230; Sousa opened at -200, dropped to -400, currently -270
"I'll take Oki as well. What is it? It's weird. That's a weird, lightweight fight of like, yeah, they're both prospects technically, but like, I dunno, not fighters."
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bolaji Oki 1 38 of 99 38% 40 of 101 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:21
Mason Jones 1 57 of 136 41% 67 of 147 2 of 2 100% 1 0 3:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bolaji Oki 1 29 of 73 39% 31 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:21
Mason Jones 1 20 of 57 35% 25 of 62 1 of 1 100% 1 0 2:16
2 Bolaji Oki 0 9 of 26 34% 9 of 26 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Mason Jones 0 37 of 79 46% 42 of 85 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:25
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bolaji Oki 38 of 99 38% 26 of 76 8 of 19 4 of 4 34 of 85 0 of 0 4 of 14
Mason Jones 57 of 136 41% 52 of 128 2 of 3 3 of 5 23 of 84 2 of 3 32 of 49
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bolaji Oki 29 of 73 39% 21 of 61 6 of 10 2 of 2 25 of 59 0 of 0 4 of 14
Mason Jones 20 of 57 35% 17 of 51 1 of 2 2 of 4 12 of 44 2 of 3 6 of 10
2 Bolaji Oki 9 of 26 34% 5 of 15 2 of 9 2 of 2 9 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mason Jones 37 of 79 46% 35 of 77 1 of 1 1 of 1 11 of 40 0 of 0 26 of 39
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 31, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Angelo slightly leans towards Mason Jones, citing his superior wrestling and ability to frustrate Oki with a busy jab. He notes that Oki struggles when backing up and that Jones' offensive takedowns are better. He calls it a competitive fight but thinks Jones' wrestling gives him the edge.

"Mason Jones is going to be the pick because I think he's just slightly better with the wrestling."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Bolaji Oki

Big Brady picks Bolaji Oki in a close fight, citing Oki's high volume and power. He questions Mason Jones' fight IQ, noting he didn't grapple when he should have. He expects the fight to stay standing and go to a split decision, with Oki landing the bigger shots.

Oki by decision
"I'll say Oki wins this fight, but it's all up to what the crooked corrupt judges think. I think it's a close decision. Going to be Oi. Oki by decision."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Connor also picks Jones, agreeing that Oki is undercooked and that Jones's fully formed game can handle a variety of opponents. He notes that Oki's technique falls apart when the fight gets out of control, and Jones will exploit that. He sees Jones as a much more reliable fighter at this level.

"Jones just has a much more fully formed, fleshed out game capable of dealing with a variety of opponents."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mason Jones

The host acknowledges the fight is a potential fight of the night contender and notes the odds are shifting towards Oki. However, he picks Jones due to his experience and ability to mix up the game better. He expects Jones to land more damage, outgrapple Oki, and win on the scorecards as the fight goes into deeper waters.

"I think Jones is just a little bit more experienced, can really mix up the game a lot better than Okei. And I think once this fight gets into deeper waters, Jones should be able to pull away with the experience he's accured."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mason Jones

The Guru picks Mason Jones, acknowledging Oki's speed and power but noting Jones' granite chin and grinding style. He believes Jones' grappling and cardio will wear Oki down as the fight progresses. He predicts a 29-28 decision, with Jones losing the first round but taking over in the second and third.

"I'm going to go with Mason Jones. I'm going to go Mason Jones."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Zane picks Mason Jones because he is a known quantity with a durable, aggressive style that will test Oki's inexperience. He notes that Oki has physical talent but poor footwork and decision-making, and that Jones will turn the fight into a brawl where Oki is uncomfortable. He believes Jones's wrestling and durability will be key.

"I got a big Mason Jones. Like Okey has the physical talent to make this fight bad for Jones. But if he can't avoid a brawl, then Jones is much more difficult to take momentum from than either of those guys."
Expert Picks (3)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 18, 2025 (13 days before fight)
Marquel Mederos

Angelo picks Marquel Mederos as an underdog, citing his cleaner striking technique and defensive soundness. He believes Mederos can use his jab to get through Bolaji Oki's guard and that Oki's power and speed will be less effective as he slows down. He also mentions a potential plus 3.5 round spread bet.

