UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2

Angelo picks Adesanya to win by decision in a very competitive fight. He notes that Whittaker's path to victory is grappling, but Marvin Vettori tried that and still lost. He thinks Adesanya has surprises on the ground and is more precise with power. He suggests buying a few rounds on the scorecard for Whittaker as a prop.

Big Brady is confident in Adesanya due to his reach advantage, striking skills, and takedown defense. He dismisses the narrative that Whittaker will wrestle, noting Adesanya stuffed four takedowns from Vettori and still won 50-45. He believes Whittaker will struggle to close distance again, and Adesanya will win comfortably, possibly by late knockout. He calls it one of his most confident picks.

Cody believes Whittaker hasn't shown enough improvement since the first fight to change the outcome. He highlights Adesanya's superior striking and takedown defense, noting that even when taken down, Adesanya gets back up quickly. He thinks Whittaker's chin is compromised from the Yoel Romero wars and that Izzy will eventually land the knockout.

Daniel Levi picks Israel Adesanya to win the rematch, citing Adesanya's precision striking and ability to get inside opponents' heads. He notes that Whittaker has looked good in his three-fight win streak but hasn't shown anything to suggest he can overcome Adesanya's accuracy. Levi also mentions that Whittaker drops his left hand and that Adesanya's jab can change the fight. He expects Adesanya to win by decision this time.

Whittaker has improved since the first fight, with better game planning and activity. He should mix in takedowns and volume to win rounds. Adesanya has been taken down more recently, and Whittaker's style is more elusive than Vettori's. The odds are too wide; Whittaker should be closer to +150. He wins a decision.

Paul agrees with Cody that Adesanya will win again. He notes Whittaker's takedowns against Gastelum were opportunistic and won't work against Adesanya's improved takedown defense and get-up game. He thinks standing at range with Izzy is a losing strategy and expects a similar outcome to the first fight.

The MMA Guru picks Israel Adesanya by decision, citing his leg kicks, range control, and suspected PED use. He believes Whittaker's patience will play into Adesanya's game and that Adesanya's takedown defense and ability to get up will be key.

Angelo picks Tuivasa, believing he is the better striker with leg kicks that can slow down Lewis. He thinks Tuivasa's chin is good enough to absorb one big shot from Lewis. He acknowledges that Lewis is always live for a knockout but expects Tuivasa to chop down the tree with leg kicks.

Big Brady thinks Lewis will win by knockout, as Tuivasa's brawling style plays into Lewis's power. He notes Lewis has been finished by top heavyweights like Gane and JDS, but Tuivasa is not on that level. He expects a first round knockout but admits he can't be too confident in a heavyweight fight. He mentions Lewis's low volume but effective striking.

Cody picks Lewis, citing his proven power and resume against top heavyweights. He notes Tuivasa's wins are over lower-level opponents and that he has been rocked before. He expects Tuivasa to come out aggressive but Lewis to land the cleaner shot and finish him, possibly in the first round.

Daniel Levi picks Derrick Lewis to win, but acknowledges the appeal of Tai Tuivasa as a dog. He notes that Lewis has a history of coming back in fights and that his athleticism is underrated. Levi also mentions that Tuivasa is a more talented kickboxer at range and could land low kicks, but Lewis's momentum and power are key. He says he won't talk anyone off a shot of Tuivasa.

Both fighters have knockout power, but Lewis has the hometown advantage and has shown durability. Tuivasa has leg kicks but Lewis only needs one punch. The fight likely ends in the first round. Lewis by first-round KO is the pick, but it's not a lock due to Tuivasa's own power.

Paul expects a wild brawl but leans Lewis due to his experience against top competition and proven power. He notes Tuivasa is still green and has been rocked in fights, while Lewis has fought and beaten elite heavyweights. He thinks Lewis will catch Tuivasa with a more meaningful shot, likely in the first round.

The MMA Guru picks Derrick Lewis by first-round KO, citing his power advantage and durability. He expects a back-and-forth slugfest but believes Lewis will land the cleaner shot.

Angelo picks Cannonier, believing he can defend Brunson's takedowns and land his power shots. He notes that even when taken down, Cannonier has knocked out high-level grapplers like Hermansson and Branch. He questions Brunson's chin and thinks Kelvin Gastelum, a better wrestler, couldn't keep Cannonier down.

