UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres

AJ picks Torres by finish, citing his power, pressure, and underrated grappling. He thinks Fiziev has shown signs of slowing down and that Torres's jiu-jitsu is superior. He expects Torres to force a stoppage, possibly by submission or TKO.

AJ DeVito is extremely confident in Manuel Torres to upset Rafael Fiziev, calling it his lock of the week. He believes Torres is a stylistic nightmare for Fiziev due to his quick gap-closing and heavy hands, and questions Fiziev's durability after recent knockout losses. He notes Torres' submission threat as a secondary option but expects a KO. He also discusses various prop bets including Torres by finish, KO, submission, and round props, but ultimately prefers the moneyline at plus money.

AJ picks Torres to win by finish, citing his pressure, hand speed, and power. He thinks Fiziev is on a decline, too hittable, and that Torres will close the distance and land big shots. AJ expects a first-round knockout or a club-and-sub, noting Torres' submission threat.

AJ picks Torres by knockout, citing his devastating power and blitzing style. Fiziev is coming off a KO loss and may struggle with Torres' pressure. Torres' submission threat is also live. The matchup favors Torres' close-range aggression over Fiziev's kickboxing.

Angelo is fine with Fiziev winning and picked him, but acknowledges Manuel Torres as a solid underdog with random power and slick grappling. He notes Fiziev's losses are to top fighters like Gaethje and Ruffy, and a broken leg against Gamrot, while Torres may not be ready for that level.

Angelo picks Fiziev after flipping from Torres, citing that Fiziev's recent losses are to elite fighters (Gamrot, Ruffy) and that he is the better striker. He notes Fiziev's chin is questionable but believes he can fight smart at home and outpoint Torres.

Angelo initially doubted Fiziev due to his fading chin, but after seeing Justin Gaethje's performance, he reversed his pick. He believes Fiziev is the better striker and wrestler, and that Torres' win over Grant Dawson is not comparable to Fiziev's losses to Gaethje and Ruffy. He hopes Fiziev's chin holds up and notes that Fiziev has flipped to a slight favorite at -115.

Big Brady picks Manuel Torres to win by first-round knockout. He notes Torres is a 'kill or be killed' fighter with 19 first-round finishes in 20 fights, possessing massive power. Fiziev is the more technical striker but has taken damage, has a questionable chin after being knocked out by Ruffy, and may be on the decline. Brady thinks Torres catches him early, though he acknowledges Fiziev could win if he survives the first round.

Cody picks Fiziev, citing his body of work and home-field advantage in Azerbaijan. He acknowledges Torres's power and danger in the first round but believes Fiziev's experience and skill edge will prevail if he survives the early onslaught. He notes the fight is low on his betting priority list.

Daniel Levi leans towards Fiziev because he has proven more at the upper echelon, has more ways to win including mixing in takedowns, and his power has translated deep into fights (e.g., fifth-round KO of RDA). He acknowledges Torres's dangerous first-round power and size but questions his durability past round one and his level of competition. Levi is low-key rooting for Torres but wants to see how he handles an extended war.

Jacob picks Torres by KO, citing his tape study showing Fiziev is susceptible to a long 1-2 combination. He thinks Torres' blitzing style and round 1 aggression will overwhelm Fiziev, who has been dropped before. He expects an early finish.

Lucrative James picks Fiziev because he believes Fiziev is a much higher level striker than Torres, with better patience, volume, and technical kicking. He notes that Fiziev has fought and beaten better competition, and that Torres has not been outside round one since 2018, giving Fiziev a cardio and experience advantage in later rounds. He also points to the common opponent Ignacio Bahamondes, who knocked out Torres but was clearly outpointed by Fiziev. However, he acknowledges Torres has more power and is on an upward trajectory while Fiziev has wear and tear.

The host believes Fiziev's hard-nosed Muay Thai striking and experience will allow him to find openings and counter Torres, leading to a big knockout win for Fiziev in front of his home country.

Fiziev's hard-nosed Muay Thai and speed will allow him to counter Torres' aggression. Torres makes mistakes and trusts his power too much. Fiziev can eat a shot and land his own counters, hurting Torres and eventually putting him away by knockout.

Paul picks Fiziev but is hesitant, noting Fiziev's age and wear from a long career with many fights. He worries about Fiziev's durability after the Ruffy KO and thinks his best days are behind him. However, he values Fiziev's back class and experience over Torres's unknown durability and cardio, and expects Fiziev to win a competitive fight.

The Guru picks Fiziev via third or fourth-round TKO, citing his superior striking, defense, and experience. He believes Fiziev's leg kicks and body work will slow Torres, who lacks experience in longer fights. He notes Torres's power but expects Fiziev's patience and technical edge to prevail.

AJ is very confident Shara Bullet wins by knockout, calling it a setup fight. He thinks Pereira looks washed and slow, while Shara is a technical kickboxer with speed and timing. He expects a highlight-reel knockout, possibly in round 2 or 3.

AJ DeVito is confident that Sharabutdin Magomedov (Shara Bullet) will defeat Michel Pereira, who he believes is past his prime and has looked bad recently. He expects a highlight-reel KO from Shara Bullet, citing Pereira's decline since the Fluffy Hernandez fight. He also mentions a prop for Shara Bullet to win over 1.5 rounds at -135 and a KO over 1.5 at +450.

AJ picks Magomedov by knockout, believing Pereira has slowed down and is past his prime. He thinks Magomedov's counter-striking and kicks will be too much, and that Pereira will make mistakes. AJ expects a highlight-reel finish, possibly from a body kick or spinning attack.

AJ picks Magomedov by knockout, believing Pereira is washed and defensively sloppy. Magomedov's slick counter-striking and speed should find the kill shot. Pereira has looked slow and hittable recently, and Magomedov's highlight-reel style is tailor-made for this matchup.

Angelo has grown increasingly confident in Shara Bullet as the week progressed, citing his superior footwork, overall striking, decent takedown defense, and a granite chin. He expects Shara to manage range and stay safe against the wild and reckless Michel Pereira, and believes the fight will go over 1.5 rounds because Shara is not that dangerous but is insanely tough.

