Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28)
R3
5:00
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % |
Total Str. | TD | TD % |
Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
| Randa Markos |
0 |
11 of 27 |
40% |
51 of 71 |
3 of 6 |
50% |
2 |
0 |
3:31 |
| Livinha Souza |
0 |
65 of 96 |
67% |
159 of 207 |
0 of 0 |
--- |
0 |
2 |
8:47 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % |
Total Str. | TD | TD % |
Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
| 1 |
Randa Markos |
0 |
3 of 7 |
42% |
24 of 29 |
1 of 3 |
33% |
2 |
0 |
1:43 |
| Livinha Souza |
0 |
21 of 36 |
58% |
40 of 61 |
0 of 0 |
--- |
0 |
0 |
2:10 |
| 2 |
Randa Markos |
0 |
2 of 4 |
50% |
17 of 21 |
1 of 2 |
50% |
0 |
0 |
1:31 |
| Livinha Souza |
0 |
12 of 16 |
75% |
50 of 62 |
0 of 0 |
--- |
0 |
1 |
3:00 |
| 3 |
Randa Markos |
0 |
6 of 16 |
37% |
10 of 21 |
1 of 1 |
100% |
0 |
0 |
0:17 |
| Livinha Souza |
0 |
32 of 44 |
72% |
69 of 84 |
0 of 0 |
--- |
0 |
1 |
3:37 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % |
Head | Body | Leg |
Distance | Clinch | Ground |
| Randa Markos |
11 of 27 |
40% |
7 of 23 |
3 of 3 |
1 of 1 |
6 of 20 |
3 of 5 |
2 of 2 |
| Livinha Souza |
65 of 96 |
67% |
55 of 85 |
7 of 8 |
3 of 3 |
29 of 55 |
20 of 25 |
16 of 16 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % |
Head | Body | Leg |
Distance | Clinch | Ground |
| 1 |
Randa Markos |
3 of 7 |
42% |
1 of 5 |
2 of 2 |
0 of 0 |
1 of 4 |
2 of 3 |
0 of 0 |
| Livinha Souza |
21 of 36 |
58% |
15 of 29 |
4 of 5 |
2 of 2 |
9 of 23 |
12 of 13 |
0 of 0 |
| 2 |
Randa Markos |
2 of 4 |
50% |
1 of 3 |
1 of 1 |
0 of 0 |
0 of 2 |
1 of 1 |
1 of 1 |
| Livinha Souza |
12 of 16 |
75% |
10 of 14 |
2 of 2 |
0 of 0 |
1 of 5 |
2 of 2 |
9 of 9 |
| 3 |
Randa Markos |
6 of 16 |
37% |
5 of 15 |
0 of 0 |
1 of 1 |
5 of 14 |
0 of 1 |
1 of 1 |
| Livinha Souza |
32 of 44 |
72% |
30 of 42 |
1 of 1 |
1 of 1 |
19 of 27 |
6 of 10 |
7 of 7 |
AN
Angelo Bodetti
Expert
Hesitant
picked Oct 20, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Livinha Souza
Angelo sees this as a tough fight between two similar fighters. He notes that Souza likely has a striking advantage while Randa has the grappling edge, but neither is good off their back. He ultimately sides with Souza because he thinks she can be the bully and get on top, but he's not confident and won't bet on her at -300.
won't bet on Souza at -300; likes the more/more on the strike line (over 73.5 combined strikes)
"i have to side with susan here though because i do think she can potentially be the bully and get on top"
BI
Big Brady
Expert
Hesitant
picked Oct 19, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Livinha Souza
Big Brady leans toward Souza despite her poor performance against Amanda Lemos, citing Souza's takedown ability and Randa Markos's 52% takedown defense. He expects the fight to play out on the mat where Souza can control and win a decision. However, he admits low confidence due to both fighters' low level and recommends no bet on this fight.
no bet recommended
"i'm kind of leaning on the soza side here um again there's there's not much confidence in this pic because you really can't be confident in soza"
CO
Cody Saftic
Expert
Lean
picked Oct 21, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Randa Markos
Cody leans towards Randa Markos as an underdog. He notes that Souza has looked awful in the UFC, quitting in her last fight, while Markos has fought only top competition and never quits. Cody believes Markos's grinding style and durability will be too much for Souza, who seems to lack heart. He sees this as a dogger pass and takes the underdog.