Big Brady believes Cannonier's takedown defense at middleweight is excellent (85%), and he will be able to stuff Brunson's takedowns and get back up if taken down. He notes Brunson is chinny and has been knocked out five times, and Cannonier has the power to knock him out. He predicts Cannonier will end Brunson's winning streak with a first round knockout.

Cody agrees with Paul, noting Brunson's wins are over grapplers and that Cannonier is a tough takedown. He highlights Cannonier's strength and cardio, and expects Brunson to get desperate and clipped. He thinks the line should be closer to -250.

Daniel Levi picks Jared Cannonier to knock out Derek Brunson. He believes Cannonier's takedown defense has improved and that he will stuff Brunson's takedowns and put pressure on him. Levi notes that Brunson's opponents haven't been top-level and that Brunson has been knocked out multiple times. He is not crazy about the price and will probably pass on betting, but he thinks Cannonier wins.

Cannonier has excellent takedown defense and knockout power. Brunson's wins have come against opponents with cardio or grappling issues, and he gets rocked in every fight. Cannonier should stuff takedowns and land a knockout. Brunson's grappling advantage won't be enough to hold Cannonier down. Expect a second-round KO.

Paul thinks Brunson's recent wins are over stylistically favorable opponents and that Cannonier's takedown defense and power will be too much. He notes Cannonier stuffed takedowns from Whittaker and Gastelum, and that Brunson's chin is suspect. He expects Cannonier to knock Brunson out.

The MMA Guru picks Jared Cannonier by third-round KO, citing his takedown defense, cardio, and power. He believes Brunson will slow down after failing takedowns and get caught with a left hook.

Angelo picks Hernandez as an underdog, citing his raw athleticism and power. He believes Hernandez must mix in takedowns to prevent Moicano from settling into a striking rhythm. He warns that if Hernandez just strikes, he'll lose, but if he threatens takedowns, he can land big shots or control on top. He compares it to Miles Johns' recent loss and hopes Hernandez doesn't repeat that.

Big Brady acknowledges Moicano is the better all-around fighter skill-for-skill, with superior striking and BJJ. However, he is concerned about Moicano's chin, as he has been knocked out by Fiziev, Korean Zombie, and Aldo. Brady believes Hernandez's power could be the difference, and he picks Hernandez to knock out Moicano early in the first round. He admits the line is about accurate but thinks the power advantage is key.

Cody agrees Moicano has the better all-around skill set, better volume, and cardio. He notes Hernandez is a confidence-based fighter who hesitates when pressured, as seen against Dober and Trinaldo. He expects Moicano to tire Hernandez out and possibly submit him.

Daniel Levi picks Renato Moicano, stating he is the more skilled fighter with better hands and overall game. He criticizes Alexander Hernandez's striking, saying he is not as good as he thinks and that Moicano's jiu-jitsu and grappling are superior. Levi notes that Moicano just needs to avoid getting clipped early and that Hernandez cannot maintain his pace for three rounds. He expects Moicano to win by submission or decision.

Moicano is the better overall fighter, especially if he uses his grappling. He has great leg kicks and can win a kickboxing match, but his durability is questionable. Hernandez has power but has struggled against grapplers and was outstruck by Thiago Moises. Moicano should find a submission or win inside the distance. The under 2.5 rounds is a good bet if available.

Paul thinks Moicano's leg kicks and volume will be key, and that Hernandez is susceptible to leg kicks. He notes Moicano's grappling is superior and that Hernandez tends to fade. He acknowledges the risk of Hernandez landing a big shot but believes Moicano's overall game wins out.

The MMA Guru picks Alexander Hernandez by first-round KO, trusting his momentum and power. He questions Moicano's chin and believes Hernandez's grappling can keep the fight standing early.

Angelo picks Bobby Green in a razor-thin decision, citing his toughness and grappling advantage. He worries that Green may fall in love with his hands after knocking out Al Iaquinta and not wrestle, which he believes is necessary to win. He notes that Haqparast is dangerous on the feet and may have improved his takedown defense after the Hooker loss.

Big Brady likes Green's recent form, noting his high volume and improved striking. He mentions Green outlanded Fiziev 143-104 in a close loss. He believes Green's wrestling will be key, as he can mix in takedowns to seal rounds. He expects a close fight but thinks Green will edge it by decision. He notes Haqparast has power but Green's volume and takedowns should be enough.

Cody picks Green, citing Haqparast's recent poor performances and lack of confidence. He thinks Green's antics and pressure will cause Haqparast to freeze. He notes the line is playable and should be closer to -200.