Angelo picks Shara Bullet due to his movement and speed, noting that Michel Pereira is not the same fighter he used to be. He criticizes Shara for being a point fighter rather than a killer, but believes he will win. He advises against betting on Shara by KO and suggests betting over 1.5 rounds if that line is available.

Big Brady picks Sharabutdin Magomedov to win by decision. He calls Pereira washed, noting his recent poor performances, lack of cardio, and questionable urgency. Magomedov is a one-dimensional striker but should outpoint Pereira. Brady has no interest in betting this fight due to the high price on Magomedov.

Cody picks Magomedov but is very hesitant, calling the fight trappy. He highlights Magomedov's defensive wrestling issues and one eye, and thinks Pereira has a path via wrestling. He prefers to live bet or take the over, expecting a close fight.

Daniel Levi confidently picks Sharabutdin Magomedov, believing Michel Pereira is on a massive decline and has lost his soul since the Anthony Hernandez fight. He notes Pereira's recent performances were poor, including a robbery win over Zach Reese, and that Magomedov is a work in progress but has good wins and flashy striking. He expects Magomedov to win, possibly by knockout or decision, as Pereira is a striker on his way out.

Lucrative James picks Shara Magomedov because he believes Michel Pereira is on a terrible run, with poor durability and cardio, and lacks technical striking. He notes that Shara is durable, a good striker with distance management, and has been working on his wrestling. He thinks Pereira's only path is an early knockout, but Shara has shown durability against heavy hitters. He also mentions that Pereira's wrestling might not be as effective as Shara has improved his grappling. He predicts a decision win for Shara, with a possible late stoppage if Pereira gasses.

The host expects a fun striking battle with back-and-forth flashy techniques, but not enough for a knockout. He thinks the fight will go to the scorecards and the Russian (Shara Magomedov) will get his hand raised.

Magomedov is more reliable to implement his Muay Thai style with kicks, knees, and elbows. Pereira has been inconsistent and gun-shy recently. Magomedov should outstrike him and win on the scorecards, but the line is too high to play.

Paul picks Magomedov but is hesitant, believing the price is too high. He notes Magomedov's poor takedown defense and one eye, and thinks Pereira could mix in takedowns. However, he expects Magomedov to squeak out a close decision, possibly with hometown judging. He prefers the over 1.5 rounds.

The Guru picks Shara via decision, citing his superior kicks, body work, and cardio. He believes Pereira may be regressing and less willing to take risks. He expects Shara to outpoint Pereira over three rounds.

AJ picks Sadykhov by knockout in round 3, believing Camilo's cardio is suspect and that Sadykhov's boxing power will prevail late. He notes Camilo may have early success with grappling but will fade. Sadykhov is fighting in Azerbaijan, adding motivation.

AJ DeVito suggests Nazim Sadykhov is live for a later-stage knockout, possibly in round three. He thinks Camilo may wrestle early but Sadykhov's toughness and power will prevail. He mentions props for Sadykhov to win by KO over 1.5 rounds at +550 and win in round 3 at +1000.

AJ picks Sadykhov by third-round knockout, citing his better boxing, power, and durability. He thinks Camilo's jiu-jitsu is a threat but that Sadykhov can defend and outwork him. AJ expects Camilo to fade and Sadykhov to light him up late.

AJ picks Sadykhov by late knockout, citing his hand speed and power advantage. He worries about Camilo's grappling but believes Sadykhov's dog mentality and home crowd will carry him. Expects Sadykhov to land combinations and finish a fatigued Camilo in the third round.

Angelo includes Nazim Sadykhov in a parlay but admits he is not that confident in him, calling him his least confident leg. He suggests removing Nazim from the parlay.

Angelo picks Sadykhov as the better striker, but warns he is chinny and has been dropped in recent fights. He thinks Sadykhov should win but is not worth the -240 price. He expects Sadykhov to win a decision.

Angelo picks Nazim due to his technical striking and toughness, but is hesitant because Nazim has been dropped in almost every fight and is a slow starter. He notes that Nazim's chin is a major concern and that he cannot bet on him at -220 odds, though he will root for him.

Big Brady picks Nazim Sadykhov to knock out Matheus Camilo in the second round. He notes Sadykhov has heart, cardio, and a never-quit attitude, while Camilo has poor cardio and has quit before. Sadykhov is hittable and has been dropped, but Brady expects him to push the pace and break Camilo in the second round, similar to his comeback win over Nicholas Motta.

Cody passes on this fight, seeing no edge. He thinks the moneyline is about right and doesn't want to lay -220 on Sadykhov. He notes slight edge to the under but overall passes.

Daniel Levi confidently picks Nazim Sadykhov to win by late finish, citing Matheus Camilo's history of quitting when pressured. He notes Camilo was tapped out by a 'weed dealer' and broke against the ghost of Slava Claus. Levi expects a rocky first round for Sadykhov but predicts he will take over in the second or third round and finish Camilo emphatically in his home country.

Jacob picks Camilo by submission at huge odds, noting that Sadykhov is vulnerable to grappling and has been outgrappled before. He thinks the submission prop at 11/1 is worth a shot, though he admits it's a value play rather than a strong conviction.

Lucrative James picks Sadykhov because of his proven comeback ability, durability, cardio, and power. He notes that Sadykhov often starts slow but takes over in later rounds, while Camilo tends to fade after starting well. He highlights Camilo's questionable cardio and quitting in the Gabe Green fight, and believes Sadykhov's pressure and will to win will be decisive. He predicts a round three knockout for Sadykhov.

The host is not big on either fighter but believes Sadykhov will wear down Camilo, thwart his grappling, and eventually find a big knockout in front of his home country.

Sadykhov is the better wrestler and has power, but his fights are volatile and he often wins on thin margins. Camilo prefers grappling but Sadykhov's defensive grappling should hold. Sadykhov will find big shots in round 2 or 3 for a knockout, but the line is too wide.

Paul picks Sadykhov but expects a close, contentious decision. He notes Sadykhov's history of struggling in fights and getting knocked down, but believes hometown advantage and judges favoring damage over control time will edge him past Camilo. He is worried about Camilo's wrestling and control time.

The Guru picks Sadykhov via KO, citing his superior footwork, defense, calf kicks, and counter punching. He believes Camilo is not experienced enough and will leave openings. He expects Sadykhov to land accurately and finish, possibly by knockout.