Dogger pass
"it's a dogger pass situation i'll take the underdog"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night
Expert
Confident
picked Oct 22, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Randa Markos
Lock picks Markos based on volume and activity. He notes Souza has poor striking output and Markos will outwork her. He expects Markos to win by decision, as she is unlikely to finish. He acknowledges Markos' low fight IQ but thinks she can win.
Markos by decision +150
"i am on the marco's side no bet from me though i do think she goes out there and now volumes who's on the feet"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy
Expert
picked Oct 21, 2021 (2 days before fight)
No clear pick
Paul does not make a pick, asking for Cody's blessing before betting. He notes that Souza has burned him before and that Markos's style may not be favored by judges. Paul seems uncertain and does not commit.
"i want the blessing on souza before i throw any money here"
TH
The MMA Guru
Expert
Confident
picked Oct 17, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Livinha Souza
The MMA Guru picks Livinha Souza, arguing that she is undervalued due to her looks. He highlights her tough competition and believes Randa Markos has lost motivation. He predicts Souza will win by unanimous decision.
"get your money on liver hernandez she's actually kind of good"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27)
R3
5:00
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % |
Total Str. | TD | TD % |
Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
| Livinha Souza |
0 |
32 of 114 |
28% |
89 of 176 |
0 of 1 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
3:50 |
| Ashley Yoder |
0 |
46 of 70 |
65% |
70 of 95 |
1 of 4 |
25% |
0 |
0 |
2:43 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % |
Total Str. | TD | TD % |
Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
| 1 |
Livinha Souza |
0 |
6 of 22 |
27% |
34 of 51 |
0 of 0 |
--- |
0 |
0 |
1:12 |
| Ashley Yoder |
0 |
10 of 19 |
52% |
20 of 30 |
0 of 1 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
1:26 |
| 2 |
Livinha Souza |
0 |
6 of 20 |
30% |
28 of 46 |
0 of 1 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
2:26 |
| Ashley Yoder |
0 |
13 of 18 |
72% |
21 of 26 |
0 of 0 |
--- |
0 |
0 |
0:31 |
| 3 |
Livinha Souza |
0 |
20 of 72 |
27% |
27 of 79 |
0 of 0 |
--- |
0 |
0 |
0:12 |
| Ashley Yoder |
0 |
23 of 33 |
69% |
29 of 39 |
1 of 3 |
33% |
0 |
0 |
0:46 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % |
Head | Body | Leg |
Distance | Clinch | Ground |
| Livinha Souza |
32 of 114 |
28% |
23 of 92 |
6 of 14 |
3 of 8 |
32 of 112 |
0 of 2 |
0 of 0 |
| Ashley Yoder |
46 of 70 |
65% |
15 of 33 |
8 of 11 |
23 of 26 |
36 of 55 |
5 of 7 |
5 of 8 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % |
Head | Body | Leg |
Distance | Clinch | Ground |
| 1 |
Livinha Souza |
6 of 22 |
27% |
3 of 15 |
2 of 5 |
1 of 2 |
6 of 21 |
0 of 1 |
0 of 0 |
| Ashley Yoder |
10 of 19 |
52% |
7 of 13 |
2 of 3 |
1 of 3 |
5 of 12 |
1 of 2 |
4 of 5 |
| 2 |
Livinha Souza |
6 of 20 |
30% |
5 of 16 |
0 of 2 |
1 of 2 |
6 of 20 |
0 of 0 |
0 of 0 |
| Ashley Yoder |
13 of 18 |
72% |
3 of 8 |
4 of 4 |
6 of 6 |
10 of 13 |
2 of 2 |
1 of 3 |
| 3 |
Livinha Souza |
20 of 72 |
27% |
15 of 61 |
4 of 7 |
1 of 4 |
20 of 71 |
0 of 1 |
0 of 0 |
| Ashley Yoder |
23 of 33 |
69% |
5 of 12 |
2 of 4 |
16 of 17 |
21 of 30 |
2 of 3 |
0 of 0 |
BI
Big Brady
Expert
Lean
picked Aug 12, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Livinha Souza
Big Brady thinks Souza is faster and more active, with better takedowns. He expects her to win a decision but acknowledges Yoder could make it close. He is not very confident and notes the line should be closer.
