Gabe Green
Win Methods (3)
Loss Methods (3)
Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Green | 0 | 12 of 27 | 44% | 36 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 2:12 |
| Matheus Camilo | 0 | 13 of 27 | 48% | 33 of 48 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 2:30 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabe Green | 0 | 7 of 18 | 38% | 17 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Matheus Camilo | 0 | 12 of 24 | 50% | 30 of 43 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:26 | |
| 2 | Gabe Green | 0 | 5 of 9 | 55% | 19 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 2:03 |
| Matheus Camilo | 0 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:04 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Green | 12 of 27 | 44% | 4 of 16 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 7 | 10 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Matheus Camilo | 13 of 27 | 48% | 6 of 16 | 4 of 6 | 3 of 5 | 12 of 24 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabe Green | 7 of 18 | 38% | 1 of 9 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 7 | 6 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Matheus Camilo | 12 of 24 | 50% | 6 of 14 | 4 of 6 | 2 of 4 | 11 of 21 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 | |
| 2 | Gabe Green | 5 of 9 | 55% | 3 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Matheus Camilo | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Camilo (-186), Green (+144)
Round 1
The final pairing on the prelims comes at 155 pounds, with California native Green (11-5, 2-3 UFC) looking to break a losing streak and even his UFC record to .500. To do so, he will have to spoil the party of the debuting “Jaguar” Camilo (9-2, 0-0 UFC), who comes into the UFC the winner of his last six including four particularly violent finishes. Referee Jason Herzog will be responsible for the particulars for this potential thriller, one that kicks off with a glove touch. Green circles away before engaging, bouncing back and forth while Camilo commits to taking the center of the cage and cutting him off. Green’s team advises him to calm down, as his movement is jittery and his offense largely muted, and he aims one light low kick just to do something in the first minute. Camilo winds up with a much heavier one 60 seconds in, and Green swaps stances back and forth not to leave him open. Camilo sits down on two massive punches that knock Green’s head around, but Green’s beard holds up just fine. Camilo reaches his target with a stabbing front kick, and he ignores a low kick while coiling back his right hand for something. He unloads that right square into the jaw, and Green tanks it and marches forward, backing Camilo to the fence. He slips a punch and keeps going forward behind a low kick, but Camilo is there with a left to the body and a right to the head. Camilo changes it up with a right to the midsection and a left up high, and he is swinging with bad intentions as he wings two massive hooks that buzz the tower but do not land cleanly. Green’s only weapon is his low kick, and he tries to mix things up with an axe kick. Camilo stumbles on his way in to attack when walking into a stern right hook, and Green sets up a guillotine choke to trap him. The Brazilian easily snakes his neck out of it, and they proceed to tie up and turn one another around in dance. Camilo elevates his foe with a minute to go in the round and slams him on his back, where he starts softening the body up with short shots to open up elbows up top. Green hangs on tight to prevent the worst of the damage from coming, but Camilo still slashes with an elbow that grows an immediate mouse on Green’s temple. The horn blares, and the fighters separate.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Camilo
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Camilo
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Camilo
Round 2
The fighters touch ‘em up to get going again, and Green is just as hyperactive on the feet as the last round. Camilo sits down on a low kick, and Green pops him three times with right hands before kneeing the Brazilian in the face. Green further spurs into action, letting loose with a head kick and leaping at his man with a jump knee the moment his foot hits the floor. Camilo shrugs it all off and wraps “Gifted” up, where he lowers him to the ground and takes half guard, all while setting up an arm-triangle choke. Camilo slugs the bearded Green in the face with a few right hands while Green is scrambling, and he postures up to take a very high mount that he uses to set up a triangle choke. Green rolls him over, but this is a terrible idea as Camilo wraps up the triangle and also grips hold of an armbar with it. Green lifts his man up and slams him down to try to break out of the submission, but Camilo is unwavering and cinches his legs around the head as Green’s veins swell and grow from the tight grip. Green stays calm, letting Camilo burn his legs out, and he breaks out of the submission and squirms around to take Camilo’s back. Green fastens the body triangle around his foe’s waist in a major reversal of fortunes, where he begins to smack Camilo upside the head on either side. Green gift-wraps a rear-naked choke around the chin, and Camilo is surprised and still recovering from trying to secure the finish.
Green crushes his vice-like squeeze that is still on top of the chin and not depriving Camilo from blood and oxygen, but the pain is immense. While Green slithers the arm under the jaw, Camilo taps out, without even allowing the rear-naked choke to be completely locked down.
