Andreas Gustafsson
Career Averages
Win Methods (1)
Loss Methods (1)
Fight History
Expert Picks (2)
Angelo expects Daniil Donchenko to absolutely dominate and get a finish, possibly in the first or second round. He describes Donchenko as a phenomenal striker with insane power and great movement, and is not worried about him being taken down.
This fight was not discussed in the transcript. No pick was made.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Gustafsson | 0 | 5 of 19 | 26% | 5 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Rinat Fakhretdinov | 0 | 23 of 42 | 54% | 23 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andreas Gustafsson | 0 | 5 of 19 | 26% | 5 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Rinat Fakhretdinov | 0 | 23 of 42 | 54% | 23 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Gustafsson | 5 of 19 | 26% | 4 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Rinat Fakhretdinov | 23 of 42 | 54% | 19 of 38 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 29 | 8 of 11 | 0 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andreas Gustafsson | 5 of 19 | 26% | 4 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Rinat Fakhretdinov | 23 of 42 | 54% | 19 of 38 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 29 | 8 of 11 | 0 of 2 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Gustafsson (-115); Fakhretdinov (+100)
Round 1
Moving right along, a pair of welterweights who have yet to taste defeat in the cage—recent controversial decision notwithstanding—will throw down and try to hand the other their first loss in the Octagon. Gustafsson (12-2, 1-0 UFC) is 1-for-1 in the promotion thus far, while Russia’s Fakhretdinov (23-1-1, 5-0-1 UFC) has much more experience although most thought Carlos Leal beat him in his last time out. What happened before matters not, as these two are only focused on the man in front of them, plus referee Patricio Carlos. The athletes touch ‘em up before throwing down.
Gustafsson immediately goes on the offensive, swinging for the fences right out of the gate. Gustafsson chases Fakhretdinov around, scoring with every few strikes as the Russian is able to protect himself from the worst of the big swings. Fakhretdinov counters and tags Gustafsson with a one-two, and this completely changes the complexion of the berserker Gustafsson. It may not appear to be the most concussive blow, but it catches “Bane” just right and sends him squirrely.
Backing off to the cage, Gustafsson shells up, but Fakhretdinov goes after him and assaults him with an elbow, the end of a high kick and a veritable kitchen sink of offense. Gustafsson leans against the fencing, and Fakhretdinov clubs him with an onslaught of punches and arcing hammerfists. When the Swede hits the deck, Carlos has seen enough and waves the fight off.
Controversy? What past controversy? Fakhretdinov takes the judges out of the equation by drumming out Gustafsson in under a minute, handing “Bane” his first finish defeat while extending his impressive unbeaten streak one more.
The Official Result
Rinat Fakhretdinov def. Andreas Gustafsson R1 0:54 via TKO (Punches)
Expert Picks (6)
Angelo picks Andreas Gustafsson but with low confidence, noting the line has flipped from Rinat being favorite to underdog. He acknowledges Rinat's wrestling credentials but points out his poor takedown efficiency (2 for 19 in last fight) and chinny nature. He thinks Gustafsson's relentless pressure and grinding style could cause problems, especially if he defends takedowns. However, he admits Rinat is more experienced and accomplished, and calls this a huge test for Gustafsson. He placed a small bet at +125.
Big Brady picks Andreas Gustafsson, praising his unique clinch game and unlimited cardio. He acknowledges Gustafsson's striking is poor at range but believes he will impose his clinch, wearing on Fakhretdinov with elbows and knees. He sees a potential late finish but predicts a decision win.
Connor picks Gustafsson, emphasizing his relentless pressure and mental toughness. He notes that Fakhretdinov has a history of gassing and that Gustafsson's style of making the fight a punishment will be effective. Connor also points out that Gustafsson's losses have been close decisions and that he has the right mentality to break Fakhretdinov.
The host acknowledges the hype around Gustafsson after his last performance but warns not to overlook Fakhretdinov's wrestling and smothering approach. He leans with Gustafsson winning on the scorecards by landing more damage and getting more meaningful control.
The Guru picks Andreas Gustafsson because he believes Rinat Fakhretdinov has been fortunate in close decisions and that his opponents often fall short. He argues that Gustafsson's constant pressure and volume will overwhelm Fakhretdinov, who won't be able to impose his wrestling. He predicts a 29-28 decision for Gustafsson, winning the last two rounds.
