Matheus Camilo

1-1
Record
Age / DOB 25
(Jan 02, 2001)
Height 5' 10"
Weight 155 lbs.
Reach 69"
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages
2.19 Sig. Strikes / Min
43.0% Sig. Strike Acc.
3.25 Absorbed / Min
64.0% Strike Defense
4.43 TD Avg / 15 min
53.0% TD Accuracy
0.0% TD Defense
0.6 Sub. / Fight
Win Methods (1)
KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 1
Loss Methods (1)
KO/TKO 0
Submission 1
Decision 0

Fight History

Result / Opponent
Event & Date
Method/Round
Links
Comments
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Matheus Camilo vs. Nazim Sadykhov
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Sadykhov (-250); Camilo (+200)

Round 1
Long Island, New York’s favorite Azerbaijani, Sadykhov, faces off against Camilo in this lightweight feature, with Rich Mitchell set to officiate. Sadykhov comes out southpaw, Camilo orthodox, but Sadykhov is switching stances constantly in the opening exchanges. Sadykhov is coming forward, maneuvering Camilo around the cage, herding him with half-speed kicks, trying to walk him into the fence.
Camilo catches Sadykhov coming in with a brutal right hand that drops him in a heap. Sadykhov covers up as Camilo pounces and drops three or four big hammerfists onto his raised arm and glove, at which point Mitchell dives in for the rescue.
The Baku crowd erupts in boos and Sadykhov springs up to protest, but he had taken several flush shots while doing nothing but shell up. Debate will ensue, but it goes down as a TKO win for Camilo, who climbs the Octagon fence and lets out a jubilant roar that echoes in the suddenly hushed arena.

The Official Result
Matheus Camilo def. Nazim Sadykhov R1 1:31 via TKO (Punches)
Expert Picks (16)
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jun 23, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

AJ picks Sadykhov by third-round knockout, citing his better boxing, power, and durability. He thinks Camilo's jiu-jitsu is a threat but that Sadykhov can defend and outwork him. AJ expects Camilo to fade and Sadykhov to light him up late.

"I'm going to pick Nazim Sadikov by third round knockout. I think he's going to get a later stage KO of Matus Camilo."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jun 25, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

AJ picks Sadykhov by knockout in round 3, believing Camilo's cardio is suspect and that Sadykhov's boxing power will prevail late. He notes Camilo may have early success with grappling but will fade. Sadykhov is fighting in Azerbaijan, adding motivation.

Sadykhov by KO +185; Sadykhov over 1.5 KO +550; Sadykhov round 3 +1000; Camilo round 1 or 2 +425.
"I think Sadikov by finish in round three. I think he gets a third round KO."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Lean picked Jun 24, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

AJ DeVito suggests Nazim Sadykhov is live for a later-stage knockout, possibly in round three. He thinks Camilo may wrestle early but Sadykhov's toughness and power will prevail. He mentions props for Sadykhov to win by KO over 1.5 rounds at +550 and win in round 3 at +1000.

Sadykhov by KO over 1.5 rounds at +550; Sadykhov win round 3 at +1000.
"Nazim Sadikov to win by KO over one and a half rounds is plus 550. I do think he's live for a later stage finish."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Lean picked Jun 22, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

AJ picks Sadykhov by late knockout, citing his hand speed and power advantage. He worries about Camilo's grappling but believes Sadykhov's dog mentality and home crowd will carry him. Expects Sadykhov to land combinations and finish a fatigued Camilo in the third round.

Sadykhov by KO in round 3. Sadykhov -230 favorite.
"I think I gotta go Nazim Sadikov. But like I think Camilo's live as [ __ ] dude."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jun 24, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

Angelo includes Nazim Sadykhov in a parlay but admits he is not that confident in him, calling him his least confident leg. He suggests removing Nazim from the parlay.