Green survived a great deal of adversity to pick up a massive win—a face crank, not an RNC—at a new weight class, putting a losing streak in the past while landing his first sub since 2018.
The Official Result
Gabriel Green def. Matheus Camilo R2 3:43 via Submission (Face Crank)
Expert Picks (4)
Angelo picks Matheus Camilo, noting that Gabe Green is moving down to lightweight after two years off, which he sees as a desperate move. He believes Green will look horrific at 155 lbs and that his success came from being a bully at welterweight. Angelo thinks Camilo is a rare prospect with power, cardio, and a good chin, and that the odds feel appropriate with good value.
Big Brady picks Matheus Camilo, noting his power and aggression. He highlights Gabe Green's long layoff, health issues, and suspect chin. He expects a first-round knockout as both swing dicks, trusting the younger, more durable fighter.
The host likes Camilo's raw tools, power, and aggressive BJJ game. He thinks Green has been away too long, coming back from injury and dropping to 155 lbs, which will be a bad wakeup call. He expects Camilo to be too much of a buzzsaw and get a TKO finish. He also likes the under 2.5 rounds.
The Guru picks Matheus Camilo, calling him a dangerous finisher with multiple ways to win (left hook KO, triangles). He notes Camilo showed well-rounded skills in his last fight, chewing up the leg in round three. He thinks Gabriel Green may struggle with speed and frequency at lightweight, predicting a first-round TKO.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Battle | 1 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Gabe Green | 0 | 6 of 12 | 50% | 6 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bryan Battle | 1 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Gabe Green | 0 | 6 of 12 | 50% | 6 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Battle | 3 of 9 | 33% | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Gabe Green | 6 of 12 | 50% | 2 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bryan Battle | 3 of 9 | 33% | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Gabe Green | 6 of 12 | 50% | 2 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (9)
Angelo picks Bryan Battle, noting his constant pressure and improving skills. He says Battle never quit in his last loss and that grinding loss prepared him. He thinks the striking will be even but Battle will have the more dangerous ground game. He bet 0.2 units on Battle at +110.
Big Brady likes Gabriel Green because he has a clear path to victory: taking down Bryan Battle. He notes Battle has poor takedown defense, citing his debut against Urbin and his last fight against Fakhretdinov where he was controlled for 14 minutes. Green is a brown belt in BJJ and has good cardio. Brady expects Green to grind out a decision, as both guys are tough and durable. He thinks the fight is competitive on the feet but Green's wrestling gives him the edge.
Cody picks Battle as an underdog, citing his lateral movement and ability to fight off his back foot. He notes that Green is a grimy forward pressure fighter but lacks cage cutting skills. He expects Battle to win a competitive decision, but worries about Battle's wrestling liability and short notice. He proposes a second Shoei bet.
Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Battle's style is not honed and that Green's constant pressure and tirelessness will create opportunities. He points out that Battle's path to victory is unclear, while Green's game is straightforward and effective. Connor expects Green to control the fight and win.
Daniel Levi slightly leans towards Gabriel Green, citing his work rate, durability, and never-say-die attitude. He notes that Bryan Battle was badly exposed in his last fight, landing only three strikes and being taken down seven times. However, Battle has physical advantages in height and reach. Levi sees this as a close fight but favors Green's pressure and leg kicks.
Battle can utilize his range and height advantage to pick apart Green from distance, mix in takedowns, and wear on him with cardio. Green is a durable, hard-nosed striker but may struggle with Battle's pace and grappling. Battle should pull away late and win by decision, though a Green knockout is a possible hedge.
Paul picks Green, citing Battle's poor wrestling and Green's durability. He notes that Green can take Battle down and control him, and that Battle has been taken down multiple times in past fights. He expects a close competitive fight but leans toward Green. He accepts the second Shoei bet.
The MMA Guru picks Bryan Battle, noting that he was dealt a bad card in his last fight against a tough opponent. He believes Battle is underrated and can keep up with Green's pace, picking him apart for a 30-27 decision.
Zane picks Gabe Green, citing his constant pressure and output as a style that will overwhelm Bryan Battle, who lacks a clear plan and relies on scrapping. He notes that Battle struggled against wrestlers and that Green's relentless striking will keep him on the back foot. Zane expects Green to win by decision or late stoppage.
