Career Averages - Jordan Griffin
Career Averages - T.J. Brown
Jordan Griffin - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Saldaña | 0 | 36 of 88 | 40% | 40 of 94 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 2:18 |
| Jordan Griffin | 0 | 33 of 69 | 47% | 39 of 77 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 2 | 1 | 6:18 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luis Saldaña | 0 | 19 of 48 | 39% | 19 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jordan Griffin | 0 | 18 of 42 | 42% | 20 of 45 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:13 | |
| 2 | Luis Saldaña | 0 | 9 of 15 | 60% | 10 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 0:30 |
| Jordan Griffin | 0 | 4 of 10 | 40% | 4 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:17 | |
| 3 | Luis Saldaña | 0 | 8 of 25 | 32% | 11 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:48 |
| Jordan Griffin | 0 | 11 of 17 | 64% | 15 of 21 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0:48 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Saldaña | 36 of 88 | 40% | 19 of 67 | 8 of 10 | 9 of 11 | 30 of 79 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Jordan Griffin | 33 of 69 | 47% | 22 of 55 | 9 of 11 | 2 of 3 | 27 of 60 | 4 of 6 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luis Saldaña | 19 of 48 | 39% | 10 of 37 | 3 of 4 | 6 of 7 | 17 of 45 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Jordan Griffin | 18 of 42 | 42% | 14 of 36 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 16 of 39 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Luis Saldaña | 9 of 15 | 60% | 4 of 9 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 12 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Jordan Griffin | 4 of 10 | 40% | 2 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Luis Saldaña | 8 of 25 | 32% | 5 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 7 of 22 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Jordan Griffin | 11 of 17 | 64% | 6 of 12 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 |
Big Brady picks Griffin to win by decision, leaning on the underdog. He notes that Saldaña has limited available tape and has faced poor competition, while Griffin has more UFC experience and a solid grappling game. Brady expects Griffin to use takedowns and grind out a close decision, though he is not overly confident. He thinks the line should be closer to a pick'em.
Cody leans Griffin as a dog, citing his experience and grappling advantage. He notes Saldaña's wins are over lower competition and that Griffin has fought tougher opponents. He thinks Griffin can win if he gets takedowns.
Daniel Levi picks Luis Saldaña, citing the 'Fight Ready' gym effect and Saldaña's improved kickboxing. He notes that Jordan Griffin makes questionable mistakes and has poor wrestling defense. Levi thinks Saldaña will separate himself in the later rounds with his kickboxing and win a close decision. He acknowledges that Griffin could be a live dog but goes with Saldaña.
The host thinks Griffin's best path is to make it a grinding, dirty fight by clinching and taking Saldaña down. He notes that Saldaña looked great on the Contender Series but that Griffin has more UFC experience and a better chance of getting the fight to the ground. He picks Griffin to win by decision, though he acknowledges that Saldaña is a flashy striker who could land a head kick.
Paul leans Griffin, noting his grappling advantage and Saldaña's lack of notable wins. He thinks Griffin's experience and ability to take rounds could be key. He calls it a dogger pass.
The MMA Guru picks Luis Saldaña but expresses doubt. He notes Saldaña has been submitted before but has improved his takedown defense with Henry Cejudo's help. He thinks Saldaña's front kicks to the body will be effective against Griffin, who is a great grappler. He predicts Saldaña will lose the first round but win the next two for a 29-28 decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Youssef Zalal | 0 | 28 of 69 | 40% | 33 of 74 | 2 of 8 | 25% | 0 | 1 | 5:34 |
| Jordan Griffin | 0 | 59 of 112 | 52% | 70 of 123 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 4:23 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Youssef Zalal | 0 | 3 of 19 | 15% | 3 of 19 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:54 |
| Jordan Griffin | 0 | 11 of 29 | 37% | 12 of 30 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:13 | |
| 2 | Youssef Zalal | 0 | 8 of 24 | 33% | 12 of 28 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 1:55 |
| Jordan Griffin | 0 | 13 of 31 | 41% | 22 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:39 | |
| 3 | Youssef Zalal | 0 | 17 of 26 | 65% | 18 of 27 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 1:45 |
| Jordan Griffin | 0 | 35 of 52 | 67% | 36 of 53 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:31 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Youssef Zalal | 28 of 69 | 40% | 26 of 67 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 28 of 67 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 |
| Jordan Griffin | 59 of 112 | 52% | 42 of 85 | 11 of 18 | 6 of 9 | 47 of 98 | 12 of 12 | 0 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Youssef Zalal | 3 of 19 | 15% | 3 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jordan Griffin | 11 of 29 | 37% | 7 of 18 | 0 of 4 | 4 of 7 | 11 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Youssef Zalal | 8 of 24 | 33% | 7 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 |
| Jordan Griffin | 13 of 31 | 41% | 7 of 23 | 5 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 26 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 1 | |
| 3 | Youssef Zalal | 17 of 26 | 65% | 16 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jordan Griffin | 35 of 52 | 67% | 28 of 44 | 6 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 27 of 43 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 1 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
