Daniil Donchenko

2-0
Record
Age / DOB 24
(Aug 04, 2001)
Height 5' 11"
Weight 170 lbs.
Reach 71"
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages
7.15 Sig. Strikes / Min
60.0% Sig. Strike Acc.
2.57 Absorbed / Min
72.0% Strike Defense
0.77 TD Avg / 15 min
33.0% TD Accuracy
75.0% TD Defense
0.0 Sub. / Fight
Win Methods (2)
KO/TKO 1
Submission 0
Decision 1

Fight History

Result / Opponent
Event & Date
Method/Round
Links
Comments
Expert Picks (2)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 24, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Daniil Donchenko

Angelo expects Daniil Donchenko to absolutely dominate and get a finish, possibly in the first or second round. He describes Donchenko as a phenomenal striker with insane power and great movement, and is not worried about him being taken down.

win by finish (in parlay)
"Daniil Donchenko. He should absolutely dominate that fight. He should have a I think a finish."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert picked Jun 21, 2026 (6 days before fight)
No clear pick

This fight was not discussed in the transcript. No pick was made.

Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Theodor Berggren vs. Daniil Donchenko
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Donchenko (-525); Berggren (+400)

Round 1
Donchenko and short-notice foe Berggren meet in this welterweight prelim attraction. Herb Dean draws his first referee assignment of the evening. Berggren is southpaw, Donchenko orthodox, leading to a couple of awkward exchanges early, and Donchenko lands a kick that strays to the cup. There is no real break in the action, though, and they go back to work. Berggren switches stances a few times but comes back to southpaw. Donchenko lands a sweeping right hook to the head that hurts Berggen, but he covers up against the fence and recovers. Donchenko walks into a hard body kick. Donchenko punches his way into the clinch and shoves Berggren to the fence, where the Swede reverses him. They disengage and return to the center of the cage. Berggren connects with a step-in knee and a punch upstairs, and Donchenko answers with a straight to the body. Donchenko lands a hard leg kick, then a pair of punches to the body. Donchenko with another hacking kick to the left leg of Berggren. The horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Donchenko
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Donchenko
Tudor Leonte scores the round: 10-9 Donchenko

Round 2
They touch gloves and go back to work. Donchenko goes right back at the legs of Berggren, hitting the lead leg in either stance, following up with punches to the body. Berggren counters with punches to the head. Berggren catches Donchenko coming in with a clean left hand, which the Ukrainian shakes off.
Donchenko goes upstairs with a right head kick that smashes into Berggren’s head right through his raised guard. The newcomer drops to his seat near the fence and Donchenko follows at a sprint.
Berggren is getting back to his feet by the time Donchenko gets there, but a pair of hooks put him back down and Dean steps in for the stoppage.

The Official Result
Daniil Donchenko def. Theodor Berggren R2 1:35 via TKO (Head Kick and Punches)
Expert Picks (15)
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jun 25, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Daniil Donchenko

AJ is very confident Donchenko wins by knockout, praising his violent Muay Thai striking and clean elbows. He notes Berggren has never been knocked out but hasn't faced a striker of Donchenko's level. He suggests inside distance at -200 is safer for parlays, but prefers the knockout prop.

Donchenko by KO -160; inside distance -200; under 2.5 rounds -275; Donchenko KO under 2.5 rounds -120; Donchenko by submission +750; Donchenko by decision +450.
"I think he's winning this fight by a knockout. Dude, I'd be really surprised to see his opponent survive."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Daniil Donchenko

AJ expects Donchenko to knock Berggren out, citing his violent Muay Thai, knockout power, and level difference. Berggren is a short-notice replacement with less experience and a questionable chin. AJ predicts a first or second round finish.

Under 1.5 rounds +110. Donchenko by KO. AJ notes Donchenko is -525 favorite.
"I think Donchenko should knock Burgran out cold. I think this is a Donchenko showcase fight."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jun 23, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Daniil Donchenko

AJ expects Donchenko to knock out Berggren, who is taking the fight on short notice. He notes Donchenko's superior hands, power, and ability to switch stances, while Berggren is a kicker who looks vulnerable in exchanges. AJ predicts a first-round KO.