Jul 02, 2022
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Machado Garry | 1 | 116 of 193 | 60% | 129 of 206 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:46 |
| Gabe Green | 0 | 90 of 195 | 46% | 102 of 208 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 2:17 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ian Machado Garry | 0 | 41 of 67 | 61% | 41 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Gabe Green | 0 | 26 of 58 | 44% | 28 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Ian Machado Garry | 0 | 36 of 65 | 55% | 44 of 73 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
| Gabe Green | 0 | 38 of 73 | 52% | 47 of 83 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:14 | |
| 3 | Ian Machado Garry | 1 | 39 of 61 | 63% | 44 of 66 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
| Gabe Green | 0 | 26 of 64 | 40% | 27 of 65 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Machado Garry | 116 of 193 | 60% | 87 of 160 | 17 of 21 | 12 of 12 | 111 of 188 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 |
| Gabe Green | 90 of 195 | 46% | 31 of 112 | 24 of 36 | 35 of 47 | 90 of 194 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ian Machado Garry | 41 of 67 | 61% | 30 of 54 | 6 of 8 | 5 of 5 | 40 of 66 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Gabe Green | 26 of 58 | 44% | 8 of 33 | 5 of 7 | 13 of 18 | 26 of 58 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Ian Machado Garry | 36 of 65 | 55% | 25 of 52 | 6 of 8 | 5 of 5 | 35 of 64 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Gabe Green | 38 of 73 | 52% | 15 of 43 | 13 of 17 | 10 of 13 | 38 of 72 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ian Machado Garry | 39 of 61 | 63% | 32 of 54 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 36 of 58 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 |
| Gabe Green | 26 of 64 | 40% | 8 of 36 | 6 of 12 | 12 of 16 | 26 of 64 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo picks Ian Garry, citing his hand speed and footwork, though he notes Garry is hittable and needs to clean up his defense. He believes Gabe Green's negative striking differential and high strikes absorbed will play into Garry's hands. He thinks Garry is overrated but not likely to lose this fight.
Big Brady picks Gabe Green as an underdog, citing Ian Garry's poor striking defense exposed in his debut. He believes Green's pressure and volume will trouble Garry, and predicts a late knockout. He acknowledges Garry's hype but thinks Green can expose his flaws.
Cody thinks Garry's counter-striking and judo will be effective against Green's linear pressure. He notes Green's wrestling is poor and Garry has cardio to go three rounds. He expects a decision win.
Daniel Levi is confident in Ian Garry, having bet 3.1 units to win 2 at -155. He praises Garry's skills, distance management, variety, and work ethic, noting that he moved to Sanford MMA to improve. Levi believes Green is there to be hit and gets hit too much, and that Garry's sniping style will be effective. He dismisses criticism of Garry's personality as irrelevant to betting.
Garry is the cleaner, crisper striker with a height advantage. Green is a tough, scrappy fighter who will push forward, but Garry should be able to pick him apart from distance. The host expects a close fight and thinks Garry wins by decision, but is not confident enough to bet.
Paul picks Garry but won't bet him at -185. He likes the over 70.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks and the decision prop at +240. He thinks Garry is a work in progress but will win.
The MMA Guru picks Ian Garry, citing his height and reach advantage, leg kicks, and front kicks to the body. He expects Garry to win the first two rounds with his range striking, then fade in the third as Green pressures, but still win 29-28. He notes Green's cardio and tendency to come on late but thinks Garry's early work will be enough.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Green | 0 | 48 of 123 | 39% | 54 of 129 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:41 |
| Yohan Lainesse | 1 | 41 of 80 | 51% | 42 of 81 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 1:37 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabe Green | 0 | 12 of 57 | 21% | 16 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Yohan Lainesse | 0 | 25 of 50 | 50% | 25 of 50 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:32 | |
| 2 | Gabe Green | 0 | 36 of 66 | 54% | 38 of 68 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:38 |
| Yohan Lainesse | 1 | 16 of 30 | 53% | 17 of 31 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:05 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Green | 48 of 123 | 39% | 26 of 98 | 13 of 16 | 9 of 9 | 36 of 105 | 4 of 5 | 8 of 13 |
| Yohan Lainesse | 41 of 80 | 51% | 15 of 40 | 11 of 16 | 15 of 24 | 35 of 74 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabe Green | 12 of 57 | 21% | 6 of 49 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 10 of 54 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Yohan Lainesse | 25 of 50 | 50% | 7 of 20 | 8 of 12 | 10 of 18 | 23 of 48 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Gabe Green | 36 of 66 | 54% | 20 of 49 | 11 of 12 | 5 of 5 | 26 of 51 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 13 |
| Yohan Lainesse | 16 of 30 | 53% | 8 of 20 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 6 | 12 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 |
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo picks Gabe Green, though he acknowledges Lainesse's power and danger. He trusts Green to throw straight punches up the middle to get inside Lainesse's looping power and grind out a decision. He notes Green is the more dangerous grappler on the ground, but Lainesse has better takedowns and can end the fight at any moment.
