Fight card

UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho

September 06, 2025 Accor Arena Paris, France
Nassourdine Imavov

Nassourdine Imavov W

17-4
Decision R5 5:00
Fight 1 VS Middleweight Completed

Nassourdine Imavov

Moneyline
Caesars +115
KO/TKO
FanDuel +460
Submission
FanDuel +1200
Decision
Cloudbet +312

Caio Borralho

Moneyline
Cloudbet -112
KO/TKO
Cloudbet +778
Submission
Cloudbet +980
Decision
Cloudbet +164
Fighter Stats

Nassourdine Imavov

Age30
Height6' 3"
Reach75.0"
Weight185 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Caio Borralho

Age33
Height6' 1"
Reach75.0"
Weight185 lbs.
StanceSouthpaw

Career Averages - Nassourdine Imavov

4.28SLpM
54.0%Str. Acc.
3.17SApM
58.0%Str. Def.
0.74TD Avg
32.0%TD Acc.
81.0%TD Def.
1.0Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Caio Borralho

3.47SLpM
56.0%Str. Acc.
2.61SApM
60.0%Str. Def.
1.25TD Avg
50.0%TD Acc.
76.0%TD Def.
0.4Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 31, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Nassourdine Imavov

Angelo leans towards Nassourdine Imavov, citing his superior striking, footwork, and gas tank. He acknowledges Borralho's improvements and toughness but believes Imavov has more ways to win. He trusts Imavov's takedown defense over five rounds and notes that Borralho might be distracted by his world tour. He calls it a razor-thin 50-50 fight.

"I am going to lean Nasser Imov here because I think he has more ways to win."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Caio Borralho

Big Brady picks Caio Borralho, citing his grappling upside and the 'Fighting Nerds' aura. He expects a close fight going 25 minutes, with Borralho winning minutes in the clinch and with takedowns. He notes both have good cardio but favors Borralho slightly.

Borralho by decision
"I'm going to go Kyle Baja to win this fight by a close decision, winning some minutes in the clinch, having the slightly better cardio, and then mixing in some takedowns."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Caio Borralho

Connor also picks Borralho, citing that Imavov's game may struggle against a southpaw and that Borralho's low kicks and body work will pay dividends. He notes that Imavov still tends to gas, especially if he wrestles, and that Borralho's conditioning is superior. However, he admits that Borralho's one good performance against Cannonier may be stylistic and that Imavov could have a definitive round.

"I tend to agree because even if it's not that good a performance, I do kind of suspect a lot of that had to do with Jared Cannonier as a stylistic matchup for him."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Caio Borralho

The host views Borralho as the far superior fighter in fight IQ and overall MMA approach. He acknowledges Imavov can be competitive in striking but expects Borralho to mix it up well, get his grappling going, and win at least four out of five rounds on the scorecards.

"I think Bajalio is just the far superior fighter from fight IQ to an overall MMA approach. But Hayo can definitely be competitive in the striking realm, and I think we'll see him mix it up well to …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Nassourdine Imavov

The Guru picks Nassourdine Imavov as an underdog, arguing the odds are incorrect and Imavov should be a 2-to-1 favorite. He praises Imavov's striking, footwork, and speed, while noting Borralho's grappling advantage may not materialize. He predicts a TKO finish in round three or four, citing Imavov's moments of excellence and Borralho's inactivity.

TKO finish in round three or four
"I'm going with Nasadin Mav. And he's an underdog here."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Caio Borralho

Zane leans toward Borralho because he believes Borralho has shown improved striking and pace, particularly in the Jared Cannonier fight, and can push a better pace for more rounds. He notes that Imavov tends to gas and relies on wrestling, which may not be effective against Borralho's conditioning. However, he acknowledges that Imavov could have a definitive round or land a damaging shot, making it a close fight.

"I think for me, I'm still going to lean towards picking Caio Borralho just because if I imagine the shape of the fight, I don't think like Imavov when he finishes people, it always just kind of comes …"
Fight Notes
BR
brian 8 months, 3 weeks ago

Caio time management extraordinaire. Uses fouls when needed. Hard to KO. Nass was fast with the striking, hard to takedown. After the stuffing was typing up a ninja which led to a break

BR
brian 8 months, 4 weeks ago

Caio is small for the division or at least against craig. Its hard being a smart fighter ultimately you rise up the ranks and then get murdered by a freak

Benoît Saint Denis

Benoît Saint Denis W

17-3
Submission R2 2:56
Fight 2 VS Lightweight Completed

Benoît Saint Denis

Moneyline
Caesars +160
KO/TKO
Cloudbet +711
Submission
Cloudbet +651
Decision
Unibet +650

Maurício Ruffy

Moneyline
BetWay -163
KO/TKO
Cloudbet +151
Submission
FanDuel +1600
Decision
BetRivers +575
Fighter Stats

Benoît Saint Denis

Age30
Height5' 11"
Reach73"
Weight155 lbs.
StanceSouthpaw

Maurício Ruffy

Age29
Height5' 11"
Reach75"
Weight155 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Benoît Saint Denis

5.62SLpM
58.0%Str. Acc.
4.09SApM
42.0%Str. Def.
4.19TD Avg
35.0%TD Acc.
72.0%TD Def.
1.8Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Maurício Ruffy

