UFC 76: Knockout · Sep 22, 2007 · Light Heavyweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 76: Knockout Next Fight
Age 47
Height 6' 3"
Reach 77.0"
Weight 205 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 44
Height 6' 1"
Reach 76"
Weight 205 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Forrest Griffin
4.38 SLpM
36.0% Str. Acc.
2.81 SApM
61.0% Str. Def.
1.05 TD Avg
48.0% TD Acc.
57.0% TD Def.
0.7 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Maurício Rua
3.57 SLpM
50.0% Str. Acc.
2.79 SApM
54.0% Str. Def.
2.01 TD Avg
48.0% TD Acc.
49.0% TD Def.
0.7 Sub. Avg
Forrest Griffin - Fight History
WIN vs Tito Ortiz
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 148: Silva vs. Sonnen II · Jul 07, 2012
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Forrest Griffin 0 85 of 261 32% 104 of 280 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:51
Tito Ortiz 0 49 of 128 38% 68 of 147 3 of 6 50% 0 0 2:46
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Forrest Griffin 0 24 of 89 26% 25 of 90 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tito Ortiz 0 17 of 44 38% 21 of 48 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:52
2 Forrest Griffin 0 36 of 95 37% 43 of 102 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:35
Tito Ortiz 0 20 of 53 37% 22 of 55 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Forrest Griffin 0 25 of 77 32% 36 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:16
Tito Ortiz 0 12 of 31 38% 25 of 44 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:54
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Forrest Griffin 85 of 261 32% 54 of 205 20 of 36 11 of 20 81 of 253 4 of 8 0 of 0
Tito Ortiz 49 of 128 38% 47 of 123 2 of 5 0 of 0 40 of 115 4 of 6 5 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Forrest Griffin 24 of 89 26% 14 of 71 7 of 12 3 of 6 24 of 87 0 of 2 0 of 0
Tito Ortiz 17 of 44 38% 16 of 43 1 of 1 0 of 0 14 of 40 1 of 1 2 of 3
2 Forrest Griffin 36 of 95 37% 24 of 73 7 of 14 5 of 8 34 of 91 2 of 4 0 of 0
Tito Ortiz 20 of 53 37% 19 of 50 1 of 3 0 of 0 17 of 49 3 of 4 0 of 0
3 Forrest Griffin 25 of 77 32% 16 of 61 6 of 10 3 of 6 23 of 75 2 of 2 0 of 0
Tito Ortiz 12 of 31 38% 12 of 30 0 of 1 0 of 0 9 of 26 0 of 1 3 of 4
LOSS vs Maurício Rua
KO (punches) R1 1:53 · UFC 134: Silva vs. Okami · Aug 27, 2011
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Maurício Rua 1 16 of 29 55% 16 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Forrest Griffin 0 3 of 19 15% 3 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Maurício Rua 1 16 of 29 55% 16 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Forrest Griffin 0 3 of 19 15% 3 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Maurício Rua 16 of 29 55% 16 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0 8 of 17 0 of 1 8 of 11
Forrest Griffin 3 of 19 15% 1 of 12 0 of 3 2 of 4 3 of 18 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Maurício Rua 16 of 29 55% 16 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0 8 of 17 0 of 1 8 of 11
Forrest Griffin 3 of 19 15% 1 of 12 0 of 3 2 of 4 3 of 18 0 of 1 0 of 0
WIN vs Rich Franklin
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 126: Silva vs. Belfort · Feb 05, 2011
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Forrest Griffin 0 50 of 155 32% 126 of 249 5 of 7 71% 0 0 5:50
Rich Franklin 0 33 of 104 31% 40 of 112 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Forrest Griffin 0 12 of 30 40% 82 of 118 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:31
Rich Franklin 0 2 of 2 100% 8 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Forrest Griffin 0 19 of 61 31% 24 of 66 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:01
Rich Franklin 0 16 of 57 28% 16 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Forrest Griffin 0 19 of 64 29% 20 of 65 2 of 4 50% 0 0 0:18
Rich Franklin 0 15 of 45 33% 16 of 46 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:21
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Forrest Griffin 50 of 155 32% 28 of 120 12 of 20 10 of 15 33 of 119 3 of 5 14 of 31
Rich Franklin 33 of 104 31% 21 of 89 10 of 13 2 of 2 30 of 100 3 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Forrest Griffin 12 of 30 40% 9 of 27 2 of 2 1 of 1 1 of 3 0 of 0 11 of 27
Rich Franklin 2 of 2 100% 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Forrest Griffin 19 of 61 31% 12 of 47 4 of 7 3 of 7 17 of 57 0 of 1 2 of 3
Rich Franklin 16 of 57 28% 11 of 50 5 of 7 0 of 0 16 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Forrest Griffin 19 of 64 29% 7 of 46 6 of 11 6 of 7 15 of 59 3 of 4 1 of 1
Rich Franklin 15 of 45 33% 10 of 39 4 of 5 1 of 1 12 of 41 3 of 4 0 of 0
WIN vs Tito Ortiz
Decision (split) (28–29, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 106: Ortiz vs. Griffin 2 · Nov 21, 2009
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Forrest Griffin 0 70 of 206 33% 91 of 231 0 of 1 0% 0 1 1:11
Tito Ortiz 0 24 of 75 32% 56 of 109 3 of 9 33% 0 0 4:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Forrest Griffin 0 19 of 59 32% 22 of 62 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:37
Tito Ortiz 0 10 of 31 32% 26 of 47 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:18
2 Forrest Griffin 0 10 of 33 30% 28 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:34
Tito Ortiz 0 9 of 25 36% 25 of 43 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:51
