Jonathan Micallef

"The Captain"
3-0
Record
Age / DOB 27
(Mar 05, 1999)
Height 6' 0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Reach 77.0"
Stance Southpaw
Career Averages
3.96 Sig. Strikes / Min
41.0% Sig. Strike Acc.
4.22 Absorbed / Min
56.0% Strike Defense
1.13 TD Avg / 15 min
66.0% TD Accuracy
75.0% TD Defense
1.1 Sub. / Fight
Win Methods (3)
KO/TKO 0
Submission 1
Decision 2

Fight History

Result / Opponent
Event & Date
Method/Round
Links
Comments
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jonathan Micallef 0 55 of 112 49% 83 of 147 1 of 4 25% 0 1 3:26
Themba Gorimbo 0 39 of 90 43% 74 of 132 2 of 5 40% 0 0 5:25
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jonathan Micallef 0 6 of 20 30% 11 of 26 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:11
Themba Gorimbo 0 11 of 23 47% 23 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:49
2 Jonathan Micallef 0 4 of 7 57% 7 of 15 0 of 3 0% 0 1 0:57
Themba Gorimbo 0 5 of 15 33% 23 of 40 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:41
3 Jonathan Micallef 0 45 of 85 52% 65 of 106 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:18
Themba Gorimbo 0 23 of 52 44% 28 of 57 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:55
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jonathan Micallef 55 of 112 49% 39 of 94 13 of 15 3 of 3 46 of 99 7 of 9 2 of 4
Themba Gorimbo 39 of 90 43% 22 of 70 3 of 6 14 of 14 34 of 83 2 of 4 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jonathan Micallef 6 of 20 30% 2 of 16 3 of 3 1 of 1 3 of 14 2 of 4 1 of 2
Themba Gorimbo 11 of 23 47% 5 of 17 1 of 1 5 of 5 9 of 20 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Jonathan Micallef 4 of 7 57% 1 of 4 3 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 3 2 of 2 1 of 2
Themba Gorimbo 5 of 15 33% 5 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 11 0 of 1 3 of 3
3 Jonathan Micallef 45 of 85 52% 36 of 74 7 of 9 2 of 2 42 of 82 3 of 3 0 of 0
Themba Gorimbo 23 of 52 44% 12 of 38 2 of 5 9 of 9 23 of 52 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Themba Gorimbo vs. Jonathan Micallef

Round 1
Micallef (9-1; 2-0 UFC) looks to keep his Octagon record spotless against Gorimbo (14-6; 4-3 UFC), who is tasked with snapping the first losing streak of his career in hostile territory. Lukas Bosacki draws the referee assignment. Micallef is southpaw, Gorimbo orthodox, and both men reach out with awkward rear-hand punches in the opening moments. Gorimbo closes the distance and shoves Micallef to the fence. They pummel for position briefly, then disengage and return to the center of the cage. Gorimbo clocks Micallef with a right hand in the pocket, but can’t follow it with anything of consequence. Micallef lands a good left hand of his own, then eats another hard right from Gorimbo. Micallef connects with a pair of punches upstairs and Gorimbo clinches. They fight for underhooks against the fence. Two minutes to go in the round and it’s Micallef on the outside, shoving Gorimbo into the cage. Gorimbo reverses the position. They exchange knees inside. Micallef hits a lovely foot sweep and dumps Gorimbo to the canvas. Micallef is in Gorimbo’s full guard, then postures up and drops a couple of hard punches. Gorimbo starts to pop up, but Micallef drives him back to the ground and threatens to take his back. Gorimbo stands, giving up his back briefly, but spins out of it and returns to his feet. They collide in the pocket and the round ends. 10-9 Micallef.

