Stewart Nicoll

"Kakamora"
0-3
Record
Age / DOB 30
(Apr 11, 1996)
Height 5' 5"
Weight 125 lbs.
Reach 65.0"
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages
3.63 Sig. Strikes / Min
39.0% Sig. Strike Acc.
5.84 Absorbed / Min
49.0% Strike Defense
1.63 TD Avg / 15 min
11.0% TD Accuracy
28.0% TD Defense
0.0 Sub. / Fight
Loss Methods (3)
KO/TKO 1
Submission 1
Decision 1

Fight History

Result / Opponent
Event & Date
Method/Round
Links
Comments
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alessandro Costa 1 43 of 89 48% 47 of 97 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:18
Stewart Nicoll 0 47 of 99 47% 47 of 99 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alessandro Costa 0 20 of 46 43% 20 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Stewart Nicoll 0 27 of 59 45% 27 of 59 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
2 Alessandro Costa 1 23 of 43 53% 27 of 51 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:18
Stewart Nicoll 0 20 of 40 50% 20 of 40 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alessandro Costa 43 of 89 48% 26 of 67 11 of 13 6 of 9 41 of 85 1 of 3 1 of 1
Stewart Nicoll 47 of 99 47% 26 of 73 12 of 16 9 of 10 47 of 99 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alessandro Costa 20 of 46 43% 11 of 34 4 of 4 5 of 8 20 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
Stewart Nicoll 27 of 59 45% 13 of 42 5 of 7 9 of 10 27 of 59 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Alessandro Costa 23 of 43 53% 15 of 33 7 of 9 1 of 1 21 of 39 1 of 3 1 of 1
Stewart Nicoll 20 of 40 50% 13 of 31 7 of 9 0 of 0 20 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Alessandro Costa vs. Stewart Nicoll
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Costa (-400); Nicoll (+300)

Round 1
It has not been sunshine and rainbows for these two flyweights colliding, winner of just two of their five combined appearances in the promotion thus far. Costa (14-5, 2-3 UFC) is the one who has actually prevailed, while proud Aussie Nicoll (8-2, 0-2 UFC) is aiming for his first UFC triumph. Standing guard over the flyweights will be referee Chris Tognoni, who stands back as they scurry towards one another to touch gloves.
Costa leads off pressuring forward, and this puts him in the path of a sudden spin kick from the Aussie. Costa shrugs it off and looses a pair of kicks, and he watches a spinning back kick soar past his face. Nicoll goes to the well again with another spinning kick, and it bangs into the guard. He tosses out a spinning back fist, and nearly has his leg kicked out when he plants his feet again. Costa jackhammers the front leg again, and it does not take many for Nicoll to think about another way in. Both men keep low bases as if to prepare against and preemptively defend a takedown, thus resulting in a tit-for-tat kickboxing affair. Nicoll stands in the pocket too long and gets battered back with a trio of fast punches, and he shakes his head as if to motion that he was not caught. Costa celebrates his handiwork by ripping a left to the ribs, and he has his guard up to block the eventual spin.
Costa rattles punches off the guard and kicks the front leg, and he nails the Aussie with a few punches. Nicoll has to take a quick count of his teeth before re-engaging, where he is met with sweeping calf kicks. Nicoll offers up his own leg kick on the inside, and they trade their leg-based strikes back-and-forth. Costa hammers the body again, and Nicoll crashes the pocket to grip hold of a single. “Nono” says “no no” to the takedown effort and drives Nicoll back, and he ducks a spinning back fist and catches the Aussie. Nicoll grins after absorbing a strike or two, and he plants his shin on Costa’s lead calf. Costa punches high and ducks down to shoot, but he elects instead to drive a flying knee into the chin. Nicoll gets hurt with a body shot, and he counters Costa coming in with a fierce right hand and offers up a spinning back fist but is taking shots on the way out. With Nicoll grinning like a banshee, the round wraps.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Costa
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Costa
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Costa

