vs
-190 +185
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · Feb 19, 2022 · Featherweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill Next Fight
Age 41
Height 5' 11"
Reach 72.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 37
Height 5' 8"
Reach 70.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Career Averages - Chas Skelly
2.01 SLpM
40.0% Str. Acc.
3.21 SApM
49.0% Str. Def.
1.74 TD Avg
34.0% TD Acc.
39.0% TD Def.
2.3 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Mark Striegl
1.4 SLpM
45.0% Str. Acc.
4.07 SApM
40.0% Str. Def.
0.0 TD Avg
0.0% TD Acc.
66.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Chas Skelly
Moneyline
Caesars -190
KO/TKO
FanDuel +700
Submission
FanDuel +200
Decision
DraftKings +275
Mark Striegl
Moneyline
BetMGM +185
KO/TKO
BetRivers +1200
Submission
FanDuel +600
Decision
FanDuel +420
Chas Skelly - Fight History
WIN vs Mark Striegl
TKO (knee and punches) R2 2:01 · UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · Feb 19, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chas Skelly 1 14 of 30 46% 45 of 63 1 of 3 33% 0 0 3:43
Mark Striegl 0 8 of 17 47% 34 of 44 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:22
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chas Skelly 0 3 of 8 37% 34 of 41 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:51
Mark Striegl 0 4 of 7 57% 29 of 33 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:15
2 Chas Skelly 1 11 of 22 50% 11 of 22 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:52
Mark Striegl 0 4 of 10 40% 5 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chas Skelly 14 of 30 46% 12 of 27 2 of 3 0 of 0 7 of 19 3 of 3 4 of 8
Mark Striegl 8 of 17 47% 4 of 11 1 of 3 3 of 3 7 of 14 0 of 1 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chas Skelly 3 of 8 37% 2 of 6 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 5 1 of 1 1 of 2
Mark Striegl 4 of 7 57% 1 of 4 1 of 1 2 of 2 3 of 4 0 of 1 1 of 2
2 Chas Skelly 11 of 22 50% 10 of 21 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 14 2 of 2 3 of 6
Mark Striegl 4 of 10 40% 3 of 7 0 of 2 1 of 1 4 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Chas Skelly

Angelo loves Chas Skelly in this matchup, citing his technical striking, willingness to slug, and wide variety of takedowns with submission threats. He notes Striegl is a solid wrestler but never fully commits. He believes Skelly is well-prepared for a grappling match and will get it done.

"i love chad skelly in this matchup he's technically sound on his feet he's got a willingness to slug it out"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Feb 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Chas Skelly

Big Brady picks Chas Skelly but is very hesitant due to multiple red flags: Skelly is 36, retiring, and hasn't fought in over two years. He notes Skelly could submit Striegl if he's not washed, but the ring rust and retirement fight narrative scare him. He predicts Skelly wins by late round submission.

win by submission
"I'll go chas kelly by submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Feb 15, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Chas Skelly

Cody leans toward Skelly but with very low confidence due to Skelly's three-year layoff and age (36). He notes that Skelly's wins have come against low-level competition and that his wrestling may have declined. Cody is unsure what version of Skelly will show up and suggests waiting for live betting or weigh-ins to get a better read.

"i have no idea i have no idea i think you might be able to hit a pass but i want your take on it"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 17, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Chas Skelly

Levi picks Skelly to win by submission, citing his elite submission skills and experience. He notes that Striegl's record is padded and that Skelly, despite a dad bod, is too tough and experienced. Levi expects Skelly to take Striegl down and submit him, possibly after some early success from Striegl.

Skelly by submission
"give me chas kelly via submission"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 17, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Chas Skelly

Skelly has a cardio and scrambling advantage over Striegl, who fades in later rounds. The fight will be grapple-heavy with many reversals, and Skelly should dominate positionally. Striegl's cardio is atrocious when pushed, so Skelly by submission in round 3 is the play. The long layoff for both is a concern but Skelly's pace should be too much.

Skelly round 3 (+1000), Skelly inside distance, fight ends by submission (+130)
"skelly round three obviously sticks out to me a whole lot here that's currently sticking around that plus 1000 range"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Feb 15, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Chas Skelly

Paul also leans toward Skelly but is very hesitant. He notes that Skelly's three-year layoff and private Instagram are red flags. Paul thinks the fight is likely a grappling match where Skelly has an edge, but he is not confident enough to bet it at -220. He suggests waiting for live betting.