Round 2
Gorimbo comes forward swinging big, but the punches glance off of Micallef’s guard. He throws another salvo of punches and several of them connect. He closes the distance and grabs a body lock, dragging Micallef to his knees, but the Australian pops right back up. Gorimbo drives Micallef to the fence, keeping the body lock, but Micallef shucks him off and grabs a single-leg. He looks about to finish the takedown, but falls back off-balance with Gorimbo on top. Gorimbo is in Micallef’s full guard, and as he looks to pass, Micallef throws his legs up for a triangle choke. He can’t secure it, and Gorimbo is very close to passing his guard against the fence. Micallef kicks Gorimbo all the way off of him, but Gorimbo dives straight back into guard. Micallef controls Gorimbo’s wrists and tries another triangle setup. Gorimbo sniffs it out easily and passes Micallef’s guard, then takes his back in a flash. There’s a full minute left as Gorimbo cinches up a body triangle from back mount. Micallef fights off Gorimbo’s initial attempts at a choke, then squirms and, Anthony Pettis-like, spins all the way out of back mount into guard. Micallef gets in a couple of punches right before the horn. 10-9 Gorimbo.

Round 3
Gorimbo just touches with a right high kick, and Micallef answers with a right hand. Gorimbo is active with the kicks early, tagging Micallef’s lead leg. Micallef throws a right kick to the body and Gorimbo catches the kick, then counters with a right hand up top. Gorimbo times Micallef’s next kick and plows him to the canvas. They pop back up seconds later and Gorimbo drives Micallef to the fence. Micallef reverses the position. They separate and go back to kickboxing, and Gorimbo immediately goes back to work with low kicks. Micallef answers with a few kicks of his own, but seems to be trying to measure his man for a counterpunch. Micallef gets the better of a boxing exchange, and Gorimbo changes levels for a single-leg attempt. He holds onto the leg and shoves Micallef to the fence, but Micallef extricates the leg and nails Gorimbo with a pair of punches. Gorimbo suddenly looks very tired. Micallef lights him up with a three-piece. Gorimbo has slowed but is still very much in the fight, blasting Micallef’s lead right leg with another calf kick. Micallef throws a spinning backfist that lands cleanly. Under 30 seconds left and Micallef surges forward with spinning attacks and a series of big punches, trying for the last-second finish, but nothing of consequence lands. The horn sounds, and it should be his fight anyway, on our scorecard at least. 10-9 Micallef (29-28 Micallef).

The Official Result
Jonathan Micallef def. Themba Gorimbo via Split Decision (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
Expert Picks (10)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 26, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Jonathan Micallef

Angelo picks Jonathan Micallef because he believes Micallef's pressure wrestling will neutralize Themba Gorimbo's range striking. He expects Micallef to crowd Gorimbo, take away his distance, and drag him to the ground for control. Angelo also mentions the possibility of Australian judges favoring Micallef in a close fight.

Over 2.5 rounds mentioned as solid.
"Jonathan Mlev should win this with just some good oldfashioned wrestling. I don't think we find a finish here. Over two and a half is probably pretty solid."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 29, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Jonathan Micallef

Big Brady picks Jonathan Micallef to win by submission in the second or third round. He criticizes Themba Gorimbo's style as panic wrestling and notes his poor durability and submission defense. Brady believes Micallef is dangerous everywhere, especially with his kicks, and that Gorimbo will make a mistake in the grappling as he slows down, leading to a submission.

Micallef by submission, round 2 or 3
"I'm picking Mequelet to win this fight by submission in the second or third round when Themba starts to slow down."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Jonathan Micallef

Cody picks Micallef, noting his youth and improvement. He believes Micallef's grappling and submission skills will overcome Gorimbo's wrestling, and likes the submission prop.

submission prop
"Malf will be the side the pick for me. I think he's a guy that I kind of underestimated when he first came into the UFC and he's kind of proven me wrong."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 1, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Jonathan Micallef

Connor picks Micallef, agreeing that Gorimbo is a mess who overwhelms bad athletes but gets flung around by good ones. He notes Micallef is a good athlete with reach and a high-output kicking game, and Gorimbo's wrestling is not good enough to neutralize him. He calls it a worthwhile test for Micallef.