AJ picks Almabayev by decision, expecting him to outwrestle Johnson. He thinks Almabayev is craftier and has better wrestling than Johnson's previous opponents. He notes Johnson tends to struggle against fellow veterans and that the fight likely goes the distance.

AJ picks Almabayev by decision, citing his consistent wrestling and cardio. He thinks Johnson is unreliable and that Almabayev's takedown threat will win rounds. AJ notes Johnson's getup game but believes Almabayev's accuracy and mixing of strikes will secure a decision.

AJ picks Almabayev by decision, expecting his elite wrestling and positional control to neutralize Johnson's striking. Johnson is inconsistent and has been outwrestled before. Almabayev should land multiple takedowns and control the fight on the ground.

Angelo considers Charles Johnson plus 3.5 at even money, thinking Johnson can win a round and that the fight likely goes to decision. He notes that plus 3.5 covers a win, split decision loss, or clean 29-28 loss, making it a good bet at even money.

Angelo picks Almabayev, noting that Johnson stays on the outside and lacks forward pressure, which Almabayev needs to be effective. He thinks Almabayev can do what he wants without pressure. He likes the over 2.5 rounds as a bet.

Angelo picks Asu because Charles Johnson tends to take rounds off and fights on the outside, which won't score well with judges overseas. He notes that Asu looked bad in his last fight but that was due to Alex Perez's pressure, which Charles doesn't replicate. He is rooting for Charles but thinks Asu will get the win.

Big Brady picks Asu Almabayev to win by decision. He notes Charles Johnson's grappling vulnerability, having been taken down 11 times by Cody Durden and controlled by Raphael Assuncao. Almabayev is a much better grappler with three-round cardio. Brady expects Almabayev to take Johnson down and control him for a decision win, though he acknowledges Johnson can knock out anyone on his best day.

Cody picks Johnson, agreeing with Paul. He highlights Johnson's reach and height advantages, better striking, and improved takedown defense. He sees Almabayev as low-volume and one-dimensional, and believes Johnson's plus-money price is a value spot.

Daniel Levi confidently picks Asu Almabayev, criticizing Charles Johnson's ego and recent performances. He believes Johnson's wins over Josh Van and Looney Kavanaugh were flukes and that he is on a decline, citing his knockout loss to Alex Perez. Levi praises Almabayev's relentless pressure and heart, expecting him to push a pace and win two rounds, with Johnson likely complaining afterward.

Jacob picks Almabayev, citing his grappling pressure and Johnson's tendency to engage in whatever fight style is presented. He thinks Johnson will spend too time grappling with Almabayev and eventually lose a decision. He expects Almabayev to get multiple takedowns.

Lucrative James picks Asu Almabayev because he believes Almabayev is an elite wrestler who can take Charles Johnson down consistently, exploiting Johnson's weakness against wrestlers. He notes that Johnson has struggled against grapplers like Cody Durden and Muhammad Mokaev, and that Almabayev has a short flight to Azerbaijan while Johnson travels from America. He predicts a competitive fight but expects Almabayev to win via decision, possibly hurting Johnson on the feet as well.

The host expects this fight to be closer than the odds indicate. He believes Almabaev's ability to mix in grappling at key moments and land big shots on the feet will keep Johnson on the back foot, leading to a decision win for Almabaev.

Almabayev's ability to mix takedowns with striking should get him the win, but Johnson's defensive grappling and ability to get back to his feet will keep it close. The line is too wide; passing on the fight unless Almabayev drops to -150.

Paul picks Johnson as a plus-money underdog, citing his improved takedown defense, striking advantage, and size. He notes Almabayev's one-dimensional wrestling and low volume, and believes Johnson's damage output will win rounds. He sees value at plus money.

The Guru picks Almabayev via decision, but admits he doesn't have a strong read. He thinks Almabayev's wrestling and conditioning will be key, but acknowledges Johnson's knockout power. He is not confident and spends little time on the breakdown.

AJ picks Ferreira by knockout, calling Aliskerov overrated and questioning his durability. He thinks Ferreira's power and judo background pose problems, and that Aliskerov's chin will be tested. He believes the odds are too wide and that Ferreira is live for an upset.

AJ DeVito picks Brunno Ferreira as a wild underdog at +235, citing Ikram Aliskerov's chin problems and Ferreira's power, judo background, and improved conditioning. He thinks Ferreira can stop takedowns and land a knockout, and likes the KO prop at +550. He acknowledges Aliskerov could wrestle to a win but believes Ferreira is live.

AJ picks Ferreira as a sizable underdog, citing his power and Aliskerov's shaky chin. He thinks Ferreira can land an uppercut as Aliskerov shoots, and that Ferreira's improved conditioning will help. AJ acknowledges Aliskerov's wrestling advantage but believes Ferreira can hurt him on the feet.

AJ picks Ferreira by knockout, believing Aliskerov is overrated and hittable. Ferreira has knockout power in both hands and good jiu-jitsu to defend takedowns. Aliskerov's chin is questionable, and Ferreira's athleticism and improved conditioning should lead to an upset.

Angelo sees Bruno Ferreira as a solid underdog at +235, describing him as a coiled snake with one-punch knockout power and high-level judo. He acknowledges Bruno's poor cardio as a major weakness, but argues that Bruno is the most dangerous fighter Ikram has ever faced, more dangerous than Robert Whittaker in terms of finishing ability.

Angelo picks Ferreira as an underdog, citing his dangerous striking and judo. He worries about Ferreira's cardio but thinks he can land a big shot early or use judo to defend takedowns. He notes the odds are widening and may wait to bet.

Angelo picks Bruno despite his cardio concerns, because Bruno is the most dangerous striker Ikram has faced. He worries that Ikram may fold under pressure, as hinted by his corner's comments. He acknowledges Bruno's tendency to fade after the first round but is willing to shoot his shot.

Big Brady picks Ikram Aliskerov to win by decision. He notes Aliskerov has knockout power but also a wrestling background, having taken down opponents outside the UFC. Ferreira is a dangerous power puncher with questionable takedown defense and cardio. Brady thinks Aliskerov will use wrestling to control the fight, possibly earning a late finish or decision. He acknowledges many outcomes are possible and will stay away from betting.