For this final card on a five-event stop at the UFC Apex, we will be on ESPN and ESPN+ all the way through. We kick things off in the featherweight division, when Roufusport’s Griffin (18-7, 1-2 UFC) takes on Factory X representative Zalal (8-2, 1-0 UFC) in a clash of high-level teams. Referee Herb Dean will oversee the action in this card-opening contest, and with a touch of gloves, away we go! Zalal takes the center of the cage, but it is Griffin that comes out swinging with a looping right hand. Zalal dances away, and Griffin chases him down with a string of reaching punches. Zalal lands a low kick to the calf, and then another as Griffin charges in. Griffin ducks down with his hands low, and is content to swarm Zalal. “The Moroccan Devil” evades most of the strikes, and calmly works the other leg with a slapping kick. Griffin rushes forward to swing wildly, and Zalal blocks the strikes, so Griffin changes levels to shoot in for a double. Zalal is able to keep his balance, but Griffin grabs hold of his back to try to muscle him down. Zalal fights off one wrist with both his hands to try to break the grip, and slowly and methodically turns his way out and gains separation. Griffin puts together a combination with a head kick to punctuate it, and when he closes in, Zalal grabs him to turn him against the fence. With Griffin’s back to the cage, Zalal leaps up with a flying knee that partially connects, and he is attempting to set up a body lock to possibly take the fight down. Zalal nearly hits a trip to wrench Griffin down, but “The Native Psycho” stays upright and turns him about. Griffin lifts him in the air, slams him down, and takes Zalal’s back with seconds to go in the round. Griffin looks to fish for a choke attempt, but with only one arm in, there is nothing there. The horn sounds to end the round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Griffin
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Griffin
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Griffin
Round 2
They touch gloves again to begin the second frame, and Zalal presses forward and fires off a head kick. Using the kick as a way to close distance, Zalal pursues a flying knee that Griffin blocks. Griffin wings a high kick that is a little too high, and he falls to his back, but Zalal is too far away to capitalize on it. In an attempt to catch Griffin standing, he leaps forward with another flying knee, but nothing doing. Zalal nails Griffin to the body with a reaching right hand, and we can hear an audible exhale as Griffin is hurt. Zalal chases him down, and the two scramble around on the ground while Zalal tries to land ground-and-pound. Griffin continues to keep moving, and circles around to take Zalal’s back. He hops on like a backpack, but he does not the energy to stay on or get a choke, so Zalal pushes him off. Zalal breaks, and targets the body with a long right hand. Griffin appears to be heavily fatigued, so while he catches his breath, Zalal tags him up top with a stiff jab and a significant one-two. Zalal tries to hit another flying knee, but Griffin collides with him in midair and forces Zalal to his back. Having avoided upkicks, Griffin hops on top to try to rain down punches, but Zalal is crafty and spins out to stand back up. Griffin holds on tight to try to get him back down, and Zalal is out of submission danger while trying to get back up. When he stands, Zalal is immediately pursuing his own single leg takedown, and with it he has Griffin pressed against the wall. Griffin defends against it, so Zalal knees him in the gut for good measure. The two continue to jockey for position to the end of the round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Zalal
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Zalal
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Zalal
Round 3
Griffin kicks off the final round aggressively, with long punches as he tries to bull rush his opponent. Zalal takes everything he has, and gives it right back to him. Griffin drops his hands as if to say his opponent’s strikes don’t hurt, so Zalal obliges him by teeing off on him until Griffin realizes he should probably stop allowing these free shots. Zalal pushes a little too aggressively, and Griffin manages to stave off a takedown to try to take Zalal’s back. As they both scramble at the same time, Zalal turns to allow Griffin on top, but only for a moment. “The Moroccan Devil” spins with a fury, and forces his way up before marking up Griffin with crisp punches. Griffin allows them to happen, trying to throw back with labored punches and a head kick that gets blocked. Griffin changes levels while Zalal is trying to hit him with a flying knee, and pursues a double leg takedown but Zalal stuffs it and separates. A string of jabs from Zalal is followed by a knee that lands right on the solar plexus, and Griffin visibly reacts, shooting low for a desperation takedown. Zalal stands him up, and after they go back and forth against the fence, Zalal drops down for a single. He transitions to a double while Griffin is fighting him off, but again “The Native Psycho” stays upright. When they break, Zalal knees him on the jaw, and rushes after him to land another and then a stern elbow. Griffin practically laughs them off, but Zalal presses him heavily against the cage. This featherweight match ends in the clinch, and Griffin raises his hands in the air to signal to the judges that he thinks he has done enough.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Zalal (29-28 Zalal)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Zalal (29-28 Zalal)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Zalal (29-28 Zalal)
The Official Result
Youssef Zalal def. Jordan Griffin via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Big Brady picks Youssef Zalal by decision, citing his good BJJ, top control, and smart fight IQ. He thinks Zalal can keep the fight on the feet or control on top, and that Griffin is dangerous but often loses until he gets a submission. He is confident Zalal can avoid submissions and win a comfortable decision. He notes that if Zalal goes to underdog, he'd bet him.
