Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

2-0
Record
Age / DOB 25
(Mar 01, 2001)
Height 6' 2"
Weight 205 lbs.
Reach 78"
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages
7.4 Sig. Strikes / Min
67.0% Sig. Strike Acc.
2.3 Absorbed / Min
57.0% Strike Defense
11.49 TD Avg / 15 min
75.0% TD Accuracy
100.0% TD Defense
7.7 Sub. / Fight
Win Methods (2)
KO/TKO 0
Submission 2
Decision 0

Fight History

Result / Opponent
Event & Date
Method/Round
Links
Comments
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Julius Walker vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Yakhyaev (-550); Walker (+425)

Round 1
The heaviest bout at UFC Baku features unbeaten 205-pound prospect Yakhyaev against fellow up-and-comer Walker. The referee is Jim Perdios. They touch gloves and Yakhyaev absolutely levels Walker with his very first punch, a tight right hook to the jaw. He pounces, drops a couple hammerfists and Perdios is there for the save. One of the 10 fastest finishes in UFC history, an animated gif of a fight, is over.

The Official Result
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev def. Julius Walker R1 0:08 via KO (Punches)
Expert Picks (16)
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jun 24, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

AJ DeVito is confident that Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev will defeat Julius Walker, calling it a setup fight. He notes Yakhyaev's well-rounded skills, nasty grappling, and knockout power, and expects a finish, leaning towards submission. He mentions Yakhyaev's quick win over Raphael Circada and Walker's struggles.

Yakhyaev by finish at -300 (mentioned in parlay); Yakhyaev by submission (lean).
"I think Yakov should win by finish. I think he's probably live to hurt Walker, but I do feel like with the Chetchin, I lean win by submission still regardless of potential knockout power."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jun 25, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

AJ is very confident Yakhyaev wins, calling it a setup fight. He believes Yakhyaev has superior boxing, power, and grappling, and will likely win by submission. He sees Walker as a can't-win fight and expects Yakhyaev to hurt him on the feet before securing a submission.

Yakhyaev by KO +165; Yakhyaev by submission +150; under 1.5 rounds +220; Yakhyaev wins round 1 -125; Yakhyaev sub round 1 +215; Yakhyaev sub round 2 +1100.
"Yakov is the guy. I think he goes out and cooks them."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jun 23, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

AJ sees this as a squash match for Yakhyaev, who is a better striker and grappler. He thinks Yakhyaev can knock out or submit Walker, who is stiff and awkward. AJ expects a finish within 15 minutes and notes the under 1.5 rounds line.

Under 1.5 rounds -210
"Yaky inside the distance is the pick. I think Yaky is a mismatch here."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

AJ expects Yakhyaev to finish Walker, likely in the first round, due to his knockout power and submission threat. Walker has defensive flaws and was recently knocked out. Yakhyaev's aggression and well-rounded game should overwhelm Walker.

Under 2 rounds likely. Yakhyaev -500 favorite (5-to-1).
"I'm going with Abdul Rakman Yakv to win. I think he's going to knock Julius Walker out."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 23, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

Angelo picks Yakhyaev, stating he is better everywhere and that Walker is too early in his career. He notes that Walker has holes in his game and was just knocked out. He believes Yakhyaev will dominate and is worth the price despite being a heavy favorite.

"Yakayv is literally better everywhere. Yakayv is the pick."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 24, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

Angelo thinks Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev dominates the fight and earns his price tag, expecting a finish in under 1.5 rounds. He considers Julius Walker the worst fighter on the card, with only 3 years of professional experience.

win by finish +110, round 1 finish
"I think Abdul-Rakhman Yakubov dominates this fight. I think he earns his price tag, and I think he gets a finish in under one and a half rounds."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

Angelo picks Yakhyaev easily, noting that Julius Walker is too green with only 3 years of professional experience. He believes Yakhyaev is the better grappler and will likely win by finish. He expects the odds to move significantly.

odds will not be like this for much longer
"Yakhyaev is the pick. He wins this fight. He probably wins by finish. These odds will not be like this for much longer."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

Big Brady picks Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev to win by first-round knockout. He describes Yakhyaev as a beast with eight first-round wins, either knocking opponents out or submitting them early. Walker is a grappler with poor striking who has been hurt by lesser fighters. Brady sees a bad matchup for Walker, expecting Yakhyaev to finish him quickly.

win by first round knockout
"I'm going Yakv here. I'm going Yakv to win by first round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 24, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

Cody picks Yakhyaev, calling him a future title contender. He notes Yakhyaev's grappling and physicality, and believes he will dominate Walker. He parlayed Yakhyaev with Donchenko early in the week.

