Spike Carlyle vs Aalon Cruz

Aalon Cruz

0-2

UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · Feb 29, 2020 · Featherweight · Completed

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Age 33

Height 5' 8"

Reach 71.0"

Weight 145 lbs.

Stance Switch

UFC SD

Age 36

Height 6' 0"

Reach 78.0"

Weight 145 lbs.

Stance Switch

UFC SD

Career Averages - Spike Carlyle

2.55 SLpM

54.0% Str. Acc.

3.85 SApM

30.0% Str. Def.

3.34 TD Avg

36.0% TD Acc.

57.0% TD Def.

0.5 Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Aalon Cruz

7.58 SLpM

39.0% Str. Acc.

8.88 SApM

58.0% Str. Def.

0.0 TD Avg

0.0% TD Acc.

0.0% TD Def.

0.0 Sub. Avg

Spike Carlyle - Fight History

LOSS vs Bill Algeo

Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Smith vs. Clark · Nov 28, 2020

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Bill Algeo	0	23 of 53	43%	28 of 65	4 of 13	30%	1	1	4:18
Spike Carlyle	0	70 of 95	73%	118 of 150	1 of 3	33%	0	1	4:16

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
1	Bill Algeo	10 of 22	45%	13 of 28	2 of 4	50%	1	0	1:32
1	Spike Carlyle	26 of 35	74%	36 of 46	0 of 1	0%	0	1	0:27
2	Bill Algeo	5 of 10	50%	6 of 13	1 of 1	100%	0	1	1:04
2	Spike Carlyle	14 of 19	73%	44 of 53	1 of 1	100%	0	0	3:10
3	Bill Algeo	8 of 21	38%	9 of 24	1 of 8	12%	0	0	1:42
3	Spike Carlyle	30 of 41	73%	38 of 51	0 of 1	0%	0	0	0:39

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Bill Algeo	23 of 53	43%	14 of 37	3 of 8	6 of 8	19 of 45	1 of 3	3 of 5
Spike Carlyle	70 of 95	73%	44 of 63	18 of 23	8 of 9	42 of 64	14 of 15	14 of 16

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Bill Algeo	10 of 22	45%	4 of 13	1 of 3	5 of 6	10 of 22	0 of 0	0 of 0
1	Spike Carlyle	26 of 35	74%	12 of 20	7 of 8	7 of 7	19 of 28	0 of 0	7 of 7
2	Bill Algeo	5 of 10	50%	4 of 9	0 of 0	1 of 1	2 of 5	0 of 0	3 of 5
2	Spike Carlyle	14 of 19	73%	8 of 11	6 of 8	0 of 0	5 of 8	3 of 3	6 of 8
3	Bill Algeo	8 of 21	38%	6 of 15	2 of 5	0 of 1	7 of 18	1 of 3	0 of 0
3	Spike Carlyle	30 of 41	73%	24 of 32	5 of 7	1 of 2	18 of 28	11 of 12	1 of 1

LOSS vs Billy Quarantillo

Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Woodley vs. Burns · May 30, 2020

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Billy Quarantillo	0	49 of 66	74%	110 of 135	2 of 3	66%	2	1	4:44
Spike Carlyle	0	37 of 66	56%	64 of 102	3 of 6	50%	0	3	9:01

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
1	Billy Quarantillo	7 of 8	87%	32 of 36	0 of 1	0%	0	0	1:04
1	Spike Carlyle	19 of 40	47%	34 of 56	1 of 1	100%	0	1	3:52
2	Billy Quarantillo	13 of 21	61%	28 of 36	1 of 1	100%	1	0	1:13
2	Spike Carlyle	11 of 16	68%	21 of 32	1 of 3	33%	0	1	3:07
3	Billy Quarantillo	29 of 37	78%	50 of 63	1 of 1	100%	1	1	2:27
3	Spike Carlyle	7 of 10	70%	9 of 14	1 of 2	50%	0	1	2:02

