Yazmin Jauregui
Career Averages
Win Methods (3)
Loss Methods (2)
Fight History
Sep 14, 2024
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ketlen Souza | 0 | 35 of 73 | 47% | 35 of 73 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Yazmin Jauregui | 1 | 21 of 35 | 60% | 21 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:15 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ketlen Souza | 0 | 35 of 73 | 47% | 35 of 73 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Yazmin Jauregui | 1 | 21 of 35 | 60% | 21 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:15 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ketlen Souza | 35 of 73 | 47% | 18 of 52 | 8 of 10 | 9 of 11 | 29 of 66 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 2 |
| Yazmin Jauregui | 21 of 35 | 60% | 12 of 25 | 6 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 16 of 30 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ketlen Souza | 35 of 73 | 47% | 18 of 52 | 8 of 10 | 9 of 11 | 29 of 66 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 2 |
| Yazmin Jauregui | 21 of 35 | 60% | 12 of 25 | 6 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 16 of 30 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Jauregui (-500), Souza (+380)
Round 1
One of three ladies repping Mexico tonight, Jauregui (11-1, 3-1 UFC) recently got past her first career hiccup by beating up on Sam Hughes in February. Her opponent Souza (14-4, 1-1 UFC) too rebounded from a defeat, taking a decision over Marnic Mann this past April. One of these one-fight win streaks will come to a screeching halt in 15 minutes or less, and referee Jason Herzog should be the first to know. The strawweights tap gloves together before engaging. Jauregui jabs first, and he follows one with a leg kick that she turns her hips into. Jauregui strings together a combination started by a jab, and when Souza responds, Jauregui dings her with a right hand over the top. Jauregui prods out a jab with her foot, and she sticks a few more jabs before another front kick to the body irritates the Brazilian. Jauregui puts a combination of strikes to the body and head, and one low kick bangs into Souza’s groin. Souza takes a little over 30 seconds to recover, and they start off with flurries on both sides. The two women stand and bang, and Jauregui pushes Souza to her back after landing flush. Souza jumps back upright, and Jauregui works her lead leg over with kicks before marking up the body. Jauregui splits the guard with a right hand, putting two kicks together and a few punches after it. Jauregui is constantly attacking, with a jump knee into a few punches. Souza jabs her back, and she plants a front kick directly on Jauregui’s groin to pay her back from the foul. They both let out wails of surprise and discomfort, and Herzog tells them they both had one so they can have no more. Souza walks her foe down, but she gets tagged with four strikes up close before she gets anything off. Jauregui paws out a front kick to the thigh, and “Esquentadinha”—which means “Little Hothead” releases a fiery right hand that sets up a flaming left. As soon as Souza connects, Jauregui hits the ground hard. Jauregui sits up, and Souza pounces, seeing that Jauregui still does not have her wits about her.
Souza takes the back while she is standing up and Jauregui is seated, and she grips a rear-naked choke that is instantly under the chin before she even gets her hooks in. The Brazilian deploys both hooks and Jauregui frantically hand-fights to save herself from the submission. Souza’s grip is ironclad, and Jauregui stops fighting the hands and starts lifelessly flailing.
With her eyes open, Jauregui goes out, and Herzog is quick to get between them and turns Jauregui to her side to get blood flowing back to her brain. Souza unleashes a bellow as she walks off, recording the first finish inside of the Sphere and notching a huge upset. The victorious Brazilian becomes the first fighter to submit Jauregui, doing so with style points with the technical submission.
The Official Result
Ketlen Souza def. Yazmin Jauregui R1 3:02 via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Expert Picks (6)
Angelo picks Yazmin Jauregui confidently, citing her superior technical striking and takedown defense. He notes she defended all six takedowns in her last fight and should be too good to be taken down by Souza. His only concern is Souza's power, as he saw Jauregui get knocked out live at UFC 290, but he believes she should be fine. He suggests the under 2.5 rounds could be a sneaky play as both have finishing ability.
Big Brady believes Jauregui is the much better fighter everywhere, especially on the feet where she is powerful and can break Souza. He notes Souza has been finished in all four losses (two by submission, two by KO) and expects Jauregui to get a second-round knockout.
Daniel picks Yazmin Jauregui, praising her volume, speed, composure, and improved grappling. He notes Souza's lower output and high-energy moves that may lead to gassing. He expects Jauregui to win by decision or finish.
The transcript does not discuss this fight.
Jauregui is an absolute menace and the second biggest favorite on the card. She is far superior to Souza in the striking realm. If Souza looks to take the fight to the ground, she will struggle, allowing Jauregui to touch her up from distance and win on the scorecards.