Cody picks Aliskerov, calling him a favorable matchup. He highlights Aliskerov's wrestling and size advantage over Ferreira, who he sees as undersized and vulnerable. He expects Aliskerov to win via takedowns and control, possibly by decision.

Daniel Levi picks Ikram Aliskerov, noting he is more well-rounded and technically sound, with multiple paths to victory (striking, grappling, point fighting). He acknowledges Brunno Ferreira's puncher's chance but believes Aliskerov has matured since his loss to Robert Whittaker and showed improved cardio against the Iron Turtle. Levi respects Ferreira but favors Aliskerov's versatility.

Jacob picks Aliskerov by submission, arguing that Ferreira is susceptible to straight shots and has been knocked out twice. He thinks Aliskerov has better cardio and grappling, and will finish Ferreira in round 2 or 3. He includes Aliskerov in his slam of the week.

Lucrative James picks Ikram Aliskerov despite being hesitant, citing Aliskerov's massive grappling advantage and better training partners in Dagestan. He notes that Brunno Ferreira has power and can knock anyone out, but has looked unimpressive in his UFC career and has been knocked out twice. He acknowledges the fight is volatile and could end with whoever lands first, but favors Aliskerov's overall skills and cardio upside. He says he will only bet if the odds are really good.

The host believes Aliskerov will land decent combinations and mix in his grappling to cause Ferreira to slow down, leading to a late finish. However, he notes his interest in Ferreira has increased as the number balloons, and he might have a small sprinkle on Ferreira by fight time, but his official prediction remains Aliskerov by knockout.

Aliskerov is more well-rounded and has improved his striking, but Ferreira is dangerous with power and BJJ. Aliskerov should win by knockout as Ferreira slows down, but Ferreira has a real chance to clip him. The line is too wide; a small play on Ferreira is possible.

Paul picks Aliskerov confidently, citing his wrestling advantage and Ferreira's size and durability issues. He notes Ferreira's power but thinks Aliskerov can grind him out with takedowns and control. He likes Aliskerov by decision at plus odds.

The Guru picks Ferreira, citing his explosiveness, power, and ability to land a KO. He believes Aliskerov gives too much space and is hittable, which plays into Ferreira's strengths. He notes Ferreira's submission threat and sees value in the underdog.

AJ picks Oleksiejczuk by knockout, believing Magomedov is fragile and has suspect cardio. He thinks Oleksiejczuk's hands are dangerous and that he will come on strong in rounds 2 and 3, while Magomedov fades. He likes Oleksiejczuk by KO in round 2 or 3.

AJ DeVito is confident that Michał Oleksiejczuk will defeat Abusupiyan Magomedov, who he believes is declining and has a weak will to win. He expects Oleksiejczuk to win by KO in round two or three, citing Magomedov's tendency to gas and melt under pressure. He likes the moneyline at -115 and also mentions the KO prop at +175.

AJ picks Oleksiejczuk as an underdog, believing he has improved his takedown defense with Fighting Nerds and has the cardio advantage. He notes Magomedov fades after the first round and that Oleksiejczuk can put him away with big shots in the later rounds. AJ expects a knockout in round 2 or 3.

AJ picks Oleksiejczuk by knockout, citing Magomedov's poor cardio and tendency to fade after round one. Oleksiejczuk has improved grappling defense and power, and should survive the first round to take over and finish Magomedov in the second or third.

Angelo is surprised Abus Magomedov has flipped to underdog and thinks he wins the fight. He notes that Michał Oleksiejczuk has dangerous hands but poor cardio and grappling, and has been knocking out bums. Abus is more technical and can wrestle, so if he weathers the early storm and gets grappling going, he should run away with it.

Angelo picks Magomedov, citing his multiple paths to victory: he can outstrike Oleksiejczuk, outgrapple him, or weather the early storm and win as Oleksiejczuk fades. He notes both have bad cardio, but Magomedov's is slightly better.

Angelo picks Abus because he has multiple paths to victory (striking and grappling) while Michał only has striking. He notes that both fighters have cardio issues, but Abus can fall back on wrestling. He expects a fun start but a boring finish once Abus starts shooting takedowns.

Big Brady picks Abusupiyan Magomedov to win by submission. He highlights Magomedov's grappling credentials, having taken down and submitted black belts like Bruno Ferreira. Oleksiejczuk has terrible grappling, submitted multiple times. Brady expects Magomedov to take him down early and submit him in round one, though he notes Magomedov's questionable cardio and durability could lead to a second-round knockout loss if he gasses.

Cody picks Magomedov, agreeing with Paul. He highlights Oleksiejczuk's defensive wrestling issues and Magomedov's wrestling pedigree. He thinks Magomedov can take him down and control the fight, though he acknowledges Oleksiejczuk's power and finishing ability.

Daniel Levi picks Michał Oleksiejczuk to upset Abusupiyan Magomedov, citing his improved confidence and training at Fighting Nerds after moving from a garage gym. He notes Oleksiejczuk's marauding pressure, body shots, and recent win streak, while Magomedov has a history of fading in fights. Levi believes Oleksiejczuk's level-up and aggression will be key, though he acknowledges Magomedov's grappling threat.

Jacob picks Magomedov, calling him one of the better plays on the card. He thinks Magomedov is bigger and can bully Oleksiejczuk, who fades hard after round one. He dismisses Oleksiejczuk's win streak as beating cans and notes his grappling holes.

Lucrative James picks Michał Oleksiejczuk (Michelle Alex) because he believes Alex has better cardio, heart, will to win, and power. He notes that Abus Magomedov is more skilled technically but tends to crumble when pressured and has poor cardio. He expects Abus to start well and possibly get takedowns, but predicts the momentum will shift and Alex will finish him in round two. He also mentions that if Abus is a big underdog, he might be worth a bet, but his pick is Alex via KO.

The host acknowledges Magomedov's early danger with explosivity and power, but believes in Oleksiejczuk's improvements to avoid an early finish. He thinks Oleksiejczuk's pressure striking style will catch up to Magomedov, leading to a knockout win.

Oleksiejczuk has elite durability and has improved his striking and cardio with the Fighting Nerds. Magomedov has cardio issues and tends to fade. Oleksiejczuk will deal with early adversity and then walk him down for a knockout.