"I look at Yaki as a guy who maybe a couple years down the line could be fighting for gold."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lock picked Jun 23, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

Daniel Levi considers this a lock, stating he bet Yakhyaev at -400 and would cap him at -1500. He dismisses Julius Walker's competition, particularly his life-and-death fight with Raphael Cera, and believes Yakhyaev can win by any method: head kick, punches, takedowns, submission, or grind. He expects a quick finish, possibly under a minute.

bet at -400, win under a minute
"I cap him minus 1500. I still think there's value on Yakay and I think he's going to come out here. I think he's going to steamroll Julius Walker and I think he might do it under a minute."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 23, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

Jacob picks Yakhyaev to win by KO or submission, predicting a dominant performance. He thinks Walker has no path to victory and that Yakhyaev will finish him early, possibly earning a performance bonus. He got Yakhyaev at a good price before the line moved.

Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev wins by KO or submission
"I think Abdul Yaky is going to come out here with some wild [ __ ] He's probably going to club and sub him in a minute and 29 seconds and everyone's going to go, 'Yeah, that happened.'"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

Lucrative James is very confident in Yakhyaev, calling him a legit prospect with explosive wrestling, submissions, and power. He notes that Yakhyaev finishes fights early and has shown cardio in a five-round decision. He believes Julius Walker is outskilled everywhere and predicts a first-round knockout, as Yakhyaev is due for a KO after two submission wins.

"Yaki via KO or via submission. Pick your poison. I'm going to say KO. ... I'm going to take Yakyv to win via knockout in round one in this fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lock picked Jun 23, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

Yakhyaev is far superior in almost every aspect, with a nasty jiu-jitsu game and decent striking. Walker is athletic but lacks technical skills and has mediocre cardio. Yakhyaev will dominate positions and get a quick first-round finish, likely by knockout.

Yakhyaev wins in round 1, by knockout
"I think Yaky runs through Walker in this spot. I'd be very very surprised if Walker is able to pull off this upset."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lock picked Jun 24, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

The host is stunned that Yakubov is not at minus 1000, believing he is far superior to Walker in every aspect. He thinks Yakubov may lean on his striking to find the chin of Walker and predicts a first-round knockout win.

Yakubov wins by knockout, round 1
"I am stunned that Yakubov is not all the way up at minus 1,000 already, but I believe that's the trajectory that he's on, as he is far superior to Walker in every single aspect of mixed martial arts."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 24, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

Paul picks Yakhyaev confidently, calling him a top prospect. He notes Yakhyaev's grappling and physical strength, and believes he will overwhelm Walker. He prefers the over 1.5 rounds at plus money, expecting Walker's durability to carry him past the first round but Yakhyaev to win.

Over 1.5 rounds at +183
"I got Yakaya, but yeah, I'm not really necessarily sure that I love this minus 600. I did take no surprise here. Uh the over one and a half. It's like plus 185 or something."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

The Guru picks Yakhyaev via knockout, citing his dynamic striking, evasiveness, and well-rounded grappling. He believes Walker is too linear and stiff, and will get caught coming in. He expects Yakhyaev to land a single strike or finish on the ground.