The MMA Guru picks Yazmin Jauregui. He notes she is a more technical fighter and a good prospect who bounced back after a KO loss with a win. He mentions she has good wins in the UFC and has fraud-checked some fighters. He dismisses the loss to Denise Gomez as a fluke due to Gomez's power.
Feb 24, 2024
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yazmin Jauregui | 0 | 94 of 269 | 34% | 97 of 272 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sam Hughes | 0 | 83 of 197 | 42% | 88 of 206 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yazmin Jauregui | 0 | 28 of 88 | 31% | 29 of 89 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sam Hughes | 0 | 19 of 47 | 40% | 21 of 52 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 | |
| 2 | Yazmin Jauregui | 0 | 32 of 91 | 35% | 33 of 92 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sam Hughes | 0 | 36 of 75 | 48% | 39 of 78 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 | |
| 3 | Yazmin Jauregui | 0 | 34 of 90 | 37% | 35 of 91 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sam Hughes | 0 | 28 of 75 | 37% | 28 of 76 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yazmin Jauregui | 94 of 269 | 34% | 52 of 197 | 24 of 42 | 18 of 30 | 84 of 253 | 10 of 16 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Hughes | 83 of 197 | 42% | 40 of 143 | 17 of 24 | 26 of 30 | 80 of 190 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yazmin Jauregui | 28 of 88 | 31% | 16 of 65 | 8 of 14 | 4 of 9 | 22 of 78 | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Hughes | 19 of 47 | 40% | 11 of 36 | 3 of 6 | 5 of 5 | 19 of 47 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Yazmin Jauregui | 32 of 91 | 35% | 18 of 67 | 9 of 14 | 5 of 10 | 29 of 87 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Hughes | 36 of 75 | 48% | 15 of 53 | 11 of 11 | 10 of 11 | 34 of 70 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Yazmin Jauregui | 34 of 90 | 37% | 18 of 65 | 7 of 14 | 9 of 11 | 33 of 88 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Hughes | 28 of 75 | 37% | 14 of 54 | 3 of 7 | 11 of 14 | 27 of 73 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (5)
Angelo is very confident in Jauregui, believing the UFC set this up for her to get back on track. He notes her striking and grappling are impressive, and while she was knocked out quickly in her last fight, Sam Hughes doesn't hit as hard. He trusts the process.
Big Brady picks Yazmin Jauregui to win by second-round knockout. He notes that Jauregui is the biggest favorite on the card at -500 and that the matchup is favorable. He praises Jauregui's takedown defense and striking, while criticizing Sam Hughes's hittability and toughness. He thinks Jauregui will dominate on the feet and potentially finish Hughes, though he questions Jauregui's chin after being dropped in her last two fights.
Cody picks Jauregui but is hesitant, calling it the coward's way out. He notes Jauregui's durability is a question mark after being knocked out by Denise Gomes, but her takedown defense held against Lendo. He thinks Jauregui has a massive advantage on the feet and is more interested in live betting.
The host believes Hughes will be the best wrestler Jauregui has faced, despite Jauregui's 100% takedown defense rate (only two attempts faced). He thinks Hughes's improvement at Fortis MMA and game planning will allow her to take the fight into deep waters and win on the scorecards, springing a massive upset.
Paul leans towards Hughes due to the massive plus price. He notes Hughes is 3-1 in her last four, gritty, and has been using more wrestling lately. He questions what makes Jauregui such a huge favorite, as she hasn't excelled in hard 15-minute fights. However, he admits Hughes isn't a power puncher and if it's a striking affair, Jauregui likely wins.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denise Gomes | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Yazmin Jauregui | 1 | 17 of 20 | 85% | 21 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denise Gomes | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Yazmin Jauregui | 1 | 17 of 20 | 85% | 21 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denise Gomes | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Yazmin Jauregui | 17 of 20 | 85% | 17 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 14 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denise Gomes | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Yazmin Jauregui | 17 of 20 | 85% | 17 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 14 |
Expert Picks (10)
Angelo avoids this fight entirely, calling it a trap. He acknowledges Jauregui's striking talent but notes she was dropped in her last fight. Gomes is tough and comes forward, but takes time to get going. He thinks Jauregui should win if it stays on the feet, but recommends fading the female fighter who was just rocked. He makes no pick and advises others to avoid betting.
Big Brady picks Yazmin Jauregui to win by second-round knockout. He notes that Jauregui is the much better striker, more defensively sound, and can also take the fight to the mat. He has concerns about Gomes' striking defense, as she blocks punches with her face and has been dropped multiple times. He expects a war but believes Jauregui will finish Gomes. He comments that the line at -400 is wild but thinks Jauregui is the better fighter.
