Mike Mathetha

Angelo is shooting his shot on Blood Diamond as a two-to-one underdog. He notes that Charlie Radtke is a big favorite but has questionable cardio and gets hit by regional-level fighters. If Blood Diamond can defend takedowns, his striking should be too much. Angelo plans to look for a KO prop at plus money when props drop.

Big Brady picks Charlie Radtke but is not confident laying the price. He notes Radtke's good jiu-jitsu and submission skills, but worries he hasn't wrestled much. He thinks if Radtke gets takedowns, he will submit Blood Diamond. He predicts a second-round submission.

Cody picks Mathetha as a value underdog, arguing that the line is inaccurate and that Radtke's wrestling may not be as effective as expected. He notes that Mathetha has a kickboxing background and could win if the fight stays standing. Cody is tempted by the plus money and sees this as a potential upset.

Daniel Levi picks Charlie Radtke but is not confident in the price. He thinks Radtke is overhyped and not as special as people claim. However, he gives Radtke the edge due to more MMA experience and offensive grappling. Levi notes that Mathetha has been off for over a year and could have improved his grappling, but until he sees it, he picks against him.

Radtke is a CFFC welterweight champion with a BJJ black belt, recently winning by submission. He closes distance well and uses trips and throws to get fights to the ground. Blood Diamond is a kickboxer who has been fed grapplers and is still seeking his first UFC win. Radtke should be competitive on the feet and then take the fight to the mat, working for a submission within the under 2.5 round mark. The pick is Radtke by submission.

Paul picks Radtke, citing his superior grappling and submission skills. He notes that Mathetha has poor takedown defense and that Radtke should be able to secure a submission. Paul likes the Radtke by submission prop and believes Radtke will win this fight even if he loses every other fight in the UFC.

Big Brady picks Orion Cosce to win by first-round submission. He notes Cosce is the wrestler with a 100% finish rate, but has cardio concerns if the fight extends past the first round. He believes Cosce will get takedowns early and finish Mathetha, who has a kickboxing background but limited MMA experience. Brady is staying away from betting this fight due to the sketchy nature of low-level matchups.

Cody picks Cosce, citing his wrestling advantage. He notes that Blood Diamond has zero takedown defense and will be taken down and mauled. He thinks Cosce will get the takedown early and deliver ground and pound. He also mentions that Cosce has cardio issues but expects him to finish inside two rounds. He says the price is about right but that Cosce should win.

Daniel picks Cosce but is not confident. He notes Cosce has serious gas tank issues and is not a great grappler. He acknowledges Blood Diamond's kickboxing background but says his MMA experience is minimal (3-1). He thinks if Cosce can take the fight to the ground, he can win, but if they stand and bang, it could get interesting. He does not want to lay -175 on Cosce, so he passes on betting.

Preet expects Cosce to get the fight to the ground quickly and finish early, or Blood Diamond catches him on the way in. He bet the under 1.5 rounds at +111, predicting an early finish either way. He notes Cosce's rough weight cut but still leans on his grappling to end it quickly.

Paul leans Cosce but is not confident. He notes that Blood Diamond is knockout or bust and that Cosce has a wrestling advantage. He thinks Cosce will take him down and finish him early, but if it goes to the second or third, Cosce's cardio could be an issue. He also mentions that Blood Diamond pulled out of the fight six weeks ago, which is a concern. He says he would wait for live betting after the first round.

Angelo picks Jeremiah Wells because he is the more complete MMA fighter with solid takedowns and very good BJJ. He acknowledges that Mathetha is a dangerous striker but believes Wells can close the distance, drop down for takedowns, and work his jiu-jitsu. He notes that Wells' striking is wild but sets up his grappling.

Big Brady is confident in Jeremiah Wells due to his well-rounded skills, power, and cardio. He notes Wells trains at Renzo Gracie Philly and has a legit black belt in BJJ with good wrestling. He expects Wells to take down Blood Diamond and submit him in the first round, as Blood Diamond's competition has been weak and his takedown defense is questionable. Brady also mentions Wells has never been knocked out.

Cody agrees, noting Wells' BJJ black belt and power. He thinks Mathetha's lack of ground game and poor fundamentals will be exposed. He expects Wells to finish early, possibly by submission.

Daniel Levi picks Jeremiah Wells, citing his experience, black belt in jiu-jitsu, and improvement on the feet. He notes that Mike Mathetha is a kickboxer transitioning to MMA with only three fights and a two-year layoff. Levi believes Wells will use his grappling to expose Mathetha's lack of MMA experience.

Wells is a strong grappler who should easily take Mathetha down and finish him. Mathetha is a kickboxer with poor takedown defense and has been controlled against the cage in past fights. Wells has seen harder shots and has cardio comparable to Mathetha. The inside the distance line at -125 is the best play as Wells should get a finish.

Paul is very confident in Wells, citing his grappling advantage and power. He notes Mathetha has no ground game and is a kickboxer with sloppy technique. He expects Wells to take him down and submit him early.