UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · Feb 11, 2018 · Catchweight (187.7 lb) · Completed
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold Next Fight
Age 49
Height 6' 0"
Reach 73.0"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 41
Height 6' 3"
Reach 77.0"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Career Averages - Yoel Romero
3.44 SLpM
49.0% Str. Acc.
3.05 SApM
60.0% Str. Def.
1.57 TD Avg
30.0% TD Acc.
78.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Luke Rockhold
4.1 SLpM
49.0% Str. Acc.
2.68 SApM
53.0% Str. Def.
0.7 TD Avg
29.0% TD Acc.
65.0% TD Def.
1.0 Sub. Avg
Yoel Romero - Fight History
LOSS vs Israel Adesanya
Decision (unanimous) (48–47, 48–47, 49–46) R5 5:00 · UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · Mar 07, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Israel Adesanya 0 48 of 132 36% 48 of 132 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Yoel Romero 0 40 of 89 44% 40 of 89 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Israel Adesanya 0 2 of 11 18% 2 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Yoel Romero 0 4 of 6 66% 4 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Israel Adesanya 0 11 of 29 37% 11 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Yoel Romero 0 7 of 14 50% 7 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Israel Adesanya 0 12 of 30 40% 12 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Yoel Romero 0 9 of 14 64% 9 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
4 Israel Adesanya 0 11 of 33 33% 11 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Yoel Romero 0 6 of 22 27% 6 of 22 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
5 Israel Adesanya 0 12 of 29 41% 12 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Yoel Romero 0 14 of 33 42% 14 of 33 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Israel Adesanya 48 of 132 36% 14 of 81 9 of 22 25 of 29 48 of 132 0 of 0 0 of 0
Yoel Romero 40 of 89 44% 20 of 58 7 of 13 13 of 18 35 of 82 5 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Israel Adesanya 2 of 11 18% 0 of 7 0 of 0 2 of 4 2 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Yoel Romero 4 of 6 66% 1 of 2 1 of 1 2 of 3 4 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Israel Adesanya 11 of 29 37% 3 of 18 3 of 5 5 of 6 11 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
Yoel Romero 7 of 14 50% 5 of 11 0 of 0 2 of 3 3 of 10 4 of 4 0 of 0
3 Israel Adesanya 12 of 30 40% 3 of 18 4 of 7 5 of 5 12 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
Yoel Romero 9 of 14 64% 2 of 5 2 of 3 5 of 6 9 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
4 Israel Adesanya 11 of 33 33% 4 of 22 1 of 4 6 of 7 11 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
Yoel Romero 6 of 22 27% 4 of 15 1 of 5 1 of 2 5 of 20 1 of 2 0 of 0
5 Israel Adesanya 12 of 29 41% 4 of 16 1 of 6 7 of 7 12 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
Yoel Romero 14 of 33 42% 8 of 25 3 of 4 3 of 4 14 of 32 0 of 1 0 of 0
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 5, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Israel Adesanya

Daniel believes Adesanya's volume and distance management will be too much for Romero. He thinks Adesanya will pick Romero apart with kicks and win a lopsided decision, though he acknowledges Romero is always live for a knockout. He notes that Romero doesn't do well in fights that go the distance and that Adesanya's takedown defense and get-up game are underrated.

Daniel says he doesn't feel comfortable putting money against Romero because he's such a beast as a dog, but he understands both sides. He mentions that a parlay on Adesanya is understandable but also sees the appeal of Romero at +230.
"I think he's gonna pick apart Yoel Romero but I'm also curious to see if this is the last time that you got an under -300 line on him."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 5, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Israel Adesanya

Adesanya's distance management, kicking, and ability to read opponents are key. He will target Romero's body to drain his cardio, then mix in head strikes. Adesanya's takedown defense is excellent; he gets back up quickly. A fourth-round TKO is likely, but a decision is also possible. The host considered a parlay with Jamall Emmers.

