Fight card

UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira

February 07, 2026 Meta Apex Enterprise, Nevada, United States
Mario Bautista

Mario Bautista W

17-3
Submission R2 4:46
Fight 1 VS Bantamweight Completed

Mario Bautista

No odds available.

Vinicius Oliveira

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Mario Bautista

Age32
Height5' 9"
Reach69.0"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceSwitch

Vinicius Oliveira

Age30
Height5' 9"
Reach70.0"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceSwitch

Career Averages - Mario Bautista

5.3SLpM
48.0%Str. Acc.
3.98SApM
54.0%Str. Def.
1.91TD Avg
38.0%TD Acc.
55.0%TD Def.
0.8Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Vinicius Oliveira

4.73SLpM
43.0%Str. Acc.
2.7SApM
57.0%Str. Def.
1.45TD Avg
46.0%TD Acc.
70.0%TD Def.
0.2Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Mario Bautista

Angelo picks Mario Bautista, believing he is the better technical fighter with cleaner striking and better wrestling. He acknowledges Vinicius Oliveira's insane pace but thinks Bautista can match it and fight for 25 minutes. He notes that Bautista's last fight against Umar Nurmagomedov was close and impressive, and he expects Bautista to go dog for dog with Oliveira and come out on top.

"Mario Batista is going to be the pick. I think Mario can go dog for dog with Venicious and he's the better fighter."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Mario Bautista

Big Brady picks Mario Bautista, citing his superior grappling and cardio. He notes that Vinicius Oliveira has shown vulnerability on the ground, as seen in his fight against Bernardo Sopai. Bautista hasn't used his grappling recently due to tough opponents, but Brady expects him to take Oliveira down and submit him in the third round.

by third round submission
"I'm going to take Mario Batista to win this fight. I'm going to say he wins this fight by third round submission."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Vinicius Oliveira

Cody picks Vinicius Oliveira as an underdog, comparing him to Carlos Prates and Alex Pereira for his pressure and power. He argues Oliveira's constant forward pressure and size will overwhelm Bautista, who lacks one-shot power. Cody believes Oliveira's momentum and damage output will sway judges, especially in the Apex where damage is prioritized.

"I think I'm going to go the opposite end on Venicius Olivera... this guy's about as big as 135 pounds as you're possibly going to get."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Mario Bautista

Connor agrees with Zane, citing Bautista's technical lockdown and ability to handle pressure. He compares Oliveira to Dricus du Plessis in terms of being a 'vibes fighter' who can overwhelm opponents, but believes Bautista's scrambling and experience against elite pressure (like Aldo) give him the edge. He notes Oliveira's tendency to get tired and be hittable.

Same odds discussion as Zane.
"I still have to lean in the direction of Batista as well."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Mario Bautista

Lucrative James picks Mario Bautista to win inside the distance, likely by submission in the championship rounds. He emphasizes Bautista's superior cardio and pace, especially in a five-round fight, and notes that Oliveira has been finished in all his losses. James believes Oliveira will gas out in rounds 4-5, allowing Bautista to take over and secure a finish.

under 4.5 rounds, Mario Bautista wins in round 4 or 5
"My prediction will be Mario Batista to get this one done in the championship rounds inside the distance, probably submission for the first time in Venicious Olivivera's career."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Mario Bautista

The host picks Bautista inside the distance, likely in round 4. He believes Bautista's fight IQ, cardio, and game planning will allow him to contain Oliveira's reckless aggression and take over as Oliveira gasses. He notes Bautista can match Oliveira's violence and has a cardio edge, and expects him to find a finish in the later rounds.

inside the distance
"So, give me Maru Bautista inside the distance."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Mario Bautista

Paul picks Mario Bautista, citing concerns about Oliveira's gas tank in a five-round fight. He notes Bautista's durability and ability to control the cage, similar to his fight against Jose Aldo. Paul expects Bautista to stick to a game plan and potentially win by decision, suggesting live betting on Bautista in later rounds.

over 2.5 rounds, fight goes the distance
"My concerns for Olive Vera here, obviously he's had quite the run... I do have concerns about his gas tank in a five round fight."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2026 (fight day)
Mario Bautista

The host picks Mario Bautista over Vinicius Oliveira. He thinks Oliveira is a size bully with sloppy technique, and Bautista is equally big but technically superior. He notes Bautista's pace and pressure, and his performance against Ricky Simon was more impressive than Oliveira's. He predicts a 4-1 decision win for Bautista.

decision 4 rounds to 1
"I think he'll win a decision, five four rounds to one. A four rounds to one decision win for Mario Bautista."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Mario Bautista

Zane leans toward Bautista because of his proven ability to handle pressure fighters, as seen in his win over Jose Aldo. He notes that Oliveira is dangerous but reckless, often getting hurt in fights, and Bautista's scrambling and timing should allow him to capitalize. However, he acknowledges Oliveira's physicality and durability could make it a war.

Bautista opened at -140, currently -160; Oliveira opened at +120, currently +140. Zane thinks the line is fair and could go to -200.
"I still have to lean in the direction of Batista as well."
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Fight 2 VS Flyweight Completed
Kyoji Horiguchi

Kyoji Horiguchi W

36-5
Decision R3 5:00

Amir Albazi

No odds available.

Kyoji Horiguchi

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Amir Albazi

Age32
Height5' 5"
Reach68.0"
Weight125 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Kyoji Horiguchi

Age35
Height5' 5"
Reach66.0"
Weight125 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Amir Albazi

2.47SLpM
33.0%Str. Acc.
3.88SApM
59.0%Str. Def.
1.18TD Avg
25.0%TD Acc.
62.0%TD Def.
0.4Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Kyoji Horiguchi

3.77SLpM
47.0%Str. Acc.
2.13SApM
63.0%Str. Def.
1.61TD Avg
40.0%TD Acc.
61.0%TD Def.
0.1Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Kyoji Horiguchi

Angelo picks Kyoji Horiguchi, citing his spectacular performance against Tagir Ulanbekov where he dominated in all facets. He notes Horiguchi's footwork, striking, and takedown defense were incredible. He questions whether Horiguchi looked that good because Ulanbekov is overrated or because Horiguchi is that good, but ultimately rides the momentum from that win. He also mentions that despite Horiguchi being older, he may have fewer miles due to fewer surgeries compared to Albazi.

"I'm going to pick Kioji because I saw him in his return to the UFC in a high pressure situation against the freaking Dagistani as a 3 to1 dog or two to1 dog or whatever he was. I …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Kyoji Horiguchi

Big Brady picks Kyoji Horiguchi, impressed by his dominant win over Tagir Ulanbekov. He notes that Amir Albazi has fought only once in three years, looked poor against Amil Marino, and likely lost to Kai Kara-France. He believes Horiguchi's striking and takedown defense will be too much, and he wins by decision.

by decision
"Give me Horiguchi to win this fight and win this fight by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Kyoji Horiguchi

Cody agrees with Paul, emphasizing Albazi's inactivity and poor takedown success. He notes Horiguchi's dynamic striking and improved grappling at American Top Team. Cody believes Horiguchi's volume and damage will be decisive, especially in the Apex, and that Albazi's path to victory via control time is unlikely.