KO round 1 +275
"Donenko KO, easy call. The difference here is the hands, bro."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jun 24, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Daniil Donchenko

AJ DeVito is confident that Daniil Donchenko will win by knockout against short-notice debutant Theodor Berggren. He praises Donchenko's striking, including elbows, and expects Berggren to get hurt badly. He mentions the KO prop at -160 and includes Donchenko in multiple parlays.

Donchenko by KO at -160; included in parlays with Shara Bullet and Yakhyaev.
"Next up, Denil Donchenko 450. I'm confident he wins by KO. KO sits at minus 160."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 23, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Daniil Donchenko

Angelo picks Donchenko, impressed by his striking ability and movement. He notes that Berggren relies on upper body wrestling and clinch entries, but Donchenko's speed and in-and-out movement will prevent him from closing the distance. He sees no path to victory for Berggren.

"Denil's too good of a striker. I don't think Theodore is going to have any success with the grappling. So, Denil is the pick."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Daniil Donchenko

Angelo is very confident in Danilo, praising his clean striking, power, and ability to mix grappling. He thinks Danilo will be the better striker and grappler, and expects a finish. He is surprised the odds have moved from -1000 to -500, as he believes Danilo is clearly very good.

surprised odds moved from -1000 to -500
"Danilo is going to be the pick, probably going to win by finish, and I think it's kind of a one-sided affair."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Daniil Donchenko

Big Brady picks Daniil Donchenko to win by second-round knockout. He notes that Donchenko is a wild brawler with dangerous elbows, while Berggren is hittable and has never been knocked out but struggles with grappling. Brady thinks Donchenko's power and aggression will overwhelm Berggren, though he acknowledges Berggren took the fight on short notice and is a Cage Warriors fighter.

win by second round knockout
"I'll go Danelo Donenko to win. I'll take the win by second round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 24, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Daniil Donchenko

Cody picks Donchenko, agreeing with Paul. He highlights Donchenko's power, youth, and cardio, and Berggren's short notice and cardio issues. He expects Donchenko to win via volume and power.

"I like Don Jengo as well. Honestly, he's 20 24 years old. He's very physically strong."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 23, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Daniil Donchenko

Daniel Levi confidently picks Daniil Donchenko to win by first-round knockout, dismissing Theodor Berggren as not UFC-caliber after being finished by regional gatekeeper Justin Burlington. He defends Donchenko's previous performance against Alex Morono, attributing the lack of finish to gassing out from beating Morono up. Levi expects Donchenko to welcome Berggren to the UFC with a quick finish.

first round knockout
"I think it's going to be a Donchenko first round knockout."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 23, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Daniil Donchenko

Jacob picks Donchenko by finish in rounds 1 or 2, citing his power and youth. He thinks Berggren is not UFC caliber and that Donchenko will blow him away early. He advises against the moneyline due to poor value and recommends taking Donchenko by finish.

Daniil Donchenko wins in rounds 1-2
"I do expect it to be a round one finish or early round two because Denil Jonenko early, he has a lot of stamina. He has a lot of power and at 24 years old, he's just filled out into his man body and I think he's going to come out here and blow the doors off the Bren."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Jun 21, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Daniil Donchenko

Lucrative James picks Daniil Donchenko but notes he hasn't done full tape study on this late-notice fight. He mentions both fighters are young and it should be a banger, but based on limited knowledge, he predicts Donchenko via decision. He says he will post a full breakdown on his Telegram channel.

"My prediction for this one, which could change, but my prediction for this one right now, official prediction will be Donenko wins this fight via decision."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 24, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Daniil Donchenko

The host picks Denys Bondar (likely referring to Daniil Donchenko) as a nasty Muay Thai specialist with a tougher strength of schedule than Theodor Berggren. He believes Bondar will stalk Berggren, walk him down, land big power shots, and find a finish within two rounds.

Bondar wins inside the distance, round 1-2
"I believe Bondar is just too nasty of a Muay Thai specialist and has a way tougher strength of schedule than Bageran."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 23, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Daniil Donchenko

Donchenko is a Muay Thai specialist with an iron chin and has never been finished. He will walk Berggren down, get into the clinch, and land elbows and combinations for a TKO. Berggren has athleticism but Donchenko's experience and durability should prevail.