"i'll lean towards chas but there is next to no confidence in that pick because i don't know what he's been up to"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Chas Skelly

The MMA Guru picks Chas Skelly to win by first-round submission (d'arce or anaconda choke). He questions Mark Striegl's level of competition, noting he fought a 35-23 opponent after going 10-0. He believes Skelly's grappling and nasty d'arce choke will catch Striegl when he shoots a bad takedown, similar to his last fight.

first round submission (d'arce choke or anaconda choke)
"i'm gonna go of chas skelly here over mark streagle ... i think he's gonna utilize that here against mark streagle so i'm going to call a first round dash choke or anaconda choke submission"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · Sep 14, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chas Skelly 0 21 of 59 35% 80 of 125 1 of 3 33% 3 1 8:35
Jordan Griffin 0 37 of 87 42% 66 of 122 1 of 1 100% 2 2 2:57
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chas Skelly 0 7 of 19 36% 24 of 37 1 of 1 100% 2 0 2:49
Jordan Griffin 0 10 of 27 37% 10 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:55
2 Chas Skelly 0 8 of 24 33% 24 of 41 0 of 1 0% 0 1 2:06
Jordan Griffin 0 19 of 37 51% 28 of 47 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:43
3 Chas Skelly 0 6 of 16 37% 32 of 47 0 of 1 0% 1 0 3:40
Jordan Griffin 0 8 of 23 34% 28 of 48 0 of 0 --- 2 1 0:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chas Skelly 21 of 59 35% 20 of 52 1 of 7 0 of 0 20 of 58 0 of 0 1 of 1
Jordan Griffin 37 of 87 42% 36 of 84 1 of 3 0 of 0 32 of 81 0 of 0 5 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chas Skelly 7 of 19 36% 7 of 18 0 of 1 0 of 0 7 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jordan Griffin 10 of 27 37% 9 of 25 1 of 2 0 of 0 10 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Chas Skelly 8 of 24 33% 8 of 21 0 of 3 0 of 0 7 of 23 0 of 0 1 of 1
Jordan Griffin 19 of 37 51% 19 of 36 0 of 1 0 of 0 15 of 32 0 of 0 4 of 5
3 Chas Skelly 6 of 16 37% 5 of 13 1 of 3 0 of 0 6 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jordan Griffin 8 of 23 34% 8 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0 7 of 22 0 of 0 1 of 1
LOSS vs Bobby Moffett
No Contest (overturned) R2 2:43 · UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodríguez · Nov 10, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bobby Moffett 0 30 of 60 50% 47 of 81 1 of 2 50% 0 1 3:38
Chas Skelly 0 20 of 56 35% 21 of 57 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bobby Moffett 0 24 of 40 60% 41 of 61 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:23
Chas Skelly 0 12 of 32 37% 13 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Bobby Moffett 0 6 of 20 30% 6 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:15
Chas Skelly 0 8 of 24 33% 8 of 24 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:14
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bobby Moffett 30 of 60 50% 26 of 55 3 of 4 1 of 1 15 of 44 15 of 16 0 of 0
Chas Skelly 20 of 56 35% 13 of 47 1 of 2 6 of 7 18 of 51 1 of 4 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bobby Moffett 24 of 40 60% 21 of 37 2 of 2 1 of 1 9 of 24 15 of 16 0 of 0
Chas Skelly 12 of 32 37% 8 of 27 0 of 1 4 of 4 11 of 28 1 of 4 0 of 0
2 Bobby Moffett 6 of 20 30% 5 of 18 1 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chas Skelly 8 of 24 33% 5 of 20 1 of 1 2 of 3 7 of 23 0 of 0 1 of 1
LOSS vs Jason Knight
TKO (punches) R3 0:39 · UFC 211: Miocic vs. dos Santos 2 · May 13, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jason Knight 0 29 of 63 46% 37 of 71 1 of 6 16% 0 1 3:49
Chas Skelly 1 59 of 109 54% 65 of 116 2 of 2 100% 3 2 1:45
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jason Knight 0 7 of 24 29% 15 of 32 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:29
Chas Skelly 0 15 of 27 55% 18 of 31 1 of 1 100% 3 2 0:43
2 Jason Knight 0 19 of 35 54% 19 of 35 0 of 4 0% 0 1 1:20
Chas Skelly 0 28 of 59 47% 31 of 62 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:51
3 Jason Knight 0 3 of 4 75% 3 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chas Skelly 1 16 of 23 69% 16 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jason Knight 29 of 63 46% 23 of 54 4 of 7 2 of 2 28 of 61 1 of 1 0 of 1
Chas Skelly 59 of 109 54% 46 of 90 7 of 11 6 of 8 30 of 72 6 of 8 23 of 29
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jason Knight 7 of 24 29% 6 of 22 1 of 2 0 of 0 7 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 1
Chas Skelly 15 of 27 55% 10 of 22 0 of 0 5 of 5 10 of 22 3 of 3 2 of 2
2 Jason Knight 19 of 35 54% 14 of 28 3 of 5 2 of 2 18 of 34 1 of 1 0 of 0
Chas Skelly 28 of 59 47% 20 of 45 7 of 11 1 of 3 17 of 44 3 of 5 8 of 10
3 Jason Knight 3 of 4 75% 3 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chas Skelly 16 of 23 69% 16 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 6 0 of 0 13 of 17
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 2:01 · UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · Feb 04, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chas Skelly 0 21 of 52 40% 29 of 60 2 of 3 66% 1 0 4:39
Chris Gruetzemacher 0 28 of 43 65% 65 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chas Skelly 0 12 of 31 38% 20 of 39 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:38
Chris Gruetzemacher 0 12 of 16 75% 41 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Chas Skelly 0 9 of 21 42% 9 of 21 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:01
Chris Gruetzemacher 0 16 of 27 59% 24 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chas Skelly 21 of 52 40% 20 of 50 1 of 2 0 of 0 15 of 40 4 of 8 2 of 4