"Nazim Sadykhov. I'm not that confident in Nazim, frankly, but I threw him in there anyway."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jun 21, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

Angelo picks Nazim due to his technical striking and toughness, but is hesitant because Nazim has been dropped in almost every fight and is a slow starter. He notes that Nazim's chin is a major concern and that he cannot bet on him at -220 odds, though he will root for him.

won't bet at -220 odds
"I am going to pick Nazim here, but only because of how technical he is, how tough he is, and his ability to sneak in wrestling if he needs to. But, I don't think I can pull the trigger at these odds."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 23, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

Angelo picks Sadykhov as the better striker, but warns he is chinny and has been dropped in recent fights. He thinks Sadykhov should win but is not worth the -240 price. He expects Sadykhov to win a decision.

"I think Nazim Sadikov is the better striker. Therefore, I am picking him to win and he's at home. But I'm not spending minus 240. 94% of people picking a man that was dropped in his last couple of fights is a little crazy."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

Big Brady picks Nazim Sadykhov to knock out Matheus Camilo in the second round. He notes Sadykhov has heart, cardio, and a never-quit attitude, while Camilo has poor cardio and has quit before. Sadykhov is hittable and has been dropped, but Brady expects him to push the pace and break Camilo in the second round, similar to his comeback win over Nicholas Motta.

win by knockout in the second round
"Give me Nazim Satakov to put up a fight of the night type performance and knock out Camello in the second round."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert picked Jun 24, 2026 (3 days before fight)
No clear pick

Cody passes on this fight, seeing no edge. He thinks the moneyline is about right and doesn't want to lay -220 on Sadykhov. He notes slight edge to the under but overall passes.

"I'm going to be completely completely honest, I don't really see an edge on this fight whatsoever."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 23, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

Daniel Levi confidently picks Nazim Sadykhov to win by late finish, citing Matheus Camilo's history of quitting when pressured. He notes Camilo was tapped out by a 'weed dealer' and broke against the ghost of Slava Claus. Levi expects a rocky first round for Sadykhov but predicts he will take over in the second or third round and finish Camilo emphatically in his home country.

finish in round 2 or 3
"I think late second round, early third round, Nazim's going to take over this fight and I think he's going to finish this guy in emphatic fashion."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 23, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Matheus Camilo

Jacob picks Camilo by submission at huge odds, noting that Sadykhov is vulnerable to grappling and has been outgrappled before. He thinks the submission prop at 11/1 is worth a shot, though he admits it's a value play rather than a strong conviction.

Matheus Camilo wins by submission
"Mat Camo by submission. It's like 11 to one. 11 to one, right? That's [ __ ] crazy work, right? You're telling me that Nazim Sadikov can get outgrappled 108 basically round against FCM, but a Brazilian can't find a submission against your boy."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

Lucrative James picks Sadykhov because of his proven comeback ability, durability, cardio, and power. He notes that Sadykhov often starts slow but takes over in later rounds, while Camilo tends to fade after starting well. He highlights Camilo's questionable cardio and quitting in the Gabe Green fight, and believes Sadykhov's pressure and will to win will be decisive. He predicts a round three knockout for Sadykhov.

"I'm picking the Saddakov in this fight. I'll pick him for a round three knockout."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Jun 23, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

Sadykhov is the better wrestler and has power, but his fights are volatile and he often wins on thin margins. Camilo prefers grappling but Sadykhov's defensive grappling should hold. Sadykhov will find big shots in round 2 or 3 for a knockout, but the line is too wide.

Sadykhov wins in round 2 or 3, by knockout
"I think that'll eventually lead to Sadikov finding big shots to put Camilo away in round two or round three."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 24, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

The host is not big on either fighter but believes Sadykhov will wear down Camilo, thwart his grappling, and eventually find a big knockout in front of his home country.

Sadykhov wins by knockout
"I believe Sadykhov will eventually be able to wear down Camilo, thwart the grappling of the Brazilian, and eventually find a big knockout for himself in front of his home country."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Jun 24, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

Paul picks Sadykhov but expects a close, contentious decision. He notes Sadykhov's history of struggling in fights and getting knocked down, but believes hometown advantage and judges favoring damage over control time will edge him past Camilo. He is worried about Camilo's wrestling and control time.