"Ultimately I do end up with Kio Jaguchi, but for a flyweight fight, learn my lesson. I can't put it on the top."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Kyoji Horiguchi

Connor agrees with Zane, calling the matchup 'nonsense' and a waste of Horiguchi. He notes that Albazi is not a contender and has been inactive, while Horiguchi is a star who should be fighting for a title. He picks Horiguchi but warns that if Horiguchi has a flat performance, it will feel like a stupid booking.

Same odds discussion.
"Kyoji Horiguchi has to be picked."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Kyoji Horiguchi

Lucrative James picks Kyoji Horiguchi to win by decision. He highlights Horiguchi's striking advantage, experience, and ability to control range, which he believes will be kryptonite for Albazi's grappling-heavy style. James notes that Albazi has been out of action for a long time and looked poor in his last fight against Brandon Moreno, while Horiguchi is on a strong run.

"I'm picking Koji Horuchi to win this fight. Does he get done inside the distance? It's kind of hard for me to see Amir Albazi getting finished here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Kyoji Horiguchi

The host picks Horiguchi by knockout, calling him far superior in every aspect. He believes Horiguchi's takedown defense and kicking game will cause Albazi trouble, and that Albazi will be forced to strike where Horiguchi has a clear advantage. He notes Horiguchi's suspect chin is an anomaly and expects him to make it look easy.

knockout win; minus 350 is a steal
"So once again, I'm going to go Horuchi. Horuchi by knockout. Very interested to see what those odds are when those drop for that prop, but I think Horaguchi makes this look easy and I think minus 350 …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Kyoji Horiguchi

Paul picks Kyoji Horiguchi, noting Albazi's long layoff, injury history, and low striking output. He highlights Horiguchi's speed, volume, and well-rounded skills, and doubts Albazi's takedown efficiency (32% success rate). Paul expects Horiguchi to outwork Albazi and win a decision.

"I think Kyoji Horiguchi wins, but this is a big moneyline price tag to be taking on a flyweight fight."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2026 (fight day)
Kyoji Horiguchi

The host picks Kyoji Horiguchi over Amir Albazi. He notes Horiguchi is a legend with wins over Manel Kape and Asakura, and has a karate style with power and grappling. He thinks Albazi is overrated due to a robbery win over Kai Kara-France and a poor performance against Moreno. He predicts a 30-27 decision for Horiguchi.

decision 30-27, minus 400 favorite
"I'm going to go with Kyoji Horiguchi getting this one done. Um and I'm going to take him to win this one by decision."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Kyoji Horiguchi

Zane picks Horiguchi because Albazi's slow-paced style gives Horiguchi time to set up entries. He notes that Horiguchi is a better athlete and has more tools, though he acknowledges Horiguchi's recent reliance on control wrestling and his vulnerability to being taken down. He criticizes the matchup as a waste of Horiguchi's time.

Horiguchi opened at -220, currently -365; Albazi opened at +185, currently +290.
"I'm picking Horiguchi because Albazi has a slow paced style as well."
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Fight 3 VS Heavyweight Completed
Rizvan Kuniev

Rizvan Kuniev W

13-3-1
Decision R3 5:00

Jailton Almeida

No odds available.

Rizvan Kuniev

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Jailton Almeida

Age34
Height6' 3"
Reach79.0"
Weight205 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Rizvan Kuniev

Age34
Height6' 4"
Reach76"
Weight240 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Jailton Almeida

2.23SLpM
62.0%Str. Acc.
1.3SApM
43.0%Str. Def.
5.64TD Avg
55.0%TD Acc.
60.0%TD Def.
1.7Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Rizvan Kuniev

3.94SLpM
54.0%Str. Acc.
2.33SApM
48.0%Str. Def.
0.98TD Avg
75.0%TD Acc.
93.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Jailton Almeida

Angelo picks Jailton Almeida confidently, calling him one of the best wrestling heavyweights ever. He notes Almeida's spectacular takedown execution and believes he will dominate Kuniev on the ground. He mentions that Almeida was robbed in his last fight against Alexander Volkov, where he had 7 takedowns and 11 minutes of control time. He advises jumping on the -220 line before it moves.

"Jolton's the pick. Very com minus 220. I would jump on that now before it's minus 400,000."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Rizvan Kuniev

Big Brady picks Rizvan Kuniev as a dog, noting that Kuniev stuffed takedowns well against Curtis Blades, who is one of the best wrestlers in the UFC. He believes Almeida has poor cardio and doesn't handle adversity well, and if Kuniev can stuff early takedowns, he will break and finish Almeida. He predicts a second-round knockout.

by second round knockout
"I'm going Kunov here... Give me Rizon Kunia by second round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Rizvan Kuniev

Cody also picks Kuniev, highlighting Almeida's lack of size and finishing ability. He notes Almeida's control time doesn't score well with judges, and Kuniev's striking and clinch work should earn him rounds. Cody expects a decision win for Kuniev, with the over being a strong play.

over 1.5 rounds
"Kunay meanwhile... he's not going to hold you up against the cage and land shorts the whole time. It's not who he is."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Feb 5, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Rizvan Kuniev

Connor picks Kuniev, citing his solid takedown defense and steady, measured aggression. He believes Kuniev's simple, mistake-free style could be the recipe to handle Almeida, especially if Almeida can't get takedowns. He notes that Almeida's striking is poor and Kuniev could pressure him. However, he admits it's a risky pick given Kuniev's lack of UFC experience.

Same odds discussion.
"I might take Kunev actually."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Jailton Almeida

Lucrative James picks Jailton Almeida to win by submission in round one. He believes Almeida's grappling will be too much for Kuniev, who showed poor takedown defense against Curtis Blades. James notes that Almeida is excellent at taking the back and finishing, while Kuniev is primarily a striker.

win in round 1
"My prediction for this fight is Jolton Almeida to win in round one."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Rizvan Kuniev

The host picks Kuniev by TKO in rounds 2 or 3. He believes Kuniev can stop Almeida's takedowns and work back to his feet quickly, then outbox Almeida and take over as Almeida gasses. He notes Kuniev's striking and wrestling are underrated, and that Almeida struggles when he can't get takedowns.

round 2 or 3 TKO
"So, I'm going to go Kunv here. I think he gets that round two, round three TKO."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Rizvan Kuniev

Paul picks Rizvan Kuniev, citing Almeida's struggles with modern judging that favors damage over control time. He notes Kuniev's better boxing and durability, and Almeida's inability to finish or hold down bigger opponents. Paul expects Kuniev to land the more impactful strikes and edge a decision.

over 1.5 rounds
"I'm not the biggest Rizon guy... but credit where credit's due, last fight he lost a decision that frankly most people scored for him against Curtis Blades."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2026 (fight day)
Jailton Almeida

The host picks Jailton Almeida over Rizvan Kuniev. He thinks Almeida's grappling will be too much, and he will out-scramble Kuniev. He notes Kuniev's conditioning may be an issue later in the fight. He expects Almeida to win, possibly boringly, and hopes he gets cut afterwards.