Daniel Levi picks Jordan Griffin, citing his experience and ability to capitalize on Zalal's defensive flaws. He notes that Zalal fights with his hands down and Griffin's pressure could exploit that. Levi acknowledges Zalal's footwork and well-rounded skills but thinks Griffin's veteran savvy and submission threat will be key. He expects a close decision, possibly a back-and-forth fight, but leans Griffin due to his experience edge.
The MMA Guru picks Jordan Griffin, praising his grappling and submission skills. He notes Griffin's win over TJ Brown and believes he will not stand with Zalal, instead working takedowns and securing a submission in the second round. He questions Zalal's competition level.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Griffin | 0 | 15 of 23 | 65% | 20 of 28 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 3 | 0 | 0:05 |
| T.J. Brown | 0 | 32 of 47 | 68% | 91 of 119 | 7 of 7 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 7:31 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jordan Griffin | 0 | 5 of 8 | 62% | 7 of 10 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 2 | 0 | 0:05 |
| T.J. Brown | 0 | 18 of 24 | 75% | 56 of 70 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:30 | |
| 2 | Jordan Griffin | 0 | 10 of 15 | 66% | 13 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| T.J. Brown | 0 | 14 of 23 | 60% | 35 of 49 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Griffin | 15 of 23 | 65% | 13 of 21 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 |
| T.J. Brown | 32 of 47 | 68% | 26 of 39 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 9 of 22 | 10 of 10 | 13 of 15 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jordan Griffin | 5 of 8 | 62% | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| T.J. Brown | 18 of 24 | 75% | 13 of 18 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 6 | 7 of 7 | 9 of 11 | |
| 2 | Jordan Griffin | 10 of 15 | 66% | 8 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 |
| T.J. Brown | 14 of 23 | 60% | 13 of 21 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 16 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 4 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chas Skelly | 0 | 21 of 59 | 35% | 80 of 125 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 3 | 1 | 8:35 |
| Jordan Griffin | 0 | 37 of 87 | 42% | 66 of 122 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 2 | 2:57 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chas Skelly | 0 | 7 of 19 | 36% | 24 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 2:49 |
| Jordan Griffin | 0 | 10 of 27 | 37% | 10 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:55 | |
| 2 | Chas Skelly | 0 | 8 of 24 | 33% | 24 of 41 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 2:06 |
| Jordan Griffin | 0 | 19 of 37 | 51% | 28 of 47 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:43 | |
| 3 | Chas Skelly | 0 | 6 of 16 | 37% | 32 of 47 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 3:40 |
| Jordan Griffin | 0 | 8 of 23 | 34% | 28 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 1 | 0:19 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chas Skelly | 21 of 59 | 35% | 20 of 52 | 1 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 20 of 58 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Jordan Griffin | 37 of 87 | 42% | 36 of 84 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 32 of 81 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chas Skelly | 7 of 19 | 36% | 7 of 18 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jordan Griffin | 10 of 27 | 37% | 9 of 25 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Chas Skelly | 8 of 24 | 33% | 8 of 21 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Jordan Griffin | 19 of 37 | 51% | 19 of 36 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 | |
| 3 | Chas Skelly | 6 of 16 | 37% | 5 of 13 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jordan Griffin | 8 of 23 | 34% | 8 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Ige | 0 | 56 of 107 | 52% | 86 of 144 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 0 | 1 | 6:55 |
| Jordan Griffin | 0 | 56 of 107 | 52% | 71 of 123 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 3:59 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dan Ige | 0 | 28 of 48 | 58% | 35 of 58 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 3:24 |
| Jordan Griffin | 0 | 11 of 23 | 47% | 14 of 26 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 2 | Dan Ige | 0 | 14 of 26 | 53% | 25 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:41 |
| Jordan Griffin | 0 | 24 of 42 | 57% | 34 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 3:21 | |
| 3 | Dan Ige | 0 | 14 of 33 | 42% | 26 of 49 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 2:50 |
| Jordan Griffin | 0 | 21 of 42 | 50% | 23 of 45 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:34 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Ige | 56 of 107 | 52% | 46 of 95 | 7 of 8 | 3 of 4 | 20 of 53 | 4 of 4 | 32 of 50 |
| Jordan Griffin | 56 of 107 | 52% | 49 of 100 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 31 of 65 | 4 of 4 | 21 of 38 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dan Ige | 28 of 48 | 58% | 25 of 45 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 23 of 31 |
| Jordan Griffin | 11 of 23 | 47% | 10 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Dan Ige | 14 of 26 | 53% | 12 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 14 |
| Jordan Griffin | 24 of 42 | 57% | 23 of 41 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 31 | |