3 Forrest Griffin 0 41 of 114 35% 41 of 114 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tito Ortiz 0 5 of 19 26% 5 of 19 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Forrest Griffin 70 of 206 33% 44 of 170 11 of 17 15 of 19 62 of 193 5 of 9 3 of 4
Tito Ortiz 24 of 75 32% 21 of 71 2 of 2 1 of 2 11 of 50 1 of 1 12 of 24
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Forrest Griffin 19 of 59 32% 10 of 47 5 of 6 4 of 6 15 of 53 4 of 6 0 of 0
Tito Ortiz 10 of 31 32% 8 of 29 1 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 23 1 of 1 4 of 7
2 Forrest Griffin 10 of 33 30% 6 of 27 2 of 3 2 of 3 7 of 28 0 of 1 3 of 4
Tito Ortiz 9 of 25 36% 9 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 8 0 of 0 8 of 17
3 Forrest Griffin 41 of 114 35% 28 of 96 4 of 8 9 of 10 40 of 112 1 of 2 0 of 0
Tito Ortiz 5 of 19 26% 4 of 17 1 of 1 0 of 1 5 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
LOSS vs Anderson Silva
KO (punch) R1 3:23 · UFC 101: Declaration · Aug 08, 2009
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Anderson Silva 3 13 of 25 52% 13 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
Forrest Griffin 0 3 of 42 7% 4 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Anderson Silva 3 13 of 25 52% 13 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
Forrest Griffin 0 3 of 42 7% 4 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Anderson Silva 13 of 25 52% 12 of 24 1 of 1 0 of 0 7 of 17 1 of 2 5 of 6
Forrest Griffin 3 of 42 7% 1 of 35 0 of 2 2 of 5 3 of 40 0 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Anderson Silva 13 of 25 52% 12 of 24 1 of 1 0 of 0 7 of 17 1 of 2 5 of 6
Forrest Griffin 3 of 42 7% 1 of 35 0 of 2 2 of 5 3 of 40 0 of 2 0 of 0
LOSS vs Rashad Evans
KO (punches) R3 2:46 · UFC 92: The Ultimate 2008 · Dec 27, 2008
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rashad Evans 0 49 of 103 47% 51 of 105 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:11
Forrest Griffin 0 50 of 149 33% 51 of 151 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rashad Evans 0 7 of 22 31% 7 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Forrest Griffin 0 14 of 62 22% 14 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Rashad Evans 0 16 of 39 41% 16 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Forrest Griffin 0 32 of 75 42% 32 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
3 Rashad Evans 0 26 of 42 61% 28 of 44 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:11
Forrest Griffin 0 4 of 12 33% 5 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rashad Evans 49 of 103 47% 44 of 96 1 of 2 4 of 5 24 of 64 0 of 0 25 of 39
Forrest Griffin 50 of 149 33% 16 of 100 10 of 17 24 of 32 44 of 141 6 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rashad Evans 7 of 22 31% 4 of 19 1 of 1 2 of 2 7 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Forrest Griffin 14 of 62 22% 4 of 44 3 of 7 7 of 11 14 of 62 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Rashad Evans 16 of 39 41% 14 of 35 0 of 1 2 of 3 16 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
Forrest Griffin 32 of 75 42% 11 of 47 5 of 8 16 of 20 26 of 67 6 of 8 0 of 0
3 Rashad Evans 26 of 42 61% 26 of 42 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 25 of 39
Forrest Griffin 4 of 12 33% 1 of 9 2 of 2 1 of 1 4 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Decision (unanimous) (48–46, 48–46, 49–46) R5 5:00 · UFC 86: Jackson vs. Griffin · Jul 05, 2008
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Forrest Griffin 0 77 of 276 27% 113 of 326 0 of 1 0% 3 0 4:47
Quinton Jackson 1 50 of 138 36% 73 of 163 0 of 1 0% 0 0 3:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Forrest Griffin 0 23 of 63 36% 26 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Quinton Jackson 1 16 of 33 48% 17 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:54
2 Forrest Griffin 0 16 of 35 45% 49 of 73 0 of 0 --- 2 0 4:41
Quinton Jackson 0 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Forrest Griffin 0 14 of 64 21% 14 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Quinton Jackson 0 8 of 32 25% 8 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
4 Forrest Griffin 0 2 of 33 6% 2 of 34 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:00
Quinton Jackson 0 14 of 33 42% 36 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:16
5 Forrest Griffin 0 22 of 81 27% 22 of 84 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Quinton Jackson 0 12 of 40 30% 12 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Forrest Griffin 77 of 276 27% 31 of 205 11 of 25 35 of 46 56 of 236 8 of 12 13 of 28
Quinton Jackson 50 of 138 36% 38 of 125 9 of 10 3 of 3 30 of 108 13 of 19 7 of 11
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Forrest Griffin 23 of 63 36% 6 of 41 4 of 8 13 of 14 19 of 58 4 of 5 0 of 0
Quinton Jackson 16 of 33 48% 12 of 29 2 of 2 2 of 2 7 of 19 4 of 6 5 of 8
2 Forrest Griffin 16 of 35 45% 13 of 31 1 of 1 2 of 3 2 of 4 1 of 3 13 of 28
Quinton Jackson 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Forrest Griffin 14 of 64 21% 3 of 44 1 of 5 10 of 15 14 of 64 0 of 0 0 of 0
Quinton Jackson 8 of 32 25% 6 of 30 2 of 2 0 of 0 7 of 30 1 of 2 0 of 0
4 Forrest Griffin 2 of 33 6% 1 of 25 0 of 3 1 of 5 2 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
Quinton Jackson 14 of 33 42% 13 of 32 1 of 1 0 of 0 7 of 24 5 of 6 2 of 3
5 Forrest Griffin 22 of 81 27% 8 of 64 5 of 8 9 of 9 19 of 77 3 of 4 0 of 0
Quinton Jackson 12 of 40 30% 7 of 34 4 of 5 1 of 1 9 of 35 3 of 5 0 of 0
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert picked Apr 20, 2026 (fight day)

