Charles Radtke

"Chuck Buffalo"
5-2
Record
Age / DOB 35
(Jul 09, 1990)
Height 5' 9"
Weight 170 lbs.
Reach 72.0"
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages
2.8 Sig. Strikes / Min
54.0% Sig. Strike Acc.
2.63 Absorbed / Min
54.0% Strike Defense
1.32 TD Avg / 15 min
30.0% TD Accuracy
100.0% TD Defense
0.7 Sub. / Fight
Win Methods (5)
KO/TKO 2
Submission 1
Decision 2
Loss Methods (2)
KO/TKO 2
Submission 0
Decision 0

Fight History

Result / Opponent
Event & Date
Method/Round
Links
Comments
UFC 327
Apr 11, 2026
Decision R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Charles Radtke 0 24 of 47 51% 121 of 164 4 of 5 80% 0 0 9:07
Francisco Prado 0 29 of 66 43% 41 of 79 0 of 0 --- 2 2 1:50
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Charles Radtke 0 7 of 11 63% 40 of 49 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:50
Francisco Prado 0 8 of 10 80% 9 of 11 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
2 Charles Radtke 0 5 of 8 62% 41 of 54 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:09
Francisco Prado 0 10 of 22 45% 17 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:40
3 Charles Radtke 0 12 of 28 42% 40 of 61 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:08
Francisco Prado 0 11 of 34 32% 15 of 38 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Charles Radtke 24 of 47 51% 24 of 46 0 of 1 0 of 0 14 of 33 1 of 1 9 of 13
Francisco Prado 29 of 66 43% 16 of 46 9 of 12 4 of 8 17 of 45 1 of 3 11 of 18
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Charles Radtke 7 of 11 63% 7 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 4 0 of 0 5 of 7
Francisco Prado 8 of 10 80% 2 of 4 3 of 3 3 of 3 8 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Charles Radtke 5 of 8 62% 5 of 7 0 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 5 0 of 0 2 of 3
Francisco Prado 10 of 22 45% 7 of 17 3 of 3 0 of 2 1 of 8 0 of 0 9 of 14
3 Charles Radtke 12 of 28 42% 12 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0 9 of 24 1 of 1 2 of 3
Francisco Prado 11 of 34 32% 7 of 25 3 of 6 1 of 3 8 of 27 1 of 3 2 of 4
Expert Picks (11)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 5, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

Angelo picks Charlie Radtke, citing his athletic grappling, powerful striking, and controlling ground game. He notes Radtke's tendency to slow down and be hittable but believes he has more tools than Prado. He expects a decision win, acknowledging Prado's toughness and durability despite his losing streak.

"Charlie has more tools in the bag if he can keep his pace, if he can keep his cardio. I think he can win this fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 5, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

Big Brady is not high on Prado, noting he is undersized for welterweight and has only one UFC win. He thinks Radtke will be the bigger, stronger, more physical fighter with wrestling and jiu-jitsu. He expects Radtke to take down Prado and win by decision, as Prado is durable and has never been finished.

decision
"Give me Radtke and Radtke by decision in the first fight of the night."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Apr 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Francisco Prado

Cody also picks Prado, noting Radtke's low output and Prado's improved wrestling. He thinks Prado can scramble back to his feet and land damaging shots.

"I'm going to take me some action there... Prao money line."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Charles Radtke

Connor picks Radtke based on his wrestling advantage and range tools. He notes that Prado's wrestling is terrible and Radtke can outwrestle him. He acknowledges Radtke's lack of durability but trusts his ability to control the fight with takedowns.

"I have to pick Radke to win it. Like by having any range tools by having, yeah, even just a check, a left hook that he likes to throw."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

Daniel Vreeland picks Charles Radtke, believing he will dominate. He notes that Radtke is a full-sized welterweight with good cardio and fight IQ, while Prado is moving up and has not shown high-level skills. He thinks Radtke will win clear rounds, possibly by decision.

"I like Radke a lot here. And I think it's just going to be domination."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 6, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Francisco Prado

Daniel thinks Radtke has plateaued and is a finished product, while Prado is young, durable, and improving. He expects Prado to be too tough and enthusiastic.

"I'm going to go Francisco Prada to get back on track."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Apr 6, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

James picks Radtke based on his grappling advantage, though he notes Radtke's weight cut issues. He expects a decision win via control.