4.19SLpM
58.0%Str. Acc.
4.09SApM
58.0%Str. Def.
0.0TD Avg
0.0%TD Acc.
85.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 31, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Maurício Ruffy

Angelo picks Maurício Ruffy confidently, criticizing the hype around Saint Denis. He points out Saint Denis' losses where he was dominated, and argues that Ruffy's dynamic striking and takedown defense will be too much. He believes Ruffy will 'style on' Saint Denis and land clean, big shots. He plans to parlay and bet on Ruffy but is waiting for the line to tighten further.

planning to parlay
"Mauricio Ruffy should run through Benois Saintini."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Maurício Ruffy

Big Brady picks Maurício Ruffy, believing he will dominate on the feet. He notes Saint Denis has poor striking defense (41%) and has been knocked out before. He thinks if Saint Denis cannot get takedowns, he is in trouble. He predicts a first-round knockout.

Ruffy by knockout, round 1
"I'm going Hoofy by knockout. I'm going to take Hoofy to win this fight and win it by first round knockout."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Maurício Ruffy

Connor picks Ruffy, believing he might knock Saint Denis out. He notes that Saint Denis has a Patrick Cummins-like ability to take clean shots and that his defensive flaws are severe. Connor thinks Ruffy's accuracy and power will find a home, and that Saint Denis's aggressive style plays into Ruffy's hands. He acknowledges that Ruffy's level of competition is questionable but sees the potential for a spectacular finish.

"I'm going to pick Ruffy. I think he might knock Saint Denis out."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Benoît Saint Denis

The host acknowledges Ruffy's flashy knockout style and fan support but believes he is not ready for Saint Denis's grapple-heavy, smothering approach. He expects Saint Denis to grapple Ruffy, take his back, and sink in a rear-naked choke for a submission victory.

submission (rear-naked choke)
"I think we'll see BSD go out there grapple Huffy eventually get the back and I think it's just a matter of time before he sinks in that rear naked choke and forces the submission from the Brazilian."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Maurício Ruffy

The Guru picks Maurício Ruffy with high confidence, citing Ruffy's speed, shot selection, and ability to set traps. He criticizes Saint Denis' slow, chin-up striking and believes he is ripe for a knockout. He predicts a first-round KO, comparing it to McGregor vs Aldo, and dismisses concerns about Ruffy's grappling.

first round KO
"I'm going with Mauricio Hafi and I'm very confident in Mauricio Huffy as well."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Benoît Saint Denis

Zane picks Saint Denis because he knows what Saint Denis will do—aggressive pressure and physicality—and he doubts Ruffy is ready for that sustained onslaught. He notes that Ruffy's wins have come against inferior athletes and that his trick-striking style may not hold up against a relentless forward fighter. He acknowledges that Saint Denis is vulnerable defensively and may gas, but believes his pace will overwhelm Ruffy.

"I'm picking Benoît Saint-Denis. That's why is it, I know what Benoît Saint-Denis is going to do and he's going to go out there and he's going to try and crush Maurício Ruffy with pace and pressure and …"
Fight Notes
BR
brian 8 months, 3 weeks ago

Would back Ruffy again. Benoit was decent on the feet

Modestas Bukauskas

Modestas Bukauskas W

19-7
KO R1 5:00
Fight 3 VS Light Heavyweight Completed

Modestas Bukauskas

Moneyline
FanDuel -335
KO/TKO
FanDuel -115
Submission
Cloudbet +2226
Decision
BetRivers +360

Paul Craig

Moneyline
Caesars +300
KO/TKO
Cloudbet +1835
Submission
Cloudbet +572
Decision
Cloudbet +1101
Fighter Stats

Modestas Bukauskas

Age32
Height6' 3"
Reach78.0"
Weight205 lbs.
StanceSwitch

Paul Craig

Age38
Height6' 3"
Reach76.0"
Weight205 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Modestas Bukauskas

3.24SLpM
42.0%Str. Acc.
4.05SApM
50.0%Str. Def.
0.26TD Avg
66.0%TD Acc.
79.0%TD Def.
0.1Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Paul Craig

2.5SLpM
45.0%Str. Acc.
3.04SApM
43.0%Str. Def.
1.43TD Avg
18.0%TD Acc.
35.0%TD Def.
1.3Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 31, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Modestas Bukauskas

Angelo picks Modestas Bukauskas confidently, citing his versatile striking, takedown defense, and power. He believes Bukauskas will chop down Craig's legs and avoid his submission threats. He notes Craig's poor takedown entries and mediocre striking. He was swayed by Bukauskas' hype video showing his comeback.

"Modesus is going to be the pick. I think he kind of runs through Paul Craig to be honest with you."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Modestas Bukauskas

Big Brady picks Modestas Bukauskas, criticizing Paul Craig's recent point-fighting style. He believes Bukauskas can outstrike Craig from the outside and avoid his guard. He expects a boring decision win for Bukauskas, as Craig no longer wrestles or pulls guard effectively.

Bukauskas by decision
"Bukowskis for me, Bukowskis by decision. I think this fight's probably going to suck to be honest."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Modestas Bukauskas

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Bukauskas. He notes that Paul Craig is vulnerable everywhere—standing, on his back, and even on top—and that Bukauskas is a solid fighter who can win without engaging on the ground. He emphasizes that Craig's fragility makes him likely to get hurt in exchanges.

