Istela Nunes

0-5
Record
Age / DOB 33
(Jul 23, 1992)
Height 5' 4"
Weight 115 lbs.
Reach 66.0"
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages
4.28 Sig. Strikes / Min
47.0% Sig. Strike Acc.
4.07 Absorbed / Min
59.0% Strike Defense
0.0 TD Avg / 15 min
0.0% TD Accuracy
47.0% TD Defense
0.0 Sub. / Fight
Loss Methods (5)
KO/TKO 2
Submission 1
Decision 2

Fight History

Result / Opponent
Event & Date
Method/Round
Links
Comments
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Loma Lookboonmee 0 32 of 76 42% 111 of 170 3 of 5 60% 0 0 4:34
Istela Nunes 0 36 of 62 58% 51 of 82 0 of 1 0% 0 0 3:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Loma Lookboonmee 0 15 of 47 31% 26 of 59 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Istela Nunes 0 22 of 37 59% 27 of 46 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:09
2 Loma Lookboonmee 0 10 of 16 62% 23 of 37 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:54
Istela Nunes 0 7 of 14 50% 14 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:34
3 Loma Lookboonmee 0 7 of 13 53% 62 of 74 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:40
Istela Nunes 0 7 of 11 63% 10 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:32
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Loma Lookboonmee 32 of 76 42% 12 of 41 13 of 25 7 of 10 28 of 70 4 of 4 0 of 2
Istela Nunes 36 of 62 58% 7 of 26 11 of 13 18 of 23 33 of 58 3 of 3 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Loma Lookboonmee 15 of 47 31% 3 of 23 6 of 15 6 of 9 15 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 0
Istela Nunes 22 of 37 59% 2 of 11 5 of 6 15 of 20 21 of 35 1 of 1 0 of 1
2 Loma Lookboonmee 10 of 16 62% 6 of 9 3 of 6 1 of 1 8 of 14 2 of 2 0 of 0
Istela Nunes 7 of 14 50% 1 of 7 4 of 5 2 of 2 5 of 12 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Loma Lookboonmee 7 of 13 53% 3 of 9 4 of 4 0 of 0 5 of 9 2 of 2 0 of 2
Istela Nunes 7 of 11 63% 4 of 8 2 of 2 1 of 1 7 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Loma Lookboonmee vs. Istela Nunes
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Lookboonmee (-590), Nunes (+390)

Round 1
One more matchup on the card will play out in the 115-pound category, and it comes between Thai striker Suphisara (9-3, 6-2 UFC)—who will be referred to as “Loma Lookboonmee,” or just Lookboonmee, going forward—and Brazilian Nunes (6-5, 1 NC; 0-4 UFC), a muay thai aficionado in her own right. Referee Chris Tognoni signals the start of the match, and the women answer his call by touching gloves first. Lookboonmee leads off with a kick that slaps under the armpit, and when Nunes returns fire, Lookboonmee is ready to chuck one more kick at her. Lookboonmee chips at the lead leg, staying able to bounce back and forth to slide in and out of range. Nunes kicks at her, and Lookboonmee jams her in the gut with a kick. Lookboonmee pushes off the chest with the ball of her foot, and continues to probe with kicks until she wraps one up around the neck. Nunes comes back firing, but the Thai is able to out-speed her 90 seconds into the match. While Nunes is keeping it honest and trying to mirror Lookboonmee’s activity, she looks for power as she sits down on a right hand that the Thai just dodges. Lookboonmee pushes off, and her finger may or may not have scraped the eye. The replay called by Tognoni is not clear, so they get back to fighting. They proceed to trade kicks one after the other, strike totals fairly close with Lookboonmee likely having the edge. She scores kicks from both legs, and her strikes are taking Nunes’ fists almost entirely out of the equation. The Brazilian whiffs on a big right hand, and they crash together in an exchange. Nunes kicks low and Lookboonmee belts the body a few times with her shin to audible effective. A third is even lower, and she puts out a one-two to further stick it to her opponent. Lookboonmee catches a kick and looks for a takedown, and Nunes easily pushes her over and climbs into top position. The Thai looks for a sweep when stuck on her back, as Nunes is more interested in controlling for the moment. Lookboonmee is warning for striking the back of the head, and she pushes the Brazilian off of her. Judges might have their hands full with that round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Lookboonmee
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Lookboonmee
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Lookboonmee