"I feel like he's going to get it done here and probably win this fight via knockout."
Submission R1 2:52
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev 0 7 of 15 46% 23 of 38 2 of 3 66% 1 0 1:56
Brendson Ribeiro 0 8 of 17 47% 8 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev 0 7 of 15 46% 23 of 38 2 of 3 66% 1 0 1:56
Brendson Ribeiro 0 8 of 17 47% 8 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev 7 of 15 46% 6 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 11 0 of 0 4 of 4
Brendson Ribeiro 8 of 17 47% 5 of 13 1 of 1 2 of 3 8 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev 7 of 15 46% 6 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 11 0 of 0 4 of 4
Brendson Ribeiro 8 of 17 47% 5 of 13 1 of 1 2 of 3 8 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Brendson Ribeiro vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Yakhyaev (-2000); Ribeiro (+1000)

Round 1
At just eight fights into his professional career, Russian Yakhyaev (8-0, 1-0 UFC) by way of Turkey is about to close as one of the biggest betting favorites in company history. He ranges anywhere from -1200 to -2000 depending on the sportsbook, which all-but dismisses the heavy-handed Brazilian Ribeiro (17-9, 1 NC; 2-4 UFC). Odds don’t say the whole picture, so the light heavyweights will handle their business as referee Mike Beltran stands vigilant. There is a glove touch before the fists fly.
Ribeiro starts first after about 12 seconds of measuring with a low kick, and Yakhyaev beans him with a right hand behind the ear. Ribeiro stumbles, resets and cracks Yakhyaev back. Yakhyaev shoots in for a takedown, surprised that he has taken some shots early, and the Brazilian bounces away. Ribeiro kicks Yakhyaev in the head through the guard and has his kick caught, with Yakhyaev taking him down to the floor. Ribeiro grabs hold of a two-on-one wrist lock to threaten with a kimura off his back in hopes of turning the fighter repping Turkey over. Yakhyaev responds with 12-to-6 elbows to the side, and Ribeiro wrenches his way back up but is under fire all the way up. Yakhyaev presses his weight down to keep Ribeiro on his knees, smothering him from behind while trying to slip a hook in. When Ribeiro stands, Yakhyaev easily mat returns him and establishes control of the back momentarily. Yakhyaev flirts with a rear-naked choke, but finds his right hand having to deal with a kimura sweep effort.
Yakhyaev pulls his arm out of it and looks to set up a choke, but he settles for punches to the sides of the dome instead.
Yakhyaev allows Ribeiro to sit up so he can ratchet on a rear-naked choke, and it is not going anywhere. Ribeiro is caught in a web, and “welcome to my parlor” says the spider to the fly. Yakhyaev cranks the neck with full power, and Ribeiro taps out lest he go out.
“The Hunter” releases the grip upon Beltran’s intervention, and he signals to someone in the crowd as if he knew he was going to get the submission the whole time. That makes it 9-0 with eight finishes for light heavyweight prospect Yakhyaev, who will not get many more opponents like this before taking a hefty step up in competition.

The Official Result
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev def. Brendson Ribeiro R1 2:52 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Expert Picks (10)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lock picked Mar 29, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

Angelo is extremely confident in Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev, calling it the easiest pick on the card. He notes Yakhyaev is a good prospect with wrestling, striking, and power, while Brendson Ribeiro is hitable and has a quit button. However, he strongly advises against betting at -1400 odds, calling it not worth the risk.

Angelo mentions the odds -1400 and says 'Do nothing with this. You cannot bet on a minus400 favorite.' He suggests finding a prop instead.
"Yakayv, no discussion. He wins this fight 10 out of 10 times."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lock picked Mar 30, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

Big Brady is extremely confident Yakhyaev will win, calling it 'dumb matchmaking.' He expects Yakhyaev to knock out Ribeiro within the first minute, as he has done in recent fights. He notes Ribeiro has no chin and that Yakhyaev finishes fights quickly.

Yakhyaev by KO in first minute
"Yakhyaev's going to come forward and he's going to knock out Brendson Ribeiro in the first a minute of the fight."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 2, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

Cody is confident Yakhyaev wins by first-round knockout, given Ribeiro's history of first-round KO losses. He notes Yakhyaev's well-rounded skills and the mismatch, but warns about the prohibitive moneyline.

first round knockout +130
"I got first round knockout for Yaki being that he is probably he's wellrounded. He can submit you just as easily can knock you out. But I think in Brenson Rivero's case, his last five knockout or his last five losses in MMA are all by knockout and they're all in the first round."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 2, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

Connor agrees, calling it a squash match. He notes that Ribeiro is extremely hittable and has poor defense under pressure. Connor points out that Yakhyaev throws big single strikes and marches through opponents, which should be more than enough to finish Ribeiro.