"I'll pick Charles Raky via decision as of now."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Apr 7, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

Radtke's grappling and pressure should be enough to outwork Prado. Prado has a better gas tank and takedown defense than Radtke's last opponent, but Radtke's clinch and BJJ are strong. Prado's striking is his best path, but he often grapples unnecessarily. Radtke can grind out a decision, though the line is a bit steep for confidence.

Radtke wins by decision
"I still think he has a good enough shot to keeping this fight on his terms and that should lead to him grinding this fight out and winning it on the scorecards."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Francisco Prado

Paul picks Prado as an underdog, believing his power and durability can overcome Radtke's low-volume wrestling. He thinks Prado can land a big shot or win a decision.

"I'm going to take me some action there... Prao money line."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Charles Radtke

The MMA Guru picks Charles Radtke over Francisco Prado. He notes that Prado has lost four in a row and is a bit basic with a Mike Tyson style that hasn't worked at welterweight. Radtke has KO power and looked good against Brenneman, with a wrestling advantage and improved stand-up training with Belal Muhammad. He predicts a 29-28 decision win for Radtke.

"I'm going to pick him to win this one. I am."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Charles Radtke

Zane picks Radtke, agreeing that his wrestling will be the difference. He notes that Prado is durable but walks blindly into people, making him easy to take down. He acknowledges Radtke's chin issues but trusts his wrestling to secure the win.

"I'll take Radky for the wrestling advantage."
Submission R3 4:29
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Charles Radtke 0 31 of 38 81% 163 of 214 3 of 5 60% 2 0 11:41
Daniel Frunza 0 6 of 24 25% 68 of 102 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Charles Radtke 0 9 of 14 64% 60 of 87 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:43
Daniel Frunza 0 3 of 10 30% 14 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Charles Radtke 0 19 of 21 90% 66 of 72 1 of 3 33% 0 0 4:11
Daniel Frunza 0 1 of 7 14% 45 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Charles Radtke 0 3 of 3 100% 37 of 55 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:47
Daniel Frunza 0 2 of 7 28% 9 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Charles Radtke 31 of 38 81% 28 of 34 1 of 1 2 of 3 4 of 9 1 of 1 26 of 28
Daniel Frunza 6 of 24 25% 4 of 16 2 of 4 0 of 4 6 of 22 0 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Charles Radtke 9 of 14 64% 7 of 11 0 of 0 2 of 3 3 of 7 0 of 0 6 of 7
Daniel Frunza 3 of 10 30% 3 of 5 0 of 1 0 of 4 3 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Charles Radtke 19 of 21 90% 18 of 20 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 1 18 of 19
Daniel Frunza 1 of 7 14% 0 of 5 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 5 0 of 2 0 of 0
3 Charles Radtke 3 of 3 100% 3 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 2
Daniel Frunza 2 of 7 28% 1 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Charles Radtke

Angelo picks Charles Radtke, emphasizing his grappling advantage. He notes Radtke is a good grappler who can shoot doubles and control on top, while Frunza is a solid striker but easily taken down. He believes Radtke can finish on the ground and will include him in his lineup. He warns that Radtke sometimes slugs it out, which is a risk, but expects him to wrestle.

"I'm going to pick Charles, and I'm going to shoot my shot and throw him in the lineup because he A has a bunch of finishes, and B all he has to do is wrestle."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Charles Radtke

Big Brady picks Charles Radtke, calling Daniel Frunza's debut terrible and noting Frunza is hittable and has been finished in losses. He highlights Radtke's power, BJJ black belt, and training at Valley Flow. He thinks Radtke should wrestle and submit Frunza, but also sees a first-round finish on the feet. He predicts a first-round submission.

first round submission
"Give me Charles Raky. I'll [snorts] say Raky wins this fight by first round submission."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

Connor also picks Radtke, citing his athleticism, speed, and power. He notes that technically Frunza may be better, but Frunza lacks physical durability and confidence, as shown in the McKee fight. He thinks Radtke's left hook will be decisive.