Paul picks Magomedov, citing his wrestling edge and Oleksiejczuk's poor takedown defense. He notes Oleksiejczuk's cardio issues and tendency to fade, and believes Magomedov can win early rounds and possibly coast. He prefers Magomedov pre-fight but suggests live betting Oleksiejczuk if he survives the first.

The Guru picks Oleksiejczuk, citing his pressure, boxing, and takedown defense. He believes Oleksiejczuk will mitigate Magomedov's kicks by moving forward and land in exchanges. He expects a finish, possibly in the first round.

AJ picks Nolan by knockout, questioning Hasanov's level of competition and cardio. He thinks Nolan has knockout power and can defend takedowns, and that Hasanov may gas or get caught. He calls it a fraud check for Hasanov.

AJ DeVito sees Eric Nolan as a live underdog at +150, believing his knockout power could surprise the inexperienced Farman Hasanov. He questions Hasanov's striking and thinks Nolan can keep the fight standing and land power shots. He notes the knockout prop at +300 is not great value but still likes Nolan to win.

AJ picks Nolan by KO, citing his knockout power and Hasanov's inexperience (only 5 pro fights). He thinks Hasanov may be overconfident and that Nolan can land big shots. AJ acknowledges Hasanov's wrestling threat but believes Nolan can catch him on the feet.

AJ picks Nolan by knockout, citing his power and experience against a relatively untested prospect. Hasanov has only 5 pro fights and was knocked out in amateur MMA. Nolan's boxing and durability should allow him to land big shots and finish.

Angelo believes Farman Hasanov is the better fighter everywhere and can potentially find a finish. He is surprised the odds are close and thinks Farman should be a 4-to-1 favorite. He bet half a unit at -155, noting the line has moved to -175.

Angelo picks Hasanov, impressed by his power, wrestling, and aggression. He notes that Hasanov moves forward and is bigger, stronger, and faster. He bet on him at -155 and thinks he will dominate, though he acknowledges Hasanov's competition has been weak.

Angelo is very confident in Farman, noting his power, wrestling, and forward pressure. He thinks Eric Nolan covers up rather than counters, which plays into Farman's strengths. He has already bet on Farman at -155, calling it a phenomenal deal and almost free money.

Big Brady picks Farman Hasanov to win a greasy decision. He notes Hasanov is a jacked wrestler with nasty ground-and-pound, though his volume and cardio are questionable. Nolan has power but gets taken down and slows down. Brady expects a sloppy fight where Hasanov's wrestling and hometown advantage carry him to a decision win.

Cody picks Nolan, agreeing with Paul. He notes Hasanov's physical strength but lack of technique and cardio, and believes Nolan's striking and reach advantage will be key. He got Nolan at plus 180 and hopes for more line movement.

Daniel Levi confidently picks Farman Hasanov to brutally ground-and-pound Eric Nolan, criticizing Nolan's lack of preparation (begging for a corner on Twitter) and his poor performance against Susai Kaya. He notes Nolan's power but believes Hasanov's relentless top pressure and ground-and-pound will overwhelm him. Levi expects a dominant finish.

Jacob picks Hasanov, believing his ground and pound will be too much for Nolan. He thinks one takedown will be enough for Hasanov to finish the fight. He regrets not including him in the slam of the week parlay.

Lucrative James picks Farman Hasanov but is hesitant, acknowledging that Eric Nolan is better than his record shows and has a path to victory on the feet. He notes that Hasanov has a massive advantage on the ground with heavy top pressure and power, but his cardio is questionable and he may struggle to get takedowns. He thinks if Nolan is a big underdog, he would be worth a play, but ultimately picks Hasanov via ground and pound knockout in round two.

The host picks Eric Nolan to pull off the upset against Farman Khabibov. He notes that Khabibov is still green and early in his career, while Nolan has a good all-around game with grappling and volume. He expects Nolan to put together a good body of work and win by decision if his durability holds up.

Nolan is the busier striker with good wrestling to neutralize Hasanov's grappling. Hasanov is still green and rudimentary, and Nolan's style should cause him issues. Nolan can outwork him and win on the scorecards, making the underdog price appealing.

Paul picks Nolan as a dog, citing his superior striking, size, and experience against better competition. He questions Hasanov's inactivity, level of competition, and technique, calling him a product of favorable matchmaking. He sees Nolan as the better fighter and likes the plus money.

The Guru picks Hasanov via TKO, citing his explosive wrestling, ground and pound, and leg kicks. He believes Hasanov can get takedowns and finish, though he notes conditioning concerns. He expects Nolan to struggle with the wrestling pressure.

AJ is very confident Yakhyaev wins, calling it a setup fight. He believes Yakhyaev has superior boxing, power, and grappling, and will likely win by submission. He sees Walker as a can't-win fight and expects Yakhyaev to hurt him on the feet before securing a submission.

AJ DeVito is confident that Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev will defeat Julius Walker, calling it a setup fight. He notes Yakhyaev's well-rounded skills, nasty grappling, and knockout power, and expects a finish, leaning towards submission. He mentions Yakhyaev's quick win over Raphael Circada and Walker's struggles.

AJ sees this as a squash match for Yakhyaev, who is a better striker and grappler. He thinks Yakhyaev can knock out or submit Walker, who is stiff and awkward. AJ expects a finish within 15 minutes and notes the under 1.5 rounds line.

AJ expects Yakhyaev to finish Walker, likely in the first round, due to his knockout power and submission threat. Walker has defensive flaws and was recently knocked out. Yakhyaev's aggression and well-rounded game should overwhelm Walker.

Angelo thinks Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev dominates the fight and earns his price tag, expecting a finish in under 1.5 rounds. He considers Julius Walker the worst fighter on the card, with only 3 years of professional experience.

Angelo picks Yakhyaev, stating he is better everywhere and that Walker is too early in his career. He notes that Walker has holes in his game and was just knocked out. He believes Yakhyaev will dominate and is worth the price despite being a heavy favorite.

Angelo picks Yakhyaev easily, noting that Julius Walker is too green with only 3 years of professional experience. He believes Yakhyaev is the better grappler and will likely win by finish. He expects the odds to move significantly.

