UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs. Lim · Jan 04, 2014 · Featherweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs. Lim Next Fight
Age 48
Height 5' 7"
Reach 69.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 36
Height 5' 9"
Reach 70.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Tatsuya Kawajiri
2.04 SLpM
44.0% Str. Acc.
2.01 SApM
50.0% Str. Def.
3.63 TD Avg
48.0% TD Acc.
63.0% TD Def.
1.1 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Sean Soriano
3.18 SLpM
61.0% Str. Acc.
2.14 SApM
56.0% Str. Def.
1.33 TD Avg
55.0% TD Acc.
52.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Tatsuya Kawajiri - Fight History
LOSS vs Cub Swanson
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · Aug 06, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cub Swanson 0 67 of 109 61% 91 of 133 1 of 1 100% 1 0 2:00
Tatsuya Kawajiri 0 23 of 101 22% 51 of 132 3 of 12 25% 0 1 5:28
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cub Swanson 0 10 of 19 52% 27 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tatsuya Kawajiri 0 6 of 27 22% 25 of 48 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:29
2 Cub Swanson 0 27 of 49 55% 28 of 50 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:42
Tatsuya Kawajiri 0 13 of 52 25% 15 of 55 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:35
3 Cub Swanson 0 30 of 41 73% 36 of 47 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:18
Tatsuya Kawajiri 0 4 of 22 18% 11 of 29 2 of 5 40% 0 1 2:24
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cub Swanson 67 of 109 61% 51 of 92 10 of 11 6 of 6 38 of 77 8 of 9 21 of 23
Tatsuya Kawajiri 23 of 101 22% 12 of 82 2 of 8 9 of 11 19 of 85 2 of 3 2 of 13
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cub Swanson 10 of 19 52% 9 of 18 0 of 0 1 of 1 7 of 16 3 of 3 0 of 0
Tatsuya Kawajiri 6 of 27 22% 2 of 21 1 of 2 3 of 4 5 of 22 0 of 1 1 of 4
2 Cub Swanson 27 of 49 55% 19 of 40 6 of 7 2 of 2 19 of 40 3 of 3 5 of 6
Tatsuya Kawajiri 13 of 52 25% 7 of 41 1 of 5 5 of 6 12 of 51 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Cub Swanson 30 of 41 73% 23 of 34 4 of 4 3 of 3 12 of 21 2 of 3 16 of 17
Tatsuya Kawajiri 4 of 22 18% 3 of 20 0 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 12 1 of 1 1 of 9
LOSS vs Dennis Bermudez
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Cowboy · Feb 21, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dennis Bermudez 0 61 of 80 76% 120 of 142 4 of 5 80% 1 0 4:21
Tatsuya Kawajiri 0 12 of 26 46% 27 of 41 1 of 7 14% 0 1 7:29
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dennis Bermudez 0 7 of 9 77% 14 of 16 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:58
Tatsuya Kawajiri 0 5 of 10 50% 15 of 20 1 of 3 33% 0 1 0:34
2 Dennis Bermudez 0 40 of 47 85% 66 of 75 0 of 0 --- 1 0 1:03
Tatsuya Kawajiri 0 4 of 10 40% 4 of 10 0 of 3 0% 0 0 3:13
3 Dennis Bermudez 0 14 of 24 58% 40 of 51 3 of 4 75% 0 0 0:20
Tatsuya Kawajiri 0 3 of 6 50% 8 of 11 0 of 1 0% 0 0 3:42
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dennis Bermudez 61 of 80 76% 51 of 68 5 of 7 5 of 5 11 of 27 7 of 9 43 of 44
Tatsuya Kawajiri 12 of 26 46% 7 of 18 3 of 5 2 of 3 9 of 23 1 of 1 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dennis Bermudez 7 of 9 77% 2 of 4 3 of 3 2 of 2 4 of 6 1 of 1 2 of 2
Tatsuya Kawajiri 5 of 10 50% 1 of 5 2 of 2 2 of 3 3 of 8 0 of 0 2 of 2
2 Dennis Bermudez 40 of 47 85% 38 of 44 0 of 1 2 of 2 3 of 9 1 of 2 36 of 36
Tatsuya Kawajiri 4 of 10 40% 3 of 8 1 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Dennis Bermudez 14 of 24 58% 11 of 20 2 of 3 1 of 1 4 of 12 5 of 6 5 of 6
Tatsuya Kawajiri 3 of 6 50% 3 of 5 0 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 0
WIN vs Jason Knight
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · Dec 11, 2015