Daniel Levi picks Bobby Green, citing his experience, volume, and well-rounded game. He notes that Nasrat Haqparast relies heavily on his left hand and has been backing away since the Dober loss. Levi believes Green's volume and ability to mix in takedowns will overwhelm Haqparast. He bet Green at -135.

Green is a slick boxer who should outland Haqparast in exchanges. Haqparast is a striker but has been outclassed by better boxers. Green's chin is solid, and he should win a decision. The over 2.5 rounds at -225 is a better bet than the moneyline, as Green often fights close decisions.

Paul picks Green, noting Haqparast has looked gun-shy and inconsistent. He thinks Green's volume and pressure will be too much, and that Haqparast may freeze up. He warns that judges often score against Green, but believes Green should win a decision.

The MMA Guru picks Bobby Green by decision, believing his striking and range control will be too much for Nasrat Haqparast. He notes Green's close fights with top lightweights and Haqparast's one-dimensional boxing.

Angelo picks Arlovski, expecting a three-round kickboxing match where Arlovski's footwork and speed allow him to outpoint Vanderaa. He compares it to Arlovski's fight against Carlos Felipe and thinks Arlovski will jab his way to a decision win. He warns not to sleep on Vanderaa, who is better than his matchups suggest.

Big Brady believes Arlovski is the more skilled fighter despite being 42. He notes Arlovski has improved his striking defense and changed his style to be more conservative. He criticizes Vanderaa's 20% takedown defense and 39% striking defense, calling him a walking punching bag. Brady thinks Arlovski will win a decision, as he hasn't had a finish since 2015. He sees no clear path to victory for Vanderaa.

Cody picks Vanderaa as an underdog, citing Arlovski's age (43) and low output. He notes Vanderaa has a good chin and has shown volume in fights. He thinks Vanderaa can outwork Arlovski over three rounds, especially if he pressures.

Daniel Levi picks Andrei Arlovski, stating he is much faster and can fight for three rounds. He notes that Jared Vanderaa is slow and plodding, and that Arlovski's volume and boxing will win him the fight. Levi expects Arlovski to win a decision, as Vanderaa is durable but not a takedown threat.

Vanderaa is a solid striker with good combinations and forward pressure. Arlovski is an aging point-fighter who has faced low-output opponents recently. Vanderaa should win exchanges and has the power to hurt Arlovski. Arlovski's durability hasn't been tested by someone with Vanderaa's combination punching. Vanderaa is the dog of the night.

Paul thinks Arlovski is the more technical fighter and that Vanderaa doesn't have fight-ending power. He notes Arlovski has been winning decisions lately and expects a similar low-volume affair. He acknowledges Arlovski's age but believes he can edge out another win.

The MMA Guru picks Andrei Arlovski by decision, citing his veteran striking and experience. He views Vanderaa as a bottom-feeder who takes too much damage and expects Arlovski to pick him apart.

Angelo is very confident in O'Neill, calling her too good everywhere. He expects a dominant one-sided decision win, noting Modafferi's toughness but lack of athleticism. He mentions a parlay with Ronnie Lawrence and a potential prop bet on O'Neill by decision.

Big Brady acknowledges O'Neill's poor striking defense but believes she can take down Modafferi at will due to Modafferi's 25% takedown defense. He thinks O'Neill will control the fight on the ground and win a decision. He notes Modafferi is retiring and 39 years old, and while she is tough and has good BJJ defense, he doesn't see her winning. Brady picks O'Neill by decision.

Cody agrees, highlighting O'Neill's youth, improving skills, and physical strength. He notes Modafferi's takedown defense is poor and that O'Neill can dictate where the fight goes. He sees this as a passing of the torch.

Daniel Levi picks Casey O'Neill by decision. He acknowledges Modafferi's toughness and black belt in jiu-jitsu, but notes that O'Neill's pace and grappling pressure will be too much. Levi does not expect a finish because Modafferi has not been finished since 2013. He also mentions that Modafferi's retirement mindset may affect her performance.

O'Neill is the younger, more explosive fighter, but Modafferi is durable and has good grappling. O'Neill has shown vulnerabilities in being taken down and controlled, which is Modafferi's strength. Modafferi hasn't been finished in over a decade. O'Neill should eventually get the TKO in the later rounds, but the odds are too wide. This is a no-play for betting.