"Honestly, this is another fight that I think by the end of the 15 minutes, I'm going to be like, why did I take Satikov at minus 220 and that he's he he's going to win a very close and contentious decision."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Nazim Sadykhov

The Guru picks Sadykhov via KO, citing his superior footwork, defense, calf kicks, and counter punching. He believes Camilo is not experienced enough and will leave openings. He expects Sadykhov to land accurately and finish, possibly by knockout.

Parlay of the week with Daniil Donchenko
"Nazim Sadykhov via KO is my prediction."
UFC 322
Nov 15, 2025
Decision R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 65 of 188 34% 78 of 201 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:24
Matheus Camilo 0 39 of 93 41% 48 of 104 5 of 10 50% 0 0 3:22
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Viacheslav Borshchev 0 9 of 41 21% 11 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Matheus Camilo 0 12 of 30 40% 17 of 35 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:47
2 Viacheslav Borshchev 0 19 of 46 41% 26 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Matheus Camilo 0 10 of 22 45% 14 of 28 2 of 4 50% 0 0 2:22
3 Viacheslav Borshchev 0 37 of 101 36% 41 of 105 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:24
Matheus Camilo 0 17 of 41 41% 17 of 41 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Viacheslav Borshchev 65 of 188 34% 40 of 150 16 of 25 9 of 13 64 of 186 1 of 2 0 of 0
Matheus Camilo 39 of 93 41% 27 of 79 6 of 6 6 of 8 37 of 90 1 of 2 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Viacheslav Borshchev 9 of 41 21% 5 of 30 3 of 7 1 of 4 9 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
Matheus Camilo 12 of 30 40% 9 of 25 1 of 1 2 of 4 12 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Viacheslav Borshchev 19 of 46 41% 11 of 36 7 of 9 1 of 1 18 of 44 1 of 2 0 of 0
Matheus Camilo 10 of 22 45% 7 of 19 2 of 2 1 of 1 8 of 19 1 of 2 1 of 1
3 Viacheslav Borshchev 37 of 101 36% 24 of 84 6 of 9 7 of 8 37 of 101 0 of 0 0 of 0
Matheus Camilo 17 of 41 41% 11 of 35 3 of 3 3 of 3 17 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Viacheslav Borshchev vs. Matheus Camilo
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Camilo (-174), Borshchev (+136)

Round 1
Keith Peterson is the referee. Both fighters tentative in the early going, looking for openings. A left hand gets through for Camilo. Borshchev probes with low kicks . Camilo fires off another left hook, but it’s not clean. Borshchev lands a body kick. A left hook lands for Camilo, and Borshchev answers with a stiff jab. Camilo shoots and takes his foe down near the fence. Borshchev hustles to his feet with Camilo attached. Borshchev shucks his foe off and they’re back at range. Camilo lands a left to the head and a left hook to the body. Borshchev goes back to the body kick. Camilo connects with a pair of straight punches at range. The Brazilian blocks a high kick. They trade in the pocket and Borshchev lands a left hook. Camilo lands a double leg takedown with 35 seconds to go in the round. Camilo peppers the ribs with right hands from top position. Borshchev uses his guard to stand just before the end of the round.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Camilo
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Camilo
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Camilo
Advertisement

Round 2
Camilo works behind his jab early, and then he lands a solid leg kick. Borshchev doubles up on his jab as he stalks his opponent. Borshchev pressures behind a flurry of punches and Camilo clinches. They separate, but Camilo lands another takedown with easy. Camilo works to the back as Borshchev attempts to stand and drags “Slava” back down with him. Camilo transitions to full mount, where he’s heavy on top. Borshchev recovers half guard. “Slava” scrambles to a seated position and eventually stands and separates. Camilo lands a knee in close quarters and after a brief pause, Camilo takes Borshchev down easily once again. Borshchev gets to all fours and he fights off his foe’s hands and returns to his feet. Borshchev lands a body kick and then digs a combination to the body. There’s a sense of urgency from Borshchev late in the round. A telegraphed shot is denied by Borshchev. Borshchev continues to pressure and rip punches to the body. Camilo shoots behind an overhand but Borshchev denies the attempt. A counter right from Camilo connects, and Borshchev answers with a left.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Camilo
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Camilo
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Camilo