Big Brady picks Gabe Green, highlighting his well-rounded skills, cardio, and grappling. He notes Green's poor striking defense but believes Lainesse's cardio will fade after the first round. He predicts a second-round submission win for Green, as he will take over as the fight progresses.
Cody also picks Lainesse, noting his power and improved grappling. He thinks Green's poor decision-making and defensive holes will be exploited. Cody references Lainesse's wins over tough competition on the regional scene and believes he has multiple paths to victory. He calls it another live underdog on a card full of them.
Daniel Levi picks Yohan Lainesse after the line flipped. He notes Lainesse's one-punch power and ability to fight fatigued, while Green is hittable and may get caught. Levi expects a close fight that could end in a knockout or decision, with Lainesse possibly winning the first two rounds and surviving the third.
The host picks Lainesse, citing his raw power and improving skills. He notes Green is hittable and has been knocked out early before. Lainesse has one-punch knockout power and a wrestling/grappling advantage. Green's reputation for durability is based on fighting volume strikers, not power punchers. He expects Lainesse to land a big shot and finish Green.
Paul picks Yohan Lainesse as a live underdog, citing his raw power and underrated grappling. He notes Green's defensive flaws and tendency to get hit a lot (175 significant strikes against Daniel Rodriguez). Paul thinks Lainesse's strength and wrestling could be an advantage, and that Green's poor inside fighting will be exposed. He mentions Lainesse's self-belief and momentum from the contender series.
The Guru picks Yohan Lainesse to KO Gabe Green in the first round. He notes that Green gets hit too much and that Lainesse has vicious power and speed. The Guru points out Lainesse's reach and height advantages, and his undefeated confidence. He believes Green will try to walk Lainesse down but will get caught, similar to his fight with Daniel Rodriguez where he absorbed many strikes.
Feb 13, 2021
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Green | 2 | 70 of 152 | 46% | 128 of 213 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:13 |
| Philip Rowe | 0 | 42 of 86 | 48% | 48 of 93 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 | 2 | 5:43 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabe Green | 0 | 13 of 26 | 50% | 28 of 41 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:13 |
| Philip Rowe | 0 | 10 of 31 | 32% | 15 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 2:09 | |
| 2 | Gabe Green | 1 | 39 of 88 | 44% | 51 of 102 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:23 |
| Philip Rowe | 0 | 24 of 40 | 60% | 24 of 40 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:49 | |
| 3 | Gabe Green | 1 | 18 of 38 | 47% | 49 of 70 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:37 |
| Philip Rowe | 0 | 8 of 15 | 53% | 9 of 17 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:45 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Green | 70 of 152 | 46% | 36 of 112 | 15 of 20 | 19 of 20 | 51 of 126 | 4 of 7 | 15 of 19 |
| Philip Rowe | 42 of 86 | 48% | 25 of 67 | 8 of 10 | 9 of 9 | 40 of 84 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabe Green | 13 of 26 | 50% | 3 of 14 | 1 of 2 | 9 of 10 | 13 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Philip Rowe | 10 of 31 | 32% | 5 of 25 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 4 | 10 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Gabe Green | 39 of 88 | 44% | 21 of 68 | 12 of 14 | 6 of 6 | 25 of 68 | 2 of 4 | 12 of 16 |
| Philip Rowe | 24 of 40 | 60% | 15 of 30 | 6 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 24 of 40 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Gabe Green | 18 of 38 | 47% | 12 of 30 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 13 of 32 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 3 |
| Philip Rowe | 8 of 15 | 53% | 5 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
Expert Picks (4)
Big Brady picks Gabe Green to win by knockout. He thinks Green is very live to win and finish Rowe. He notes that Rowe doesn't use his reach advantage and that Green is good at closing distance. He expects a war and a finish, and he bet the under 2.5 rounds at plus money. He also thinks Green has solid ground game if it goes there.