"Yep. And yeah, McAlluff has never dealt with a blanket, but he's definitely not a bad athlete. No, and he's pretty big."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Apr 29, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Jonathan Micallef

Daniel Vreeland leans towards Jonathan Micallef to win a split decision, but is not confident. He thinks Gorimbo may win the first round but fade, while Micallef's body lock and kicking game could take over. He notes the odds are off but doesn't trust Gorimbo.

"I'm going to lean towards Michaeliff to win kind of an uninspiring split decision."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Apr 26, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Jonathan Micallef

Lucrative James picks Jonathan Micallef to win via submission. He believes Micallef's jiu-jitsu is a level above Gorimbo's, and expects Gorimbo to make a grappling mistake that Micallef can capitalize on. He notes Gorimbo's training in North Ossetia may improve his wrestling, but still favors Micallef's submission skills.

"I think that Jonathan Miff is going to submit him... I'm picking Jonathan Miff to win this fight via submission."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 28, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Jonathan Micallef

The host thinks Micallef is the better and stronger fighter, with a grappling edge that will show in deeper waters. He expects Micallef to grind out a decision, but advises waiting for a better line as Gorimbo may get public support. The host notes Micallef's strength and grappling ability, while Gorimbo's reckless striking and recent losses are concerns.

"I think he is the better fighter. I think he's the stronger fighter. I think he's the better grappler. And I think that's going to start to show more and more as we get into deeper water here."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Jonathan Micallef

Paul picks Micallef, citing his submission skills and Gorimbo's tendency to get taken down. He believes Micallef will catch a submission off his back or win a decision.

submission prop
"I took a small shot on Maciff by sub because um I mean he's shown a knack for it."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 1, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Jonathan Micallef

The MMA Guru picks Jonathan Micallef, highlighting his well-rounded skills and durability. He criticizes Themba Gorimbo's recent performances, especially the loss to Jeremiah Wells where Gorimbo made mistakes. He notes Micallef's power and athleticism, and predicts a submission win.

submission win
"I'm going to go with Jonathan Micallef here. Um I think he'll be a little bit too well-rounded and probably get a submission win over Themba Gorimbo."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 1, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Jonathan Micallef

Zane picks Micallef confidently, noting his high-output kicking game and reach will trouble Gorimbo, who is a blanketer with rudimentary striking. He thinks Micallef is a much better athlete and sniper, and Gorimbo's wrestling is sacrificial and not good enough to hold Micallef down. He sees it as a sensible matchup for Micallef.

"So I'm picking him too, but I think it's a sensible matchup. I have no problem with giving this fight to McAlluff right now."
UFC 325
Feb 01, 2026
Submission R2 3:31
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jonathan Micallef 0 19 of 59 32% 30 of 70 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:35
Oban Elliott 0 40 of 82 48% 47 of 89 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jonathan Micallef 0 11 of 36 30% 20 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:35
Oban Elliott 0 21 of 49 42% 27 of 55 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:05
2 Jonathan Micallef 0 8 of 23 34% 10 of 25 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:00
Oban Elliott 0 19 of 33 57% 20 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jonathan Micallef 19 of 59 32% 13 of 49 5 of 9 1 of 1 16 of 53 3 of 6 0 of 0
Oban Elliott 40 of 82 48% 34 of 74 1 of 3 5 of 5 35 of 74 5 of 7 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jonathan Micallef 11 of 36 30% 8 of 31 3 of 5 0 of 0 9 of 31 2 of 5 0 of 0
Oban Elliott 21 of 49 42% 16 of 43 1 of 2 4 of 4 16 of 43 5 of 5 0 of 1
2 Jonathan Micallef 8 of 23 34% 5 of 18 2 of 4 1 of 1 7 of 22 1 of 1 0 of 0
Oban Elliott 19 of 33 57% 18 of 31 0 of 1 1 of 1 19 of 31 0 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Oban Elliott vs. Jonathan Micallef
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Micallef (-135), Elliott (+114)