"Paul Craig's fragility is always going to be there. Craig is always going to be the more likely guy to get extremely badly hurt in any exchange."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Modestas Bukauskas

The host believes Bukauskas can utilize his striking advantage to keep Craig at bay, touch him up from distance, and avoid overextending to prevent takedowns. He expects Bukauskas to win on the scorecards.

"I think this is a fight where Bukowskis can utilize his striking advantage to keep Craig at bay, touch him up from distance and may not overextend too much here in hopes of not getting taken down."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Modestas Bukauskas

The Guru picks Modestas Bukauskas, criticizing Paul Craig's lack of improvement in standup over a decade. He believes Bukauskas' pressure and straight rights will catch Craig early. He predicts a first-round TKO, noting Bukauskas' ability to cut off the cage and land devastating shots.

first round TKO
"I'm going with Modestus Picowskus and I'm going to say that he finishes this in round one."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Modestas Bukauskas

Zane picks Bukauskas easily, noting that Paul Craig's striking is a mess and his takedown accuracy is poor. He believes Bukauskas can keep the fight standing and hurt Craig, or take him down and control him without getting submitted. He calls the fight unnecessary but sees Bukauskas as a solid functional fighter who should win.

"Got to pick Modestus Bukauskis and this fight just didn't, doesn't need to be, it doesn't need to exist."
Fight Notes
BR
brian 8 months, 3 weeks ago

Pual retired. Equal on the feet, pulled traingle near the fence. Got elbow ko on the buzzard rd1

BR
brian 8 months, 4 weeks ago

18.0 ko for Paul is crazy

Fight 4 VS Lightweight Completed
Mason Jones

Mason Jones W

18-2
KO R2 3:18

Bolaji Oki

Moneyline
BetUS +138
KO/TKO
FanDuel +370
Submission
BetMGM +2500
Decision
Cloudbet +364

Mason Jones

Moneyline
4casters -127
KO/TKO
BetRivers +460
Submission
Cloudbet +1135
Decision
Cloudbet +194
Fighter Stats

Bolaji Oki

Age30
Height5' 10"
Reach73.0"
Weight155 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Mason Jones

Age31
Height5' 10"
Reach74.0"
Weight155 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Bolaji Oki

6.42SLpM
45.0%Str. Acc.
5.12SApM
61.0%Str. Def.
1.02TD Avg
57.0%TD Acc.
75.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Mason Jones

5.98SLpM
42.0%Str. Acc.
4.45SApM
50.0%Str. Def.
3.48TD Avg
55.0%TD Acc.
73.0%TD Def.
0.2Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 31, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Angelo slightly leans towards Mason Jones, citing his superior wrestling and ability to frustrate Oki with a busy jab. He notes that Oki struggles when backing up and that Jones' offensive takedowns are better. He calls it a competitive fight but thinks Jones' wrestling gives him the edge.

"Mason Jones is going to be the pick because I think he's just slightly better with the wrestling."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Bolaji Oki

Big Brady picks Bolaji Oki in a close fight, citing Oki's high volume and power. He questions Mason Jones' fight IQ, noting he didn't grapple when he should have. He expects the fight to stay standing and go to a split decision, with Oki landing the bigger shots.

Oki by decision
"I'll say Oki wins this fight, but it's all up to what the crooked corrupt judges think. I think it's a close decision. Going to be Oi. Oki by decision."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Connor also picks Jones, agreeing that Oki is undercooked and that Jones's fully formed game can handle a variety of opponents. He notes that Oki's technique falls apart when the fight gets out of control, and Jones will exploit that. He sees Jones as a much more reliable fighter at this level.

"Jones just has a much more fully formed, fleshed out game capable of dealing with a variety of opponents."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mason Jones

The host acknowledges the fight is a potential fight of the night contender and notes the odds are shifting towards Oki. However, he picks Jones due to his experience and ability to mix up the game better. He expects Jones to land more damage, outgrapple Oki, and win on the scorecards as the fight goes into deeper waters.

"I think Jones is just a little bit more experienced, can really mix up the game a lot better than Okei. And I think once this fight gets into deeper waters, Jones should be able to pull away …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mason Jones

The Guru picks Mason Jones, acknowledging Oki's speed and power but noting Jones' granite chin and grinding style. He believes Jones' grappling and cardio will wear Oki down as the fight progresses. He predicts a 29-28 decision, with Jones losing the first round but taking over in the second and third.

"I'm going to go with Mason Jones. I'm going to go Mason Jones."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Zane picks Mason Jones because he is a known quantity with a durable, aggressive style that will test Oki's inexperience. He notes that Oki has physical talent but poor footwork and decision-making, and that Jones will turn the fight into a brawl where Oki is uncomfortable. He believes Jones's wrestling and durability will be key.

"I got a big Mason Jones. Like Okey has the physical talent to make this fight bad for Jones. But if he can't avoid a brawl, then Jones is much more difficult to take momentum from than either …"
Fight Notes
BR
brian 8 months, 3 weeks ago

Oki nearly got the KO in rd1 and emptied the tank. The sub was there for Mason in rd2 ect but the gnp was the weapon used. Sub might be good again .