Round 2
The strawweights clap hands to re-engage, and they stand right in kickboxing range and let their hands and feet go. Lookboonmee strikes first, last and heavier, but Nunes gets off her own shots. The second and third of a trio of front kicks from Nunes push Lookboonmee away each time Lookboonmee advances. The Thai hammers a low kick and ducks down when Nunes swings at her, standing up as the top of her head bangs into Nunes’ chin with no warning or protest. Nunes tries to wrap her opponent up and leverage her down, and the result is a prolonged clinch. Nunes grabs the cage wall several times, and Tognoni reaches around repeatedly to slap Nunes’ hand. If you ain’t cheatin’, you ain’t tryin. The successful Dundasso allows Nunes to suddenly surprise her adversary by dropping for a heel hook. Lookboonmee busts her in the chops with one right hand to get out of the submission, and Nunes adjusts and shifts the limb to the other side for an inverted heel hook setup. Lookboonmee stays calm as a cucumber while in this ankle lock-type position, as Nunes does not have the right angle or leverage to complete it. Nunes squeezes hard on the foot, and Lookboonmee stacks her up and places herself in the lion’s mouth as Nunes sits up to hunt for a kneebar. Nunes chains the kneebar to a heel hook, and the Thai sits up and stands. Nunes keeps a grip on the ankle, and Lookboonmee punches her a few times before the bell sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Lookboonmee
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Lookboonmee
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Lookboonmee

Round 3
The ladies bump fists to get going, and they get back to action with striking. It does not take Nunes long to try to take the fight down, and eventually in search of what would be her first career submission. The Thai looks to counter Nunes, and she hits a trip to put Nunes on her back. The action largely stalls out when the two women go horizontal, as it is not where they normally compete. Nunes keeps tightly wrapped around Lookboonmee’s shoulder, and Tognoni asks for more activity. When inaction persists, Tognoni stands them up. They proceed to rush at one another and get up close with knees until Lookboonmee completes a throw to dump the Brazilian to her back again. Lookboonmee steps over to hold on from half guard and flatten Nunes on her side. Nunes hooks her toes in the fence to try to improve her position, and Tognoni slaps her toes. Lookboonmee, meanwhile, jams down a number of left hands and elbows to stay busier than the last time she was on top. With 10 seconds to spare, Nunes explodes to her feet, and she hunts for a takedown that is not completed before the conclusion of the match.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Lookboonmee (30-27 Lookboonmee)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Lookboonmee (30-27 Lookboonmee)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Lookboonmee (30-27 Lookboonmee)

The Official Result
Loma Lookboonmee def. Istela Nunes via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
Expert Picks (4)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 30, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Loma Lookboonmee

Angelo highlights Loma's evolution from a pure striker to a mixed martial artist with improved takedowns and effective grappling. He notes that Loma has out-wrestled opponents like Sam Hughes and has nasty striking and great speed. He believes Loma will out-grapple and out-strike Istela Nunes, who is on a four-fight losing streak and has poor grappling. Angelo calls Loma 'as close to a short thing as you're going to get' in women's MMA.