"Just an absolute squash match for..."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lock picked Mar 30, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

James is extremely confident in Yakhyaev, calling it a 'murder scene.' He highlights Yakhyaev's explosiveness, wrestling, and finishing ability, while noting Ribeiro's lack of durability and short-notice camp. He predicts a round one KO, stating Yakhyaev is a legitimate prospect who will run through Ribeiro. He mentions the odds are too high to bet but is certain of the outcome.

Round 1 KO prediction
"I'm calling a round one finish for Yaky. The guy is minus 1,400 on a money line. I don't really want to speak too much in depth about this one, boys."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Apr 1, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

James is very high on Yakhyaev, calling him one of the greatest fighters in the division and predicting he will steamroll Ribeiro and become a champion. He compares his confidence to his previous correct call on Loena Cavana.

"I think this guy is going to steamroll Brener Ribeiro and I think he's going to become either a champion or fight for the belt in the next 3 years."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 31, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

The host is extremely confident in Yakhyaev, citing his insane ceiling, dangerous grappling and striking, and a horrible stylistic matchup for Ribeiro. He expects a first-round finish and advises against parlaying the heavy chalk, instead looking for props. He notes Ribeiro's recent losses and lack of success against similar competition.

under 1.5 rounds at -380; round 1 prop on Yakhyaev
"I think Yaky runs through him as well. I think he finishes him in the first round."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 2, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

Paul is confident Yakhyaev wins, likely by submission or KO in the first round. He notes the price is prohibitive but suggests playing the round one prop or parlay.

round one prop
"Maybe maybe the move is just eat the chalk on the the round one prop, which is super like minus 227 is the best I can play on that. Um I can parlay that up. That's probably how I go about it."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 4, 2026 (fight day)
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

The MMA Guru confidently picks Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev, citing his undefeated record, fast starts, and nasty finishes. He notes that Brendson Ribeiro has been finished multiple times early in fights and expects Yakhyaev to secure a first-round TKO.

First-round TKO predicted
"Against someone like Yakhyaev who starts so fast and so dangerous, it's a recipe for a first round TKO for him."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 2, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

Zane sees this as a walkover for Yakhyaev, noting that Ribeiro crumbles under pressure and has been finished in almost all his losses. He describes Ribeiro as a fighter who folds when going backwards, covering up and falling into the cage. Zane believes Yakhyaev's aggressive style will overwhelm Ribeiro quickly.

"This is a walkover fight for Yakhayev."
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev 1 6 of 10 60% 11 of 16 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:24
Raffael Cerqueira 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev 1 6 of 10 60% 11 of 16 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:24
Raffael Cerqueira 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev 6 of 10 60% 6 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 4 0 of 0 3 of 6
Raffael Cerqueira 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev 6 of 10 60% 6 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 4 0 of 0 3 of 6
Raffael Cerqueira 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Raffael Cerqueira vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Yakhyaev (-1000); Cerqueira (+650)

Round 1
The under is circled on many betting sheets for this match, as prognosticators expect these two light heavyweight sluggers will bust one another up. The debuting Yakhyaev (7-0, 0-0 UFC) is the highest betting favorite of the card, with odds around -1000 (or higher) in his favor against the hapless Brazilian striker Cerqueira (11-3, 0-3 UFC). Referee Rich Mitchell dons his proverbial hard hat to protect himself from errant swings, and he steps back to allow the 205ers to clap hands.
Yakhyaev introduces himself with, of all things, a spinning wheel kick, and he proceeds to blast Cerqueira in the face with it through his guard. Cerqueira wobbles back, stung but not wrecked from the surprise kick, and Yakhyaev walks him down and busts him in the chops with an overhand left. He chases after “The Lion” and catches him with two more punches that set up a cruise missile of a head kick that sends Cerqueira crashing to his seat. Cerqueira is still with it, his eyes wide open as Yakhyaev pounces. Yakhyaev tries to finish the job with big punches, but Cerqueira works his way to his feet with the fence as his only ally in the building right now.
The Turkish fighter wraps up Cerqueira and dumps him to the ground, where he proceeds to snatch up a rear-naked choke without even bothering to get in any hooks. The choke is tight as a drum already, as Cerqueira offers little defense as he may still be dazed. Cerqueira tries to roll over to his side, but this allows Yakhyaev to slip a body triangle around his waist and complete the choke.
The Brazilian does not take more than a second or two to surrender, and just like that, Yakhyaev has successfully blown through his opponent in his promotional debut. It took a little more than 30 seconds for “The Hunter” to slay “The Lion,” and Yakhyaev remains in the ranks of the unbeaten, having justified the massive betting line in his favor.

