Erik Silva

"The King"
0-3
Record
Age / DOB 39
(Mar 16, 1987)
Height 5' 9"
Weight 145 lbs.
Reach 71.0"
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages
2.06 Sig. Strikes / Min
67.0% Sig. Strike Acc.
1.52 Absorbed / Min
40.0% Strike Defense
3.26 TD Avg / 15 min
80.0% TD Accuracy
60.0% TD Defense
0.0 Sub. / Fight
Loss Methods (3)
KO/TKO 1
Submission 2
Decision 0

Fight History

Result / Opponent
Event & Date
Method/Round
Links
Comments
Submission R1 2:29
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Erik Silva 0 5 of 9 55% 5 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Francis Marshall 0 3 of 5 60% 10 of 13 1 of 2 50% 1 0 1:42
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Erik Silva 0 5 of 9 55% 5 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Francis Marshall 0 3 of 5 60% 10 of 13 1 of 2 50% 1 0 1:42
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Erik Silva 5 of 9 55% 2 of 6 1 of 1 2 of 2 5 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Francis Marshall 3 of 5 60% 0 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 3 3 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Erik Silva 5 of 9 55% 2 of 6 1 of 1 2 of 2 5 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Francis Marshall 3 of 5 60% 0 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 3 3 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Francis Marshall vs. Erik Silva
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Marshall (-700); Silva (+500)

Round 1
With three hours to plug through seven prelims, the promotion wastes no time in moving to the next matchup. This one comes at 145 pounds between a pair of gents that could sorely use a victory. Silva (9-3, 0-2 UFC) is winless after two walks to the Octagon, appearing roughly every other year and not building any momentum in the overstuffed division. He meets Marshall (8-3, 2-3 UFC), who was on the wrong end of some of the worst scorecards offered last year. Referee Fernando Salas Navarro receives the assignment, standing back as the athletes touch ‘em up.
Silva says hello with a spinning wheel kick, and Marshall barely gets his guard up in time so as to not get leveled. Marshall has to back off, and Silva spins with a back kick that connects to the body. Marshall pushes off when trying to engage, and his finger jams into Silva’s eye socket. Salas calls time when he recognizes the foul, and he goes to Marshall to tell him to be careful. The Venezuelan takes less than 30 seconds to clear his vision before restarting. Marshall attacks him with looping hooks, using them to close the distance and drop down for a slick double-leg takedown. Silva stands up by wrapping his arm around Marshall’s neck with a guillotine choke, and Marshall mat returns him and even briefly threatens with a Von Preux shoulder choke. Silva turns to his side to try to buck off, but Marshall in half guard keeps him stuck. Marshall settles for smacking Silva around with a few strikes before lowering himself down to pursue an arm-triangle choke, and Silva’s bucking and wriggling keeps him safe for the time being.
Marshall is able to pass to mount, and when Silva turns his back, Marshall immediately snatches up a rear-naked choke. Switching his grip to one of a more brute-force variety, “Fire” Marshall does not even go palm-to-palm as he crushes Silva’s larynx and carotid artery. Silva posts off his left arm and does not fight the grip, instead just biding time before he inevitably taps out.
This speedy finish justifies the massive odds in Marshall’s favor, with this leg in most of your parlays hitting with style points.

The Official Result
Francis Marshall def. Erik Silva R1 2:29 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Expert Picks (11)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 22, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Francis Marshall

Angelo picks Francis Marshall because he is younger, faster, and a better wrestler than Erik Silva. He notes that both fighters have similar game plans, but Marshall's youth and wrestling advantage give him the edge. He expects Marshall to win everywhere in the fight.

"Super easy pick right out of the gate. We're going to go Francis Marshall here. I think he's better than Eric Silva literally everywhere."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 22, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Francis Marshall

Big Brady is very confident in Francis Marshall, calling Erik Silva one of the worst fighters on the UFC roster. He notes Marshall was robbed in his last fight against Marian Santos and is facing a massive step down in competition. Brady highlights Silva's poor cardio, especially in elevation, and Marshall's striking power. He predicts a second-round knockout.

second round knockout
"So, yeah, give me Francis Marshall here. ... I think Marshall's going to put it on him and I think he's going to knock out Silva on the feed. ... Give me Francis Marshall to win this fight by a second round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 25, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Francis Marshall

Cody agrees, highlighting Marshall's wrestling and striking advantages. He notes Silva's only path is an early submission, but Marshall's wrestling should neutralize that. He expects Marshall to get back in the win column.

"Marshall's going to get cut if he doesn't pick up a victory here. And this is prime."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Francis Marshall

Connor picks Marshall, noting that Silva has no good sense of position and will get run into the cage. Marshall's high energy and scrambling should win out. Silva is 38 and has never developed a complete MMA game.

Same odds commentary as Zane.
"Yeah, Marshall, you know, he's got some problems with the need to do everything and getting sort of being able to be out technique anywhere, but he's a high hustle fighter."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert picked Feb 20, 2024 (739 days before fight)
No clear pick

Daniel does not discuss this fight in the transcript.

DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Hesitant picked Feb 28, 2026 (fight day)
Erik Silva

The host believes Francis Marshall is the clear better fighter but the odds are too wide to bet on him at -776. He suggests that if you must bet this fight, Erik Silva is the only option because Marshall's implied probability of 89% is too high. However, he notes Silva is not particularly dangerous, has been inactive for two years, and is 38 years old, making it a very bad bet.

"If you do want to bet this fight, you do have to take Mr. Eric Silva because there's no way you can bet Marshall at an implied probability of 89%. But just know it's a very, very bad bet."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 22, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Francis Marshall

James favors Marshall due to his youth, wrestling, and improvement, while Silva is older and coming off injury. He predicts Marshall will dominate on the ground and finish via submission or ground and pound.

"Franc's Marshall via submission in round one or round two is going to be my official prediction."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 24, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Francis Marshall

The host picks Francis Marshall, noting that Marshall is young (26) and improving, while Silva is 39 and coming off a long layoff and injury. He believes Marshall's grappling defense and superior striking will lead to a finish, possibly by knockout or submission in rounds 2 or 3. He is comfortable parlaying Marshall despite the -700 price.

"I think it's pretty obvious that Marshall being at minus 700 kind of deserves that price tag."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 25, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Francis Marshall

Paul expects Marshall to dominate, citing his youth, wrestling, and recent improvements. He notes Silva's age, layoff, and submission-heavy style that likely won't work against Marshall. He sees Marshall as a safe pick.

"I think Francis Marshall absolutely wrecks this guy."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2026 (fight day)
Francis Marshall

The MMA Guru picks Francis Marshall, noting that Marshall has had close fights with tough opponents like Mayra Santos and William Gomis, while Erik Silva has not been tested against quality competition. He believes Marshall's experience and ability to go the distance with better fighters gives him the edge, and he predicts a submission win.

submission
"I'm going to say that Francis Marshall gets this one done. And I think he submits Eric Silva as well."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Francis Marshall

Zane picks Marshall because he is a high-hustle fighter who will outwork Silva over the long haul. Silva is 38, has no positional sense, and his disparate skills don't form a cohesive MMA game. Marshall's aggression and scrambling should overwhelm Silva.

Marshall opened at -450, now -725; Silva opened at +350, now +525.
"Marshall is aggressive. He is going to run him into a corner very quickly."
TKO (leg injury) R1 0:44
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Muhammad Naimov 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Erik Silva 0 1 of 2 50% 3 of 4 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Muhammad Naimov 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Erik Silva 0 1 of 2 50% 3 of 4 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:11
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Muhammad Naimov 0 of 1 0% 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Erik Silva 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Muhammad Naimov 0 of 1 0% 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Erik Silva 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (5)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 18, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Muhammad Naimov

Angelo picks Naimov as the more well-rounded and dangerous fighter, citing his power and wrestling ability. He notes that Naimov benefited from fouls in his last fight but still believes he should win. He mentions waiting for prop bets on round lines but is confident Naimov gets the job done.

waiting for prop bets on round lines
"naimov is going to be the pick I would say medium level confidence here I'm probably going to wait for some prop bets to see what the round lines look like"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Muhammad Naimov

Big Brady picks Muhammad Naimov to win by TKO in the second round. He notes that Naimov came into the UFC on short notice and pulled off a big upset against Jamie Mullarkey, then beat Nathaniel Wood. He criticizes Erik Silva's performance against TJ Brown, saying Silva gassed out in five minutes and makes mistakes on the ground. Brady believes Naimov can hang in grappling early but will break Silva as the fight goes on due to Silva's poor cardio.

Naimov wins by TKO in round 2
"give me nof here I'll take nof to break Eric Silva in the second round via TKO"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Feb 21, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Erik Silva

Cody picks Silva as a PRP pick, noting Naimov's suspect cardio, wrestling, and striking. He thinks Silva can wrestle and take Naimov down, holding him for two rounds. He acknowledges Silva may gas but Naimov will too. He sees value at the plus price and is fading Naimov.

"I fade him and I put Eric Silva as a PRP pick"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 22, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Muhammad Naimov

The host acknowledges the heavy betting line on Naimov (close to -600) but believes Naimov's pure wrestling advantage and aggressive style will overcome any altitude concerns. He expects Naimov to out-grind Silva, who is an early finisher but will be overwhelmed by Naimov's pressure.

Heavy favorite at close to -600
"I don't understand all the heavy love that's coming in on naov pushing him up to a close minus 600 favorite sure he'll have the pure wrestling advantage in this matchup but you got to wonder what the elevation and altitude will do to a guy that utilizes such a aggro style"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Feb 21, 2024 (3 days before fight)
No clear pick

Paul does not make a clear pick for this fight. He calls it a dog-or-pass situation, noting Naimov's suspect cardio and Silva's wrestling but also Silva's age and submission losses. He is not interested in parlaying Naimov and doesn't commit to either side.