The transcript does not discuss this fight. The podcast covers a different card (UFC Vegas 116) with Aljamain Sterling vs Youssef Zalal as the main event. No mention of Forrest Griffin or Quinton Jackson.

WIN vs Maurício Rua
Submission (rear-naked choke) R3 4:45 · UFC 76: Knockout · Sep 22, 2007
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Forrest Griffin 0 66 of 130 50% 146 of 214 2 of 2 100% 3 2 5:40
Maurício Rua 0 27 of 75 36% 53 of 105 5 of 12 41% 0 0 4:49
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Forrest Griffin 0 19 of 46 41% 40 of 68 1 of 1 100% 0 1 1:04
Maurício Rua 0 13 of 34 38% 23 of 46 3 of 6 50% 0 0 2:10
2 Forrest Griffin 0 27 of 53 50% 55 of 81 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:52
Maurício Rua 0 11 of 34 32% 20 of 45 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:01
3 Forrest Griffin 0 20 of 31 64% 51 of 65 0 of 0 --- 2 1 2:44
Maurício Rua 0 3 of 7 42% 10 of 14 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:38
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Forrest Griffin 66 of 130 50% 44 of 104 13 of 16 9 of 10 21 of 54 4 of 7 41 of 69
Maurício Rua 27 of 75 36% 21 of 69 3 of 3 3 of 3 14 of 50 3 of 3 10 of 22
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Forrest Griffin 19 of 46 41% 8 of 33 4 of 6 7 of 7 11 of 26 4 of 7 4 of 13
Maurício Rua 13 of 34 38% 10 of 31 1 of 1 2 of 2 8 of 23 1 of 1 4 of 10
2 Forrest Griffin 27 of 53 50% 21 of 45 5 of 6 1 of 2 8 of 23 0 of 0 19 of 30
Maurício Rua 11 of 34 32% 8 of 31 2 of 2 1 of 1 6 of 25 2 of 2 3 of 7
3 Forrest Griffin 20 of 31 64% 15 of 26 4 of 4 1 of 1 2 of 5 0 of 0 18 of 26
Maurício Rua 3 of 7 42% 3 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 5
Maurício Rua - Fight History
LOSS vs Ihor Potieria
TKO (punches) R1 4:05 · UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · Jan 21, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ihor Potieria 0 17 of 31 54% 21 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Maurício Rua 1 21 of 41 51% 27 of 47 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:38
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ihor Potieria 0 17 of 31 54% 21 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Maurício Rua 1 21 of 41 51% 27 of 47 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:38
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ihor Potieria 17 of 31 54% 4 of 17 3 of 4 10 of 10 17 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
Maurício Rua 21 of 41 51% 16 of 35 3 of 4 2 of 2 13 of 31 5 of 6 3 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ihor Potieria 17 of 31 54% 4 of 17 3 of 4 10 of 10 17 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
Maurício Rua 21 of 41 51% 16 of 35 3 of 4 2 of 2 13 of 31 5 of 6 3 of 4
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jan 16, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Ihor Potieria