Parlay with Jamall Emmers at around +115 to +160 for 2-2.5 units. Also considered straight bet at -250 but line not ideal.
"I think he's just so good at reading his opponents and capitalizing on those situations... I'm gonna go with Adesanya a fourth round TKO and a possible parlay piece with Jamall Emmers."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2020 (9 days before fight)
Israel Adesanya

The MMA Guru picks Israel Adesanya, citing his striking level, reach advantage (7 inches), and ability to get up from takedowns. He notes Romero's recent close losses and age (42), and believes Adesanya will pick him apart with front kicks and knees, eventually finishing him in the third or fourth round by TKO. He also mentions Romero's tendency to leave himself open to uppercuts.

third or fourth round TKO
"I think he's gonna pick about y'all Romero from the outside with front kicks to the stomach eventually earning himself a finish in the third or fourth round once Romero has slowed down a little bit from all the damage …"
LOSS vs Paulo Costa
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · Aug 17, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Paulo Costa 1 125 of 284 44% 125 of 284 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:12
Yoel Romero 1 118 of 213 55% 118 of 213 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Paulo Costa 1 32 of 69 46% 32 of 69 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:06
Yoel Romero 1 37 of 69 53% 37 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
2 Paulo Costa 0 40 of 91 43% 40 of 91 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:01
Yoel Romero 0 37 of 71 52% 37 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Paulo Costa 0 53 of 124 42% 53 of 124 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:05
Yoel Romero 0 44 of 73 60% 44 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Paulo Costa 125 of 284 44% 96 of 244 11 of 20 18 of 20 118 of 276 7 of 8 0 of 0
Yoel Romero 118 of 213 55% 67 of 148 46 of 58 5 of 7 110 of 202 5 of 5 3 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Paulo Costa 32 of 69 46% 23 of 54 2 of 7 7 of 8 31 of 68 1 of 1 0 of 0
Yoel Romero 37 of 69 53% 19 of 46 16 of 20 2 of 3 32 of 61 2 of 2 3 of 6
2 Paulo Costa 40 of 91 43% 28 of 77 6 of 7 6 of 7 39 of 90 1 of 1 0 of 0
Yoel Romero 37 of 71 52% 24 of 53 12 of 17 1 of 1 36 of 70 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Paulo Costa 53 of 124 42% 45 of 113 3 of 6 5 of 5 48 of 118 5 of 6 0 of 0
Yoel Romero 44 of 73 60% 24 of 49 18 of 21 2 of 3 42 of 71 2 of 2 0 of 0
Decision (split) (47–48, 48–47, 48–47) R5 5:00 · UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · Jun 09, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Robert Whittaker 0 128 of 326 39% 129 of 328 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:37
Yoel Romero 2 111 of 240 46% 149 of 287 3 of 10 30% 0 0 4:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Robert Whittaker 0 33 of 85 38% 33 of 85 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Yoel Romero 0 9 of 24 37% 9 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Robert Whittaker 0 29 of 77 37% 29 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Yoel Romero 0 20 of 48 41% 20 of 48 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Robert Whittaker 0 18 of 42 42% 19 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:37
Yoel Romero 1 36 of 77 46% 54 of 97 2 of 6 33% 0 0 2:11
4 Robert Whittaker 0 34 of 93 36% 34 of 94 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Yoel Romero 0 20 of 44 45% 20 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
5 Robert Whittaker 0 14 of 29 48% 14 of 29 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Yoel Romero 1 26 of 47 55% 46 of 74 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Robert Whittaker 128 of 326 39% 57 of 225 23 of 39 48 of 62 119 of 308 9 of 17 0 of 1