"I'll take Radke mostly for like the athleticism the speed and the power."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Oct 27, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Daniel Frunza

Lucrative James picks Daniel Frunza as the underdog, calling it a close fight. He notes Radtke's powerful left hook but also his tendency to overextend. Frunza is tough and has been tested in wars. James sees value in the underdog line and expects a competitive striking matchup, possibly ending in a knockout. He also mentions interest in betting the under.

under 1.5 rounds, under 2.5 rounds
"I'm just going to pick the underdog in this one. Daniel Fun's at plus 120."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Daniel Frunza

Frunza is the superior striker and his defensive grappling has improved enough that Radtke will struggle to use his BJJ. Once forced to strike, Frunza will catch Radtke and knock him out. Surprised Frunza is at plus money.

surprised at plus money, knockout
"Kind of surprised we're getting Frenza at plus money here as I think he is the superior striker. And I think his defensive grappling has improved enough that Radkkey will struggle to utilize his BJJ black belt. And once he's forced to strike with Fanza, that's when Franzo will catch him and eventually knock him out."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

The MMA Guru picks Charles Radtke, citing his power and the fact that Daniel Frunza was dropped multiple times by Reese McKee. He believes Radtke's hooks will be too much for Frunza, predicting a first round TKO. He notes Radtke's losses are to high-level fighters like Carlos Prates and Mike Malott.

first round TKO
"I'm going to go with Charles Radtke getting this one done by first round TKO."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

Zane picks Radtke because he is a brainless goon with a power left hook, and nothing about Frunza suggests he can handle even one hard left hook. He notes that Frunza looked spooked when hit hard by Reese McKee and lacks durability and confidence. He expects a quick knockout.

"I'm gonna pick Charles Radke. Because he is a brainless goon with a power left hook."
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mike Malott 1 36 of 61 59% 36 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Charles Radtke 0 10 of 33 30% 10 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mike Malott 0 27 of 47 57% 27 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Charles Radtke 0 10 of 29 34% 10 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Mike Malott 1 9 of 14 64% 9 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Charles Radtke 0 0 of 4 0% 0 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mike Malott 36 of 61 59% 21 of 42 5 of 9 10 of 10 28 of 51 2 of 3 6 of 7
Charles Radtke 10 of 33 30% 9 of 31 0 of 0 1 of 2 9 of 31 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mike Malott 27 of 47 57% 12 of 29 5 of 8 10 of 10 25 of 44 2 of 3 0 of 0
Charles Radtke 10 of 29 34% 9 of 27 0 of 0 1 of 2 9 of 27 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Mike Malott 9 of 14 64% 9 of 13 0 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 7 0 of 0 6 of 7
Charles Radtke 0 of 4 0% 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Mike Malott vs. Charlie Radtke
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Malott (-192), Radtke (+160)

Round 1
Halifax native Malott (11-2-1, 4-1 UFC) will attempt to put a bow on the prelims for his home country fans, and with 10 stoppages in his 11 pro wins, referee Marc Goddard will need to be on his A game. Standing across from him is a frustrated but very dangerous Radtke (10-4, 3-1 UFC), who does not like being booed even though he is in hostile territory. Tensions ran high at the weigh-ins as Radtke flipped off the crowd while draped in an American flag, and he will have the next 15 minutes or less to send an additional message. There is no touch of gloves to get going. Radtke reaches the center of the cage first, advancing forward and walking through a stomping kick to his knee so he can lash out with a right hand. Radtke dodges it and pushes off with a side kick, and he steps in with a left hand and a push kick. Malott sits down on a trio of punches to catch Radtke unaware, who tanks them well and responds with an overhand right. Malott kicks the lead knee a few more times, and he connects with a left hand over the top. Crude chants against Radtke rain down, who is promptly kicked in the ribs by the Canadian. Malott pins a one-two on the chin, and he dances out of the way of a counter. Malott sits down in four crisp punches, with Radtke’s chin holding up well. The chants rain down again, directing Radtke to do something inappropriate as Malott wraps a head kick around his guard and chains a spinning back kick into it. Radtke plods forward, clubbing Malott with a pair of hooks. Malott aims a front kick and connects at the end of a one-two, and he continues to beat on Radtke’s knee. The chants come a third time, and Malott channels that energy by kicking “Chuck Buffalo” in the head. Radtke swarms him, catching Malott with several punches that shake him up. Malott responds with a knee to the gut and breaks off, kicking the front leg on the way out. The punches from the American bust Malott’s nose open, who crashes the pocket and misses the mark with a swinging left. Malott connects with a body kick, leaning back to avoid a left hand and working on Radtke’s knee again. Radtke eats a few punches to swing on Malott, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Malott
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Malott