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Billy Quarantillo	49 of 66	74%	42 of 59	6 of 6	1 of 1	12 of 22	5 of 5	32 of 39
Spike Carlyle	37 of 66	56%	34 of 63	2 of 2	1 of 1	12 of 16	4 of 4	21 of 46

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Billy Quarantillo	7 of 8	87%	7 of 8	0 of 0	0 of 0	1 of 1	0 of 0	6 of 7
1	Spike Carlyle	19 of 40	47%	18 of 39	1 of 1	0 of 0	1 of 1	3 of 3	15 of 36
2	Billy Quarantillo	13 of 21	61%	9 of 17	3 of 3	1 of 1	2 of 7	3 of 3	8 of 11
2	Spike Carlyle	11 of 16	68%	10 of 15	0 of 0	1 of 1	6 of 7	0 of 0	5 of 9
3	Billy Quarantillo	29 of 37	78%	26 of 34	3 of 3	0 of 0	9 of 14	2 of 2	18 of 21
3	Spike Carlyle	7 of 10	70%	6 of 9	1 of 1	0 of 0	5 of 8	1 of 1	1 of 1

Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 27, 2020 (3 days before fight)

Billy Quarantillo

Big Brady picks Billy Quarantillo to win by stoppage in the second round. He believes Quarantillo has a huge cardio advantage and that Carlyle will gas out if he doesn't get an early finish. He thinks Quarantillo is the more skilled fighter and will weather Carlyle's early storm, then take over in the second or third round. He notes that Carlyle is dangerous in the first round but his cardio is a major concern.

Quarantillo wins by stoppage in round 2

"I'm going to pick them to win actually by a stoppage in the second round"

DFS by the Numbers

Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked May 29, 2020 (1 day before fight)

Billy Quarantillo

Daniel slightly leans with Billy Q, citing his regional experience, durability, and ability to weather early storms and take over in later rounds. He acknowledges Spike's first-round KO power and improved conditioning but wants to see more from him. Daniel thinks Billy Q can survive early adversity and potentially finish Spike in the second or third round.

"i'm gonna say he weathers some very sketchy situations where he might even get dropped in that first round and if he's still hanging on if he's still conscious i think he can take over the second and third"

Half the Battle

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 23, 2020 (7 days before fight)

Spike Carlyle

The MMA Guru picks Spike Carlyle to win by first-round KO. He acknowledges Billy Quarantillo's impressive last performance but worries about his chin, as he has been knocked out in the first round before. He believes Carlyle's first-round mayhem and aggression will be the difference, and he correctly predicted Carlyle's debut win by first-round KO.

Carlyle by KO in round 1

"I'm gonna go with him getting the upset over Billy Quarren Cilla I really am I feel really bad about doing it by he's actually gonna go out there and chin Billy core until Oh in the first round"

THE MMA GURU

WIN vs Aalon Cruz

TKO (punches) R1 1:25 · UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · Feb 29, 2020

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Spike Carlyle	0	2 of 12	16%	2 of 12	0 of 1	0%	0	0	0:05
Aalon Cruz	0	20 of 29	68%	29 of 38	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:07

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
1	Spike Carlyle	0	2 of 12	16%	2 of 12	0 of 1	0%	0	0	0:05
1	Aalon Cruz	0	20 of 29	68%	29 of 38	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:07

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Spike Carlyle	2 of 12	16%	2 of 4	0 of 4	0 of 4	2 of 12	0 of 0	0 of 0
Aalon Cruz	20 of 29	68%	19 of 27	0 of 1	1 of 1	2 of 6	4 of 5	14 of 18

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Spike Carlyle	2 of 12	16%	2 of 4	0 of 4	0 of 4	2 of 12	0 of 0	0 of 0
1	Aalon Cruz	20 of 29	68%	19 of 27	0 of 1	1 of 1	2 of 6	4 of 5	14 of 18

Aalon Cruz - Fight History

LOSS vs Uroš Medić

TKO (punches) R1 1:40 · UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · Mar 06, 2021

