Carlton Minus
"Clutch"Career Averages
Loss Methods (2)
Fight History
Dec 19, 2020
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christos Giagos | 0 | 31 of 67 | 46% | 76 of 124 | 5 of 15 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 8:57 |
| Carlton Minus | 0 | 28 of 80 | 35% | 29 of 81 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Christos Giagos | 0 | 13 of 19 | 68% | 26 of 37 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:40 |
| Carlton Minus | 0 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Christos Giagos | 0 | 6 of 15 | 40% | 34 of 47 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:34 |
| Carlton Minus | 0 | 7 of 18 | 38% | 7 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Christos Giagos | 0 | 12 of 33 | 36% | 16 of 40 | 1 of 10 | 10% | 0 | 0 | 1:43 |
| Carlton Minus | 0 | 19 of 55 | 34% | 20 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christos Giagos | 31 of 67 | 46% | 23 of 57 | 3 of 5 | 5 of 5 | 17 of 50 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 16 |
| Carlton Minus | 28 of 80 | 35% | 18 of 64 | 4 of 9 | 6 of 7 | 28 of 79 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Christos Giagos | 13 of 19 | 68% | 11 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 13 |
| Carlton Minus | 2 of 7 | 28% | 0 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Christos Giagos | 6 of 15 | 40% | 4 of 12 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
| Carlton Minus | 7 of 18 | 38% | 3 of 13 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Christos Giagos | 12 of 33 | 36% | 8 of 28 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 32 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Carlton Minus | 19 of 55 | 34% | 15 of 46 | 3 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 19 of 54 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (3)
Big Brady picks Christos Giagos over Carlton Minus, noting Giagos' pressure and the small cage favoring him. He is underwhelmed by Minus' tape (no power, poor takedown defense) and believes Giagos can win by decision or possibly finish. However, he acknowledges Giagos is coming off an injury and layoff, which explains the shorter odds.
The host picks Giagos but is hesitant due to his long layoff and the close nature of the fight. He believes Giagos' grappling and wrestling will be the difference, but notes Minus could make it close on the feet. He recommends Giagos by decision and advises against parlaying him.
The Guru picks Christos Giagos, noting he is the bigger fighter and has good wins including a dominant performance over Gavin Tucker. He criticizes Carlton Minus for a poor UFC debut and lack of quality wins. He predicts a submission win for Giagos in the second or third round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Semelsberger | 0 | 77 of 182 | 42% | 89 of 197 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Carlton Minus | 1 | 118 of 233 | 50% | 122 of 237 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:46 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matthew Semelsberger | 0 | 15 of 44 | 34% | 15 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Carlton Minus | 0 | 43 of 81 | 53% | 43 of 81 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 | |
| 2 | Matthew Semelsberger | 0 | 20 of 45 | 44% | 28 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Carlton Minus | 1 | 29 of 65 | 44% | 31 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 1:54 | |
| 3 | Matthew Semelsberger | 0 | 42 of 93 | 45% | 46 of 97 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Carlton Minus | 0 | 46 of 87 | 52% | 48 of 89 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:44 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Semelsberger | 77 of 182 | 42% | 61 of 165 | 8 of 9 | 8 of 8 | 76 of 179 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 1 |
| Carlton Minus | 118 of 233 | 50% | 79 of 186 | 16 of 23 | 23 of 24 | 107 of 218 | 7 of 8 | 4 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matthew Semelsberger | 15 of 44 | 34% | 14 of 42 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 44 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Carlton Minus | 43 of 81 | 53% | 27 of 62 | 10 of 12 | 6 of 7 | 41 of 78 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Matthew Semelsberger | 20 of 45 | 44% | 17 of 42 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 20 of 44 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
| Carlton Minus | 29 of 65 | 44% | 17 of 50 | 3 of 6 | 9 of 9 | 26 of 59 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 6 | |
| 3 | Matthew Semelsberger | 42 of 93 | 45% | 30 of 81 | 6 of 6 | 6 of 6 | 41 of 91 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Carlton Minus | 46 of 87 | 52% | 35 of 74 | 3 of 5 | 8 of 8 | 40 of 81 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 |
Expert Picks (4)
Big Brady picks the underdog Matthew Semelsberger to win by second-round knockout. He notes that Minus opened as a -365 favorite but has dropped to -125, which Brady finds insane. Semelsberger comes forward, lands more power shots, and has the power advantage. Minus sits back and picks shots from the outside. In the small cage, Semelsberger's pressure will be effective. Brady admits both are low level and he wouldn't be confident in either, but he likes Semelsberger's style.
Daniel Levi leans toward Carlton Minus via decision. He notes Minus is longer, pumps out the jab, and has more experience, while Semelsberger has power but is green and lacks wrestling. Levi cautions that Semelsberger hits like a truck and could make Minus hesitant, but expects Minus's volume to win two of three rounds if he doesn't get wobbled.
Minus has smoother stand-up and a better jab, as seen in his last fight. Semelsberger has power but questionable takedown defense and technical ability. Minus should outpoint Semelsberger over three rounds, possibly finishing late. The under 2.5 at +160 is also worth considering.
The MMA Guru picks Carlton Minus to win by first-round TKO, citing Minus's better competition and Semelsberger's lack of quality wins. He notes Semelsberger has been KO'd before and finds his resume unimpressive. He also mentions Semelsberger's intimidating look but dismisses it as insufficient.
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