Round 2
The fighters meet in the middle, and they promptly throw hands. Malott backs off, parrying the advancing Radtke and blasting him with a left hook that makes him crash into the cage. Malott whiffs on a high kick as Radtke circles away to get his bearings, and he walks the American down and plants a one-two square on his forehead.
This time, Malott does not stop with two punches, and the third, a crisp left hook, sends “Chuck Buffalo” collapsing to his seat. Radtke lays on his back clutching his head, and Malott sprints towards him and bombards him with five blistering punches that knock Radtke all the way out and back in again. As the Canadian drums Radtke’s skull off the cage floor, blood spraying from his busted jaw, Goddard runs towards them to stop the fight
. The audience that had already voiced full-throated support for their man goes ballistic, and it is deafening in the building. “Proper Mike” hoists the Canadian flag and climbs to the top of the cage, waving it in the air as he drinks in all the love in the building. Radtke sits up and tries to stand, but he has to be helped to the stool. Malott goes to shake hands with everyone willing to engage him, and he slams his hand on the corner post of a sponsor to make a point. The fighters shake hands, burying any beef that had developed during the week.

The Official Result
Mike Malott def. Charlie Radtke R2 0:26 via KO (Punches)
Expert Picks (4)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked May 4, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Angelo picks Mike Malott as the better fighter but expresses concern about his quit against Neil Magny. He notes Malott is faster and more athletic, but Radtke is tough and could surge late. He has already placed a parlay with Malott and Jasmine Jasudavicius at plus money. He hopes Malott has learned from his loss.

Placed parlay with Jasmine Jasudavicius at plus money
"Mike's the better fighter here. He's faster, he's more athletic, he's has cleaner skills overall, but he's not the tougher guy."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 6, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

Big Brady questions Mike Malott's heart, cardio, and chin, noting he was broken by Neil Magny. He thinks Radtke is physically strong, has great takedown defense, and possesses a powerful left hook. He predicts Radtke will land that left hook and knock out Malott in the second round, as Malott is hittable and has a suspect chin.

Radtke wins by knockout in round 2
"I'm going Charles Raky here to win this fight. ... I think Raky lands that left hook and knocks out Mike Malot in the second round."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked May 7, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mike Malott

The host has low confidence but believes Malott is the technically superior striker who can thwart Radtke's aggression. He suggests the fight likely won't go to decision and expects Malott to get a submission or KO.

Fight doesn't go to decision
"Not a whole lot of confidence here and I think fight doesn't go to decision will likely be the best course of action in this matchup."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 6, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

The MMA Guru picks Radtke, citing his initial instinct that Radtke would chin Malott. He thinks Radtke's pressure, left hook, and volume will overwhelm Malott, who has a suspect nose and struggled against pressure in the Gall fight. He predicts a first-round TKO, noting Radtke's power and Malott's potential grappling disadvantage.

first round TKO
"I'm going to go with Charles Radkkey getting this one done in an upset by TKO. I'm assuming this is an upset."
TKO (punches) R1 0:51
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Charles Radtke 0 2 of 8 25% 2 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Matthew Semelsberger 0 7 of 12 58% 7 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Charles Radtke 0 2 of 8 25% 2 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Matthew Semelsberger 0 7 of 12 58% 7 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Charles Radtke 2 of 8 25% 1 of 7 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Matthew Semelsberger 7 of 12 58% 6 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 1 7 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Charles Radtke 2 of 8 25% 1 of 7 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Matthew Semelsberger 7 of 12 58% 6 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 1 7 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

Angelo picks Charles Radtke because he believes Radtke will land the better shots and get takedowns. He notes Radtke is an athletic grappler with power, while Semelsberger is an aggressive striker with poor takedown defense (45%). He thinks Semelsberger's toughness will keep him in the fight but doesn't see him winning. He also likes the over 1.5 rounds line if available, as both are tough.

over 1.5 rounds if available
"I think Charlie's going to land the better shot shs get the takedowns which hopefully we'll start to see more of and I think he wins this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

Big Brady likes Radtke's multiple paths to victory: power on the feet and a clear grappling advantage. He criticizes Semelsberger's poor takedown defense and low volume, noting that Radtke is a BJJ black belt with submission wins. He predicts a second-round submission.