Big Brady picks Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev to win by first-round knockout. He describes Yakhyaev as a beast with eight first-round wins, either knocking opponents out or submitting them early. Walker is a grappler with poor striking who has been hurt by lesser fighters. Brady sees a bad matchup for Walker, expecting Yakhyaev to finish him quickly.

Cody picks Yakhyaev, calling him a future title contender. He notes Yakhyaev's grappling and physicality, and believes he will dominate Walker. He parlayed Yakhyaev with Donchenko early in the week.

Daniel Levi considers this a lock, stating he bet Yakhyaev at -400 and would cap him at -1500. He dismisses Julius Walker's competition, particularly his life-and-death fight with Raphael Cera, and believes Yakhyaev can win by any method: head kick, punches, takedowns, submission, or grind. He expects a quick finish, possibly under a minute.

Jacob picks Yakhyaev to win by KO or submission, predicting a dominant performance. He thinks Walker has no path to victory and that Yakhyaev will finish him early, possibly earning a performance bonus. He got Yakhyaev at a good price before the line moved.

Lucrative James is very confident in Yakhyaev, calling him a legit prospect with explosive wrestling, submissions, and power. He notes that Yakhyaev finishes fights early and has shown cardio in a five-round decision. He believes Julius Walker is outskilled everywhere and predicts a first-round knockout, as Yakhyaev is due for a KO after two submission wins.

The host is stunned that Yakubov is not at minus 1000, believing he is far superior to Walker in every aspect. He thinks Yakubov may lean on his striking to find the chin of Walker and predicts a first-round knockout win.

Yakhyaev is far superior in almost every aspect, with a nasty jiu-jitsu game and decent striking. Walker is athletic but lacks technical skills and has mediocre cardio. Yakhyaev will dominate positions and get a quick first-round finish, likely by knockout.

Paul picks Yakhyaev confidently, calling him a top prospect. He notes Yakhyaev's grappling and physical strength, and believes he will overwhelm Walker. He prefers the over 1.5 rounds at plus money, expecting Walker's durability to carry him past the first round but Yakhyaev to win.

The Guru picks Yakhyaev via knockout, citing his dynamic striking, evasiveness, and well-rounded grappling. He believes Walker is too linear and stiff, and will get caught coming in. He expects Yakhyaev to land a single strike or finish on the ground.

AJ picks Ruziboev due to his veteran savvy, 47-fight experience, and 20 submission wins. He thinks Pulyaev's resume is thin and that Ruziboev can outwork him, possibly mixing in takedowns. He expects the fight to go over 1.5 rounds and likes Ruziboev by decision or late finish.

AJ DeVito mentions Nursulton Ruziboev by submission at +1000 as a DGEN prop, noting he has many submission wins. He is not overconfident but thinks it's live.

AJ thinks Ruziboev can outgrapple Pulyaev and win a decision or submission. He notes Pulyaev is not physical, skinny, and lacks damaging power, while Ruziboev has a decent ground game and hits harder. AJ expects Ruziboev to bully Pulyaev in the clinch and on the mat.

AJ leans towards Ruziboev by decision, citing his superior MMA grappling, experience (47 pro fights), and ability to control the cage. He expects Ruziboev to outwork Pulyaev over three rounds, mixing in clinch work and takedowns. Pulyaev is durable but less versatile.

Angelo includes Ruziboev in a parlay of confident picks, suggesting he expects him to win. No further analysis is provided in the transcript.

Angelo picks Ruziboev, highlighting his wrestling and grappling skills from regional tape. He notes that Ruziboev is a good striker and a very good grappler, and expects him to win by wrestling after getting jabbed a few times. He is surprised the line is tightening.

Angelo is very confident in Nurullo, citing his well-rounded skills and size advantage. He believes Nurullo will mix in takedowns and win on the ground or striking. He notes that Andre Pulyaev is tough but that this matchup is worse for him than his last fight. He thinks -225 is a discount.

Big Brady picks Andrey Pulyaev to win by decision, though he dislikes the fight. He notes Pulyaev runs away and throws low-volume kicks, but Ruziboev is also low-volume and won't grapple. Brady thinks Pulyaev's 'BS' striking might be enough to win a terrible decision, calling it a potential 'worst fight in UFC history.' He will not bet on it.

Cody passes on this fight, not having strong conviction. He might consider a Ruziboev round one prop at plus 300, but otherwise no play.

Daniel Levi leans towards Nursulton Ruziboev, citing his urgency and willingness to push the pace compared to Andrey Pulyaev, who tends to get on his bike and not do enough. He respects Pulyaev's durability and craftiness but believes Ruziboev will try harder and take the fight to him. Levi expects a competitive fight but trusts Ruziboev's gas pedal more.

Jacob picks Ruziboev by submission, noting his submission arsenal is more dangerous than anything Pulyaev has faced. He thinks Ruziboev has sneaky power and can finish via submission or KO. He likes the submission prop at a good price.

Lucrative James picks Andrey Pulyaev despite it being a risky pick, because he believes Pulyaev's activity, body shots, and improving striking will be key. He notes that Ruziboev has cardio issues and doesn't look good outside round one, and that Pulyaev has faced tough competition recently. He expects Ruziboev to hurt Pulyaev early, but Pulyaev to take over in rounds two and three and win a decision.

The host is not a big fan of Ruziboev but thinks this matchup allows him to land big shots on Pulyaev and mix in his grappling. He predicts a submission victory for the Uzbek native.

Ruziboev is aggressive and will bully Pulyaev, finding a big shot to wobble him and then jumping on a submission. Pulyaev has a striking base but Ruziboev's pressure and reach disadvantage for Pulyaev should allow Ruziboev to control the pace. However, Ruziboev is not a favorite to play at chalk.

Paul picks Pulyaev as a dog, citing his southpaw stance, volume, and reach advantage. He notes Ruziboev's low volume and limited skills, and believes Pulyaev will outwork him. He sees value at plus money.

The Guru leans with Pulyaev via decision, considering him a live underdog. He notes Pulyaev's mobility, southpaw stance, and difficulty to finish, while Ruziboev has not fought in a while and may struggle with Pulyaev's range and kicks. He sees it as a pick'em fight.

AJ favors Reyes due to his superior striking, volume, and power, while Ofli is a one-trick pony with grappling. He thinks Reyes can knock Ofli out, especially since Ofli was hurt on the feet by a grappler in his last fight. He notes Reyes has a reach advantage and good cardio, making him live for a finish.