Round 1
Of the 10 fights the UFC designates as UFC 325, two of them do not feature an athlete from Oceania. This is not one of those, as locals have another man in the cage to get excited about in the form of Micallef (8-1, 1-0 UFC). He collides in a classic matchup of Australia vs. Wales as he locks horns with Elliott (12-3, 3-1 UFC). The welterweights get right after it while referee Marc Goddard keeps tabs on the action.
Micallef leads off with a few kicks, and one to the midsection gets caught as Elliott slings him right down to the mat and climbs on top. Micallef scoots his way to the fence and walks up it with his face aimed towards the audience, and Elliott slugs him upside the head a few times until Micallef breaks off. Elliott intercepts his opponent with a chopping kick that sweeps him off his feet, and when Micallef gets up, he takes a power jab on the jaw. Micallef lunges recklessly, landing a front kick but nearly falling over while doing so. Elliott shrugs it off and corners Micallef, clubbing him with his fists until Micallef peels out and resets. Elliott stings Micallef with a short combination, and he whips a kick at the Aussie’s head that is blocked in time. Elliott kicks low, and Micallef is unable to get out of first gear. Both fighters miss on big hooks, and Elliott uses a second to set up an ankle pick takedown that does not materialize.
The clashing men clinch up, and when they split, Micallef drills Elliott in the temple with a right hand that sets him down. The Welshman climbs back up, and he watches Micallef load up wildly and sees the punches soar past him. Micallef offers out a one-two, and he is met with an intercepting jab. Elliott beats his man to the punch, opening a cut on Micallef’s right eye with his faster swings. Micallef lumbers forward, loading up so much that he crashes into the cage looking quite silly. Elliott does not make him pay for it, so Micallef circles around and wipes the wound that is leaking a bit. Micallef manages to get his hands on Elliott, wrapping him up and leaning on him against the fence. Elliott escapes and dodges an elbow, and he plants his left hand on the bloody face of the Aussie. Elliott further targets it before the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Elliott
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Elliott
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Elliott

Round 2
Elliott rushes out to start the round, where he is met with a front kick to his breadbasket. Micallef looks to establish his jab, and he guards against a high kick when pressing forward. Elliott’s boxing is crisp and quick, allowing him to beat the wide-swinging Micallef to the punch. Micallef swarms forward but misses the mark with his lobbed arms, and Elliott opens the cut up again on the side of Micallef’s eye. Elliott strings a few punches together, not getting too greedy and backing off when he sees the counter coming. Micallef winds up on his punches, allowing Elliott to see many of them coming. The Welshman slams a kick on the lead leg, and his guard is able to defend the responsive head kick. Micallef catches him coming forward with a right hand, and Elliott gets frustrated and lashes out with a storm of reaching punches.
Micallef takes them flush and bounces off the wall behind him, letting Elliott come to him so he can wrap him up and go for a level change. The body lock takedown from Micallef is successful in wresting “The Welsh Gangster” to the floor, and he is quick to set up a rear-naked choke while lacing both hooks in. Micallef slithers his arm beneath the chin in a slightly unorthodox position, and Elliott fights the hands and releases slack in his arms in hopes of loosening the grip.
Seeing this is a poor decision, Elliott frantically attacks the choke grip, but it is now fully secured and squeezing the carotid artery as tight as one can. Elliott’s defensive gestures fall away as his limbs go limp, losing consciousness as Goddard quickly identifies—and measures his resistance by lifting the lifeless arms—the submission has reached its completion.
Snatching victory from the jaws of defeat thanks to one perfectly timed takedown, the Australian adds another win on the board for home-country athletes with a technical submission of a man in Elliott who had never been submitted. There’s a first time for everything, as “The Captain” declares that he is the captain now.