| 3 | Dan Ige | 14 of 33 | 42% | 9 of 27 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 24 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 5 |
| Jordan Griffin | 21 of 42 | 50% | 16 of 37 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 31 | 4 of 4 | 4 of 7 |
T.J. Brown - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darren Elkins | 0 | 11 of 33 | 33% | 95 of 146 | 5 of 8 | 62% | 2 | 1 | 8:09 |
| T.J. Brown | 0 | 15 of 50 | 30% | 45 of 86 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 1:29 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Darren Elkins | 0 | 2 of 11 | 18% | 53 of 80 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:32 |
| T.J. Brown | 0 | 4 of 13 | 30% | 11 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:37 | |
| 2 | Darren Elkins | 0 | 7 of 16 | 43% | 28 of 43 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 1 | 2:49 |
| T.J. Brown | 0 | 9 of 29 | 31% | 32 of 53 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 0:44 | |
| 3 | Darren Elkins | 0 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 14 of 23 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 1:48 |
| T.J. Brown | 0 | 2 of 8 | 25% | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darren Elkins | 11 of 33 | 33% | 8 of 29 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 11 of 32 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| T.J. Brown | 15 of 50 | 30% | 11 of 45 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 15 of 49 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Darren Elkins | 2 of 11 | 18% | 2 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| T.J. Brown | 4 of 13 | 30% | 2 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Darren Elkins | 7 of 16 | 43% | 4 of 13 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| T.J. Brown | 9 of 29 | 31% | 7 of 26 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | |
| 3 | Darren Elkins | 2 of 6 | 33% | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| T.J. Brown | 2 of 8 | 25% | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo leans T.J. Brown despite his suspect takedown defense and chin, because he believes Brown's pressure and grappling will be enough to outwork the aging Elkins. He notes Brown has never been knocked out and expects him to win, but he wants to wait for the line to tighten before betting.
Big Brady picks Darren Elkins for the upset by third-round finish. He notes T.J. Brown has poor fight IQ and takedown defense, and often makes mistakes. He worries about Elkins' age and recent injuries but expects Brown to gas out or make a mistake, allowing Elkins to take over late.
Cody picks Elkins, arguing that Brown has a history of losing when favored and that Elkins finds ways to win. He notes that Brown fades in later rounds and has poor takedown defense, while Elkins has a grinding style and excellent cardio. Cody believes Elkins can take Brown down and wear him out, especially after the first round.
The host picks T.J. Brown to win inside the distance, expecting him to bite down on his mouthpiece and land big shots early. He notes Brown's speed and power advantage over the aging Elkins, and suggests avoiding the moneyline in favor of the plus money prop. He predicts a first-round stoppage.
Paul picks Elkins, citing his toughness and ability to grind out wins. He notes that Brown has a fast start but fades, and that Elkins has fought much tougher competition. Paul believes Elkins' wrestling and cardio will be too much for Brown, and that Elkins can survive the early storm and take over.
The MMA Guru picks T.J. Brown over Darren Elkins. He praises Brown's performance against Bill Algeo despite the loss, and notes Brown trains with Bryce Mitchell in grappling, so he won't be outwrestled. He criticizes Elkins as a geriatric old man at 39 who has taken too much damage, citing his loss to Jonathan Pearce. He believes Brown is in his prime and can go three hard rounds, winning by decision or big shots.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bill Algeo | 1 | 64 of 110 | 58% | 77 of 123 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:42 |
| T.J. Brown | 0 | 46 of 91 | 50% | 49 of 94 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 0:39 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bill Algeo | 0 | 45 of 85 | 52% | 48 of 88 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:03 |
| T.J. Brown | 0 | 39 of 77 | 50% | 42 of 80 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:19 | |
| 2 | Bill Algeo | 1 | 19 of 25 | 76% | 29 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:39 |
| T.J. Brown | 0 | 7 of 14 | 50% | 7 of 14 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bill Algeo | 64 of 110 | 58% | 44 of 81 | 6 of 13 | 14 of 16 | 48 of 94 | 5 of 5 | 11 of 11 |
| T.J. Brown | 46 of 91 | 50% | 34 of 78 | 8 of 9 | 4 of 4 | 33 of 76 | 13 of 15 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bill Algeo | 45 of 85 | 52% | 26 of 59 | 6 of 12 | 13 of 14 | 43 of 83 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| T.J. Brown | 39 of 77 | 50% | 28 of 65 | 8 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 27 of 64 | 12 of 13 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Bill Algeo | 19 of 25 | 76% | 18 of 22 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 11 |
| T.J. Brown | 7 of 14 | 50% | 6 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 12 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks T.J. Brown as an underdog, citing his high pace, solid striking, and good grappling with almost 4 takedowns per fight. He notes Algeo's takedown defense is poor (38%) and that Algeo doesn't use his wrestling offensively. He expects Brown to get takedowns, set the pace, and win a decision. He has a quarter-unit bet on Brown at +140.