Paul thinks O'Neill's pressure and grappling will be too much for Modafferi. He notes Modafferi has been taken down frequently in recent fights and that O'Neill is strong and relentless. He expects a decision win for O'Neill, possibly a finish.

The MMA Guru picks Casey O'Neill by second-round ground-and-pound TKO. He criticizes Modafferi's striking and chin, and believes O'Neill's hunger and grappling will overwhelm the retiring veteran.

Angelo picks Phillips, expecting a competitive back-and-forth fight where Phillips leans on his wrestling. He notes that Phillips has made mistakes in the past that cost him, but believes his technical striking and grappling will be enough. He suggests a plus 3.5 prop bet on Rojo as an underdog.

Big Brady is very impressed with Phillips, calling him a skilled striker with good wrestling and BJJ. He believes Phillips should take the fight to the mat, where Rojo has been submitted multiple times. He predicts Phillips will win by first round submission. He notes Phillips' cardio is a concern but Rojo's cardio is also questionable. He thinks Phillips will look his price tag.

Cody defends the price, noting Phillips is young and talented. He thinks Phillips' cardio issues are overblown and that he should dominate Rojo, who is a brawler with poor cardio. He expects Phillips to win, possibly by finish.

Daniel Levi picks Kyler Phillips to win a decision, but expects a tough fight. He notes that Phillips is more dynamic and explosive early, but tends to slow down. Rojo is a durable dog who can drag Phillips into deep waters. Levi thinks Phillips will win but not cover the -430 line.

Phillips is the more skilled fighter with good movement and jiu-jitsu. Rojo is a brawler with knockout power but poor submission defense. Phillips should take the fight to the ground and submit Rojo. Phillips' cardio is a concern if he gasses, but he should finish early. The under 2.5 rounds is a good prop if plus money.

Paul picks Phillips but thinks the price is too high. He notes Phillips has cardio issues but should dominate early. He warns that Rojo could be dangerous if he survives the first round, and that the weight cut for Rojo is a concern.

The MMA Guru picks Kyler Phillips by decision, citing his well-rounded skills and learning from the Paiva fight. He expects Phillips to drop Rojo early but not chase the finish, winning a clear decision.

Angelo leans toward Ulberg because of his world-class kickboxing, but warns not to overvalue his credentials given his lack of MMA experience. He notes that Cherant is better than his UFC record suggests, with solid power and a decent chin. He thinks Ulberg will win but it's not a guarantee, as Cherant could pull something out.

Big Brady is extremely confident in Ulberg, calling it one of his most confident picks. He praises Ulberg's kickboxing background and pace, noting he landed 146 significant strikes in 8 minutes in his debut. He criticizes Cherant's performance against Alexa Camur, where he was outlanded 44-7 and attempted zero takedowns. Brady believes Cherant is a submission artist who doesn't shoot takedowns, making this a nightmare matchup. He predicts Ulberg will finish Cherant in the first round by KO.

Cody leans Ulberg but is hesitant due to the price and unknowns. He notes Ulberg has a size advantage and better striking, but his cardio and experience are question marks. He thinks Cherant could pull the upset if he uses takedowns.

Daniel Levi picks Carlos Ulberg to win by knockout. He criticizes Fabio Cherant's inactivity and mental issues, stating he is not ready for this level. Levi notes that Ulberg has high-level kickboxing and trains with the right people. He bet Ulberg at -200 and expects a highlight-reel knockout.

Ulberg has a significant height and reach advantage and should be able to snipe Cherant from distance. Cherant has poor reactions to getting hit, as seen in the William Knight fight. Ulberg's cardio is a concern after his debut, but Cherant is not a high-pressure wrestler. The line is too wide for a bet, but Ulberg should win by first-round KO.

Paul picks Ulberg but is wary of the price. He notes Ulberg has better striking and should be more tactical after his wild debut. He thinks Cherant's chin is compromised and Ulberg can knock him out, but acknowledges the unknowns.

The MMA Guru picks Carlos Ulberg by first-round TKO, citing his striking advantage and Cherant's poor chin and grappling. He expects Ulberg to chop at the legs and catch Cherant coming in.

Angelo is confident in Lawrence due to his relentless wrestling, noting his insane takedown numbers. He acknowledges that Martinez has power and will have opportunities on the feet when Lawrence's opponents get up, but believes Lawrence will shoot a million takedowns and control Martinez to remove the power threat. He calls it a parlay piece rather than a straight moneyline bet due to the odds.