Cody picks Jauregui, citing her volume and cardio advantage. He thinks Gomes is tough but lacks the wrestling to neutralize Jauregui's pressure. He expects Jauregui to pull away on the scorecards. He notes Gomes is live at plus money but doesn't see a clear path.
Connor picks Yazmin Jauregui because she is a potential future title contender with excellent pocket defense, balance, and combination punching. She stays compact, keeps a tight guard, and closes exchanges with a powerful left hook. Gomes is still raw and relies on pressure without consistent offense, and Jauregui's ability to absorb and adjust makes her the clear winner.
Daniel Levi picks Jauregui, highlighting her high output, Mexican heart, and improved physique. He notes that she was dropped in her last fight but got back up and showed durability. Levi respects Gomes for her win over Bruna Brasil but believes Jauregui has the higher upside and will be the longer fighter. He calls the fight a potential barnburner and picks Jauregui to win, though he is not interested in betting at minus-400.
James picks Yazmin Jauregui to win, likely by decision. He thinks Jauregui's understanding of range, footwork, and distance management are way better than Gomes'. He acknowledges Gomes hits hard and could drop Jauregui, but believes Jauregui is a level above and will school her on the feet. He considered playing the over but may not bet.
Jauregui is a more polished striker with good footwork and counter-striking. Gomes is aggressive but will struggle to close the distance against Jauregui's technical striking. Jauregui will set traps, land damage, and avoid trouble, winning by decision. The over 2.5 rounds is the favorite spot.
Paul takes Gomes as a value underdog at +350. He thinks the line is too wide and the fight is closer to 70-30. He notes both are prospects and Gomes is younger. He says he wouldn't recommend betting Jauregui at -400. He took a small shot on Gomes.
The MMA Guru picks Yazmin Jauregui to win by 29-28 decision. He considers her a rare talented female fighter, comparing her to Loopy Godinez who beat Gomes. He criticizes Gomes' inability to fight on the back foot, as seen in her win over Bruna Brasil, which he views as an exposure of Brasil rather than a testament to Gomes.
Zane picks Yazmin Jauregui because she is a very good action fighter with fast hands, tight technique, and a devastating left hook. She adjusts well under pressure and uses data from exchanges to build offense. Gomes improved in her last fight by throwing punches while pressuring, but Jauregui is a much higher level opponent who can handle reckless collisions and counter effectively.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yazmin Jauregui | 2 | 67 of 154 | 43% | 103 of 200 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:50 |
| Istela Nunes | 1 | 36 of 60 | 60% | 39 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yazmin Jauregui | 0 | 27 of 86 | 31% | 27 of 86 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Istela Nunes | 1 | 24 of 40 | 60% | 25 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | |
| 2 | Yazmin Jauregui | 2 | 40 of 68 | 58% | 76 of 114 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:44 |
| Istela Nunes | 0 | 12 of 20 | 60% | 14 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yazmin Jauregui | 67 of 154 | 43% | 54 of 135 | 6 of 11 | 7 of 8 | 38 of 109 | 7 of 12 | 22 of 33 |
| Istela Nunes | 36 of 60 | 60% | 20 of 41 | 12 of 14 | 4 of 5 | 28 of 50 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yazmin Jauregui | 27 of 86 | 31% | 18 of 72 | 4 of 8 | 5 of 6 | 25 of 82 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Istela Nunes | 24 of 40 | 60% | 13 of 29 | 7 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 20 of 36 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Yazmin Jauregui | 40 of 68 | 58% | 36 of 63 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 27 | 5 of 8 | 22 of 33 |
| Istela Nunes | 12 of 20 | 60% | 7 of 12 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 8 of 14 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 2 |
Expert Picks (9)
Angelo picks Yazmin Jauregui but is hesitant, noting that Istela Nunes is a legitimate professional kickboxer with impressive speed and versatility. He believes if Nunes has full three-round cardio, she should be the better overall striker. However, he leans on Jauregui because Nunes gassed in her last fight against Sam Hughes. He calls the odds 'absolute insanity' and expects a mostly striking matchup.
Big Brady leans towards Jauregui due to her youth (23 years old) and cardio advantage, expecting Nunes to slow down in the later rounds. He notes that Jauregui is a striker and unlikely to exploit Nunes' takedown defense weakness. He predicts a competitive fight early but Jauregui taking over in the second and third rounds to win a decision.
Cody picks Jauregui but is tempted by Nunes as a dog. He notes Nunes' power and counter-striking, but thinks her cardio will fade. He suggests live betting Nunes after round 1.
Connor picks Yazmin Jauregui, agreeing that Nunes fades when pressured and that Jauregui's technical punching and pocket dedication will win out over multiple rounds. He notes that Nunes has a history of crumbling once her confidence is dented.