Daniel Levi picks Philip Rowe, citing his size and reach advantage as the tallest welterweight. He notes that Rowe has potential and has been training with good partners. He criticizes Gabe Green's takedown defense and thinks Rowe can stay long, use his jab, and win with style points. He acknowledges Green's output but believes Rowe's physical advantages will be key.
The host leans toward Green, citing his well-roundedness and jiu-jitsu, but admits low confidence. He notes that Rowe has a size and reach advantage but is green and hesitant. He expects Green to get the fight to the ground and secure a submission, possibly in the first round.
The Guru picks Gabe Green, citing his tougher competition at lightweight and his activity advantage over Philip Rowe, who hasn't fought since August 2019. He believes Green's pressure and technical striking will outwork Rowe, leading to a unanimous decision win. He notes that Rowe's only advantage is size and range, but Green's experience and youth will prevail.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Rodriguez | 0 | 175 of 344 | 50% | 175 of 345 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
| Gabe Green | 0 | 127 of 273 | 46% | 127 of 273 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniel Rodriguez | 0 | 34 of 72 | 47% | 34 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Gabe Green | 0 | 26 of 68 | 38% | 26 of 68 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Daniel Rodriguez | 0 | 61 of 114 | 53% | 61 of 115 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Gabe Green | 0 | 43 of 85 | 50% | 43 of 85 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 | |
| 3 | Daniel Rodriguez | 0 | 80 of 158 | 50% | 80 of 158 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
| Gabe Green | 0 | 58 of 120 | 48% | 58 of 120 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Rodriguez | 175 of 344 | 50% | 139 of 302 | 27 of 33 | 9 of 9 | 169 of 337 | 4 of 5 | 2 of 2 |
| Gabe Green | 127 of 273 | 46% | 61 of 198 | 51 of 58 | 15 of 17 | 125 of 269 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniel Rodriguez | 34 of 72 | 47% | 20 of 57 | 11 of 12 | 3 of 3 | 34 of 72 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Gabe Green | 26 of 68 | 38% | 4 of 43 | 11 of 13 | 11 of 12 | 26 of 68 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Daniel Rodriguez | 61 of 114 | 53% | 49 of 101 | 6 of 7 | 6 of 6 | 60 of 113 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Gabe Green | 43 of 85 | 50% | 25 of 66 | 15 of 16 | 3 of 3 | 42 of 84 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Daniel Rodriguez | 80 of 158 | 50% | 70 of 144 | 10 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 75 of 152 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 |
| Gabe Green | 58 of 120 | 48% | 32 of 89 | 25 of 29 | 1 of 2 | 57 of 117 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
To the welterweight division we go, as Rodriguez (11-1, 1-0 UFC) tries to make short-notice replacement and newcomer Green (9-2, 0-0 UFC) feel unwelcome in the UFC cage. Referee Mark Smith is ready to watch over this matchup, and a glove touch commences the action. Green starts out firing with several crisp punches, and Rodriguez blocks most of them and sticks out his jab. Rodriguez keeps his jab flowing and eats a heavy leg kick, so it sits down on a straight left that partially lands. Rodriguez sneaks in a right hook after a jab, and the newcomer is able to roll with it and target the lead leg. A couple punches from Rodriguez make Green bounce off the fence, so Green gets frustrated and rips a low kick that lands with an audible thud. Green fires up a head kick, and grazes the chin of his opponent to no significant effect. As they start cracking, Green starts laughing. With a straight face, Rodriguez fires a clubbing body kick bat at him, and the power difference is stark as even when blocked, Rodriguez’ strikes have an impact that move Green backwards. Green tries to work his jab but he is well short of the mark, and gets jabbed to the body. Crashing forward to get some offense going, Green lands a few punches and gets clipped up top with a right hand. Rodriguez wings a few low kicks that make Green flinch, so Green throws some back at his opponent for good measure. When Green goes after a low calf kick, Rodriguez fires a bomb of a right hand at him and barely misses what could be a devastating blow. Rodriguez is loading up on shots, and Green is able to dance out of danger for the most part. Rodriguez catches him on the end of a right hook, and claps his left hand off the jaw to follow suit. Rodriguez fires up top with a high kick, and then switches to throw a low kick with his other leg. All the while, “D-Rod” is sporadically throwing a jab to keep his opponent away, and he keeps his distance enough to duck a big high kick. Rodriguez aims a few leg kicks low, and when the horn sounds, the two embrace. They still have two rounds left.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rodriguez
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Rodriguez
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Rodriguez
Round 2