Fight 5 VS Welterweight Completed
Axel Sola

Axel Sola W

11-1-1
KO R3 2:02

Rhys McKee

Moneyline
BetMGM +120
KO/TKO
Cloudbet +479
Submission
Cloudbet +2322
Decision
BetRivers +285

Axel Sola

Moneyline
4casters -127
KO/TKO
Cloudbet +465
Submission
FanDuel +1200
Decision
FanDuel +195
Fighter Stats

Rhys McKee

Age30
Height6' 2"
Reach78.0"
Weight170 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Axel Sola

Age28
Height6' 0"
Reach74"
Weight155 lbs.
StanceSouthpaw

Career Averages - Rhys McKee

4.71SLpM
40.0%Str. Acc.
7.15SApM
47.0%Str. Def.
0.0TD Avg
0.0%TD Acc.
47.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Axel Sola

4.07SLpM
45.0%Str. Acc.
5.29SApM
61.0%Str. Def.
2.22TD Avg
36.0%TD Acc.
0.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 31, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Rhys McKee

Angelo leans towards Rhys McKee as an underdog, noting his experience against good fighters and his length. He acknowledges Axel Sola's speed and power but questions his level of competition. He also factors in Sola stepping up on short notice and potential octagon jitters. He expects the line to tighten and possibly flip.

"I'm going to lean Reese McKe here and we'll see how good the Jonas Brother is."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Rhys McKee

Big Brady picks Rhys McKee despite his poor striking defense, citing his toughness and durability. He notes Sola is moving up in weight and is hittable. He believes McKee's size and doggedness will carry him to a decision win, his first decision victory in 21 fights.

McKee by decision
"I'm going to take Reese McKe to win his very first decision. 21 fights for Reese McKe. Zero decision wins. I kind of think that changes here."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Axel Sola

Connor picks Sola to keep it interesting, noting that Sola has a fighter's mentality and can be more aggressive when needed. He thinks Sola's physicality is at least as good as Alex Morono, who easily handled McKee. However, he admits that Sola often has a feeling-out period and may let McKee into the fight.

"I'll take Sola just to keep it interesting."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Axel Sola

The host acknowledges McKee's volume approach but believes Sola has a better jab and overall MMA game. He expects Sola to take the fight to the ground and find opportune moments to control and damage McKee en route to a decision victory.

"I think Solah has a better jab and overall MMA game, which will include him taking this fight to the ground and finding opportune moments to control and damage McKe on route to a decision victory."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Rhys McKee

The Guru picks Rhys McKee, believing Axel Sola's regional fights showed vulnerabilities against crafty veterans. He argues McKee is superior at range and in distance management, and Sola won't be able to impose his ground game. He predicts a 29-28 decision for McKee, with McKee winning rounds one and three or two and three.

"I'm going to go with Reese McKe in this fight."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Rhys McKee

Zane picks McKee, taking a chance on the veteran. He notes that Sola tends to start slow and get pushed around, and that McKee's momentum-building style could take over if he survives the early rounds. He acknowledges that McKee is physically underwhelming and often loses at the UFC level, but believes Sola may not be aggressive enough to put him away.

"I think I'm going to take the chance on Reese McKee. It seems like a, it shouldn't, you know, I expect Sola will be a favorite and it, Reese McKee struggles at this level are something that I …"
Fight Notes
BR
brian 8 months, 3 weeks ago

Early stoppage in Rd3 by company man Herb Dean, not the less Rhys should have weight bullied his opponent more. Cage work, wrestling ect. Axel was slick in moments but quickly was circling to survive in rd2. A body shot in rd3 and scrambling to grab a leg the stoppage occurs.

BR
brian 8 months, 4 weeks ago

Axel sola fought his last few fights at 155, now thinks he can fight at 170 in the ufc. Nuts makes no sense.

William Gomis

William Gomis W

15-4
Decision R3 5:00
Fight 6 VS Featherweight Completed

William Gomis

Moneyline
Bookmaker -227
KO/TKO
Cloudbet +480
Submission
FanDuel +1100
Decision
FanDuel +100

Robert Ruchała

Moneyline
Caesars +240
KO/TKO
BetRivers +1500
Submission
FanDuel +2200
Decision
Cloudbet +373
Fighter Stats

William Gomis

Age28
Height6' 0"
Reach73.0"
Weight145 lbs.
StanceSouthpaw

Robert Ruchała

Age28
Height5' 8"
Reach72"
Weight145 lbs.
StanceSwitch

Career Averages - William Gomis

3.48SLpM
49.0%Str. Acc.
2.76SApM
61.0%Str. Def.
0.86TD Avg
38.0%TD Acc.
72.0%TD Def.
0.3Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Robert Ruchała

3.37SLpM
34.0%Str. Acc.
5.2SApM
45.0%Str. Def.
1.0TD Avg
22.0%TD Acc.
71.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (4)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 31, 2025 (6 days before fight)
William Gomis

Angelo picks William Gomis, believing he can win either by aggression or point fighting. He notes that Ruchała is hittable and that Gomis has good defense and smooth movement. He also mentions that Gomis might get a favorable decision in France. He thinks the odds are widening too much and that Ruchała is not a bad fighter.

