Brad Katona

"Superman"
4-5
Record
Age / DOB 34
(Dec 19, 1991)
Height 5' 6"
Weight 135 lbs.
Reach 64.0"
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages
4.81 Sig. Strikes / Min
52.0% Sig. Strike Acc.
4.75 Absorbed / Min
50.0% Strike Defense
1.86 TD Avg / 15 min
34.0% TD Accuracy
61.0% TD Defense
0.0 Sub. / Fight
Win Methods (4)
KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 4
Loss Methods (5)
KO/TKO 1
Submission 0
Decision 4

Fight History

Result / Opponent
Event & Date
Method/Round
Links
Comments
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brad Katona 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Bekzat Almakhan 1 8 of 11 72% 8 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brad Katona 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Bekzat Almakhan 1 8 of 11 72% 8 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brad Katona 1 of 4 25% 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Bekzat Almakhan 8 of 11 72% 7 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 9 0 of 0 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brad Katona 1 of 4 25% 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Bekzat Almakhan 8 of 11 72% 7 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 9 0 of 0 2 of 2
Expert Picks (4)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 4, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Brad Katona

Angelo picks Brad Katona, criticizing the hype around Bekzat Almakhan who lost his UFC debut despite landing one good punch. He trusts Katona's grit and forward pressure. He mentions a safer bet on Katona plus 3.5 (buying points) rather than the moneyline, noting Katona is at home and may get favorable judging.

Considering Brad Katona +3.5 (buying points)
"I'm going to pick the gritty Canadian who will move forward and fight his ass off. Brad Katana is not the best fighter in the world, but I know for a fact he will fight his ass off."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked May 6, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Brad Katona

Big Brady sees this as a very close fight, with both fighters well-rounded. He notes that Bekzat Almakhan's hype is based on one moment against Umar Nurmagomedov, but he lost most of that fight. He favors Brad Katona's volume and wrestling, and thinks the fight goes to decision. He picks the Canadian Katona in what he expects to be a close fight, relying on the judges.

"I think this fight's going to be very close. I think this fight's going to be very competitive back and forth. ... give me the Canadian in what I think is going to be a very very close fight. Taking Braatona to kick off the card."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 7, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Brad Katona

The host believes Brad Katona has been underachieving and will showcase his pace, fight IQ, and defensive grappling to keep the fight in the striking realm. He expects Katona to dictate the pace with his striking advantage and mix in some grappling to secure a decision victory.

"I believe this is a fight that Kona can start showcasing that he's been underachieving in his last few fights."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 6, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Bekzat Almakhan

The MMA Guru picks Almakhan, citing his physicality, power, and performance against Umar Nurmagomedov. He thinks Katona is untalented and lacks finishing ability, while Almakhan will stuff takedowns and land a TKO. He notes Almakhan's fast, dangerous striking and Katona's well-rounded but unimpressive style.

TKO finish
"I'm actually going to go with Beex Al Macan getting a TKO finish over Brad Kona."
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jean Matsumoto 0 89 of 141 63% 117 of 171 3 of 8 37% 0 0 3:35
Brad Katona 0 89 of 201 44% 109 of 223 1 of 7 14% 0 0 2:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jean Matsumoto 0 30 of 44 68% 39 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:40
Brad Katona 0 20 of 53 37% 24 of 57 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:04
2 Jean Matsumoto 0 37 of 61 60% 46 of 70 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:26
Brad Katona 0 45 of 100 45% 50 of 105 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:38
3 Jean Matsumoto 0 22 of 36 61% 32 of 48 2 of 6 33% 0 0 2:29
Brad Katona 0 24 of 48 50% 35 of 61 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:22
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jean Matsumoto 89 of 141 63% 68 of 118 12 of 13 9 of 10 73 of 124 15 of 15 1 of 2
Brad Katona 89 of 201 44% 62 of 164 6 of 10 21 of 27 85 of 196 4 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jean Matsumoto 30 of 44 68% 21 of 35 4 of 4 5 of 5 19 of 33 10 of 10 1 of 1
Brad Katona 20 of 53 37% 14 of 42 1 of 3 5 of 8 19 of 52 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Jean Matsumoto 37 of 61 60% 28 of 52 5 of 5 4 of 4 34 of 58 3 of 3 0 of 0
Brad Katona 45 of 100 45% 33 of 87 2 of 2 10 of 11 43 of 98 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Jean Matsumoto 22 of 36 61% 19 of 31 3 of 4 0 of 1 20 of 33 2 of 2 0 of 1
Brad Katona 24 of 48 50% 15 of 35 3 of 5 6 of 8 23 of 46 1 of 2 0 of 0
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Oct 13, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Jean Matsumoto