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tatsuya Kawajiri 0 28 of 38 73% 97 of 113 6 of 8 75% 0 0 13:37
Jason Knight 0 28 of 42 66% 44 of 61 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tatsuya Kawajiri 0 11 of 14 78% 26 of 31 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:41
Jason Knight 0 13 of 17 76% 16 of 20 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
2 Tatsuya Kawajiri 0 10 of 13 76% 52 of 57 2 of 2 100% 0 0 4:34
Jason Knight 0 1 of 5 20% 4 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Tatsuya Kawajiri 0 7 of 11 63% 19 of 25 3 of 5 60% 0 0 4:22
Jason Knight 0 14 of 20 70% 24 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tatsuya Kawajiri 28 of 38 73% 25 of 35 2 of 2 1 of 1 6 of 12 0 of 0 22 of 26
Jason Knight 28 of 42 66% 28 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 1 8 of 20 2 of 3 18 of 19
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tatsuya Kawajiri 11 of 14 78% 10 of 13 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 10 of 12
Jason Knight 13 of 17 76% 13 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 5 0 of 0 12 of 12
2 Tatsuya Kawajiri 10 of 13 76% 10 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 9 of 10
Jason Knight 1 of 5 20% 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Tatsuya Kawajiri 7 of 11 63% 5 of 9 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 7 0 of 0 3 of 4
Jason Knight 14 of 20 70% 14 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0 6 of 10 2 of 3 6 of 7
WIN vs Dennis Siver
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs. Penne · Jun 20, 2015
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tatsuya Kawajiri 0 22 of 60 36% 90 of 137 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Dennis Siver 0 22 of 39 56% 47 of 68 4 of 14 28% 0 0 8:29
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tatsuya Kawajiri 0 13 of 33 39% 24 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Dennis Siver 0 7 of 15 46% 12 of 22 1 of 6 16% 0 0 1:36
2 Tatsuya Kawajiri 0 5 of 16 31% 27 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Dennis Siver 0 6 of 10 60% 19 of 25 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:22
3 Tatsuya Kawajiri 0 4 of 11 36% 39 of 49 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Dennis Siver 0 9 of 14 64% 16 of 21 2 of 6 33% 0 0 3:31
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tatsuya Kawajiri 22 of 60 36% 10 of 45 4 of 5 8 of 10 20 of 58 2 of 2 0 of 0
Dennis Siver 22 of 39 56% 15 of 31 6 of 7 1 of 1 17 of 34 0 of 0 5 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tatsuya Kawajiri 13 of 33 39% 7 of 27 3 of 3 3 of 3 11 of 31 2 of 2 0 of 0
Dennis Siver 7 of 15 46% 4 of 11 3 of 4 0 of 0 7 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Tatsuya Kawajiri 5 of 16 31% 1 of 11 1 of 1 3 of 4 5 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Dennis Siver 6 of 10 60% 3 of 7 2 of 2 1 of 1 5 of 9 0 of 0 1 of 1
3 Tatsuya Kawajiri 4 of 11 36% 2 of 7 0 of 1 2 of 3 4 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Dennis Siver 9 of 14 64% 8 of 13 1 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 10 0 of 0 4 of 4
LOSS vs Clay Guida
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs. Nelson · Apr 11, 2014
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Clay Guida 1 47 of 68 69% 92 of 113 3 of 10 30% 0 0 8:59
Tatsuya Kawajiri 0 19 of 51 37% 36 of 68 1 of 5 20% 1 0 2:46
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Clay Guida 1 15 of 20 75% 20 of 25 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:18
Tatsuya Kawajiri 0 4 of 12 33% 6 of 14 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:06
2 Clay Guida 0 14 of 21 66% 23 of 30 1 of 7 14% 0 0 4:00