"I think William Gomez wins. I think the odds should not be widening because Robert doesn't suck at all."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
William Gomis

Big Brady picks William Gomis despite calling him boring. He believes Gomis is defensively sound and will make the fight ugly, which is his path to victory. He thinks Ruchała is not UFC caliber and will struggle to hit Gomis. He predicts a decision win, possibly split.

Gomis by decision
"I think Goi wins this fight and I think he does it by decision and maybe even a split decision because that's what William Gomei does."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
William Gomis

The host acknowledges Ruchała's successful KSW run but thinks he will be behind as Gomis is the sharper, faster, and slicker striker. He expects Gomis to shut down Ruchała's early grappling threat and win on the scorecards.

"I think he's going to be behind it as Gomez will be the sharper, faster, and slicker striker and he should do a good enough job in terms of shutting down Ral's early grappling threat."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Sep 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Robert Ruchała

The Guru initially leans toward William Gomis but changes his mind, picking Robert Ruchała as an underdog. He notes Gomis has had many close decisions and tough weight cuts, while Ruchała has experience, finishing potential, and has been training at ATT. He predicts a TKO via ground and pound in round two or three.

TKO via ground and pound
"I'm going to take the underdog in Robert Ruchala. I'm going to take the underdog in Robert Ruchala."
Fight Notes
BR
brian 8 months, 3 weeks ago

Will runs and is lazy. Fast kicks. Robert is poor and at 145 is cannon fodder

Oumar Sy

Oumar Sy W

12-2
KO R1 4:42
Fight 7 VS Light Heavyweight Completed

Oumar Sy

Moneyline
Bookmaker, Betway -400
KO/TKO
Cloudbet +253
Submission
BetOnline +190
Decision
BetRivers +300

Brendson Ribeiro

Moneyline
BetMGM +475
KO/TKO
BetRivers +1000
Submission
Cloudbet +1410
Decision
Cloudbet +2012
Fighter Stats

Oumar Sy

Age30
Height6' 4"
Reach83.0"
Weight205 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Brendson Ribeiro

Age29
Height6' 3"
Reach81.0"
Weight205 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Oumar Sy

3.41SLpM
48.0%Str. Acc.
1.87SApM
66.0%Str. Def.
2.45TD Avg
35.0%TD Acc.
66.0%TD Def.
0.3Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Brendson Ribeiro

3.04SLpM
42.0%Str. Acc.
3.91SApM
53.0%Str. Def.
0.85TD Avg
42.0%TD Acc.
21.0%TD Def.
0.6Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (4)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 31, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Oumar Sy

Angelo picks Oumar Sy confidently, despite holding a grudge from Sy's previous loss. He acknowledges Sy's athleticism, speed, and power, and believes he can weather Ribeiro's early danger and then dominate with wrestling. He criticizes Ribeiro's quit button and susceptibility to being hit. He expects Sy to win, likely by wrestling, but warns that if he loses, he should be cut.

"I think Omar Sai wins here. I'm pretty confident that he wins here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Oumar Sy

Big Brady is very confident in Oumar Sy, calling it a layup. He highlights Ribeiro's 0% takedown defense and poor ground game. He expects Sy to take him down easily and finish via submission or TKO in the first round, despite Sy's previous failure as a heavy favorite.

Sy by submission, round 1
"I'll say Omar C wins this fight by first round sub."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Oumar Sy

The host thinks this is a great matchup for Sy to bounce back after his first pro defeat. He expects Sy to put pressure on Ribeiro, drag him to the ground, and open up a finishing position via ground and pound or submission.

ground and pound or submission
"Look for C to really put the pressure on Hibetto, eventually drag him to the ground, and I think he'll be able to open up a finishing position, whether it is by ground and pound or by submission."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Oumar Sy

The Guru picks Oumar Sy, citing his well-roundedness, patience, and footwork. He believes Sy can control the pace and avoid Ribeiro's wildness, similar to how Alonzo Menifield couldn't finish Sy. He predicts a 30-27 decision win, with Sy's movement neutralizing Ribeiro's chaos.

"I'm going to go with Umar Sai. I think a lot of people are going with Umar Sai here."
Fight Notes
BR
brian 8 months, 3 weeks ago

Oumar is too good for Brendson but needs more tune up fights.

Fight 8 VS Heavyweight Completed
Ante Delija

Ante Delija W

26-8
KO R1 2:03

Marcin Tybura

Moneyline
4casters +102
KO/TKO
Cloudbet +509
Submission
FanDuel +1200
Decision
Cloudbet +237

Ante Delija

Moneyline
Caesars +100
KO/TKO
Cloudbet +220
Submission
BetRivers +2400
Decision
FanDuel +500
Fighter Stats

Marcin Tybura

Age40
Height6' 3"
Reach78.0"
Weight249 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Ante Delija

Age35
Height6' 3"
Reach78"
Weight239 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Marcin Tybura

3.56SLpM
48.0%Str. Acc.
3.26SApM
55.0%Str. Def.
1.3TD Avg
33.0%TD Acc.
70.0%TD Def.
0.1Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Ante Delija

4.28SLpM
38.0%Str. Acc.
3.95SApM
52.0%Str. Def.
0.0TD Avg
0.0%TD Acc.
75.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (4)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Aug 31, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Marcin Tybura

Angelo reluctantly picks Marcin Tybura, citing his toughness, experience, and ability to grind out wins. He notes that the line has flipped with Delija now the favorite. He acknowledges Delija's power and takedowns but points out his age (35) and that he's from another organization, which the community often dismisses. He believes Tybura's durability and cagemanship will be key.