Big Brady likes Lawrence's wrestling and fight IQ, noting he has landed 20 takedowns in two fights. He believes Lawrence will take Martinez down early and often, grinding out a decision. He acknowledges Martinez has power and could knock Lawrence out, but thinks Lawrence is smart enough to avoid that. Brady also notes Martinez's last performance was poor due to personal issues, but expects a better version. He picks Lawrence by decision.

Cody agrees, noting Martinez has shown poor takedown defense and cardio. He thinks Lawrence's pressure and grappling will be too much, and that Martinez's only path is an early knockout. He expects Lawrence to win decisively.

Daniel Levi picks Ronnie Lawrence, praising his relentless takedown attempts and work rate. He notes that Martinez has power but tends to wait, and that Lawrence's pressure will grind him down. Levi expects Lawrence to win a decision, as Martinez's knockout power is overrated against better competition.

Lawrence is a strong wrestler with excellent takedowns and top control. He should easily take Martinez down and overwhelm him. Martinez has decent striking but poor takedown defense. Lawrence's only concern is his weight cut, but if he makes weight, he should finish Martinez. The inside the distance line is a good play.

Paul is high on Lawrence, calling him a top prospect. He notes Lawrence's relentless pressure, takedowns, and cardio. He thinks Martinez is a first-round banger with no backup plan and that Lawrence will dominate on the ground.

The MMA Guru picks Ronnie Lawrence by unanimous decision, citing his unorthodox footwork and grappling. He believes Martinez struggled against lesser competition and will be confused by Lawrence's style.

Angelo picks A.J. Dobson, citing his incredible hand speed and power. He worries that Malkoun could wrestle but believes Dobson's speed advantage will allow him to land three times for every one of Malkoun's looping strikes. He dismisses the 'fade the contender series' narrative and expects Dobson to laser down the middle and touch Malkoun up.

Big Brady sees this fight going one of two ways: Dobson knocking out Malkoun early or Malkoun wrestling Dobson to a decision. He leans toward Dobson because of his power and finishing ability, but admits he's not confident due to lack of information on Dobson's takedown defense. He compares it to Malkoun's win over Abdul Razak Alhassan where Malkoun used wrestling. Brady picks Dobson by first round knockout but says he can't be too confident.

Cody leans Malkoun but is not confident. He notes Malkoun's grappling looked good against Alhassan, but his chin is a concern after the Phil Hawes KO. He thinks Dobson is explosive and could land a big shot, but Malkoun's path is via takedowns.

Daniel Levi picks Jacob Malkoun for an upset win, but is hesitant about the early going. He notes that A.J. Dobson is a freak athlete with power, but tends to overexert and fatigue. Malkoun's game plan of attempting many takedowns could work if he weathers the early storm. Levi mentions that Dobson was finished by a bum in amateurs, but that was years ago.

Dobson has power and trains with strong camps, but his grappling and cardio are unproven. Malkoun will shoot for takedowns early, and if Dobson can't stop them or finish early, Malkoun could take over in later rounds. Dobson's only decision win was against a low-level opponent. The pick is based on trusting Dobson's camp and power, but it's a slight lean.

Paul picks Malkoun, citing his grappling advantage and ability to grind out a win. He notes Dobson is wild and may gas. He expects Malkoun to take Dobson down and control him, but acknowledges the volatility.

The MMA Guru picks Jacob Malkoun, believing he has overcome his debut jitters and will use his grappling to control A.J. Dobson. He notes Dobson's debut pressure and Malkoun's experience against better competition like Abdul Razak Alhassan.

Angelo picks Morozov due to his wrestling advantage, noting that Andrade has been taken down in every loss. He believes Morozov can hang with Andrade's power, set a hard pace, and mix in takedowns to win a unanimous decision. He acknowledges Andrade's experience but thinks Morozov's pressure and top control will be decisive.

Big Brady is impressed with Morozov's well-rounded game, especially his fight IQ and takedown ability. He notes Morozov showed good striking against Khalid Taha and took him down six times. Brady believes Morozov will take down Silva de Andrade multiple times and control him on the mat, leading to a decision win. He also points out Silva de Andrade is 36 and has only one submission win, relying mostly on knockouts.

Cody picks Morozov, citing his high-level regional experience and grinding style. He notes Silva de Andrade has poor takedown defense and that Morozov can exploit that. He expects Morozov to take him down and control the fight.