Round 2
The flyweights touch gloves to start off the round, and Nicoll reintroduces himself with a jabbing front kick. It partially grazes the up, so he offers up an apology as there is no stoppage. Costa steps in with a left and gets clubbed with a check left hook. Costa surges forward with a pair of hooks, backing off to not get caught on the way out. Costa thumps the leg with a kick and slaps at Nicoll with an overhand right, and he is well aware when Nicoll offers back a spinning back kick. Nicoll tries a leaping back fist that does not do anything, and Costa shoots in for a double and is a hair away from getting Nicoll down. Nicoll frames off but ends up getting dropped on his head, with Costa taking his back. Nicoll takes a few elbows to the back of the head as he looks to wriggle Costa off his back standing, and Costa readjusts himself to not slide off. Costa disengages the back take and the two return to the center of the cage offering jabs.
Costa goes to the body with a kick, and Nicoll does the same. Nicoll sneaks in two punches, and he follows them with two more and a level change. Costa puts his back to the fence and uses his leverage to turn Nicoll around and lean him on the cage. Costa turns his foe around to knee him in the gut, and he ducks away when Nicoll hurls punches at him. Costa loads up with power punches, and he bangs heavy hooks off the sides of Nicoll’s dome. A takedown falls apart, and Costa knees Nicoll square in the face. Nicoll smiles back at him. Costa surprises Nicoll with a spinning back elbow, and he follows it with a jump knee and may have hurt Nicoll. The Brazilian strikes out with another flying knee, and instead of continuing to throw hands and feet, he grapples. Costa looks for a standing back take, but ends up getting wrenched off and has to reset. Costa eventually telegraphs a shot, and Nicoll stands him up.
Winding up with everything he has as seconds remain on the clock, the Lobo Gym MMA fighter unleashes a ferocious left hook that smashes square into Nicoll’s liver. Nicoll collapses to his knees, totally defeated, and Costa only needs one single finalizing punch that connects while Tognoni is already intervening.
What a body shot, and what a performance from “Nono” to put himself back to a .500 UFC fighter. Bas Rutten is smiling somewhere after that broken liver showcase.

The Official Result
Alessandro Costa def. Stewart Nicoll R2 4:56 via KO (Punch to the Body)
Expert Picks (10)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 29, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Alessandro Costa

Angelo picks Alessandro Costa, believing he is better than his record and will bust up Stewart Nicoll. He notes Costa's power, leg kicks, and striking accuracy, while Nicoll is hitable on the feet and his takedowns are desperate. Angelo dismisses Costa's last loss due to a freak foot injury and expects Costa to be well-prepared for Nicoll's wrestling.

"I'm going to pick him with confidence and I'm going to see him bust this dude up."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 30, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Alessandro Costa

Big Brady picks Alessandro Costa by second-round knockout. He likes Costa's power, opportunistic jiu-jitsu, and takedown defense. He criticizes Nicoll's wrestling, noting he went 2-for-20 on takedowns against Lucas Rocha, who has no takedown defense. He expects Costa to knock out Nicoll on the feet.

Costa by KO in round 2
"I'll take Costa to win this fight by second round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 2, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Alessandro Costa

Cody picks Costa, citing his takedown defense and power. He expects Costa to stuff Nicoll's takedowns and land heavy shots, winning by decision or late TKO.

"I think Costa is the better play. He's the better guy. And when you're looking at the big favorites on this card, he's not minus 2,000 like Yakv. He's not minus 1,200 like McMillan. He's minus 400."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Alessandro Costa

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Costa confidently. He emphasizes that Nicoll is too excitable and not technical enough, often making wrong moves and allowing opponents to dictate. Costa's aggression and physicality should overwhelm Nicoll, who has shown a tendency to leapfrog into submissions and get overexcited.

Costa opened -450, now -400; Nicoll opened +350, now +330.
"I don't see anything in Nicoll's game that can technically hold Costa off."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert picked Apr 4, 2026 (fight day)
No clear pick

The host sees potential value on Nicoll due to Costa's weakness on the ground, but is not confident enough to bet pre-fight. He notes Nicoll's persistent wrestling could exploit Costa's poor ground game, but Costa's power and takedown defense make it risky. He prefers to watch for live betting.

Interesting for live betting.
"So for me, this is a very interesting fight from a live betting point of view. I can't pre-fight bet this one because, you know, based on Nicholls last fight against Rosher, he will likely stroll to get Costa down. Costa is very similar to Rosher in many ways. Um but at the same time it's too risky to bet Costa as a big favorite in this one because we know Nickel will try extremely hard to get this fight to the ground and if you do get Cost to the ground it's easy to hold him down and rack up control time."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Mar 30, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Alessandro Costa

James picks Alessandro Costa via TKO in round two, citing Costa's athleticism, striking power, and training with Diego Lopez. He notes Nicoll's limited striking and tendency to be submitted, but warns Costa has poor round threes and has been knocked out twice. He believes Costa's physicality and finishing ability will be enough to get the job done inside the distance, as he has in his other UFC wins.

