UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate

Angelo picks Ketlen Vieira, citing her power, size, and solid takedown defense (92%). He notes Miesha Tate's striking is poor and she relies on takedowns, but Vieira has stuffed takedowns from Olympic wrestler Sarah McMahon. He expects Vieira to win by decision or late stoppage, and placed a moneyline bet at even money (+100). He also mentions live betting opportunities.

Big Brady picks Miesha Tate to win by late finish (4th or 5th round). He notes that Ketlen Vieira has never fought five rounds and tends to slow down in the third round, as seen in fights against Eubanks and Kanutsukai. He believes Tate's improved striking and wrestling will allow her to survive early and take over as Vieira fades. He sees a late stoppage as very live.

Cody believes Miesha Tate is undervalued as a slight underdog. He points to Tate's championship pedigree, improved striking, and excellent conditioning for a five-round fight. He highlights Ketlen Vieira's history of gassing in the third round of her fights, including against Yana Kunitskaya where she was out-struck 44-7. Cody argues that Tate's wrestling is good enough to stuff takedowns and that if the fight stays standing, Tate has the advantage. He expects Tate to take over in rounds four and five as Vieira fades.

Daniel Levi picks Ketlen Vieira despite her history of mental lapses and cardio issues. He notes that Vieira has superior skills across the board, including judo and power, but worries about her hitting a wall in later rounds. He believes Miesha Tate is stiff and slow, and that Vieira has no pressure on her in this fight. However, he acknowledges Tate's toughness and comeback ability, making this a hesitant pick.

Lock sees this as a classic early Vera vs late Tate fight. He thinks Vera gasses badly after round two, and Tate will take over with takedowns and top control. He notes Tate is hunting a finish and might get it late. Lock likes the under 4.5 rounds at +140 and Tate inside the distance at +375. He also sprinkled Tate round 4 and round 5 props.

Paul agrees with Cody's assessment, noting that Vieira's gas tank is a major concern, especially in a five-round fight. He references the Yana Kunitskaya fight where Vieira missed weight and gassed hard at the end of round three. Paul believes that if Vieira cannot put Tate away early, Tate will take over late. He also mentions that this could be a good live bet opportunity if Vieira slows down in round three and Tate is still available at plus money.

The MMA Guru picks Miesha Tate over Ketlen Vieira. He notes that Vieira slows down in later rounds, as seen against Yana Kunitskaya and Sijara Eubanks. He highlights Tate's championship experience, composure, and conditioning. He expects a stalemate on the feet early, but Tate to win scrambles and land ground and pound in the later rounds, finishing with a fourth-round TKO.

Angelo picks Sean Brady, citing his athleticism, power, and 100% takedown defense. He notes Chiesa is one-dimensional and has cardio issues, while Brady is more willing to strike and has clean doubles. He does not bet the moneyline but likes a prop: Michael Chiesa +3.5 rounds (win at least one round) at -150, as he expects Chiesa to win the third round due to Brady's potential fatigue.

Big Brady picks Michael Chiesa as an underdog at +140. He cites Chiesa's experience against top competition and his wrestling advantage. He notes that Sean Brady has not faced a wrestler of Chiesa's caliber and that Chiesa has controlled elite fighters like RDA and Neil Magny. He believes the striking is close but gives the wrestling edge to Chiesa, and predicts a decision win. He also mentions Brady is coming off an injury.

Cody is picking Brady but with low confidence due to the price tag. He notes that Brady is undefeated but has faced lower-level competition, while Chiesa is a step up. He highlights Brady's well-rounded skills: good striking, BJJ black belt, and excellent top game. He believes Brady can sprawl and out-strike Chiesa, and may even catch a guillotine if Chiesa gets reckless. However, he acknowledges Chiesa's size and durability, and that Chiesa has only lost to top grapplers like Kevin Lee, Anthony Pettis, and Vicente Luque.

Daniel Levi confidently picks Sean Brady to submit Michael Chiesa. He argues that Brady is extremely skilled, physically strong, and a black belt in jiu-jitsu with 100% takedown defense in the UFC. He criticizes Chiesa for having only a Plan A and mentally checking out when his grappling fails. Levi believes that if Chiesa gets his takedowns stuffed, he will panic, and Brady will capitalize with a submission.

Lock likes Brady but has concerns about his lack of footage off his back. He thinks Brady's wrestling is strong enough to counteract Chiesa's, and that Brady has a striking advantage with leg kicks. He notes Chiesa has mental lapses and a desk job that might distract him. Lock predicts Brady by decision at +275.