"I'm going to go with Jailton Almeida, a little bit too athletic."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Jailton Almeida

Zane picks Almeida but acknowledges Kuniev's solid defensive wrestling and measured aggression. He notes that Kuniev's performance against Curtis Blades was impressive, but Blades has been disconnected from his wrestling. He thinks Almeida's relentless takedown attempts could overwhelm Kuniev, but if Kuniev stuffs them, Almeida could be in trouble.

Almeida opened at -550, currently -145; Kuniev opened at +420, currently +125. Zane likes the line, saying Almeida should be a slight favorite.
"I think I have to pick Almeida over three rounds, but Kunev is a dark course."
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

MI

Michał Oleksiejczuk W

Decision R3 5:00
Fight 4 VS Middleweight Completed

Michał Oleksiejczuk

No odds available.

Marc-André Barriault

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Michał Oleksiejczuk

Age31
Height6' 0"
Reach74"
Weight185 lbs.
StanceSouthpaw

Marc-André Barriault

Age36
Height6' 1"
Reach74"
Weight185 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Michał Oleksiejczuk

5.85SLpM
53.0%Str. Acc.
4.5SApM
59.0%Str. Def.
1.02TD Avg
42.0%TD Acc.
52.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Marc-André Barriault

5.65SLpM
47.0%Str. Acc.
5.94SApM
49.0%Str. Def.
0.34TD Avg
28.0%TD Acc.
68.0%TD Def.
0.1Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Angelo picks Michał Oleksiejczuk, citing his fast hands and power, with 8 knockouts in 9 UFC wins. He notes that Barriault's chin seems to be fading and that Oleksiejczuk hits incredibly hard. He acknowledges Barriault's wrestling could be a problem but thinks Oleksiejczuk's speed and power will prevail. He suggests under 2.5 rounds might be solid.

Under 2.5 rounds might be solid
"I'm going to pick McCall here because I think the chin's kind of fading a little bit on Mark Andre. McCall hits hard as hell."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Big Brady picks Michał Oleksiejczuk, citing that Marc-André Barriault's chin has been cracked recently, with three knockout losses in his last four fights. He believes Oleksiejczuk's pressure and power will be too much for Barriault, who has taken a lot of damage. He predicts a first-round finish.

by first round finish
"Mikuel Jose by first round finish."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Cody agrees, highlighting Oleksiejczuk's 8 first-round KOs in 9 UFC wins. He notes Barriault's history of being knocked out in the first round and his inability to change his game. Cody expects Oleksiejczuk to win by KO or decision, but is confident in the victory.

"He's either going to knock out Mark Andre Barry in the first round or he's going to win a split decision. But I think he wins in either case."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Oleksiejczuk is a good athlete who is not shot, while Barriault is past his prime and gets hurt easily. He thinks Oleksiejczuk will put it all on Barriault and likely hurt him early. He mentions that Barriault's only chance is if Oleksiejczuk's cardio fades.

Same odds discussion.
"I'll take a look at Sajak too."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Lucrative James picks Michał Oleksiejczuk to win by KO in round one. He believes Barriault's chin is compromised and that Oleksiejczuk's power and early-round danger will be too much. James notes that Barriault's style of walking forward plays into Oleksiejczuk's hands, and he expects a quick finish.

KO in round 1
"My official prediction on this fight is Michelle Alex to KO Mar Andre Bariel in round one."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

The host picks Oleksiejczuk by knockout, but notes the line is too wide at -350. He believes Oleksiejczuk's power will eventually find Barriault's chin, but warns that Barriault could make it tough if his chin holds up, using clinch work and cardio to wear Oleksiejczuk down. He suggests a live bet on Barriault in later rounds.

plus 285 on Barriault is worth a sprinkle; live betting Barriault in rounds 2-3
"So the prediction is going to be Ole Shuk by knock. I think he eventually lands that big shot and puts Bario away. But in terms of odds, minus 350 is just far too wide to be confident …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Paul picks Michał Oleksiejczuk, expecting a first-round knockout. He notes Barriault's recent durability issues and Oleksiejczuk's power, especially since joining Fighting Nerds. Paul believes Oleksiejczuk's improved patience and game planning will lead to an early finish.

"Mikey O knockout round one for me."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2026 (fight day)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

The host picks Michał Oleksiejczuk over Marc-André Barriault. He notes Oleksiejczuk has real power at middleweight and a resurgence since joining Fighting Nerds. He thinks Barriault has been on the receiving end of too many TKO losses. He predicts a first-round TKO.

first round TKO
"I think Michał Oleksiejczuk's dusting him up in round one by TKO."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Zane picks Oleksiejczuk because he is not physically washed and has a good multi-level striking attack. He notes that Barriault gets hurt too easily and is vulnerable, as seen in his fight against Shara Bullet. He thinks Oleksiejczuk will hurt Barriault quickly, though if it doesn't work out, it could become a hairy fight.

Oleksiejczuk opened at -225, currently -550; Barriault at +400.
"I think I have to take Michael Oksajuk."
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Fight 5 VS Bantamweight Completed
Farid Basharat

Farid Basharat W

15-0
Decision R3 5:00

Jean Matsumoto

No odds available.

Farid Basharat

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Jean Matsumoto

Age26
Height5' 6"
Reach68.0"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Farid Basharat

Age28
Height5' 8"
Reach71.0"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Jean Matsumoto

5.37SLpM
39.0%Str. Acc.
5.41SApM
47.0%Str. Def.
3.0TD Avg
48.0%TD Acc.
56.0%TD Def.
0.5Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Farid Basharat

4.25SLpM
52.0%Str. Acc.
2.89SApM
62.0%Str. Def.
3.34TD Avg
44.0%TD Acc.
54.0%TD Def.
0.3Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Angelo picks Farid Basharat, noting he is the better of the Basharat brothers and a well-rounded wrestler with solid striking. He thinks Farid will work on the outside, touch and go, and get takedowns. He warns that Vegas doesn't care about wrestling, so if Farid doesn't do anything with takedowns, it may not matter. He acknowledges Jean Matsumoto's potential but thinks his lack of defense is a problem.

"I think Fared wins this fight. I think Fared's just going to work on the outside, touch and go a little bit, get the takedowns, and I think he wins this fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Big Brady picks Farid Basharat, calling him the better prospect. He notes that Matsumoto has poor takedown defense (53%) and has been taken down multiple times in past fights. Basharat is a good wrestler and grappler, and Brady expects him to take the fight to the ground and win a decision.

by decision
"I'm going Bosch here. I'm going to take Bosch to win this fight by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Cody also picks Basharat, emphasizing his wrestling advantage and Matsumoto's tendency to be taken down. He notes both fighters are decision-oriented, making the over a strong play. Cody expects Basharat to control the fight with takedowns and win a clear decision.

over 2.5 rounds, Farid Basharat by decision
"I'll be taking Basher up by decision at plus money before that is gone."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Connor agrees with Zane, praising Basharat's ability to solve problems and his technical wrestling. He notes that Matsumoto is a tough, indefatigable bully, but Basharat has the tools to handle him. He thinks Basharat's wrestling and fight IQ will be the difference, though Matsumoto's durability could make it a tough fight.

Same odds discussion.
"I have to pick Bashirat."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Lucrative James picks Farid Basharat to win by decision. He expects Basharat to employ a grappling-heavy game plan, using his elite cardio and takedown volume to control the fight. James notes that Matsumoto has been taken down multiple times in past fights and that Basharat's wrestling will be the key to victory.