Chris Gruetzemacher 28 of 43 65% 15 of 29 5 of 6 8 of 8 15 of 29 2 of 2 11 of 12
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chas Skelly 12 of 31 38% 12 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0 6 of 19 4 of 8 2 of 4
Chris Gruetzemacher 12 of 16 75% 5 of 9 2 of 2 5 of 5 8 of 11 2 of 2 2 of 3
2 Chas Skelly 9 of 21 42% 8 of 19 1 of 2 0 of 0 9 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chris Gruetzemacher 16 of 27 59% 10 of 20 3 of 4 3 of 3 7 of 18 0 of 0 9 of 9
WIN vs Maximo Blanco
Technical Submission (anaconda choke) R1 0:19 · UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · Sep 17, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chas Skelly 0 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:11
Maximo Blanco 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chas Skelly 0 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:11
Maximo Blanco 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chas Skelly 1 of 1 100% 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Maximo Blanco 0 of 1 0% 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chas Skelly 1 of 1 100% 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Maximo Blanco 0 of 1 0% 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
LOSS vs Darren Elkins
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–27, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC 196: McGregor vs. Diaz · Mar 05, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Darren Elkins 0 104 of 153 67% 193 of 255 7 of 11 63% 0 0 8:43
Chas Skelly 0 27 of 72 37% 32 of 83 0 of 1 0% 2 0 1:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Darren Elkins 0 36 of 59 61% 73 of 98 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:55
Chas Skelly 0 22 of 42 52% 22 of 44 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:33
2 Darren Elkins 0 40 of 49 81% 75 of 93 2 of 4 50% 0 0 4:21
Chas Skelly 0 3 of 8 37% 7 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Darren Elkins 0 28 of 45 62% 45 of 64 4 of 5 80% 0 0 2:27
Chas Skelly 0 2 of 22 9% 3 of 24 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:29
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Darren Elkins 104 of 153 67% 73 of 118 26 of 29 5 of 6 24 of 65 32 of 36 48 of 52
Chas Skelly 27 of 72 37% 23 of 65 4 of 7 0 of 0 20 of 62 5 of 8 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Darren Elkins 36 of 59 61% 22 of 43 13 of 14 1 of 2 11 of 32 23 of 24 2 of 3
Chas Skelly 22 of 42 52% 18 of 37 4 of 5 0 of 0 16 of 34 5 of 7 1 of 1
2 Darren Elkins 40 of 49 81% 27 of 36 10 of 10 3 of 3 3 of 7 4 of 6 33 of 36
Chas Skelly 3 of 8 37% 3 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 1 1 of 1
3 Darren Elkins 28 of 45 62% 24 of 39 3 of 5 1 of 1 10 of 26 5 of 6 13 of 13
Chas Skelly 2 of 22 9% 2 of 20 0 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 1:56 · UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Henderson 3 · Nov 07, 2015
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chas Skelly 1 19 of 35 54% 24 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:07
Edimilson Souza 0 7 of 18 38% 11 of 24 2 of 3 66% 2 0 2:45
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chas Skelly 1 6 of 16 37% 6 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:31
Edimilson Souza 0 7 of 12 58% 11 of 18 1 of 1 100% 1 0 2:10
2 Chas Skelly 0 13 of 19 68% 18 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:36
Edimilson Souza 0 0 of 6 0% 0 of 6 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:35
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chas Skelly 19 of 35 54% 17 of 33 2 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 14 0 of 0 13 of 21
Edimilson Souza 7 of 18 38% 7 of 15 0 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 11 1 of 1 6 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chas Skelly 6 of 16 37% 5 of 15 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 7 0 of 0 4 of 9
Edimilson Souza 7 of 12 58% 7 of 11 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 5 1 of 1 6 of 6
2 Chas Skelly 13 of 19 68% 12 of 18 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 7 0 of 0 9 of 12
Edimilson Souza 0 of 6 0% 0 of 4 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mark Striegl - Fight History
LOSS vs Chas Skelly
TKO (knee and punches) R2 2:01 · UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · Feb 19, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chas Skelly 1 14 of 30 46% 45 of 63 1 of 3 33% 0 0 3:43
Mark Striegl 0 8 of 17 47% 34 of 44 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:22
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chas Skelly 0 3 of 8 37% 34 of 41 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:51
Mark Striegl 0 4 of 7 57% 29 of 33 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:15
2 Chas Skelly 1 11 of 22 50% 11 of 22 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:52
Mark Striegl 0 4 of 10 40% 5 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chas Skelly 14 of 30 46% 12 of 27 2 of 3 0 of 0 7 of 19 3 of 3 4 of 8
Mark Striegl 8 of 17 47% 4 of 11 1 of 3 3 of 3 7 of 14 0 of 1 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chas Skelly 3 of 8 37% 2 of 6 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 5 1 of 1 1 of 2
Mark Striegl 4 of 7 57% 1 of 4 1 of 1 2 of 2 3 of 4 0 of 1 1 of 2
2 Chas Skelly 11 of 22 50% 10 of 21 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 14 2 of 2 3 of 6
Mark Striegl 4 of 10 40% 3 of 7 0 of 2 1 of 1 4 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Chas Skelly