Big Brady picks Bill Algeo to win by submission in the second or third round. He notes Algeo's poor takedown defense but excellent get-up game and scrambling. He expects Brown to have early success with takedowns but tire, allowing Algeo to take over and potentially submit him, as Brown has been submitted before.
Cody notes Algeo's takedown defense is poor (55%) but his cardio and BJJ are excellent. He expects Brown to get early takedowns but fade, allowing Algeo to take over with volume. He sees Algeo winning by decision or late stoppage.
Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Algeo's strong start doesn't walk him into danger and that Algeo's pressure and range control will allow him to rack up damage early. He also mentions Algeo's height advantage and active kicking game.
Algeo's unorthodox striking and scrambling ability will be too much for Brown. Brown's path to victory is grappling, but Algeo is hard to hold down and creates scrambles. Algeo's cardio and striking volume should win rounds. Expect a decision, as both are durable and finishes are unlikely.
Paul agrees with Cody, emphasizing Algeo's cardio and Jiu-Jitsu. He thinks Brown's wrestling will be effective early but he'll tire, and Algeo will take over in later rounds.
The MMA Guru picks Bill Algeo, citing his unorthodox striking, length, and takedown defense (55%). He believes Algeo will keep the fight standing and outpoint Brown, who relies on wrestling. He notes Brown's recent win over Eric Silva but thinks Algeo's tricky style and output will edge a close fight.
Zane picks Algeo because he starts strong and puts too much information into TJ Brown's computer for him to adjust in time. He notes Algeo's hyper-aggressive style, good kicking game, and height advantage, and believes Brown's slow starts will cost him.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Brown | 0 | 24 of 38 | 63% | 82 of 109 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 1 | 2 | 9:43 |
| Erik Silva | 0 | 21 of 29 | 72% | 32 of 42 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 1 | 2:35 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T.J. Brown | 0 | 10 of 14 | 71% | 21 of 29 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 1 | 3:01 |
| Erik Silva | 0 | 9 of 11 | 81% | 14 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 1:35 | |
| 2 | T.J. Brown | 0 | 7 of 14 | 50% | 36 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 3:14 |
| Erik Silva | 0 | 10 of 15 | 66% | 14 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:00 | |
| 3 | T.J. Brown | 0 | 7 of 10 | 70% | 25 of 31 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:28 |
| Erik Silva | 0 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 4 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Brown | 24 of 38 | 63% | 20 of 33 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 25 | 6 of 7 | 5 of 6 |
| Erik Silva | 21 of 29 | 72% | 12 of 19 | 6 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 13 of 20 | 7 of 7 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T.J. Brown | 10 of 14 | 71% | 8 of 11 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 8 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Erik Silva | 9 of 11 | 81% | 5 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 5 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | T.J. Brown | 7 of 14 | 50% | 6 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Erik Silva | 10 of 15 | 66% | 6 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | |
| 3 | T.J. Brown | 7 of 10 | 70% | 6 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 6 |
| Erik Silva | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Erik Silva because he believes Silva's grappling pressure and control will be too much for T.J. Brown. He notes that Brown has poor takedown defense (41%) and makes poor decisions in fights, creating scrambles he can't win. Silva is an aggressive grappler who marches forward and looks to get the fight to the ground, where he controls opponents. Angelo expects Silva to bully Brown and win via control.
Big Brady picks Erik Silva, citing Silva's impressive grappling and ground-and-pound, while criticizing T.J. Brown's poor fight IQ and lackluster performances. He notes Silva has faced weaker competition but Brown has been knocked out and submitted multiple times. He expects Silva to catch Brown in a submission in the second round, but admits he is not very confident.
Cody leans Silva, citing his explosiveness and power. He notes Brown's cardio and durability issues, and that Brown may tire himself out with takedowns. He thinks Silva can exploit Brown's low hands and lack of head movement. He suggests under 1.5 rounds as a prop.
Daniel Levi picks Erik Silva, despite Silva's untested competition. He criticizes T.J. Brown for being prone to getting dropped and submitted, calling him 'not the brightest.' Levi likes Silva's size, ground-and-pound, elbows, and kicks. He notes Silva has been past the first round before. While he wishes he knew more about Silva, he trusts him over Brown, who he says will likely get dropped and choked out.
Lock favors T.J. Brown because he is more proven and represents a step up in competition for Erik Silva. He notes that Silva has only finishes on his regional record but may falter against decent competition, showing cardio issues or being unable to handle being the nail instead of the hammer. Lock does not have a bet on it himself, as he doesn't see Brown as super reliable, but from a narrative and PredictionStrike perspective, he thinks Brown has the edge.