The Official Result
Jonathan Micallef def. Oban Elliott R2 3:31 via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Expert Picks (10)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 25, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Jonathan Micallef

Angelo picks Jonathan Micallef, citing his wrestling and ability to land big shots and then shoot takedowns. He notes that Oban Elliott was afraid of power in his last fight and got taken down six times. He likes that Micallef is only minus 150 and says the line moved from dog to favorite, which reassures him.

"I'm going to lean Michelef here. And I and I like seeing that he's only minus 150."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jan 25, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Oban Elliott

Big Brady picks the underdog Oban Elliott, believing the market overreacted to his loss against Sung Ho Ko (who is legit). He thinks Elliott is the better striker and wrestler, while Micallef only has a body kick. He expects a decision win for Elliott.

"I'm going to take Elliott here. I'll take him to win this fight by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jan 28, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Oban Elliott

Cody is taking Elliott as a slight underdog, believing he is being undervalued after one loss. He notes that Micallef has a limited striking arsenal and questionable takedown defense. He expects Elliott to use his wrestling and win a decision.

"I think Oban Elliot's got a plus money. I'm gonna take a small poke here."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Jonathan Micallef

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Micallef. He notes that Elliott is a classic neutralizer who feasts on unprincipled strikers, but Micallef is a principled striker who will not get frustrated. Connor believes Micallef's comfort at range and ability to stay proactive will win him the fight.

Same odds commentary.
"Yeah, I think it's very much a winnable fight for Elliott, but he is going to have to break out of his his golden cage. Yeah, and actually do something different."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Jan 15, 2026 (17 days before fight)
Oban Elliott

Daniel Vreeland leans toward Elliott as a dog, believing the market overcorrected after his loss to a legit opponent. He thinks Elliott's takedown defense is solid and that Micallef is overrated. Vreeland sees this as a competitive fight and likes Elliott at plus money.

"At dog odds, I'm a little tempted on Elliot."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jan 25, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Jonathan Micallef

James picks Micallef, citing his advantage in jiu-jitsu and outside kickboxing. He believes Elliott's wrestling could lead to submissions, and that Micallef's footwork and kicks will win the striking exchanges. James questions Elliott's durability and sees Micallef as the more well-rounded fighter.

"I got Makalif in this one."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 27, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Oban Elliott

Elliott is a well-rounded grappler with good cardio and chain wrestling. Micallef relies on mobile striking and BJJ, but Elliott should be able to shut down his striking and win the grappling exchanges. The host liked Elliott at -120 when the fight was first scheduled, so at +110 he sees value. Elliott is the better scrambler and should get more top time and damage.

Elliott by decision
"I'm going to have to lean on Elliot as I think he's a bit a little bit more well-rounded and will get the better of the grappling exchanges as well."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jan 28, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Jonathan Micallef

Paul disagrees and picks Micallef, citing Elliott's poor performance in his last fight and questionable wrestling. He believes Micallef's length and striking will be enough to win a decision.

"McAlliff throws like basically he's got like a long body kick. He's got some submissions off of his back. Is Oan going to just hang out in his guard? possible, but McCallip is the side for me."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Oban Elliott

The Guru picks Oban Elliott despite acknowledging potential bias as a friend. He cites Elliott's experience, craftiness in scrambles, and ability to mix things up on the feet. He notes Micallef's athleticism and finishing potential but believes Elliott's experience and training camp preparation will lead to a split decision win.

split decision 29-28
"I'm going to go with Orban getting this one done. Plus lighter man skill."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Jonathan Micallef

Zane picks Micallef because he is a principled striker who is comfortable operating from long range, which should neutralize Elliott's passive, counter-fighting style. He notes that Elliott struggles against principled strikers and tends to give up too much momentum. Zane believes Micallef's kicking game and generalship will be key.