Paul is also picking Brady but is nervous about laying -160. He points out that Chiesa was a favorite just one fight ago against Vicente Luque, and that loss was a first-round submission that doesn't fully reflect the competitiveness. He notes Chiesa's size and ruggedness, but also his low striking output and lack of ground-and-pound. Paul thinks Brady's superior striking and grappling will eventually figure Chiesa out, but he's not confident enough to recommend a bet at the current price.

The MMA Guru picks Michael Chiesa as an underdog over Sean Brady. He argues that Brady has had close fights with Court McGee and Jake Matthews, and lacks KO power. He highlights Chiesa's size, reach advantage, and improvements on the feet. He expects a slow first round, then Chiesa to grind Brady against the cage, take him down, and finish with a rear-naked choke in the second round.

Angelo picks Taila Santos, saying she is better than Joanne Wood everywhere. He notes Taila's power, athleticism, and willingness to mix in takedowns, while Wood is technical but less powerful. He expects Taila to cruise to a decision win, though Wood is tough and could make it competitive. He does not bet due to high DraftKings price (9200) and expects a decision.

Big Brady picks Taila Santos confidently, stating the line is accurate and could be wider. He highlights Santos' phenomenal wrestling and grappling, noting she controlled top grapplers like Jillian Robertson and Roxy Modafferi for long periods. He points out Joanne Wood's 63% takedown defense and age (35), and believes Santos will dominate with takedowns and control. He predicts a one-sided decision.

Cody picks Taila Santos but strongly dislikes the -380 price. He acknowledges Santos's wrestling and grinding style should neutralize Wood's Muay Thai, but he questions the level of competition Santos has faced. He notes that Wood has fought the division's best and has better striking volume. Cody believes Santos wins via grinding against the cage and takedowns, but he would not bet her straight up at that price; he might include her in parlays lower down.

Daniel Levi picks Taila Santos confidently, citing her recent improvements and physicality. He notes that Santos has been looking better each fight, with strong muay Thai and takedown ability. He questions Joanne Wood's mental state, suggesting she may not be fully committed after getting married. Levi believes Santos will be stronger, more physical, and hungrier, and that Wood has a history of being broken mentally.

Lock is high on Santos, noting she looked much better in her second UFC fight. He thinks Santos has a grappling advantage and will land takedowns consistently. He also mentions Wood's distractions (recent marriage, talk of retirement) and that she struggles off her back. Lock expects Santos to win by decision at -135.

Paul argues that if you think Santos will win, the price shouldn't scare you off. He believes Santos's wrestling and strength advantage will allow her to grind Wood against the cage and render her Muay Thai useless. He thinks Santos wins at least 6-7 out of 10 times, which justifies the -380 line. He criticizes the mentality of flipping a pick based on odds and sticks with Santos as the winner.

The MMA Guru picks Joanne Wood as an underdog over Taila Santos. He argues that Santos's stand-up is not great and she hasn't dominated on the ground against top competition. He highlights Wood's experience against top flyweights, including wins over Lauren Murphy and Andrea Lee, and argues she was robbed in some losses. He expects Wood to outland Santos on the feet and win by unanimous decision (30-27).

Angelo picks Rani Yahya but calls it razor thin. He notes Yahya's relentless takedown attempts and superior grappling should be the difference, but Kang is the better striker and could keep it standing. He is concerned about Yahya's age (36) but says it's not as old as he thought. He expects Yahya to smother Kang with wrestling.

Big Brady picks Kyung Ho Kang to win by decision. He notes that Kang is the more well-rounded fighter, younger, and has better cardio. He believes Kang's 71% takedown defense and good grappling will keep him safe from Rani Yahya's submissions. He sees Kang having multiple paths to victory, including out-striking Yahya or using his own takedowns. He predicts a clear decision win.

Cody picks Kang but with low confidence. He notes that Kang often goes to split decisions and judges don't always favor his style. However, he believes Kang has the physical strength, judo, and grappling to implement a game plan similar to Ricky Simone's: box, defend the guard pull, pass, land a few strikes, and back out. He thinks Yahya is limited, with poor cardio and a one-dimensional guard-pulling game. Cody is not sold on Yahya's striking or wrestling improvements.