Round 3
Camilo sticks a jab. Camilo with a left hook to the body. A right hand and low kick also connect for the Brazilian. Borshchev stuffs a takedown. “Slava” moves in and lands a combination. A front kick down the middle lands for Borshchev. Borshchev doubles up on his jab and Camilo seems to be fading. Borshchev kicks the body and lands a jab upstairs. Multiple jabs land for Borshchev and then he rips the body with a left hook. A lead left lands for Borshchev but he’s rocked by counter offering from Camilo. A hard low kick from Camilo makes Borshchev stumble. Camilo is able to take Borshchev down near the fence and he jumps on the back. However, Borshchev quickly reverses and is in top position with about a minute to go. Borshchev stands over his foe and kicks the legs before the Brazilian stands. A hard counter right lands for Camilo, right over the top of Borshchev’s jab. Camilo connects with a counter right and takes Borshchev down. “Slava” stands and eats more punches from Camilo before the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Borshchev (29-28 Camilo)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Borshchev (29-28 Camilo)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Borshchev (29-28 Camilo)

The Official Result
Matheus Camilo def. Viacheslav Borshchev via Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28) R3 5:00
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 9, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Matheus Camilo

Angelo picks Matheus Camilo, noting that Viacheslav Borshchev has poor takedown defense (42%) and has been submitted recently. Camilo is aggressive, can strike and grapple, and has good cardio and power. Angelo is confident but only bets half a unit due to short notice and Camilo's chaotic style.

half unit bet at -155 odds
"I'm going to lean Camo here. I'm pretty confident in that pick. I actually put a half a unit bet on him at these minus 155 odds."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Nov 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Matheus Camilo

Big Brady picks Matheus Camilo but expresses significant concerns about Camilo's cardio and heart after his UFC debut where he quit. He notes Camilo has power and submission skills but worries if he doesn't finish early. He criticizes Borshchev's takedown defense as the worst in the division and questions his durability, noting he was dropped by Chase Hooper. Brady ultimately leans Camilo by first-round submission, but admits if the fight extends, it could go badly for Camilo.

first round submission
"I'm going to say Camilo does get Slava out of there in the first round by submission."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Nov 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Matheus Camilo

Cody picks Camilo (Gamrot), despite not being a fan. He notes that Borshchev has been taken down and outgrappled in recent fights, and that Gamrot has good submission grappling. Cody believes that if Gamrot can get takedowns, he can control and submit Borshchev. He is not fully confident but sees the stylistic advantage.

"I'm just going to plug my nose here and take Mateusz Gamrot and hope that he's made enough improvements to his game to make this thing look good."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 14, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Matheus Camilo

Connor also picks Camilo, agreeing with Zane. He notes that Borshchev's desire to be a better MMA fighter has made him worse overall, and that Camilo can happily overthrow and collapse into a takedown and then out-grapple Borshchev. He thinks Camilo is a good young prospect.

Odds: Camilo opened +110, currently -175.
"Yeah, these, these two fights were that both feature fighters that we probably do not need to see."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Nov 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Daniel is not confident in either fighter but leans toward Borshchev due to his experience and proven durability. He questions Camilo's cardio and chin after seeing him fade and tap in his UFC debut. He expects Borshchev to win if he can survive Camilo's early power.

"I think as a pure pick, I'm going to go with Slava just cuz he's proven a lot more to me."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Borshchev has a salty record but this is a winnable fight. He showcases grappling defense, works back to his feet after takedowns, and eventually knocks out Camilo within two and a half rounds.

knockout within two and a half rounds
"I think he stays out of those bad positions, works back to his feet, and eventually knocks out Matias Camilo within two and a half rounds."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Nov 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Paul leans towards Borshchev, citing his volume and power. He notes that Gamrot has looked poor in recent fights and has cardio issues. Paul thinks Borshchev can keep the fight standing and outwork Gamrot. However, he is not fully confident and acknowledges the grappling risk.