Mentions a potential plus 3.5 round spread bet on Mederos.
"I am going with Markeel Maderos here. He is going to be the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 26, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Bolaji Oki

Big Brady likes Bolaji Oki's volume and power, noting his strong performance against Chris Duncan before getting caught in a guillotine. He criticizes Marquel Mederos for close fights against lower-level opponents like Lanni Quinonez and Austin Hubbard, and believes Oki can out-strike and potentially out-grapple Mederos. He picks Oki by decision.

by decision
"I like Oki here. You know, Oki's a very good fighter. I like the volume, you know, in that Chris Duncan fight."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 28, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Marquel Mederos

The MMA Guru picks Marquel Mederos as an underdog, citing his versatility in multiple ranges (clinch, inside, distance) compared to Bolaji Oki who is primarily effective at range. He notes Mederos' composure and Oki's occasional overzealousness. He predicts a TKO in later rounds or a decision win.

"I'm actually going to go with Markeel Madios here. He's an underdog... I think Markeel Maderos is more effective in more different ranges than Bellagio is."
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bolaji Oki 0 136 of 303 44% 136 of 303 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michael Aswell 0 118 of 309 38% 118 of 309 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bolaji Oki 0 36 of 92 39% 36 of 92 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michael Aswell 0 24 of 84 28% 24 of 84 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Bolaji Oki 0 54 of 108 50% 54 of 108 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michael Aswell 0 42 of 100 42% 42 of 100 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Bolaji Oki 0 46 of 103 44% 46 of 103 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michael Aswell 0 52 of 125 41% 52 of 125 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bolaji Oki 136 of 303 44% 92 of 243 36 of 48 8 of 12 135 of 300 1 of 3 0 of 0
Michael Aswell 118 of 309 38% 92 of 270 19 of 29 7 of 10 117 of 305 1 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bolaji Oki 36 of 92 39% 23 of 75 9 of 11 4 of 6 36 of 92 0 of 0 0 of 0
Michael Aswell 24 of 84 28% 16 of 72 3 of 4 5 of 8 24 of 84 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Bolaji Oki 54 of 108 50% 31 of 77 19 of 25 4 of 6 53 of 106 1 of 2 0 of 0
Michael Aswell 42 of 100 42% 35 of 87 6 of 12 1 of 1 42 of 98 0 of 2 0 of 0
3 Bolaji Oki 46 of 103 44% 38 of 91 8 of 12 0 of 0 46 of 102 0 of 1 0 of 0
Michael Aswell 52 of 125 41% 41 of 111 10 of 13 1 of 1 51 of 123 1 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Michael Aswell vs. Bolaji Oki
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Oki (-375), Aswell (+300)

Round 1
Ever the internationally focused organization, where else can one find a tried-and-true Texan throwing down with a “Zulu Warrior” from Belgium? Right here in the Octagon is where it’s at, as “The Texas Kid” Aswell (10-2, 0-0 UFC) has made it to the promotion after riding the wave of Fury FC for a few years. He meets Oki (9-2, 1-1 UFC), who would like nothing more than to punch a hole in Aswell’s chest a la Ray Longo. The third man in the cage for this lightweight affair will be referee Herb Dean, who clocks the two in as they bump fists. It’s off to the races for these two, who quickly engage quickly with stern right hands. Oki sinks down a heavy low kick, and the two crash together. Oki backs off and pushes out a few jabs, and he swings a leg kick that makes him topple over. Aswell cannot reach him before he recovers, but he does walk Oki down and try to nail him with a right hand. Instead, it is Oki who clubs Aswell, with a nasty right hand followed by a left to the body. Oki does this again, walking through Aswell’s hammers that are swinging at the same time. Aswell calms himself down to toss out a few calf kicks, and he dodges a hook to clip Oki with a right hand. Oki shows no ill effects, and Aswell walks him down with his jab outstretched. Oki drills Aswell on the temple with a straight right hand, and Aswell busts him in the chops and may have hurt him for a second as Oki retreats. It does not take long for Oki to get back to lobbing bombs, and he mixes in a few body shots but gets popped on the way out. These two are trading effectively and flush on one another, and their chins are holding up at the three-minute mark but the pace may not be maintainable as they continue. The right hand from Oki splits a cut on the corner of Aswell’s left eyebrow, with the blood leaking into his eye slightly but not hampering his sight. Aswell still nails Oki with heavy hands, setting them up with jabs and knocking him back with a pair of rights. Aswell connects with another right, walks through a jab and fires off a right hook. Oki snaps his head back with a long jab, and his left hook to the belly finds its home a couple times. Both lightweights land hard at the end of the round, with Aswell knocking Oki back a step and possibly stealing the round with one concussive blow.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Aswell
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Aswell
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Aswell