Radtke by submission, round 2
"I'll take racky to win this fight I think it's a submission and I think it's round round uh round two submission I'll say for Charles raky"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

Cody sees this as a coin flip but leans Radtke due to Semelsberger's poor takedown defense and recent losses. He notes Radtke's smart game plan against Blood Diamond and his clinch work. Cody expects Radtke to neutralize Semelsberger's striking with wrestling and cage control.

"It's a coin flip fight it's 50/50 to me but my brain does tell me radkey so even though I got to play a little chalk on it I guess I will."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Charles Radtke

Connor picks Radtke, citing Semelsberger's broken confidence and inability to deal with Radtke's lead left hook. He notes Semelsberger has been second-guessing himself and overthinking, while Radtke has a simple one-punch game. Connor thinks Semelsberger will just eat the left hook or try to avoid it without a clear answer.

"I'm taking Radtke. I think that left hook... I can't imagine that Semelsberger is going to come up with a confident, clear answer for the lead left hook."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Matthew Semelsberger

Daniel Vreeland reluctantly picks Matthew Semelsberger as a dog, citing his knockdown power and experience. He worries about Semelsberger's mental toughness and tendency to let opponents back into fights, but believes Charles Radtke is still green and not worth laying a price on. Vreeland notes Semelsberger has won as a dog before.

"I'm going to reluctantly take semi the Jedi Matthew Semelsberger here to get back on track."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Charles Radtke

Radtke is expected to do enough in the striking to get his offense off, then take the fight to the ground where he can find a finish in the first or second round.

wins inside distance, round 1-2
"I'm going to have to go with the grappler here and Radu can do a good enough job in the Striking R to get his own offense off but eventually get this fight into the grappling round where we should be able to find a finish in the first or second round"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

Paul agrees, citing Semelsberger's declining durability and takedown defense. He worries about Radtke's size disadvantage but thinks Radtke's wrestling and left hook can get the job done. Paul plans to include Radtke in parlays.

"Radtke is the pick for me and I'm sure he'll be on something not like a hard play a little bit more along the Deen you know a long parlay."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Matthew Semelsberger

The Guru picks Matthew Semelsberger as an underdog, citing his reach advantage and ability to beat Jake Matthews. He criticizes Radtke's performance against Mike Malott and believes Semelsberger will finally get a TKO finish without fumbling. He notes Semelsberger is on a three-fight losing streak and has his back against the wall.

TKO win, underdog
"I'm taking that Underdog I'm taking the underdog of Matthew semelsberger this guy is a fum of fumblers we have to mention that okay"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Charles Radtke

Zane picks Radtke, agreeing with Connor. He describes Semelsberger as deep in the shit, unable to figure out his game, and distractible. Zane notes Semelsberger got outstruck by Preston Parsons, who is straightforward, and that Radtke's simple left hook will be effective. He says 'I'm taking Radtke'.

"So I'm taking Radtke. I think that left hook... I can't imagine that Semelsberger is going to come up with a confident, clear answer for the lead left hook."
KO (knee to the body) R1 4:47
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Carlos Prates 0 14 of 27 51% 33 of 48 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:23
Charles Radtke 1 15 of 36 41% 15 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Carlos Prates 0 14 of 27 51% 33 of 48 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:23
Charles Radtke 1 15 of 36 41% 15 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Carlos Prates 14 of 27 51% 7 of 19 3 of 4 4 of 4 13 of 26 1 of 1 0 of 0
Charles Radtke 15 of 36 41% 5 of 19 4 of 10 6 of 7 15 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Carlos Prates 14 of 27 51% 7 of 19 3 of 4 4 of 4 13 of 26 1 of 1 0 of 0
Charles Radtke 15 of 36 41% 5 of 19 4 of 10 6 of 7 15 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Carlos Prates vs. Charlie Radtke
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Prates (-238), Radtke (+195)