Donchenko by TKO
"I think Donchenko will slowly walk down Burgin, get into the clinch, land his elbows, land his combinations, and I think he'll eventually find a TKO here."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 24, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Daniil Donchenko

Paul picks Donchenko confidently, citing his power, volume, and cardio. He notes Berggren's cardio issues and tendency to fade, and believes Donchenko will overwhelm him. He sees Donchenko as a parlay piece.

"Don Chang is a parlay piece this week for sure."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Daniil Donchenko

The Guru picks Donchenko via first-round TKO, citing his explosive striking, elbows, and ability to cut opponents. He believes Berggren's conditioning is suspect, especially on short notice and travel, and that Donchenko's early pressure will overwhelm him. He notes Donchenko's cardio issues but expects a quick finish.

Most confident pick of the week
"I'm going to say first round TKO for D'Noy Don Cheko."
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alex Morono 0 40 of 146 27% 48 of 154 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Daniil Donchenko 1 100 of 162 61% 134 of 214 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alex Morono 0 16 of 38 42% 22 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Daniil Donchenko 1 39 of 59 66% 70 of 108 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:44
2 Alex Morono 0 6 of 43 13% 7 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Daniil Donchenko 0 27 of 40 67% 30 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:35
3 Alex Morono 0 18 of 65 27% 19 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Daniil Donchenko 0 34 of 63 53% 34 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alex Morono 40 of 146 27% 37 of 138 2 of 7 1 of 1 36 of 137 4 of 9 0 of 0
Daniil Donchenko 100 of 162 61% 45 of 99 21 of 28 34 of 35 82 of 134 7 of 11 11 of 17
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alex Morono 16 of 38 42% 13 of 33 2 of 4 1 of 1 14 of 35 2 of 3 0 of 0
Daniil Donchenko 39 of 59 66% 23 of 42 8 of 9 8 of 8 25 of 37 3 of 5 11 of 17
2 Alex Morono 6 of 43 13% 6 of 42 0 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 39 1 of 4 0 of 0
Daniil Donchenko 27 of 40 67% 9 of 18 7 of 10 11 of 12 24 of 37 3 of 3 0 of 0
3 Alex Morono 18 of 65 27% 18 of 63 0 of 2 0 of 0 17 of 63 1 of 2 0 of 0
Daniil Donchenko 34 of 63 53% 13 of 39 6 of 9 15 of 15 33 of 60 1 of 3 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Daniil Donchenko vs. Alex Morono
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Donchenko (-550); Morono (+425)

Round 1
There is no glove touch in sight, as Morono instead leaps to engage and blasts Donchenko in the face with a huge right hand. Donchenko gathers his thoughts and starts chopping Morono’s lead leg down like a tree, aiming at Morono’s knee brace with both feet. Donchenko hurls a heavy punch salvo and kicks Morono’s leg out beneath him, and Morono scrambles upright and puts his back to the fence as the charging Donchenko clinches him. Donchenko rifles off a short elbow on the inside, and Morono retaliates with a strong right hand to break off. Donchenko hacks at the front leg with a kick, and he dances away from kicks including a wheel kick. Donchenko jabs to set up a left hand and an uppercut, snapping Morono’s head back like a Pez dispenser. Morono toughs it out, and Donchenko bears down on him with hurled fists. Donchenko’s aggression puts them into another clinch, and he looks for an elbow but can only graze the side. He lifts Morono off the ground with a knee, and just misses with an elbow on the break.
Donchenko stomp-kicks the front leg and chambers a kick on the side, and Morono counters and opens a cut on the bridge of Donchenko’s nose. Morono attempts an intercepting front kick, and Donchenko hammers him with a low kick that makes Morono hop around in pain. Donchenko reaches out with his fingers extended, and Peterson calls time to tell him to stop that. They get back to it, and Donchenko loads up on a huge right hand that staggers “The Great White.” Morono tries to step into the pocket to trade it out, and he narrowly evades a left hook that would knock out a mongoose. Donchenko blasts Morono with a pair of huge punches, knocking Morono to the mat, and he drops down vicious ground-and-pound. Several elbows land to the back of Morono’s head while Donchenko is unleashing a fury, and Morono turns over and gets his face sliced open with ground strikes from the Ukrainian. Donchenko lowers himself into the guard, and Morono threatens with an armbar from his back to give him space to turn over. When Morono gets to his knees, Donchenko pounds away with right hands. Morono survives the onslaught and works his way up, and he smashes Donchenko in the face with a shocking right hand. Morono might be out on his feet but he is still swinging, and he nails Donchenko with an elbow right before the break.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Donchenko
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-8 Donchenko
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-8 Donchenko