Daniel Levi picks Kyung Ho Kang, citing his well-rounded skills and better cardio. He notes that Kang has never been submitted in the UFC and can scramble well. He points out that Rani Yahya tends to gas out after seven minutes, shooting from a mile out, and that Kang can take advantage of that. Levi believes Kang has more weapons and less damage in his career, making him the pick.

Lock leans Kang but is not confident. He notes Kang has a height, reach, and youth advantage, and that Yahya gasses out. However, Kang has been off for two years and Yahya is dangerous on the ground. Lock thinks Kang by decision is the most likely outcome, but also likes a round three sprinkle because Yahya fades.

Paul agrees with Cody, noting that Yahya has looked a bit sharper recently but is still a guard puller with terrible cardio. He thinks Kang's path to victory is sprawling and brawling, and that Yahya will likely flop to his back in round three. Paul is not confident because Yahya is crafty and has burned tickets before, but he leans Kang due to Yahya's limitations.

The MMA Guru picks Rani Yahya over Kyung Ho Kang. He notes that Kang gets lazy on top in later rounds and has poor cardio, while Yahya is active and experienced. He expects Yahya to lose the first round but win the scrambles in the second and third, reversing position and landing strikes. He predicts a 29-28 unanimous decision for Yahya.

Angelo picks Adrian Yañez but is hesitant, noting Davey Grant has a clear path to victory via grappling. He acknowledges Yañez is the cleaner striker with a good chin, but Grant is a grappler at heart who could mix in takedowns. He does not place a bet because he sees value on Grant as a live dog. He expects Yañez to win but not confidently enough to bet.

Big Brady picks Adrian Yañez to win by third-round knockout. He praises Yañez's striking, speed, and volume, and notes his 100% takedown defense in the UFC. He believes Davey Grant's recent striking success won't work against Yañez, and that Yañez has paths to victory both on the feet and on the ground. He predicts Yañez will be the first to knock out Grant.

Cody picks Yañez despite the high price. He praises Yañez's crisp boxing and compares him to Jorge Masvidal. He notes that Yañez is a slow starter but takes over as opponents fade, as seen against Randy Costa. He believes Yañez's striking is superior and that Grant is hittable, having been wobbled in recent fights. Cody is concerned about Grant's takedowns and top game, but thinks Yañez's takedown defense will hold up and he will win rounds two and three.

Daniel Levi confidently picks Adrian Yañez to knock out Davey Grant. He praises Yañez's clean hands, countering ability, and toughness, noting that he has never been knocked out. He criticizes Grant's chin-up style and wild looping shots, believing Yañez's superior boxing will capitalize on openings. Levi predicts Yañez will be the first to knock out Grant.

Lock thinks Yañez will be the first to knock out Grant. He notes Grant has never been KO'd but has taken damage, especially in his last fight. Yañez has straight punches and speed advantage, and Lock believes he will counter Grant's looping hooks. He likes Yañez by KO at around -105 rather than the -310 moneyline.

Paul likes Yañez's hands but is concerned about the -320 price. He points out that Yañez had a bad first round against Randy Costa, looking gun-shy and overwhelmed by volume. He notes that Davey Grant is tough, has never been knocked out, and brings volume and pressure. Paul thinks Yañez could be a live bet candidate if he starts slow again. He is waiting for weigh-ins before committing fully.

The MMA Guru picks Adrian Yañez to win by KO in the first round. He notes that Davey Grant is open to shots, as seen in his fight against Jonathan Martinez where he was dropped. He highlights Yañez's quick hands, reach advantage, and training with Aljamain Sterling, which gives him confidence in grappling defense. He expects Yañez to find his range, land a big shot as Grant loads up, and finish with ground and pound.

Angelo picks Pat Sabatini, calling him an absolute dog with incredible grappling. He notes Tucker Lutz's striking is overrated and he has defensive holes, getting hit more than he lands despite being on top. He expects Sabatini to win by submission or decision, but does not place a bet due to tricky odds. He likes Sabatini's DraftKings price at 8700.

Big Brady picks Tucker Lutz as an underdog at +120. He believes Lutz has the striking and volume advantage and that his takedown defense is good enough to keep the fight standing. He notes that Pat Sabatini's striking is a liability and that Lutz can outpoint him for three rounds. He warns that if the fight goes to the mat, Sabatini is dangerous, but he trusts Lutz to fight smart and keep it on the feet.