Yoel Romero 111 of 240 46% 76 of 194 19 of 27 16 of 19 66 of 177 25 of 40 20 of 23
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Robert Whittaker 33 of 85 38% 12 of 58 2 of 4 19 of 23 33 of 85 0 of 0 0 of 0
Yoel Romero 9 of 24 37% 3 of 15 2 of 4 4 of 5 9 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Robert Whittaker 29 of 77 37% 14 of 57 6 of 8 9 of 12 28 of 73 1 of 4 0 of 0
Yoel Romero 20 of 48 41% 8 of 33 4 of 5 8 of 10 19 of 47 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Robert Whittaker 18 of 42 42% 10 of 28 5 of 9 3 of 5 10 of 29 8 of 13 0 of 0
Yoel Romero 36 of 77 46% 33 of 73 3 of 4 0 of 0 8 of 34 22 of 36 6 of 7
4 Robert Whittaker 34 of 93 36% 16 of 65 7 of 14 11 of 14 34 of 93 0 of 0 0 of 0
Yoel Romero 20 of 44 45% 14 of 37 4 of 5 2 of 2 20 of 44 0 of 0 0 of 0
5 Robert Whittaker 14 of 29 48% 5 of 17 3 of 4 6 of 8 14 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 1
Yoel Romero 26 of 47 55% 18 of 36 6 of 9 2 of 2 10 of 28 2 of 3 14 of 16
WIN vs Luke Rockhold
KO (punches) R3 1:48 · UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · Feb 11, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Yoel Romero 1 45 of 92 48% 52 of 99 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Luke Rockhold 0 45 of 119 37% 45 of 119 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Yoel Romero 0 10 of 27 37% 10 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Luke Rockhold 0 18 of 41 43% 18 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Yoel Romero 0 24 of 46 52% 31 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Luke Rockhold 0 17 of 51 33% 17 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Yoel Romero 1 11 of 19 57% 11 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Luke Rockhold 0 10 of 27 37% 10 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Yoel Romero 45 of 92 48% 23 of 60 10 of 17 12 of 15 31 of 73 13 of 18 1 of 1
Luke Rockhold 45 of 119 37% 22 of 87 10 of 15 13 of 17 44 of 118 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Yoel Romero 10 of 27 37% 3 of 15 1 of 4 6 of 8 10 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
Luke Rockhold 18 of 41 43% 3 of 21 4 of 7 11 of 13 18 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Yoel Romero 24 of 46 52% 13 of 30 7 of 11 4 of 5 11 of 28 13 of 18 0 of 0
Luke Rockhold 17 of 51 33% 10 of 40 6 of 8 1 of 3 16 of 50 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Yoel Romero 11 of 19 57% 7 of 15 2 of 2 2 of 2 10 of 18 0 of 0 1 of 1
Luke Rockhold 10 of 27 37% 9 of 26 0 of 0 1 of 1 10 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
Decision (unanimous) (48–47, 48–47, 48–47) R5 5:00 · UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker · Jul 08, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Robert Whittaker 0 48 of 107 44% 114 of 175 4 of 18 22% 0 0 5:15
Yoel Romero 0 74 of 221 33% 94 of 244 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:33
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Robert Whittaker 0 12 of 18 66% 14 of 20 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:53
Yoel Romero 0 7 of 25 28% 7 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Robert Whittaker 0 6 of 12 50% 49 of 55 2 of 6 33% 0 0 3:20
Yoel Romero 0 6 of 22 27% 10 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Robert Whittaker 0 5 of 16 31% 5 of 16 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Yoel Romero 0 11 of 53 20% 13 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
4 Robert Whittaker 0 7 of 18 38% 8 of 19 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:02
Yoel Romero 0 19 of 42 45% 19 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
5 Robert Whittaker 0 18 of 43 41% 38 of 65 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Yoel Romero 0 31 of 79 39% 45 of 95 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:28