Paul leans Silva, noting Brown's inconsistency and the turmoil at Glory MMA. He thinks Silva's power and explosiveness could be the difference, but acknowledges it's a coin flip. He is not confident and considers it a pass for now.
The MMA Guru picks Erik Silva over T.J. Brown, arguing that Silva is a step above bottom-level UFC featherweights and has shown good potential. He criticizes Brown for only beating very low-level opponents and barely scraping by, while Silva is more experienced and has a good record. He predicts a decision win for Silva.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shayilan Nuerdanbieke | 1 | 47 of 79 | 59% | 86 of 121 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 0 | 2 | 7:32 |
| T.J. Brown | 0 | 42 of 99 | 42% | 58 of 125 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 4 | 2 | 2:54 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shayilan Nuerdanbieke | 1 | 22 of 42 | 52% | 30 of 50 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:17 |
| T.J. Brown | 0 | 24 of 49 | 48% | 29 of 55 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 3 | 0 | 0:05 | |
| 2 | Shayilan Nuerdanbieke | 0 | 5 of 8 | 62% | 17 of 20 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 1 | 2:47 |
| T.J. Brown | 0 | 2 of 9 | 22% | 7 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:39 | |
| 3 | Shayilan Nuerdanbieke | 0 | 20 of 29 | 68% | 39 of 51 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 2:28 |
| T.J. Brown | 0 | 16 of 41 | 39% | 22 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 2 | 1:10 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shayilan Nuerdanbieke | 47 of 79 | 59% | 41 of 73 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 5 | 32 of 61 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 16 |
| T.J. Brown | 42 of 99 | 42% | 30 of 86 | 9 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 36 of 92 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shayilan Nuerdanbieke | 22 of 42 | 52% | 18 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 | 17 of 37 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 |
| T.J. Brown | 24 of 49 | 48% | 15 of 39 | 6 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 20 of 45 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Shayilan Nuerdanbieke | 5 of 8 | 62% | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 6 |
| T.J. Brown | 2 of 9 | 22% | 2 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Shayilan Nuerdanbieke | 20 of 29 | 68% | 19 of 28 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 7 |
| T.J. Brown | 16 of 41 | 39% | 13 of 38 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 |
Angelo picks T.J. Brown, believing he can win either the grappling or kickboxing exchanges. He notes both fighters have poor takedown defense, so the fight may come down to who shoots first. He worries about Brown's defensive wrestling but expects Brown to initiate and get takedowns, leading to a win.
Big Brady picks T.J. Brown to win by first-round submission. He believes Brown's grappling is superior and that Nuerdanbieke is one-dimensional (wrestling only) with poor takedown defense (33%) and has been submitted six times. He notes Brown's submission skills (arm triangle) and that he nearly submitted Charles Rosa. He warns that Brown's fight IQ and cardio are questionable, but expects an early submission. He calls it a bad matchup for Nuerdanbieke.
Cody thinks Brown is the better wrestler and grappler, and has a striking advantage. He notes Nuerdanbieke's poor striking and inability to finish takedowns. He expects Brown to win by decision.
Paul agrees, pointing out Nuerdanbieke's low output and poor takedown stats. He thinks Brown's pressure and striking will look better to the judges.
The host picks T.J. Brown, citing his training with Bryce Mitchell as beneficial for grappling. He believes Brown will stuff takedowns as Shayilan slows down, and win the second and third rounds via decision. He notes Shayilan's wins are not impressive and he lost clearly to Joshua Culibao.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Brown | 0 | 58 of 99 | 58% | 88 of 141 | 6 of 8 | 75% | 3 | 2 | 7:39 |
| Charles Rosa | 0 | 46 of 107 | 42% | 71 of 132 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 2:42 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T.J. Brown | 0 | 35 of 67 | 52% | 38 of 70 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 1 | 0 | 1:36 |
| Charles Rosa | 0 | 34 of 73 | 46% | 39 of 78 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 | |
| 2 | T.J. Brown | 0 | 16 of 23 | 69% | 29 of 43 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 2 | 3:34 |
| Charles Rosa | 0 | 9 of 24 | 37% | 24 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 0:26 | |
| 3 | T.J. Brown | 0 | 7 of 9 | 77% | 21 of 28 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:29 |
| Charles Rosa | 0 | 3 of 10 | 30% | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:09 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Brown | 58 of 99 | 58% | 46 of 85 | 10 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 49 of 87 | 2 of 5 | 7 of 7 |
| Charles Rosa | 46 of 107 | 42% | 21 of 76 | 5 of 10 | 20 of 21 | 42 of 99 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T.J. Brown | 35 of 67 | 52% | 26 of 56 | 8 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 31 of 60 | 2 of 5 | 2 of 2 |
| Charles Rosa | 34 of 73 | 46% | 14 of 49 | 5 of 9 | 15 of 15 | 34 of 72 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | T.J. Brown | 16 of 23 | 69% | 14 of 21 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
| Charles Rosa | 9 of 24 | 37% | 4 of 17 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 6 | 7 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | |
| 3 | T.J. Brown | 7 of 9 | 77% | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Charles Rosa | 3 of 10 | 30% | 3 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 3 |
Big Brady questions T.J. Brown's fight IQ, recalling his poor game plan against Danny Chavez. However, he notes Brown's striking improvements and training at Glory MMA with Bryce Mitchell. He thinks Brown can win if he mixes in takedowns against Benitez's 56% takedown defense, but he cannot trust Brown enough to bet him. He picks Brown as a dog pick but is not confident.