The second round begins with Rodriguez nailing the lead leg and chaining a few punches together after it. Rodriguez rips to the body with a powerful kick, and Green appears excited as he starts swinging. The two trade over the course of a few exchanges, and Green backs off to reevaluate his options. Green steps in, tries to fire a jab, and Rodriguez ducks it and counters with a few shots effectively. A solid right hand from Green scores to the midsection, and he tries to keep the advancing Rodriguez away with some front kicks. Rodriguez again nails a kick low before blasting away with two punches. Green walks through them and starts swinging. Rodriguez racks him with a few more blistering hooks, and Green’s chin is holding up but he keeps taking them. The two abandon their defense and start trading furious leather, and Rodriguez ducks most of the telegraphed shots while landing a few of his own. They clinch up to catch their breath, and Rodriguez shoves off to get the jab going again. Green jabs a few times himself and throws head kicks with alternating legs, but neither land flush. A brief clinch leads to a separation, and Rodriguez cannot capitalize on the break but slugs it out from distance. The two trade jabs, and Green is starting to walk Rodriguez down and back him against the fence. They tie up for a moment, but Rodriguez muscles him around and tosses him away, before stinging him with a massive right hand. Green’s beard remains intact, and he is walking through hellacious shots with his hands practically by his waist. Like a zombie, Green marches forward all while getting tagged, but he manages to get a few punches off before the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rodriguez
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Rodriguez
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Rodriguez
Round 3
The two men clap hands before they start firing. Green flicks out a left jab a few times, and rips the body with a kick that makes Rodriguez backpedal into the fence. Green chases him down to try to take advantage of it, and might have hurt Rodriguez with a shot. Rodriguez circles away from the fence and appears to be ok, and stuns the newcomer with a quick punch. Green aims at the body with a few kicks, and with his hands down, Rodriguez is able to counter with a thudding right hand that would knock out lesser men. Win or lose, Green has shown that even on a few days’ notice, he can hang in the UFC, as he rushes forward to land more punches and kicks to the body. Rodriguez stings him with a one-two, and Green ignores it while landing some solid shots to the body. Rodriguez is headhunting now, and Green’s defense has failed him as he eats practically all of them. Green is now marked up and bleeding, but still seems no worse for wear as he unloads a left hand that somehow catches Rodriguez unaware. Standing before one another, they slug it out some more, and Rodriguez is landing the more effective shots as he nearly puts Green down with a nasty one-two. The impact of that strike was loud, and Rodriguez follows it up with some punches while Green tries to go for an uppercut one would see in a “Mortal Kombat” game. Green’s pace is working against him, as he is starting to slow while Rodriguez is content to just touch him from a distance with jabs and not-full-strength strikes. “D-Rod” connects to the body and gives Green pause, but the debutant gathers his thoughts and bites down on his mouthpiece to throw heavy leather. When Green swings with reckless abandon, he puts himself off-balance, allowing for Rodriguez to hit an easy takedown. Rodriguez advances to north-south position before trying to circle back and take mount, but the fight ends before he can get there. Good show from both welterweights, especially accounting for the recent opponent change this week.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rodriguez (30-27 Rodriguez)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Rodriguez (30-27 Rodriguez)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Rodriguez (30-27 Rodriguez)
The Official Result
Daniel Rodriguez def. Gabriel Green via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Expert Picks (3)
Big Brady picks Daniel Rodriguez to win by knockout in the first round. He thinks Rodriguez is the better fighter overall, more technical, and has a black belt in BJJ. He notes that Green is coming up in weight and that Rodriguez will be the bigger, more powerful fighter. He expects a finish inside the distance and calls Green a 'killer or be killed' guy who will get knocked out.
Daniel picks Rodriguez to stop Green, citing his durability, power, and the fact that Green is taking the fight on short notice and may not be in shape. He notes Rodriguez's impressive debut win over Tim Means and his training at elevation with Cowboy Cerrone.
The MMA Guru picks Kevin Holland to win by TKO in the second or third round. He notes that Holland is better at 170 lbs, has a massive reach advantage, and is coming off a full camp while Rodriguez is on short notice. He predicts Holland will use front kicks to the body to gas Rodriguez and then finish him.
5 time ufc vet vs newcomer. Blind faith on the underdog?