Round 2
A glove touch prompts the lightweights to get right in front of one another and punch. Oki backs him off with a step-in knee and tries to chain a high kick into it, but it is Aswell who stands firm and punches him square in the stomach. Oki sits down on big punches, but Aswell is able to roll with them just enough to not get his chin checked. Oki times another knee when Aswell steps in, and he slips back and tags Aswell as Aswell rushes at him. Oki measures several more body shots, and Aswell busts him in the chops with a right hand. Aswell fires off another right hook that snaps the head to the side, and Oki sticks his tongue out and puts three fists on Aswell’s face in rapid succession. Aswell lands a few punches, and Oki spins with a back kick to the belly. Aswell connects with two punches and is out of the way before getting countered, and he steps in and bops Oki in the chops with a left. Oki knocks him back thanks to his power punches, and he works a left to the ribs and a right up top. They both land at the same time, and Oki dodges an elbow to send Aswell retreating. Oki chains a knee into a right hand, and Aswell is tough as nails but is standing still when Oki puts hands on him. Aswell goes for two, and Oki’s lead jab and check hook to the damage. Oki knees his foe again, and he trips as he swings for the fences and recovers quickly. Oki takes a low kick on the calf and drills Aswell with a short combo, forcing the Texan to ricochet off the wall. Oki’s right hand further pounds Aswell on the jaw, and he jumps forward with a knee that flies past his foe on the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Oki
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Oki
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Oki

Round 3
One final glove touch kicks off the last round, and Oki starts off quickly with a jab and a chin-shaking right hand. Aswell displays near otherworldly durability as Oki is not taking it easy on him, but it is Oki in the driver’s seat. The power is substantially in his favor, and he has Aswell reacting to his strikes while he largely shrugs off the ones coming back his way. Even with Aswell’s likely higher volume, the right and left hooks from Oki are far more impactful. A few such hooks land on the chin, and Oki eats a counter, pats himself on the head to ask Aswell to bring it on and throws back. Oki leads off with his left hook, and three punches of his back Aswell up to the fence. Oki continue to chase after his opponent as Aswell is in retreat mode now, and he keeps his guard high to let Aswell’s swings bounce off him. Oki takes a hard right hand, and when Aswell doubles up his jab, Oki smiles at him and asks for more. Aswell obliges, but not before Oki clips him again hard. The strike totals are sky-high in this fight and the numbers are likely quite close, but Oki has figured out how to put volume together while still hitting Aswell harder than he gets hit back. Oki marks up Aswell’s left eye with his power right hand, and Aswell is looking for answers as his mighty swings seem to have no effect on the Belgian. Oki walks into and through a right hand, and he winds up with three hearty swings that bounce Aswell’s head around. Oki is determined to swing it out to the bell, and he does just that.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Oki (29-28 Oki)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Oki (29-28 Oki)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Oki (29-28 Oki)

The Official Result
Bolaji Oki def. Michael Aswell via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Expert Picks (1)
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 29, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Bolaji Oki

Matt picks Bolaji Oki to win by decision. He highlights Oki's power punching and ability to maintain his gas tank over three rounds, while Aswell is a basic pressure fighter moving up a weight class on short notice. He expects Oki to land the more eye-catching shots and win on the scorecards, noting Aswell's durability but lack of power.

over 2.5 rounds -140 to -150 (intriguing)
"I'm going to go with Oki by decision."
Expert Picks (1)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 26, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady

Angelo picks Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady because of his relentless pressure and ability to maintain pace, while Bolaji Oki tends to slow down as fights go on. He notes that Al-Selwady had a full camp and is a pressure striker who mixes in takedowns. He acknowledges that Oki is a tough opponent with a good jab and fast sprawls, but believes Al-Selwady's cardio and pressure will be the difference.