"I'm going to pick Marcen Tyora. I'm going to stick with that pick, but it's a reluctant pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Ante Delija

Big Brady picks Ante Delija, citing his speed and power on the feet. He notes Tybura's chin has been cracked and he is almost 40. He sees Delia winning by knockout if he can stuff takedowns, but acknowledges Tybura's path via grappling. He predicts a knockout win.

Delija by knockout
"I'll say Delia, I'll say Dia by knockout, but I'm looking forward to it."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Ante Delija

The host recalls their first meeting where Tybura won after Delija broke his leg. He thinks Delija can be successful in the UFC and will land more damaging shots, be more aggressive, mix in clinch and takedowns, eventually find a dominant position and get Tybura out of there via TKO.

TKO
"I think that will eventually lead to Dia finding a dominant position to rain down big shots and get Tyora out of there."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Ante Delija

The Guru picks Ante Delija, arguing that Tybura's 'fraud check' wins come against less experienced opponents, while Delija is a seasoned heavyweight with no clear holes. He notes Delija's training with Tom Aspinall and believes his athleticism and footwork will be too much. He predicts a TKO finish in round two or three, possibly from leg kicks and in-close shots.

TKO finish
"I'm going to go with Ante Deia. I think he's a step above the guys that do get fraud checked by Tyura."
Fight Notes
BR
brian 8 months, 3 weeks ago

Ante was a man on a mission, looked mean and clean on the feet.

Fight 9 VS Lightweight Completed
Kauê Fernandes

Kauê Fernandes W

11-2
KO R1 3:21

Harry Hardwick

Moneyline
Caesars +195
KO/TKO
BetRivers +950
Submission
BetRivers +1300
Decision
BetRivers +360

Kauê Fernandes

Moneyline
BetOnline, BetUS, Cloudbet -159
KO/TKO
FanDuel +270
Submission
BetRivers +1050
Decision
FanDuel +175
Fighter Stats

Harry Hardwick

Age31
Height5' 8"
Reach71"
Weight145 lbs.
StanceSwitch

Kauê Fernandes

Age31
Height5' 9"
Reach73"
Weight155 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Harry Hardwick

5.47SLpM
42.0%Str. Acc.
8.54SApM
44.0%Str. Def.
0.0TD Avg
0.0%TD Acc.
0.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Kauê Fernandes

4.28SLpM
55.0%Str. Acc.
1.42SApM
62.0%Str. Def.
1.18TD Avg
100.0%TD Acc.
76.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (1)
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Kauê Fernandes

Big Brady picks Kauê Fernandes, noting his improved takedown defense and cardio. He acknowledges Hardwick is taking the fight on short notice and moving up in weight. He believes Fernandes will win the first two rounds and possibly slow in the third, predicting a decision.

Fernandes by decision
"I'm leaning Fernandez here. I think the line's about accurate. Minus 175 makes sense to me."
Fight Notes
BR
brian 8 months, 3 weeks ago

Harry talked shit about Lion heart smith and then got bodied the same way. Kaue kicks were on point. Hard fighting up a weightclass for Harry not necessarily his fault

Sam Patterson

Sam Patterson W

14-3-1
KO R1 3:01
Fight 10 VS Welterweight Completed

Sam Patterson

Moneyline
Bookmaker, Betway -175
KO/TKO
Cloudbet +524
Submission
FanDuel +210
Decision
Cloudbet +407

Trey Waters

Moneyline
FanDuel +162
KO/TKO
FanDuel +420
Submission
Cloudbet +1095
Decision
Cloudbet +670
Fighter Stats

Sam Patterson

Age30
Height6' 3"
Reach78.0"
Weight170 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Trey Waters

Age31
Height6' 5"
Reach77.0"
Weight170 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Sam Patterson

2.62SLpM
37.0%Str. Acc.
3.06SApM
50.0%Str. Def.
0.82TD Avg
50.0%TD Acc.
33.0%TD Def.
1.6Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Trey Waters

6.39SLpM
44.0%Str. Acc.
5.83SApM
55.0%Str. Def.
0.4TD Avg
33.0%TD Acc.
85.0%TD Def.
0.8Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (4)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 31, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Trey Waters

Angelo picks Trey Waters, citing his toughness, speed, power, and similar reach advantage. He criticizes Sam Patterson's poor striking defense and chin-up stance. He notes that Patterson's length advantage is neutralized by Waters' even longer reach. The only concern is Waters' year-long layoff and potential weight cut issues. He plans to bet on Waters if he makes weight and looks good at weigh-ins.

will bet if makes weight well
"I'm going to pick Trey Waters here. I think Trey is tougher. I think he's faster. I think he hits harder."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Sam Patterson

Big Brady leans toward Sam Patterson, citing his grappling advantage and submission threat. He notes Patterson's striking defense is poor but believes his move to welterweight helps his chin. He predicts a second-round submission, as Waters was submitted in his only loss.