Big Brady calls this the sketchiest fight on the card and is staying far away from betting. He notes Potieria has power and finishing ability, with most wins in the first round, but is not sold on his UFC caliber. Shogun is washed at 41 and has been for a while. Potieria has a huge hole in takedown defense, but Shogun doesn't wrestle much. He leans towards Potieria by first-round knockout but has no confidence.

"pateria first found knockout for me"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ihor Potieria

Cody picks Ihor Potieria confidently, noting Potieria's power, speed, and youth advantage over an aging Shogun. He says Shogun is past his prime, has poor durability, and is retiring, which historically leads to losses. He thinks Potieria will land something early and put Shogun away. He mentions Shogun's recent performances have been poor, and that Potieria is a limited striker but enough to beat the current Shogun.

mentions Shogun's retirement announcement as a negative factor
"I think he's going to land something he's going to put him away he showed in that sadolski fight on the contender series that he absolutely does have good power"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jan 19, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Ihor Potieria

Connor agrees with Zane, stating Shogun's prime ended in 2009 and he's been too slow and fragile. He notes Potieria is not very good but not bad enough to lose to Shogun at this point.

"He's a decent athlete with speed and size for the division."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ihor Potieria

Paul picks Ihor Potieria, agreeing with Cody. He says he hopes he's wrong but thinks Potieria will win. He notes Shogun's decline and the retirement announcement curse. He says he won't bet on this fight but picks Potieria. He mentions Shogun's legendary status but says his time is up.

not betting on this fight
"I hate to say I agree with you and I'm not even really going to add anything to it I hope I'm wrong I'm picking ihor I won't be betting on this fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Ihor Potieria

The Guru picks Potieria despite calling him a 'can crusher.' He notes Shogun is 41 and looked awful in recent fights, struggling against Saint Preux. Potieria is young and scrappy, and the Guru trusts the younger fighter to land first. He predicts a first-round TKO for Potieria, though he admits it would be nice to see Shogun win.