"I think Fared extends his winning streak to 15. I think he goes 15 and0 with a decision win."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

The host picks Basharat, believing his overall game and grappling will be the difference. He notes Basharat's reach and height advantage, and his ability to mix in takedowns after striking. He expects Basharat to snipe Matsumoto from distance, then use control time and top damage to win on the scorecards. He acknowledges Matsumoto's striking could make it competitive but thinks Basharat's grappling edge is decisive.

"Official prediction here will be Basharat, just a better overall game. His grappling will be the difference maker, and I think that leads to Basharat winning this fight on the scorecards."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Paul picks Farid Basharat, citing his high ring IQ and ability to stick to game plans. He notes Matsumoto's poor takedown defense and defensive striking. Paul expects Basharat to mix takedowns with striking and win a decision, recommending a prop on Basharat by decision.

Farid Basharat by decision
"Bosat sticks to the game plan like doesn't deter from it which is why he's 14-0."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2026 (fight day)
Farid Basharat

The host picks Farid Basharat over Jean Matsumoto. He notes Matsumoto's recent performances have been lackluster, while Basharat has size and physicality. He thinks Basharat's mix of striking and grappling will be too much, and he can bully Matsumoto against the cage and in scrambles.

"I'm going to go Farid Basharat. I like his mixing up of the striking and the grappling."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Farid Basharat

Zane picks Basharat because of his impressive game planning and technical wrestling. He notes that Basharat has shown he can adapt to any opponent, using pressure boxing against Gutierrez, counter wrestling against Hugo, and wrestling against Lapelis. He thinks Basharat's technical wrestling will be too much for Matsumoto, who relies on scrambling and physicality.

Basharat opened at -400, currently -265; Matsumoto opened at +330, currently +225.
"I got to pick him."
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Dustin Jacoby

Dustin Jacoby W

22-9-1
KO R2 1:42
Fight 6 VS Light Heavyweight Completed

Dustin Jacoby

No odds available.

Julius Walker

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Dustin Jacoby

Age38
Height6' 3"
Reach76.0"
Weight205 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Julius Walker

Age26
Height6' 4"
Reach78.0"
Weight205 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Dustin Jacoby

5.4SLpM
48.0%Str. Acc.
3.92SApM
57.0%Str. Def.
0.32TD Avg
25.0%TD Acc.
62.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Julius Walker

3.73SLpM
53.0%Str. Acc.
4.03SApM
43.0%Str. Def.
4.09TD Avg
38.0%TD Acc.
100.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Angelo picks Dustin Jacoby confidently, calling him too good of a striker and grappler with too much experience. He notes Jacoby's high-level kickboxing, technical striking, and solid takedown defense. He dismisses Julius Walker as sloppy and reliant on raw athleticism, and believes Jacoby will win easily. He hopes the odds are reasonable and will include Jacoby in parlays.

"Dustin Jacobe wins this fight. He's too good of a striker, too good of a grappler, has too much experience."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Big Brady picks Dustin Jacoby, citing his superior striking and elite takedown defense. He notes that Julius Walker was pieced up by Raphael Sakara on the feet, which bodes poorly against a much better striker in Jacoby. He expects Jacoby to knock out Walker, likely in the first round.

by first round knockout
"I think Jacobe knocks him out. I'm going to go into Dustin Jacobe here. I think it's a first round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Cody hesitantly picks Dustin Jacoby, acknowledging the experience gap but noting Jacoby's travel and short notice. He admits his heart wants Walker but struggles to overlook Jacoby's experience. Cody does not bet on Jacoby and expects a competitive fight.

"I haven't bet Dustin Jacobe. Everything in my being tells me to bet Dustin Jacobe."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Jacobi is still dangerous with single shots and that Walker's style of walking in will give Jacobi opportunities. He thinks Jacobi will respond with offense if put in a scary situation, but the fight could be a grind. He calls it a sucky fight between two failed experiments.

Same odds discussion.
"I'm going to pick Jacobi here."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Lucrative James picks Dustin Jacoby to win, citing his massive experience and striking advantage, as well as good takedown defense. However, he is hesitant due to Jacoby's age and potential chin decline. James notes that if Jacoby is an underdog, he would bet him, but he acknowledges Walker's grappling could be a threat.

"I'm gonna go with Dustin Jacobe for the win though, guys. And the reason is because he has too much of a experience advantage and a massive massive striking advantage and very good takedown defense."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

The host picks Jacoby by knockout, but notes reduced confidence due to Jacoby cornering a teammate in Australia a week before the fight. He believes Jacoby's superior striking and defensive grappling will allow him to pick Walker apart and eventually land a big shot. He expects Walker to struggle to get takedowns and be forced to strike, where Jacoby has the advantage.

knockout win
"So, give me Jacobe and Jacobe by knockout."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Julius Walker

Paul picks Julius Walker as a dog, citing Jacoby's short notice, travel from Australia, and age (37). He notes Walker's youth, athleticism, and improvement, especially his wrestling. Paul believes Walker can take Jacoby down and control the fight, though he admits bias due to connections.

"I am actually going to end up taking a dog play on Julius Walker. Not super confident."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2026 (fight day)
Dustin Jacoby

The host picks Dustin Jacoby over Julius Walker. He thinks Jacoby is underrated, citing his win over Vitor Petrino and competitive fight with Azamat Murzakanov. He notes Walker looked sloppy against Rafael Cacara. He predicts a decision win for Jacoby, 29-28 or 30-27.

decision 29-28 or 30-27
"I'm going to go with Jacoby. I think he's on a level another level of experience to Julius Walker."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Zane picks Jacoby because he is a good technical kickboxer who can finish with single shots. He notes that Walker is tough but walks in with his chin up and feet flat, making him vulnerable. However, he warns that Jacoby's hesitancy could make the fight ugly, similar to his fight against Alonzo Menifield.

Jacoby opened at -135, currently -185; Walker opened at +115, currently +160.
"I'm going to pick Dustin Jacobi."
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Fight 7 VS Welterweight Completed
Daniil Donchenko

Daniil Donchenko W

14-2
Decision R3 5:00

Alex Morono

No odds available.

Daniil Donchenko

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Alex Morono

Age35
Height5' 11"
Reach72.0"
Weight170 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Daniil Donchenko

Age24
Height5' 11"
Reach71"
Weight170 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Alex Morono

4.9SLpM
39.0%Str. Acc.
4.88SApM
55.0%Str. Def.
0.32TD Avg
24.0%TD Acc.
47.0%TD Def.
0.3Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Daniil Donchenko

7.15SLpM
60.0%Str. Acc.
2.57SApM
72.0%Str. Def.
0.77TD Avg
33.0%TD Acc.
75.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Daniil Donchenko

Angelo picks Daniil Donchenko despite believing Alex Morono is the better fighter skill-for-skill. He explains that Morono is a 'moron' who will stand and trade instead of using his high-level jiu-jitsu. Donchenko hits hard and Morono is on a three-fight skid. He thinks Morono has the easiest path to victory by grappling but won't do it, so he picks Donchenko.