Angelo picks Jean Matsumoto but is hesitant, acknowledging that Brad Katona is a tough, durable fighter who could spoil the plans. He notes Matsumoto's well-rounded skills, BJJ black belt, and Muay Thai, but also points out that he was taken down nine times by Dan Argueta and nearly lost. He thinks Matsumoto's volume and willingness to let his hands go will be key, but he is not confident enough to bet the moneyline. He is considering a plus 3.5 round prop on Katona or the over 1.5 rounds.

plus 3.5 round prop on Katona or over 1.5 rounds
"I'm going to pick Jean here because I do think if he lets his hands go he's going to look great"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jean Matsumoto

Big Brady picks Jean Matsumoto by decision. He acknowledges Katona's high fight IQ and ability to win minutes, but believes Matsumoto will be the more active striker and do more damage. He compares it to Katona's loss to Garrett Armfield, where Katona was out-struck. He expects a competitive fight but Matsumoto's damage will win the decision.

"it's a pretty easy pick here it's Matsumoto it's mimoto by decision"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Oct 18, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Jean Matsumoto

Connor also picks Matsumoto, citing Katona's tendency to have a bad start and not dictate the early going. He notes that Matsumoto is a strong athlete who will come forward, but acknowledges that Katona is tough and often comes on strong late. Connor sees it as a mirror match and a split decision possibility, but leans Matsumoto due to his physical advantages.

"I think so too, even though like I really can see this fight devolving into one where Matsumoto's not looking very good."
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Feb 21, 2026 (fight day)
No clear pick

This fight was not discussed in the transcript.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jean Matsumoto

Katona is a high-IQ fighter, but Matsumoto has good enough defensive grappling to keep the fight upright and utilize his striking advantage to touch up Katona en route to a decision victory. The line is a bit wide, so there could be some Katona value on his underdog line, but Matsumoto is more dangerous in the striking realm.

"I think that Gene matoto has the good enough uh defensive grappling to keep this fight upright and utilize his striking advantage to touch up Katona on route to a decision Victory"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Jean Matsumoto

The Guru is impressed by Matsumoto's debut win over Dan Argueta, noting he looked amazing and showed talent. He criticizes Brad Katona's wins as being over low-level opponents and points out Katona's short reach. He believes Matsumoto, an undefeated 25-year-old prospect with a full training camp, will get the win.

"I am going to go Matt zuto here over Brad Katona I just don't see any talent in Brad katona's game"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Oct 18, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Jean Matsumoto

Zane picks Matsumoto mainly because he expects Katona to have a slow start, as Katona often lets physically imposing fighters dictate the early going. He notes that Matsumoto is a powerful athlete who will blitz with power, but acknowledges that Katona has a good jab and could jab Matsumoto up. Zane sees it as a real 50-50 toss-up and doesn't feel great about the pick.