TKO in first round
"I'm going with Igor pateria I think you'll find the TKO on Shogun Shogun looks awful in his last few fights"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jan 19, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Ihor Potieria

Zane picks Potieria because Shogun is too slow and lacks durability. He notes Potieria is a decent athlete with speed and size, and can take shots. He mentions Shogun's recent losses to Paul Craig and OSP show he's done.

"You got to pick him because you can't pick Shogun anymore."
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · May 07, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ovince Saint Preux 0 54 of 99 54% 54 of 99 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Maurício Rua 0 62 of 112 55% 62 of 112 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ovince Saint Preux 0 20 of 38 52% 20 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Maurício Rua 0 20 of 34 58% 20 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Ovince Saint Preux 0 21 of 33 63% 21 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Maurício Rua 0 20 of 39 51% 20 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Ovince Saint Preux 0 13 of 28 46% 13 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Maurício Rua 0 22 of 39 56% 22 of 39 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ovince Saint Preux 54 of 99 54% 18 of 53 11 of 17 25 of 29 54 of 99 0 of 0 0 of 0
Maurício Rua 62 of 112 55% 18 of 57 36 of 43 8 of 12 62 of 112 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ovince Saint Preux 20 of 38 52% 4 of 20 6 of 7 10 of 11 20 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
Maurício Rua 20 of 34 58% 4 of 15 13 of 14 3 of 5 20 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Ovince Saint Preux 21 of 33 63% 8 of 14 4 of 8 9 of 11 21 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
Maurício Rua 20 of 39 51% 4 of 19 13 of 15 3 of 5 20 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Ovince Saint Preux 13 of 28 46% 6 of 19 1 of 2 6 of 7 13 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Maurício Rua 22 of 39 56% 10 of 23 10 of 14 2 of 2 22 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Apr 30, 2022 (7 days before fight)
Ovince Saint Preux

Angelo picks Ovince Saint Preux despite his gut feeling for Shogun. He reasons that Saint Preux's athleticism and 66% takedown defense will make it tough for Shogun to take him down. He admits it goes against his childhood watching fights but goes with Saint Preux. He makes no bet on this fight.

No bet
"I got to go with oven st prue here but i'm not no no bet i am not making a bet here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked May 2, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Ovince Saint Preux

Big Brady picks Ovince Saint Preux to win by first-round finish, but he is hesitant. He believes OSP is the less washed fighter and that Shogun has looked poor recently, getting knocked out by Paul Craig and struggling with aging opponents. Stylistically, OSP has the advantage on the feet and can also take Shogun down. However, OSP is 39 and has lost two in a row by knockout, so confidence is low. Brady expects OSP to finish Shogun early, but he would not recommend betting on this fight due to the red flags.

first round finish
"I gotta go osp here I'm going to say osp wins I'm going to say he kind of runs through shogun whether it's a knockout on the feet whether it's a grounded pound tko whether it's a submission on the …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 4, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ovince Saint Preux

Cody picks OSP, but emphasizes that weigh-ins are crucial. He notes OSP's recent weight misses and injuries, but believes OSP has been fighting better competition lately and giving a better account of himself. In contrast, Shogun is a shell of his former self, with poor performances in his last three fights. Cody thinks OSP's recent activity and level of competition give him the edge, despite the weight concerns.

"i gotta retain with osb here"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked May 5, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Maurício Rua

Daniel Levi picks Shogun Rua as a slight underdog, acknowledging he is a fanboy but also seeing a path to victory. He thinks Shogun has the better process and technique, and may be more motivated after being knocked out quickly in their first fight. However, he is not confident because Shogun's durability is a major concern. He considers a small half-unit bet on Shogun moneyline but does not commit to a bet in the transcript.