"Denil Donenko is the pick. I I I He just hits too hard and Alex is going to stand there and try to go slike with him. It's just dumb."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Daniil Donchenko

Big Brady picks Daniil Donchenko, praising his aggressive style and dangerous striking. He questions Alex Morono's commitment to fighting, noting he has other pursuits and has looked poor in recent fights. He expects Donchenko to pressure and finish Morono early, similar to Carlos Liao's win over Morono.

by first round knockout
"I like Donchenko. I like Donchenko by first round knockout. I think he runs through Alex Morono."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Daniil Donchenko

Cody agrees, highlighting Donchenko's power and Morono's chin issues. He notes Donchenko's tendency to gas but expects an early finish. Cody suggests betting Donchenko live after the first round if he doesn't finish, but overall picks Donchenko.

"Donchenko is just highly aggressive and sits down on his punches and you know, maybe he can topple him over."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Daniil Donchenko

Connor agrees with Zane, emphasizing that Morono is a subpar athlete who has lost his speed and durability. He notes that Donchenko is young and technical, and that Morono's wins were over past-prime fighters. Connor concludes that Donchenko will win purely based on age and physical decline.

Morono opened at +385, currently +525; Donchenko opened at -500, currently -725
"So it makes perfect sense to then match him up with Daniil Donchenko right now. And that's definitely a fight I have to think about hard to figure out how it's going to go."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Daniil Donchenko

Lucrative James picks Daniil Donchenko to win by TKO in round two or three. He trusts Donchenko's youth, physicality, and improvement, while noting that Morono is aging and has a questionable chin. James expects Morono to start well but fade as the fight progresses.

TKO in round 2 or 3
"I'm trusting Donenko. I'm trusting in his youth, physicality, power, durability, upside. and I'm trusting in his improvement upside to get the job done. I think be a TKO in round two or round three."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Daniil Donchenko

The host picks Donchenko by first-round knockout, calling it a horrible stylistic matchup for Morono. He highlights Donchenko's Muay Thai, especially his elbows and knees, and his aggressive pressure. He notes Morono's chin is fading and he struggles with cardio, making him vulnerable to an early finish.

round 1 knockout
"So once again, give me Denil Donenko round one knockout."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Daniil Donchenko

Paul picks Daniil Donchenko, citing his power and aggression. He notes Morono's recent losses and declining durability. Paul expects Donchenko to finish early but warns about his cardio if it goes past the first round. He suggests betting Donchenko but not at heavy favorite odds.

"It's got to be Don Shenko favorite status on this side."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2026 (fight day)
Daniil Donchenko

The host picks Daniil Donchenko over Alex Morono. He is very confident, predicting a first-round TKO. He notes Donchenko's aggressive style, elbows, body work, and low kicks. He thinks Morono can take a beating but Donchenko's cutting shots and pressure will overwhelm him early.

first round TKO
"I'm going to go with Danil Donchenko getting a first round TKO over Alex Morono all day long."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Daniil Donchenko

Zane picks Donchenko based on age and decline of Morono. He notes that Morono is slower and more fragile, and that Donchenko is a young, technical, and violent fighter who can execute at multiple levels. Zane believes Donchenko will simply wreck Morono, as Morono has lost to late-career Niko Price and is past his prime.

Morono opened at +385, currently +525; Donchenko opened at -500, currently -725
"So Donchenko is just going to wreck him. Yeah. That's it. It's just going to go out there and wreck him."
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Nikolay Veretennikov

Nikolay Veretennikov W

14-7
KO R1 1:42
Fight 8 VS Welterweight Completed

Nikolay Veretennikov

No odds available.

Niko Price

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Nikolay Veretennikov

Age36
Height6' 1"
Reach74.0"
Weight170 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Niko Price

Age36
Height6' 0"
Reach76.0"
Weight170 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Nikolay Veretennikov

2.69SLpM
56.0%Str. Acc.
3.3SApM
45.0%Str. Def.
0.42TD Avg
16.0%TD Acc.
62.0%TD Def.
0.4Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Niko Price

5.11SLpM
43.0%Str. Acc.
5.57SApM
48.0%Str. Def.
1.06TD Avg
30.0%TD Acc.
50.0%TD Def.
0.6Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Nikolay Veretennikov

Angelo picks Nikolay Veretennikov, reasoning that he is a powerful striker who hits hard, while his opponent Jose Henrique (Niko Price) is very hittable. He acknowledges that Veretennikov has trouble with takedowns but thinks if he doesn't worry about that and just moves forward, he can win or finish the fight. He calls it a low-level fight and uses simple math: good striker vs guy who gets hit.

"I'm going to pick Nikolai here. He is the slight underdog. Neither one of these guys are very good, but let's just simple math it."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Niko Price

Cody leans towards Niko Price as a dog, noting Veretennikov's unimpressive record and Price's toughness. He admits Price is a shell of his former self but sees a path via takedowns or durability. Cody is not confident and will wait for weigh-ins.

"I'm tempted to take a dog shot on Nico Price. I don't know if I'm going to have the balls to actually click that button."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Nikolay Veretennikov

Connor agrees with Zane, calling the fight terrible but picking Veretennikov. He notes that Price is a glass cannon who no longer has the speed or willingness to pull the trigger, and that Veretennikov should have this in the bag even if he doesn't press. Connor emphasizes that Price will walk onto shots.

Veretennikov opened at -325, currently -275; Price opened at +275, currently +235
"I'm picking Veretennikov, but God damn it."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Nikolay Veretennikov

Paul picks Nikolay Veretennikov, citing Price's decline in durability and cardio. He notes Veretennikov's power and body work, and Price's poor takedown defense. Paul expects Veretennikov to win by knockout or decision, though the price is high.

"I think Nikolai Rednikov gets him out of there."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2026 (fight day)
Nikolay Veretennikov

The host picks Nikolay Veretennikov over Niko Price. He notes Veretennikov took Michael Morales to a split decision, though he looked iffy against Prado. He thinks Price has lost too many times, moves slow, and despite some power and athleticism, Veretennikov should win a competitive 29-28 decision.

29-28 competitive decision
"I'm going to go with Nikolay Veretennikov getting this one done by 29-28 competitive decision."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Nikolay Veretennikov

Zane picks Veretennikov despite calling the fight awful. He argues that Niko Price is washed up, slower, and more hittable, and that Veretennikov should win by using his reach and straight punches. Zane notes that Price can't do anything without running into a straight punch, and Veretennikov could also take him down.

Veretennikov opened at -325, currently -275; Price opened at +275, currently +235
"You gotta pick Veretennikov. You have to pick Veretennikov. Niko price can't do anything without running into a straight punch."
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Fight 9 VS Women's Strawweight Completed
Ketlen Souza

Ketlen Souza W

16-6
Decision R3 5:00

Bruna Brasil

No odds available.