Matsumoto opened at -261, now -244; Katona opened at +222, now +210. Zane thinks the odds should be much closer.
"I kind of think I'm going to pick Matsumoto to win."
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brad Katona 0 68 of 113 60% 148 of 217 3 of 3 100% 0 0 10:50
Jesse Butler 0 30 of 82 36% 32 of 90 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brad Katona 0 8 of 14 57% 44 of 54 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:31
Jesse Butler 0 7 of 11 63% 8 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Brad Katona 0 15 of 24 62% 41 of 64 2 of 2 100% 0 0 4:49
Jesse Butler 0 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Brad Katona 0 45 of 75 60% 63 of 99 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:30
Jesse Butler 0 21 of 68 30% 22 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brad Katona 68 of 113 60% 59 of 101 3 of 6 6 of 6 27 of 56 1 of 1 40 of 56
Jesse Butler 30 of 82 36% 16 of 63 9 of 14 5 of 5 30 of 82 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brad Katona 8 of 14 57% 8 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 4 1 of 1 6 of 9
Jesse Butler 7 of 11 63% 1 of 2 3 of 6 3 of 3 7 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Brad Katona 15 of 24 62% 15 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 4 0 of 0 15 of 20
Jesse Butler 2 of 3 66% 1 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Brad Katona 45 of 75 60% 36 of 63 3 of 6 6 of 6 26 of 48 0 of 0 19 of 27
Jesse Butler 21 of 68 30% 14 of 59 5 of 7 2 of 2 21 of 68 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Brad Katona

Angelo is very confident in Brad Katona. He notes that Brad is a two-time Ultimate Fighter winner with high fight IQ, good technical striking, and fantastic cardio. He can wrestle if needed, as shown in his last fight. Jesse Butler was knocked out quickly in his UFC debut and has terrible takedown defense. Angelo thinks Brad dominates everywhere and sees no path to victory for Jesse.

"I don't see how he loses this fight he's too good to get caught in some random submission"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Brad Katona

Big Brady picks Brad Katona to win by decision. He thinks Katona should not be a -600 favorite but sees no path to victory for Jesse Butler, who is cutting to bantamweight for the first time and has poor takedown defense. He doubts Katona will finish but expects a clear decision win.

"give me bra atona to win this fight and Win It by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Brad Katona

Cody picks Katona, noting that Butler has been inactive for two years and was knocked out quickly by Jim Miller in his UFC debut. Katona is a decision machine with six UFC fights all going to decision, and he has faced better competition. Cody expects Katona to use his wrestling and control to win a decision, though he warns that the minus 600 price is steep for a decision fighter.

"it's Katona top ticket all day for me"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Brad Katona

Daniel expects Katona to win a decision but calls it a dog-or-pass situation due to the steep price. He notes Katona is on a decline and fights on slim margins, while Butler has a nine-inch reach advantage and is dropping two weight classes. However, he doubts Butler's skills are UFC-level.

pass
"Brad Katona is the last guy I want to trust at minus 625 because he's just kind of like a you know play it safe harmless Point guy"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Brad Katona

Jacob picks Brad Katona, but adds a caveat about Jesse Butler's weight cut. He notes that Butler is dropping from 170 to 135, which could be a huge disadvantage. Brad is not a dangerous finisher, but the weight cut might make Butler vulnerable. Jacob thinks Brad will win, possibly by decision, but the weight cut could lead to a finish. He also mentions that Brad's takedown prop might be interesting.

Brad Katona inside the distance could be a sneaky play due to weight cut
"BR Katona inside the distance could be a sneaky play just because that weight cut I don't know how he's going to make the weight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Brad Katona

Katona is a solid all-around fighter with great fight IQ and cardio, who should outwork Butler with his grappling and grinding style. Butler has power but was knocked out quickly by Jim Miller. Katona's experience and reliability should lead to a decision win, though the -600 price is steep.

"I do still lean but uh sorry uh Katona and I do think he grinds his fight out he's just a little bit more reliable"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Brad Katona

Paul picks Katona, noting that Butler has not impressed and Katona is a proven UFC fighter. He expects Katona to win by decision or submission, but acknowledges the price is high. Paul thinks Katona's wrestling and experience will be too much for Butler.