Round 1
Welterweights take center stage next, and one of these two unheralded competitors will be forced to suffer their first UFC loss while the other will maintain either a seven- or nine-fight win streak. Victorious in his last six, Radtke (9-3, 2-0 UFC) puts that on the line against Brazilian striker Prates (18-6, 1-0 UFC), who has not lost since a One Championship appearance in 2019. Drawing the charge will be referee Blake Grice, and the intense showdown kicks off without a glove touch. Radtke switches stances several times to work his way forward, while Prates kicks at his foe’s knee to push him back. Radtke whips a low kick as Prates recoils his leg, and a Prates head kick bounces harmlessly off the guard. Radtke punches his way into a single-leg takedown entry, pushing “Carlao” against the fence and holding up a leg. With Prates bent over, Radtke bops Prates many times with short, annoying punches, and he breaks off and lands one heavy right hand. Prates nails his foe’s front calf with a kick, and after Radtke flies by with a kick, he scores his own leg kick. Radtke has another kick land with a thud, and he winds up everything into a right hook that flies by his opponent. Radtke crashes forward in pursuit of a single, and he lets it go and misses with an overhand right. Two punches from Radtke miss the mark, but a leg kick does connect. Prates bobs and weaves his way forward, and he has his head snapped back by a right hand. Prates blasts the front leg with a kick, and Radtke starts limping as swelling forms almost immediately. Prates leans back from the counter and tags “Chuck Buffalo” with a right, and he backs off as Radtke tries to let him have it. A fake takedown from Radtke is stifled when Prates pokes him in the eye, and Grice calls time and lets Radtke take about 20 seconds to blink it out. When they resume, Prates starts to stalk his man down, his hands low and allowing him to eat a right hand so he can throw punches from strange angles. Radtke sneaks in a left hand before his lead leg is kicked hard, and Prates measures him with a straight left hand and lets out a woo.
The Brazilian rips a knee to the liver as clean as can be, and Radtke hits the deck and is completely done. Prates walks off, knowing his work here is done, and Grice waves off the fight.
The victorious “Carlao” goes over to Radtke’s corner, where he yells something at upcoming title challenger Belal Muhammad. With that crushing stoppage on the board, this is the first finish of the night and the first knockout in quite some time.

The Official Result
Carlos Prates def. Charlie Radtke R1 4:47 via KO (Knee to the Body)
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jun 7, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Charles Radtke

Angelo leans Charles Radtke, but with low confidence. He notes that Radtke is a grappler who has shown good hands recently, while Prates is a dangerous striker but low volume. He thinks Radtke's forward pressure and takedowns could be key, but if he rushes in recklessly, he could get knocked out. He sees it as a close fight where Radtke's pressure might be the difference.

"I'm gonna lean Charlie here he is going to be the pick but the running in while I think he needs to do to win the fight I also think that can put him In Harm's Way"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

Big Brady picks Charles Radtke as a big underdog to win by first-round knockout. He thinks Prates is overrated and notes that Prates was losing to Trevin Giles before a comeback KO. He believes Radtke can make it a brawl and potentially knock Prates out, though he acknowledges Prates has advantages in height, reach, and youth.

knockout round 1
"give me the dog here and racky in a fight that you know somebody should absolutely get served in this one but give me raky for the win how does he get it done I'll say I'll say I'll say knockout I'll say knockout and I'll say it comes early as well first round knockout for Charles racky"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

Cody picks Radtke as an underdog, noting that Prates has low volume and questionable durability, as seen in his fight against Trevin Giles. Radtke is aggressive, has power, and is a BJJ black belt with multiple win conditions. Cody believes Radtke can pressure Prates, take him down, or knock him out. He sees value in the plus money.

"I gotta go Charlie raty Underdog money dude"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Carlos Prates

Daniel is confident in Prates, citing his Muay Thai, reach, experience, and finishing ability. He compares Prates to Anderson Silva in terms of length and southpaw stance, and expects a highlight-reel knockout. He notes Radtke is well-rounded but not special anywhere, and that Prates' seasoning and physical advantages should prevail.

knockout
"I think that this is a perfect opponent for Carlos prates to come out here and get another highlight reel knockout"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Charles Radtke

Jacob is very confident in Charles Radtke, calling him the lock of the week. He praises Radtke's toughness, pressure, and grappling. He thinks Radtke will push Prates against the cage, take him down, and likely submit him. He notes that Prates has no plan B and relies on one-punch power, but Radtke has a good chin and will break him. Jacob also mentions that he predicted Prates' last fight correctly.

Charles Radtke wins by submission
"Chuck Buffalo is the lock of the week and there is a reason for that he is going to come in he is going to press this guy he is going to hug this guy"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Carlos Prates

Prates has extensive kickboxing experience and excellent takedown defense, which should allow him to stuff Radtke's takedowns and pick him apart on the feet. Radtke has power but is less technical. Prates should eventually land a knockout, though the -230 line is a bit wide given Radtke's danger.

knockout
"give me proess and proess by knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
No clear pick

Paul is tempted by Radtke at plus money but is nervous about laying the price on Prates. He notes Prates' finishing ability but also his low volume and the fact that he was losing to Giles before the knockout. Paul considers it a dogger pass but might take Radtke.