Round 2 TKO prediction
"Aleandro Costa knockout in round two is my official prediction."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 31, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Alessandro Costa

The host believes Costa is the better striker with a nasty calf kick and good enough grappling to neutralize Nicoll. He notes Nicoll's two-fight losing streak and struggles in the UFC. He expects Costa to win inside the distance, possibly via TKO from the calf kick. He is willing to parlay Costa.

Costa inside the distance
"I think Costa wins. I think he actually does enough damage to Nicola, especially with that calf kick and that he works himself to a finish here."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 2, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Alessandro Costa

Paul picks Costa, noting Nicoll's poor wrestling and durability issues. He expects Costa to win, possibly by KO, but warns the moneyline is steep.

"Costa for me, am I going to let Costa minus 400 ruin my week? I don't think so."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 4, 2026 (fight day)
Alessandro Costa

The MMA Guru picks Alessandro Costa, noting he dropped Erceg and has finishes, while Stewart Nicoll looked incapable of causing harm in his last fight. He believes Costa's explosiveness will lead to a TKO victory.

TKO victory predicted
"I'm going to say that Alessandro Costa puts him away by TKO."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Alessandro Costa

Zane picks Costa confidently, noting that Costa is a reliable action fighter who dictates the pace with aggression and physicality. He sees Nicoll as too excitable and not technical enough, prone to making wrong moves and getting overwhelmed. Costa's determination to go forward and toughness should overcome Nicoll's lack of composure.

Costa opened -450, now -400; Nicoll opened +350, now +330.
"I will take Costa as well."
Decision R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Lucas Rocha 0 115 of 226 50% 130 of 244 3 of 4 75% 0 0 1:25
Stewart Nicoll 0 45 of 138 32% 46 of 139 2 of 20 10% 0 0 1:30
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Lucas Rocha 0 15 of 40 37% 15 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Stewart Nicoll 0 14 of 38 36% 14 of 38 2 of 12 16% 0 0 1:30
2 Lucas Rocha 0 40 of 87 45% 49 of 96 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:58
Stewart Nicoll 0 21 of 54 38% 22 of 55 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Lucas Rocha 0 60 of 99 60% 66 of 108 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:18
Stewart Nicoll 0 10 of 46 21% 10 of 46 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Lucas Rocha 115 of 226 50% 81 of 184 30 of 37 4 of 5 100 of 205 11 of 15 4 of 6
Stewart Nicoll 45 of 138 32% 41 of 133 2 of 3 2 of 2 45 of 135 0 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Lucas Rocha 15 of 40 37% 9 of 32 5 of 7 1 of 1 14 of 37 0 of 1 1 of 2
Stewart Nicoll 14 of 38 36% 11 of 35 1 of 1 2 of 2 14 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Lucas Rocha 40 of 87 45% 28 of 70 11 of 15 1 of 2 31 of 74 6 of 9 3 of 4
Stewart Nicoll 21 of 54 38% 20 of 52 1 of 2 0 of 0 21 of 52 0 of 2 0 of 0
3 Lucas Rocha 60 of 99 60% 44 of 82 14 of 15 2 of 2 55 of 94 5 of 5 0 of 0
Stewart Nicoll 10 of 46 21% 10 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0 10 of 45 0 of 1 0 of 0
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Oct 5, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Lucas Rocha

Angelo picks Lucas Rocha based on his brain over gut feeling. He notes Lucas is the more dangerous fighter and that Stewart doesn't like forward pressure. However, he acknowledges Lucas's poor takedown defense and the risk of being taken down. He does not bet the moneyline but suggests under 2.5 rounds as a play.

under 2.5 rounds
"I'm going to stick with the brain, the big boy brain... But I can't touch the money line. Under two and a half, I actually think it'll be a sneaky good play here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Oct 9, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Stewart Nicoll

Big Brady leans slightly toward Stewart Nicoll, expecting takedowns to come easy and Nicoll to find a submission. He notes Nicoll is a talented grappler with nasty ground and pound, but made a mistake in his last fight by getting caught in a guillotine. He acknowledges Lucas Rocha is dangerous on the feet with power and flying knees, but has no striking or takedown defense. Brady sees it as a striker vs grappler matchup and picks Nicoll by second-round submission.

submission
"I do lean ever so slightly to the Steuart Nickel side. I think takedowns, they'll come easy... Steuart Nickel by second round submission."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Oct 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Stewart Nicoll

Cody picks Nicoll but is hesitant due to his previous loss by guillotine. He notes Rocha's inability to grapple and Nicoll's path to victory, but worries about travel and Brazilian judging. He suggests checking Nicoll's arrival in Brazil.