Daniel Levi picks Sergey Morozov by decision. He notes that Morozov showed big improvements in his last fight and that his clinch and pressure will be key. Silva de Andrade has holes in the clinch and tends to rest. Levi believes Morozov will work harder and win a decision.

Morozov has a clear grappling advantage and should dominate de Andrade on the ground. De Andrade has shown vulnerability to wrestlers in the past, struggling to get up from under opponents like Henan Barou. Morozov trains at American Top Team and has sharp boxing to close distance. The only way de Andrade wins is by knockout, but Morozov's chin and unorthodox striking make that unlikely. Already placed 3 units and may add more.

Paul admits he hasn't watched tape on this fight and defers to Cody's analysis. He doesn't make a clear pick.

The MMA Guru picks Sergey Morozov, citing his grappling pressure and ability to slow down Douglas Silva de Andrade, who tends to fade. He notes Morozov's strong M1 Challenge background and believes he can secure a third-round rear-naked choke finish.

Angelo picks Jeremiah Wells because he is the more complete MMA fighter with solid takedowns and very good BJJ. He acknowledges that Mathetha is a dangerous striker but believes Wells can close the distance, drop down for takedowns, and work his jiu-jitsu. He notes that Wells' striking is wild but sets up his grappling.

Big Brady is confident in Jeremiah Wells due to his well-rounded skills, power, and cardio. He notes Wells trains at Renzo Gracie Philly and has a legit black belt in BJJ with good wrestling. He expects Wells to take down Blood Diamond and submit him in the first round, as Blood Diamond's competition has been weak and his takedown defense is questionable. Brady also mentions Wells has never been knocked out.

Cody agrees, noting Wells' BJJ black belt and power. He thinks Mathetha's lack of ground game and poor fundamentals will be exposed. He expects Wells to finish early, possibly by submission.

Daniel Levi picks Jeremiah Wells, citing his experience, black belt in jiu-jitsu, and improvement on the feet. He notes that Mike Mathetha is a kickboxer transitioning to MMA with only three fights and a two-year layoff. Levi believes Wells will use his grappling to expose Mathetha's lack of MMA experience.

Wells is a strong grappler who should easily take Mathetha down and finish him. Mathetha is a kickboxer with poor takedown defense and has been controlled against the cage in past fights. Wells has seen harder shots and has cardio comparable to Mathetha. The inside the distance line at -125 is the best play as Wells should get a finish.

Paul is very confident in Wells, citing his grappling advantage and power. He notes Mathetha has no ground game and is a kickboxer with sloppy technique. He expects Wells to take him down and submit him early.

The MMA Guru picks Jeremiah Wells to win by first-round KO. He criticizes Mike Mathetha's kickboxing level, calling him clumsy and overhyped, while noting Wells' explosive power and grappling advantage. He believes the debut pressure will be too much for Mathetha.

Angelo picks Grishin because Knight is on short notice and may lack the cardio to push his usual pace. He thinks Knight will come out explosive in the first round, then fade, allowing Grishin to take over. He notes that a full-camp Knight would be his pick, but under these circumstances, Grishin is the choice. He suggests live betting to monitor Knight's cardio.

Big Brady is impressed with Grishin's well-rounded game, noting his striking and takedown defense are solid. He criticizes Knight's 36% striking defense and 45% takedown defense, and notes Knight is coming in on short notice. Brady believes Grishin can expose these weaknesses, either by taking Knight down or knocking him out. He picks Grishin to win by second or third round knockout, but acknowledges Knight has power and could win.

Cody picks Grishin but is not fully confident. He notes Grishin is inconsistent but looked good against Jacoby. He thinks Knight could land a big shot but Grishin should win on volume and technique.

Daniel Levi leans toward William Knight as an underdog, noting Knight's explosive power and ability to change fights with one shot. He acknowledges that Maxim Grishin is more technical and experienced, but Knight's intangibles make him dangerous. Levi is not fully confident and calls it a dog or pass situation.

Grishin is a big light heavyweight who should be able to control Knight against the cage and outpoint him. Knight's only path to victory is a knockout, but Grishin is disciplined and can stay on the outside. Grishin's cardio is a concern, but he should win a decision if he fights smart. The line is a buy-low spot.

Paul picks Grishin, citing his size and reach advantage. He notes Knight is short for the division and relies on a check left hook. He thinks Grishin can pick Knight apart at range and avoid the big shot.

The MMA Guru picks William Knight by first-round KO, citing his athleticism and power. He accuses Knight of being on steroids and believes Grishin cannot avoid the knockout.