Micallef opened at -110, now -130; Elliott opened at -110, now +110.
"I'm gonna take Michalif on that. And I like Elliott, but that's also why I feel like this is for him, this is much more a fight for him where he has to kind of it's gonna have to do something different."
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Sep 21, 2025 (7 days before fight)
Jonathan Micallef

Angelo picks Jonathan Micallef because he has takedowns and random power, which he believes will exploit Oban Elliott's grappling holes. He notes that Elliott recently lost to a similar style fighter (Shyuko) who took him down six times and made him hesitant. Angelo admits he is not insanely confident but sees a clear path to victory for Micallef.

"I'm going to pick Jonathan Malef. Am I insanely confident in that? No. No, I'm not. But I do think Jonathan Mikv, a guy that we know has random power, we know has takedowns versus a guy that has some grappling holes. Yeah, we're going Mikv here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Sep 25, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Oban Elliott

Big Brady picks Oban Elliott to win by decision, but is hesitant. He has never been high on Elliott and thinks he is overrated, but sees this as a winnable fight. He notes Elliott is the better striker and can get takedowns, but worries about his ground game after a poor performance against Co.

"I'm going to pick Elliot here. pick Elliot here to win by decision, but I don't know. It's a weird one."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Sep 23, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Oban Elliott

Cody picks Elliott but is nervous after his last poor performance. He believes Elliott has the skills to win if he returns to form, using his judo and takedowns. He notes Micallef is green and relies on volume, but Elliott's low volume and recent loss make him untrustworthy.

"Obanelli hopefully jumps back in the in the right track, but last fight was abysmal. He's the pick for me, but I'm a little nervous there."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Sep 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jonathan Micallef

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Elliott is not comfortable being a pressure fighter and will likely spend too much time on the end of Micallef's kicks. He thinks Elliott may duck into a head kick trying to play Micallef's guessing game. However, he acknowledges it's a good fight and Elliott could win if he pressures.

"Yeah, I'll take Micallef as well. I think stylistically Elliott's gonna let him have too much play."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Sep 19, 2025 (9 days before fight)
Oban Elliott

James leans toward Oban Elliott due to his more well-rounded skill set, better boxing, and proven UFC experience. He notes that Micallef relies heavily on kicks and jiu-jitsu, while Elliott has superior wrestling and cardio. However, he acknowledges the fight is close and passes on betting due to lack of strong read.

"I lean Elliot a little bit. I mean he's been there and done it on the UFC scene a little bit more."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Oban Elliott

The host expects Elliott to bounce back after losing as a big favorite. He thinks Elliott will shut down Micallef's grappling and use pace and pressure in striking that Micallef cannot keep up with, winning on the scorecards.

"Elliot is looking to bounce back after fumbling the bag as a minus 500 favorite last time around. And I think he can do it successfully by shutting down Mckela's grappling game and then putting on a pace and pressure in the striking room that McKeliff will not be able to keep up with. Look for Elliot to get his hand raised on the scorecards."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Oban Elliott

The Guru picks Oban Elliott, citing his experience and well-rounded skills. He believes Micallef won't be able to impose his bully tactics and that Elliott's wrestling and striking will be key. He predicts a 29-28 decision, with Elliott winning the first and third rounds.

29-28 decision
"I'm going to go towards my boy Oran Elliot here."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Sep 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jonathan Micallef

Zane thinks Micallef's kicking game will be effective if Elliott gives him space, which he expects Elliott to do. He notes that Elliott tends to be a neutralizer who may not pressure effectively, and that Micallef's southpaw stance and power rear leg kick could cause problems. However, he acknowledges Elliott could counter if he pressures.

