UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal

Angelo picks Geoff Neal to win the main event, rounding out his lineup. He expresses high confidence, stating 'I'm very confident and Jeff Neal get the job done.' No specific reasoning is given beyond confidence.

Big Brady picks Geoff Neal over Stephen Thompson, citing Neal's youth (7 years younger), higher volume, and ability to close distance in the smaller cage. He notes Thompson's low volume in past fights and his history of being dropped (four times in UFC). Brady predicts Neal will knock out Thompson in the second round, emphasizing Neal's power and speed advantage.

The host believes Wonderboy's karate stance, in-and-out movement, and counter-striking will give Geoff Neal problems. He notes Neal has never faced a striker of Thompson's caliber and may struggle with the range and five-round pace. The host predicts a late finish (round 4 or 5) as Neal's gas tank fades.

The Guru picks Stephen Thompson, citing his superior striking and movement. He believes Thompson's footwork and reach advantage will neutralize Geoff Neal's power, especially over five rounds. He notes Neal has gassed in past fights and has only beaten plodding strikers, while Thompson's unorthodox style will be too much. He predicts a 49-46 unanimous decision, with Neal possibly winning the first round but Thompson dominating the rest.

Angelo picks José Aldo as a guaranteed win, arguing that Marlon Vera's win over Sean O'Malley was a fluke due to O'Malley's ankle injury. He believes Aldo, one of the best strikers of all time, will easily outclass Vera.

Big Brady picks José Aldo over Marlon Vera, arguing that Aldo's level of competition is far superior and that Vera is overhyped. He notes Aldo's 90% takedown defense and believes Vera cannot take him down, forcing a striking match where Aldo has the edge. Brady thinks the fight goes to decision and considers the decision prop a good look, as Vera has never been finished.

The host is extremely confident in Aldo, calling him his strongest play on the card. He believes Aldo's leg kicks, boxing, and body work will overwhelm Vera, who is a slow starter and has never faced anyone of Aldo's level. He notes the line is too close due to recency bias and expects Aldo to win inside the distance.

The Guru picks José Aldo, emphasizing that this is a three-round fight which favors Aldo's cardio. He notes Aldo's close fight with Yan and his wins over Stephens and Moicano. He believes Aldo's leg kicks and experience will be key, and that Vera's win over O'Malley was due to a fluke leg injury. He predicts a competitive 29-28 decision for Aldo.

Angelo picks Khaos Williams, noting his technical style and ability to counter Pereira's wild approach. He references Williams' last fight where he used a right hand to finish, expecting a similar outcome.

Big Brady picks Khaos Williams over Michel Pereira, citing trust issues with Pereira's antics (backflips, gassing) and Williams' legitimate power. He believes the smaller cage favors Williams, limiting Pereira's movement. Brady predicts a decision win for Williams, noting both fighters respect each other's power, and suggests the over 1.5 rounds as a sneaky bet.

The host leans Pereira due to his unorthodox style and volume, but is not confident because of Khaos Williams' one-punch knockout power. He thinks Pereira can out-volume Williams and stay away from the big shots, but acknowledges any slip could lead to a KO loss. He predicts a decision win for Pereira.

The Guru picks Michel Pereira but is very hesitant, calling it a close fight. He believes Pereira's unorthodox movement and darting in-and-out style will disrupt Khaos Williams' timing and power. He notes that Williams has only won by one-punch KO against plodding opponents, and that Pereira can evade and outpoint him over three rounds. He predicts a 30-27 decision.

Angelo picks Marlon Moraes as a guaranteed win, predicting a first or second round finish. He considers it an easy matchup without further elaboration.

Big Brady picks Rob Font over Marlon Moraes, emphasizing Font's reach advantage (5 inches), higher volume, and durability (never knocked out or knocked down). He notes Moraes' recent skid and potential chin issues, having been knocked out twice. Brady predicts a decision win for Font, though he acknowledges concern about Moraes' leg kicks.

The host picks Font but is hesitant, noting Font has never faced this level of competition and Moraes has fight-ending power. He believes Font's jab and volume can outwork Moraes over three rounds, especially if Moraes fades. However, he is not confident enough to bet on Font even at plus money.

The Guru picks Marlon Moraes but is worried about his recent KO loss. He believes Moraes will rebound and outpoint Rob Font, who he criticizes for being inactive and not pushing a pace. He notes Font's close fight with Ricky Simon and lack of quick finishes. He predicts a 29-28 unanimous decision for Moraes.

Angelo picks Greg Hardy, citing his toughness and one-punch power. He notes Hardy can get in the pocket and take a shot, but expresses a caveat about him not getting worn out.

Big Brady picks Marcin Tybura over Greg Hardy, despite Hardy being a slight favorite. He notes Tybura's solid wrestling and BJJ black belt, and believes he can take Hardy down, where Hardy looks like a 'fish out of water'. Brady predicts a submission win in the third round, citing Hardy's poor gas tank and Tybura's experience advantage.

The host likes Tybura as a dog, citing Hardy's narrow path to victory (KO only) and suspect gas tank. He believes Tybura's well-rounded game, including takedowns and volume, will overwhelm Hardy as the fight progresses. He predicts a third-round TKO or decision for Tybura.

The Guru picks Marcin Tybura, believing he will push Greg Hardy against the cage and weather an early storm. He notes Tybura's improved conditioning and grappling ability, and that Hardy tends to gas. He predicts a 29-28 decision or late TKO for Tybura.

Big Brady picks Alex Morono over Anthony Pettis, calling the odds 'insane' and believing the fight is 50-50. He notes Pettis' decline at 170, his slow pace, and that he should be 1-4 in his last five. Morono lands more volume (5.32 strikes per minute) and has a wrestling/ground game he can use. Brady predicts a volume-based decision win for Morono, though he acknowledges judging could favor Pettis' flashiness.