"Nichols is a pick. Don't He's dead to me. He's dead to me if he loses this fight though."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Oct 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Stewart Nicoll

Lucrative James picks Stewart Nicoll as an underdog, citing Nicoll's tenacious grappling and takedown ability. He acknowledges Lucas Rocha's striking advantage and knockout power, but believes Nicoll's wrestling and cardio will be decisive. He notes that Rocha has been taken down multiple times in past fights and submitted. However, he is hesitant because Nicoll was submitted in his last fight and his jiu-jitsu may not be slick enough to finish Rocha. He sees the fight ending inside the distance.

under 2.5 rounds (-140), Stewart Nicoll by submission (+450)
"I'm actually going to pitch Stuart Nickel cuz I feel like the takedowns are, you know, are going to be free at times."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 9, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Stewart Nicoll

Manpreet picks Nicoll at plus money, believing his grappling and control will stifle Rocha's Muay Thai. He notes Nicoll's BJJ black belt and ability to take the back, and expects him to win by decision. He considers the plus 100 a value line, as Nicoll would be a favorite if not for his debut loss.

Nicoll by decision
"I want to take advantage of this plus 100. I think he is better than Hocha and I think he is good enough to kind of you know, now that he has a UFC jitters past him."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Stewart Nicoll

Paul picks Nicoll, citing Rocha's poor grappling and ballooned record. He notes Nicoll's BJJ black belt and physical strength, and expects him to take Rocha down and submit or control him. He warns about travel concerns but sees value.

"I got Steuart Nickel. This Lucas Roas got a ballooned up record, man."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 7, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Stewart Nicoll

The MMA Guru picks Stewart Nicoll over Lucas Rocha, believing Rocha is too small for flyweight at 5'3". He trusts Nicoll's physicality, grappling, and Australian fighting spirit. He predicts a decision win or late submission/TKO via ground and pound.

"I'm going to go with Stuart Nickel. I'm going to trust in his grappling here. I think he'll be able to out physicality."
Technical Submission (guillotine choke) R1 2:39
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jesus Aguilar 0 8 of 17 47% 15 of 29 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:04
Stewart Nicoll 0 3 of 5 60% 3 of 5 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jesus Aguilar 0 8 of 17 47% 15 of 29 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:04
Stewart Nicoll 0 3 of 5 60% 3 of 5 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:16
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jesus Aguilar 8 of 17 47% 4 of 12 2 of 2 2 of 3 2 of 4 0 of 0 6 of 13
Stewart Nicoll 3 of 5 60% 3 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jesus Aguilar 8 of 17 47% 4 of 12 2 of 2 2 of 3 2 of 4 0 of 0 6 of 13
Stewart Nicoll 3 of 5 60% 3 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jesus Santos Aguilar (127.5: Missed Weight) vs. Stewart Nicoll
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Nicoll (-230), Aguilar (+190)

Round 1
In what might become a yearly stop for the UFC, the RAC Arena in Perth, Australia, is playing host to the promotion today. Like UFC 284 last year, 2024’s UFC 305 package contains plenty of locals with favorable matchups that could result in some thrilling violence. Nine of the 12 fights tonight feature a competitor from or repping Australia or New Zealand, with one pitting an Aussie against a Kiwi, and the other two seeing a Chinese welterweight take center stage. We kick things off with a classic matchup of Australia vs. Mexico as Nicoll (8-0, 0-0 UFC) introduces himself to the organization with the crowd at his back. He battles the overweight Aguilar (10-2, 2-1 UFC), who hit the scales a pound and a half above the flyweight limit to surrender 20% of his purse to his opponent. The referee for the first fight of the night is Steve Perceval, and he kicks things off as the fighters touch gloves. Nicoll introduces himself with a leg kick effort, and his second is met with counters from the Mexican. Aguilar charges him, swinging fists and ultimately clinching up before suddenly grabbing the Aussie from behind. Nicoll responds with a kimura sweep that puts them both on the mat, and he flips around to take the back of his opponent and get hooks in. Nicoll opens up with powerful punches from both sides of the head, and he briefly flattens Aguilar out as he beats on him. Aguilar gets to his knees and spins himself around to put his back on the mat, and Nicoll does not mind this as he hacks down with elbows. Nicoll knees the belly when he sits postured up, and he lands a few punches but finds himself off-balance. Nicoll gets rolled upside-down, and he finds himself doing a handstand with Aguilar hanging on in an effort to throw him down. When Nicoll recovers, Aguilar jumps guard with a guillotine choke, and it is immediately tight.
Aguilar fastens his legs around the waist of his opponent, and Nicoll tries to slither his neck out but he is bone dry and trapped in a precarious position. Aguilar alerts Perceval that Nicoll may be out, and Perceval tests the resistance of Nicoll’s right arm. It flops to the ground. Perceval lifts the lifeless limb again before he intervenes, and he and Aguilar roll Nicoll to his back to demonstrate that Nicoll is completely unconscious with his eyes eerily stuck open.
Aguilar sits up and lifts the legs of his defeated opponent to flow the blood back to Nicoll’s cranium. Just like that, Nicoll has been ejected from the ranks of the unbeaten, and Aguilar has totally silenced the crowd. It may be disappointing to Aguilar that he has forfeited his opportunity to claim post-fight bonus money by missing weight, as that sleep-inducing submission might have been otherwise worthy of an extra check.