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Robert Whittaker 48 of 107 44% 20 of 68 12 of 18 16 of 21 41 of 100 3 of 3 4 of 4
Yoel Romero 74 of 221 33% 46 of 163 23 of 52 5 of 6 59 of 195 7 of 12 8 of 14
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Robert Whittaker 12 of 18 66% 2 of 8 3 of 3 7 of 7 10 of 16 2 of 2 0 of 0
Yoel Romero 7 of 25 28% 4 of 19 2 of 5 1 of 1 6 of 21 1 of 4 0 of 0
2 Robert Whittaker 6 of 12 50% 4 of 8 2 of 3 0 of 1 3 of 9 1 of 1 2 of 2
Yoel Romero 6 of 22 27% 2 of 14 3 of 6 1 of 2 3 of 18 3 of 4 0 of 0
3 Robert Whittaker 5 of 16 31% 2 of 11 1 of 3 2 of 2 5 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Yoel Romero 11 of 53 20% 8 of 36 2 of 16 1 of 1 10 of 51 1 of 2 0 of 0
4 Robert Whittaker 7 of 18 38% 2 of 10 1 of 1 4 of 7 5 of 16 0 of 0 2 of 2
Yoel Romero 19 of 42 45% 11 of 31 7 of 10 1 of 1 16 of 38 2 of 2 1 of 2
5 Robert Whittaker 18 of 43 41% 10 of 31 5 of 8 3 of 4 18 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
Yoel Romero 31 of 79 39% 21 of 63 9 of 15 1 of 1 24 of 67 0 of 0 7 of 12
WIN vs Chris Weidman
KO (flying knee and punches) R3 0:24 · UFC 205: Alvarez vs. McGregor · Nov 12, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Yoel Romero 0 12 of 47 25% 16 of 54 1 of 8 12% 0 0 0:25
Chris Weidman 1 18 of 40 45% 27 of 51 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:52
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Yoel Romero 0 7 of 24 29% 9 of 27 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:25
Chris Weidman 0 3 of 10 30% 5 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Yoel Romero 0 4 of 21 19% 6 of 25 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:00
Chris Weidman 0 8 of 21 38% 15 of 30 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:48
3 Yoel Romero 0 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chris Weidman 1 7 of 9 77% 7 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Yoel Romero 12 of 47 25% 2 of 22 6 of 15 4 of 10 12 of 46 0 of 1 0 of 0
Chris Weidman 18 of 40 45% 13 of 32 2 of 3 3 of 5 9 of 24 1 of 2 8 of 14
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Yoel Romero 7 of 24 29% 1 of 11 4 of 8 2 of 5 7 of 23 0 of 1 0 of 0
Chris Weidman 3 of 10 30% 2 of 6 1 of 2 0 of 2 3 of 9 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Yoel Romero 4 of 21 19% 1 of 11 1 of 6 2 of 4 4 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chris Weidman 8 of 21 38% 5 of 18 1 of 1 2 of 2 4 of 13 1 of 1 3 of 7
3 Yoel Romero 1 of 2 50% 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chris Weidman 7 of 9 77% 6 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 7
WIN vs Jacare Souza
Decision (split) (29–27, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 194: Aldo vs. McGregor · Dec 12, 2015
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Yoel Romero 0 30 of 52 57% 42 of 67 1 of 7 14% 0 0 2:33
Jacare Souza 1 46 of 92 50% 56 of 104 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:58
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Yoel Romero 0 5 of 16 31% 5 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jacare Souza 1 27 of 57 47% 30 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:45
2 Yoel Romero 0 7 of 13 53% 7 of 13 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:08
Jacare Souza 0 6 of 14 42% 6 of 14 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:05
3 Yoel Romero 0 18 of 23 78% 30 of 38 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:25
Jacare Souza 0 13 of 21 61% 20 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Yoel Romero 30 of 52 57% 16 of 35 11 of 14 3 of 3 22 of 44 0 of 0 8 of 8
Jacare Souza 46 of 92 50% 37 of 80 5 of 6 4 of 6 24 of 50 0 of 1 22 of 41