Tatsuya Kawajiri 0 11 of 16 68% 26 of 31 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:04
3 Clay Guida 0 18 of 27 66% 49 of 58 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:41
Tatsuya Kawajiri 0 4 of 23 17% 4 of 23 0 of 1 0% 1 0 1:36
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Clay Guida 47 of 68 69% 18 of 39 7 of 7 22 of 22 12 of 32 17 of 17 18 of 19
Tatsuya Kawajiri 19 of 51 37% 18 of 48 0 of 2 1 of 1 12 of 43 7 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Clay Guida 15 of 20 75% 4 of 9 1 of 1 10 of 10 2 of 6 7 of 7 6 of 7
Tatsuya Kawajiri 4 of 12 33% 3 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 10 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Clay Guida 14 of 21 66% 4 of 11 0 of 0 10 of 10 4 of 11 10 of 10 0 of 0
Tatsuya Kawajiri 11 of 16 68% 11 of 15 0 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 10 6 of 6 0 of 0
3 Clay Guida 18 of 27 66% 10 of 19 6 of 6 2 of 2 6 of 15 0 of 0 12 of 12
Tatsuya Kawajiri 4 of 23 17% 4 of 22 0 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
WIN vs Sean Soriano
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 0:50 · UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs. Lim · Jan 04, 2014
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tatsuya Kawajiri 0 32 of 36 88% 62 of 66 3 of 12 25% 1 0 4:08
Sean Soriano 0 19 of 26 73% 23 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tatsuya Kawajiri 0 31 of 35 88% 61 of 65 2 of 10 20% 0 0 3:35
Sean Soriano 0 16 of 23 69% 19 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
2 Tatsuya Kawajiri 0 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:33
Sean Soriano 0 3 of 3 100% 4 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tatsuya Kawajiri 32 of 36 88% 30 of 34 0 of 0 2 of 2 6 of 10 0 of 0 26 of 26
Sean Soriano 19 of 26 73% 14 of 21 3 of 3 2 of 2 8 of 14 5 of 6 6 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tatsuya Kawajiri 31 of 35 88% 29 of 33 0 of 0 2 of 2 5 of 9 0 of 0 26 of 26
Sean Soriano 16 of 23 69% 13 of 20 1 of 1 2 of 2 7 of 13 3 of 4 6 of 6
2 Tatsuya Kawajiri 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sean Soriano 3 of 3 100% 1 of 1 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 2 0 of 0
Sean Soriano - Fight History
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · Nov 20, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke 0 17 of 49 34% 111 of 190 4 of 8 50% 0 2 7:25
Sean Soriano 0 35 of 56 62% 49 of 76 2 of 2 100% 0 2 1:45
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Shayilan Nuerdanbieke 0 5 of 21 23% 10 of 27 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:09
Sean Soriano 0 19 of 30 63% 22 of 34 1 of 1 100% 0 1 1:22
2 Shayilan Nuerdanbieke 0 9 of 18 50% 48 of 64 0 of 2 0% 0 2 2:53
Sean Soriano 0 12 of 19 63% 15 of 24 1 of 1 100% 0 1 0:23
3 Shayilan Nuerdanbieke 0 3 of 10 30% 53 of 99 3 of 3 100% 0 0 4:23
Sean Soriano 0 4 of 7 57% 12 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke 17 of 49 34% 11 of 38 2 of 5 4 of 6 15 of 47 0 of 0 2 of 2
Sean Soriano 35 of 56 62% 16 of 34 9 of 11 10 of 11 30 of 49 0 of 0 5 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Shayilan Nuerdanbieke 5 of 21 23% 1 of 14 2 of 3 2 of 4 5 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sean Soriano 19 of 30 63% 7 of 17 4 of 5 8 of 8 14 of 23 0 of 0 5 of 7
2 Shayilan Nuerdanbieke 9 of 18 50% 8 of 16 0 of 1 1 of 1 9 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sean Soriano 12 of 19 63% 6 of 11 5 of 6 1 of 2 12 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Shayilan Nuerdanbieke 3 of 10 30% 2 of 8 0 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 8 0 of 0 2 of 2
Sean Soriano 4 of 7 57% 3 of 6 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Nov 17, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke

Angelo leans toward Shayilan, trusting his forward pressure and wrestling game plan over Sean Soriano's inconsistency in the UFC. He notes Soriano has heavy hands and speed but hasn't risen to the occasion in the UFC, while Shayilan's striking defense is a concern. He calls it a tough pick and says it's more of a pick against Soriano than for Shayilan. He does not place a moneyline bet due to lack of confidence.

DraftKings price 7200 for Shayilan, 9000 for Soriano; monkey knife fight more/more
"i'm leaning towards shalilan here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 16, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke

Big Brady picks Shayilan Nuerdanbieke as a big underdog at +245. He points out that Sean Soriano has a 53% takedown defense and has been submitted or controlled in all four of his UFC fights. He believes Nuerdanbieke's wrestling and grappling can exploit that hole, and he predicts a second-round submission. He admits Nuerdanbieke is not a great fighter but feels the line is off.

win by submission, second round
"I'm going to pick shaolian outright at plus 245 ... give me him to win by like a second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Nov 18, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Sean Soriano

Cody picks Soriano but is nervous about the -290 price. He acknowledges Soriano's well-known grappling deficiencies but believes this is a favorable matchup. He notes that Soriano's opponent, Nuerdanbieke (Wolverine), is raw and was knocked out by a 19-year-old. Soriano is a superior striker and has been working on his wrestling. Cody thinks Soriano will win, possibly by knockout, but he is not fully confident due to Soriano's history of submission losses.

Cody mentions he might look for a Wolverine by submission prop, but ultimately picks Soriano.
"i'm gonna have to use him fairly high up i do think that uh he's gonna get the job done i'm not worried about the grappling shirt but this is his chance"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 18, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Sean Soriano

Daniel Levi picks Sean Soriano to win by knockout early. He praises Soriano's fast hands, explosive striking, and takedown defense. He notes that Soriano is on a different level than Nuerdanbieke, but worries about his history of bad decisions on the mat. Levi believes if Soriano doesn't mentally break, he will get his first UFC win.

knockout early
"i think soriano's gonna win this fight my knockout early but i wouldn't be shocked if it went the other way"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Sean Soriano

Lock sees this fight as binary: Shayilan wants takedowns, Soriano wants to keep it standing and knock him out. He thinks Soriano has much crisper striking and will find a knockout blow. He notes Shayilan struggles to hold opponents down and Soriano showed good takedown defense in his last fight. Lock prefers Soriano by KO at +220 rather than paying -275 on the moneyline.

Sean Soriano by KO +220, under 2.5 rounds
"I actually think he knocks them out plus 220 is a knockout prop here on soriano and you know I'm not willing to pay a minus 275 on a mediocre fighter."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Nov 18, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Sean Soriano

Paul picks Soriano but is not confident. He notes that Soriano has a clear path to victory via striking, but his grappling is a major liability. He points out that Nuerdanbieke is not a great wrestler and Soriano should be able to keep the fight standing. Paul is worried about the price and Soriano's history, but thinks this is a winnable matchup for him.

"i will pick him but i don't like the odds i'm going to pick him"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 15, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke

The MMA Guru picks Shayilan Nuerdanbieke over Sean Soriano. He notes that Soriano has been out-grappled throughout his career, and Nuerdanbieke is a younger, strong grappler with submission wins. He mentions that Nuerdanbieke took the Khalil fight on short notice, explaining his slowdown. He expects Nuerdanbieke to out-grapple Soriano and win by unanimous decision, winning the first two rounds and losing the third.