AJ picks Reyes despite his sloppy striking because of his size advantage, durability, and power. He worries about Ofli's ability to deliver damage on the feet but thinks Reyes can land big shots. AJ acknowledges Ofli has better grappling but believes Reyes can defend takedowns and win by knockout.

Angelo picks Javier Reyes as the more dangerous fighter, despite acknowledging that neither fighter is very good. He thinks Javier has better cardio and is more dangerous, but notes that Kaan could sneak out a close decision if he survives early. He is staying far away from betting on this fight.

Big Brady picks Javier Reyes to win by knockout. He highlights Reyes' power and aggression, noting he dropped and finished Douglas Silva de Andrade. Reyes has a nasty ground game and 83% finish rate. Ofli is chinny, having been hurt in every UFC fight. Brady believes Reyes is the most dangerous opponent Ofli has faced and will likely knock him out.

Cody picks Reyes, agreeing with Paul. He highlights Reyes's volume and finishing ability, and Ofli's poor takedown accuracy and defense. He prefers the under 2.5 rounds as a better play.

Daniel Levi picks Javier Reyes, noting his durability and experience. He believes Reyes can grind out a win or find an opportunistic finish once he warms up, despite being vulnerable early. Levi acknowledges Kaan Ofli's power and early threat but trusts Reyes's toughness and ability to push the pace in later rounds.

Lucrative James picks Javier Reyes because he believes Reyes is a better striker and a veteran who has seen many styles. He notes that Ofli is a grinder with wrestling, but Reyes has good cardio and durability, and will likely get up from takedowns. He expects a war but thinks Reyes will land the bigger shots and win via knockout.

Reyes is more well-rounded and comfortable on the feet, while Ofli prefers grappling. Reyes should be in the driver's seat more often, but the line is a bit wide. The over 2.5 rounds is interesting as both may grind. Reyes by decision is the pick.

Paul picks Reyes, citing his high volume, reach advantage, and Ofli's lack of power and wrestling. He notes Ofli's questionable wins and believes Reyes will overwhelm him. He likes Reyes at minus 180.

AJ is very confident Donchenko wins by knockout, praising his violent Muay Thai striking and clean elbows. He notes Berggren has never been knocked out but hasn't faced a striker of Donchenko's level. He suggests inside distance at -200 is safer for parlays, but prefers the knockout prop.

AJ DeVito is confident that Daniil Donchenko will win by knockout against short-notice debutant Theodor Berggren. He praises Donchenko's striking, including elbows, and expects Berggren to get hurt badly. He mentions the KO prop at -160 and includes Donchenko in multiple parlays.

AJ expects Donchenko to knock out Berggren, who is taking the fight on short notice. He notes Donchenko's superior hands, power, and ability to switch stances, while Berggren is a kicker who looks vulnerable in exchanges. AJ predicts a first-round KO.

AJ expects Donchenko to knock Berggren out, citing his violent Muay Thai, knockout power, and level difference. Berggren is a short-notice replacement with less experience and a questionable chin. AJ predicts a first or second round finish.

Angelo picks Donchenko, impressed by his striking ability and movement. He notes that Berggren relies on upper body wrestling and clinch entries, but Donchenko's speed and in-and-out movement will prevent him from closing the distance. He sees no path to victory for Berggren.

Angelo is very confident in Danilo, praising his clean striking, power, and ability to mix grappling. He thinks Danilo will be the better striker and grappler, and expects a finish. He is surprised the odds have moved from -1000 to -500, as he believes Danilo is clearly very good.

Big Brady picks Daniil Donchenko to win by second-round knockout. He notes that Donchenko is a wild brawler with dangerous elbows, while Berggren is hittable and has never been knocked out but struggles with grappling. Brady thinks Donchenko's power and aggression will overwhelm Berggren, though he acknowledges Berggren took the fight on short notice and is a Cage Warriors fighter.

Cody picks Donchenko, agreeing with Paul. He highlights Donchenko's power, youth, and cardio, and Berggren's short notice and cardio issues. He expects Donchenko to win via volume and power.

Daniel Levi confidently picks Daniil Donchenko to win by first-round knockout, dismissing Theodor Berggren as not UFC-caliber after being finished by regional gatekeeper Justin Burlington. He defends Donchenko's previous performance against Alex Morono, attributing the lack of finish to gassing out from beating Morono up. Levi expects Donchenko to welcome Berggren to the UFC with a quick finish.

Jacob picks Donchenko by finish in rounds 1 or 2, citing his power and youth. He thinks Berggren is not UFC caliber and that Donchenko will blow him away early. He advises against the moneyline due to poor value and recommends taking Donchenko by finish.

Lucrative James picks Daniil Donchenko but notes he hasn't done full tape study on this late-notice fight. He mentions both fighters are young and it should be a banger, but based on limited knowledge, he predicts Donchenko via decision. He says he will post a full breakdown on his Telegram channel.

The host picks Denys Bondar (likely referring to Daniil Donchenko) as a nasty Muay Thai specialist with a tougher strength of schedule than Theodor Berggren. He believes Bondar will stalk Berggren, walk him down, land big power shots, and find a finish within two rounds.

Donchenko is a Muay Thai specialist with an iron chin and has never been finished. He will walk Berggren down, get into the clinch, and land elbows and combinations for a TKO. Berggren has athleticism but Donchenko's experience and durability should prevail.

Paul picks Donchenko confidently, citing his power, volume, and cardio. He notes Berggren's cardio issues and tendency to fade, and believes Donchenko will overwhelm him. He sees Donchenko as a parlay piece.

The Guru picks Donchenko via first-round TKO, citing his explosive striking, elbows, and ability to cut opponents. He believes Berggren's conditioning is suspect, especially on short notice and travel, and that Donchenko's early pressure will overwhelm him. He notes Donchenko's cardio issues but expects a quick finish.

AJ believes Almakhan has superior boxing, speed, and wrestling compared to Matsumoto, despite Matsumoto's slight edge in kicks. He is surprised Almakhan is a +140 underdog and thinks the odds could be flipped. He predicts a competitive three-round fight with Almakhan doing more over 15 minutes, likely winning by decision.