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Yoel Romero 5 of 16 31% 1 of 10 3 of 5 1 of 1 5 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jacare Souza 27 of 57 47% 26 of 55 1 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 16 0 of 0 22 of 41
2 Yoel Romero 7 of 13 53% 3 of 8 3 of 4 1 of 1 7 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jacare Souza 6 of 14 42% 2 of 8 2 of 2 2 of 4 6 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Yoel Romero 18 of 23 78% 12 of 17 5 of 5 1 of 1 10 of 15 0 of 0 8 of 8
Jacare Souza 13 of 21 61% 9 of 17 2 of 2 2 of 2 13 of 20 0 of 1 0 of 0
WIN vs Lyoto Machida
KO (elbows) R3 1:38 · UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Romero · Jun 27, 2015
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Yoel Romero 0 31 of 64 48% 31 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Lyoto Machida 0 42 of 70 60% 44 of 72 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Yoel Romero 0 12 of 28 42% 12 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Lyoto Machida 0 15 of 30 50% 15 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Yoel Romero 0 16 of 26 61% 16 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Lyoto Machida 0 17 of 27 62% 17 of 27 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Yoel Romero 0 3 of 10 30% 3 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Lyoto Machida 0 10 of 13 76% 12 of 15 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Yoel Romero 31 of 64 48% 6 of 27 11 of 20 14 of 17 31 of 63 0 of 1 0 of 0
Lyoto Machida 42 of 70 60% 16 of 31 9 of 18 17 of 21 35 of 63 1 of 1 6 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Yoel Romero 12 of 28 42% 2 of 12 5 of 9 5 of 7 12 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Lyoto Machida 15 of 30 50% 1 of 7 5 of 11 9 of 12 15 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Yoel Romero 16 of 26 61% 4 of 9 5 of 9 7 of 8 16 of 25 0 of 1 0 of 0
Lyoto Machida 17 of 27 62% 8 of 15 3 of 5 6 of 7 16 of 26 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Yoel Romero 3 of 10 30% 0 of 6 1 of 2 2 of 2 3 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Lyoto Machida 10 of 13 76% 7 of 9 1 of 2 2 of 2 4 of 7 0 of 0 6 of 6
Luke Rockhold - Fight History
LOSS vs Paulo Costa
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards 2 · Aug 20, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Paulo Costa 0 73 of 103 70% 106 of 137 2 of 2 100% 0 0 5:28
Luke Rockhold 0 51 of 70 72% 57 of 78 1 of 4 25% 0 1 0:47
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Paulo Costa 0 27 of 34 79% 56 of 64 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:48
Luke Rockhold 0 19 of 23 82% 19 of 23 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:03
2 Paulo Costa 0 30 of 42 71% 31 of 43 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:17
Luke Rockhold 0 23 of 35 65% 23 of 35 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:12
3 Paulo Costa 0 16 of 27 59% 19 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:23
Luke Rockhold 0 9 of 12 75% 15 of 20 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:32
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Paulo Costa 73 of 103 70% 37 of 61 33 of 39 3 of 3 53 of 80 3 of 4 17 of 19
Luke Rockhold 51 of 70 72% 23 of 40 23 of 25 5 of 5 48 of 67 2 of 2 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Paulo Costa 27 of 34 79% 13 of 19 13 of 14 1 of 1 11 of 15 2 of 3 14 of 16
Luke Rockhold 19 of 23 82% 6 of 8 11 of 13 2 of 2 17 of 21 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Paulo Costa 30 of 42 71% 14 of 22 14 of 18 2 of 2 29 of 41 1 of 1 0 of 0
Luke Rockhold 23 of 35 65% 11 of 23 9 of 9 3 of 3 23 of 35 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Paulo Costa 16 of 27 59% 10 of 20 6 of 7 0 of 0 13 of 24 0 of 0 3 of 3
Luke Rockhold 9 of 12 75% 6 of 9 3 of 3 0 of 0 8 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 14, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Paulo Costa