Ketlen Souza

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Bruna Brasil

Age32
Height5' 6"
Reach65.0"
Weight125 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Ketlen Souza

Age31
Height5' 3"
Reach63.0"
Weight115 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Bruna Brasil

2.56SLpM
57.0%Str. Acc.
3.75SApM
52.0%Str. Def.
1.23TD Avg
52.0%TD Acc.
57.0%TD Def.
0.1Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Ketlen Souza

4.01SLpM
56.0%Str. Acc.
3.86SApM
52.0%Str. Def.
0.46TD Avg
13.0%TD Acc.
53.0%TD Def.
0.2Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Bruna Brasil

Angelo picks Bruna Brasil but is hesitant. He thinks she is the better fighter skill-for-skill but worries she has lost her aggression after training with Fighting Nerds. He notes she has become a distance pitter-patter striker instead of a creative power striker. He expects her to dance around and avoid Ketlen Souza's pressure, but if she loses a decision, he wouldn't be surprised. He advises not to bet on this fight.

Over 2.5 rounds should be good; don't bet on it
"I'm going to pick her to win because I think she skill for skill is the better fighter. And as long as she shows up and does what she's supposed to do, she should win this fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Ketlen Souza

Big Brady picks Ketlen Souza, citing her aggression, power, and pressure. He notes that Bruna Brasil is low volume and doesn't like getting hit, having been knocked out multiple times. He expects Souza to land big shots and potentially get a knockout, specifically predicting a second-round finish.

by second round knockout
"I'm going to take Sza to win this fight and Sza to win this fight by second round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ketlen Souza

Cody also picks Souza, highlighting her strength and ability to get up from takedowns. He notes Brasil's pattern of alternating wins and losses, and expects Souza to outwork her. Cody is confident despite the line moving to favorite.

"Katlin Souza, let's roll."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Feb 6, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Ketlen Souza

Connor also picks Souza, noting that she is the more pressing aggressive fighter and that Brazil's wins have been over no-hopers. He mentions that Souza made a close competitive fight out of Angela Hill, who is a better technician than Brazil. However, he acknowledges the fight could be a narrow decision.

Brazil opened at +130, dropped to -140, back to +130; Souza opened at -150, jumped to +120, back to -150
"I got to go with Kettlin Sosa as the more likely pressing aggressive fighter, but it could be a, you know, she plods after Brazil. Brazil runs away from her."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Ketlen Souza

Lucrative James leans toward Ketlen Souza to win by decision. He believes Souza is more durable and has more power, and notes that Brasil has been knocked out before. James also thinks Souza has faced higher-level competition and may have a slight edge in takedowns.

"I'm going to call Kelyn Souza to win this one via decision in a close contest."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Feb 3, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Ketlen Souza

The host picks Souza with very low confidence, calling both women wild cards. He expects Souza to corral Brasil against the cage, mix in clinch work and takedowns, and grind out a decision. He notes Brasil can be passive and allow opponents to dictate pace, which Souza can exploit.

"I'm going to go Sosa here. Very low confidence. I think she grinds this fight out and I think she wins it on the scorecards."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ketlen Souza

Paul picks Ketlen Souza, citing her power and experience against tougher competition. He notes Brasil's poor striking defense and lack of power. Paul expects Souza to land the bigger shots and win a close decision, though he admits it's a 50-50 fight.

"I'm going to take Catelyn Soua which I believe she's still plus money."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2026 (fight day)
Bruna Brasil

The host picks Bruna Brasil over Ketlen Souza, going against his rule of women's MMA. He notes Brasil has good range, nasty knees, and clinch work. He thinks unless Souza can get takedowns, Brasil will outstrike her at range and beat her up in the clinch. He predicts a 30-27 decision.

decision 30-27
"I'm going to go with Bruna Brasil uh taking out Ketlen Souza by decision, 30-27."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Feb 6, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Ketlen Souza

Zane picks Souza hesitantly, trusting her to keep attacking and land with authority. He notes that Brazil tends to fly backwards in a straight line when pressed and get hit, while Souza is more likely to press forward. However, he acknowledges that Souza might take time off and get poked, leading to a narrow decision.

Brazil opened at +130, dropped to -140, back to +130; Souza opened at -150, jumped to +120, back to -150
"I think I'm going to go with Sosa because I trust her to keep attacking. I trust her to land with authority when she does attack."
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Javid Basharat

Javid Basharat W

15-2
Decision R3 5:00
Fight 10 VS Catchweight (141 lb) Completed

Javid Basharat

No odds available.

Gianni Vazquez

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Javid Basharat

Age30
Height5' 9"
Reach69.0"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Gianni Vazquez

Age31
Height5' 7"
Reach71"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Javid Basharat

5.18SLpM
54.0%Str. Acc.
2.75SApM
63.0%Str. Def.
1.83TD Avg
40.0%TD Acc.
83.0%TD Def.
0.1Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Gianni Vazquez

1.6SLpM
22.0%Str. Acc.
3.93SApM
39.0%Str. Def.
0.0TD Avg
0.0%TD Acc.
62.0%TD Def.
2.0Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Javid Basharat

Angelo picks Javid Basharat, calling him the overall better fighter with offensive and defensive wrestling and good striking. He notes that Javid has been struggling lately with a loss and a robbery, but he breaks it down fresh. He thinks Javid can get the fight to the ground if needed and stay safe. He is not confident enough to bet on him but suggests over 2.5 rounds as a solid play.

Over 2.5 rounds would probably be a pretty solid play
"I'm going to pick Jvid here. I think he gets it done. I don't think I'm confident enough to bet on him, but I think an over two and a half here would probably be a pretty solid …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Javid Basharat

Big Brady picks Javid Basharat despite considering him overrated, because he thinks opponent Sad Magomedov is even more overrated with poor cardio and takedown defense. He believes Basharat can mix in takedowns to tire Magomedov and win a decision on volume striking.

by decision
"I got to go Javi here... I think Javeed wins this fight and wins it by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Javid Basharat

Cody agrees, highlighting Vazquez's low volume and tendency to tire. He notes Basharat's wrestling and striking should be enough to win rounds. Cody expects a decision win for Basharat, possibly with a live bet opportunity.

"Javeed may have a contentious first round and then start to put some takedowns together in the second and the third and sees the day that way."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Javid Basharat

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Basharat. He notes that Nurmagomedov is a tricky striker but lacks the wrestling to dominate Basharat, and that Basharat's pressure and boxing will be too much. Connor also mentions that Nurmagomedov's guillotine submissions often come from losing positions.

Nurmagomedov opened at +170, currently +110; Basharat opened at -200, currently -130
"I think Basharat is just more reliable and has a more winning style."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Javid Basharat

Lucrative James picks Javid Basharat to win by decision. He expects Basharat to use his wrestling and cardio to take over in rounds two and three, as Saif Magomedov tends to gas out. James notes that Basharat has trained with elite fighters and has better fight IQ and grappling.

"I think Jaff Jaffy Bashright's got this one."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Feb 3, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Javid Basharat

The host picks Basharat, noting he is the more skilled fighter but has questions about his mentality after a knockout loss. He believes Basharat's submission defense will hold up against Nurmagomedov's early threats, and that Basharat can mix martial arts well to win on the scorecards. He likes the line movement from -160 to -115, making it a better value.

"Skill for skill I think Bach is a better fighter here. The difference is obviously questioning what his mentality is going to be coming into this fight."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Javid Basharat

Paul picks Javid Basharat, noting his wrestling advantage and the discount after his KO loss. He expects Basharat to use takedowns and control to win a decision. Paul believes Basharat's durability is fine and that he can outwork Vazquez.