Angelo loves Chas Skelly in this matchup, citing his technical striking, willingness to slug, and wide variety of takedowns with submission threats. He notes Striegl is a solid wrestler but never fully commits. He believes Skelly is well-prepared for a grappling match and will get it done.

"i love chad skelly in this matchup he's technically sound on his feet he's got a willingness to slug it out"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Feb 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Chas Skelly

Big Brady picks Chas Skelly but is very hesitant due to multiple red flags: Skelly is 36, retiring, and hasn't fought in over two years. He notes Skelly could submit Striegl if he's not washed, but the ring rust and retirement fight narrative scare him. He predicts Skelly wins by late round submission.

win by submission
"I'll go chas kelly by submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Feb 15, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Chas Skelly

Cody leans toward Skelly but with very low confidence due to Skelly's three-year layoff and age (36). He notes that Skelly's wins have come against low-level competition and that his wrestling may have declined. Cody is unsure what version of Skelly will show up and suggests waiting for live betting or weigh-ins to get a better read.

"i have no idea i have no idea i think you might be able to hit a pass but i want your take on it"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 17, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Chas Skelly

Levi picks Skelly to win by submission, citing his elite submission skills and experience. He notes that Striegl's record is padded and that Skelly, despite a dad bod, is too tough and experienced. Levi expects Skelly to take Striegl down and submit him, possibly after some early success from Striegl.

Skelly by submission
"give me chas kelly via submission"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 17, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Chas Skelly

Skelly has a cardio and scrambling advantage over Striegl, who fades in later rounds. The fight will be grapple-heavy with many reversals, and Skelly should dominate positionally. Striegl's cardio is atrocious when pushed, so Skelly by submission in round 3 is the play. The long layoff for both is a concern but Skelly's pace should be too much.

Skelly round 3 (+1000), Skelly inside distance, fight ends by submission (+130)
"skelly round three obviously sticks out to me a whole lot here that's currently sticking around that plus 1000 range"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Feb 15, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Chas Skelly

Paul also leans toward Skelly but is very hesitant. He notes that Skelly's three-year layoff and private Instagram are red flags. Paul thinks the fight is likely a grappling match where Skelly has an edge, but he is not confident enough to bet it at -220. He suggests waiting for live betting.