Angelo picks Paulo Costa over Luke Rockhold. He describes Costa as a massive middleweight with power, output, and surprising cardio, noting his relentless pace even when exhausted. Angelo acknowledges Rockhold's credentials as a former champion and talented wrestler, but believes the three-year layoff and age (38) are too much to overcome against a top-ranked opponent. He mentions that Costa has good takedown defense (80%) and that he already placed a moneyline bet on Costa at better odds earlier.

Placed moneyline bet on Paulo Costa at better odds earlier in the week.
"palo costa absolutely the pick i love luke rockhold but man first fight back in three years is who they give you that's a tough go"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 15, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Paulo Costa

Big Brady is confident in Paulo Costa. He notes that Luke Rockhold hasn't fought in three years, hasn't won in nearly five years, and was knocked out in his last fight. Rockhold's chin is gone, and he looked slow and washed against Jan Błachowicz. Costa is younger, more active, hits hard, and has solid cardio. Brady expects Costa to knock Rockhold out in the first or second round. He mentions Costa's takedown defense is good, so Rockhold's wrestling won't work.

Costa by KO, round 2
"i think costa knocks him out i think austin knocks him out in the first or second round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 17, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Paulo Costa

Cody picks Costa but expresses concerns about Costa's weight cut and his poor grappling off his back. He notes Rockhold's durability issues but acknowledges Rockhold's BJJ could be a threat if Costa gets taken down. Ultimately, he trusts Costa's power and finishing ability.

"i'm back on the holocaust team yeah i think he'd be a fool not to it seems too good to be true but i try not to overthink it"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 17, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Paulo Costa

Daniel Levi picks Paulo Costa to knock out Luke Rockhold in the first round. He notes that Rockhold's chin has been suspect for a long time, citing knockouts by Vitor Belfort, Michael Bisping, Yoel Romero, and Jan Błachowicz. He believes Rockhold hasn't fought since 2019 and is coming back for a paycheck, which is a bad sign. Levi praises Costa's takedown defense (stuffing Yoel Romero's takedowns) and his power, and thinks Costa is catching Rockhold at the right time. He also mentions that Costa looked back to form in his last fight against Marvin Vettori.

Mentions he missed the line at -255 and now it's -360, so he's not betting but would have liked Costa at a better price. Says Costa will knock out Rockhold in the first round.
"I think he's gonna come out here and knock Luke rockhold out in the first round so yeah I got Paula Costa here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 18, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Paulo Costa

Costa should knock out Rockhold, who has a weak chin and has been inactive for three years. However, the -350 price is too high for a finish-reliant fighter. The host prefers Costa by KO at -120 (now -170) but is passing on the moneyline. He warns that if Costa doesn't finish early, Rockhold could make it a tough fight.

Costa by KO was preferred at -120 but line moved to -170; host passes.
"I'm gonna go costa costa ko but please please please do not put all your eggs in this polycaster basket."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 17, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Paulo Costa

Paul picks Costa to knock out Rockhold inside the first two rounds. He notes Rockhold's chin issues and long layoff, and likes the under 10 minutes on Prize Picks. He mentions Costa's wild card nature but thinks he's in great shape for this fight.

under 10 minutes (fight time) on Prize Picks
"i think costa knocks them out inside the first two rounds on prize picks they've got uh this fight set at fight time 10 minutes and it's like at some of the books right now it's like minus 175 minus …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 20, 2022 (fight day)
Paulo Costa

The Guru predicts Paulo Costa wins by first-round KO. He describes Costa rushing across the cage, landing a big kick, and then clipping Rockhold with a shot. He sees Costa slipping Rockhold's jab, landing a right hand and body shot, then a switch kick to the body. He envisions Costa blocking Rockhold's kicks and landing an inside leg kick, then a body kick, and finally a left hook that drops Rockhold about two and a half minutes into the first round.