"I think Kona wins I'm curious like maybe Katona by submission I expect him to probably go for takedowns here but uh I don't know really what to do with this fight Cody but um Jesse Butler does not impress me much"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jesse Butler

The Guru initially leans Katona but switches to Butler after considering Butler's massive reach advantage (73-inch reach vs Katona's 64.5). He says Katona has no ability to finish on the feet and looked incapable of inflicting pain against Garrett Armfield. He thinks Butler is too big, strong, and powerful, and will catch Katona and finish him. He acknowledges Butler lost to 'absolute schmucks' but is willing to risk the underdog pick.

Underdog pick; mentions Butler's reach advantage and finishing potential
"I'm going to say he wins this one massive reach Advantage going to catch Katona and finish him there's an underdog pick right there"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Garrett Armfield 0 64 of 155 41% 76 of 172 4 of 9 44% 0 0 4:35
Brad Katona 0 105 of 168 62% 130 of 193 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Garrett Armfield 0 20 of 48 41% 23 of 52 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:14
Brad Katona 0 31 of 51 60% 31 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Garrett Armfield 0 25 of 66 37% 27 of 71 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:27
Brad Katona 0 41 of 66 62% 41 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Garrett Armfield 0 19 of 41 46% 26 of 49 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:54
Brad Katona 0 33 of 51 64% 58 of 76 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Garrett Armfield 64 of 155 41% 49 of 138 8 of 9 7 of 8 46 of 126 17 of 28 1 of 1
Brad Katona 105 of 168 62% 74 of 131 21 of 27 10 of 10 99 of 162 6 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Garrett Armfield 20 of 48 41% 14 of 41 1 of 2 5 of 5 14 of 39 6 of 9 0 of 0
Brad Katona 31 of 51 60% 16 of 33 8 of 11 7 of 7 31 of 51 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Garrett Armfield 25 of 66 37% 20 of 60 4 of 4 1 of 2 20 of 58 5 of 8 0 of 0
Brad Katona 41 of 66 62% 28 of 50 10 of 13 3 of 3 41 of 66 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Garrett Armfield 19 of 41 46% 15 of 37 3 of 3 1 of 1 12 of 29 6 of 11 1 of 1
Brad Katona 33 of 51 64% 30 of 48 3 of 3 0 of 0 27 of 45 6 of 6 0 of 0
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 14, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Brad Katona

Angelo picks Katona, citing his footwork, volume, and cardio as advantages. He expects Katona to take over as Armfield slows down, predicting a 29-28 decision. He initially thought the odds were wide but talked himself into confidence, planning to place a bet.

Will bet on Katona
"Brad Katana should win this fight and I just talked myself to being even more confident in him probably going to throw a bet on him"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Brad Katona

Big Brady picks Katona, expecting him to fight smart and use wrestling. He notes Armfield has poor takedown defense and has lost by submission twice. He believes Katona's fight IQ and experience against better competition will lead to a decision win. He thinks Katona won't brawl like he did against Cody Gibson.

decision
"I think he gets it done by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Brad Katona

Cody picks Katona due to his well-rounded skills, technical boxing, and experience. He thinks Armfield lacks the grappling to stick with Katona and will break under pressure. He predicts a late stoppage or decision win for Katona.

"I think Katona wins... maybe a late stoppage win for Brad Katona."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Jan 16, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Brad Katona

Daniel Vreeland leans toward Brad Katona but hopes he is wrong. He notes Katona's experience and ability to slow down younger fighters, but worries about his recent war with Cody Gibson and potential decline. Armfield has heavy hands and could knock Katona out, but Vreeland expects Katona to grind out a decision or get a submission.

"I'm a lean Katona a little bit but i' I'd love to see Garrett Armfield win"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Feb 6, 2025 (fight day)
No clear pick

This fight is not discussed in the transcript. The host does not mention Armfield vs Katona.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Brad Katona

I'm taking Katona to win by decision. He has a huge experience advantage and higher fight IQ. He can blend his wrestling behind his striking to catch Armfield by surprise. I think Armfield will be surprised by the pace Katona sets. Katona will give Armfield different looks and outpoint him. However, Armfield has potential and could showcase he's ready for this level, but I'm still going with Katona.

decision victory
"I think Kona comes out on the winning end here and gets his hand raised by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Brad Katona

Paul picks Katona, noting his intelligence and well-rounded game. He jokes about Katona's fake Irish accent but respects his skills. He thinks Katona will use takedowns and top control to win a decision.