Cody leans toward Brown, citing the blueprint of taking Rosa down and holding him there. He notes Brown's wrestling should be effective. However, he is wary of Brown's low fight IQ and the short notice change. He calls -280 too risky for parlays.
Daniel Levi picks T.J. Brown, though he is uncomfortable laying -250. He notes that Brown is better than he has shown, but his chin is questionable and he gets dropped often. However, Levi believes Brown will outwork Charles Rosa, who is on short notice and has poor takedown defense. He thinks Brown's physicality and wrestling will be key, and that Rosa's best days are behind him. Levi expects Brown to win, possibly by finish.
The host picks Gabriel Benitez, praising his southpaw striking, body kicks, and leg kicks. He expects Benitez to use his technical striking to outwork T.J. Brown, who is more chaotic and less technical. The host notes Brown's power and BJJ but believes Benitez's cardio and striking accuracy will secure a decision. He compares the matchup to Brown's loss to Danny Chavez, where leg kicks were effective.
Paul leans toward Rosa as a dog, citing his win-loss streak pattern and submission threat. He notes Rosa's takedown defense is poor but Brown's fight IQ is low. He expects Rosa might catch Brown in a submission. He advises waiting for weigh-ins and possibly better odds.
The MMA Guru picks Charles Rosa (Gabriel Benitez) to win by first-round TKO. He notes that Benitez has devastating kicks, especially calf kicks, which will slow Brown down early. Brown has shown problems with kicks in the past (e.g., against Danny Chavez). He expects Benitez to chop at the legs and body, then clip Brown with a big shot when Brown tries to make something happen. He predicts a first-round TKO, with Brown getting dropped with no base.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Brown | 1 | 61 of 128 | 47% | 85 of 155 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 5:38 |
| Kai Kamaka III | 0 | 82 of 211 | 38% | 110 of 243 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 0:36 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T.J. Brown | 0 | 22 of 47 | 46% | 23 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:45 |
| Kai Kamaka III | 0 | 34 of 88 | 38% | 35 of 91 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | T.J. Brown | 1 | 26 of 49 | 53% | 40 of 65 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:44 |
| Kai Kamaka III | 0 | 24 of 69 | 34% | 40 of 87 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:25 | |
| 3 | T.J. Brown | 0 | 13 of 32 | 40% | 22 of 42 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:09 |
| Kai Kamaka III | 0 | 24 of 54 | 44% | 35 of 65 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Brown | 61 of 128 | 47% | 38 of 100 | 14 of 17 | 9 of 11 | 51 of 115 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 12 |
| Kai Kamaka III | 82 of 211 | 38% | 54 of 174 | 19 of 26 | 9 of 11 | 77 of 204 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T.J. Brown | 22 of 47 | 46% | 11 of 34 | 4 of 4 | 7 of 9 | 18 of 43 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 |
| Kai Kamaka III | 34 of 88 | 38% | 17 of 63 | 9 of 15 | 8 of 10 | 33 of 85 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | T.J. Brown | 26 of 49 | 53% | 18 of 40 | 7 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 20 of 40 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 9 |
| Kai Kamaka III | 24 of 69 | 34% | 19 of 63 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 24 of 69 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | T.J. Brown | 13 of 32 | 40% | 9 of 26 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Kai Kamaka III | 24 of 54 | 44% | 18 of 48 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 20 of 50 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 |
Big Brady picks T.J. Brown to win by decision, taking a shot on the underdog. He believes Brown's wrestling and grappling are superior, and that Brown can take Kamaka down and wear him out. Brady notes that Kamaka slows down as fights progress and has poor grappling off his back. He also mentions Brown's full training camp at Glory MMA with James Krause, which he sees as a positive. Brady thinks the line should be closer to a pick'em.
Cody sees T.J. Brown as a live underdog now that he is training with James Krause at Glory MMA. He notes that Brown has a submission game and grappling prowess, but his cardio is a major concern. He thinks if Brown uses a proper game plan and doesn't gas out, he can take down Kamaka and submit him. He points out that Kamaka has looked unimpressive, with losses to low-level opponents and a close win over Tony Kelley. He believes Krause's coaching can help Brown manage his energy and fight smart.