"it feels like a dogger pass would probably a pass for me I don't know if I'm gonna have the courage to pull the trigger on radkey here Cody"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Carlos Prates

The Guru picks Prates because he is more effective at range on the feet, with 78 inches of reach in welterweight. He notes Radtke looked bad against Blood Diamond and though he has KO power, Prates is younger and on a good win streak including kickboxing. He predicts a second-round TKO for Prates.

Second-round TKO prediction
"I'm going to side with prattes here... second round TKO for um Carlos prattes"
TKO (punches) R1 4:47
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Charles Radtke 0 16 of 38 42% 16 of 38 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:05
Gilbert Urbina 2 30 of 47 63% 33 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Charles Radtke 0 16 of 38 42% 16 of 38 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:05
Gilbert Urbina 2 30 of 47 63% 33 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Charles Radtke 16 of 38 42% 4 of 17 6 of 10 6 of 11 16 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gilbert Urbina 30 of 47 63% 23 of 40 0 of 0 7 of 7 27 of 43 0 of 0 3 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Charles Radtke 16 of 38 42% 4 of 17 6 of 10 6 of 11 16 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gilbert Urbina 30 of 47 63% 23 of 40 0 of 0 7 of 7 27 of 43 0 of 0 3 of 4
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Gilbert Urbina

Angelo picks Gilbert Urbina, citing his cardio and pace as key factors. He notes that Urbina's takedown defense is a concern but believes his early pace will be too much for Radtke. He has Urbina in a parlay but only one bet to avoid overexposure.

Urbina included in a parlay
"Gilbert's going to be the pick here cuz I think the cardio is going to separate these two"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 29, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

Big Brady picks Charles Radtke to win by second-round submission. He notes that Urbina's last win came against a compromised Orion Coy, and he has questions about Urbina's durability and cardio. Radtke has power in his hands and solid defensive grappling. Brady expects Urbina to have early success with takedowns, but Radtke will find the chin and knock him out. He thinks people are overrating Urbina and underrating Radtke.

second round, submission (TKO)
"I'm going to take racky here for the upset I'll take him to win this fight by second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Gilbert Urbina

Cody picks Urbina, criticizing Radtke's limited skills and poor performance against Blood Diamond. He notes Urbina's youth, size advantage, and improving striking and wrestling. He expects Urbina to win by decision or late finish.

"sign me up"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Jan 29, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Gilbert Urbina

Urbina has range management and a strong top game, and should be able to grind out a finish. However, Radtke is a live underdog with good wrestling and power, and there are questions about his gas tank and durability. The host is not super confident but picks Urbina to win inside the distance.

Fight doesn't go to decision is a possibility.
"I'm going to go with arbina to pick up the victory inside the distance."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Gilbert Urbina

Paul picks Urbina, highlighting the size difference and Radtke's inability to push around a bigger fighter. He notes Urbina's losses are to solid prospects and expects him to handle Radtke's pressure.

"I like Gilbert orina"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Gilbert Urbina

The MMA Guru picks Gilbert Urbina over Charles Radtke, predicting a second-round finish. He criticizes Radtke's performance against Blood Diamond, calling it pathetic, and compares Radtke to Ryan Koischeck. He believes Urbina will have similar success as he did against Koischeck, and notes Urbina's only losses are to Brian Battle and Sean Brady.