The host leans Morono as a dog, believing his high volume and forward pressure can overwhelm an aging Pettis. He notes Pettis has historically struggled against pressure fighters and that Morono's output could earn a decision. He suggests waiting for a better line (plus 200) before betting.

The Guru picks Anthony Pettis, citing his reach advantage and better striking. He believes Morono is rushing a turnaround after taking damage in his last fight. He notes Pettis looked good against Cerrone and that Morono's win over Rhys McKee is not impressive. He predicts a 30-27 unanimous decision for Pettis.

Angelo picks Pannie Kianzad as an underdog, noting that Eubanks has a 7-4 record and her recent fights have all gone to decision. He believes Kianzad can sneak out a win in a decision.

Big Brady picks Pannie Kianzad as a slight underdog, expecting her to stuff most takedowns and win rounds two and three with volume. He notes Eubanks' poor gas tank and Kianzad's 92% takedown defense in the UFC. However, he is not overly confident because if Kianzad gets taken down, she could be in trouble on the ground.

The host picks Kianzad as a slight underdog, citing her striking advantage and ability to keep the fight on the feet. He is concerned about Eubanks' grappling but believes Kianzad's kicks and distance management will earn her a decision. He is not highly confident.

The Guru picks Sijara Eubanks but is hesitant, calling it a very close fight. He believes Eubanks is the bigger fighter with reach advantage and has faced better competition. He notes that both have similar wins and losses, but Eubanks' scrappiness and durability give her the edge. He predicts a split decision.

Big Brady picks Antônio Arroyo over Deron Winn, citing Arroyo's size advantage (9 inches taller, 3.5 inch reach) and the catchweight at 195 lbs favoring him. He notes Arroyo's solid jiu-jitsu and striking (leg kicks, body kicks), while Winn has been unimpressive in the UFC and may struggle with the size disadvantage. Brady predicts a first-round knockout.

The host leans Arroyo due to his size and striking advantage, believing his leg kicks and range will be too much for the smaller Winn. He notes Winn's cardio issues and struggles against larger opponents. He predicts a decision win for Arroyo.

The Guru picks Deron Winn but is undecided. He believes Arroyo has poor cardio and that Winn can outlast him in the first two rounds. He notes Winn's wrestling and that Arroyo hasn't shown finishing ability. He predicts a 29-28 decision for Winn, with Arroyo possibly winning the third round.

Big Brady picks Gillian Robertson over Taila Santos, emphasizing Robertson's relentless takedown game and BJJ black belt. He notes Santos' inconsistency (bad nerves in the Barella fight, but looked great against McCann). Brady believes if Robertson gets the fight to the mat, she will win by TKO or submission in round three. He also likes the 'fight doesn't go to decision' prop at +155.

The host picks Robertson, believing her grappling and submission threat will be decisive. He notes Santos is a better striker but expects Robertson to drag the fight to the ground and finish via submission or ground-and-pound. He likes the under 2.5 rounds prop.

The Guru picks Gillian Robertson, citing her superior grappling and submission ability. He notes that Robertson has dominated on the ground against opponents like Poliana Botelho and Courtney Casey, while Santos has been controlled by grapplers like Mara Romero Borella. He predicts a second or third round rear-naked choke submission.

Big Brady picks Tafon Nchukwi over Jamie Pickett, noting Nchukwi's power and takedown defense (stuffed all takedowns seen on tape). He believes Pickett has no path to victory, as he cannot take Nchukwi down and will likely get knocked out. Brady predicts a first-round KO, though he notes Nchukwi's low output and the weight cut to 185 as potential concerns.

The host is confident in Nchukwi, citing his power, combinations, and high guard. He notes Pickett's tall-man defense and cardio issues. He predicts a first or second-round KO for Nchukwi and considers him a safe parlay piece, but advises waiting for weigh-ins due to Nchukwi's weight cut.

The Guru picks Tafon Nchukwi, believing he is a massive favorite. He notes Nchukwi's youth and improvement, and that he knocked out William Knight. He criticizes Jamie Pickett's level of competition and says Pickett is moving up in weight. He predicts a brutal first-round KO for Nchukwi.

Big Brady picks Jimmy Flick over Cody Durden, citing Durden's double weight cut as a concern and his tendency to go for takedowns, which plays into Flick's submission game. He notes Flick's questionable chin but believes the fight will hit the mat, where Flick has the advantage. Brady predicts a first-round submission.

The host picks Flick but is very hesitant, calling it a toss-up. He believes Flick's submission threat will be key if he can initiate grappling, but notes Durden's wrestling background and power. He recommends the fight doesn't go to decision prop as the best play.

The Guru picks Cody Durden, changing his original pick. He believes Durden has improved jiu-jitsu and power, and that Flick has been KO'd multiple times. He notes Durden's draw with Chris Gutierrez was competitive, while Flick was TKO'd by Gutierrez. He predicts a TKO win for Durden in the first two rounds.

Big Brady picks Christos Giagos over Carlton Minus, noting Giagos' pressure and the small cage favoring him. He is underwhelmed by Minus' tape (no power, poor takedown defense) and believes Giagos can win by decision or possibly finish. However, he acknowledges Giagos is coming off an injury and layoff, which explains the shorter odds.

The host picks Giagos but is hesitant due to his long layoff and the close nature of the fight. He believes Giagos' grappling and wrestling will be the difference, but notes Minus could make it close on the feet. He recommends Giagos by decision and advises against parlaying him.

The Guru picks Christos Giagos, noting he is the bigger fighter and has good wins including a dominant performance over Gavin Tucker. He criticizes Carlton Minus for a poor UFC debut and lack of quality wins. He predicts a submission win for Giagos in the second or third round.