"it's a pretty clear dogger pass I'm not interested in parlaying Mohamed naov"
Loss
Submission (arm-triangle choke) R3 3:41
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
T.J. Brown 0 24 of 38 63% 82 of 109 2 of 7 28% 1 2 9:43
Erik Silva 0 21 of 29 72% 32 of 42 3 of 4 75% 0 1 2:35
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 T.J. Brown 0 10 of 14 71% 21 of 29 1 of 6 16% 0 1 3:01
Erik Silva 0 9 of 11 81% 14 of 17 2 of 2 100% 0 1 1:35
2 T.J. Brown 0 7 of 14 50% 36 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 1 3:14
Erik Silva 0 10 of 15 66% 14 of 20 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:00
3 T.J. Brown 0 7 of 10 70% 25 of 31 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:28
Erik Silva 0 2 of 3 66% 4 of 5 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
T.J. Brown 24 of 38 63% 20 of 33 4 of 5 0 of 0 13 of 25 6 of 7 5 of 6
Erik Silva 21 of 29 72% 12 of 19 6 of 7 3 of 3 13 of 20 7 of 7 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 T.J. Brown 10 of 14 71% 8 of 11 2 of 3 0 of 0 5 of 8 5 of 6 0 of 0
Erik Silva 9 of 11 81% 5 of 7 3 of 3 1 of 1 3 of 5 6 of 6 0 of 0
2 T.J. Brown 7 of 14 50% 6 of 13 1 of 1 0 of 0 7 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Erik Silva 10 of 15 66% 6 of 10 2 of 3 2 of 2 9 of 13 0 of 0 1 of 2
3 T.J. Brown 7 of 10 70% 6 of 9 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 3 1 of 1 5 of 6
Erik Silva 2 of 3 66% 1 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Dec 4, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Erik Silva

Angelo picks Erik Silva because he believes Silva's grappling pressure and control will be too much for T.J. Brown. He notes that Brown has poor takedown defense (41%) and makes poor decisions in fights, creating scrambles he can't win. Silva is an aggressive grappler who marches forward and looks to get the fight to the ground, where he controls opponents. Angelo expects Silva to bully Brown and win via control.

"I like Eric to bully in this fight I like him to get it to the ground and I like him to control his way to a win"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Dec 7, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Erik Silva

Big Brady picks Erik Silva, citing Silva's impressive grappling and ground-and-pound, while criticizing T.J. Brown's poor fight IQ and lackluster performances. He notes Silva has faced weaker competition but Brown has been knocked out and submitted multiple times. He expects Silva to catch Brown in a submission in the second round, but admits he is not very confident.

Silva wins by second round submission
"I gotta go Silva here um I like the grappling of silver the ground a pound of Silva TJ Brown's been knocked out three times he's been submitted three times I think Silva eventually catches him in something in the second round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Dec 7, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Erik Silva

Cody leans Silva, citing his explosiveness and power. He notes Brown's cardio and durability issues, and that Brown may tire himself out with takedowns. He thinks Silva can exploit Brown's low hands and lack of head movement. He suggests under 1.5 rounds as a prop.

Under 1.5 rounds (+145)
"I'll probably get some of this like plus 145 to the under one and a half I'll pick Silva"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Erik Silva

Daniel Levi picks Erik Silva, despite Silva's untested competition. He criticizes T.J. Brown for being prone to getting dropped and submitted, calling him 'not the brightest.' Levi likes Silva's size, ground-and-pound, elbows, and kicks. He notes Silva has been past the first round before. While he wishes he knew more about Silva, he trusts him over Brown, who he says will likely get dropped and choked out.

"I think TJ Brown's gonna do good and then he's gonna get dropped and choked out so I'm gonna go with Eric Silver to win this fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Dec 9, 2022 (1 day before fight)
T.J. Brown

Lock favors T.J. Brown because he is more proven and represents a step up in competition for Erik Silva. He notes that Silva has only finishes on his regional record but may falter against decent competition, showing cardio issues or being unable to handle being the nail instead of the hammer. Lock does not have a bet on it himself, as he doesn't see Brown as super reliable, but from a narrative and PredictionStrike perspective, he thinks Brown has the edge.

"I like the TJ Brown side here I don't have a bet on it I don't want to bet it myself like I've never really seen TJ Brown as a super reliable fighter but just taking The Narrative of him being a tad bit more proven him being a legit Step Up in competition for Eric Silva I think he has decided here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Dec 7, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Erik Silva

Paul leans Silva, noting Brown's inconsistency and the turmoil at Glory MMA. He thinks Silva's power and explosiveness could be the difference, but acknowledges it's a coin flip. He is not confident and considers it a pass for now.

"I'm gonna just uh it's basically a pass for now but I'm gonna lean towards Silva"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 5, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Erik Silva

The MMA Guru picks Erik Silva over T.J. Brown, arguing that Silva is a step above bottom-level UFC featherweights and has shown good potential. He criticizes Brown for only beating very low-level opponents and barely scraping by, while Silva is more experienced and has a good record. He predicts a decision win for Silva.

"I'm gonna go Eric still for getting this one done I think he's going to beat TJ Brown up"