Mizuki Inoue

Angelo picks Jacqueline Amorim with extreme confidence, calling minus 450 a gift. He highlights her elite grappling credentials (no-gi and BJJ world champion), powerful striking, and aggressive style. He notes Mizuki Inoue has fought only twice in five years and lacks power, making Amorim a safe bet.

Big Brady picks Jaqueline Amorim, citing Mizuki Inoue's inactivity and injury history. He notes Inoue has only three UFC fights in five years and can be taken down easily. While Inoue is a better striker, Brady expects Amorim to get the fight to the mat where her high-level BJJ and ground and pound will dominate. He mentions Amorim's cardio improvements since the Hughes fight and predicts a dominant decision win.

Cody picks Mizuki Inoue as a plus 350 underdog, citing her karate background, footwork, and takedown defense. He notes that Amorim is one-dimensional, relying on submissions, and has poor striking and takedown defense. Inoue has fought tough competition and has never been finished. Cody believes Inoue can keep the fight standing and win a decision or even submit Amorim.

Connor picks Amorim, noting that Inoue has a long history of injuries and inactivity, and her body may not be able to handle the rigors of fighting. He believes Amorim is physical and aggressive, and while her game is incomplete, she is likely to overwhelm Inoue. Connor also points out that Inoue's wins are mostly over lower-level competition, and she struggles against good physical athletes.

Daniel Vreeland is confident in Amorim's jiu-jitsu and believes she will submit Inoue. He notes that Inoue rarely fights and was taken down by Hannah Goldie, which bodes well for Amorim's takedown and submission game. He also mentions Amorim's experience competing in Abu Dhabi in pure jiu-jitsu.

Lucrative James picks Jaqueline Amorim confidently, citing her elite jiu-jitsu and takedowns. He notes Mizuki Inoue's long layoffs and injuries (knee, eye), which likely diminish her performance. He expects Amorim to get an early takedown and dominate, but questions whether she can finish due to Inoue's toughness. He considers an over 1.5 rounds bet because Inoue is durable.

The host believes Amorim's Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt will be too much for Inoue, who is returning from a two-year layoff. He expects Amorim to find a submission position and force the tap, indicating a confident pick.

Paul also picks Inoue, calling her his favorite dog on the card. He notes that Amorim's only path is submission, and if Inoue can stuff takedowns and avoid submissions, she can win. Paul mentions Inoue's experience against top competition and her training at Serra-Longo. He believes the plus 350 price offers great value.

The MMA Guru is confident in Jaqueline Amorim, citing her four-fight finish streak and submission skills. He notes that her only loss was to Sam Hughes early in her UFC career, but she has since developed strength and is on a roll. He predicts a submission finish in the first two rounds, as Amorim has been finishing opponents with armbars and rear-naked chokes. He dismisses Mizuki Inoue's inactivity and lack of major wins, calling Amorim a huge favorite for a reason.

Angelo is wary of Mizuki's three-year layoff due to injury and thinks the line is too wide. He notes Hannah's non-stop pace could win a decision. He does not make a pick on the moneyline, instead suggesting the over 2.5 rounds is the only bet he feels good about.

Big Brady picks Mizuki Inoue despite her three-year layoff, reasoning that Hannah Goldy is not good enough to pick against. He notes Inoue has solid striking and volume, but her grappling success has been against low-level opponents and her last submission win was in 2016. He expects the fight to go to decision and thinks it could be more competitive than the line suggests.

Cody picks Mizuki Inoue, buying into her training at Sarah Longo's gym. He notes her boxing combinations and volume, while Goldy is physical but lacks technique. He acknowledges Inoue's layoff and previous struggles but believes she has improved.

Daniel picks Mizuki but is wary of the price and her three-year layoff. He notes Goldy has been disappointing in the UFC, with poor takedown defense and low output. He thinks Mizuki's clinch and grappling will be key, and she can submit or dominate on the ground. However, he is not confident enough to lay -300.

Lucrative James briefly mentions Mizuki is a decent fighter and strong in the clinch, but he hasn't taped this fight and is not betting it. He thinks she will win but provides no detailed analysis.

The host picks Inoue but is hesitant due to the long layoff and minus 300 price. He notes Inoue's technical boxing and footwork, and expects her to outpoint Goldy on the feet. He worries about Goldy's physicality and grappling but thinks Inoue's training with Kanako Murata will help her defend takedowns. He predicts a decision win.

Paul picks Inoue but with low confidence. He notes Goldy's best performances are at 115 and Inoue has been off for three years. He thinks Inoue's boxing and movement should win, but won't bet at -300.

Big Brady picks Mizuki Inoue to win by decision. He questions Amanda Lemos' cardio, noting she looked tired in the Leslie Smith fight and was finished in the second round. Inoue has never been finished in 19 fights, has a good submission game, and survived five rounds against Jana Roba. Brady believes if Inoue can survive the first round, she will take over in the second and third, possibly getting a late finish.

Daniel Levi picks Mizuki Inoue to win a close decision. He notes Inoue has underrated boxing, high volume, and durability, and that she trains with top guys in New York. Levi acknowledges Lemos's power and improved cardio after dropping two weight classes, but believes Inoue's experience and pace will overwhelm Lemos in the later rounds. He mentions that Lemos's win over Granger was a split decision that should have been a clear loss, and that Inoue's pressure will be key.

Inoue is an efficient in-and-out striker with good footwork and striking defense. Lemos has power but questionable cardio, having gassed in her UFC debut. Inoue can survive the first round and then take over as Lemos fades. Inoue's submission defense is also solid. Expect Inoue to win a decision.