"I think the matchup works for Javid here. And I feel like we're kind of getting a discount on him."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2026 (fight day)
Javid Basharat

The host picks Javid Basharat over Gianni Vazquez (referred to as Johnny Vasquez). He notes Vazquez has no UFC wins and missed weight, suggesting short notice. Basharat has won most of his UFC fights except a KO loss to Ricky Simon. He predicts a decision win for Basharat.

decision
"I'm going to go with Javid Basharat getting this one done by decision."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Javid Basharat

Zane picks Basharat, noting that he is more reliable and has a more winning style. He argues that Basharat's pressure will break Nurmagomedov, who tends to crumble when attacked repeatedly. Zane also notes that Nurmagomedov is unlikely to finish Basharat with strikes and that Basharat is a more nuanced boxer.

Nurmagomedov opened at +170, currently +110; Basharat opened at -200, currently -130
"I got to pick Basharat. Same. Yeah. I think Basharat is just more reliable and has a more winning style."
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Wang Cong

Wang Cong W

9-1
Decision R3 5:00
Fight 11 VS Catchweight (127.5 lb) Completed

Wang Cong

No odds available.

Eduarda Moura

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Wang Cong

Age34
Height5' 6"
Reach66.0"
Weight125 lbs.
StanceSouthpaw

Eduarda Moura

Age32
Height5' 6"
Reach66.0"
Weight125 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Wang Cong

6.22SLpM
56.0%Str. Acc.
2.19SApM
63.0%Str. Def.
0.78TD Avg
75.0%TD Acc.
84.0%TD Def.
0.8Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Eduarda Moura

2.57SLpM
37.0%Str. Acc.
2.5SApM
58.0%Str. Def.
3.58TD Avg
34.0%TD Acc.
80.0%TD Def.
0.4Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Wang Cong

Angelo picks Wang Cong confidently, citing her excellent striking, power, speed, and accuracy. He notes her takedown defense has held up well. He thinks Eduarda Moura's striking is nowhere near good enough to hang, and if Wang defends takedowns, she will win easily. He expects Moura to shoot desperate takedowns from far away. He also mentions that Vegas hates wrestlers, so even if Moura gets takedowns, it may not matter.

"Kong Wang's going to be the pick. I think she's the better fighter. Vegas hates wrestlers anyway, so if Eduardo gets a takedown, probably isn't going to matter."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Wang Cong

Big Brady picks Wang Cong, praising her as one of the best strikers in the division with excellent takedown defense. He notes that Moura may have early grappling success but will slow down, and Cong will piece her up over 15 minutes. He expects a decision win for Cong.

by decision
"I'm gonna go Kong Wong here. I think she pieces her up and wins a decision here."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Wang Cong

Cody agrees, highlighting Wang's volume and Moura's struggles at 125. He notes Moura's weight-cutting issues and inability to bully larger opponents. Cody expects Wang to dominate on the feet and win comfortably.

"Wang Kong's a little bit older... she's big for the division. She's physically strong."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Wang Cong

Connor agrees, noting that Wang has good instincts to counter wrestle and that Moura's game is meat-and-potatoes striking. He points out that Moura threw a lot against Lauren Murphy but landed very little, and that Wang will not be scared off. Connor expects Wang to win comfortably.

Wang opened at -300, currently -350; Moura opened at +250, currently +285
"I think that Wong can stuff enough of the grappling game to keep this fight in a contained distance striking where Mora is not comfortable."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Wang Cong

Lucrative James picks Wang Cong to win by TKO in round three. He believes Wang's striking is far superior and that she will defend takedowns, while Moura tends to gas out. James notes Wang's chin might be a concern, but he trusts her takedown defense and striking volume to secure a late finish.

TKO in round 3
"My prediction is a knockout for Kong Wang in round three."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Wang Cong

The host picks Wang Cong by TKO in round three. He believes Wang's superior striking and takedown defense will be too much for Moura, who struggles to get takedowns and has poor cardio. He expects Wang to stick and move, punishing Moura's entries, and eventually put together a barrage in the third round for a finish.

round 3 TKO
"So, give me Kong Wang by round three, TKO."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Wang Cong

Paul picks Wang Cong, citing her elite striking and physical strength. He notes Moura's lack of standout skills and poor striking defense. Paul expects Wang to outwork Moura and win a decision or late stoppage.

"Wang Kong's infinitely better striker. And on top of that, she's pretty good in the clinch."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2026 (fight day)
Wang Cong

The host picks Wang Cong over Eduarda Moura. He notes Wang Cong is fundamentally sound on feet and ground, with good takedown defense. He thinks Moura has had close fights and stinkers, and if someone is sharper and can match her strength, they will do well. He expects Wang Cong to win.

"I'm going to go with Wang Cong over Eduarda Moura in my opinion."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Wang Cong

Zane picks Wang Cong, believing she can stuff enough of Moura's grappling to keep the fight at distance where Moura is uncomfortable. He notes that Moura's high-volume but low-accuracy striking will be dangerous against Wang, who is fast and accurate. Zane expects a tepid fight where Wang works her from long range.

Wang opened at -300, currently -350; Moura opened at +250, currently +285
"If I have to pick Kong Wong in that fight. Yeah. I think that Wong can stuff enough of the grappling game to keep this fight in a contained distance striking where Mora is not comfortable."
Fight Notes

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Fight 12 VS Catchweight (141 lb) Completed
Jakub Wiklacz

Jakub Wiklacz W

18-3-2
Submission R3 4:59

Muin Gafurov

No odds available.

Jakub Wiklacz

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Muin Gafurov

Age30
Height5' 7"
Reach68.0"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Jakub Wiklacz

Age29
Height5' 10"
Reach72"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Muin Gafurov

3.36SLpM
47.0%Str. Acc.
2.51SApM
55.0%Str. Def.
1.57TD Avg
28.0%TD Acc.
70.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Jakub Wiklacz

3.4SLpM
44.0%Str. Acc.
3.87SApM
46.0%Str. Def.
0.0TD Avg
0.0%TD Acc.
41.0%TD Def.
2.5Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Muin Gafurov

Angelo picks Muin Gafurov, expressing confusion that 81% of Tapology voters picked Jakub Wikłacz. He describes Gafurov as an aggressive Tajik wrestler with good skills, power, and cardio. He notes Wikłacz is a nasty grappler but reckless, and in his last fight against Patchy Mix, he had no offensive wrestling success and poor wrestling defense. He thinks Gafurov hits hard and can wrestle, making this a straightforward win for him.

"I think Muin wins this fight. I don't know what I'm missing here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Muin Gafurov

Big Brady picks Muin Gafurov, noting that Gafurov is a well-rounded fighter who is a much better striker than Wikłacz. He believes Wikłacz needs to get the fight to the ground to win, but that will be difficult against Gafurov's wrestling and grappling. He expects Gafurov to win by decision.

by decision
"I like Gaffrov... I'm still going Gaffrov. I'm going to go Gaffrov to win this fight by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Jakub Wiklacz

Cody also picks Wikłacz, highlighting his experience in five-round fights and ability to scramble. He notes Gafurov's one-dimensional wrestling and poor cardio. Cody expects Wikłacz to win a decision, possibly a split.