Daniel Levi picks Kai Kamaka III to win, citing his potential as a prospect and the fact that T.J. Brown has a weak chin and poor fight IQ. He notes that Kamaka's last loss was on short notice with a bad weight cut, and that he has since moved to a better training camp. Levi believes Kamaka can outwork Brown if he stays off his back.
The host picks T.J. Brown by submission, expecting him to take down Kai Kamaka and wear him out. He notes Kamaka's poor cardio and lack of power, while Brown is a grappler who can chain wrestle. He believes Brown will eventually find a submission in the second or third round.
Paul does not make a clear pick for this fight. He discusses both fighters' cardio issues and the difficulty in capping the fight. He mentions that Brown's game falls apart if he doesn't finish early, and that Kamaka has looked poor. He does not commit to a side.
The MMA Guru picks Kai Kamaka III over T.J. Brown, noting that Kamaka is younger and more committed to his career, while Brown has been beaten eight times and seems to be Bryce Mitchell's sparring partner. He expects Brown to get takedowns in the first round but fade in the later rounds, allowing Kamaka to win the last two rounds and take a 29-28 decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Chavez | 0 | 43 of 139 | 30% | 59 of 156 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:03 |
| T.J. Brown | 0 | 49 of 110 | 44% | 52 of 113 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danny Chavez | 0 | 12 of 42 | 28% | 12 of 42 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| T.J. Brown | 0 | 17 of 36 | 47% | 17 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 2 | Danny Chavez | 0 | 12 of 45 | 26% | 18 of 52 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| T.J. Brown | 0 | 20 of 43 | 46% | 23 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:59 | |
| 3 | Danny Chavez | 0 | 19 of 52 | 36% | 29 of 62 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:51 |
| T.J. Brown | 0 | 12 of 31 | 38% | 12 of 31 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Chavez | 43 of 139 | 30% | 25 of 103 | 12 of 24 | 6 of 12 | 38 of 132 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| T.J. Brown | 49 of 110 | 44% | 23 of 81 | 8 of 9 | 18 of 20 | 40 of 97 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 13 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danny Chavez | 12 of 42 | 28% | 4 of 29 | 5 of 9 | 3 of 4 | 12 of 42 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| T.J. Brown | 17 of 36 | 47% | 4 of 21 | 1 of 2 | 12 of 13 | 17 of 35 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | Danny Chavez | 12 of 45 | 26% | 7 of 33 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 7 | 12 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| T.J. Brown | 20 of 43 | 46% | 13 of 35 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 14 of 35 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 8 | |
| 3 | Danny Chavez | 19 of 52 | 36% | 14 of 41 | 4 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 45 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| T.J. Brown | 12 of 31 | 38% | 6 of 25 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 9 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 |
Big Brady likes T.J. Brown's wrestling and ground game, expecting him to dominate and possibly get a submission. He notes Brown's chin is a concern but thinks Chavez's ground game is inferior. He would bet if the line gets closer.
Daniel Levi picks Danny Chavez by finish. He notes that T.J. Brown has durability issues, often getting knocked out or submitted even when winning. He believes Chavez's black belt is legit and that he can catch Brown. However, he admits he knows little about Chavez beyond a head-kick knockout and a photo with a black belt. He feels Brown is mentally fragile and prone to getting finished.
The MMA Guru picks T.J. Brown, citing his dangerous grappling and training with Bryce Mitchell. He expects Chavez to come out overzealous looking for a quick finish, which will allow Brown to secure a takedown and control the fight on the ground.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Griffin | 0 | 15 of 23 | 65% | 20 of 28 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 3 | 0 | 0:05 |
| T.J. Brown | 0 | 32 of 47 | 68% | 91 of 119 | 7 of 7 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 7:31 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jordan Griffin | 0 | 5 of 8 | 62% | 7 of 10 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 2 | 0 | 0:05 |
| T.J. Brown | 0 | 18 of 24 | 75% | 56 of 70 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:30 | |
| 2 | Jordan Griffin | 0 | 10 of 15 | 66% | 13 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| T.J. Brown | 0 | 14 of 23 | 60% | 35 of 49 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Griffin | 15 of 23 | 65% | 13 of 21 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 |
| T.J. Brown | 32 of 47 | 68% | 26 of 39 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 9 of 22 | 10 of 10 | 13 of 15 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jordan Griffin | 5 of 8 | 62% | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| T.J. Brown | 18 of 24 | 75% | 13 of 18 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 6 | 7 of 7 | 9 of 11 | |
| 2 | Jordan Griffin | 10 of 15 | 66% | 8 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 |
| T.J. Brown | 14 of 23 | 60% | 13 of 21 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 16 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 4 |
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