"It's the Brad Katona style... you're not going to love it watching it typically but it's effective."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Brad Katona

The MMA Guru picks Brad Katona, calling him underrated and noting his wins over undefeated fighters in Brave CF. He criticizes Garrett Armfield's level of competition and questions his consistency. He highlights Katona's toughness, kicks, and takedown ability. He predicts a submission win via rear-naked choke in round two.

submission, round 2
"I'm going to go with Brad katuna the weirdest accented man in the UFC I think he's better than Garrett Armfield"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brad Katona 0 160 of 311 51% 173 of 327 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Cody Gibson 0 164 of 268 61% 169 of 273 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brad Katona 0 36 of 87 41% 39 of 91 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Cody Gibson 0 49 of 85 57% 49 of 85 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Brad Katona 0 58 of 108 53% 59 of 111 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Cody Gibson 0 64 of 94 68% 66 of 96 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Brad Katona 0 66 of 116 56% 75 of 125 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Cody Gibson 0 51 of 89 57% 54 of 92 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brad Katona 160 of 311 51% 116 of 254 25 of 37 19 of 20 127 of 262 33 of 49 0 of 0
Cody Gibson 164 of 268 61% 130 of 228 22 of 27 12 of 13 134 of 233 30 of 35 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brad Katona 36 of 87 41% 22 of 70 5 of 7 9 of 10 29 of 76 7 of 11 0 of 0
Cody Gibson 49 of 85 57% 39 of 73 6 of 7 4 of 5 42 of 78 7 of 7 0 of 0
2 Brad Katona 58 of 108 53% 45 of 91 6 of 10 7 of 7 47 of 89 11 of 19 0 of 0
Cody Gibson 64 of 94 68% 47 of 76 12 of 13 5 of 5 52 of 79 12 of 15 0 of 0
3 Brad Katona 66 of 116 56% 49 of 93 14 of 20 3 of 3 51 of 97 15 of 19 0 of 0
Cody Gibson 51 of 89 57% 44 of 79 4 of 7 3 of 3 40 of 76 11 of 13 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Cody Gibson vs. Brad Katona
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Katona (-168), Gibson (+142)

Round 1
There could be some history in the making for this bantamweight battle that will kick off the ESPN portion of the prelim card. The first of two victors of Season 31 of TUF will be crowned, with the first coming at 135 pounds. Both men are UFC veterans, but Katona (12-2, 2-2 UFC) is the one who could break new ground by becoming the first two-time TUF winner ever. Of note, his opponent, Gibson (19-8, 1-3 UFC), faced future champ and UFC 292 headliner Aljamain Sterling in his promotional debut back in 2014, where he ultimately dropped a decision. The “six-figure contract” and bragging rights will be awarded to the winner, in a matchup that will be governed by referee Marc Goddard. The former show teammates do not decide to clap hands, and instead they rush out towards one another to strike. They do just that, one after the other, until they end up swinging at the same time and ending up in a clinch. Gibson pushes off and lands a pair of hooks, and Katona knocks him back with a counter. Gibson connects with a clean right hand, and Katona shakes it off and gets off a jab. Katona comes up hitting nothing but air when he looses hooks, and Gibson attempts to reach him with a front kick and fails. Katona sticks his man with a left, and Gibson ducks down to get off a body kick. Katona retaliates with a leg kick, and Gibson dips and strikes while avoiding offense that wings towards him. Both fighters are amped up and trading shots, and Gibson pushes out two jabs and dings Katona with a left hand. Gibson trips on his way in, and this allows Katona the briefest amount of time to shake it off. Gibson clubs his man with a right, and Katona stands firm and bashes him with a solid left hook. Gibson is not remotely concerned as he meanders forward, and he swings himself into a clinch. Gibson absorbs a right hand and misses with a second, and Katona counters with a left that marks up Gibson’s eye. Gibson continues to surge forward, hurling offense and making Katona have to match his pace. “The Renegade” mixes things up with a chopping kick, and he shrugs off anything that Katona lands on him to throw his own heavy blows. The two tie up, but nothing comes up it other than a right hand from Gibson on the break. Gibson tries to follow it, and he ends up lobbing strikes that are way off the mark. Katona strings together several low kicks, and they both work the body. The furiously paced round ends with a sharp left from Katona.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gibson
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Gibson
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Gibson