Patterson by submission, round 2
"I do lean Patterson here. I'm going to take Patterson to win this fight by second round submission."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Sam Patterson

The host notes Patterson is in a groove with a three-fight winning streak and is comfortable at 170 lbs. He expects Patterson to counter-strike Waters, shut down his jab, take him to the ground, and use his BJJ black belt to force a submission.

submission
"I think we'll see that continue into this fight as he counter strikes Waters, shuts down the jab of Waters, and eventually takes him to the ground and looks to utilize his BJJ black belt to force the …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Sam Patterson

The Guru picks Sam Patterson, highlighting his reach advantage and well-rounded game since moving to welterweight. He notes Patterson's finishing potential in multiple areas, including submissions and TKO, and contrasts that with Trey Waters' lack of a plan B. He predicts a submission win, possibly a rear-naked choke, after some striking exchanges.

submission
"I think Sam Patterson is a very good welterweight prospect in the UFC and I expect him to beat Trey Waters and I'm actually going to say he wins it by submission."
Fight Notes
BR
brian 8 months, 3 weeks ago

Sam is running hot. Looked in great shape also.

Fight 11 VS Middleweight Completed
Robert Bryczek

Robert Bryczek W

18-7
KO R3 1:43

Brad Tavares

Moneyline
Caesars -195
KO/TKO
FanDuel +450
Submission
FanDuel +2500
Decision
Cloudbet +109

Robert Bryczek

Moneyline
Bookmaker, 4casters +196
KO/TKO
Cloudbet +457
Submission
BetRivers +3300
Decision
BetRivers +575
Fighter Stats

Brad Tavares

Age38
Height6' 1"
Reach74.0"
Weight185 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Robert Bryczek

Age35
Height6' 0"
Reach75.0"
Weight185 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Brad Tavares

3.41SLpM
43.0%Str. Acc.
3.32SApM
54.0%Str. Def.
0.7TD Avg
26.0%TD Acc.
80.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Robert Bryczek

3.74SLpM
36.0%Str. Acc.
4.08SApM
59.0%Str. Def.
0.56TD Avg
100.0%TD Acc.
85.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (4)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 31, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Brad Tavares

Angelo leans towards Brad Tavares based on experience and toughness, but is surprised Tavares is nearly a 3-to-1 favorite given his age and decline. He acknowledges Bryczek's clean boxing and power, and notes that a one-punch knockout or decision win for Bryczek wouldn't surprise him. He advises against betting Tavares at these odds, warning that Bryczek is not a bum.

"I'm gonna lean Tvarez. I'm gonna lean on his experience. I'm gonna lean on his toughness."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Brad Tavares

Big Brady is hesitant but picks Brad Tavares, as he wants to fade Tavares but cannot trust Bryczek after his poor performance. He notes Tavares has looked done since taking heavy damage, but Bryczek looked even worse, gassing quickly. He expects a decision win for Tavares.

Tavares by decision
"Although I'm very hesitant in picking Brad Dvarez, I don't want to pick him, but I'm kind of getting forced to pick Brad Dvaris here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Brad Tavares

The host expects a classic performance from Tavares but notes his deteriorating durability and decline. He acknowledges Bryczek could spoil plans with a big shot, but thinks Tavares keeps it clean and outpoints Bryczek to a decision victory.

"I'm expecting Tavvarz to give us a bit of a classic performance here, but his deteriorating durability and his just decline is evident and Bert could definitely spoil his plans here by landing a big shot of his …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Brad Tavares

The Guru picks Brad Tavares, dismissing Robert Bryczek as 'terrible' and 'dog [__]'. He criticizes Bryczek's debut performance and regional record, while noting Tavares has been competitive against proven UFC fighters. He expects a standup fight and predicts a 29-28 split decision for Tavares, citing his experience and well-roundedness.

"I think Tvarez is more well-rounded and more experienced. He knows what to do to win certain rounds. I'm going to go Tvarez by decision."
Fight Notes
BR
brian 8 months, 3 weeks ago

Brad was ok, but could have been stopped in the first. Changed to wrestling in the second to survive and got dropped in the third with an early stoppage. Great win for Robert who likes banging against the fence

Fight 12 VS Welterweight Completed
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Rinat Fakhretdinov W

24-1-1
KO R1 0:54

Andreas Gustafsson

Moneyline
Bookmaker -115
KO/TKO
BetRivers +420
Submission
BetRivers +2000
Decision
BetOnline, Bovada +240

Rinat Fakhretdinov

Moneyline
FanDuel +112
KO/TKO
Cloudbet +613
Submission
Cloudbet +1466
Decision
FanDuel +240
Fighter Stats

Andreas Gustafsson

Age35
Height6' 1"
Reach73"
Weight170 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Rinat Fakhretdinov

Age34
Height6' 0"
Reach74.0"
Weight170 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Andreas Gustafsson

5.82SLpM
71.0%Str. Acc.
3.63SApM
45.0%Str. Def.
6.19TD Avg
58.0%TD Acc.
100.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Rinat Fakhretdinov

5.03SLpM
52.0%Str. Acc.
3.61SApM
54.0%Str. Def.
3.91TD Avg
34.0%TD Acc.
91.0%TD Def.
0.2Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (4)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Aug 31, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Andreas Gustafsson