Round 2
Morono watches the replay between rounds and laughs at his spinning attempt. The second round kicks off with Morono coming out gingerly, and it takes one kick from Donchenko to knock him to the mat. Donchenko allows him to stand back up, blood trickling down Morono’s left nostril, and Morono obliges him. Morono loads up with a fiery right hand that Donchenko ducks before seeing coming, and he tries to evade a left hook but gets caught cleanly. Rather than keep swinging, Donchenko presses the Houston native to the fence for a few seconds, with Morono looking for an attack on the break. Donchenko leans back to watch a high kick whiz past him, and he blasts the front leg of Morono and nearly takes him down again. Morono takes a kick on the inside, and he hurls a right hand forward but has nothing on his plant leg. Donchenko circles and kicks at the leg a few times, and he ducks into an uppercut and makes a face to show that he did not get hurt from it. Donchenko fakes a takedown and a high kick, and he settles for a body shot when Morono is escaping. Donchenko slaps a kick to the inside of Morono’s leg, and Morono hobbles around and takes another body shot before just avoiding a spinning elbow.
Morono sticks out straight punches, both nostrils now leaking, and Donchenko targets the left leg and hurts it badly. Morono can barely put weight on it, and he tries to slug it out but Donchenko takes the blows on the chin and keeps pushing. Donchenko goes to the body with a kick, and Morono switches stances a few times to remove his bum wheel from the equation. They both spin with back elbows at the same time and clash like Beyblades, and a low kick from Donchenko leads to another spin that busts Morono’s nose open much further. Donchenko hacks at the lead leg with two more kicks, the second of which checked, and Morono presses forward and swings with reckless abandon. Donchenko presses on Morono, and he elbows him on the break. Morono bounces off the wall and gets his leg kicked out, and Donchenko walks off as the round wraps.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Donchenko
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Donchenko
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Donchenko

Round 3
Morono admits to his corner that the leg kicks hurt a great deal, profanity redacted because this is family programming. The Texan opens up after taking serious damage the last 10 minutes behind his jab, and Donchenko targets the front leg several times in hopes of taking any momentum out of Morono. Morono surges forward, leaning back to avoid a spin as he backs Donchenko to the wall. Morono tries his own spin that bounces off the guard, and he ducks a pair of haymakers but cannot get out of the way of another calf kick. Donchenko kicks the inside and out, working the body and head, attacking any spot that is open. Morono takes another kick and limps around, and he loads up on a huge right hand that Donchenko easily ducks. Morono doubles up on a jab, and his follow-up right goes wide. He checks a kick, but still does not like the impact of the blow. Donchenko kicks him twice and then avoids a wheel kick, and Morono pushes off his face to protect himself from subsequent swings.
Donchenko jabs a front kick to the body and follows it with a left hand, and he circles away and just avoids an elbow from up close. The Ukrainian mixes in punches with low kicks, keeping his guard up to defend the eventual counters. Morono’s jabs have opened up the cut on Donchenko’s nose, and Donchenko bends over and seems to allow Morono to wrap him up and knee him in the face. Donchenko beans Morono behind the ear, and Morono takes it flush and bounces off the fencing when absorbing another. Morono partially checks a low kick, and he splits the guard with a left and a right. Donchenko stares at him, hands down, and unleashes a heavy leg kick. Donchenko wraps a right hand around the guard, and sends Morono spinning to his knees with a left. The Texan climbs back up and presses the action, jabbing to set up his right. Donchenko showboats and laughs at him when Morono lands, and he points to the ground to initiate a torrid brawl. Donchenko knocks Morono off his feet in the ensuing melee, and he is kicked in the chest to back him off right before the third round is over.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Donchenko (30-26 Donchenko)
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Donchenko (30-26 Donchenko)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Donchenko (30-26 Donchenko)

The Official Result
Daniil Donchenko def. Alex Morono via Unanimous Decision (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Daniil Donchenko

Angelo picks Daniil Donchenko despite believing Alex Morono is the better fighter skill-for-skill. He explains that Morono is a 'moron' who will stand and trade instead of using his high-level jiu-jitsu. Donchenko hits hard and Morono is on a three-fight skid. He thinks Morono has the easiest path to victory by grappling but won't do it, so he picks Donchenko.