"I'm tempted to take Borshchev in this fight."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Matheus Camilo

The Guru picks Matheus Camilo, citing his wrestling and grappling ability as key factors. He notes that Borshchev struggles against grapplers, as seen in losses to Chase Hooper and Terrence McKinney. Camilo's takedowns and submission threat should be decisive, and Borshchev is on a losing streak. The Guru expects Camilo to grapple his way to victory.

"I am going to go with Matteas Camilo here. The thing is this fight was kind of scrapped together short notice for the pair of them, but Matteas Camilo was supposed to fight a couple of cards ago."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 14, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Matheus Camilo

Zane picks Camilo, noting that Borshchev is actively getting worse as he tries to become a generalist. He thinks Camilo's bullish, aggressive striking and grappling will be too much, and that Borshchev's improved grappling has diminished his kickboxing. He also notes that Camilo's Achilles heel of throwing himself into guillotines won't be a problem against Borshchev.

Odds: Camilo opened +110, currently -175. Borshchev opened -130, currently +150.
"I think Camilo at least these two."
UFC 321
Oct 25, 2025
Expert Picks (10)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Oct 19, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady

Angelo picks Abdul Karim Al-Sowadi (Al-Selwady) over Mateusz Gamrot, citing Al-Sowadi's speed and accuracy. He expects Gamrot to chase wild submissions and leave himself open, allowing Al-Sowadi to land cleaner shots. Angelo notes it's a tough fight to pick and he's not betting it.

"I am going to slightly lean long name, and that's because he will be a little bit faster, and when Gamrot starts chasing and starts doing wild stuff to try to find a finish, I expect Al-Sowadi to be able to touch him once or twice."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady

Big Brady leans toward Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady, considering him the more well-rounded fighter with better striking, pressure, wrestling, and top control. However, he is concerned about Al-Selwady's durability, as all four of his losses are by KO. He expects Al-Selwady to push a high pace, mix in takedowns, and finish a gassed Matheus Camilo (referred to as Gamrot in transcript) via late-round TKO. He acknowledges Camilo has power and could knock out Al-Selwady.

Al-Selwady by late round TKO
"I'm going to go Al-Selwady to win this fight by late round finish. I'm going to say late round TKO after Gamrot kind of gases out and slows down."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady

Cody picks Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady but is not confident, calling it a 50/50 fight. He notes that Al-Selwady has good grappling and may have a home-field advantage in Abu Dhabi. However, he acknowledges that Camilo (referred to as Gamrot in transcript) is a good prospect who could win if he doesn't gas. Cody suggests passing on this fight.

"the pick for me is Al-Zahwali, and I really don't like that at all, Paul."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 24, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Matheus Camilo

Connor picks Camilo, noting that Al-Selwady looks like a meme fighter who struggles when faced with athletic parity. He points out that Al-Selwady's losses are by knockout when his wild style fails, while Camilo's losses are by submission due to over-aggression. Connor believes Camilo is more battle-tested and has a more solid game, though he acknowledges Al-Selwady could catch him with a trick shot.

Odds are close; Camilo is trending toward favorite.
"Camilo looks like the kind of fighter I would expect to beat any fighter like Al-Selwady, to be honest."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Oct 23, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady

Daniel Vreeland is reluctant due to both fighters' clear weaknesses: Al-Selwady's chin and Camilo's submission defense. He thinks Al-Selwady's lateral movement, stance switching, and takedowns can earn him a decision if he avoids getting knocked out. He notes the Abu Dhabi advantage for Al-Selwady and picks him to win a close decision.

wins by decision
"I'm going to go with Alawadi to win a decision in Abu Dhabi."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 20, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Matheus Camilo

Lucrative James picks Matheus Camilo to win by knockout. He notes Al-Selwady's chinny nature and tendency to get hurt, while Camilo has power and pressure. He believes Camilo's pace and boxing will overwhelm Al-Selwady, who doesn't like to get hit. He also mentions that Camilo has good jiu-jitsu and can defend takedowns, and that he bet on Camilo at +115 earlier.