Expects odds movement; advises to take advantage of early lines.
"I'm sticking with alati he had the full Camp he has the incredible pressure bagok slows down over time alawa does not so I'm going alati here"
Technical Submission (guillotine choke) R1 3:34
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chris Duncan 0 28 of 50 56% 29 of 51 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:11
Bolaji Oki 0 10 of 25 40% 12 of 29 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chris Duncan 0 28 of 50 56% 29 of 51 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:11
Bolaji Oki 0 10 of 25 40% 12 of 29 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chris Duncan 28 of 50 56% 25 of 47 3 of 3 0 of 0 21 of 39 6 of 8 1 of 3
Bolaji Oki 10 of 25 40% 7 of 18 1 of 1 2 of 6 10 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chris Duncan 28 of 50 56% 25 of 47 3 of 3 0 of 0 21 of 39 6 of 8 1 of 3
Bolaji Oki 10 of 25 40% 7 of 18 1 of 1 2 of 6 10 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (10)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 22, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Chris Duncan

Angelo picks Chris Duncan as an underdog. He believes Duncan's willingness to stand in the pocket and pump a jab non-stop will frustrate Oki, who has defensive issues and gets hit often. Duncan's durability and ability to survive being dropped are key factors. Angelo notes he might sprinkle a small bet if Duncan's line becomes a bigger underdog.

might sprinkle a dollar or two if line moves to high pluses
"Chris Duncan's gonna win this fight... Chris has that solid jab... Chris has what seems like a very good chin..."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Sep 27, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Bolaji Oki

Big Brady picks Bolaji Oki but is hesitant due to Chris Duncan's poor striking defense (49%) and tendency to walk into shots. He notes Oki has power and could hurt Duncan, but thinks the fight could be close and competitive. He expects Oki to win by decision, possibly dropping Duncan at some point.

Oki by decision
"I'm going to take Oki here um I'm going to take him to win this fight either I'll say by decision maybe he hurts Duncan here or there maybe it drops him but I'm going to say Oki wins this fight and wins it by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Chris Duncan

Cody leans towards Duncan as an underdog, citing Oki's questionable cardio and takedown defense. He notes that Duncan has wrestling and can take Oki down, potentially tiring him. However, he acknowledges Oki's power and the risk of getting knocked out. He doesn't plan to bet heavily.

"I'll side with Duncan strictly because these new gloves have ruined Knockouts"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Bolaji Oki

Cody picks Bolaji Oki as his tournament play, highlighting his physicality, power, and early knockout potential. He notes Oki is minus 105 to win inside the distance and that Chris Duncan has been badly hurt in past fights. Cody believes Oki is a more technical and powerful striker with better durability, making him a sneaky tournament target at 8.8k.

win inside the distance (-105)
"I'm going to throw Bolaji Oki here at 8.8k against Chris Duncan... he's minus 105 to win inside the distance."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Chris Duncan

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Oki is a much cruder fighter despite being a better athlete. He thinks Duncan's experience and ability to game plan will be key. Connor also mentions that Duncan has shown flexibility in his approach, which should help him avoid Oki's early power.

"I think it's all backwards."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Bolaji Oki

Daniel Vreeland picks Bolaji Oki to win by knockout. He thinks Oki is much faster and more powerful on the feet, and that Duncan is hittable and slow. He notes Oki's good takedown defense and counter-striking. He expects Oki to hurt Duncan and finish him, possibly with body shots.

wins by KO
"I'm going to pick hoki to to find a KO here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 25, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Bolaji Oki

JP picks Bolaji Oki because of his power and nine-fight win streak. He notes Oki has never been finished and Chris Duncan has been KO'd by Slava Claus and submitted by Manuel Torres, which he views as poor performances. JP believes Oki's power will be too much for Duncan.

"give me uh Oki by KO okay [ __ ] Duncan no way you're getting submitted by a bum like Torres"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Bolaji Oki

Paul leans towards Oki, believing his power will eventually catch Duncan, who has a questionable chin. He notes that Oki's takedown defense is a concern, but Duncan's wrestling isn't elite. He expects Oki to land a knockout at some point, though he's not confident enough to bet heavily.

"I think at some point Oki just melts him"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Bolaji Oki

The MMA Guru picks Bolaji Oki over Chris Duncan, citing Oki's superior speed and fluidity. He notes that Duncan is slow for the division and hasn't impressed, while Oki looked technical in his UFC debut. He predicts Oki will land more damaging shots and win by decision.