"I think Loma absolutely runs here she's minus 400 so 4 to 1 favorite I mean it is what it is I think she's as close to a short thing as you're going to get especially in women's MMA."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 1, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Loma Lookboonmee

Big Brady is confident in Loma Lookboonmee, citing Istela Nunes's long layoff, four-fight losing streak, and questionable ground game. He notes Nunes has solid striking early but fades, and her takedown defense is poor. He expects Lookboonmee to mix in takedowns and eventually submit Nunes in the second or third round.

second round submission
"I'm going to go lomma luk Bui to win this fight I think she gets a second round submission"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Loma Lookboonmee

Lookboonmee is coming off a long layoff but her Muay Thai style should wear down Nunes' gas tank issues. She is expected to finish the fight in the second or third round. The pick is based on stylistic advantage and Nunes' known cardio problems.

finishes in round 2 or 3
"I expect her Muay Thai style to wear down the gas tank issues of Nunes ultimately leading to luk buoni finishing this fight in the second or third round."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Loma Lookboonmee

The Guru is high on Loma Lookboonmee, praising her technique on the feet and Muay Thai skills. He believes she has improved her takedown defense during her hiatus and will dominate Istela Nunes in the clinch and at range. He dismisses Nunes as having a poor record and lacking the skills to compete.

"Luma look boom's actually pretty good. She's got talent. She's great at striking and she's going to beat up on Estella Nunes in the clinch and at range on the feet as well with her superior Muay Thai skills."
TKO (arm injury) R1 0:34
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Viktoriia Dudakova 0 3 of 11 27% 3 of 11 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:06
Istela Nunes 0 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Viktoriia Dudakova 0 3 of 11 27% 3 of 11 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:06
Istela Nunes 0 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Viktoriia Dudakova 3 of 11 27% 1 of 7 2 of 4 0 of 0 2 of 10 0 of 0 1 of 1
Istela Nunes 2 of 6 33% 1 of 4 1 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Viktoriia Dudakova 3 of 11 27% 1 of 7 2 of 4 0 of 0 2 of 10 0 of 0 1 of 1
Istela Nunes 2 of 6 33% 1 of 4 1 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 9, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Viktoriia Dudakova

Angelo is very high on Viktoriya Dudakova, calling her a well-rounded fighter who can strike with Nunes and wrestle if needed. He notes her clean and powerful striking, slick BJJ, and veteran composure. He thinks even at minus 250, she seems like a discount and could be a parlay piece. He compares her favorably to Ivana Petrovic, who was a bust, and believes Dudakova is the real deal.

parlay piece
"I'm all over Victoria in this fight I'm very high on her ... even at minus 250 I think that seems like a discount and I think Victoria could be a parlay piece"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 13, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Viktoriia Dudakova

Big Brady picks Viktoriya Dudakova, expecting her to survive Nunes' early power and then take over as Nunes' poor cardio becomes a factor. He notes Nunes is very good in the first round but fades badly. Dudakova is a grappler who will look for takedowns and submissions. He predicts a late submission in the second round, as Nunes goes 0-4 in the UFC.

Submission in the second round
"I'm going to say due to kova does find a sub late second round here I don't trust the cardio of Estella Nunez and I think Nunez goes 0-4 here in the UFC and takes her third submission loss"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Viktoriia Dudakova

Cody picks Dudakova, citing her cardio and wrestling advantages. He notes Nunes is 0-3 in the UFC due to poor cardio and takedown defense. He thinks Dudakova can survive early pressure and take over as Nunes fades. He suggests a live bet after the first round might be better value, but pre-fight he goes with Dudakova.

live bet after first round
"I think it will also take Judah kova because I think cardio and wrestling are like two things you need to win a fight and Nunez is 0-3 in the UFC because she lacks both things"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Jul 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
No clear pick

James does not offer a clear pick for this fight. He mentions that he doesn't know much about the fighters and defers to his co-host Liam's analysis. He does not express a strong opinion.

"honestly I do not know much about the studio Cover Girl"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Viktoriia Dudakova

The host expects Dudakova to survive Nunes' early onslaught, clinch up, slow the fight down, and take over in the second and third rounds. He suggests a round three or decision prop, noting that Nunes fades after the first round. He also mentions a possible live bet on Dudakova after round one.