Odds comment: razor thin odds; Micallef opened +110 now -102, Elliott opened -130 now -118
"Part of my guts is I should take Micallef here. I think Elliott is gonna give him space."
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jonathan Micallef 1 85 of 192 44% 89 of 197 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Kevin Jousset 0 67 of 168 39% 71 of 173 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jonathan Micallef 1 25 of 49 51% 29 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Kevin Jousset 0 16 of 39 41% 20 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jonathan Micallef 0 30 of 69 43% 30 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Kevin Jousset 0 25 of 60 41% 25 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Jonathan Micallef 0 30 of 74 40% 30 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Kevin Jousset 0 26 of 69 37% 26 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jonathan Micallef 85 of 192 44% 52 of 151 28 of 34 5 of 7 83 of 190 2 of 2 0 of 0
Kevin Jousset 67 of 168 39% 32 of 112 17 of 34 18 of 22 66 of 166 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jonathan Micallef 25 of 49 51% 9 of 29 13 of 16 3 of 4 24 of 48 1 of 1 0 of 0
Kevin Jousset 16 of 39 41% 6 of 20 2 of 9 8 of 10 16 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jonathan Micallef 30 of 69 43% 22 of 59 7 of 8 1 of 2 30 of 69 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kevin Jousset 25 of 60 41% 10 of 39 7 of 12 8 of 9 25 of 60 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Jonathan Micallef 30 of 74 40% 21 of 63 8 of 10 1 of 1 29 of 73 1 of 1 0 of 0
Kevin Jousset 26 of 69 37% 16 of 53 8 of 13 2 of 3 25 of 67 1 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Kevin Jousset vs. Jonathan Micallef
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Jousset (-258), Micallef (+210)

Round 1
Moving right along, Australia hopes to keep its momentum going against a regional rival in New Zealand. Micallef (7-1, 0-0 UFC) springboarded into the organization thanks to a stellar showing on the Contender Series, while Jousset (10-3, 2-1 UFC) made his way here by winning on the same fight card—Hex Fight Series 26 in 2023—as his opponent did. Having swam in the same circles early on, they will come to blows in the former’s promotional debut. For the second fight of the night, referee Rich Mitchell draws the charge, clocking the welterweights in as they bump fists. The fighters immediately start out whipping kicks at one another, with Micallef starting first and eating one right back. Micallef steps in with a left hand, and he follows it by bashing Jousset in the ribs with his shin. Micallef circles and goes high with a kick, stumbling and drawing back to his feet before Jousset can get to him. Jousset picks his shots with kicks to varied targets, while Micallef is chambering and launching heavier blows. Jousset digs a kick under the guard, and he backs off but still eats a leg kick before getting away. Jousset jabs a kick forward, absorbs a body kick and follows with an overhand right. Micallef sneaks a leg over the top and connects to the body again with a kick, and he briefly thinks about clinching but backs off to reset instead. Micallef walks into a sharp jab, and a few more from the City Kickboxing fighter produce some swelling under Micallef’s right eye. They go after one another to the ribs with additional kicks, putting a lot into them as they smack into one another with heavy impact. Micallef gets one in low and it slides up to bump the cup, but Jousset waves him off to keep kicking. Jousset chips away from his preferred distance, and Micallef bears down on him to get tied up in a clinch. A few sharp uppercuts and an elbow force the break for “Air Jousset,” who then backs away to measure his target with accurate kicks. Micallef kicks low and then whips one up high that beans Jousset in the temple. Jousset goes down in a heap, but he is still with it and shakes out the cobwebs before Micallef can finish the job. Jousset climbs up to dodge another sweeping head kick, motioning that the blow was extremely close to landing. Jousset walks through a few more body kicks, but they are having an impact as he follows Micallef around. Both men score right hands, and they wrap their shins beneath one another’s guard. The ribcage of Jousset is looked especially marked up as the round closes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Micallef
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Micallef
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Micallef