The Official Result
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev def. Raffael Cerqueira R1 0:33 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 16, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

Angelo picks Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev over Raffael Cerqueira, calling him a solid prospect with great takedowns and power. Cerqueira is athletic but cannot defend takedowns, as seen in his loss to Julius Walker. Yakhyaev can knock him out or take him down repeatedly. The odds are wide, but Angelo is confident.

"Abdul's the pick. Minus 800."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

Big Brady confidently picks Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev by first-round knockout, describing him as a legit prospect with tons of power and vicious grappling. He expects a quick finish, possibly within the first minute, and notes Cerqueira's poor UFC record.

first round KO
"Give me Yakhyaev first round KO."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

Cody picks Yakhyaev confidently, calling him an uber prospect. He notes Yakhyaev's well-rounded skills, power, and wrestling. Cody believes Yakhyaev will finish Cerqueira early, likely by knockout or submission. He suggests betting on a first-round finish.

Yakhyaev by submission +250, first round knockout prop
"I took a small shot on Yakyayv by sub and I'm hoping like club and sub plays into give me some justice."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 21, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

Connor agrees, picking Yakhyaev. He notes that Yakhyaev is messy with his wrestling due to reckless aggression but is a good natural scrambler. He embraces chaos and doesn't shy away from resistance. He thinks Cerqueira should never have been signed and shouldn't have been kept after getting melted by Aslan.

"He's super raw. He is definitely in for a very hard lesson at some point in the near future, but not now."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lock picked Nov 18, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

Yakhyaev is a beast in light heavyweight and should run through Cerqueira quickly. Cerqueira has a glass chin and doesn't deserve a UFC spot. Expect a finish within two minutes.

under 1.5 rounds at -240; Yakhyaev round 1 prop
"I expect Yaky to get this done within 2 minutes. Uh the under one and a half is at minus 240. I think that's a steal."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

Paul picks Yakhyaev confidently, noting his impressive resume and skills. He believes Yakhyaev will knock out Cerqueira, who is 0-3 in the UFC. Paul suggests betting on a knockout or inside the distance.

Yakhyaev by knockout
"I would think Yakaya does the exact same thing. Gets a knockout over Saka at some point."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

The MMA Guru picks Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev over Raffael Cerqueira, dismissing Cerqueira's UFC performances as disastrous. He notes Cerqueira gets KO'd in the first round and covers up. He believes Yakhyaev, an undefeated prospect with reach, will finish Cerqueira by TKO in the first or second round.

finish in the first round
"I'm going to go with Abdul-Rakhman Yakubov. He looked good on the Contender Series and I'm going to say that he finishes Rafael Fiziev in the first round."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 21, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

Zane picks Yakhyaev confidently, noting that Cerqueira is not good and has a paper-thin regional record. He says Cerqueira crushes cans but collapses against anyone who can fight, as shown by his loss to Ibo Aslan. Yakhyaev is undercooked but confident, aggressive, and has a wrestling game. He thinks Yakhyaev will roll through Cerqueira.

Odds: Yakhyaev opened -600, now -1800; Cerqueira opened +450, now +900. Zane comments that the line is way too wide but Cerqueira couldn't handle Julius Walker.
"I just got to pick him to kind of roll through. So care here."