"i'll lean towards chas but there is next to no confidence in that pick because i don't know what he's been up to"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Chas Skelly

The MMA Guru picks Chas Skelly to win by first-round submission (d'arce or anaconda choke). He questions Mark Striegl's level of competition, noting he fought a 35-23 opponent after going 10-0. He believes Skelly's grappling and nasty d'arce choke will catch Striegl when he shoots a bad takedown, similar to his last fight.

first round submission (d'arce choke or anaconda choke)
"i'm gonna go of chas skelly here over mark streagle ... i think he's gonna utilize that here against mark streagle so i'm going to call a first round dash choke or anaconda choke submission"
KO (punches) R1 0:51 · UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · Oct 18, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Said Nurmagomedov 0 18 of 24 75% 18 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Mark Striegl 0 3 of 7 42% 3 of 7 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Said Nurmagomedov 0 18 of 24 75% 18 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Mark Striegl 0 3 of 7 42% 3 of 7 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Said Nurmagomedov 18 of 24 75% 17 of 22 0 of 0 1 of 2 3 of 7 4 of 4 11 of 13
Mark Striegl 3 of 7 42% 1 of 5 0 of 0 2 of 2 3 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Said Nurmagomedov 18 of 24 75% 17 of 22 0 of 0 1 of 2 3 of 7 4 of 4 11 of 13
Mark Striegl 3 of 7 42% 1 of 5 0 of 0 2 of 2 3 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 14, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Said Nurmagomedov

Big Brady picks Said Nurmagomedov because he is the better striker and has solid defensive grappling, never having been submitted. He believes Striegl's path to victory is a submission, but Nurmagomedov's takedown defense and ability to get back to his feet make him confident. He notes the line is wide but sees it as an okay parlay piece.

parlay piece
"i'm going to go with the better striker here i think it'll primarily play out on the feet maybe strickle gets a takedown um but i'm confident nirmagameto is able to you know fight off those submission attempts or even …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2020 (7 days before fight)
Said Nurmagomedov

The MMA Guru picks Said Nurmagomedov because he has faced much higher level competition than Mark Striegl, who has a questionable record with many losses. He notes that Nurmagomedov's close fight with Hani Barcelos shows his skill, and that Striegl is older and past his prime. He expects a unanimous decision win.

"i think i'm going to go with saying namadov just because i don't think mark striegel's fought the level of competition that sayed has throughout his career"
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Chas Skelly

Angelo loves Chas Skelly in this matchup, citing his technical striking, willingness to slug, and wide variety of takedowns with submission threats. He notes Striegl is a solid wrestler but never fully commits. He believes Skelly is well-prepared for a grappling match and will get it done.

"i love chad skelly in this matchup he's technically sound on his feet he's got a willingness to slug it out"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Feb 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Chas Skelly

Big Brady picks Chas Skelly but is very hesitant due to multiple red flags: Skelly is 36, retiring, and hasn't fought in over two years. He notes Skelly could submit Striegl if he's not washed, but the ring rust and retirement fight narrative scare him. He predicts Skelly wins by late round submission.

win by submission
"I'll go chas kelly by submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Feb 15, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Chas Skelly

Cody leans toward Skelly but with very low confidence due to Skelly's three-year layoff and age (36). He notes that Skelly's wins have come against low-level competition and that his wrestling may have declined. Cody is unsure what version of Skelly will show up and suggests waiting for live betting or weigh-ins to get a better read.

"i have no idea i have no idea i think you might be able to hit a pass but i want your take on it"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 17, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Chas Skelly

Levi picks Skelly to win by submission, citing his elite submission skills and experience. He notes that Striegl's record is padded and that Skelly, despite a dad bod, is too tough and experienced. Levi expects Skelly to take Striegl down and submit him, possibly after some early success from Striegl.

Skelly by submission
"give me chas kelly via submission"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 17, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Chas Skelly

Skelly has a cardio and scrambling advantage over Striegl, who fades in later rounds. The fight will be grapple-heavy with many reversals, and Skelly should dominate positionally. Striegl's cardio is atrocious when pushed, so Skelly by submission in round 3 is the play. The long layoff for both is a concern but Skelly's pace should be too much.

Skelly round 3 (+1000), Skelly inside distance, fight ends by submission (+130)
"skelly round three obviously sticks out to me a whole lot here that's currently sticking around that plus 1000 range"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Feb 15, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Chas Skelly

Paul also leans toward Skelly but is very hesitant. He notes that Skelly's three-year layoff and private Instagram are red flags. Paul thinks the fight is likely a grappling match where Skelly has an edge, but he is not confident enough to bet it at -220. He suggests waiting for live betting.

"i'll lean towards chas but there is next to no confidence in that pick because i don't know what he's been up to"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Chas Skelly

The MMA Guru picks Chas Skelly to win by first-round submission (d'arce or anaconda choke). He questions Mark Striegl's level of competition, noting he fought a 35-23 opponent after going 10-0. He believes Skelly's grappling and nasty d'arce choke will catch Striegl when he shoots a bad takedown, similar to his last fight.

first round submission (d'arce choke or anaconda choke)
"i'm gonna go of chas skelly here over mark streagle ... i think he's gonna utilize that here against mark streagle so i'm going to call a first round dash choke or anaconda choke submission"