Dudakova wins in round 3 or by decision; live bet entry after round 1
"I'm going to be honing in on that round three slash decision prop that FanDuel likes drop for this matchup because I believe that dudukova can wear on her drag her into deep Waters possibly finish her late or at least pick up a decision Victory"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Viktoriia Dudakova

Paul picks Dudakova, citing her wrestling advantage and Nunes' poor defensive wrestling and cardio. He notes Nunes fades after 7.5 minutes and Dudakova can survive early shots and secure takedowns as Nunes tires. He mentions Dudakova's contender series win as a +250 underdog and thinks her path to victory is consistent wrestling. He considers the by decision prop at +175.

by decision at +175
"due to kova is going to be the pick I like going with the cf'd up... I feel like the one thing due to kova does well is what is how she's going to win this fight which is just you know consistently stick to the wrestling game plan and hold control"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Viktoriia Dudakova

The MMA Guru picks Viktoriya Dudakova over Istela Nunes, acknowledging Nunes's hunger but favoring Dudakova's youth, undefeated record, and well-roundedness. He notes Dudakova's Contender Series win despite an injury, and her opponent's subsequent success, while criticizing Nunes's losses to Ariane Carnelossi and Sam Hughes. He predicts a decision win for Dudakova.

"I'm gonna have to go with Victoria dudakova here Nunez isn't bad but I think dudukov is a bit more well-rounded"
TKO (punches) R2 4:06
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Yazmin Jauregui 2 67 of 154 43% 103 of 200 0 of 3 0% 0 0 2:50
Istela Nunes 1 36 of 60 60% 39 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Yazmin Jauregui 0 27 of 86 31% 27 of 86 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:06
Istela Nunes 1 24 of 40 60% 25 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
2 Yazmin Jauregui 2 40 of 68 58% 76 of 114 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:44
Istela Nunes 0 12 of 20 60% 14 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Yazmin Jauregui 67 of 154 43% 54 of 135 6 of 11 7 of 8 38 of 109 7 of 12 22 of 33
Istela Nunes 36 of 60 60% 20 of 41 12 of 14 4 of 5 28 of 50 8 of 8 0 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Yazmin Jauregui 27 of 86 31% 18 of 72 4 of 8 5 of 6 25 of 82 2 of 4 0 of 0
Istela Nunes 24 of 40 60% 13 of 29 7 of 7 4 of 4 20 of 36 4 of 4 0 of 0
2 Yazmin Jauregui 40 of 68 58% 36 of 63 2 of 3 2 of 2 13 of 27 5 of 8 22 of 33
Istela Nunes 12 of 20 60% 7 of 12 5 of 7 0 of 1 8 of 14 4 of 4 0 of 2
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Nov 27, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Angelo picks Yazmin Jauregui but is hesitant, noting that Istela Nunes is a legitimate professional kickboxer with impressive speed and versatility. He believes if Nunes has full three-round cardio, she should be the better overall striker. However, he leans on Jauregui because Nunes gassed in her last fight against Sam Hughes. He calls the odds 'absolute insanity' and expects a mostly striking matchup.

Surprised by the odds (Jauregui almost 4-to-1 favorite)
"I'm gonna pick Yasmin but the only reason I'm picking Yasmin is because the seller gassed in that fight against Sam Hughes"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Nov 28, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Big Brady leans towards Jauregui due to her youth (23 years old) and cardio advantage, expecting Nunes to slow down in the later rounds. He notes that Jauregui is a striker and unlikely to exploit Nunes' takedown defense weakness. He predicts a competitive fight early but Jauregui taking over in the second and third rounds to win a decision.

Jauregui wins by decision
"I think it's going to be competitive early on... but as the fight goes on I do think she's going to start to slow... I do see heregie taking over second third round and winning the decision there"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Dec 1, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Cody picks Jauregui but is tempted by Nunes as a dog. He notes Nunes' power and counter-striking, but thinks her cardio will fade. He suggests live betting Nunes after round 1.

live bet on Nunes after round 1
"I will take Yasmine but what I can offer up is live bet this thing because the Stella Nunes is a problem in the first round"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Dec 1, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Connor picks Yazmin Jauregui, agreeing that Nunes fades when pressured and that Jauregui's technical punching and pocket dedication will win out over multiple rounds. He notes that Nunes has a history of crumbling once her confidence is dented.