"give me uh le'veon susa to win by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi
Expert
Confident
picked Aug 14, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Livinha Souza
Daniel Levi picks Livinha Souza to win. He believes Souza is the tougher fighter and will win the extra scrambles when both are fatigued. He notes that Yoder has a history of folding in gritty fights and doesn't utilize her length well. He also mentions that Souza has better boxing and jiu-jitsu, and that Yoder's path to victory requires a perfect performance.
Souza by decision or submission; Yoder's toughness is questionable; Souza's intensity is key
"i'm gonna take the more intense person and i'm gonna take the uh you know the person where i do feel like uh lavinia is slightly the better black belt"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night
Expert
Lean
picked Aug 13, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Ashley Yoder
Yoder has the reach and height advantage, decent takedown defense, and is crafty on the ground. Souza has been reversed and put in compromising positions in past fights. Yoder can keep the fight on the feet or hold her own on the mat. The fight will be close and likely go to a decision; Yoder is the value side at plus money.
Yoder wins by decision
"I do believe Yoder is the value side here... I'll go with Yoder to win this fight by decision."
TH
The MMA Guru
Expert
Confident
picked Aug 9, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Ashley Yoder
The MMA Guru picks Ashley Yoder, emphasizing her significant reach advantage (6.5 inches) and size. He dismisses Souza's record as built on weak competition and notes Yoder's experience against better opponents.
boring decision
"i am gonna be going with ashley yoda here a much bigger woman at the straw weight division ... i think ashley yoda gets it down against olivia hernandez"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27)
R3
5:00
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % |
Total Str. | TD | TD % |
Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
| Brianna Fortino |
0 |
23 of 66 |
34% |
30 of 73 |
2 of 3 |
66% |
0 |
0 |
0:43 |
| Livinha Souza |
0 |
72 of 187 |
38% |
88 of 204 |
3 of 4 |
75% |
0 |
0 |
4:40 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % |
Total Str. | TD | TD % |
Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
| 1 |
Brianna Fortino |
0 |
12 of 23 |
52% |
19 of 30 |
1 of 2 |
50% |
0 |
0 |
0:21 |
| Livinha Souza |
0 |
19 of 54 |
35% |
27 of 62 |
1 of 1 |
100% |
0 |
0 |
2:26 |
| 2 |
Brianna Fortino |
0 |
7 of 26 |
26% |
7 of 26 |
0 of 0 |
--- |
0 |
0 |
0:00 |
| Livinha Souza |
0 |
36 of 93 |
38% |
37 of 94 |
0 of 0 |
--- |
0 |
0 |
0:04 |
| 3 |
Brianna Fortino |
0 |
4 of 17 |
23% |
4 of 17 |
1 of 1 |
100% |
0 |
0 |
0:22 |
| Livinha Souza |
0 |
17 of 40 |
42% |
24 of 48 |
2 of 3 |
66% |
0 |
0 |
2:10 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % |
Head | Body | Leg |
Distance | Clinch | Ground |
| Brianna Fortino |
23 of 66 |
34% |
8 of 43 |
10 of 17 |
5 of 6 |
15 of 56 |
7 of 9 |
1 of 1 |
| Livinha Souza |
72 of 187 |
38% |
48 of 151 |
15 of 23 |
9 of 13 |
51 of 151 |
17 of 31 |
4 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % |
Head | Body | Leg |
Distance | Clinch | Ground |
| 1 |
Brianna Fortino |
12 of 23 |
52% |
4 of 11 |
6 of 10 |
2 of 2 |
4 of 13 |
7 of 9 |
1 of 1 |
| Livinha Souza |
19 of 54 |
35% |
12 of 43 |
4 of 5 |
3 of 6 |
11 of 38 |
7 of 14 |
1 of 2 |
| 2 |
Brianna Fortino |
7 of 26 |
26% |
2 of 18 |