"Denil Donenko is the pick. I I I He just hits too hard and Alex is going to stand there and try to go slike with him. It's just dumb."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Daniil Donchenko

Big Brady picks Daniil Donchenko, praising his aggressive style and dangerous striking. He questions Alex Morono's commitment to fighting, noting he has other pursuits and has looked poor in recent fights. He expects Donchenko to pressure and finish Morono early, similar to Carlos Liao's win over Morono.

by first round knockout
"I like Donchenko. I like Donchenko by first round knockout. I think he runs through Alex Morono."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Daniil Donchenko

Cody agrees, highlighting Donchenko's power and Morono's chin issues. He notes Donchenko's tendency to gas but expects an early finish. Cody suggests betting Donchenko live after the first round if he doesn't finish, but overall picks Donchenko.

"Donchenko is just highly aggressive and sits down on his punches and you know, maybe he can topple him over."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Daniil Donchenko

Connor agrees with Zane, emphasizing that Morono is a subpar athlete who has lost his speed and durability. He notes that Donchenko is young and technical, and that Morono's wins were over past-prime fighters. Connor concludes that Donchenko will win purely based on age and physical decline.

Morono opened at +385, currently +525; Donchenko opened at -500, currently -725
"So it makes perfect sense to then match him up with Daniil Donchenko right now. And that's definitely a fight I have to think about hard to figure out how it's going to go."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Daniil Donchenko

Lucrative James picks Daniil Donchenko to win by TKO in round two or three. He trusts Donchenko's youth, physicality, and improvement, while noting that Morono is aging and has a questionable chin. James expects Morono to start well but fade as the fight progresses.

TKO in round 2 or 3
"I'm trusting Donenko. I'm trusting in his youth, physicality, power, durability, upside. and I'm trusting in his improvement upside to get the job done. I think be a TKO in round two or round three."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Daniil Donchenko

The host picks Donchenko by first-round knockout, calling it a horrible stylistic matchup for Morono. He highlights Donchenko's Muay Thai, especially his elbows and knees, and his aggressive pressure. He notes Morono's chin is fading and he struggles with cardio, making him vulnerable to an early finish.

round 1 knockout
"So once again, give me Denil Donenko round one knockout."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Daniil Donchenko

Paul picks Daniil Donchenko, citing his power and aggression. He notes Morono's recent losses and declining durability. Paul expects Donchenko to finish early but warns about his cardio if it goes past the first round. He suggests betting Donchenko but not at heavy favorite odds.

"It's got to be Don Shenko favorite status on this side."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2026 (fight day)
Daniil Donchenko

The host picks Daniil Donchenko over Alex Morono. He is very confident, predicting a first-round TKO. He notes Donchenko's aggressive style, elbows, body work, and low kicks. He thinks Morono can take a beating but Donchenko's cutting shots and pressure will overwhelm him early.

first round TKO
"I'm going to go with Danil Donchenko getting a first round TKO over Alex Morono all day long."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Daniil Donchenko

Zane picks Donchenko based on age and decline of Morono. He notes that Morono is slower and more fragile, and that Donchenko is a young, technical, and violent fighter who can execute at multiple levels. Zane believes Donchenko will simply wreck Morono, as Morono has lost to late-career Niko Price and is past his prime.

Morono opened at +385, currently +525; Donchenko opened at -500, currently -725
"So Donchenko is just going to wreck him. Yeah. That's it. It's just going to go out there and wreck him."
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rodrigo Sezinando 0 10 of 36 27% 10 of 36 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:02
Daniil Donchenko 1 39 of 68 57% 42 of 71 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rodrigo Sezinando 0 10 of 36 27% 10 of 36 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:02
Daniil Donchenko 1 39 of 68 57% 42 of 71 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rodrigo Sezinando 10 of 36 27% 7 of 30 3 of 6 0 of 0 7 of 33 3 of 3 0 of 0
Daniil Donchenko 39 of 68 57% 29 of 55 8 of 11 2 of 2 23 of 44 6 of 9 10 of 15
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rodrigo Sezinando 10 of 36 27% 7 of 30 3 of 6 0 of 0 7 of 33 3 of 3 0 of 0
Daniil Donchenko 39 of 68 57% 29 of 55 8 of 11 2 of 2 23 of 44 6 of 9 10 of 15
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Daniil Donchenko vs. Rodrigo Sezinando
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Donchenko (-240); Sezinando (+200)