Daniel mentions he is not comfortable laying -250 on OSP. He considers a small bet on Shogun but does not confirm placing it. He notes OSP by KO at +250 is a decent prop but prefers moneyline.
"I'm picking Shogun to win this fight. I don't hate it man, and if you are gonna bet the fight, I mean with you if you're betting the money line no chance I'm laying chalk on OSP."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 6, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Ovince Saint Preux

The host picks Ovince Saint Preux to win by knockout, likely early. He references their first fight where OSP starched Shogun in 34 seconds. He notes Shogun's age and slowed striking, and OSP's desire to replicate the finish. He prefers betting 'fight doesn't go to decision' at similar odds to OSP moneyline, and likes OSP round 1 at +200. He expects OSP to land on Shogun's chin and put him out.

fight doesn't go to decision; OSP round 1 +200
"same proof decide here he's going to go out there he's going to land on the chin and put him out"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked May 4, 2022 (3 days before fight)

Paul does not make a clear pick for this fight. He discusses OSP's weight issues and Shogun's decline, noting that OSP hasn't looked great and Shogun is a shell of himself. He considers it a dogger pass situation and cannot pull the trigger on Shogun. He does not express a preference for either fighter.

"i guess it's a dogger pass situation again for me here like osp hasn't been looking great himself he's super slow it's probably pretty good matchmaking but like are you really gonna have the cajones to pull the trigger on …"
LOSS vs Paul Craig
TKO (submission to punches) R2 3:36 · UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · Nov 21, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Paul Craig 0 10 of 28 35% 25 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:44
Maurício Rua 0 29 of 57 50% 54 of 88 4 of 8 50% 0 1 3:46
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Paul Craig 0 6 of 15 40% 14 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:44
Maurício Rua 0 8 of 24 33% 21 of 39 2 of 3 66% 0 1 1:45
2 Paul Craig 0 4 of 13 30% 11 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Maurício Rua 0 21 of 33 63% 33 of 49 2 of 5 40% 0 0 2:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Paul Craig 10 of 28 35% 6 of 22 2 of 4 2 of 2 9 of 26 0 of 0 1 of 2
Maurício Rua 29 of 57 50% 17 of 38 4 of 9 8 of 10 16 of 35 4 of 11 9 of 11
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Paul Craig 6 of 15 40% 3 of 11 1 of 2 2 of 2 5 of 13 0 of 0 1 of 2
Maurício Rua 8 of 24 33% 3 of 15 1 of 4 4 of 5 5 of 15 3 of 9 0 of 0
2 Paul Craig 4 of 13 30% 3 of 11 1 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Maurício Rua 21 of 33 63% 14 of 23 3 of 5 4 of 5 11 of 20 1 of 2 9 of 11
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 18, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Paul Craig

Big Brady picks Paul Craig to win by first-round knockout. He notes Craig is improving and has a 100% finish rate, while Shogun is on his way out and looked poor in his last fight. He thinks Craig is the better striker now and will finish early.

"i'm going to say paul craig knocks out shogun in the first round"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Maurício Rua

Daniel picks Shogun as an underdog, citing his one-punch knockout power and experience. He notes Shogun's durability is waning but believes if he avoids an early finish, he can win on the scorecards. He sees Paul Craig's submission threat as less effective against Shogun, who survived Craig's guard in their first fight.

knockout
"i'm going to pick him to win outright and i think at the betting window it is a dogger pass situation i'm not going to disrespect the legend i'm gonna go with mauricio shogun hua to knock out paul craig"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Nov 17, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Paul Craig

The host picks Paul Craig to win by submission, but is not confident due to Craig's gas tank issues and the line being too high. He thinks Shogun's durability is fading and Craig's jiu-jitsu could get the finish, but recommends passing on betting this fight.

"I'm going to go with Paul Craig I'm going to go with the youth um I'm going to go with the potential of that Jiu-Jitsu"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 15, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Paul Craig

The MMA Guru picks Paul Craig to win by TKO in the first round. He believes Craig's youth will be a huge factor, and that Craig almost finished Shogun in the first fight. He expects Craig to be more explosive and get the finish standing.