"Give me the Polish power. Get the job done."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Feb 6, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Jakub Wiklacz

Connor also picks Wiklacz, noting that Gafurov doesn't really make full use of his athletic ability to take command of a fight. He points out that Wiklacz is a solid, scrappy fighter who won't drift through the fight, unlike some of Gafurov's previous opponents. Connor expects a close fight but favors Wiklacz.

Wiklacz opened at +130, dropped to -115, back to +120; Gafurov opened at -150, currently -140
"I'll take Vic Watch as well. I think Gaffer does not really have the ability to, he doesn't really make full use of his athletic ability to take command of any fight."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Muin Gafurov

Lucrative James leans toward Muin Gafurov to win, citing his power and wrestling advantage. However, he is not confident because Gafurov can make poor decisions, like diving into submissions. James notes that Wikłacz is dangerous with submissions, so this is a close fight.

"I'm going to lean with Gaffarov just because on paper, he can win this fight if he comes in with good fight IQ and good game plan."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Jakub Wiklacz

The host picks Wikłacz, liking the plus money. He believes Wikłacz's height and reach advantage will allow him to stick Gafurov from distance, and that Gafurov's desperation takedowns will play into Wikłacz's submission game, particularly his guillotine. He notes Wikłacz is a solid submission specialist with a good kicking game and active submission threats, and that Gafurov has shown vulnerabilities to submissions in the past.

submission win
"I got to go with the poll here. I like that we're getting plus money on him right off the bat here. So, I'm going to go Yakov Vicwatch and I think he gets the submission win over …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Jakub Wiklacz

Paul picks Jakub Wikłacz, citing his superior volume and cardio. He notes Gafurov's low output and tendency to tire. Paul expects Wikłacz to take over in later rounds and win a decision, especially with judges favoring damage.

"I think I'm going to take Yakob White Claus again. He's plus money and he just cashes plus money."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2026 (fight day)
Jakub Wiklacz

The host picks Jakub Wikłacz (referred to as Youssef Wehbe, likely a mistake) over Muin Gafurov. He thinks Wikłacz is a decent prospect with submission ability and can get the better of grappling positions. He predicts a submission finish in the first two rounds.

submission in first two rounds
"I'm going to say that Youssef Wehbe gets a submission in the first two rounds over Muin Gafurov."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Feb 6, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Jakub Wiklacz

Zane leans toward Wiklacz, noting that he is a big bantamweight who can make Gafurov's control difficult and will scrap the whole time. He believes Wiklacz is more likely to be scrapping consistently, while Gafurov doesn't make full use of his athletic ability. Zane expects a close fight.

Wiklacz opened at +130, dropped to -115, back to +120; Gafurov opened at -150, currently -140
"I think I'm going to take Vic Wash. Yeah. I'm leading that way myself that he can just with his size as a pretty big Bantam weight. Yep. He can make a lot of the control stuff that …"
Fight Notes

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Klaudia Syguła

Klaudia Syguła W

8-2
Decision R3 5:00
Fight 13 VS Women's Bantamweight Completed

Klaudia Syguła

No odds available.

Priscila Cachoeira

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Klaudia Syguła

Age27
Height5' 8"
Reach69"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Priscila Cachoeira

Age37
Height5' 7"
Reach65.0"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Klaudia Syguła

7.27SLpM
48.0%Str. Acc.
5.5SApM
56.0%Str. Def.
0.41TD Avg
12.0%TD Acc.
40.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Priscila Cachoeira

4.43SLpM
44.0%Str. Acc.
7.6SApM
45.0%Str. Def.
0.25TD Avg
40.0%TD Acc.
69.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Klaudia Syguła

Angelo picks Klaudia Syguła, calling her the better fighter skill-wise. He notes Priscila Cachoeira is powerful but has a negative striking differential and fades. He thinks Syguła can avoid early chaos and take over as Cachoeira fades. He disagrees with the odds, saying this is a 50/50 fight and should be -110. He warns that if Syguła tries to trade overhands early, it could be bad.

"I'm going to pick Sigula here. I don't agree with these odds. To me, this is minus 110 minus 110. Like, I get minus 135 isn't crazy, but this is as 50/50 as you're going to get on …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

Big Brady picks Priscila Cachoeira because he believes the fight will be a striking match, where Cachoeira's brawling style and power give her an edge. He notes Syguła's ground game is bad and Cachoeira won't have to worry about takedowns. He expects Cachoeira to win by knockout, as she is a dog who comes forward and hits harder.

by knockout
"I'm going to go Priscilla. I think she wins this fight probably by knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Klaudia Syguła

Cody agrees, highlighting Cachoeira's lack of defense and durability. He notes Syguła's ability to land volume and avoid damage. Cody expects Syguła to win by decision or late stoppage.

"I will take Sigula, but you know, it's women's MMA."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Feb 6, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Klaudia Syguła

Connor picks Syguła, but with low confidence. He notes that Syguła can throw long straight strikes but gets messy under pressure, and that Cachoeira might be at the end of the line. He says 'who cares' and picks Syguła because 'whatever'.

Cachoeira opened at +250, currently +130; Syguła opened at -300, currently -150
"I guess I'll take Segula. Yeah. We'll just say that maybe Cashaware has reached the end of the line. She's 37 years old."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Klaudia Syguła

Lucrative James picks Klaudia Syguła to win. He believes Syguła is younger and improving, while Cachoeira is aging and has poor jiu-jitsu. James expects Syguła to take Cachoeira down and expose her grappling weaknesses, possibly securing a submission or dominant decision.

"My pick will be Claudia Sigula here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Feb 3, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Klaudia Syguła

The host picks Syguła but with very low confidence, noting she is not trustworthy at minus 150. He expects Syguła to use footwork and pivoting to avoid Cachoeira's power, then look for takedowns in later rounds. He believes Syguła's active submission game could lead to a finish, but he is more confident in the fight ending inside the distance rather than a specific winner.

under 2.5 rounds
"I'm going to go with the pole. I think Shigula gets the submission, but very low confidence. I would rather take the uh violent spot instead."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Klaudia Syguła

Paul picks Klaudia Syguła, citing Cachoeira's declining durability and poor defense. He notes Syguła's youth and volume, and expects her to outwork Cachoeira. Paul admits he hopes Cachoeira wins but bets against her.

"I think I think we're at the end of the line for catch a beating. And the pick for me is Claudia Sigula."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2026 (fight day)
Priscila Cachoeira

The host picks Priscila Cachoeira over Klaudia Syguła (referred to as Claudia Gadelha, likely a mistake). He notes Cachoeira is more masculine with more knockout power, while Syguła is technical but has losses. He acknowledges Cachoeira has lost many fights but believes she will easily win.

"I'm going to go with Priscilla Cachoeira getting this one done a lot more masculine a lot more experience against good opponents."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Feb 6, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

Zane picks Cachoeira, reasoning that Syguła gets messy under pressure and will likely brawl, which favors Cachoeira. He notes that Cachoeira is 37 and has been finished in three of her last four, but still thinks she can win a brawl. Zane is not confident.

Cachoeira opened at +250, currently +130; Syguła opened at -300, currently -150
"I think I'm going to pick Cashaware though."
Fight Notes

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