"I'm going to go with bagok I think he'll just be a little bit more fluid a little bit more fast twist and I think that might be the difference in this fight so I'm going to pick him by decision"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Chris Duncan

Zane picks Duncan as an experience pick, noting that Duncan is reasonably well-rounded and can game plan. He thinks Duncan can lean on wrestling or aggressive striking to pressure Oki. However, he acknowledges Duncan has meltdown potential, but Oki doesn't have a grappling threat to trouble Duncan.

"My instinct is Duncan for what is essentially an experience pick."
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bolaji Oki 0 60 of 152 39% 61 of 157 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:49
Timmy Cuamba 0 33 of 94 35% 35 of 96 1 of 6 16% 0 0 1:55
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bolaji Oki 0 29 of 61 47% 30 of 64 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:10
Timmy Cuamba 0 9 of 43 20% 9 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Bolaji Oki 0 10 of 25 40% 10 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:19
Timmy Cuamba 0 11 of 21 52% 13 of 23 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:55
3 Bolaji Oki 0 21 of 66 31% 21 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
Timmy Cuamba 0 13 of 30 43% 13 of 30 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bolaji Oki 60 of 152 39% 51 of 139 5 of 8 4 of 5 58 of 145 1 of 4 1 of 3
Timmy Cuamba 33 of 94 35% 20 of 67 8 of 14 5 of 13 26 of 86 5 of 6 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bolaji Oki 29 of 61 47% 24 of 55 1 of 1 4 of 5 28 of 56 0 of 2 1 of 3
Timmy Cuamba 9 of 43 20% 5 of 30 1 of 3 3 of 10 9 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Bolaji Oki 10 of 25 40% 10 of 24 0 of 1 0 of 0 10 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0
Timmy Cuamba 11 of 21 52% 9 of 15 1 of 4 1 of 2 5 of 14 4 of 5 2 of 2
3 Bolaji Oki 21 of 66 31% 17 of 60 4 of 6 0 of 0 20 of 64 1 of 2 0 of 0
Timmy Cuamba 13 of 30 43% 6 of 22 6 of 7 1 of 1 12 of 29 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Timothy Cuamba vs. Bolaji Oki
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: N/A

Round 1
On August 29, 2023, both Oki (8-1, 0-0 UFC) and Cuamba (8-1, 0-0 UFC) competed on the fourth episode of Dana White’s Contender Series in its 2023 season. Both men ended up getting their hands raised—Oki by knockout, and Cuamba by decision—and the former was signed. The latter went back to the regionals, where he fought at Tuff-N-Uff, the former all-amateur promotion, and smoked Michael Stack just one week ago. The round robin of fighters ends with this lightweight pairing of 8-1 newcomers, and it will be joined in the cage by referee Chris Tognoni. There is no plan on touching gloves, as they would rather get down to business. Oki presents himself as the immediate aggressor, chasing Cuamba down and reaching out with a low kick and some wide punches. Cuamba does not engage with much of his own offense in the opening 90 seconds, but for a few jabs and low kicks. Oki throws back one leg kick and unloads with two big right hands that mark up Cuamba’s face. Cuamba looses a right hand of his own back Oki off, but Oki is driving jabs to the increasingly red eye of his opponent. Oki times an advancing Cuamba with a short right, and the offense slows down from both parties. Oki shuffles in place as he tosses out a single right hand, and when that misses, Cuamba lets rip two overhand rights. Oki pokes out several more jabs and avoids the counter, and he lands a low kick with an audible thud. Cuamba comes back with a jab and slings a right hand after it, and he presses forward but pulls back before shooting. Oki gladly remains in boxing range, jabbing his opponent up, until Cuamba spurs into action with a head kick. Oki catches it and pushes Cuamba to the floor, where he unloads with a series of punches until the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Oki
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Oki
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Oki

Round 2
The lightweights reach out to exchange a glove touch to start off the round, and Oki starts to chase Cuamba around the cage with jabs. Cuamba looks to mix things up with low kicks, but Oki walks through it and doubles up a jab to nail Cuamba with a right hand. Cuamba comes back with a two-punch combination, but it does not fluster Oki in the slightest. Oki continues to jab without fear of reprisal, and even when a counter comes from Cuamba, it is one-and-done. Oki peppers his man with a jab and occasional follow-up punches, and Cuamba attacks in response with a single-leg takedown effort. Oki backs up to the wall in defense, and he stifles Cuamba from getting him down and ends up taking Cuamba’s back in the process. Oki considers a rear-naked choke but falls off the side, although he gets a single hook in momentarily. Cuamba turns him back and stays doggedly pursuing the single, and he transitions to a double and manages to ground Oki after all. Cuamba steps over to the side and sits in an open half guard as he postures up to elbow Oki. When Oki sits up, Cuamba considers a guillotine choke at the 10-second clapper. Oki stands up, ignores a few elbows on the side of his head, and he hangs on as the round concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Cuamba
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Cuamba
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Cuamba