"i'm going to be going with shah yilan"
LOSS vs Christos Giagos
Technical Submission (brabo choke) R2 0:59 · UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · May 15, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Christos Giagos 0 22 of 54 40% 23 of 55 3 of 5 60% 1 0 0:59
Sean Soriano 0 33 of 53 62% 37 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Christos Giagos 0 21 of 48 43% 21 of 48 2 of 4 50% 0 0 0:32
Sean Soriano 0 29 of 45 64% 33 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Christos Giagos 0 1 of 6 16% 2 of 7 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:27
Sean Soriano 0 4 of 8 50% 4 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Christos Giagos 22 of 54 40% 15 of 43 5 of 9 2 of 2 19 of 50 2 of 3 1 of 1
Sean Soriano 33 of 53 62% 16 of 35 8 of 9 9 of 9 30 of 50 3 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Christos Giagos 21 of 48 43% 14 of 37 5 of 9 2 of 2 18 of 44 2 of 3 1 of 1
Sean Soriano 29 of 45 64% 13 of 28 8 of 9 8 of 8 26 of 42 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Christos Giagos 1 of 6 16% 1 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sean Soriano 4 of 8 50% 3 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 11, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Christos Giagos

Giagos has a clear path to victory via takedowns and top control. Soriano is on short notice and has historically poor takedown defense, giving up his back. Giagos averages about three takedowns per 15 minutes, though his cardio fades in round three. He should ride out at least two rounds for a decision win.

"I'm going to take diago's here I'm going to take him to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 12, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Christos Giagos

Cody picks Giagos, emphasizing that Soriano's takedown defense is non-existent and he gives up submissions easily. Cody believes Giagos will take him down and control the fight. He notes that Soriano's only path to victory is a first-round KO, but Giagos is durable.

Giagos by submission at +600.
"this thing favors giago's day and night 100"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked May 13, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Sean Soriano

Daniel Levi picks Sean Soriano as a dog, citing his technical kickboxing and the possibility that Giagos gasses. He notes that both fighters have cardio issues, but Soriano's striking could give him an edge if he doesn't get taken down. Levi is concerned about Soriano's history of gassing and getting choked out, but thinks at the dog price it's worth a shot.

dog or pass situation
"i will take the dog but um it could be one of those situations where he hasn't fixed the mistakes"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked May 13, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Christos Giagos

The host picks Giagos but expresses significant hesitation. He notes Giagos has decent striking but his bread and butter is grinding opponents on the ground, though his cardio looks suspect. He worries that if Soriano can stop takedowns and get his hands going, it could cause Giagos problems later in the fight. He ultimately thinks Giagos grinds out a decision but says he just can't trust him and thinks the line is too wide.

Giagos by decision
"at the end of the day i still will go with yago so i think he grinds this fight out i think he stays safe enough in the second or in the third round and then eventually gets a decision …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 12, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Christos Giagos

Paul picks Giagos, noting that Soriano has a clear weakness: he cannot stop takedowns and gives up his back. Paul believes Giagos will spam takedowns and either win by submission or decision. He mentions that Giagos is a decision machine but Soriano leaves his neck out, making a submission possible.

Giagos by submission at +600 (worth a sniff).
"the price on giago's by submissions plus 600 out there right now yeah that's worth it that's worth a sniff man"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 9, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Christos Giagos

The MMA Guru picks Christos Giagos over Sean Soriano, citing Giagos's impressive performance on short notice against Carlton Minus and a competitive fight with Drakkar Klose. He questions Soriano's recent win over an older Noah Lahat and notes Soriano is stepping in on short notice. He predicts Giagos will win the grappling exchanges and land more on the feet, winning a unanimous decision 30-27.