"How to gree is the favorite here as expected open to minus 240 dropped to minus 350 currently minus 330."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Daniel Levi picks Jauregui, citing her high output, takedown defense, and heart. He notes Nunes' pacing issues and believes Jauregui's youth and pressure will carry her. He is not betting at the price but is confident in the pick.

"I'm gonna go with the favorite Yasmine uh yaragui to get this one done"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 29, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

The host picks Jauregui to win by third-round TKO. He thinks Nunes will start strong but fade due to poor cardio, allowing Jauregui to take over and finish. He is wary of the minus 300 chalk but believes Jauregui is a decent enough prospect to survive early and finish late. He notes that Nunes is likely fighting for her UFC spot.

Jauregui round 3 TKO
"I'm gonna go yadagui round three TKO"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Dec 1, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Paul picks Jauregui but is puzzled by the price. He notes her potential and Nunes' cardio issues. He thinks Jauregui can win by decision or late finish if she mixes in takedowns.

Jauregui by decision
"I'm gonna be picking wariki I'm just uh kind of puzzled about how I how I approach this matchup"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 28, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

The MMA Guru picks Yazmin Jauregui because she lived up to her hype in the UFC, showing rare talent in the women's division. He notes Istela Nunes has lost her last two fights and is under pressure at 30 years old. He predicts Jauregui will win by decision, citing her youth (23) and ability to overcome octagon jitters.

Jauregui by decision
"I'm gonna be going with Yasmine Jared because she had hype coming into the UFC but she actually lived up to that hype once she got into the UFC"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Dec 1, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Yazmin Jauregui

Zane picks Yazmin Jauregui, citing her consistent boxing, tight defense, and ability to exit exchanges with a left hook. He notes that Nunes is a sharp striker early but fades when pressured, and Jauregui's counter punching will be a problem for Nunes.

"I gotta take how to give her basically just for like the depth and consistency of her uh of her boxing."
Loss
Decision (majority) (29–27, 29–27, 28–28) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sam Hughes 0 89 of 228 39% 90 of 229 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Istela Nunes 0 76 of 182 41% 151 of 257 2 of 5 40% 0 0 3:26
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sam Hughes 0 40 of 92 43% 40 of 92 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Istela Nunes 0 15 of 48 31% 15 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Sam Hughes 0 37 of 98 37% 37 of 98 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Istela Nunes 0 31 of 76 40% 60 of 105 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:35
3 Sam Hughes 0 12 of 38 31% 13 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Istela Nunes 0 30 of 58 51% 76 of 104 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:51
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sam Hughes 89 of 228 39% 52 of 173 26 of 44 11 of 11 83 of 220 5 of 6 1 of 2
Istela Nunes 76 of 182 41% 67 of 167 9 of 15 0 of 0 59 of 156 4 of 7 13 of 19
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sam Hughes 40 of 92 43% 20 of 65 14 of 21 6 of 6 39 of 91 1 of 1 0 of 0
Istela Nunes 15 of 48 31% 14 of 47 1 of 1 0 of 0 15 of 48 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Sam Hughes 37 of 98 37% 26 of 78 9 of 18 2 of 2 35 of 95 2 of 3 0 of 0
Istela Nunes 31 of 76 40% 25 of 67 6 of 9 0 of 0 29 of 73 2 of 3 0 of 0
3 Sam Hughes 12 of 38 31% 6 of 30 3 of 5 3 of 3 9 of 34 2 of 2 1 of 2
Istela Nunes 30 of 58 51% 28 of 53 2 of 5 0 of 0 15 of 35 2 of 4 13 of 19
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 10, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Istela Nunes

Angelo picks Istela Nunes, expecting a three-round decision win. He notes that Nunes has cleaner striking with speed and power, while Sam Hughes is hittable and has not taken anyone down in the UFC. He references Nunes's last fight where she won striking exchanges but lost due to takedowns, but believes Hughes cannot take her down.