Cody picks the underdog Tucker Lutz. He argues that Sabatini's grappling is excellent but his gas tank is questionable, as he gassed in the third round against Tristan Connolly. He notes that Sabatini's win over Jamal Emers was due to a mistake by Emers. Lutz is well-rounded with decent wrestling defense and technical boxing. Cody believes Lutz will sprawl and brawl, out-strike Sabatini, and win a close decision. He likes the plus money on a competitive fight.

Daniel Levi leans toward Tucker Lutz as the underdog, but admits it's a tough fight to pick. He respects both fighters' skills, calling it a chess match. He notes that Lutz has good volume and is improving each fight, while Sabatini is crafty with a high fight IQ. Levi expects Lutz to close the distance and land harder shots down the stretch, but is not confident.

Lock likes Lutz as the better striker with a high school wrestling background to defend takedowns. He thinks Lutz will keep the fight standing and pick Sabatini apart with combinations. He notes Sabatini's striking is flashy but not effective, and that Lutz has the tools to avoid Sabatini's submission game. Lock took Lutz at +110 and likes the decision prop.

Paul does not make a clear pick for this fight. He says he will consider Lutz but is waiting for weigh-ins. He does not express a strong opinion either way.

The MMA Guru picks Tucker Lutz as an underdog over Pat Sabatini. He notes that Sabatini was rocked by Jamal Emmers and has holes in his chin and range. He highlights Lutz's solid fundamentals, takedown defense, volume, and cardio. He expects Lutz to win by split decision (29-28), doing more damage in the second and third rounds.

Angelo picks Rafa García despite cardio concerns, citing his experience, power, and takedown defense. He notes Natan Levy is a good grappler but inexperienced and gets into bad scrambles. He does not place a moneyline bet but likes a prop: Rafa García wins inside the distance with decision no action at -150, which refunds if Rafa loses a decision. He expects Rafa to threaten a finish early.

Big Brady picks Natan Levy but with low confidence, calling it his least confident pick on the card. He notes that Levy is undefeated and well-rounded with solid striking, wrestling, and grappling, but his competition has been weak. He acknowledges Rafa Garcia has fought much better opposition and is tough. He expects a close fight and predicts Levy by decision, but he has no bet on this fight.

Cody picks Garcia but is nervous due to Garcia's last performance where he gassed after a fast start against Chris Gruetzemacher. He believes that loss was an anomaly, as Gruetzemacher is a durable grinder, while Levy is not. He notes that Levy has fought mostly at featherweight and may be undersized at lightweight. Garcia should have advantages in size, experience, and striking. Cody hopes Garcia paces himself better this time.

Daniel Levi picks Rafa García despite acknowledging Natan Levy's talent. He notes that García is very tough and has displayed heart in previous fights, even in losses. He questions whether Levy can handle a rough, bloody fight, while García has proven he can. Levi believes García's experience and toughness give him the edge, but he is hesitant because Levy has a brighter future.

Lock leans Garcia because he has fought more proven competition and has heavy hands. He thinks Garcia will be the one completing takedowns and controlling Levy on top. He notes Levy has been in trouble before, nearly getting knocked out by Ben Lugo. Lock sees a decision win for Garcia at +175, but also likes the KO prop at +650.

Paul agrees with Garcia but is cautious. He notes that Garcia opened at +110 and money has come in on him, but the loss to Gruetzemacher was horrible. He thinks Garcia's size and experience should be enough against Levy, who has been off for a year and may not have fought top competition. Paul is not fully confident but leans Garcia.

The MMA Guru picks Natan Levy over Rafa García. He expresses skepticism about Levy's kung fu background but notes that Levy looked good on the Contender Series, beating a bigger opponent in Shaheen Santana by triangle choke. He criticizes García for losing to Chris Gruetzemacher, calling it a disgrace. He expects Levy to win with his grappling, possibly by submission in the later rounds.

Angelo is confident in Loopy Godinez, citing her size, strength, and wrestling advantage. He notes Loma Lookboonmee is a good Muay Thai striker but undersized, and Loopy will bully her to the ground with takedowns. He placed a full unit moneyline bet at -150. He expects Loopy to be busy on top and win a decision or possibly get a stoppage.

Big Brady picks Loopy Godinez to win by submission. He argues that Godinez's loss to Luana Carolina was misleading because she moved up a weight class and faced a much larger opponent with great takedown defense. He believes Godinez is the much better grappler than Loma Lookboonmee and that Lookboonmee has been taken down and controlled in previous fights. He predicts Godinez will implement a wrestling-heavy game plan and find a submission.