AJ DeVito likes Bekzat Almakhan as an underdog at +125, believing his hands are sharper and his wrestling is superior to Jean Matsumoto's Muay Thai style. He thinks Almakhan should be the favorite and expects a decision win, though he acknowledges knockout power. He includes Almakhan in a doggy style parlay.

AJ believes Almakhan has the boxing advantage over Matsumoto's Muay Thai, with better speed, power, and wrestling. He thinks Matsumoto's boxing is mediocre and that Almakhan can outbox him and mix in takedowns. AJ is surprised Almakhan is the underdog and thinks the line is wrong.

AJ likes Almakhan's boxing advantage, elusiveness, and power, while Matsumoto's Muay Thai is heavy-footed with limited punching power. He believes Almakhan's takedown threat and superior hands will outwork Matsumoto over three rounds, possibly earning a decision or late finish.

Angelo thinks Jean Matsumoto wins but wasn't confident enough to bet the winner. He notes Matsumoto is insanely tough and not very dangerous, while Bekzat is dangerous but also tough. He expects a decision because Matsumoto doesn't have finishing ability and won't get finished.

Angelo picks Matsumoto, believing his aggression will neutralize Almakhan's offense. He notes that Matsumoto is tough and durable, while Almakhan is dangerous but lacks takedown defense and work rate. He also likes the over 2.5 rounds because both fighters are tough.

Angelo picks Jean Matsumoto, believing his forward pressure and aggression will neutralize Bekzat's speed and mobility. He thinks Jean has been unlucky in recent decisions and should have won his last two fights. He also likes the over 2.5 rounds, expecting a close decision.

Big Brady picks Jean Matsumoto over Bekzat Almakhan. He notes that Almakhan has power but very low volume, questionable takedown defense, and poor ground game. Matsumoto is the higher-volume striker with superior wrestling, having taken down Rob Font and Fareed Baserat multiple times. Brady expects Matsumoto to win by decision, possibly by submission late if Almakhan makes mistakes.

Cody picks Matsumoto, agreeing with Paul. He highlights Matsumoto's durability and experience against better competition, and Almakhan's low volume. He expects Matsumoto to win a decision.

Daniel Levi picks Jean Matsumoto, citing his durability, forward pressure, and weaponized cardio. He notes that Almakhan is dangerous early but fades if he doesn't finish, as seen against Alexandre Tapora. Matsumoto's ability to survive Almakhan's power and then push a pace should break him late. Levi also highlights Matsumoto's competitive performance against Fared Basharat as a sign of his caliber.

Jacob picks Matsumoto, citing his work rate and ability to mix in takedowns. He thinks Almakhan's only path is a KO, but Matsumoto is too tough to finish. He also likes Matsumoto to get takedowns and suggests a prop on that.

Lucrative James picks Jean Matsumoto because he believes Matsumoto has superior cardio, wrestling, and durability. He notes that Almakhan is a good boxer but limited elsewhere, and tends to shut down when things go south. He expects Almakhan to start well, but Matsumoto's pace, leg kicks, and grappling will take over in rounds two and three, leading to a decision win.

The host picks Jean Matsumoto to thwart the grappling approach of Bekzat Almakhan and out-strike him on the feet. He believes Matsumoto will land better damage and possibly get to some grappling of his own, ultimately winning on the scorecards.

Matsumoto has shown he can work back to his feet quickly after takedowns and has a striking advantage. He will wear Almakhan down with leg kicks and combinations, eventually pulling away. Almakhan relies on grappling but Matsumoto's defensive wrestling and ability to get up will neutralize that.

Paul picks Matsumoto, citing his durability, volume, and takedown defense. He notes Almakhan's power but low volume, and believes Matsumoto will outwork him. He prefers the over 2.5 rounds and a split decision prop.

The Guru picks Matsumoto via decision, citing his durability, pressure, clinch work, and ability to survive early danger from Almakhan's power. He expects Almakhan to fade after a round and a half, allowing Matsumoto to take over with cumulative damage and conditioning. He notes Matsumoto's experience against a similar fighter in Farid Basharat.

AJ leans towards the local fighter Abdullayev, citing his natural size at 170 and durability (never knocked out). He notes Nascimento is moving up from lightweight and fought less than a month ago, which could be a disadvantage. However, he expresses nervousness and calls it a coin flip, advising against betting on this fight.

AJ favors Abdullayev due to his natural size advantage as a welterweight, good chin, and power. He notes Nascimento is faster but brawls and is hittable, and that Abdullayev's physicality could be a factor in the clinch. However, AJ admits low confidence and hasn't seen lines yet.

AJ leans towards Abdullayev due to being a natural welterweight with durability and power, while Nascimento is coming off a tough fight three weeks ago and may be concussed. He notes Abdullayev's physicality and wrestling advantage, but admits it's a coin flip fight.

Angelo picks Nascimento despite the public leaning heavily on Abdullayev. He notes that while Abdullayev is a strong wrestler, his striking is poor and he hates pressure, which Nascimento excels at applying. However, he warns that Nascimento can overextend and end up in scrambles, making the fight closer than expected.

This fight was not discussed in the transcript. No pick was made.

Cody picks Nascimento, agreeing with Paul. He highlights Nascimento's LFA championship and better competition, and Abdullayev's lack of UFC quality. He believes Nascimento is the better fighter and expects him to win.

Jacob picks Abdullayev, citing his home turf advantage, larger frame, and the fact that Nascimento fought just three weeks ago and has a fresh cut near his eye that could open up. He believes Abdullayev will come out hot and bulldoze Nascimento early, possibly via doctor stoppage.

The host believes Abdullaev's power-punching style will allow him to find the chin of Nascimento, who is coming back too quickly after a grueling LFA title defense. He predicts Abdullaev will land his bomb and eventually put Nascimento away by knockout.

Paul picks Nascimento, citing his superior skills and level of competition. He notes Abdullayev's poor takedown defense and suspect cardio, and believes Nascimento will win. He sees value at plus money and hopes for higher limits.

The Guru picks Nascimento despite acknowledging poor circumstances: short notice, moving up a weight class, recent war with cut, and flying to Azerbaijan. He believes Abdullayev is not UFC-level and lacks wrestling advantage. However, he is not confident due to Nascimento's potential diminished performance.