first round tko
"i think he'll get the job done against shogun hua by tko in the first round"
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Whittaker vs. Till · Jul 26, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Maurício Rua 0 54 of 103 52% 78 of 129 2 of 4 50% 0 0 2:57
Antônio Rogério Nogueira 0 46 of 100 46% 75 of 129 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Maurício Rua 0 16 of 36 44% 24 of 46 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:29
Antônio Rogério Nogueira 0 13 of 30 43% 23 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Maurício Rua 0 15 of 31 48% 15 of 31 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:11
Antônio Rogério Nogueira 0 15 of 39 38% 34 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:21
3 Maurício Rua 0 23 of 36 63% 39 of 52 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:17
Antônio Rogério Nogueira 0 18 of 31 58% 18 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Maurício Rua 54 of 103 52% 27 of 72 11 of 14 16 of 17 45 of 91 6 of 6 3 of 6
Antônio Rogério Nogueira 46 of 100 46% 39 of 91 7 of 9 0 of 0 41 of 95 1 of 1 4 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Maurício Rua 16 of 36 44% 8 of 26 0 of 1 8 of 9 11 of 31 5 of 5 0 of 0
Antônio Rogério Nogueira 13 of 30 43% 13 of 29 0 of 1 0 of 0 13 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Maurício Rua 15 of 31 48% 7 of 22 5 of 6 3 of 3 14 of 30 1 of 1 0 of 0
Antônio Rogério Nogueira 15 of 39 38% 10 of 34 5 of 5 0 of 0 10 of 34 1 of 1 4 of 4
3 Maurício Rua 23 of 36 63% 12 of 24 6 of 7 5 of 5 20 of 30 0 of 0 3 of 6
Antônio Rogério Nogueira 18 of 31 58% 16 of 28 2 of 3 0 of 0 18 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jul 22, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Maurício Rua

Big Brady picks Shogun because he expects him to be the busier fighter and use takedowns, as he did in their previous fights. He acknowledges that Lil Nog has power and could knock Shogun out, especially given Shogun's poor performance against Paul Craig. He calls the fight ugly and says he wouldn't bet it, but leans Shogun by decision.

Shogun by decision; if betting, take a shot on Lil Nog by KO
"I'm gonna go with shogun here you know just because he's going to be the busier fighter the more active fighter"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jul 23, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Maurício Rua

Daniel leans Shogun because he has beaten Little Nog twice before and can revert to takedowns. He notes both are on the decline but Shogun's low kicks and takedowns should be the difference. He advises passing at the betting window and just enjoying the fight.

pass at the betting window
"i'm a lean with shogun he's beat him twice before he knows what he's got to do and he can always revert back to the takedowns to get it done so i'ma lean with shogun here but at the betting …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 23, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Maurício Rua

Shogun is six years younger and has shown better cardio, going three rounds with younger fighters and even finishing some late. Nogueira has been inactive and finished early in recent fights. Expect a tentative fight with clinching and takedowns, likely going over 1.5 rounds. Shogun should win by decision or late stoppage.

Over 1.5 rounds (-125)
"i like shogun to win this fight by decision or even third round stoppage"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 19, 2020 (7 days before fight)
Maurício Rua

The MMA Guru picks Shogun Rua, believing he still has something left, while Nogueira looks damaged and stiff from his career. He notes Nogueira is coming off a KO loss and shows signs of CTE. He predicts Shogun will get a TKO in the second round, but acknowledges both are old and anything can happen.