Cody picks the underdog Lookboonmee. He argues that Godinez is not as good a wrestler as believed, citing her struggles against Jessica Pineda and Luana Carolina. He notes that Godinez has fought multiple times recently and may suffer from burnout. Lookboonmee has improved her wrestling under the Hickman brothers and has a striking advantage. Cody believes Lookboonmee can stuff takedowns and win on the feet, or even take Godinez down herself.

Daniel Levi confidently picks Loma Lookboonmee, citing her superior striking and takedown defense. He notes that Loma has a huge striking edge with her muay thai background and is comfortable defending takedowns against the cage. He criticizes Godinez for being a simple fighter who relies on force rather than technique. Levi believes Loma will win two of three rounds and survive any grappling success from Godinez.

Lock believes Godinez is being underrated. He notes that Godinez is a better wrestler than she showed against Luana Carolina, who is much bigger. At her natural weight class, her size and wrestling will matter. He thinks Godinez will have success with takedowns and top control, and that Lookboonmee is too small for 115. He also mentions Godinez has better striking than people give her credit for.

Paul agrees with Cody and bets Lookboonmee. He notes that Godinez's wrestling is overrated and she looked burnt out in her last fight. He thinks Lookboonmee's striking is superior and her takedown defense has improved. Paul is confident that Lookboonmee can keep the fight standing and win a decision or even get a finish.

The MMA Guru picks Loma Lookboonmee over Loopy Godinez. He notes that Godinez is taking the fight on short notice and has shown poor takedown defense, especially against Luana Carolina where she got stuffed and kneed to the body. He highlights Lookboonmee's excellent takedown defense and clinch work, particularly knees to the body. He expects Lookboonmee to stuff takedowns, land knees, and win by decision.

Angelo picks Aoriqileng, citing his better striking and footwork, but is nervous about Cody Durden's relentless takedown attempts. He notes Aoriqileng's takedown defense is listed at 100% but lacks data. He prefers a prop bet: Aoriqileng to win at least one round (+3.5) at -150, which he is monitoring for line movement. He expects Aoriqileng to win the fight but is not confident enough for a straight moneyline bet.

Big Brady picks Aoriqileng (Archie Long) as an underdog at +145. He notes that Aoriqileng impressed in his UFC debut despite a loss, showing good striking and takedown ability. He believes Aoriqileng has the cardio and striking advantage over Cody Durden, and predicts a second or third round knockout. He spent two hours breaking down this fight and favors Aoriqileng's offensive wrestling and ability to cut off the cage.

Cody picks the underdog Aoriqileng (Richie Lang). He is not sold on Durden's wrestling or striking, noting that Durden has a limited takedown game and poor cardio. He thinks Aoriqileng is the better striker, has better cardio, and is durable. He expects a close fight but leans towards the dog.

Daniel Levi picks Cody Durden, emphasizing the need to mix takedowns and clinch to slow down Aoriqileng. He notes that Durden went to a draw with Chris Gutierrez on short notice, showing his caliber. He warns against banging too long with Aoriqileng, who is durable and keeps walking forward. Levi believes Durden's wrestling and volume will earn him a decision.

Lock thinks Durden's wrestling will be too much for Aoriqileng. He notes Aoriqileng has been taken down by lesser competition, so Durden should have success. He sees Durden doing good work from top position and possibly getting a finish in the second round. Lock likes Durden inside the distance at +335.

Paul does not make a clear pick for the winner. He mentions he has bets on under 2.5 rounds and fight doesn't go to decision, but does not state a side on the moneyline.

The MMA Guru picks Cody Durden over Aoriqileng. He highlights Durden's grappling, especially his performance against Chris Gutierrez where he had his back for four minutes with submission attempts. He notes that Aoriqileng has been out-grappled and choked out in his career. He expects Durden to out-grapple Aoriqileng and win by close unanimous decision (29-28).

Angelo leans toward Shayilan, trusting his forward pressure and wrestling game plan over Sean Soriano's inconsistency in the UFC. He notes Soriano has heavy hands and speed but hasn't risen to the occasion in the UFC, while Shayilan's striking defense is a concern. He calls it a tough pick and says it's more of a pick against Soriano than for Shayilan. He does not place a moneyline bet due to lack of confidence.

Big Brady picks Shayilan Nuerdanbieke as a big underdog at +245. He points out that Sean Soriano has a 53% takedown defense and has been submitted or controlled in all four of his UFC fights. He believes Nuerdanbieke's wrestling and grappling can exploit that hole, and he predicts a second-round submission. He admits Nuerdanbieke is not a great fighter but feels the line is off.