Round 3
The final round commences as Oki looks to pick up where he left off on the feet with a veritable cornucopia of jabs. Cuamba attempts a kick, but Oki is too close and irritating him with jabs. Oki drops his hands and puts them behind his back to showboat, and Cuamba punches him square in the face. Oki continues to march forward with jabs outstretched, and he surprises his adversary by attempting a level change. Cuamba pushes him away and returns to kickboxing range. Oki welcomes this by reintroducing his jab to the face of his opponent, and he is light enough on his feet to dodge the counters that careen his direction. Cuamba sneaks out a left hand as he gets constantly driven back, but he cannot seem to stop the methodical strategy of “The Zulu Warrior.” Cuamba tries to swing for the fences, and Oki watches them soar past him. Oki sprawls to stop a takedown, and he marches down Cuamba and strings four punches together. Oki catches Cuamba with an uppercut, as he puts a bit more mustard on his punches with less than a minute to go. Cuamba keeps circling and absorbing punches, and he occasionally looks for a brawl but is telegraphing the majority of his power strikes. Oki fearlessly presses ahead with punches in bunches, gets in a knee, and reaches out with a Superman punch right before this lackluster offering comes to a close.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Oki (29-28 Oki)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Oki (29-28 Oki)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Oki (29-28 Oki)

The Official Result
Bolaji Oki def. Timothy Cuamba via Split Decision (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Bolaji Oki

Angelo describes Bolaji Oki as a busy striker with a good jab, power, and fast sprawl, though he slows down. He notes that Timmy Cuamba (referred to as deir hadzic) is an okay striker who relies on closing distance and takedowns, but his wide strikes leave him open to counters. Angelo believes Oki can defend takedowns and land effectively, and picks him to win. He suggests under 2.5 rounds might make sense.

under 2.5 rounds might make sense
"I think BAGI wins this fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Bolaji Oki

Big Brady picks Bolaji Oki to win by decision. He notes that Oki has many ways to win, including wrestling, as Cuamba has the worst takedown defense in the lightweight division. He thinks Oki can brawl on the feet but can also take Cuamba down easily. He is not laying -300 on a debutant but picks Oki.

"give me bagok to win this fight and I'll take him to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Bolaji Oki

Cody picks Oki, noting his size and power. He thinks Cuamba is taking the fight on short notice and moving up a weight class, which are disadvantages. Oki has shown good wrestling and knockout power. Cody expects Oki to land the bigger shots and win by decision or late stoppage.

"I got to go with baji Oki who again debut and do you want to pay the money line and blah blah blah blah blah like the the guy's explosive"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Bolaji Oki

Oki is a young, powerful striker with speed and explosiveness. He should be able to find an early knockout against the aging and injury-returning Hadzovic. Hadzovic's ring rust and knee surgery recovery are major concerns. Oki's power will be too much, and he should win by first-round knockout.

"I got to lean with Oki as I think he should be able to uh find that early knockout here I think his speed and power is going to be too much for hadzovic and that ring rust is going to come back to bite him in the ass so give me BAGI Oki by first round knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Bolaji Oki

Paul also picks Oki, citing size and preparation. He notes Cuamba fought last week and is moving up, which could affect his performance. Oki is the more proven prospect. Paul is not planning to bet it but leans Oki.

"I'll side with size here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Bolaji Oki

The MMA Guru picks Bolaji Oki because he is a dangerous athlete with good reach and power, and he is facing Timothy Cuamba on short notice. He recalls Oki's nasty first-round finish on the Contender Series. He notes that Cuamba is moving up from featherweight and taking the fight on short notice, which he sees as a disadvantage.

"I just think BAGI is too much of a presence and he's got too much power for a heavweight coming up so yeah I don't like this for a couple days notice."