KO
"I'm predicting Camo to win this fight. And I'm predicting him to win it via knockout."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady

Despite a year-and-a-half layoff, the host thinks this is a great comeback fight for Al-Selwady, showcasing his improved striking, takedown game, and BJJ. He expects a submission win.

submission
"I expect him to do it once again here as he wins this fight by submission."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady

Paul also leans Al-Selwady but is hesitant, noting that he doesn't rate either fighter highly. He mentions that Camilo (Gamrot) has shown cardio issues and that Al-Selwady could win a contentious decision. Paul prefers to pass or wait for live betting.

"I'll go with the guy named Abdul Kareem Al-Zahwali to win a contentious decision."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 21, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady

The MMA Guru picks Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady by decision. He describes Al-Selwady as a 'Walmart Volkanovski' who moves well, uses low kicks, and mixes in takedowns. He notes that Matheus Camilo is young and inexperienced, and lacks finishing potential. He believes if the fight goes to decision, Al-Selwady's volume and movement will earn him a 29-28 or 30-27 win.

"I've got Abdul Kareem Al-Selwady by decision."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 24, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Matheus Camilo

Zane also picks Camilo, citing his athleticism and ability to set up takedowns with his jab. He notes that Camilo looked dominant against Gabe Green despite losing, while Al-Selwady was overwhelmed by Loik Radzhabov. Zane believes Camilo's aggression is more controlled and that he is less likely to get knocked out than Al-Selwady.

"I'm picking Camilo. He's also not out there surprising people by submitting them when they start to out wrestle him."
Loss
Submission R2 3:43
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gabe Green 0 12 of 27 44% 36 of 57 0 of 0 --- 1 0 2:12
Matheus Camilo 0 13 of 27 48% 33 of 48 2 of 3 66% 1 0 2:30
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gabe Green 0 7 of 18 38% 17 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Matheus Camilo 0 12 of 24 50% 30 of 43 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:26
2 Gabe Green 0 5 of 9 55% 19 of 27 0 of 0 --- 1 0 2:03
Matheus Camilo 0 1 of 3 33% 3 of 5 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gabe Green 12 of 27 44% 4 of 16 3 of 4 5 of 7 10 of 25 1 of 1 1 of 1
Matheus Camilo 13 of 27 48% 6 of 16 4 of 6 3 of 5 12 of 24 0 of 1 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gabe Green 7 of 18 38% 1 of 9 1 of 2 5 of 7 6 of 17 1 of 1 0 of 0
Matheus Camilo 12 of 24 50% 6 of 14 4 of 6 2 of 4 11 of 21 0 of 1 1 of 2
2 Gabe Green 5 of 9 55% 3 of 7 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1
Matheus Camilo 1 of 3 33% 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Gabriel Green vs. Matheus Camilo
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Camilo (-186), Green (+144)

Round 1
The final pairing on the prelims comes at 155 pounds, with California native Green (11-5, 2-3 UFC) looking to break a losing streak and even his UFC record to .500. To do so, he will have to spoil the party of the debuting “Jaguar” Camilo (9-2, 0-0 UFC), who comes into the UFC the winner of his last six including four particularly violent finishes. Referee Jason Herzog will be responsible for the particulars for this potential thriller, one that kicks off with a glove touch. Green circles away before engaging, bouncing back and forth while Camilo commits to taking the center of the cage and cutting him off. Green’s team advises him to calm down, as his movement is jittery and his offense largely muted, and he aims one light low kick just to do something in the first minute. Camilo winds up with a much heavier one 60 seconds in, and Green swaps stances back and forth not to leave him open. Camilo sits down on two massive punches that knock Green’s head around, but Green’s beard holds up just fine. Camilo reaches his target with a stabbing front kick, and he ignores a low kick while coiling back his right hand for something. He unloads that right square into the jaw, and Green tanks it and marches forward, backing Camilo to the fence. He slips a punch and keeps going forward behind a low kick, but Camilo is there with a left to the body and a right to the head. Camilo changes it up with a right to the midsection and a left up high, and he is swinging with bad intentions as he wings two massive hooks that buzz the tower but do not land cleanly. Green’s only weapon is his low kick, and he tries to mix things up with an axe kick. Camilo stumbles on his way in to attack when walking into a stern right hook, and Green sets up a guillotine choke to trap him. The Brazilian easily snakes his neck out of it, and they proceed to tie up and turn one another around in dance. Camilo elevates his foe with a minute to go in the round and slams him on his back, where he starts softening the body up with short shots to open up elbows up top. Green hangs on tight to prevent the worst of the damage from coming, but Camilo still slashes with an elbow that grows an immediate mouse on Green’s temple. The horn blares, and the fighters separate.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Camilo
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Camilo
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Camilo