Cody picks Soriano but is nervous about the -290 price. He acknowledges Soriano's well-known grappling deficiencies but believes this is a favorable matchup. He notes that Soriano's opponent, Nuerdanbieke (Wolverine), is raw and was knocked out by a 19-year-old. Soriano is a superior striker and has been working on his wrestling. Cody thinks Soriano will win, possibly by knockout, but he is not fully confident due to Soriano's history of submission losses.

Daniel Levi picks Sean Soriano to win by knockout early. He praises Soriano's fast hands, explosive striking, and takedown defense. He notes that Soriano is on a different level than Nuerdanbieke, but worries about his history of bad decisions on the mat. Levi believes if Soriano doesn't mentally break, he will get his first UFC win.

Lock sees this fight as binary: Shayilan wants takedowns, Soriano wants to keep it standing and knock him out. He thinks Soriano has much crisper striking and will find a knockout blow. He notes Shayilan struggles to hold opponents down and Soriano showed good takedown defense in his last fight. Lock prefers Soriano by KO at +220 rather than paying -275 on the moneyline.

Paul picks Soriano but is not confident. He notes that Soriano has a clear path to victory via striking, but his grappling is a major liability. He points out that Nuerdanbieke is not a great wrestler and Soriano should be able to keep the fight standing. Paul is worried about the price and Soriano's history, but thinks this is a winnable matchup for him.

The MMA Guru picks Shayilan Nuerdanbieke over Sean Soriano. He notes that Soriano has been out-grappled throughout his career, and Nuerdanbieke is a younger, strong grappler with submission wins. He mentions that Nuerdanbieke took the Khalil fight on short notice, explaining his slowdown. He expects Nuerdanbieke to out-grapple Soriano and win by unanimous decision, winning the first two rounds and losing the third.

Angelo picks Luana Pinheiro, citing her power striking, solid takedowns, and BJJ. He notes Sam Hughes is tough but hittable with a negative striking differential, and that Luana's grappling will be the difference. He expects a decision win rather than a finish, as Luana doesn't have one-punch KO power. He mentions the odds are probably correct at -290.

Big Brady picks Luana Pinheiro to win by first-round finish. He notes Pinheiro's phenomenal judo and ability to get the fight to the mat, but also highlights her gas tank issues as she hasn't seen the second round in over seven fights. He believes Sam Hughes' 44% takedown defense is a major hole and that Pinheiro will exploit it early. However, he warns that if Hughes survives the first round, the fight could get sketchy for Pinheiro.

Cody picks Pinheiro but is concerned about her cardio. He notes that all her wins are first-round finishes and she lost a decision when the fight went past the first round. However, he believes her judo and grappling are superior to Hughes's. He thinks Pinheiro will likely finish Hughes early, but if it goes longer, she may fade. He recommends betting Pinheiro inside the distance at plus money to mitigate the cardio risk.

Daniel Levi picks Luana Pinheiro to win by armbar. He notes her judo throws and power, but worries about her panic when fights go past the first round. He criticizes Sam Hughes for being hesitant and timid, and believes Pinheiro will build a 10-8 round early and cruise to victory. He expects a submission finish.

Lock likes Sam Hughes as a plus money underdog. He believes Pinheiro has a terrible gas tank and will fade if she doesn't finish early. Hughes is gritty and durable, and Lock thinks she can push a pace that exposes Pinheiro's cardio. He also notes that Hughes won a round off Loma Lookboonmee, showing she can compete. Lock took a half unit on Hughes moneyline and also sprinkled round props.

Paul picks Pinheiro confidently. He dismisses the controversy around her last fight, stating she looked dominant before the illegal kick. He believes her judo is upper echelon and she will easily take Hughes down. He notes that Hughes has been dominated on the ground by Lookboonmee and finished by Tisha Torres. Paul thinks Pinheiro is a real prospect and Hughes is a card filler.

The MMA Guru picks Luana Pinheiro over Sam Hughes. He notes that Sam Hughes has not looked impressive in her UFC fights, facing tough competition in Tisha Torres and Loma Lookboonmee. He highlights Pinheiro's dominant grappling performance against Randa Marcos, where she took her down five times and out-struck her on the feet. He expects Pinheiro to win on the feet and in grappling, likely by unanimous decision.