finish in round two
"I'm actually going to go with Gilbert urbina smoked to oryan Koski easily... I think he'll finish Charles radkey in round two."
Decision (unanimous) (29–27, 29–27, 29–27) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Charles Radtke 0 44 of 94 46% 75 of 136 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:21
Mike Mathetha 0 35 of 76 46% 63 of 112 1 of 6 16% 0 0 9:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Charles Radtke 0 4 of 13 30% 9 of 19 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Mike Mathetha 0 4 of 11 36% 18 of 28 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:55
2 Charles Radtke 0 13 of 34 38% 24 of 48 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
Mike Mathetha 0 20 of 39 51% 25 of 46 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:43
3 Charles Radtke 0 27 of 47 57% 42 of 69 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:14
Mike Mathetha 0 11 of 26 42% 20 of 38 0 of 3 0% 0 0 3:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Charles Radtke 44 of 94 46% 19 of 58 19 of 28 6 of 8 19 of 58 25 of 36 0 of 0
Mike Mathetha 35 of 76 46% 31 of 72 4 of 4 0 of 0 27 of 59 8 of 17 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Charles Radtke 4 of 13 30% 2 of 11 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 10 2 of 3 0 of 0
Mike Mathetha 4 of 11 36% 4 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 8 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Charles Radtke 13 of 34 38% 2 of 17 8 of 12 3 of 5 6 of 22 7 of 12 0 of 0
Mike Mathetha 20 of 39 51% 18 of 37 2 of 2 0 of 0 17 of 31 3 of 8 0 of 0
3 Charles Radtke 27 of 47 57% 15 of 30 9 of 14 3 of 3 11 of 26 16 of 21 0 of 0
Mike Mathetha 11 of 26 42% 9 of 24 2 of 2 0 of 0 7 of 20 4 of 6 0 of 0
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Sep 3, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Mike Mathetha

Angelo is shooting his shot on Blood Diamond as a two-to-one underdog. He notes that Charlie Radtke is a big favorite but has questionable cardio and gets hit by regional-level fighters. If Blood Diamond can defend takedowns, his striking should be too much. Angelo plans to look for a KO prop at plus money when props drop.

Considering KO prop at plus money; win inside distance decision no action
"These odds are way too wide for a UFC debut with questionable cardio I'm going to shoot my shot here on blood diamond"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Sep 5, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

Big Brady picks Charlie Radtke but is not confident laying the price. He notes Radtke's good jiu-jitsu and submission skills, but worries he hasn't wrestled much. He thinks if Radtke gets takedowns, he will submit Blood Diamond. He predicts a second-round submission.

"give me a Charlie Rocky to win this fight I'll say he wins it by second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Sep 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Mike Mathetha

Cody picks Mathetha as a value underdog, arguing that the line is inaccurate and that Radtke's wrestling may not be as effective as expected. He notes that Mathetha has a kickboxing background and could win if the fight stays standing. Cody is tempted by the plus money and sees this as a potential upset.

Three-to-one shoe bet on Mathetha
"it's blood diamond dude what are you doing what are you doing so uh Austin Lane not the PRP pick maybe Blood Diamond"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Sep 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

Daniel Levi picks Charlie Radtke but is not confident in the price. He thinks Radtke is overhyped and not as special as people claim. However, he gives Radtke the edge due to more MMA experience and offensive grappling. Levi notes that Mathetha has been off for over a year and could have improved his grappling, but until he sees it, he picks against him.

Odds mentioned: Radtke minus 345, Mathetha plus 280. Levi says no way he lays that price.
"I am going to pick Chuck Buffalo you know because until I see those improvements from Blood Diamond I'm not gonna make the Assumption of where blood diamonds Improvement level is grappling wise until I see it."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

Radtke is a CFFC welterweight champion with a BJJ black belt, recently winning by submission. He closes distance well and uses trips and throws to get fights to the ground. Blood Diamond is a kickboxer who has been fed grapplers and is still seeking his first UFC win. Radtke should be competitive on the feet and then take the fight to the mat, working for a submission within the under 2.5 round mark. The pick is Radtke by submission.

under 2.5 rounds at -185
"Radke's going to be my pick... prediction is going to be Radke by submission"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

Paul picks Radtke, citing his superior grappling and submission skills. He notes that Mathetha has poor takedown defense and that Radtke should be able to secure a submission. Paul likes the Radtke by submission prop and believes Radtke will win this fight even if he loses every other fight in the UFC.

Radtke by submission (+190)
"I think Radtke you know wins this fight by sub and then loses every other fight that he has in the promotion and then gets cut"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Charles Radtke

The MMA Guru picks Charlie Radtke over Mike Mathetha (Blood Diamond), despite acknowledging that Radtke may not be UFC caliber. He notes that Mathetha has significant holes in his game, particularly in grappling, and is old (34-35) to make adjustments. Radtke has a win over Raheem Forrest, a regional prospect, and showed grappling ability by choking him out after getting rocked. He believes Radtke will outgrapple Mathetha and submit him in the first round.

submission in round 1
"I'm gonna go with Charlie Radke"