Angelo picks Andreas Gustafsson but with low confidence, noting the line has flipped from Rinat being favorite to underdog. He acknowledges Rinat's wrestling credentials but points out his poor takedown efficiency (2 for 19 in last fight) and chinny nature. He thinks Gustafsson's relentless pressure and grinding style could cause problems, especially if he defends takedowns. However, he admits Rinat is more experienced and accomplished, and calls this a huge test for Gustafsson. He placed a small bet at +125.

small bet at +125
"Andreas Gustoson is the pick. A very small bet on him."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Andreas Gustafsson

Big Brady picks Andreas Gustafsson, praising his unique clinch game and unlimited cardio. He acknowledges Gustafsson's striking is poor at range but believes he will impose his clinch, wearing on Fakhretdinov with elbows and knees. He sees a potential late finish but predicts a decision win.

Gustafsson by decision
"I just see Gustoson pushing Renat against the cage here, holding him there, grinding on him, landing elbows, landing knees, wearing on him."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Andreas Gustafsson

The host acknowledges the hype around Gustafsson after his last performance but warns not to overlook Fakhretdinov's wrestling and smothering approach. He leans with Gustafsson winning on the scorecards by landing more damage and getting more meaningful control.

"I'm still going to end up leaning with Gustiffson winning this fight on the scorecards as he just lands a little bit more damage and gets more meaningful control."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Andreas Gustafsson

The Guru picks Andreas Gustafsson because he believes Rinat Fakhretdinov has been fortunate in close decisions and that his opponents often fall short. He argues that Gustafsson's constant pressure and volume will overwhelm Fakhretdinov, who won't be able to impose his wrestling. He predicts a 29-28 decision for Gustafsson, winning the last two rounds.

"I'm going with Andreas Gustoson over Renat for Cretinov because if there's one thing I've noticed about Renat for Cretin's last few fights is that he leaves it very, very close."
Fight Notes
BR
brian 8 months, 3 weeks ago

Rinat went out banging and crumbled Andreas in two min

Fight 13 VS Women's Strawweight Completed
Sam Hughes

Sam Hughes W

11-7
Submission R2 1:58

Shauna Bannon

Moneyline
4casters +290
KO/TKO
Cloudbet +2960
Submission
Cloudbet +1658
Decision
Bovada +450

Sam Hughes

Moneyline
BetMGM -250
KO/TKO
Cloudbet +770
Submission
BetRivers +1000
Decision
FanDuel -135
Fighter Stats

Shauna Bannon

Age32
Height5' 5"
Reach65.0"
Weight115 lbs.
StanceSwitch

Sam Hughes

Age33
Height5' 5"
Reach64.0"
Weight115 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Shauna Bannon

4.32SLpM
43.0%Str. Acc.
3.75SApM
45.0%Str. Def.
0.0TD Avg
0.0%TD Acc.
40.0%TD Def.
0.7Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Sam Hughes

4.41SLpM
47.0%Str. Acc.
4.69SApM
58.0%Str. Def.
1.12TD Avg
29.0%TD Acc.
63.0%TD Def.
0.2Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (4)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lock picked Aug 31, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Sam Hughes

Angelo is extremely confident in Sam Hughes, calling her his most confident pick on the entire card. He criticizes Shauna Bannon's unorthodox and ineffective striking style, describing her as having low fight IQ and a 'weirdo fight style.' He believes Hughes' relentless pressure, cardio, and grinding ability will overwhelm Bannon, leading to takedowns and forward pressure. He notes the line has moved from -250 to -320 and expects it to go even higher. He also mentions the over 2.5 rounds as a prop.

over 2.5 rounds
"Sam Hughes is my most confident pick on this card. Period. End of story."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Sam Hughes

Big Brady picks Sam Hughes, noting she is a favorite for the first time in her UFC career. He believes this is her easiest fight yet, citing her pressure, cardio, and pace. He mentions she can mix in grappling but is not willing to bet at -310. He predicts a decision win.

Sam Hughes by decision
"Sam Hughes should be able to win this fight. You know, do the better work pretty much wherever the fight goes."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Sam Hughes

The host believes Sam Hughes is a great matchup to expose Shauna Bannon as not a UFC-level talent. He expects Hughes to control the fight from the start with her pressure striking or takedowns and top control, grinding out a decision win.

"I feel like this is a great fight for Sam Hughes to showcase that Bannon is not a UFC level talent."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Sam Hughes

The Guru picks Sam Hughes because she has a clear method of victory: her wrestling and gritty cardio. He criticizes Shauna Bannon for lacking any standout skill, noting her win over Pujitoma was circumstantial. He expects Hughes to win a close decision by securing takedowns at the end of rounds, which often sways judges in women's MMA.

"I'm going to go with Sam Hughes to win this in the early prelim opener."
Fight Notes
BR
brian 8 months, 3 weeks ago

Shauna would rather look like a "model" than sacrifice to be an athlete. Has good leg kicks but the cardio ect is hard against essentially Iron man Sam Hughes. Sam brought her to the crucifix position a few times. A beat down.


Cancelled Fights
Farès Ziam
Cancelled
Kauê Fernandes
Patrício Pitbull
Cancelled
Losene Keita