"i am going to be going with christos giagos here"
LOSS vs Charles Rosa
Submission (D'Arce choke) R3 4:43 · UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs. Siver · Jan 18, 2015
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Charles Rosa 0 37 of 102 36% 37 of 103 5 of 8 62% 4 0 5:36
Sean Soriano 0 69 of 109 63% 72 of 112 3 of 7 42% 0 0 3:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Charles Rosa 0 20 of 57 35% 20 of 57 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:41
Sean Soriano 0 30 of 58 51% 33 of 61 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:10
2 Charles Rosa 0 9 of 22 40% 9 of 22 2 of 3 66% 2 0 1:21
Sean Soriano 0 15 of 23 65% 15 of 23 3 of 5 60% 0 0 1:56
3 Charles Rosa 0 8 of 23 34% 8 of 24 1 of 1 100% 2 0 2:34
Sean Soriano 0 24 of 28 85% 24 of 28 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Charles Rosa 37 of 102 36% 25 of 85 8 of 12 4 of 5 30 of 88 5 of 10 2 of 4
Sean Soriano 69 of 109 63% 41 of 79 10 of 11 18 of 19 48 of 78 16 of 25 5 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Charles Rosa 20 of 57 35% 11 of 44 6 of 10 3 of 3 17 of 52 3 of 5 0 of 0
Sean Soriano 30 of 58 51% 16 of 42 5 of 6 9 of 10 20 of 40 7 of 14 3 of 4
2 Charles Rosa 9 of 22 40% 8 of 21 1 of 1 0 of 0 8 of 19 1 of 2 0 of 1
Sean Soriano 15 of 23 65% 10 of 18 1 of 1 4 of 4 12 of 19 2 of 3 1 of 1
3 Charles Rosa 8 of 23 34% 6 of 20 1 of 1 1 of 2 5 of 17 1 of 3 2 of 3
Sean Soriano 24 of 28 85% 15 of 19 4 of 4 5 of 5 16 of 19 7 of 8 1 of 1
LOSS vs Chas Skelly
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Mousasi · Sep 05, 2014
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chas Skelly 0 24 of 48 50% 34 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 3 3:00
Sean Soriano 0 13 of 36 36% 62 of 90 4 of 7 57% 7 2 9:59
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chas Skelly 0 4 of 14 28% 9 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 2 1:15
Sean Soriano 0 1 of 4 25% 19 of 22 2 of 3 66% 2 1 3:28
2 Chas Skelly 0 9 of 20 45% 9 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sean Soriano 0 8 of 20 40% 29 of 46 1 of 2 50% 3 0 3:58
3 Chas Skelly 0 11 of 14 78% 16 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:45
Sean Soriano 0 4 of 12 33% 14 of 22 1 of 2 50% 2 1 2:33
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chas Skelly 24 of 48 50% 19 of 38 2 of 7 3 of 3 12 of 24 5 of 7 7 of 17
Sean Soriano 13 of 36 36% 12 of 33 0 of 2 1 of 1 5 of 26 2 of 3 6 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chas Skelly 4 of 14 28% 3 of 13 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 2 1 of 1 3 of 11
Sean Soriano 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Chas Skelly 9 of 20 45% 7 of 13 0 of 5 2 of 2 8 of 17 1 of 3 0 of 0
Sean Soriano 8 of 20 40% 7 of 17 0 of 2 1 of 1 4 of 15 1 of 2 3 of 3
3 Chas Skelly 11 of 14 78% 9 of 12 1 of 1 1 of 1 4 of 5 3 of 3 4 of 6
Sean Soriano 4 of 12 33% 4 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 8 0 of 0 3 of 4
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 0:50 · UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs. Lim · Jan 04, 2014
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tatsuya Kawajiri 0 32 of 36 88% 62 of 66 3 of 12 25% 1 0 4:08
Sean Soriano 0 19 of 26 73% 23 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tatsuya Kawajiri 0 31 of 35 88% 61 of 65 2 of 10 20% 0 0 3:35
Sean Soriano 0 16 of 23 69% 19 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
2 Tatsuya Kawajiri 0 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:33
Sean Soriano 0 3 of 3 100% 4 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tatsuya Kawajiri 32 of 36 88% 30 of 34 0 of 0 2 of 2 6 of 10 0 of 0 26 of 26
Sean Soriano 19 of 26 73% 14 of 21 3 of 3 2 of 2 8 of 14 5 of 6 6 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tatsuya Kawajiri 31 of 35 88% 29 of 33 0 of 0 2 of 2 5 of 9 0 of 0 26 of 26
Sean Soriano 16 of 23 69% 13 of 20 1 of 1 2 of 2 7 of 13 3 of 4 6 of 6
2 Tatsuya Kawajiri 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sean Soriano 3 of 3 100% 1 of 1 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 2 0 of 0