TKO in the second round
"I think Shogun gets him in the second round by TKO."
LOSS vs Paul Craig
Draw (split) (29–28, 28–29, 28–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · Nov 16, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Maurício Rua 0 25 of 66 37% 51 of 108 1 of 3 33% 0 0 8:21
Paul Craig 0 51 of 99 51% 106 of 160 1 of 4 25% 1 0 1:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Maurício Rua 0 7 of 24 29% 14 of 32 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:24
Paul Craig 0 31 of 58 53% 45 of 72 0 of 2 0% 1 0 1:05
2 Maurício Rua 0 9 of 24 37% 22 of 47 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:37
Paul Craig 0 10 of 16 62% 31 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Maurício Rua 0 9 of 18 50% 15 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:20
Paul Craig 0 10 of 25 40% 30 of 49 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:11
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Maurício Rua 25 of 66 37% 19 of 57 1 of 2 5 of 7 16 of 48 1 of 1 8 of 17
Paul Craig 51 of 99 51% 30 of 71 14 of 20 7 of 8 39 of 82 9 of 13 3 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Maurício Rua 7 of 24 29% 6 of 23 0 of 0 1 of 1 6 of 23 1 of 1 0 of 0
Paul Craig 31 of 58 53% 20 of 41 8 of 13 3 of 4 22 of 45 9 of 13 0 of 0
2 Maurício Rua 9 of 24 37% 8 of 22 0 of 1 1 of 1 4 of 13 0 of 0 5 of 11
Paul Craig 10 of 16 62% 6 of 11 3 of 4 1 of 1 8 of 14 0 of 0 2 of 2
3 Maurício Rua 9 of 18 50% 5 of 12 1 of 1 3 of 5 6 of 12 0 of 0 3 of 6
Paul Craig 10 of 25 40% 4 of 19 3 of 3 3 of 3 9 of 23 0 of 0 1 of 2
WIN vs Tyson Pedro
TKO (punches) R3 0:43 · UFC Fight Night: dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · Dec 02, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Maurício Rua 1 30 of 56 53% 62 of 94 3 of 5 60% 0 0 5:20
Tyson Pedro 0 31 of 44 70% 36 of 49 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Maurício Rua 0 10 of 21 47% 12 of 23 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:35
Tyson Pedro 0 30 of 41 73% 35 of 46 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:41
2 Maurício Rua 0 6 of 11 54% 36 of 47 2 of 2 100% 0 0 4:33
Tyson Pedro 0 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Maurício Rua 1 14 of 24 58% 14 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Tyson Pedro 0 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Maurício Rua 30 of 56 53% 23 of 45 2 of 3 5 of 8 12 of 26 1 of 2 17 of 28
Tyson Pedro 31 of 44 70% 21 of 33 9 of 10 1 of 1 21 of 33 10 of 11 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Maurício Rua 10 of 21 47% 6 of 15 1 of 2 3 of 4 8 of 18 1 of 2 1 of 1
Tyson Pedro 30 of 41 73% 20 of 31 9 of 9 1 of 1 20 of 30 10 of 11 0 of 0
2 Maurício Rua 6 of 11 54% 4 of 9 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 7
Tyson Pedro 0 of 2 0% 0 of 1 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Maurício Rua 14 of 24 58% 13 of 21 0 of 0 1 of 3 2 of 4 0 of 0 12 of 20
Tyson Pedro 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
LOSS vs Anthony Smith
KO (elbow and punches) R1 1:29 · UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · Jul 22, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Anthony Smith 0 4 of 12 33% 4 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Maurício Rua 1 23 of 31 74% 23 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Anthony Smith 0 4 of 12 33% 4 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Maurício Rua 1 23 of 31 74% 23 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Anthony Smith 4 of 12 33% 0 of 7 1 of 1 3 of 4 4 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Maurício Rua 23 of 31 74% 21 of 29 0 of 0 2 of 2 23 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Anthony Smith 4 of 12 33% 0 of 7 1 of 1 3 of 4 4 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Maurício Rua 23 of 31 74% 21 of 29 0 of 0 2 of 2 23 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
WIN vs Gian Villante
TKO (head kick and punches) R3 0:59 · UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · Mar 11, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Maurício Rua 2 94 of 173 54% 94 of 174 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:04
Gian Villante 0 55 of 151 36% 55 of 151 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Maurício Rua 1 39 of 77 50% 39 of 77 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:00
Gian Villante 0 25 of 69 36% 25 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
2 Maurício Rua 0 38 of 68 55% 38 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Gian Villante 0 27 of 68 39% 27 of 68 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Maurício Rua 1 17 of 28 60% 17 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gian Villante 0 3 of 14 21% 3 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Maurício Rua 94 of 173 54% 68 of 140 16 of 20 10 of 13 94 of 171 0 of 2 0 of 0
Gian Villante 55 of 151 36% 48 of 143 3 of 4 4 of 4 55 of 151 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Maurício Rua 39 of 77 50% 28 of 61 6 of 9 5 of 7 39 of 75 0 of 2 0 of 0
Gian Villante 25 of 69 36% 21 of 64 2 of 3 2 of 2 25 of 69 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Maurício Rua 38 of 68 55% 26 of 55 7 of 7 5 of 6 38 of 68 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gian Villante 27 of 68 39% 25 of 66 1 of 1 1 of 1 27 of 68 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Maurício Rua 17 of 28 60% 14 of 24 3 of 4 0 of 0 17 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gian Villante 3 of 14 21% 2 of 13 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0