Round 2
The bantamweights come back to the middle to start off the round, and Katona is the first to spring into action with a combination of fists. Katona then switches to a leg kick, and he rips a left to the body and nails Gibson with a right over the top. Gibson steels himself and throws back with gravitas, drawing a takedown attempt out of the Canadian. Gibson drills his man with an uppercut, and he pressures forward until they tie up and trade additional uppercuts. Katona does not register a leg kick, and he pops Gibson with a jab. Gibson does the same with his own jab and a follow-up right hand, and the two are taking turns to smack the other around. Katona flicks out a jab, and Gibson counters him with an uppercut and a body shot. Gibson walks face-first into a left hand, and he fires off a right hook and then goes to the body. Gibson again eats a few strikes, and the two start fighting in a phone booth and lay into each other. Gibson slings a right hand that bounces off the temple, and Katona smiles and delivers a right hand on the chin and a clean left shortly thereafter. Gibson lands a leg kick, gets up close to land a body shot, and then backs off when Katona scores with two hooks. Gibson overswings with a left hand, and Katona tags him a few times while he is recoiling. Katona suddenly goes up high with a kick, and frowns when it is blocked. Gibson misses the mark with a huge uppercut, and a few right hands from Gibson have developed some swelling around Katona’s left eye. Gibson targets it with a clubbing right and an elbow, and Katona tries to tie him up for a moment but ends up eating a few clinch strikes before releasing. Katona sits down on a right hand, timing it perfectly as Gibson ducked right into it, and Gibson powers forward to clinch up and recover. Katona jumps at him with a knee, and he fires off a short salvo of strikes that knock Gibson back again. Katona keeps Gibson honest with pawing jabs and a right hand, and Gibson appears to be fading. Katona lines up a right hand down the middle, and the horn blares.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Katona
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Katona
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Katona

Round 3
Gibson waves to the crowd to get them fired up, and the audience reacts positively. Going into the last round, it could be all tied up, and they treat things as such as they get right after it. Gibson walks through the fast fists that fly at his face so that he can drive a right hand home, and Katona reels but comes back. Katona slides to the side and avoids the huge hooks, and he starts peppering Gibson with jabs. When Gibson changes this up to let go with his own jabs, Katona lets him have it with big punches. Gibson parries a jump knee and a kick to the body, and he drills Katona with a right hand down the pipe. Katona backpedals and eats another one like a plate of poutine, and the two let the other have it. This results in them coming together for a brief clinch, and Katona pushes him back and lets fly a high kick that slaps into the shoulder. Katona kicks with his other leg, and he books Gibson in the calf when he speedily moves. Gibson takes a punch to give one back, and he stings Katona with a right hook. Gibson plants two uppercuts on the chin, and he slides back and pops Katona with a clean right. Katona ignores a leg kick, and he knees the body and sneaks in a short right. Katona loads up and connects with a right, and he digs a few punches to the body and might have hurt Gibson. A few left hands force Gibson to cover his eye, and it is swelling badly. Gibson backs up to the wall as Katona lays into him, until Gibson decides to activate and sling fire back at him. Katona staggers back and then rushes back into action, and the two proceed to give it everything they have in an absolutely terrific brawl. Katona lands, Gibson gets him back, Katona stings him and Gibson shakes Katona up. This back-and-forth trading ends only when they tie up to catch their breath. Gibson pushes off and then sprints at Katona, who is backing away to try to let time expire. Gibson reaches him and blasts him with a few punches, and this all-action thriller comes to a close – unless there is an unexpected “sudden victory” round in the event of a draw. No matter who gets their hand raised, this is an instant “Fight of the Night” frontrunner as well as a scrap that might earn “Fight of the Year” consideration when it is all said and done. The two bantamweights embrace, having put on a display reminiscent of Forrest Griffin vs. Stephan Bonnar.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Katona (29-28 Katona)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Katona (29-28 Katona)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Katona (29-28 Katona)