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Uroš Medić	1	45 of 63	71%	55 of 74	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:56
Aalon Cruz	0	0 of 3	0%	0 of 3	0 of 2	0%	0	0	0:11

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
1	Uroš Medić	1	45 of 63	71%	55 of 74	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:56
1	Aalon Cruz	0	0 of 3	0%	0 of 3	0 of 2	0%	0	0	0:11

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Uroš Medić	45 of 63	71%	43 of 61	1 of 1	1 of 1	7 of 8	3 of 3	35 of 52
Aalon Cruz	0 of 3	0%	0 of 2	0 of 1	0 of 0	0 of 3	0 of 0	0 of 0

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Uroš Medić	45 of 63	71%	43 of 61	1 of 1	1 of 1	7 of 8	3 of 3	35 of 52
1	Aalon Cruz	0 of 3	0%	0 of 2	0 of 1	0 of 0	0 of 3	0 of 0	0 of 0

Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Mar 3, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Uroš Medić

Big Brady picks Uroš Medić but expresses hesitation due to Medić's unproven competition and never having been to a third round. He notes Medić has a 100% finish rate and trains at King's MMA, but Cruz has a 7-inch reach advantage. He predicts a first-round knockout, but admits he doesn't feel great about the pick.

"i'm gonna take medic to win and i'm gonna say he wins my first round knockout"

DFS by the Numbers

Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 5, 2021 (1 day before fight)

Uroš Medić

Daniel picks Uroš Medić by knockout, highlighting Medić's devastating kicks and training at King's MMA. He notes that despite a reach disadvantage, Medić's kickboxing will be effective, and he questions Aalon Cruz's toughness after his UFC debut loss.

knockout

"i actually think he knocks out a lone cruise"

Half the Battle

MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Mar 4, 2021 (2 days before fight)

Aalon Cruz

Cruz has better competition and a significant reach advantage (78 inches at lightweight). He uses his length well with kicks and volume. The host notes Cruz's durability is a question after a KO loss, but believes that was an anomaly. Medić is raw with only 6 fights and porous takedown defense.

"i lean cruz here and i'm going to take him to win this fight via decision"

MMA Lock of the Night

The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2021 (8 days before fight)

Uroš Medić

The MMA Guru picks Uroš Medić to win by TKO in the first round. He praises Medić's vicious body kicks and kickboxing background, and notes that Cruz has been losing early in fights. He believes Medić's size and leg kicks will overwhelm Cruz, and that Cruz's grappling is not enough to counter Medić's dangerous ground game off his back.

"i am going to go voross medicine getting it done however cruz is a dangerous fighter here i'm not overlooking him"

THE MMA GURU

LOSS vs Spike Carlyle

TKO (punches) R1 1:25 · UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · Feb 29, 2020

Totals

Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
Spike Carlyle	0	2 of 12	16%	2 of 12	0 of 1	0%	0	0	0:05
Aalon Cruz	0	20 of 29	68%	29 of 38	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:07

Per Round

Rd	Fighter	KD	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Total Str.	TD	TD %	Sub. Att	Rev.	Ctrl
1	Spike Carlyle	0	2 of 12	16%	2 of 12	0 of 1	0%	0	0	0:05
1	Aalon Cruz	0	20 of 29	68%	29 of 38	0 of 0	---	0	0	0:07

Significant Strikes

Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
Spike Carlyle	2 of 12	16%	2 of 4	0 of 4	0 of 4	2 of 12	0 of 0	0 of 0
Aalon Cruz	20 of 29	68%	19 of 27	0 of 1	1 of 1	2 of 6	4 of 5	14 of 18

Significant Strikes Per Round

Rd	Fighter	Sig. Str.	Sig. Str. %	Head	Body	Leg	Distance	Clinch	Ground
1	Spike Carlyle	2 of 12	16%	2 of 4	0 of 4	0 of 4	2 of 12	0 of 0	0 of 0
1	Aalon Cruz	20 of 29	68%	19 of 27	0 of 1	1 of 1	2 of 6	4 of 5	14 of 18