Round 1
Kerry Hatley is the referee for this “TUF 33” welterweight final. Donchenko lands a right and jabs the body. Sezinando with a nice right hand counter. Another right hand lands for the Brazilian. Sezinando changes levels and takes Donchenko down near the fence. The Ukraine native is back up and they battle against the fence in the clinch. Donchehnko lands a knee in close. Sezinando with a knee to the gut in response. Sezinando is already bleeding profusely. Donchenko with an elbow on the break. Doncehnkeo steps in with another elbow. Hatley calls time so the cageside doctor can take a look at the cut, which is above Sezinando’s eye. The Brazilian is good to go, but still bleeding. Donchenko mixes up his kicks. Donchenko works the body. Sezinando misses on a spinning attack. Donchenko continues to use his elbows liberally. Donchenko changes levels, turns his foe into the fence and takes him down. Sezinando gets to a knee and absorbs a hard knee to the chest. As Sezinando stands, Donchenko tees off with a flurry of punches before securing a body lock against the fence. More punches and an elbow from Donchenko on the break. The Ukrainian catches his foe with an elbow as Sezinando tries a leaping knee. Sezinando catches a knee to the cup and time is called. The fight resumes and Sezinando shoots for a takedown against the fence. Donchenko defends and tees off with a barrage of punches once the combatants separate.
The flurry sends Sezinando to the canvas and the Brazilian covers up. Donchenko continues to unload with standing-to-ground punches until Hatley steps in to wave off the fight.
Donchenko is the “TUF 33” welterweight winner.

The Official Result
Daniil Donchenko def. Rodrigo Sezinando via TKO (Punches) R1 4:27
Expert Picks (5)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Daniil Donchenko

Angelo picks Donchenko because he sees him as the more well-rounded fighter overall. He notes that Donchenko is a nasty striker with power who chops down the tree with leg kicks and fires clean rights, though he can fade. He acknowledges that Sezinando is a gritty grinder with good cardio and jiu-jitsu, but limited skill set. Angelo says 'boring ass control from Sezinando would not surprise me' but ultimately goes with Donchenko.

"I am going to go with Donenko here. I think he's the more well-rounded fighter overall."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Sep 12, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Daniil Donchenko

Connor picks Donchenko, recalling that he picked him previously. He describes Donchenko as the more technical, polished kickboxer, while Sezinando is a wild brawler. He believes Donchenko's technique will be the difference.

Sezinando opened at +210, now +180; Donchenko opened at -250, now -210
"I'll stick with danchenko. Sure. Yeah."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Daniil Donchenko

Donchenko's aggressive Muay Thai style is expected to shut down Sezinando's grappling. The host predicts Donchenko will secure a finish in the second or third round, indicating confidence in his striking advantage and ability to overwhelm his opponent.

finish in second or third round
"I do like the aggressive Muay Thai nature of Donchenko to shut down the grappling of which should eventually lead to Donchenko getting a finish in the second or third round."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Daniil Donchenko

The MMA Guru picks Daniil Donchenko, citing his superior conditioning, toughness, power, and high volume. He notes that Donchenko is devastating on the inside with hooks and combinations, which will be key when Rodrigo tries to push him against the cage. He predicts a round two TKO, as Donchenko will capitalize on Rodrigo's stalling wrestling style.

Round 2 TKO
"I'm going to go with Denil Donenko. ... I'm going to say round two TKO for Denil Donenko getting this one done."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Sep 12, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Rodrigo Sezinando

Zane picks Sezinando, recalling that he picked him when the fight was previously scheduled. He describes Sezinando as a powerful wild man and meathead brawler, while Donchenko is more technical but unambitious. He believes Sezinando's power and aggression will overcome Donchenko's polish.

Sezinando opened at +210, now +180; Donchenko opened at -250, now -210
"I'm still sticking with says anondo on that."