"i do think estella has the cleaner striker and will win the striking exchanges i don't see hughes being able to take her down which means this ends up being a three-round decision win for estella nunez"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Istela Nunes

Big Brady picks Istela Nunes to win by decision. He notes Nunes has good striking and improved takedown defense, while Hughes is 0-3 in the UFC with poor striking defense (49%) and no takedowns landed. He expects the fight to stay standing, where Nunes will outclass Hughes. He calls it a winnable fight for Nunes but says he doesn't overly want anything to do with it.

win by decision
"i got to go nunez here i'm going to take nunes to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Istela Nunes

Cody picks Nunes, noting her striking advantage and Hughes' lack of finishing ability. He thinks Nunes can win on the feet and avoid takedowns. He calls it a good spot for Nunes.

"i do think that she should be the established favorite she is that is who i'm going to be taking"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Apr 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Istela Nunes

Daniel Levi leans Istela Nunes based on aggression and forward pressure, noting Hughes is hesitant and seems to lack confidence. He acknowledges Nunes's win over Karnilosi may be overrated because Karnilosi blocks punches with her face, but believes Nunes's willingness to engage will sway judges. He is not willing to lay -225 but picks Nunes to win.

Not betting at -225; mentions Nunes's aggression and Hughes's hesitancy
"I'll take a stella nunes no bet."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Istela Nunes

Paul picks Nunes, citing her striking and physicality. He notes Hughes' poor performances and thinks Nunes can piece her up. He acknowledges cardio concerns but believes Nunes can win the first two rounds.

"i think nunez is going to piece her up"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Istela Nunes

The MMA Guru picks Istela Nunes, citing her strong striking performance against Ariane Carnelossi, who he notes was on steroids. He believes Nunes has a reach advantage and will outclass Sam Hughes on the feet, winning a 30-27 unanimous decision.

unanimous decision 30-27
"gotta go the stella nunes here she looked really good against ariana carlos in her debut"
Submission (rear-naked choke) R3 2:57
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ariane Carnelossi 0 62 of 119 52% 98 of 156 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Istela Nunes 0 36 of 108 33% 76 of 158 5 of 7 71% 1 0 7:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ariane Carnelossi 0 31 of 63 49% 37 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Istela Nunes 0 18 of 52 34% 34 of 70 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:21
2 Ariane Carnelossi 0 18 of 29 62% 46 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Istela Nunes 0 9 of 30 30% 27 of 55 3 of 4 75% 0 0 3:33
3 Ariane Carnelossi 0 13 of 27 48% 15 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Istela Nunes 0 9 of 26 34% 15 of 33 1 of 2 50% 1 0 1:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ariane Carnelossi 62 of 119 52% 37 of 88 16 of 22 9 of 9 54 of 109 8 of 10 0 of 0
Istela Nunes 36 of 108 33% 33 of 103 2 of 4 1 of 1 33 of 100 3 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ariane Carnelossi 31 of 63 49% 17 of 47 10 of 12 4 of 4 27 of 59 4 of 4 0 of 0
Istela Nunes 18 of 52 34% 17 of 50 0 of 1 1 of 1 17 of 49 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Ariane Carnelossi 18 of 29 62% 12 of 21 4 of 6 2 of 2 14 of 23 4 of 6 0 of 0
Istela Nunes 9 of 30 30% 8 of 29 1 of 1 0 of 0 7 of 25 2 of 5 0 of 0
3 Ariane Carnelossi 13 of 27 48% 8 of 20 2 of 4 3 of 3 13 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
Istela Nunes 9 of 26 34% 8 of 24 1 of 2 0 of 0 9 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Istela Nunes vs. Ariane Carnelossi