Round 2
The fighters touch ‘em up to get going again, and Green is just as hyperactive on the feet as the last round. Camilo sits down on a low kick, and Green pops him three times with right hands before kneeing the Brazilian in the face. Green further spurs into action, letting loose with a head kick and leaping at his man with a jump knee the moment his foot hits the floor. Camilo shrugs it all off and wraps “Gifted” up, where he lowers him to the ground and takes half guard, all while setting up an arm-triangle choke. Camilo slugs the bearded Green in the face with a few right hands while Green is scrambling, and he postures up to take a very high mount that he uses to set up a triangle choke. Green rolls him over, but this is a terrible idea as Camilo wraps up the triangle and also grips hold of an armbar with it. Green lifts his man up and slams him down to try to break out of the submission, but Camilo is unwavering and cinches his legs around the head as Green’s veins swell and grow from the tight grip. Green stays calm, letting Camilo burn his legs out, and he breaks out of the submission and squirms around to take Camilo’s back. Green fastens the body triangle around his foe’s waist in a major reversal of fortunes, where he begins to smack Camilo upside the head on either side. Green gift-wraps a rear-naked choke around the chin, and Camilo is surprised and still recovering from trying to secure the finish.
Green crushes his vice-like squeeze that is still on top of the chin and not depriving Camilo from blood and oxygen, but the pain is immense. While Green slithers the arm under the jaw, Camilo taps out, without even allowing the rear-naked choke to be completely locked down.
Green survived a great deal of adversity to pick up a massive win—a face crank, not an RNC—at a new weight class, putting a losing streak in the past while landing his first sub since 2018.

The Official Result
Gabriel Green def. Matheus Camilo R2 3:43 via Submission (Face Crank)
Expert Picks (4)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 11, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Matheus Camilo

Angelo picks Matheus Camilo, noting that Gabe Green is moving down to lightweight after two years off, which he sees as a desperate move. He believes Green will look horrific at 155 lbs and that his success came from being a bully at welterweight. Angelo thinks Camilo is a rare prospect with power, cardio, and a good chin, and that the odds feel appropriate with good value.

"Matt Camo is the pick. These odds feel very appropriate to me. This feels like good value."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 15, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Matheus Camilo

Big Brady picks Matheus Camilo, noting his power and aggression. He highlights Gabe Green's long layoff, health issues, and suspect chin. He expects a first-round knockout as both swing dicks, trusting the younger, more durable fighter.

Camilo by KO, round 1
"Give me Matteas Camilo by first round knockout."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 16, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Matheus Camilo

The host likes Camilo's raw tools, power, and aggressive BJJ game. He thinks Green has been away too long, coming back from injury and dropping to 155 lbs, which will be a bad wakeup call. He expects Camilo to be too much of a buzzsaw and get a TKO finish. He also likes the under 2.5 rounds.

Camilo by TKO; under 2.5 rounds
"I'm going to lean Camo as I think Green been away from the game a little bit too long, coming back from injury, going back down to 155 lbs."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 16, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Matheus Camilo

The Guru picks Matheus Camilo, calling him a dangerous finisher with multiple ways to win (left hook KO, triangles). He notes Camilo showed well-rounded skills in his last fight, chewing up the leg in round three. He thinks Gabriel Green may struggle with speed and frequency at lightweight, predicting a first-round TKO.

Camilo by TKO in round 1
"I'm going to go with Matteas Camilo here over Gabe Green... I'm going to take Matteas Camilo by first round TKO."