KO in round 1
"i've got immediate paulo costa ko"
LOSS vs Jan Błachowicz
KO (punches) R2 1:39 · UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · Jul 06, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jan Błachowicz 1 30 of 42 71% 38 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Luke Rockhold 0 14 of 36 38% 17 of 39 0 of 5 0% 0 0 3:26
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jan Błachowicz 0 16 of 23 69% 20 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Luke Rockhold 0 8 of 26 30% 10 of 28 0 of 5 0% 0 0 2:43
2 Jan Błachowicz 1 14 of 19 73% 18 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Luke Rockhold 0 6 of 10 60% 7 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:43
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jan Błachowicz 30 of 42 71% 11 of 21 8 of 10 11 of 11 23 of 35 4 of 4 3 of 3
Luke Rockhold 14 of 36 38% 4 of 20 8 of 12 2 of 4 9 of 31 5 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jan Błachowicz 16 of 23 69% 5 of 11 5 of 6 6 of 6 14 of 21 2 of 2 0 of 0
Luke Rockhold 8 of 26 30% 2 of 15 6 of 9 0 of 2 6 of 24 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Jan Błachowicz 14 of 19 73% 6 of 10 3 of 4 5 of 5 9 of 14 2 of 2 3 of 3
Luke Rockhold 6 of 10 60% 2 of 5 2 of 3 2 of 2 3 of 7 3 of 3 0 of 0
LOSS vs Yoel Romero
KO (punches) R3 1:48 · UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · Feb 11, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Yoel Romero 1 45 of 92 48% 52 of 99 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Luke Rockhold 0 45 of 119 37% 45 of 119 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Yoel Romero 0 10 of 27 37% 10 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Luke Rockhold 0 18 of 41 43% 18 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Yoel Romero 0 24 of 46 52% 31 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Luke Rockhold 0 17 of 51 33% 17 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Yoel Romero 1 11 of 19 57% 11 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Luke Rockhold 0 10 of 27 37% 10 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Yoel Romero 45 of 92 48% 23 of 60 10 of 17 12 of 15 31 of 73 13 of 18 1 of 1
Luke Rockhold 45 of 119 37% 22 of 87 10 of 15 13 of 17 44 of 118 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Yoel Romero 10 of 27 37% 3 of 15 1 of 4 6 of 8 10 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
Luke Rockhold 18 of 41 43% 3 of 21 4 of 7 11 of 13 18 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Yoel Romero 24 of 46 52% 13 of 30 7 of 11 4 of 5 11 of 28 13 of 18 0 of 0
Luke Rockhold 17 of 51 33% 10 of 40 6 of 8 1 of 3 16 of 50 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Yoel Romero 11 of 19 57% 7 of 15 2 of 2 2 of 2 10 of 18 0 of 0 1 of 1
Luke Rockhold 10 of 27 37% 9 of 26 0 of 0 1 of 1 10 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
WIN vs David Branch
Submission (strikes) R2 4:05 · UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · Sep 16, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Luke Rockhold 0 58 of 85 68% 68 of 97 2 of 5 40% 0 0 3:41
David Branch 0 25 of 56 44% 51 of 82 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:18
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Luke Rockhold 0 15 of 24 62% 19 of 30 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:19
David Branch 0 19 of 36 52% 36 of 53 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:48
2 Luke Rockhold 0 43 of 61 70% 49 of 67 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:22
David Branch 0 6 of 20 30% 15 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:30
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Luke Rockhold 58 of 85 68% 40 of 61 8 of 13 10 of 11 21 of 32 3 of 7 34 of 46
David Branch 25 of 56 44% 13 of 42 10 of 12 2 of 2 17 of 46 8 of 10 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Luke Rockhold 15 of 24 62% 4 of 8 6 of 10 5 of 6 13 of 19 2 of 5 0 of 0
David Branch 19 of 36 52% 13 of 28 5 of 7 1 of 1 13 of 28 6 of 8 0 of 0
2 Luke Rockhold 43 of 61 70% 36 of 53 2 of 3 5 of 5 8 of 13 1 of 2 34 of 46
David Branch 6 of 20 30% 0 of 14 5 of 5 1 of 1 4 of 18 2 of 2 0 of 0
LOSS vs Michael Bisping
KO (punches) R1 3:36 · UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · Jun 04, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michael Bisping 0 17 of 37 45% 17 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Luke Rockhold 2 21 of 50 42% 21 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michael Bisping 0 17 of 37 45% 17 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Luke Rockhold 2 21 of 50 42% 21 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michael Bisping 17 of 37 45% 6 of 24 8 of 9 3 of 4 16 of 36 1 of 1 0 of 0