Round 1
There are now 10 fights on this maligned UFC Fight Night 195 card, one that is counterprogrammed against Bellator 268 in a few hours. We begin the event at the lightest division on the roster, when Carnelossi (13-2, 1-1 UFC) and her impressive musculature takes on promotional newcomer and fellow countrywoman Nunes (6-1,1 NC; 0-0 UFC). While Nunes is billed as a 7-1 fighter, the first win on her ledger the UFC is listing took place in muay Thai. The night begins thankfully with no nonsense thanks to referee Keith Peterson, and the two strawweights touch gloves before throwing down. Carnelossi immediately opens up with punch combinations, swarming the newcomer with a barrage of strikes. Nunes defends herself and backs away, but “Sorriso” chases her down and slams her in the face with heavy punches. Carnelossi continues to rage forward, and Nunes deftly slips back to land a leg kick, and she counters Carnelossi repeatedly. The two brawl it out and a few punches from Carnelossi draw blood from the nose of her opponent. Carnelossi pursues a takedown as she gets clipped, and Nunes defends the takedown by clearly grabbing the fence repeatedly. Peterson slaps her hand away several times and even grabs hold of it briefly to make her leg go, but she goes right back to grabbing it to stay upright. Peterson allowed a little nonsense in that situation there. Although Carnelossi is finally able to get her down her efforts do not reward her for long as Nunes springs right back up and gains separation. Carnelossi is not going to let her off the hook, as she blitzes towards her opponent with winging punches. She ends up clinching up again when considering a takedown, but the newcomer remains upright but gets jammed into the wire. Carnelossi keeps heavy chest pressure to grind Nunes into the wall, landing a few short shots but otherwise clinging on for dear life. Nunes looks to set up a Thai clinch with her back to the fence, getting off a couple knees and strikes before pushing off with a minute left in the round. Nunes starts spamming front kicks to the body, and they engage in a brief but nasty slugfest, landing flush on one another. Nunes takes a step back, scores a solid one-two and evades the counters. Carnelossi’s strikes are wilder while Nunes tries to compose herself, but defense is at a premium as they both land at a high clip. They tag one another on the chin with powerful punches, and right at the bell, Carnelossi lands flush and has to apologize because it might be after the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Carnelossi
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Nunes
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Nunes

Round 2
The strawweights pick right up where they left off, throwing hammers. Nunes strings a quartet of punches together, and Carnelossi answers with a vengeance throwing looping hooks and clubbing Nunes in the face. Carnelossi’s headhunting approach does allow Nunes to counter her, but the sheer forward momentum of Carnelossi pushes Nunes into the wire. Carnelossi pursues a takedown, and once more Nunes grabs the fence to keep her balance. Peterson sees it but does not say anything, and Nunes walks back up to her feet. Carnelossi embraces the grind up against the wall, with Nunes attempting to frame off and land strikes up the middle as Carnelossi remains pressed tightly to her. Carnelossi ducks down for a single leg takedown, and Nunes looks for a power guillotine on the way down to the mat but bails on it when her backside hits the canvas. Carnelossi keeps her foe’s legs trapped beneath her leg triangle, but Nunes slithers one out and then the other before making her way upright. Nunes stands, and she knees Carnelossi on the chin once, but “Sorriso” does not register the blow as she hangs on with everything she has. Nunes stays busy with her back trapped, punching to the side occasionally, and she sneaks out the side to break free and just miss with a head kick. Nunes pops Carnelossi with a few punches as she backpedals, with the shorter Carnelossi crowding her and never giving her space to breathe. Nunes lets loose with a body kick, and this draws a sharp exhale from her opponent, with the latter appearing to slow. Nunes chains punches into body kicks, and she clips Carnelossi with a right hand before Carnelossi barrels towards her and slams her into the ground. Carnelossi manages to score a few left hands when Nunes is seated against the fencing, and Nunes appears flustered as she cannot get up thanks to Carnelossi’s position on top. Nunes powers back to her feet, but she does not get free before the bell sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Carnelossi
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Carnelossi
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Carnelossi