3 of 5 |
2 of 3 |
7 of 26 |
0 of 0 |
0 of 0 |
| Livinha Souza |
36 of 93 |
38% |
26 of 80 |
7 of 10 |
3 of 3 |
29 of 80 |
7 of 13 |
0 of 0 |
| 3 |
Brianna Fortino |
4 of 17 |
23% |
2 of 14 |
1 of 2 |
1 of 1 |
4 of 17 |
0 of 0 |
0 of 0 |
| Livinha Souza |
17 of 40 |
42% |
10 of 28 |
4 of 8 |
3 of 4 |
11 of 33 |
3 of 4 |
3 of 3 |
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28)
R3
5:00
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % |
Total Str. | TD | TD % |
Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
| Livinha Souza |
0 |
23 of 65 |
35% |
75 of 118 |
4 of 10 |
40% |
3 |
0 |
3:41 |
| Sarah Frota |
0 |
32 of 90 |
35% |
78 of 143 |
0 of 0 |
--- |
0 |
0 |
4:35 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % |
Total Str. | TD | TD % |
Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
| 1 |
Livinha Souza |
0 |
11 of 16 |
68% |
28 of 33 |
1 of 3 |
33% |
2 |
0 |
1:02 |
| Sarah Frota |
0 |
4 of 15 |
26% |
30 of 47 |
0 of 0 |
--- |
0 |
0 |
2:39 |
| 2 |
Livinha Souza |
0 |
5 of 29 |
17% |
34 of 58 |
3 of 4 |
75% |
1 |
0 |
2:34 |
| Sarah Frota |
0 |
11 of 32 |
34% |
11 of 32 |
0 of 0 |
--- |
0 |
0 |
0:21 |
| 3 |
Livinha Souza |
0 |
7 of 20 |
35% |
13 of 27 |
0 of 3 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0:05 |
| Sarah Frota |
0 |
17 of 43 |
39% |
37 of 64 |
0 of 0 |
--- |
0 |
0 |
1:35 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % |
Head | Body | Leg |
Distance | Clinch | Ground |
| Livinha Souza |
23 of 65 |
35% |
14 of 49 |
6 of 10 |
3 of 6 |
15 of 46 |
3 of 3 |
5 of 16 |
| Sarah Frota |
32 of 90 |
35% |
23 of 72 |
7 of 12 |
2 of 6 |
23 of 80 |
4 of 4 |
5 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % |
Head | Body | Leg |
Distance | Clinch | Ground |
| 1 |
Livinha Souza |
11 of 16 |
68% |
6 of 10 |
3 of 3 |
2 of 3 |
5 of 9 |
2 of 2 |
4 of 5 |
| Sarah Frota |
4 of 15 |
26% |
3 of 11 |
1 of 3 |
0 of 1 |
4 of 14 |
0 of 0 |
0 of 1 |
| 2 |
Livinha Souza |
5 of 29 |
17% |
4 of 26 |
1 of 1 |
0 of 2 |
3 of 17 |
1 of 1 |
1 of 11 |
| Sarah Frota |
11 of 32 |
34% |
8 of 26 |
3 of 4 |
0 of 2 |
7 of 28 |
4 of 4 |
0 of 0 |
| 3 |
Livinha Souza |
7 of 20 |
35% |
4 of 13 |
2 of 6 |
1 of 1 |
7 of 20 |
0 of 0 |
0 of 0 |
| Sarah Frota |
17 of 43 |
39% |
12 of 35 |
3 of 5 |
2 of 3 |
12 of 38 |
0 of 0 |
5 of 5 |
Submission (guillotine choke)
R1
1:21
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % |
Total Str. | TD | TD % |
Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
| Livinha Souza |
0 |
10 of 18 |
55% |
10 of 18 |
1 of 1 |
100% |
1 |
0 |
0:39 |
| Alex Chambers |
0 |
4 of 9 |
44% |
4 of 9 |
0 of 0 |
--- |
0 |
0 |
0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % |
Total Str. | TD | TD % |
Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
| 1 |
Livinha Souza |
0 |
10 of 18 |
55% |
10 of 18 |
1 of 1 |
100% |
1 |
0 |
0:39 |
| Alex Chambers |
0 |
4 of 9 |
44% |
4 of 9 |
0 of 0 |
--- |
0 |
0 |
0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % |
Head | Body | Leg |
Distance | Clinch | Ground |
| Livinha Souza |
10 of 18 |
55% |
7 of 14 |
1 of 1 |
2 of 3 |
6 of 9 |
2 of 5 |
2 of 4 |
| Alex Chambers |
4 of 9 |
44% |
4 of 9 |
0 of 0 |
0 of 0 |
3 of 7 |
1 of 2 |
0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % |
Head | Body | Leg |
Distance | Clinch | Ground |
| 1 |
Livinha Souza |
10 of 18 |
55% |
7 of 14 |
1 of 1 |
2 of 3 |
6 of 9 |
2 of 5 |
2 of 4 |
| Alex Chambers |
4 of 9 |
44% |
4 of 9 |
0 of 0 |
0 of 0 |
3 of 7 |
1 of 2 |
0 of 0 |
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