The Official Result
Brad Katona def. Cody Gibson via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
Expert Picks (2)
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 15, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Brad Katona

Cody expects Katona to win by decision regardless of opponent. He notes Gibson is the better fighter but has a knee injury, and if Rico wins, Katona still wins. He sees Katona as a talented favorite.

"Katona wins decision probably competitive Katona will be a big uh a little too big of a favorite but he's talented he wins"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Aug 17, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Brad Katona

Daniel Levi leans toward Brad Katona, believing he should be favored but is not confident. He notes that Katona fights close decisions and that Gibson has a seven-inch reach advantage and is four inches taller. Levi thinks Gibson is live at plus money, especially if he can keep the fight standing and use his reach. He mentions that Gibson had a knee injury on The Ultimate Fighter and wants more information on that.

Gibson would interest at plus 200
"I'm gonna lean towards Katona I mean I think he should be favored but it's just not gonna surprise me to see a guy like Cody Gibson"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Hunter Azure 0 21 of 60 35% 40 of 83 3 of 12 25% 0 0 6:23
Brad Katona 0 41 of 118 34% 55 of 133 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:29
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Hunter Azure 0 5 of 12 41% 16 of 25 0 of 5 0% 0 0 3:05
Brad Katona 0 8 of 22 36% 11 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
2 Hunter Azure 0 8 of 23 34% 13 of 30 2 of 4 50% 0 0 2:36
Brad Katona 0 18 of 46 39% 23 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Hunter Azure 0 8 of 25 32% 11 of 28 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:42
Brad Katona 0 15 of 50 30% 21 of 56 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:26
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Hunter Azure 21 of 60 35% 18 of 51 2 of 7 1 of 2 17 of 54 4 of 6 0 of 0
Brad Katona 41 of 118 34% 25 of 91 11 of 20 5 of 7 33 of 105 6 of 8 2 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Hunter Azure 5 of 12 41% 4 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 8 3 of 4 0 of 0
Brad Katona 8 of 22 36% 6 of 14 0 of 5 2 of 3 5 of 17 3 of 5 0 of 0
2 Hunter Azure 8 of 23 34% 7 of 21 1 of 2 0 of 0 7 of 21 1 of 2 0 of 0
Brad Katona 18 of 46 39% 10 of 38 5 of 5 3 of 3 15 of 43 3 of 3 0 of 0
3 Hunter Azure 8 of 25 32% 7 of 19 1 of 5 0 of 1 8 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0
Brad Katona 15 of 50 30% 9 of 39 6 of 10 0 of 1 13 of 45 0 of 0 2 of 5
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Merab Dvalishvili 0 32 of 56 57% 43 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:36
Brad Katona 0 55 of 102 53% 215 of 274 5 of 9 55% 0 0 8:31
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Merab Dvalishvili 0 16 of 29 55% 20 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:36
Brad Katona 0 25 of 54 46% 49 of 80 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:18
2 Merab Dvalishvili 0 8 of 11 72% 12 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Brad Katona 0 7 of 10 70% 114 of 122 2 of 3 66% 0 0 4:20
3 Merab Dvalishvili 0 8 of 16 50% 11 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Brad Katona 0 23 of 38 60% 52 of 72 1 of 4 25% 0 0 2:53
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Merab Dvalishvili 32 of 56 57% 21 of 41 4 of 5 7 of 10 17 of 36 12 of 16 3 of 4
Brad Katona 55 of 102 53% 43 of 85 6 of 10 6 of 7 24 of 65 4 of 5 27 of 32