Round 3
Nunes begins the round by circling away to escape the power punches from her marauding opponent. Carnelossi attacks without faltering, throwing big punches and connecting more often than not. Nunes sticks and moves, but she cannot evade every one of the hooks coming her way. Nunes pierces the midsection with a few kicks, and she ducks out of the way as Carnelossi charges at her. They both just miss with single power strikes, and Nunes gets off a right hand only to get smacked with a counter that knocks her back into the wall. Carnelossi uses this momentum to go after a single, and Nunes grabs the fence again to try to pull her way up as Peterson slaps at her hand. When Nunes looks to scramble, Carnelossi climbs on to a three-quarter mount before getting a hook in and partially taking Nunes’ back.
Carnelossi hunts for a choke, and she snakes an arm beneath the throat. “Sorriso” senses that this is her moment to strike, and she snags the grip with her other arm to lock the rear-naked choke in completely.
The forearm under the chin, Nunes looks around, fights the grip for a second and then surrenders. The submission win is now just the second of Carnelossi’s career, who lands her first since a keylock in 2016.

The Official Result
Ariane Carnelossi def. Istela Nunes R3 2:57 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Oct 13, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Istela Nunes

Angelo picks Nunes as an underdog but is hesitant due to her three-year layoff and USADA suspension. He notes Nunes is the more technical striker with speed and versatility, while Carnelossi is aggressive and strong but sloppy. He worries about Nunes' timing after the layoff but believes if she finds a rhythm, she will out-strike Carnelossi. He does not bet the moneyline but considers prop bets like plus 3.5 points or win inside distance/decision no action.

plus 3.5 points, win inside distance/decision no action
"I like Nunes in this fight as an underdog I don't like her enough to bet on her"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Oct 11, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Istela Nunes

Big Brady picks Istela Nunes as a dog, citing her Muay Thai background and technical striking advantage. He notes Carnelossi is hittable with poor striking defense, but acknowledges Nunes has a three-year layoff and questions about her ground game. He is hesitant to bet due to the unknowns, but picks Nunes by decision.

by decision
"i'm actually gonna take a shot on the dog in terms of a pick there's just too many question marks for me to bet it though i'm going to pick estela nunes to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Oct 13, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ariane Carnelossi

Cody leans toward Carnelossi, noting her strength and physicality. He mentions that Nunes has fought only once in three years due to contract issues with ONE Championship, making her ring rust a concern. He acknowledges Carnelossi's reach disadvantage but thinks her tank-like build and cardio can carry her.

"i would say that she keeps that momentum going"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 14, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Ariane Carnelossi

Daniel picks Carnelossi due to her UFC experience and power, comparing her style to Jessica Andrade. He notes that Carnelossi has one-hitter-quitter power that can trouble strawweights, and she rebounded well after a cut stoppage loss. He acknowledges Istela Nunes is scrappy and has finishes, but the USADA suspension and debut questions make him lean toward Carnelossi.

"i gotta go with carnalosi she's got that ufc experience under her belt"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Oct 12, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Ariane Carnelossi

Carnelossi is a forward-pressure brawler who moves forward and throws big bombs, similar to a female John Lineker. Nunes has a long layoff and USADA suspension, making her a question mark. Carnelossi by decision is the play because Nunes is durable and likely to eat shots for 15 minutes.

Carnelossi by decision +165
"i like the carnilosi decision i do think that nunes will be able to eat some shots here and we'll see this go for 15 minutes so i like carne lucy by decision at plus 165."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Oct 13, 2021 (3 days before fight)
No clear pick

Paul does not make a clear pick, admitting he is not familiar with Nunes and needs to study the fight more. He provides background on both fighters but does not state a preference.

TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 12, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Ariane Carnelossi

The MMA Guru picks Ariane Carnelossi due to her superior experience and competition level. He highlights her 'man arms' and physical strength, as well as her proven ground game and stand-up, including a body kick KO. He predicts a ground-and-pound TKO in the second round, noting Carnelossi's cardio and ability to finish late.

ground and pound tko in the second round
"i'm picking man arms mcgee for the win here arianny carlos will get it done"