Round 2
The fighters bump fists before picking up right where they left off. Micallef leads the dance with a left hand, and Jousset pays him back almost immediately in kind. Micallef slides on the outside to evade Jousset’s kicks while responding with some, but a quick head kick from Jousset gets blocked in the nick of time. They both fade back to sway and dodge punches, and their kicks have a much higher accuracy rate. Micallef kicks so hard, the impact on the rib echoes through the arena as fans go “ooh.” Jousset chips back with kicks, but power is not on his side as Micallef is turning his hips into these audible blows. Micallef strafes back and forth to disrupt Jousset’s movement, keeping his guard up to defend the high kick that inevitably comes. Micallef goes up high again, and Jousset breathes a sigh of relief that he could guard against it. Micallef swipes left hands over the top, chaining punches into kicks while staying wise to potential counters. Jousset manages to catch him with a left hand every so often, but the volume and damage are both tilted to the unbeaten fighter’s side. Jousset slams a kick into the raised guard, chasing Micallef around and pawing at him with jabs. When Jousset tries a head kick, Micallef protects himself and retaliates appropriately. Micallef sneaks a kick above the guard again, and Jousset’s eyes go wide as the crowd grows in support of their Aussie. They batter the body once more in rapid succession, with pops so loud that Mitchell smiles when hearing a heavy impact. The two trade punches and kicks while standing directly in front of one another, with Micallef beating Jousset to the punch just enough to matter. Another big head kick from Micallef dings Jousset at the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Micallef
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Micallef
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Micallef

Round 3
A final glove touch gets things going after 10 minutes of kickfighting, and they decide to do more of that. They take turns kicking at one another, with the fighters seemingly trying to outdo the other they slug it out. Micallef strafes from one side to the other to deliver a payload of a booming kick to the liver. Micallef keeps chewing up the body with successful kicks, not letting Jousset get his tempo for much more than a counter or a long pair of punches. Micallef shrugs off jabs so he can continue welting up Jousset’s sides with kicks, and he even lets Jousset kick him to open up responses. Jousset gets irritated by an exchange and walks forward with dangerous intent, tagging Micallef with lunging punches and cutting Micallef off when trying to escape. Jousset stands in the pocket too long, eating a trio of punches before Micallef can back off to reset. Micallef strides forward, kicking, punching and kicking again, and Jousset keeps his feet planted when not hurling kicks right back. Micallef doubles up on a jab to loose a head kick, and it skims the side of the dome but does not shake “Air Jousset” up. Jousset instead bites down on his gumshield and slings vicious leather, opening up a cut on the bridge of Micallef’s nose while swinging with bad intentions. Micallef circles to his right, away from the power, but not far enough away to avoid big kicks. Fans appreciate the hard work these two have put in so far, rewarding the fighters with big cheers, and the competitors show their gratitude by banging it out. Micallef kicks Jousset square in the noggin, and the City Kickboxing fighter does not bat an eye and instead is right there to throw back harder. They display inaccurate head kicks until reaching the final horn, leaving most of it in the cage after three violent rounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jousset (29-28 Micallef)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Jousset (29-28 Micallef)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Jousset (29-28 Micallef)

The Official Result
Jonathan Micallef def. Kevin Jousset via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Expert Picks (2)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Kevin Jousset

Big Brady is not a huge fan of Kevin Jousset's style but likes him in this matchup. He notes that Jousset is a technical striker with good takedown defense, while Micallef has poor striking defense and tends to panic wrestle. Brady believes Jousset will win by decision, possibly a knockout, but he doesn't trust Jousset to finish. He predicts a three-round decision.

"I think jet wins this fight I think he wins it by decision could even knock out malli but I don't really want to trust jet to to finish any anybody"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Kevin Jousset

Jousset is favored due to his Judo background which can stop Micallef's takedowns. From there, his striking advantage will allow him to pick apart Micallef. The fight is expected to go the full 15 minutes with Jousset winning by decision.

decision
"I really like Jay in the spot as I think that he can stop the takedowns of malli with his Judo uh Judo background and then from there utilize his striking advantage to really pick apart malli"