Luke Rockhold 21 of 50 42% 14 of 43 3 of 3 4 of 4 17 of 46 1 of 1 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michael Bisping 17 of 37 45% 6 of 24 8 of 9 3 of 4 16 of 36 1 of 1 0 of 0
Luke Rockhold 21 of 50 42% 14 of 43 3 of 3 4 of 4 17 of 46 1 of 1 3 of 3
WIN vs Chris Weidman
TKO (punches) R4 3:12 · UFC 194: Aldo vs. McGregor · Dec 12, 2015
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Luke Rockhold 0 48 of 75 64% 62 of 92 3 of 6 50% 0 0 4:27
Chris Weidman 0 126 of 191 65% 161 of 229 2 of 4 50% 1 0 5:30
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Luke Rockhold 0 10 of 12 83% 21 of 26 2 of 4 50% 0 0 3:07
Chris Weidman 0 7 of 9 77% 13 of 15 0 of 0 --- 1 0 1:05
2 Luke Rockhold 0 14 of 31 45% 14 of 31 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:14
Chris Weidman 0 31 of 60 51% 32 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Luke Rockhold 0 21 of 29 72% 23 of 31 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:06
Chris Weidman 0 68 of 99 68% 83 of 114 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:35
4 Luke Rockhold 0 3 of 3 100% 4 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chris Weidman 0 20 of 23 86% 33 of 39 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:50
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Luke Rockhold 48 of 75 64% 25 of 51 18 of 19 5 of 5 40 of 67 7 of 7 1 of 1
Chris Weidman 126 of 191 65% 96 of 157 18 of 22 12 of 12 44 of 83 9 of 13 73 of 95
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Luke Rockhold 10 of 12 83% 8 of 10 1 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 5 7 of 7 0 of 0
Chris Weidman 7 of 9 77% 1 of 2 4 of 5 2 of 2 4 of 5 3 of 4 0 of 0
2 Luke Rockhold 14 of 31 45% 6 of 23 6 of 6 2 of 2 14 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chris Weidman 31 of 60 51% 14 of 43 8 of 8 9 of 9 26 of 53 5 of 7 0 of 0
3 Luke Rockhold 21 of 29 72% 9 of 16 10 of 11 2 of 2 20 of 28 0 of 0 1 of 1
Chris Weidman 68 of 99 68% 63 of 91 4 of 7 1 of 1 12 of 22 1 of 2 55 of 75
4 Luke Rockhold 3 of 3 100% 2 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chris Weidman 20 of 23 86% 18 of 21 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 0 18 of 20
WIN vs Lyoto Machida
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 2:31 · UFC on Fox: Machida vs. Rockhold · Apr 18, 2015
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Luke Rockhold 0 13 of 27 48% 19 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:25
Lyoto Machida 0 23 of 44 52% 39 of 63 1 of 1 100% 2 0 3:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Luke Rockhold 0 8 of 12 66% 14 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:25
Lyoto Machida 0 11 of 24 45% 20 of 36 1 of 1 100% 1 0 2:12
2 Luke Rockhold 0 5 of 15 33% 5 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Lyoto Machida 0 12 of 20 60% 19 of 27 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:59
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Luke Rockhold 13 of 27 48% 7 of 20 0 of 1 6 of 6 12 of 25 0 of 0 1 of 2
Lyoto Machida 23 of 44 52% 14 of 34 4 of 4 5 of 6 11 of 23 1 of 1 11 of 20
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Luke Rockhold 8 of 12 66% 6 of 10 0 of 0 2 of 2 7 of 10 0 of 0 1 of 2
Lyoto Machida 11 of 24 45% 9 of 21 0 of 0 2 of 3 1 of 5 1 of 1 9 of 18
2 Luke Rockhold 5 of 15 33% 1 of 10 0 of 1 4 of 4 5 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Lyoto Machida 12 of 20 60% 5 of 13 4 of 4 3 of 3 10 of 18 0 of 0 2 of 2
Submission (guillotine choke) R2 0:57 · UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Bisping · Nov 08, 2014
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Luke Rockhold 1 20 of 41 48% 20 of 41 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:17
Michael Bisping 0 16 of 65 24% 16 of 65 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Luke Rockhold 0 12 of 30 40% 12 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Michael Bisping 0 14 of 60 23% 14 of 60 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:01
2 Luke Rockhold 1 8 of 11 72% 8 of 11 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:03
Michael Bisping 0 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Luke Rockhold 20 of 41 48% 10 of 27 7 of 11 3 of 3 15 of 33 1 of 2 4 of 6
Michael Bisping 16 of 65 24% 10 of 53 1 of 7 5 of 5 15 of 64 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Luke Rockhold 12 of 30 40% 4 of 18 5 of 9 3 of 3 11 of 28 1 of 2 0 of 0
Michael Bisping 14 of 60 23% 10 of 51 0 of 5 4 of 4 13 of 59 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Luke Rockhold 8 of 11 72% 6 of 9 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 5 0 of 0 4 of 6
Michael Bisping 2 of 5 40% 0 of 2 1 of 2 1 of 1 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0