Zane picks Gustafsson, citing his relentless pressure and fearlessness. He believes Gustafsson's style will wear down Fakhretdinov, who tends to gas in fights. Zane notes that Fakhretdinov's wrestling is good but Gustafsson's ability to keep coming and make the fight a punishment for his opponent will be key. He also mentions that Gustafsson has only lost close decisions to tough opponents.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khaos Williams | 0 | 39 of 74 | 52% | 95 of 134 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:17 |
| Andreas Gustafsson | 0 | 98 of 128 | 76% | 151 of 185 | 8 of 14 | 57% | 0 | 0 | 9:34 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khaos Williams | 0 | 21 of 40 | 52% | 49 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:02 |
| Andreas Gustafsson | 0 | 30 of 44 | 68% | 36 of 50 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:49 | |
| 2 | Khaos Williams | 0 | 13 of 28 | 46% | 32 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Andreas Gustafsson | 0 | 35 of 46 | 76% | 44 of 56 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 3:43 | |
| 3 | Khaos Williams | 0 | 5 of 6 | 83% | 14 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Andreas Gustafsson | 0 | 33 of 38 | 86% | 71 of 79 | 5 of 7 | 71% | 0 | 0 | 4:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khaos Williams | 39 of 74 | 52% | 29 of 63 | 10 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 26 of 57 | 13 of 17 | 0 of 0 |
| Andreas Gustafsson | 98 of 128 | 76% | 67 of 95 | 21 of 23 | 10 of 10 | 27 of 50 | 52 of 57 | 19 of 21 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khaos Williams | 21 of 40 | 52% | 16 of 34 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 28 | 9 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
| Andreas Gustafsson | 30 of 44 | 68% | 15 of 27 | 14 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 22 | 19 of 22 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Khaos Williams | 13 of 28 | 46% | 10 of 25 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 24 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Andreas Gustafsson | 35 of 46 | 76% | 25 of 36 | 5 of 5 | 5 of 5 | 13 of 23 | 20 of 21 | 2 of 2 | |
| 3 | Khaos Williams | 5 of 6 | 83% | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Andreas Gustafsson | 33 of 38 | 86% | 27 of 32 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 5 | 13 of 14 | 17 of 19 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Williams (-192), Gustafsson (+160)
Round 1
Our first welterweight fight of the night is overseen by Mike Beltran. Gustafsson comes out charging and clinches with Williams. Gustafsson lands a knee and is looking to use his Greco-Roman wrestling to take the fight to the ground. Williams defends well, as both men land knees in the clinch. Gustafsson is doing more damage, but it's largely a stalemate as the crowd boos. Beltran breaks the fighters up. Gustafsson wastes no time, charging forward and landing an uppercut. A big right hand lands for Gustafsson, who follows it up with a right hook. It's reckless offense, but it's undeniably working for him. Gustafsson clinches again but can't keep Williams there. A left hook lands for Gustafsson, who is throwing wild hooks. Most are missing, but Williams hasn't been able to land much in response. They clinch with Williams staying on his feet but eating more knees. This is an exhausting pace by Gustafsson. Williams landing some hard knees of his own. The round ends with Gustafsson slipping a knee and an elbow in.
Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Gustafsson
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gustafsson
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Gustafsson
Round 2
Williams looks tired to start the second frame. Gustafsson charges forward and gets back into the clinch where the last round left off. Knees to the leg of Williams lands for Gustafsson. Williams is able to exit. A nice right straight lands for Williams, but Gustafsson is closing space. A jab for Gustafsson hurts Williams, and the two men wind up back in the clinch again. An uppercut for Gustafsson lands, and then a huge left hook. Williams is trying to pick his shots, but simply can't keep up with this pace. Gustafsson lands a knee and then trips Williams to the ground. Gustafsson allows Williams up and then puts him back on the ground. Williams is back to his feet and then eats a knee to the face. Gustafsson drags his opponent to the ground. This is a one-sided beatdown. Gustafsson cuts Williams, who gets to his feet only to eat more knees. Big elbows from Gustafsson. Williams is back to his feet but just eating knees. Gustafsson slips in an uppercut and then an elbow. Brutal offense from Gustafsson, who ends the round in the clinch with another elbow.
Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Gustafsson
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gustafsson
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Gustafsson
Round 3
Gustafsson begins the round as expected, charging forward and getting Williams into the clinch. Williams isn't able to escape and is getting kneed and shoulder-checked. They are fighting as if they're in a phone booth. Uppercuts and elbows are being landed by Gustafsson. Williams is occasionally throwing back, but doesn't have the power to keep Gustafsson honest at this point. Gustafsson takes the back of Williams while standing. Gustafsson trips Williams to the floor and unloads with elbows while in side control. Williams is able to scramble to his feet, but is eating knee after knee. Gustafsson takes him down again. Williams has nothing less. Gustafsson has his back and is landing punch after punch until the fight ends. A total thrashing.
Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Gustafsson (30-27 Gustafsson)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-8 Gustafsson (30-26 Gustafsson)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-8 Gustafsson (30-26 Gustafsson)
The Official Result
Andreas Gustafsson def. Kalinn Williams via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-26, 30-26); R3, 5:00.
Expert Picks (6)
Angelo picks Khaos Williams but is hesitant due to the unusual circumstances. He notes Andreas Gustafsson is a live underdog with good grappling and power, but the double weight cut (cutting weight for a canceled fight then cutting again) could hurt his performance. He thinks if Andreas is fine, he could win by pressure. He doesn't love the pick.
Big Brady picks Khaos Williams, citing his durability and fight IQ compared to Gustafsson's previous opponent. He notes Gustafsson is hittable, slow, and only dangerous in the clinch, while Williams is much more durable and has never been knocked out. He expects Williams to knock Gustafsson out in the second round when the fight is at range.
Connor also picks Williams, noting Gustafsson's lack of defense and tendency to drift away from pressure. He thinks Williams' power and durability will be key, and Gustafsson's willingness to brawl plays into Williams' hands. Connor acknowledges Gustafsson's clinch but believes Williams can withstand it.
Khaos Williams was closer to -250 earlier in fight week but now finds himself around -190, which is considered a perfect entry. He is expected to land more shots, shut down Gustafsson's grappling, and outdamage him on the way to a decision victory.
The MMA Guru picks Khaos Williams by KO, confident in his one-punch power. He notes Andreas Gustafsson's pressure style will play into Williams' hands, as Gustafsson will enter the danger zone. He acknowledges Williams is not fundamentally sound but has nasty knockout power. He predicts a first round KO.
Zane picks Williams, reasoning that Gustafsson is hittable and Williams is a powerful puncher. He notes Gustafsson's aggression and clinch work could drown Williams, but Williams has never been knocked out and is a trustworthy hitter. Zane thinks Williams can land a knockout or win a tepid decision.
Expert Picks (5)
Big Brady picks Andreas Gustafsson, impressed by his relentless pressure and cardio, describing him as a fighter who fights like a man possessed. He criticizes Trevin Giles for not fighting to his strengths, lacking urgency, and having poor durability (gets knocked out often). He expects Gustafsson to land a big elbow in the clinch and finish Giles in the second round.
Connor picks Giles because he thinks it's hard to simply run over and out-wrestle Giles, who punches back effectively. He notes that Gustafsson's lack of defense and tendency to get hurt could lead to a stoppage, and that Giles has shown he can win narrow fights against similar opponents.
Matt picks Andreas Gustafsson to win by knockout. He notes that Giles is on a three-fight losing streak and seems to have lost durability, allowing opponents to dictate pace. Gustafsson is a strong clinch fighter who wears opponents down. Matt expects Gustafsson to control Giles in the clinch and finish him in the second or third round.
The MMA Guru picks Andreas Gustafsson by TKO, citing Trevin Giles' lack of durability and full-time commitment (police officer). He notes Giles often takes short-notice fights and has been finished many times. He believes Gustafsson, a full-time fighter, will put Giles away.
Zane picks Gustafsson because he believes Gustafsson's brutish, forward-pressure style will overwhelm Giles, who has poor defensive range and panics under pressure. He notes that Giles has lost to powerful fighters and that Gustafsson's simple game of clinch violence should work, though he acknowledges Gustafsson's lack of defense and tendency to get hurt.
Expert Picks (1)
Angelo picks Andreas Gustafsson but is hesitant, citing the risk of a UFC debutant making dumb decisions. He notes Gustafsson's wrestling, power, and youth, but draws a parallel to Gabe Green's recent win over a debutant who made a mistake. He explicitly says he is not betting on this fight due to unknown fight IQ.
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!