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Merab Dvalishvili 16 of 29 55% 10 of 19 0 of 1 6 of 9 11 of 20 5 of 9 0 of 0
Brad Katona 25 of 54 46% 19 of 43 3 of 7 3 of 4 14 of 40 1 of 2 10 of 12
2 Merab Dvalishvili 8 of 11 72% 5 of 8 2 of 2 1 of 1 1 of 4 5 of 5 2 of 2
Brad Katona 7 of 10 70% 6 of 9 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 5 0 of 0 4 of 5
3 Merab Dvalishvili 8 of 16 50% 6 of 14 2 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 12 2 of 2 1 of 2
Brad Katona 23 of 38 60% 18 of 33 2 of 2 3 of 3 7 of 20 3 of 3 13 of 15
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brad Katona 0 76 of 158 48% 86 of 170 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:13
Matthew Lopez 0 69 of 142 48% 79 of 155 4 of 6 66% 1 0 0:55
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brad Katona 0 37 of 54 68% 45 of 64 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Matthew Lopez 0 28 of 56 50% 30 of 61 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:24
2 Brad Katona 0 23 of 50 46% 25 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Matthew Lopez 0 18 of 35 51% 20 of 37 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:31
3 Brad Katona 0 16 of 54 29% 16 of 54 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:13
Matthew Lopez 0 23 of 51 45% 29 of 57 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brad Katona 76 of 158 48% 40 of 106 12 of 26 24 of 26 67 of 146 4 of 6 5 of 6
Matthew Lopez 69 of 142 48% 41 of 99 17 of 31 11 of 12 65 of 134 3 of 6 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brad Katona 37 of 54 68% 18 of 33 6 of 7 13 of 14 31 of 48 2 of 2 4 of 4
Matthew Lopez 28 of 56 50% 19 of 39 8 of 16 1 of 1 26 of 54 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Brad Katona 23 of 50 46% 11 of 32 3 of 8 9 of 10 21 of 47 1 of 1 1 of 2
Matthew Lopez 18 of 35 51% 13 of 26 4 of 8 1 of 1 18 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 1
3 Brad Katona 16 of 54 29% 11 of 41 3 of 11 2 of 2 15 of 51 1 of 3 0 of 0
Matthew Lopez 23 of 51 45% 9 of 34 5 of 7 9 of 10 21 of 46 1 of 4 1 of 1
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–26, 30–26) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brad Katona 0 14 of 64 21% 18 of 68 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Jay Cucciniello 0 71 of 111 63% 117 of 167 2 of 7 28% 0 0 8:18
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brad Katona 0 9 of 33 27% 9 of 33 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Jay Cucciniello 0 35 of 55 63% 35 of 55 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Brad Katona 0 3 of 21 14% 4 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jay Cucciniello 0 20 of 29 68% 36 of 46 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:59
3 Brad Katona 0 2 of 10 20% 5 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jay Cucciniello 0 16 of 27 59% 46 of 66 1 of 4 25% 0 0 4:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brad Katona 14 of 64 21% 8 of 55 5 of 8 1 of 1 13 of 60 1 of 3 0 of 1
Jay Cucciniello 71 of 111 63% 42 of 74 8 of 13 21 of 24 50 of 81 0 of 0 21 of 30
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brad Katona 9 of 33 27% 5 of 26 3 of 6 1 of 1 9 of 31 0 of 2 0 of 0
Jay Cucciniello 35 of 55 63% 12 of 26 7 of 10 16 of 19 35 of 55 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Brad Katona 3 of 21 14% 2 of 20 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jay Cucciniello 20 of 29 68% 16 of 24 1 of 2 3 of 3 12 of 17 0 of 0 8 of 12
3 Brad Katona 2 of 10 20% 1 of 9 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 8 1 of 1 0 of 1
Jay Cucciniello 16 of 27 59% 14 of 24 0 of 1 2 of 2 3 of 9 0 of 0 13 of 18