The Official Result
Jesus Santos Aguilar def. Stewart Nicoll R1 2:39 via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke)
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 11, 2024 (7 days before fight)
Stewart Nicoll

Angelo picks Stewart Nicoll to win based on his wrestling advantage, believing Nicoll can get takedowns and control the fight. However, he is hesitant because Nicoll is a 2-to-1 favorite against a tough opponent in Jesus Aguilar, who is dangerous with guillotines. Angelo notes that Nicoll is undefeated but untested at this level, similar to Danny Barlow last week, so he avoids betting but leans Nicoll.

Avoiding the fight due to poor value at -200; leans Nicoll but no bet
"I am not spending two to one on this guy. I do think he wins and I think he wins because of the wrestling. I'm going to avoid this fight but I am going to lean nickel because of the wrestling Advantage."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Stewart Nicoll

Big Brady picks Stewart Nicoll to win by second-round submission. He notes Nicoll's wrestling and ground-and-pound are very good, and that Jesus Aguilar has 40% takedown defense and has been submitted in both of his losses. He believes the takedowns will come fairly easy for Nicoll, and once on top, his ground-and-pound can open up submissions. He acknowledges this is Nicoll's toughest test to date but is confident in his path to victory.

submission in round 2
"I'm going Stuart nichel here I'm taking him to win this fight by second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Stewart Nicoll

Cody is impressed with Nicoll's regional tape, noting his relentless takedowns, top control, and nasty elbows. He believes Aguilar has poor takedown defense and has been controlled by lesser wrestlers. Cody expects Nicoll to dominate and possibly submit Aguilar.

"I think the kid's a good Prospect"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Aug 15, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Stewart Nicoll

Daniel Vreeland picks Stewart Nicoll to win, expecting him to take Aguilar down and control the fight. He notes that Aguilar has poor takedown defense and low output, while Nicoll has good cardio, strength, and tenacity. Vreeland believes Nicoll will grind out a decision or submission.

"I'll go Stuart L here for the dub"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Stewart Nicoll

The host leans to Nicoll, citing his technical superiority in all aspects of MMA against Aguilar. He notes Nicoll's grinding grappling approach and BJJ black belt, but acknowledges Aguilar's power and guillotine threat. He expects Nicoll to dominate and finish within two or three rounds, possibly by club and sub.

Nicoll by finish within 2-3 rounds
"I do lean to the Nickels side again I think he is technically the superior fighter in pretty much every aspect of MMA against agular"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Stewart Nicoll

Paul likes Nicoll's wrestling and pace, and notes that Aguilar has been taken down by everyone who tried. He mentions Nicoll's submission threat and expects a finish. Paul calls Nicoll a legit prospect and believes the UFC gave him a favorable matchup.

"nickel by sub if you want to get extra extra greasy"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 12, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Stewart Nicoll

The MMA Guru picks Stewart Nicoll over Jesus Aguilar. He notes that Aguilar is explosive but Nicoll is similarly sized and has a grappling style that pins opponents against the cage, dragging them down and controlling them on the ground. He criticizes Aguilar's wins over Menona and Shannon Ross, calling Ross an easy KO for everyone. He also mentions Nicoll's home country advantage in Australia. He expects Nicoll to control the fight with his grinding style.

"I'm going to go with Stuart nickel um Jesus agular is good he's got he's like a little ball of explosivity in that division... I'm noticing a dominance difference with Stuart nickel"