Alexander Munoz

Angelo picks Alexander Munoz, believing he can wrestle his way to a boring decision. He notes Munoz is a very good wrestler but his hands need work, and the two-year layoff is concerning. He was initially ready to bet at minus 140 but decided to wait and see if the line tightens. He thinks Munoz should be able to dominate the wrestling and control the fight.

Big Brady picks Alexander Munoz but with hesitation due to a two-year layoff. He notes Munoz lost his last two UFC fights but was competitive. Stylistically, he thinks Munoz should win by mixing takedowns and controlling Deaton on the mat, ultimately winning a decision. However, the long layoff and lack of information on why Munoz was off puzzle him, making him unsure if Munoz will show up in form.

Cody picks Munoz, citing his wrestling and Deaton's poor takedown defense. He thinks Munoz will take him down early and often, possibly submitting him or winning a decision. He notes Deaton's only chance is if Munoz gasses, but expects Munoz to control the first two rounds. He likes the over 2.5 takedowns prop.

The host believes Munoz's wrestling will be too much for Deaton, and his improved striking will keep him competitive until he closes distance and grinds Deaton down. He expects Munoz to win by decision, noting that the -135 line is a gift if Munoz returns in good form after his ACL rehab.

Paul picks Munoz, citing his wrestling advantage and Deaton's poor takedown defense. He thinks Munoz can stick to a wrestling game plan and win with relative ease. He is concerned about the two-year layoff but thinks Munoz's wrestling should be enough. He will wait for weigh-ins before betting.

Big Brady picks Luis Peña to win by submission. He acknowledges Peña's poor takedown defense (45%) but argues that Peña's ground game is underrated, with good submissions and reversals. He believes Peña has a striking advantage and can threaten submissions off his back. He notes that Munoz is a good wrestler but may put himself in bad positions. He sees Peña's submission as a likely outcome and mentions the submission prop at +330, though he would prefer better odds.

Cody is very critical of Peña, calling him overrated with poor striking and takedown defense. He notes that Peña gives up takedowns to everyone and has no power. He thinks Munoz, a wrestler, will take Peña down and control him. He likes Munoz as an underdog and expects a better performance in his second UFC fight.

Daniel Levi hesitantly picks Luis Peña, acknowledging that Munoz is a D1 wrestler with a strong double leg. He is concerned about Peña's emotional state and past performances, especially his submission loss to Kamuela Kirk. However, Levi thinks Peña is the better overall fighter and should win if he can keep the fight at range and avoid being grinded out. He notes that this is a dog-or-pass situation from a betting perspective.

Manpreet leans toward Munoz by decision, highlighting Peña's poor takedown defense (47%) and Munoz's strong wrestling background. He believes Munoz will repeatedly take Peña down and control him on the ground, avoiding submissions. He notes that Peña has lost as a favorite before and that Munoz's cardio should hold up for three rounds.

Paul is not high on Peña either, but he is less confident. He notes that Munoz is a wrestler and that Peña has poor takedown defense. He thinks Munoz could win by controlling the fight on the ground. He is leaning towards Munoz but not strongly.