Charlie Ontiveros

Angelo picks Gabriel Benítez, citing his technical kickboxing, speed, and better grappling. He notes Ontiveros has chin issues and low-level competition. Benítez is a safe parlay piece despite being a big favorite.

Big Brady picks Gabriel Benítez to win by first-round knockout. He calls Ontiveros the least durable fighter in the UFC, noting he has been finished eight times and has quit in fights. Benítez has power and durability, though his chin is questionable. Brady expects a stand-up war where Benítez lands a big shot early, possibly a body kick, and finishes Ontiveros.

Cody picks Benítez, calling Ontiveros a 'never was' and noting Benítez's experience and leg kicks. He acknowledges Benítez's durability may be fading but believes Ontiveros' chin is completely gone. Cody thinks Benítez will land clean and finish him early.

Daniel Levi picks Gabriel Benítez, but with caution. He notes that Benítez should win easily due to his experience and heart, but he is coming off a brutal knockout loss. Ontiveros has a puncher's chance in the first two minutes, but if he doesn't land, Benítez will break him down. Levi is not rushing to bet on Benítez at these odds.

The host is high on Ontiveros as a dog, expecting a first-round KO. He mentions that he wants to bet 'fight doesn't go to decision' and under 1.5 rounds, but notes the line is juiced to -240. He also mentions a possible bet on Ontiveros round one at +800. He calls Ontiveros his 'dog of the card' and believes he gets the KO.

Paul picks Benítez, expecting a first-round knockout. He notes Ontiveros has been knocked out 8-9 times and is made of glass. Paul is shocked the under 1.5 rounds is -240, but still thinks Benítez will smash him. He also likes Benítez over 104.5 fantasy points on PrizePicks.

Angelo picks Steve Garcia but is hesitant due to Charlie Ontiveros's size advantage and wild striking style. He notes Garcia's solid grappling and boxing but worries if Garcia engages in striking exchanges. He plans to wait for weigh-ins before betting, as Ontiveros's weight cut could affect his chin. He sees Garcia as the likely winner but not a lock.

Big Brady is very confident in Steve Garcia, citing Garcia's impressive striking, pressure, volume, and power. He notes that Charlie Ontiveros has a history of quitting and being finished, with all seven losses by knockout or technical stoppage. Brady believes Garcia is mentally and physically tougher, and predicts a first-round knockout. He mentions the line at -300 is fair and could be wider, but he is not betting it.

Cody picks Garcia confidently, citing Ontiveros's poor chin and tendency to get finished early. He notes Garcia's experience against better competition and durability. He believes Ontiveros's weight cut and lack of chin will be his downfall, and Garcia's skill will prevail.

Daniel Levi picks Steve Garcia but is hesitant due to the steep price. He questions Garcia's chin and heart after seeing him handled by a pro debut fighter, but acknowledges Garcia's toughness and ability to drop Jeff Neal. He believes Garcia is the more real fighter but warns against laying heavy chalk.

Jacob picks Steve Garcia but is intrigued by Charlie Ontiveros at plus 240. He thinks Garcia should win if he grapples, but Ontiveros's wild style gives him a puncher's chance. He might throw some money on Ontiveros inside the distance at plus 240. He sees Garcia as the safer pick but likes the underdog value.

The host picks Steve Garcia, believing he is much better than Ontiveros. He notes Garcia's grappling ability and expects him to drown Ontiveros with pressure and ground-and-pound. He criticizes Ontiveros's tendency to quit and predicts a second-round TKO for Garcia.

Paul leans toward Garcia but is cautious about the price. He notes Ontiveros's poor chin and history of getting finished, but also Garcia's own struggles and long layoff. He believes Garcia should win but the -320 is steep for a fighter with question marks.

Big Brady thinks Holland's reach and technical striking give him an edge, but acknowledges the fight could go either way. He notes both fighters have questionable cardio and that Holland's chin is solid. He predicts a close decision win for Holland.

Murad is the more technical striker with good boxing and body work. Holland is unorthodox and may disrupt Murad's rhythm, but Murad's skill set should prevail if he can handle the awkwardness. Murad by decision is the pick.