Daniel Levi picks Jauregui, citing her high output, takedown defense, and heart. He notes Nunes' pacing issues and believes Jauregui's youth and pressure will carry her. He is not betting at the price but is confident in the pick.
The host picks Jauregui to win by third-round TKO. He thinks Nunes will start strong but fade due to poor cardio, allowing Jauregui to take over and finish. He is wary of the minus 300 chalk but believes Jauregui is a decent enough prospect to survive early and finish late. He notes that Nunes is likely fighting for her UFC spot.
Paul picks Jauregui but is puzzled by the price. He notes her potential and Nunes' cardio issues. He thinks Jauregui can win by decision or late finish if she mixes in takedowns.
The MMA Guru picks Yazmin Jauregui because she lived up to her hype in the UFC, showing rare talent in the women's division. He notes Istela Nunes has lost her last two fights and is under pressure at 30 years old. He predicts Jauregui will win by decision, citing her youth (23) and ability to overcome octagon jitters.
Zane picks Yazmin Jauregui, citing her consistent boxing, tight defense, and ability to exit exchanges with a left hook. He notes that Nunes is a sharp striker early but fades when pressured, and Jauregui's counter punching will be a problem for Nunes.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yazmin Jauregui | 0 | 86 of 218 | 39% | 87 of 219 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Iasmin Lucindo | 0 | 66 of 181 | 36% | 66 of 181 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:34 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yazmin Jauregui | 0 | 31 of 77 | 40% | 31 of 77 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Iasmin Lucindo | 0 | 25 of 60 | 41% | 25 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 | |
| 2 | Yazmin Jauregui | 0 | 30 of 69 | 43% | 31 of 70 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Iasmin Lucindo | 0 | 23 of 59 | 38% | 23 of 59 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:20 | |
| 3 | Yazmin Jauregui | 0 | 25 of 72 | 34% | 25 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Iasmin Lucindo | 0 | 18 of 62 | 29% | 18 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yazmin Jauregui | 86 of 218 | 39% | 52 of 159 | 9 of 25 | 25 of 34 | 81 of 210 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Iasmin Lucindo | 66 of 181 | 36% | 42 of 148 | 15 of 22 | 9 of 11 | 64 of 179 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yazmin Jauregui | 31 of 77 | 40% | 16 of 55 | 2 of 4 | 13 of 18 | 29 of 72 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Iasmin Lucindo | 25 of 60 | 41% | 15 of 49 | 7 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 23 of 58 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Yazmin Jauregui | 30 of 69 | 43% | 17 of 48 | 5 of 11 | 8 of 10 | 27 of 66 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Iasmin Lucindo | 23 of 59 | 38% | 17 of 50 | 3 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 23 of 59 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Yazmin Jauregui | 25 of 72 | 34% | 19 of 56 | 2 of 10 | 4 of 6 | 25 of 72 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Iasmin Lucindo | 18 of 62 | 29% | 10 of 49 | 5 of 8 | 3 of 5 | 18 of 62 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo loves Yazmin Jauregui, citing her powerful striking, combinations, and solid takedown defense. He thinks the -240 odds are correct but is hesitant to bet due to both making their UFC debut. He expects the line to move and recommends jumping on it early.
Big Brady picks Yazmin Jauregui to win by first-round knockout. He describes Jauregui as a savage who comes forward, eats punches to land her own, and has power. He thinks Lucindo is not quite ready for the UFC level and that Jauregui's takedown defense and grappling will hold up. He expects Jauregui to overwhelm Lucindo and finish her in the first round.
Cody also leans toward Jauregui, calling her the right favorite but not wanting heavy investment. He notes Lucindo is very green and relies on getting the fight to the ground, while Jauregui has better striking and takedown defense. He considers this a pass due to the uncertainty.
Daniel Levi is unsure about this fight. He notes that Jauregui has a clear edge on the feet with power and aggression, while Lucindo has a grappling advantage. He says if the fight stays standing, Jauregui wins; if it goes to the mat, Lucindo wins. He picks Lucindo as a dog but with low confidence.
The host picks Jauregui, noting she has solid power and good volume. He thinks she will eventually get the finish, and suggests playing her KO straight up at +250 or first round KO at +700. He believes Lucindo is a short-notice replacement but has experience, though he doesn't think it's a good matchup for her.
Paul leans toward Jauregui, noting she is more well-rounded with good striking and footwork. He acknowledges Lucindo's wrestling and top game but thinks Jauregui can keep the fight standing and piece her up. However, he is not confident due to the low level of competition and both fighters being young and making debuts.
The host picks Yazmin Jauregui, citing her undefeated record and improvement against better competition. He notes she had more time to prepare for the fight and has momentum from a tournament win. However, he admits uncertainty about both fighters and wouldn't be surprised by an upset.
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